NORTHMUNC IV Crisis Committee: Watergate Scandal Start Date: June 18, 1972 (Day of Watergate Break-In) Chair: Richard Nixon
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NORTHMUNC IV Crisis Committee: Watergate Scandal Start Date: June 18, 1972 (day of Watergate break-in) Chair: Richard Nixon History: In the 1968 election, the death of Robert F. Kennedy opened the doors for previous Vice President Hubert Humphrey to become the Democratic Party’s presidential candidate. On the other side was Republican Richard Nixon, who ran on a platform promoting domestic and foreign peace. Nixon claimed victory over the White House by 500,000 popular votes. Once in office, Nixon’s greatest problem was the Vietnam War. How was he going to stop it and fulfil the promises he had made to the American public during his campaign? The war was widely unpopular among the American people and resulted in many protests demanding peace. Nixon urged the American people to be patient and pursued negotiations. By the end of Nixon’s first year in office, he sported a 59% approval rating. At the end of his second year, that figure had fallen to 52%. At the beginning of 1972, Nixon’s approval rating reached a high of 62%. Possible causes of Nixon’s high approval ratings include landing the first man on the moon in 1969 and running a successful re-election campaign. It is safe to say that Nixon was relatively popular amongst the American people during his first term. During the 1972 election, the Democratic Party chose George McGovern as their nomination over Senator Edmund Muskie. The Republican Party renominated Richard Nixon. In early June, it seemed likely that Nixon would win his second presidential election as many Americans believed he was taking the right course of action in Vietnam. Before the Watergate Scandal broke loose, 1972 marked an important year for Nixon’s political moves: he established strong diplomatic relations with China following a trip to Beijing and he dropped bombs on North Vietnam and placed mines in Haiphong Harbor in an attempt to stop Communist attacks. His decision to bomb North Vietnam resonated well with people back home, further increasing the incumbent politician’s chances of winning the White House a second time. However, problems still plagued Nixon’s administration. In June 1971, The New York Times and The Washington Post’s release of excerpts from the Pentagon Papers posed as a serious issue for Nixon. Nixon’s attempts to censor the press––which proved to be a huge mistake following the Supreme Court’s decision in New York Times Co. v. United States––put the administration under an immense amount of public pressure and fire to end the Vietnam War. Moreover, the Mai Lai Massacre of 1968, Nixon’s secret bombing of Cambodia in 1969 (a fact hidden from Congress and the public for over fourteen months), and the Kent State massacre of 1971 further infuriated the American public. To assuage American concerns about these issues and remain in office, Nixon withdrew 70,000 American troops from Vietnam in a three month process, leaving the remaining troops with less than half of their previous strength. In a move that is likely to be a bright spot on his record, Nixon revealed that he had been engaging in secret peace negotiations with the Vietcong, though peace has not been achieved yet. However, a cornerstone of debate going into the election might be the recent arrests at a Democratic National Committee’s office in the Watergate complex. Five men were caught breaking into and trying to bug the office. However, as this is an extremely recent event, more information is not available yet. Current Situation: The year is 1972, and America is embroiled in scandal and chaos. The Washington Post has leaked the Pentagon Papers, the Vietnam War is costing taxpayers dollars and lives, and public perception of government is generally low. Most importantly, the Democratic National Committee’s headquarters have just been broken into and ransacked—searched, apparently, for proof of Democratic Candidate George McGovern’s inadequacy. The place has been swept clean. Wiretaps have been discovered in high-ranking Democrats’ phones. Five men have been arrested. The entire setup reeks of political sabotage orders of magnitude more severe than anything seen in the past. The situation arouses suspicion simply by virtue of how brash and careless it seems, especially since a $25,000 check has conveniently landed in one of the suspected burglars’ bank accounts. Who, you might ask, wrote a check to a felon? As you, trusted officials with security clearance, are well aware, Richard Nixon’s reelection campaign wrote that check. The story continues to swell in magnitude as more and more officials are drawn into investigations and accused of political subterfuge. As of now, the public hasn’t been informed of Nixon’s ties to the break-in; they simply know about the crime. But you can already imagine the headlines of national papers: “Nixon: President or Thief?” to “Nixon: Traitor-in-Chief?”