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University of Surrey Discussion Papers in Economics By
råáp=== = = ======råáîÉêëáíó=çÑ=pìêêÉó Discussion Papers in Economics THE DISSENT VOTING BEHAVIOUR OF BANK OF ENGLAND MPC MEMBERS By Christopher Spencer (University of Surrey) DP 03/06 Department of Economics University of Surrey Guildford Surrey GU2 7XH, UK Telephone +44 (0)1483 689380 Facsimile +44 (0)1483 689548 Web www.econ.surrey.ac.uk ISSN: 1749-5075 The Dissent Voting Behaviour of Bank of England MPC Members∗ Christopher Spencer† Department of Economics, University of Surrey Abstract I examine the propensity of Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee (BoEMPC) members to cast dissenting votes. In particular, I compare the type and frequency of dissenting votes cast by so- called insiders (members of the committee chosen from within the ranks of bank staff)andoutsiders (committee members chosen from outside the ranks of bank staff). Significant differences in the dissent voting behaviour associated with these groups is evidenced. Outsiders are significantly more likely to dissent than insiders; however, whereas outsiders tend to dissent on the side of monetary ease, insiders do so on the side of monetary tightness. I also seek to rationalise why such differences might arise, and in particular, why BoEMPC members might be incentivised to dissent. Amongst other factors, the impact of career backgrounds on dissent voting is examined. Estimates from logit analysis suggest that the effect of career backgrounds is negligible. Keywords: Monetary Policy Committee, insiders, outsiders, dissent voting, career backgrounds, ap- pointment procedures. Contents 1 Introduction 2 2 Relationship to the Literature 2 3 Rationalising Dissent Amongst Insiders and Outsiders - Some Priors 3 3.1CareerIncentives........................................... 4 3.2CareerBackgrounds........................................ -
THE 422 Mps WHO BACKED the MOTION Conservative 1. Bim
THE 422 MPs WHO BACKED THE MOTION Conservative 1. Bim Afolami 2. Peter Aldous 3. Edward Argar 4. Victoria Atkins 5. Harriett Baldwin 6. Steve Barclay 7. Henry Bellingham 8. Guto Bebb 9. Richard Benyon 10. Paul Beresford 11. Peter Bottomley 12. Andrew Bowie 13. Karen Bradley 14. Steve Brine 15. James Brokenshire 16. Robert Buckland 17. Alex Burghart 18. Alistair Burt 19. Alun Cairns 20. James Cartlidge 21. Alex Chalk 22. Jo Churchill 23. Greg Clark 24. Colin Clark 25. Ken Clarke 26. James Cleverly 27. Thérèse Coffey 28. Alberto Costa 29. Glyn Davies 30. Jonathan Djanogly 31. Leo Docherty 32. Oliver Dowden 33. David Duguid 34. Alan Duncan 35. Philip Dunne 36. Michael Ellis 37. Tobias Ellwood 38. Mark Field 39. Vicky Ford 40. Kevin Foster 41. Lucy Frazer 42. George Freeman 43. Mike Freer 44. Mark Garnier 45. David Gauke 46. Nick Gibb 47. John Glen 48. Robert Goodwill 49. Michael Gove 50. Luke Graham 51. Richard Graham 52. Bill Grant 53. Helen Grant 54. Damian Green 55. Justine Greening 56. Dominic Grieve 57. Sam Gyimah 58. Kirstene Hair 59. Luke Hall 60. Philip Hammond 61. Stephen Hammond 62. Matt Hancock 63. Richard Harrington 64. Simon Hart 65. Oliver Heald 66. Peter Heaton-Jones 67. Damian Hinds 68. Simon Hoare 69. George Hollingbery 70. Kevin Hollinrake 71. Nigel Huddleston 72. Jeremy Hunt 73. Nick Hurd 74. Alister Jack (Teller) 75. Margot James 76. Sajid Javid 77. Robert Jenrick 78. Jo Johnson 79. Andrew Jones 80. Gillian Keegan 81. Seema Kennedy 82. Stephen Kerr 83. Mark Lancaster 84. -
The Political Economy of Tax Policy
