British and American Perspectives on Early Modern Warfare
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Uncertainty and Civil War Onset
Uncertainty and Civil War Onset Iris Malone∗ Abstract Why do some armed groups escalate their campaigns to civil war, while others do not? Only 25% of the 960 armed groups formed between 1970 and 2012 became violent enough to surpass the 25-battle death threshold, often used to demarcate \civil conflict.” I develop a new theory that argues this variation occurs because of an information problem. States decide how much counterinsurgency effort to allocate for repression on the basis of observable characteristics about an armed group's initial capabilities, but two scenarios make it harder to get this decision right, increasing the risk of civil war. I use fieldwork interviews with intelligence and defense officials to identify important group characteristics for civil war and apply machine learning methods to test the predictive ability of these indicators. The results show that less visible armed groups in strong states and strong armed groups in weak states are most likely to lead to civil war onset. These findings advance scholarly understanding about why civil wars begin and the effect of uncertainty on conflict. ∗Department of Political Science, 100 Encina Hall West, Stanford University, Stanford, CA 94305. ([email protected], web.stanford.edu/~imalone). 1 Introduction Why do some armed groups escalate their campaigns to civil war, while most do not? Using an original dataset, I show that only 25% of the 960 armed groups formed between 1970 and 2012 became violent enough to surpass the 25-battle death threshold, often used to demarcate \civil conflict.”1 Only 8% of armed groups surpassed the higher \civil war" threshold of 1000 fatalities per year. -
Social-Property Relations, Class-Conflict and The
Historical Materialism 19.4 (2011) 129–168 brill.nl/hima Social-Property Relations, Class-Conflict and the Origins of the US Civil War: Towards a New Social Interpretation* Charles Post City University of New York [email protected] Abstract The origins of the US Civil War have long been a central topic of debate among historians, both Marxist and non-Marxist. John Ashworth’s Slavery, Capitalism, and Politics in the Antebellum Republic is a major Marxian contribution to a social interpretation of the US Civil War. However, Ashworth’s claim that the War was the result of sharpening political and ideological – but not social and economic – contradictions and conflicts between slavery and capitalism rests on problematic claims about the rôle of slave-resistance in the dynamics of plantation-slavery, the attitude of Northern manufacturers, artisans, professionals and farmers toward wage-labour, and economic restructuring in the 1840s and 1850s. An alternative social explanation of the US Civil War, rooted in an analysis of the specific path to capitalist social-property relations in the US, locates the War in the growing contradiction between the social requirements of the expanded reproduction of slavery and capitalism in the two decades before the War. Keywords origins of capitalism, US Civil War, bourgeois revolutions, plantation-slavery, agrarian petty- commodity production, independent-household production, merchant-capital, industrial capital The Civil War in the United States has been a major topic of historical debate for almost over 150 years. Three factors have fuelled scholarly fascination with the causes and consequences of the War. First, the Civil War ‘cuts a bloody gash across the whole record’ of ‘the American . -
"For the Advancement of So Good a Cause": Hugh Mackay, the Highland War and the Glorious Revolution in Scotland
W&M ScholarWorks Undergraduate Honors Theses Theses, Dissertations, & Master Projects 4-2012 "For the Advancement of So Good a Cause": Hugh MacKay, the Highland War and the Glorious Revolution in Scotland Andrew Phillip Frantz College of William and Mary Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.wm.edu/honorstheses Part of the History Commons Recommended Citation Frantz, Andrew Phillip, ""For the Advancement of So Good a Cause": Hugh MacKay, the Highland War and the Glorious Revolution in Scotland" (2012). Undergraduate Honors Theses. Paper 480. https://scholarworks.wm.edu/honorstheses/480 This Honors Thesis is brought to you for free and open access by the Theses, Dissertations, & Master Projects at W&M ScholarWorks. It has been accepted for inclusion in Undergraduate Honors Theses by an authorized administrator of W&M ScholarWorks. For more information, please contact [email protected]. “FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF SO GOOD A CAUSE”: HUGH MACKAY, THE HIGHLAND WAR AND THE GLORIOUS REVOLUTION IN SCOTLAND A thesis submitted in partial fulfillment of the Requirements for the degree of Bachelor of Arts with Honors is History from the College of William and Mary in Virginia, by Andrew Phillip Frantz Accepted for ___________________________________ (Honors, High Honors, Highest Honors) _________________________________________ Nicholas Popper, Director _________________________________________ Paul Mapp _________________________________________ Simon Stow Williamsburg, Virginia April 30, 2012 Contents Figures iii Acknowledgements iv Introduction 1 Chapter I The Origins of the Conflict 13 Chapter II Hugh MacKay and the Glorious Revolution 33 Conclusion 101 Bibliography 105 iii Figures 1. General Hugh MacKay, from The Life of Lieutenant-General Hugh MacKay (1836) 41 2. The Kingdom of Scotland 65 iv Acknowledgements William of Orange would not have been able to succeed in his efforts to claim the British crowns if it were not for thousands of people across all three kingdoms, and beyond, who rallied to his cause. -
