First Results of the Demographic Data Collection for 2002 in Europe : 20/2003

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First Results of the Demographic Data Collection for 2002 in Europe : 20/2003 First results of the ^κ. ^ ^áp ρ A demographic data collection 1953 — ■¿Γ 2CKJ3 for 2002 in Europe eurostat Joint Council of Europe/Eurostat demographic data collection The objective of this publication is to provide some basic demographic information for 2002. However, given the timetable (rapid questionnaire sent out in April 2003 with a return date of May), not all countries could provide all the information while some figures are provisional or estimates. Additional and/or more definitive information will in focus be published in the annual reports of the Council of Europe (« Recent demographic developments in Europe 2003 ») and Eurostat (« European social statistics - Population 2003 »). POPULATION AND Main demographic trends for 2002 SOCIAL CONDITIONS The population of the European Union is estimated to have increased by 0.3% in 2002, compared with 0.4% in 2001. Some three quarters of the 1.3 million increase in 2002, to 379 million at 1.1.2003, was due to net inward international migration (1 million) and THEME 3 - 20/2003 one quarter to natural increase (0.3 million). The largest percentage increase in 2002 was seen in Ireland at 1.5% and the lowest in Germany and Italy at 0.1%. Annual population decreases were again observed in many central and eastern European POPULATION AND LIVING countries, such as Bulgaria and Latvia (-0.6%) and Belarus (-0.5%). More detailed CONDITIONS results are shown in Tables 1 and 2. It may also be noted from Table 1 that there are revisions to the population estimates for several countries for 1.1.2002, published, for example, in the corresponding Contents Statistics in focusTor 2002 (17/2002). The revision is the effect of countries re-basing their population estimates on new information following the 2000 round of censuses, Joint Council of (this is a well-established practice usually made necessary by the imprecision of Europe/Eurostat demographic international migration estimates). Thus the current estimate for the European Union of data collection 1 377.7 million at 1.1 2002 is some 2 million lower than the estimate that was published last year. The most significant revisions have been a reduction in the population Main demographic trends for estimate of well over 1 million for both Italy and the United Kingdom, and some 100 2002 1 thousand for Austria. In contrast, the estimate for Greece has been increased by about 400 thousand. Revisions to the population estimates for France, Portugal and Spain were incorporated in last year's report (17/2002). Table 3 shows that yet again the total fertility rate (TFR) in the EU in 2002, at 1.47 has remained virtually unchanged from 2001 and 2000. However there were some notable increases, in Germany up from 1.35 in 2001 to 1.40 in 2002, and in Sweden, up from 1.57 to 1.65. The TFR for Ireland at just over 2.0 was only slightly below the rate for the United States, and helps to account for the relatively high rate of population increase. The proportion of births outside marriage continues to show small increases in all countries, both in the European Union and other Council of Europe member states. Over 50% of births were outside marriage in many parts of northern Europe - in Iceland (62.3%), Estonia (56.3%), Sweden (56.0%) and for the first time, Norway at 50.3%. Even in Malta there has been a significant increase, from 12.9% in 2001 to 15.0% in 2002, compared with just 5.8% in 1996. The most significant new feature in Table 4 is the low infant mortality rate in Sweden at less than 3 deaths of children under one per 1000 live births. This is about half the rate of many other EU countries. The infant mortality rate for the EU as a whole has continued to fall; at 4.5 in 2002, it is still 50% lower than in the United States (6.9). The downward trend in the number of marriages continues with the number of Manuscript completed on: 6.07.2003 marriages in the EU falling from 1.9 million in 2000 to about 1.8 million in 2001 and ISSN 1024-4352 2002, despite small increases for both Sweden and Austria (see Table 5). The overall Catalogue number KS-NK-03-020-EN-C trend in the number of divorces is in the opposite direction, with an increase of about © European Communities, 2003 10 thousand for the EU as a whole between 2000 and 2001. Figure 1: World population, 2003 Figure 3: Components of population change, 2002 (per 1000 population) Other Council of Europe Countriea 6.88% 20 USA, Japan t other 15 mora developpöd countrlee 10 7.47% 5 0 y ι π o ­5 ­10 -15 -20 FIN UK Figure 2: Share of the world's population increase, 2002 Other Council of USA, Japan