IFS The Political Economy of Tax Policy James Alt Ian Preston Luke Sibieta Prepared for the Report of a Commission on Reforming the Tax System for the 21st Century, Chaired by Sir James Mirrlees www.ifs.org.uk/mirrleesreview The Institute for Fiscal Studies Full Report to be published by Oxford University Press The Political Economy of Tax Policy1 Final Draft for Mirrlees Review 12 March 2008 Do not cite or quote without the authors’ permission Professor James Alt, Harvard University Professor Ian Preston, University College London and the Institute for Fiscal Studies Luke Sibieta, Institute for Fiscal Studies 1 The authors thank Stuart Adam, Lucy Barnes, Tim Besley, Ian Brimicombe, Alan Budd, Judith Freedman, Rachel Griffith, James Hines, Paul Johnson, Alison Post, James Poterba, Christopher Sanger, Guido Tabellini, Christopher Wales and conference participants in Cambridge for their helpful comments and suggestions 1 Executive Summary This chapter reviews major changes in British tax-setting institutions in the last quarter century and highlights four key points about the politics of tax policy, which are summarised below. The chapter also makes policy recommendations, such as for improving scrutiny and parliamentary accountability; these are also summarised below. A “passive” movement to the right The chapter analyses whether changes in voter preferences and strategic party positioning could explain declines in statutory rates of income tax. What we discover is that electoral support has moved to the right, though voters seem to have followed rather than led the changing content of party manifestos. Voters have always favoured redistribution, particularly from those with the highest incomes to those with the lowest incomes. -
The Global Financial Crisis – Why Didn't Anybody Notice?
8 THE GLOBAL FINANCIAL CRISIS – WHY DIDN’T ANYBODY NOTICE? The Global Financial Crisis – Why Didn’t Anybody Notice? On 17 June 2009, a group of leading academics, economics journalists, politicians, civil servants, and other practitioners met at the British Academy for a round-table discussion of the current financial crisis. The question under discussion in this British Academy Forum had been framed by Her Majesty The Queen on a visit to the London School of Economics in November 2008, when she had asked: if these things were so large, how come everyone missed them? A purpose of the Forum was to provide the basis of an ‘unofficial command paper’ that attempted to answer this question. The discussion inevitably ranged more widely – touching on the social fall-out of the crisis, and including a plea for a greater emphasis on the teaching of economic history in universities. But it was with The Queen’s question in mind that the two convenors of the meeting, Professor Tim Besley FBA and Professor Peter Hennessy FBA , subsequently drafted a letter summarising the discussion: it was sent to Buckingham Palace on 22 July. MADAM, When Your Majesty visited the London School of Economics last November, you quite rightly asked: why had nobody noticed that the credit crunch was on its way? The British Academy convened a forum on 17 June 2009 to debate your question, with contributions from a range of experts from business, the City, its regulators, academia, and government. This letter summarises the views of the participants and the factors that they cited in our discussion, and we hope that it offers an answer to your question. -
Medicine, Sport and the Body: a Historical Perspective
Carter, Neil. "Notes." Medicine, Sport and the Body: A Historical Perspective. London: Bloomsbury Academic, 2012. 205–248. Bloomsbury Collections. Web. 25 Sep. 2021. <http:// dx.doi.org/10.5040/9781849662062.0006>. Downloaded from Bloomsbury Collections, www.bloomsburycollections.com, 25 September 2021, 11:28 UTC. Copyright © Neil Carter 2012. You may share this work for non-commercial purposes only, provided you give attribution to the copyright holder and the publisher, and provide a link to the Creative Commons licence. Notes Introduction 1 J.G.P. Williams (ed.), Sports Medicine (London: Edward Arnold, 1962). 2 J.G.P. Williams, Medical Aspects of Sport and Physical Fitness (London: Pergamon Press, 1965), pp. 91–5. Homosexuality was legalized in 1967. 3 James Pipkin, Sporting Lives: Metaphor and Myth in American Sports Autobiographies (London: University of Missouri Press, 2008), pp. 44–50. 4 Paula Radcliffe, Paula: My Story So Far (London: Simon & Schuster, 2004). 5 Roger Cooter and John Pickstone, ‘Introduction’ in Roger Cooter and John Pickstone (eds), Medicine in the Twentieth Century (Amsterdam: Harwood, 2000), p. xiii. 6 Barbara Keys, Globalizing Sport: National Rivalry and International Community in the 1930s (Harvard: Harvard University Press, 2006), p. 9. 7 Richard Holt, Sport and the British: A Modern History (Oxford: Oxford University Press, 1989), p. 3. 8 Deborah Brunton, ‘Introduction’ in Deborah Brunton (ed.), Medicine Transformed: Health, Disease and Society in Europe, 1800–1930 (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 2004), p. xiii. 9 Cooter and Pickstone, ‘Introduction’ in Cooter and Pickstone (eds), p. xiv. 10 Patricia Vertinsky, ‘What is Sports Medicine?’ Journal of Sport History , 34:1 (Spring 2007), p. -