The Deserter and the Enemy Party
chapter 3 The Deserter and the Enemy Party There are many circumstances under which deserters could find themselves in the power of the enemy during an international armed conflict. They might be captured by enemy troops while abandoning their own military unit, or get caught while in hiding days, weeks or even months after the desertion. In other cases, deserters might place themselves voluntarily into the hands of an adverse party, either because they hope for better conditions on the enemy side and safety from punishment by their home country, or because they wish to defect, i.e. join the enemy in fighting against their own state. Whether deserters will actively try to reach the enemy will largely depend on the treatment that they can expect in a given conflict, both from their home country and from the other belligerent. Would they face the death penalty at home? Would they be enslaved, or treated humanely in captivity by the enemy? Would they be accepted into the army of the enemy, or would they risk being handed over for ransom?1 The answers to these questions depend on the politi- cal and legal regimes in the respective belligerent countries and the extent to which these countries respect the rule of law during the conduct of hostilities. But they also depend on the nature of the armed conflict itself, i.e. whether the lines of battle are mostly drawn along the lines of ethnicity, geo-political inter- ests, or fundamental ideological beliefs. Desertions Welcome, but not Deserters Belligerents have long recognised the tactical and psychological benefits that individual and mass desertion from the enemy forces can bring to their own war effort.2 As such, propaganda appealing to the ideological convictions of the soldiers, or promising good treatment or rewards in order to encourage 1 See also Afflerbach and Strachan, who point out the the overlap between the question of surrender to the enemy and the treatment of prisoners of war, in: Holger Afflerbach and Hew Strachan, A ‘True Chameleon’, Some Concluding Remarks on the History of Surrender, p. -
Hazardous Duty in Short Desertion: the Formulation of Military Law Concepts
William & Mary Law Review Volume 4 (1963) Issue 2 Article 5 April 1963 Hazardous Duty in Short Desertion: The Formulation of Military Law Concepts Alfred Avins Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarship.law.wm.edu/wmlr Part of the Military, War, and Peace Commons Repository Citation Alfred Avins, Hazardous Duty in Short Desertion: The Formulation of Military Law Concepts, 4 Wm. & Mary L. Rev. 129 (1963), https://scholarship.law.wm.edu/wmlr/vol4/iss2/5 Copyright c 1963 by the authors. This article is brought to you by the William & Mary Law School Scholarship Repository. https://scholarship.law.wm.edu/wmlr 1963] HAzARDous DuTY HAZARDOUS DUTY IN SHORT DESERTION: THE FORMULATION OF MILITARY LAW CONCEPTS ALFRED AvINs* A. Lybrand's Case, Current Military Law Formation, and HazardousDuty in Short Desertion. The traditional casenote is written a few months after the decision is published. A year after the case is reported, it is already like the autumn leaves, losing its vitality and ready to drop to the earth, there to mix with the mass of the law ts new cases press it out of focus. When two years have elapsed, the opinion typically has grown as stale as last year's snow. To discuss a case seventeen years old must seem like a display of extraordinary procrastination. Nevertheless, one can sometimes gain a new focus with old glasses. This author has been a repeated critic of current substantive military law formation, as being haphazard, unsci- entific, and just plain out of touch with those considerations which should be considered relevant. -
Civilians in Cyberwarfare: Conscripts
Civilians in Cyberwarfare: Conscripts Susan W. Brenner* with Leo L. Clarke** ABSTRACT Civilian-owned and -operated entities will almost certainly be a target in cyberwarfare because cyberattackers are likely to be more focused on undermining the viability of the targeted state than on invading its territory. Cyberattackers will probably target military computer systems, at least to some extent, but in a departure from traditional warfare, they will also target companies that operate aspects of the victim nation’s infrastructure. Cyberwarfare, in other words, will penetrate the territorial borders of the attacked state and target high-value civilian businesses. Nation-states will therefore need to integrate the civilian employees of these (and perhaps other) companies into their cyberwarfare response structures if a state is to be able to respond effectively to cyberattacks. While many companies may voluntarily elect to participate in such an effort, others may decline to do so, which creates a need, in effect, to conscript companies for this purpose. This Article explores how the U.S. government can go about compelling civilian cooperation in cyberwarfare without violating constitutional guarantees and limitations on the power of the Legislature and the Executive. * NCR Distinguished Professor of Law and Technology, University of Dayton School of Law. ** Associate, Drew, Cooper & Anding, P.C., Grand Rapids, Michigan. 1011 1012 Vanderbilt Journal of Transnational Law [Vol. 43:1011 TABLE OF CONTENTS I. INTRODUCTION ............................................................. -
