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2020 DECADE in REVIEW Commercial Real Estate | Volume 26

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2020 DECADE in REVIEW Commercial Real Estate | Volume 26 MAJOR LAS VEGAS SOUTHERN NORTHERN 19 PROJECTS 04 AREA 14 UTAH 28 UTAH 2020 DECADE IN REVIEW Commercial Real Estate | Volume 26 state of utah 01 2019 TRANSACTIONS 04 LAS VEGAS MARKET RESEARCH Office Industrial Retail Multifamily 14 SOUTHERN UTAH MARKET RESEARCH Office Industrial Retail Multifamily Hospitality Iron County 19 MAJOR PROJECTS 28 NORTHERN UTAH MARKET RESEARCH Office Industrial Retail Multifamily 40 OUR TEAM Allegiant Stadium | Las Vegas Raiders 2020 A Decade in Review The transformation in the US economy from 2010 to 2020 has been astonishing. Utah and Nevada have been outstanding beneficiaries as businesses and individuals are attracted here because of economic policy and quality of life. New construction that paused in the early part of the decade is now at full capacity. Over 95 million square feet of office, retail, and industrial construction was completed from Salt Lake to Vegas over the past ten years. These numbers do not include multifamily projects, government, entertainment, and special use facilities. In this Decade in Review, we index total commercial and industrial base inventory relative to population. Projections indicate what commercial construction may look like if total population growth is consistent with state government projections. It should be noted that population projections will be revised by governments as demographics and economic cycles change. Even with significant development over the past decade, population has outpaced commercial construction, reducing total commercial real estate per capita by more than 5%. This may be partially the result of the large oversupply of commercial and industrial space in 2010. Available inventory today remains tight, and we see no signs of slowing population growth. Looking toward 2030, if the population projections hold, we expect total commercial construction to exceed the construction completed in the last decade. As we analyze the past decade and look to the new one, we do it with optimism for Utah and Nevada. While we expect economic conditions fluctuate with market cycles, the long term outlook for these markets look promising. Jon Walter Chief Operating Officer Mark Walter Managing Partner Utah Patrick Sauter Managing Partner Nevada Neil Walter Chief Executive Officer COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE SERVICES, WORLDWIDE Real Estate Available for Sale or Lease $680,000,000 OVER 500 OFFERINGS AVAILABLE AT: NAIEXCEL.COM & NAIVEGAS.COM Select 2019 Transactions OFFERED AT $67,700,000 OFFERED AT $47,600,000 OFFERED AT $32,500,000 OFFERED AT $32,000,000 $89,550 PER DOOR | 756 UNITS $224,528 PER DOOR | 212 UNITS $104,166 PER DOOR | 312 UNITS $133,333 PER DOOR | 240 UNITS AGENTS: Patrick Sauter AGENTS: Patrick Sauter AGENTS: Patrick Sauter AGENTS: Patrick Sauter Art Carll-Tangora Art Carll-Tangora • Steve Nosrat Art Carll-Tangora • Steve Nosrat Art Carll-Tangora • Steve Nosrat MULTIFAMILY MULTIFAMILY MULTIFAMILY MULTIFAMILY LEASED LEASED STORAGE AND WAREHOUSE OFFERED AT $5,700,000 