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Economic Growth Strategy & Delivery Plan

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Economic Growth Strategy & Delivery Plan Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan for Montserrat Final June 2018 Government of Montserrat Mott MacDonald 10 Fleet Place London EC4M 7RB United Kingdom T +44 (0)20 7651 0300 F +44 (0)20 7248 2698 mottmac.com Government of Montserrat Brades Montserrat Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan for Montserrat Final June 2018 Mott MacDonald Limited. Registered in England and Wales no. 1243967. Registered office: Mott MacDonald House, 8-10 Sydenham Road, Croydon CR0 2EE, United Kingdom Government of Montserrat Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan for Montserrat Final Issue and Revision Record Revision Date Originator Checker Approver Description 1 27/10/17 M Lambert, P Griffin S Cox Initial observations and findings P Hammond, G Owen 2 09/11/17 M Lambert P Griffin S Cox Initial observations and findings – updated for client comments 3 01/12/17 M Lambert P Griffin S Cox Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan 4 15/12/17 M Lambert P Griffin S Cox Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan – Version 2 5 08/02/18 M Lambert S Cox S Cox Final Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan 6 04/06/18 M Lambert S Cox S Cox Final Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan – client comments accepted Document reference: 385309 | 6 | A | June 2018 Information class: Standard This document is issued for the party which commissioned it and for specific purposes connected with the above- captioned project only. It should not be relied upon by any other party or used for any other purpose. We accept no responsibility for the consequences of this document being relied upon by any other party, or being used for any other purpose, or containing any error or omission which is due to an error or omission in data supplied to us by other parties. This document contains confidential information and proprietary intellectual property. It should not be shown to other parties without consent from us and from the party which commissioned it. This r epo rt h as b een pre par ed s olely fo r us e by the par ty which co mmissio ned i t (t he ‘Clien t’) in conn ectio n with t he c aptio ned pr oject. I t sho uld not b e us ed f or a ny o the r pu rpos e. No pe rson oth er t han the Clie nt o r a ny pa rty w ho h as ex pres sly ag ree d te rms of r elianc e with us (t he ‘Re cipien t(s)’ ) m ay r ely on the cont ent, i nfo rma tion or a ny views exp resse d in t he rep ort. W e acc ept no d uty o f ca re, resp onsibility or lia bility to any oth er recipie nt of this docu men t. T his r epo rt is c onfid ential and cont ains p rop riet ary in tellect ual p rop erty . No re pres enta tion, w ar ranty or und ert aking, exp ress or i mplied, is m ade and no resp onsibility or li ability is accept ed by us to a ny p arty othe r th an t he Clie nt o r an y Recipi ent( s), as to the accu racy or co mpl eten ess of the info rma tion c ontai ned in this re port . F or t he a voida nce of d oubt this repo rt d oes not i n any way p urp ort to incl ude any l egal, i nsu ranc e or fina ncial a dvice or o pinio n. We disclaim all a nd a ny liability whet her arisi ng in tort or cont ract or othe rwise w hich it might oth erwise hav e to any par ty ot her tha n the Client or t he R ecipien t(s) , in resp ect of this rep ort, or any in for matio n at trib uted to it. We acce pt no res ponsi bility fo r a ny er ro r or omissi on in the re port which is due to an e rro r o r o mission i n d ata, i nfor mati on o r sta tem ents suppli ed t o us by ot her pa rties in cludin g th e client (‘Dat a’). W e hav e n ot ind epe nde ntly ve rified such Data and hav e ass ume d it t o be accu rat e, co mplet e, r eliable an d cu rre nt as of t he d ate of suc h inf orm