Military History Checklist Guide
Military History Checklist Guide The Military History Checklist is designed to help community hospices identify their veteran patients, evaluate the impact of the experience and determine if there are benefits to which the veteran and surviving dependents may be entitled. This Guide provides a quick overview of the questions and implications for each. Additional information can be found in the Military History Toolkit and on the Department of Veterans Affairs website (www.va.gov). Many Veterans who did not experience combat did experience other types of traumatic assignments, for example, the person who transports body bags or the clerk who enters names of service members who were killed in action. All hospice programs are encouraged to modify the Military History Checklist to meet their needs and the needs of the Veterans in their community. 1. Did you (or your spouse or family member) serve in the military? Those who have served in the military are a part of a distinct culture with its own language, rituals and norms, and this can define the functioning of entire families, especially when there is a strong familial history of military service. This culture has a number of significant subcultures and era of service, Special Forces service, combat vs. non-combat service, theater, whether the vet was an officer, enlisted vs. drafted, and gender are all vital factors. Also, if a patient’s family is currently serving on active duty or engaged in combat operations, this has clear implications for the family’s psychosocial needs. Finally, the DD214, a veteran's discharge form, is a primary driver in the VA enrollment process. -
Military History Checklist
MILITARY HISTORY CHECKLIST PATIENT DATA Completed By: Patient’s Name: Date: Address: Hospice Medical Last 4 SSN: Record #: VETERAN STATUS INFORMATION 1. Did you (or your spouse or family member) serve in the military? 1a. Patient Yes No Did you serve on active duty? Yes No Did your service include combat, dangerous or traumatic assignments? Yes No Do you have a copy of your DD214 discharge papers? Yes No 1b. Did your spouse serve on active duty? Yes No Comments: 1c. Do you have any immediate family members that served or are serving in the military? Yes No Comments: MILITARY BACKGROUND 2. In which branch of the military did you serve? Army Marines Merchant Marines during WWII Navy Coast Guard Other ___________________ Air Force Reservist or National Guard member 3. In which war era or period of service did you serve? WWI (4/6/17 to 11/11/18) Vietnam (8/5/64 to 5/7/75 and 2/28/61 for Peace Time WWII (12/7/41 to 12/31/46) Veterans who served “in country” (in Afghanistan/Iraq (OEF/OIF) Vietnam) before 8/5/64) Korea (6/27/50 to 1/31/55) Other Gulf War (8/2/90 through a date to be set Cold War by law or presidential proclamation) Note: after 9/7/80, must have completed 24 months continuous active service, or the full period for which they were called or ordered to active duty. 4. Overall, how do you view your experience in the military? 5. If available would you like your hospice staff/volunteer to have military experience? Yes No VA BENEFITS INFORMATION 6. -
“Burden of War” in the Western Mediterranean, 1703–1708
international journal of military history and historiography 39 (2019) 7-33 IJMH brill.com/ijmh Britain, Austria, and the “Burden of War” in the Western Mediterranean, 1703–1708 Caleb Karges* Concordia University Irvine, California [email protected] Abstract The Austrian and British alliance in the Western Mediterranean from 1703 to 1708 is used as a case study in the problem of getting allies to cooperate at the strategic and operational levels of war. Differing grand strategies can lead to disagreements about strategic priorities and the value of possible operations. However, poor personal rela- tions can do more to wreck an alliance than differing opinions over strategy. While good personal relations can keep an alliance operating smoothly, it is often military necessity (and the threat of grand strategic failure) that forces important compro- mises. In the case of the Western Mediterranean, it was the urgent situation created by the Allied defeat at Almanza that forced the British and Austrians to create a work- able solution. Keywords War of the Spanish Succession – Coalition Warfare – Austria – Great Britain – Mediter- ranean – Spain – Strategy * Caleb Karges obtained his MLitt and PhD in Modern History from the University of St An- drews, United Kingdom in 2010 and 2015, respectively. His PhD thesis on the Anglo-Austrian alliance during the War of the Spanish Succession received the International Commission of Military History’s “André Corvisier Prize” in 2017. He is currently an Assistant Professor of History at Concordia University Irvine in Irvine, California, usa. © koninklijke brill nv, leiden, 2019 | doi:10.1163/24683302-03901002Downloaded from Brill.com09/26/2021 05:14:25AM via free access <UN> 8 Karges 1 Introduction1 There were few wars in European history before 1789 as large as the War of the Spanish Succession. -