The Inner Workings of British Political Parties the Interaction of Organisational Structures and Their Impact on Political Behaviours
REPORT The Inner Workings of British Political Parties The Interaction of Organisational Structures and their Impact on Political Behaviours Ben Westerman About the Author Ben Westerman is a Research Fellow at the Constitution Society specialising in the internal anthropology of political parties. He also works as an adviser on the implications of Brexit for a number of large organisations and policy makers across sectors. He has previously worked for the Labour Party, on the Remain campaign and in Parliament. He holds degrees from Bristol University and King’s College, London. The Inner Workings of British Political Parties: The Interaction of Organisational Structures and their Impact on Political Behaviours Introduction Since June 2016, British politics has entered isn’t working’,3 ‘Bollocks to Brexit’,4 or ‘New Labour into an unprecedented period of volatility and New Danger’5 to get a sense of the tribalism this fragmentation as the decision to leave the European system has engendered. Moreover, for almost Union has ushered in a fundamental realignment a century, this antiquated system has enforced of the UK’s major political groupings. With the the domination of the Conservative and Labour nation bracing itself for its fourth major electoral Parties. Ninety-five years since Ramsay MacDonald event in five years, it remains to be seen how and to became the first Labour Prime Minister, no other what degree this realignment will take place under party has successfully formed a government the highly specific conditions of a majoritarian (national governments notwithstanding), and every electoral system. The general election of winter government since Attlee’s 1945 administration has 2019 may well come to be seen as a definitive point been formed by either the Conservative or Labour in British political history. -
By David Moss, 17 June 2007 in a Recent Column1 in the Times, Daniel
A CONSERVATIVE HOME AFFAIRS NARRATIVE by David Moss, 17 June 2007 In a recent column1 in the Times, Daniel Finkelstein administered a cold shower to the Conservative Party. He confessed himself appalled at their recalcitrance. They need to change. They need to move to the centre. And he threw down the gauntlet: Some may think that there is a brilliant, attractive, right-wing synthesis, a magical narrative that obviates the need for any concessions to the centre. Well, if there is, please don’t keep the secret to yourself. Share it with the rest of us. What follows2 is a response to that challenge. In summary: • If you believe that elections are won on the centre ground and you believe, as Mr Finkelstein appears to, that the Conservatives are right-wing extremists, then pre- sumably you also believe that the Party might as well shut up shop. • And if you keep telling people that Labour occupy the centre ground, then what are you telling them? Answer, it is quite safe to vote Labour. In what sense, in that case, is Mr Finkelstein's a Conservative strategy? • The suggestion in this paper is that the Finkelstein analysis is wrong. The Conserva- tives are not right-wing extremists. And, with respect to home affairs, Tony Blair and the Labour Party do not occupy the centre ground. Far from it, they are fanatics. • After three catastrophic general election results, as Mr Finkelstein says, you do not need a PhD to work out that changes are essential. But what changes? The point is made in this paper that the Conservative Party's changes must be principled. -