102,948 SF 169,628 SF OFFERED AT $4,000,000 62,611 SF 35,639 SF AGENTS: Mike Kenny AGENTS: Eric Larkin AGENTS: Wes Davis Eric Larkin Mike Kenny • Erik Sexton AGENTS: Meeja McAllister Brandon Vandermyde Brandon Vandermyde INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL OFFERED AT $7,300,000 OFFERED AT $4,512,000 OFFERED AT $3,850,000 OFFERED AT $6,000,000 18,757 SF 16,701SF 18,416 SF AGENTS: Greg Whitehead AGENTS: Ryan McCullough AGENTS: Ryan McCullough AGENT: Wes Davis Gregg McArthur Tyler Jaynes • Connor Watson Tyler Jaynes OFFICE OFFICE OFFICE OFFICE *Logos represent the property name, buyer, seller, tenant or most recent occupant of the property transacted. Logos are intellectual property of their respective owners. MULTIFAMILY PORTFOLIO OFFERED AT $1,950,000 OFFERED AT $2,375,000 OFFERED AT $18,400,000 OFFERED AT $1,600,000 1.13 ACRES | 4,067 SF 1.2 ACRES | 17,000 SF $102,222 PER DOOR | 180 UNITS 10 UNITS AGENT: Neil Walter AGENT: Curren Christensen AGENTS: Patrick Sauter AGENT: Wes Davis Aaron Edgley Art Carll-Tangora RETAIL INDUSTRIAL MULTIFAMILY MULTIFAMILY 6431 W SAHARA 4110,4140,4170 CANNOLI OFFERED AT $2,500,000 OFFERED AT $2,700,000 OFFERED AT $1,541,611 OFFERED AT $1,775,000 15,200 SF | .66 ACRES 17,574 SF | 1.37 ACRES 16,293 SF | .89 ACRES 12,300 SF AGENTS: Ryan McCullough AGENTS: Eric Larkin AGENT: Jason Griffith AGENTS: Ryan McCullough Tyler Jaynes • Connor Watson Erik Sexton Tyler Jaynes OFFICE INDUSTRIAL OFFICE OFFICE OFFERED AT $3,560,866 OFFERED AT $ 2,750,000 OFFERED AT $22,000,000 OFFERED AT $18,500,000 10 ACRES $130,952 PER DOOR | 168 UNITS $96,354 PER DOOR | 192 UNITS AGENT: Mark Walter AGENT: Wes Davis AGENTS: Patrick Sauter AGENTS: Patrick Sauter Art Carll-Tangora • Steve Nosrat Art Carll-Tangora • Steve Nosrat INVESTMENT LAND MULTIFAMILY MULTIFAMILY LEASED LEASED LEASED LEASED BUMPER GARAGE 12,000 SF | 1.62 ACRES 43,408 SF OFFERED AT $7.20/SF/YEAR 5,900 SF 50,459 SF | 2.39 ACRES AGENT: Cristina Martinez AGENTS: Eric Larkin AGENT: Maria Herman Mike Kenny AGENT: Curren Christensen RETAIL INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL RETAIL LEASED LEASED LEASED WAREHOUSE INVESTMENT 20,162 SF | 1.5 ACRES 65,000 SF 93,897 SF 15,000 SF AGENT: Curren Christensen AGENT: Wes Davis AGENTS: Eric Larkin AGENT: Curren Christensen Mike Kenny INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL INDUSTRIAL All Rights Reserved | ©NAI Excel & NAI Vegas 2 Asset Management Services Rio Plaza – St George, Utah Managed Since 2013 $350 96% MILLION IN 5 STAR SERVICE RENT COLLECTED ASSETS MANAGED ON TIME naivegas.com | naiexcel.com 3 Population JULY 2010 JULY 2020 JULY 2030EST Las Vegas 1,968,831 2,318,174 2,550,048 Office, Retail, Industrial SQFT 32.5 MIL. 33. 3 MIL. SQFT SQFT Decade in Review LAS VEGAS Market SQFT Market SQFT Market SQFT 291,676,889 324,935,324 357,436,790 2010 2020 2030EST Commercial Real Estate Per Capita 148 SF 140 SF 140 SF 2010 2020 2030EST Data indicates that the Las Vegas metro area added 33 million square feet of office, retail, and industrial buildings and nearly 350,000 people in the last decade. This reflects a decrease of 5.4% in commercial real estate per capita from 2010 to 2020. The state demographer suggests the coming decade will bring