DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS Working Paper Profitability and Investment: Evidence from India’s Organized Manufacturing Sector by Basu, Deepankar Das, Debarshi Working Paper 2015-14 UNIVERSITY OF MASSACHUSETTS AMHERST Profitability and Investment: Evidence from India’s Organized Manufacturing Sector¥ Deepankar Basua aDepartment of Economics, 1012 Thompson Hall, 200 Hicks Ways, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, USA. Email:
[email protected] and Debarshi Dasb bDepartment of Humanities and Social Sciences, Indian Institute of Technology, Guwahati, India. Email:
[email protected] This version: August 30, 2015 CORRESPONDING AUTHOR: Deepankar Basu ¥ Without implicating them in any way for the contents of the paper, we would like to acknowledge, with thanks, comments on an earlier draft of this paper by Amit Bhaduri, Tom Michl and Anwar Shaikh. The usual disclaimers apply. Debarshi Das would like to thank the Nehru Fulbright fellowship, which funded his visit to University of Massachusetts, Amherst when this paper was written. Profitability and Investment: Evidence from India’s Organized Manufacturing Sector Abstract Using a state-industry panel data set at the 3 digit national industrial classification (NIC) level of disaggregation for 19 major Indian states over the period 1983-84 to 2007-08, we analyze the contemporaneous and long run impacts of the rate of profit and its components – profit share, capacity utilization rate, and capacity-capital ratio – on investment. Our results show that: (a) the rate of profit has both short and long run positive impacts on investment; (b) the profit share and capacity-capital ratio have only long run positive impacts, and the capacity utilization rate has only a contemporaneous positive impact on investment.