ation . For ecasts pre sent ed in this d ocu ment wer e p repa red usin g Dat a an d th e re po rt is d epe nde nt o r bas ed on Dat a. I nevita bly, so me of th e ass um ptions use d to devel op t he fo rec asts will n ot b e re alised and un anticip ated eve nts a nd cir cums tanc es m ay occ ur. C onse que ntly Mott MacDo nald doe s no t gu ara ntee or w ar rant the conclu sions c ont ained in th e r epo rt as the re are lik ely to be differ enc es be twee n the for ecast s an d th e act ual r esults and thos e diff ere nces may be mat erial. W hile we consid er t hat the i nfor mati on a nd opinio ns giv en in this r epo rt a re s o und all par ties must rely o n th eir own skill a nd ju dge me nt whe n m aking use of it. Under no ci rcu mstan ces may t his re por t or any extr act o r su mm ary t he reof be used i n co nnecti on wit h any pu blic or priv ate s ecuriti es of ferin g incl uding any rela ted me mor and um or p rosp ectus for any secu rities offe ring or st ock ex chan ge listi ng o r a nno unce ment . June 2018 Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan for Montserrat Final Contents Executive summary 9 1 Introduction 11 1.1 Introduction 11 1.2 Context for the strategy 11 1.3 Demographic profile 16 1.4 Land-use availability 17 2 Future drivers of the Montserrat economy 21 2.1 Introduction 21 2.2 Background and economic trends 21 2.3 SWOT analysis and economic narrative 23 2.4 Visitor economy 24 2.5 Enterprise culture 26 2.6 Sectors 26 2.6.1 Sector 1: Sand mining 26 2.6.2 Sector 2: Agriculture 27 2.6.3 Sector 3: Financial services 27 2.6.4 Sector 4: Power generation 28 2.7 Infrastructure 28 3 Lessons learnt through stakeholder engagement 31 3.1 Introduction 31 3.2 Views on Montserrat’s economy over the past decade 31 3.3 Key strengths and opportunities within the economy of Montserrat 32 3.3.1 Views on the visitor economy 32 3.3.2 Views on the financial services sector 33 3.3.3 Views on the agricultural sector 33 3.3.4 Views on the sand mining industry 33 3.3.5 Views on other industries 34 3.4 The challenges facing Montserrat’s economy 34 3.5 The labour market in Montserrat 35 3.6 Priorities for growth over the next five to ten years 35 3.7 How the economic growth strategy can be delivered 35 3.8 Findings from consultations undertaken by the GoM – January-February 2018 35 3.8.1 Findings from the consulation 36 3.8.2 Online survey responses 36 3.9 Conclusion 37 June 2018 Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan for Montserrat Final 4 Supporting the growth agenda 39 4.1 Introduction 39 4.2 SMART approach 39 4.3 Connecting interventions 39 4.4 Logic models 40 4.5 Funding sources to explore 45 5 Delivery plan 46 5.1 Introduction 46 5.2 Visitor economy 46 5.2.1 Context 46 5.2.2 Rationale for Investment 49 5.2.3 Opportunity 50 5.2.4 Prioritised action plan 50 5.2.5 Lessons from elsewhere: Croatia 52 5.3 Enterprise culture 54 5.3.1 Opportunity 54 5.3.2 Rationale for investment 54 5.3.3 Prioritised action plan 55 5.3.4 Outputs 56 5.3.5 Lessons from elsewhere: Highlands & Islands Enterprise, Scotland 57 5.4 Sector growth: the external sector, building on strengths and resources 57 5.4.1 Opportunity 57 5.4.2 Prioritised action plan 61 5.5 Infrastructure 62 5.5.1 Opportunity 62 5.5.2 Rationale for investment 63 5.5.3 Prioritised action plan 66 5.5.4 Lessons from elsewhere 67 5.6 Governance and management 67 5.7 Risk register 68 6 Monitoring and evaluation 77 6.1 Introduction 77 6.2 The ROAMEF Cycle 77 6.3 Monitoring and evaluation framework guidance 78 6.4 The objectives of monitoring and evaluation 78 6.5 Evaluation principles 79 6.5.1 Evaluation context 79 6.6 Designing a monitoring and evaluation plan 79 6.7 Worked example 80 6.8 Summary 81 June 2018 Economic Growth Strategy and Delivery Plan for Montserrat Final 7 Conclusion 82 7.1 Summary of findings 82 7.2 Progress update 83 Appendices 85 A.
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