Rt. Hon Joan Ryan MP House of Commons London SW1A 0AA Tel: 0207 219 2442 Email: [email protected]
Rt. Hon Joan Ryan MP House of Commons London SW1A 0AA Tel: 0207 219 2442 Email: [email protected] 13 August 2018 Rt. Hon Jeremy Corbyn MP Leader of Her Majesty’s Official Opposition House of Commons London SW1A 0AA Our Ref: JR13002 Dear Jeremy, I was deeply disturbed to see the images in this weekend’s newspapers which appear to show you taking part in a ceremony in Tunisia in 2014 honouring Black September terrorists who were responsible for the 1972 Munich massacre. As you will be aware, there seems to be some discrepancy regarding your statement last year that the ceremony was for those who died in the 1985 Israeli air raid on Tunis and both the images printed by the Daily Mail and your own reference in the Morning Star on 5 October 2014 to wreaths being laid “at the graves of those who died on that day [in 1985] and on the graves of others killed by Mossad agents in Paris in 1991”. I believe it is imperative that you urgently address this issue and make clear whether or not you were honouring Black September terrorists and, if so, what part of this organisation’s bloody record you believe it is appropriate for a British parliamentarian to seemingly endorse. More importantly, the widows of some of those who were so brutally murdered at Munich have expressed their disbelief and sadness that you appear to have participated in an event at the graves of their husbands’ killers. Even if your participation was inadvertent, I would urge you to offer a full and unreserved apology to the families of the victims of Munich. -
London's Political
CONSTITUENCY MP (PARTY) MAJORITY Barking Margaret Hodge (Lab) 15,272 Battersea Jane Ellison (Con) 7,938 LONDON’S Beckenham Bob Stewart (Con) 18,471 Bermondsey & Old Southwark Neil Coyle (Lab) 4,489 Bethnal Green & Bow Rushanara Ali (Lab) 24,317 Bexleyheath & Crayford David Evennett (Con) 9,192 POLITICAL Brent Central Dawn Butler (Lab) 19,649 Brent North Barry Gardiner (Lab) 10,834 Brentford & Isleworth Ruth Cadbury (Lab) 465 Bromley & Chislehurst Bob Neill (Con) 13,564 MAP Camberwell & Peckham Harriet Harman (Lab) 25,824 Carshalton & Wallington Tom Brake (LD) 1,510 Chelsea & Fulham Greg Hands (Con) 16,022 This map shows the political control Chingford & Woodford Green Iain Duncan Smith (Con) 8,386 of the capital’s 73 parliamentary Chipping Barnet Theresa Villiers (Con) 7,656 constituencies following the 2015 Cities of London & Westminster Mark Field (Con) 9,671 General Election. On the other side is Croydon Central Gavin Barwell (Con) 165 Croydon North Steve Reed (Lab [Co-op]) 21,364 a map of the 33 London boroughs and Croydon South Chris Philp (Con) 17,410 details of the Mayor of London and Dagenham & Rainham Jon Cruddas (Lab) 4,980 London Assembly Members. Dulwich & West Norwood Helen Hayes (Lab) 16,122 Ealing Central & Acton Rupa Huq (Lab) 274 Ealing North Stephen Pound (Lab) 12,326 Ealing, Southall Virendra Sharma (Lab) 18,760 East Ham Stephen Timms (Lab) 34,252 Edmonton Kate Osamor (Lab [Co-op]) 15,419 Eltham Clive Efford (Lab) 2,693 Enfield North Joan Ryan (Lab) 1,086 Enfield, Southgate David Burrowes (Con) 4,753 Erith & Thamesmead -
Iranian Influence Networks in the UK
IRANIANDEFENDING INFLUENCE EUROPE: NETWORKS“GLOBAL BRIT INAIN” THE AND THE FUTURE OFUNITED EUROPEAN KINGDOM: GEOPOLITICSAUDIT AND ANALYSIS BY JDRAMES PAUL ROGERS STOTT DEMOCRACY | FREEDOM | HUMAN RIGHTS ReportJune No . 20212018/1 Published in 2021 by The Henry Jackson Society The Henry Jackson Society Millbank Tower 21-24 Millbank London SW1P 4QP Registered charity no. 1140489 Tel: +44 (0)20 7340 4520 www.henryjacksonsociety.org © The Henry Jackson Society, 2021. All rights reserved. The views expressed in this publication are those of the author and are not necessarily indicative of those of The Henry Jackson Society or its Trustees. Title: “IRANIAN INFLUENCE NETWORKS IN THE UNITED KINGDOM: AUDIT AND ANALYSIS” By Dr Paul Stott ISBN: 978-1-909035-66-9 £14.99 where sold Front Cover: Flags of Great Britain and Iran behind pawns on a chessboard (https://www.shutterstock.com/image-illustration/flags-great-britain-iran-behind-pawns-1651123537). IRANIANDEFENDING INFLUENCE EUROPE: NETWORKS“GLOBAL BRIT INAIN” THE AND THE FUTURE OFUNITED EUROPEAN KINGDOM: GEOPOLITICSAUDIT AND ANALYSIS BY JDRAMES PAUL ROGERS STOTT DEMOCRACY | FREEDOM | HUMAN RIGHTS ReportJune No . 