Strategic Spoofing Order Trading by Different Types of Investors in the Futures Markets Yun-Yi Wang∗ ____________________________________________________________________ ABSTRACT We set out in this study to investigate the strategic behavior of spoofing trading orders in the index futures market in Taiwan, including their characteristics, profitability, determinants and real-time impacts. We find the existence of both spoofing-buy and spoofing-sell strategies, with such spoofing orders being discernible not only among institutional investors, but also individual traders. Spoofing trading is profitable, with traders are more likely to submit spoofing orders when both volume and volatility are high, and the price for spoofing-sell (buy) orders is high (low). Furthermore, spoofing trading induces subsequent volume, spread and volatility, and spoofing-buy (sell) orders have a positive (negative) effect on the subsequent price. Our findings provide general support for the view that spoofing trading destabilizes the market. Keywords: Spoofing orders; Price manipulation; Market efficiency; Liquidity; Volatility; Profitability; Institutional investors; Individual traders. JEL Classification: G10; G14. ∗ Yun-Yi Wang is an Associate Professor at the Department of Finance, Feng Chia University, Taiwan. Address for correspondence: Department of Finance, Feng Chia University, 100 Wenhwa Road, Seatwen, Taichung, Taiwan 40724, ROC. Tel: +886-4-24517250 (ext.4175); email:
[email protected]. 1 1. INTRODUCTION The issue of market manipulation is clearly of significant importance both in academia and in practice. Recently, the high-frequency trader Navinder Sarao’s ‘Flash Crash’ case highlights problem of ‘spoofing’ order trading.1 U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said Mr. Sarao entered large number of orders to sell futures contracts, and then canceled the vast majority of them, which contributed to the May 2010 meltdown that came to be called the ‘Flash Crash’.