Race, Class, and Slavery During the American Civil
UC Santa Barbara UC Santa Barbara Previously Published Works Title Marx’s Intertwining of Race and Class During the Civil War in the U.S. Permalink https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6238s7h2 Journal Journal of Classical Sociology, 17(1) Author Anderson, Kevin Publication Date 2017 Peer reviewed eScholarship.org Powered by the California Digital Library University of California Marx’s Intertwining of Race and Class During the Civil War in the U.S. Kevin B. Anderson, University of California, Santa Barbara [author’s last version of article published in Journal of Classical Sociology 17:1 (2017), pp. 24-36] As the U.S. marked the 150th anniversary of the Civil War, some attention was given to African-American resistance to slavery and to the northern radical abolitionists. Increasingly, it was admitted, even in the South, that the Confederacy’s supposedly “noble cause” was based upon the defense of slavery. Yet to this day U.S. public opinion continues to deny the race and class dimensions of the war. There is also a denial, sometimes even among critical sociologists, of the war’s revolutionary implications, not only for African-Americans, but also for white labor and for the U.S. economic and political system as a whole. And there is still greater ignorance of the fact that Karl Marx and Friedrich Engels wrote extensively on the dialectics of race and class in the American Civil War, something I have tried to remedy in my recent book, Marx at the Margins: On Nationalism, Ethnicity, and Non-Western Societies. Marx on Ireland: Class, Ethnicity, and National Liberation Sometimes, as I have tried to show in Marx at the Margins, Marx conceptualized the pathway to class-consciousness and to socialist revolution as direct rather than indirect. -
Act 328 of 1931 CHAPTER XXVII DESERTION
THE MICHIGAN PENAL CODE (EXCERPT) Act 328 of 1931 CHAPTER XXVII DESERTION AND NON-SUPPORT 750.161 Desertion, abandonment, or refusal or neglect to provide shelter, food, care, and clothing; felony; penalty; bond; probation; failure to comply with conditions in bond; forfeiture of bond; disposition of sums received; continuing offense; proof. Sec. 161. (1) A person who deserts and abandons his or her spouse or deserts and abandons his or her children under 17 years of age, without providing necessary and proper shelter, food, care, and clothing for them, and a person who being of sufficient ability fails, neglects, or refuses to provide necessary and proper shelter, food, care, and clothing for his or her spouse or his or her children under 17 years of age, is guilty of a felony, punishable by imprisonment in a state correctional facility for not less than 1 year and not more than 3 years, or by imprisonment in the county jail for not less than 3 months and not more than 1 year. (2) If at any time before sentence the defendant enters into bond to the people of the state of Michigan in such penal sum for such term and with such surety or sureties as may be fixed by the court, conditioned that he or she will furnish his or her spouse and children with necessary and proper shelter, food, care, and clothing, or will pay to the clerk of the court, or other designated person, such sums of money at such times as the court shall order to be used to provide food, shelter, and clothing for his or her spouse and children, or either of them, then the court may make an order placing the defendant in charge of a probation officer. -
Cyber War, Netwar, and the Future of Cyberdefense
Cyber War, Netwar, and the Future of Cyberdefense Robert Brose Office of the Director of National Intelligence1 Washington D.C., United States of America Abstract: Over twenty years ago, Arquilla and Ronfeldt warned that both "Netwar" and "Cyberwar" were coming, and could impact the 21st Century security landscape as significantly as combined arms maneuver warfare had impacted the security landscape of the 20th. Since that time, the concept of “Cyberwar” has received great attention, while the parallel concept of “Netwar” has languished, even as its salience to global security has continued to grow. This paper suggests that just as Cyber defense organizations have been required to confront Cyberwar, Netwar organizations, or Netwar-savvy Cyberdefense organizations, are increasingly needed to counter Netwar. Revisiting the Netwar concepts of the 1990s, it offers a 21st century Netwar definition; examines Netwar from a non-western perspective, exploring intersections between Netwar and Russian concepts of ‘Information- Psychological,’ Chinese United Front Theory, and Chinese Legal Warfare, and concludes with thoughts on unique roles that today’s Cyber defence organizations may play in future Netwar conflict. Keywords: Cyberwar, Netwar, Information-Psychological, United Front Theory 1 The author of this paper is the Lead for Futures and Capability Development at the U.S. Office of the Director of National Intelligence (ODNI). The author prepared this work as a conceptual thought piece as part of his official U.S. Government duties. However, this paper should not be interpreted as an official policy, policy statement, or endorsement, either expressed or implied, of ODNI or the U.S. Government. This paper is a U.S.