h, other Europa countrlee ­0.36% mora developped countrlee 4­46% ALB AND ARM AZE BGR HRV CYP CZE EST GEO HUN »L LVA UE LTU MLT MDA NOR POL ROM RUS SMR SVK SVN CHE MKD TUR UKR BLR YUG 1WS: ALB; 2000: SEO; 2001; AND, HRV, RUS, SMR, MKD, UKR ■ Natural increase ] Net migration GLOSSARY Natural increase: the difference between the number of live births and the number of deaths. Net migration: the difference between the number of immigrants and the number of emigrants. In this publication, it is calculated by taking the difference between total population increase and natural increase. Crude rate: the ratio of the number of events to the mean population in a given year. Total fertility rate: the average number of children that would be born alive to a woman during her lifetime if current age specific fertility rates were to continue. Infant mortality rate: the ratio of deaths of children under one year of age to the live births in a given year. Life expectancy at birth: the average number of years a person would live if current age specific mortality rates were to continue. Council of Europe Member States: all the European Union countries, Andorra (AND), Albania (ALB), Armenia (ARM), Azerbaijan (AZE), Bosnia and Herzegovina (BIH), Bulgaria (BGR), Croatia (HRV), Cyprus (CYP), Czech Republic (CZE), Estonia (EST), Georgia (GEO), Hungary (HUN), Iceland (ISL), Latvia (LVA), Liechtenstein (LIE), Lithuania (LTU), Malta (MLT), Moldova (MDA), Norway (NOR), Poland (POL), Romania (ROM), Russian Federation (RUS), San Marino (SMR), Slovak Republic (SVK), Slovenia (SVN), Switzerland (CHE), "The former Yug. Rep. of Macedonia" (MKD), Turkey (TUR), Ukraine (UKR). Council of Europe non-Member States: Belarus (BLR), Serbia and Montenegro (YUG). More developed countries: all countries in Europe (including European members of the CIS-Commonwealth of Independent States), Australia, Canada, Japan, New Zealand, Turkey, the United States of America. Less developed countries: all countries excluding more developed countries. Statistics in focus — Theme 3 — 20/2003 ■ eurostat Table 1 : Population change in 2002 Population Live Deaths Natural Net Total Population COUNTRY/REGION 1.1.2002 births increase migration increase 1.1.2003 (1000) European Union 377 698.1 * 3 995.0 ' 3 693.7 * 301.3* 988.6' 1 290.0 * 378 988.1 * Eurozone 304 499.1 ,B 3 166.3 ' 2 932.0 ' 234.3* 844.2' 1 078.4 * 305 577.5 * Belgium 10 309.7 113.6 p 106.4 p 7.2 p 38.9 p 46.1 p 10 355.8 p Denmark 5 368.4 64.1 58.6 5.5 9.6 15.2 5 383.5 Germany 82 440.3 p 725.0 p 845.0 p -120.0 p 221.7' 101.7' 82 542.0 ' Greece 10 988.0 5p 102.5 ' 104.2 ' -1.7' 32.1 ' 30.4 p 11 018.4 p Spain 40 409.3 411.5* 365.8 ' 45.8' 227.9 " 273.7 40 683.0 France 59 337.9 p 762.7 p 539.7 p 223.0 p 65.0 p 288.0 p 59 625.9 p Ireland 3 901.4 5' 60.5 p 29.4 p 31.1 p 28.8' 59.9' 3 961.3' Italy 56 993.7 5" 533.6 " 562.7 ' -29.1 ' 107.1 ' 78.0' 57 071.7 ' Luxembourg 444.1 5.3 3.7 1.6 2.6 4.3 448.3 Netherlands 16 105.3 203.1 p 143.3 p 59.9 p 27.7 p 87.6 p 16 192.8 p Austria 8 038.9 5" 78.4 76.1 2.3 17.0 e 19.3 e 8 058.2 e Portugal 10 335.6 114.4 p 106.2 p 8.1 p 70.0' 78.1 ' 10413.7 ' Finland 5 194.9 55.6 49.4 6.1 5.3 11.4 5 206.3 Sweden 8 909.1 95.8 95.0 0.8 30.9 31.7 8 940.8 United Kingdom 58 921.5 5' 668.8 p 608.0 p 60.7 p 104.0' 164.7 ' 59 086.3 ' Other Council of Europe Member States Albania 3 401.2 2 57.5 3 16.7 3 40.8 3 Andorra 66.3 0.8 1 0.2 1 0.5 1 0.0 1 0.5 1 Armenia 3 212.9 32.2 25.6 6.7 -9.3 -2.6 3 210.3 Azerbaijan 8 141.4 110.7 46.5 64.2 -3.1 61.1 8 202.5 Bosnia and Herzegovina 3 832.0 4' 35.1 p 29.3 p 5.9 p Bulgaria 7 891.1 5p 67.3 p 112.9 p -45.6 p 0.0 p -45.6 p 7 845.5 p Croatia 4 437.5 1 41.0 1 49.6 1 -8.6 1 23.4 1e 14.8 1e 4 452.3 2e Cyprus 793.1 5" 8.9' 5.7' 3.2" 8.4' 11.6" 804.7 ' Czech Republic 10 206.4 5 92.8 108.2 -15.5 12.3 -3.2 10 203.3 Estonia 1 361.2 6 13.0 18.4 -5.4 0.2 -5.2 1 356.0 Georgia 3 947.6 1 40.4 1 38.6 1 1.8 1 Hungary 10 174.9 96.8 132.8 -36.0 13.2 -22.9 10 152.0 Iceland 286.6 4.0 p 1.8 p 2.2 p -0.3 p 1.9 288.5 Latvia 2 345.8 20.0 32.5 -12.5 -1.8 -14.3 2 331.5 Liechtenstein 33.5 p 0.4 p 0.2 p 0.2 p 0.2 p 0.4 p 33.9 p Lithuania 3 475.6 5 30.0 p 41.1 p -11.1 p -2.0 p -13.0 p 3 462.6 p Malta 394.6 3.8 3.0 0.8 1.9 2.7 397.3 Moldova 3 627.2 35.7 41.9 -6.1 -3.4 -9.5 3 617.7 Norway 4 524.1 55.4 44.7 p 10.7 p 17.5 p 28.2 4 552.3 Poland 38 236.9 6p 353.8 359.5 -5.7 -17.2 p -22.9 p 38 214.0 p Romania 21 872.3 5p 210.5 269.7 -59.1 -1.6° -60.7 p 21 811.6 p Russian Federation 143 954.4 1 396.8 p 2 331.4 p -934.6 p San Marino 28.2 0.3 1 0.2 ' 0.1 1 1.1 ' 1.2 1 Slovak Republic 5 379.0 50.8 51.5 -0.7 0.9 0.2 5 379.2 p Slovenia 1 994.0 17.5 p 18.6 p -1.1 p 2.1 1.0 1 995.0 Switzerland 7 261.2 72.4 p 61.8 p 10.6 p 49.1 p 59.7 p 7 320.9 p "The former Yug.
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