. As always, the court of public opinion will answer these questions come election day—but only if they come to learn of the scandal itself. Nixon’s extreme insecurity, penchant for going to extreme lengths to preserve his power, and remarkable ability to alienate allies will put him in a difficult position. Nixon’s entire presidency stands on the edge of a precipice; as information about his surveillance tactics—including his extensive use of hidden tape recorders—threatens to leak, Richard Nixon’s campaign for reelection is in dire straits. Today is June 18th, the day after the Watergate break-in. President Nixon has assembled an emergency cabinet, consisting of members of his presidential cabinet and the Committee to Re-elect the President (CRP), to deal with the emerging crisis. Your task today is to do two things: prevent the leakage of sensitive and almost certainly damaging information, and ensure that he wins November’s election by enough of a margin for the election to go uncontested. Some of you are RNC chairpeople; some of you are heads of federal agencies; some of you are assorted attorneys, strategists, and analysts. Nixon demands only one thing from all of you in equal measure: absolute, unwavering, unshakeable conviction and loyalty. You have a few months to quell the tide of information which threatens to inundate the Nixon administration. It’s no easy task yet it’s something that a team a fraction of the size of the janitorial staff of the Pentagon has been tasked with. The 210 million people in this county clamor for change as you read this. Vietnam has already enraged them enough. They are entirely disgusted by the opacity and corruption of public office. Faith is fast declining, and it’s quickly being replaced by anger, choler, and inflammatory rhetoric. If Watergate comes to light, it will be the end of Richard Nixon—and perhaps the end of the Republican Party’s control over America. Personally, you each have a choice. The Nixon administration is a faulty ship on the brink of sinking. Help save it, and you are hailed as a hero. Let it sink, and you drown alongside it. Will your loyalty to an official perceived as corrupt outweigh your desire to preserve your own political career? We’ll see. Good luck — you’ll need it. Challenges: At this point in the game, things seem look astoundingly terrible for Nixon and the GOP in general. Besides the obvious break-in scandal that this committee has been charged with diverting before it reaches the public, terrible economic growth, combined with huge amounts of inflation has left the economy in shambles, being dubbed “stagflation”. Furthermore, the war in Vietnam is causing higher taxes across the nation, leading to outrage from desperate families throughout America that cannot afford to have another burden on their plates. People throughout the nation are calling for change, change which the Democratic candidate, George McGovern has been claiming to provide, calling for a swift end to the Vietnam war. Even worse, the American people are losing faith in the Nixon Campaign, or more accurately, whatever faith they had left, throughout the nation. President Nixon has long been in the eyes of public scrutiny, whether it be for the quick disappearance of his political rivals, or botched cover-up operations that seem to point to his corruption. This break-in threatens to be the straw that breaks the camel’s back, ruining Nixon’s career forever. Though the majority in this committee may believe Nixon was the perpetrator of this crime, this committee may want to investigate whether this is just a set-up, or whether Nixon was guilty of this political scandal. While Nixon doesn’t have much credibility to his name, ANY evidence that this wasn’t him could go a long way in saving his reputation––whether that evidence be real or fake…that is up to you, as a committee, to decide. This committee faces an almost insurmountable task when it comes to building and salvaging President Nixon’s public image again. Nixon’s bid for re-election seems to have been jeopardized. Thus the question remains: how will Nixon win the upcoming re-election? If this committee decides to put up another candidate in place of Nixon for the election, how could the committee overcome the blemishes on the face of the GOP? However, not everything looks insuperable for incumbent president Nixon just yet. Nixon has been able to maintain a huge margin over McGovern, leading with an astounding margin of 30% in the last few polls that were administered throughout the nation. Furthermore, Nixon’s campaign has succeeded in portraying McGovern as a leftist radical, using the popular slogan “amnesty, abortion, and acid”.