another 232,000 people. Using the same CRE per capita would projects 32.5 million additional square feet of new construction in the coming decade. However, if population were to increase again by 350,000, and the CRE per capita holds constant, it would mean another 49 million square feet of office, retail, and industrial space would be needed. All Rights Reserved | ©NAI Excel & NAI Vegas 4 Office LAS VEGAS The Las Vegas office market added approximately 4.5 million square feet in the last Select Office Projects decade. The vacancy rate declined from 18.8% to 11.7% during the same period. Asking SF YR BUILT lease rates have improved in recent years, but remain below 2010 levels. NAME UNLV Technology Park 112,000 2019 In 2019, the 100 acre UNLV Technology Park completed its first building of 112,000 8400 W SUNSET RD, LAS VEGAS square feet and the University Gateway mixed use building was also finished. The Village, University Gateway/Mixed Use Development 4700 S MARYLAND PKWY, LAS VEGAS 62,000 2019 a 300,000 square foot mixed use project is under construction, and UnCommons, a 40 Gardner Plaza at St Rose - Office Building 24,000 2019 acre $400 million mixed use project is scheduled to break ground in 2020. 2635 ST ROSE PKWY, HENDERSON Sierra Gold Business Park - Golden Entertainment 24,000 2019 6175 W SUNSET RD, LAS VEGAS The Charleston 16,000 2019 201 E CHARLESTON BLVD, LAS VEGAS 601 E Bridger Ave 16,000 2019 601 E BRIDGER AVE, LAS VEGAS Durango and Warm Springs 14,000 2019 8402 W WARM SPRINGS RD, LAS VEGAS The Village 300,000 UC SPENCER & ST ROSE BLDG 1, HENDERSON Narrative 72,000 UC 6790 S CIMARRON RD, LAS VEGAS Canyon Ridge Business Park 38,000 UC Average Vacancy Vacancy Rate Average SEC OF RUSSELL & DURANGO, LAS VEGAS Rainbow Commons 26,000 UC 6590 S RAINBOW BLVD, LAS VEGAS San Martin Medical Center 24,000 UC 6940 S CIMARRON RD BLDG G, LAS VEGAS 6175 W Sunset Rd. 24,000 UC 6175 W SUNSET RD, LAS VEGAS Southern Palms Plaza - Buildings A, B 23,000 UC 6060 S FORT APACHE RD, LAS VEGAS SDMI Medical Office Building 20,000 UC 1650 W CRAIG RD, LAS VEGAS Sunset Hills Plaza 18,000 UC 8495 W SUNSET RD, LAS VEGAS Asking Lease Rates 11.7% $20.33 6.5-8% VACANCY ASKING RENT CAP RATE Completion in SF YTD Net SF Under Asking Gross Market Total Inventory % Vacant Absorption Const Built YTD Rent Class A 12,544,158 13.5% (108,046) 343,721 - $28.30 Class B 44,635,200 12.0% 627,956 282,290 328,334 $18.96 Class C 8,940,131 7.5% 19,689 - - $14.96 Central East Las Vegas 9,337,508 15.8% 170,475 - 61,146 $20.78 Central North Las Vegas 2,533,193 3.8% 11,004 - - $13.15 Downtown Las Vegas 5,433,665 7.0% 106,968 - 16,232 $26.19 North Las Vegas 2,541,045 7.8% 31,123 29,600 - $15.15 Northwest Las Vegas 10,549,635 11.0% 182,233 - 4,891 $21.17 Southeast Las Vegas / Henderson 2,012,657 13.6% 33,427 - - $12.74 South Las Vegas 12,953,552 11.0% 65,999 347,664 14,065 $19.88 Southwest Las Vegas 12,262,720 11.2% 165,862 248,747 232,000 $21.86 West Las Vegas 8,003,568 15.9% (227,823) - - $17.57 Outlying Clark County 498,874 13.0% 331 - - $10.40 Totals 66,126,417 11.7% 539,599 626,011 328,334 $20.33 5 Base Inventory, Project Info, Construction, Vacancy, and Lease Rates courtesy of CoStar.
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