20212018/1 Iranian Influence Networks in the United Kingdom: Audit and Analysis About the Author Dr Paul Stott is an Associate Fellow at the Henry Jackson Society. A prominent writer and commentator on Islamism, terrorism and the political fringe, he tweets @MrPaulStott. Acknowledgments I would like to thank my colleagues at the Henry Jackson Society for their support and assistance, and those in and outside the organisation who provided the peer review of this text. Finally, I am indebted to Madeleine Murphy for her assistance, support, and tolerance. -
Monetary and Fiscal Policy: Present Successes and Future Problems
HOUSE OF LORDS Select Committee on Economic Affairs 3rd Report of Session 2003-04 Monetary and Fiscal Policy: Present Successes and Future Problems Volume 2: Evidence Ordered to be printed 19 October 2004 and published 11 November 2004 Published by the Authority of the House of Lords London : The Stationery Office Limited £24.00 HL Paper 176-II CONTENTS Oral Evidence Page Mr Len Cook, National Statistician, Mr Colin Mowl, Director of Macroeconomics and Labour Market and Mr David Fenwick, Director of Consumer Prices and General Inflation Division, Office for National Statistics Oral Evidence, 9 December 2003 1 Professor David Rhind, Chairman, Mr Richard Alldritt, Chief Executive and Mr Martin Weale, Commissioner, Statistics Commission Written Evidence 17 Oral Evidence, 16 December 2003 18 Supplementary Written Evidence 29 Mr Christopher Allsopp, Head, Mr Geoff Tily, Member, Mr Andrew Holder, Member and Mr Michael Williams, Member, Allsopp Review Team Oral Evidence, 13 January 2004 48 Mr Jon Cunliffe, Mr Nicholas Holgate, Mr Christopher Kelly, Mr Andrew Lewis, Mr Stephen Mitchell and Mr Jitinder Kohli, HM Treasury Oral Evidence, 21 January 2004 63 Written Evidence 78 Mr Mervyn King, Ms Rachel Lomax, Mr Charles Bean, Ms Marian Bell, Mr Richard Lambert, Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee members Oral Evidence, 27 January 2004 86 Mr Ciaran Barr, Chief UK Economist, Deutsche Bank Oral Evidence, 3 February 2004 106 Mr Willem Buiter, Chief Economist, European Bank for Reconstruction and Development Oral Evidence, 10 February 2004 121 Sir -
The First 50 Years of the Government Economic Service Lecture by Dave
The First 50 years of The Government Economic Service Lecture by Dave Ramsden 27 April 2015 1. [Slide 1] Welcome to King’s. Thanks to the Strand Group at the Policy Institute here at King’s and to Hewlett Packard for hosting this lecture and to all of you for attending.1 2. The Government Economic Service (GES) was created in October 1964. The new Wilson Government, with a majority of four, embarked on a more planned approach to the UK economy.2 The Department of Economic Affairs (DEA) was created with a longer term mandate, with HM Treasury meant to focus more on its Finance Ministry role. 3. [Slide 2] Several of the new Special Advisers were economists, including Robert Neild,3 who re-joined HMT. Alec Cairncross, as Head of the Treasury’s Economic Section the Government’s chief economist, worked to ensure the section stayed under civil service management. It did and Cairncross in his words “ended up with the title Head of the Government Economic Service. Ironically the Economic Service has survived to this day while the Economic Section vanished in the 1980s”.4 4. Ironically, because the fledgling GES, 22 strong of whom 18 were already in the Economic Section, was for Cairncross “at first largely a fantasy”, with little influence over staffing or resources. 5. As we are well into 2015 we can mark another anniversary: 100 years ago in 1915 Keynes started working in the Treasury.5 1 I would like to thank my colleagues Lisa Barrance, Andrew Gurney, Leeanne Johnston, Nayeem Khan, Nick Macpherson, Charlotte McKinley, Jake Nelson, Mario Pisani, James Richardson and Daniel Tomlinson for their help and comments.