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필리핀 투자·프로젝트 뉴스 Biweekly, No. 166 2015.06.15, Bi-Weekly, No. 166 ▣ 투자•프로젝트 Focus 필리핀 부동산 시장 동향(2015년 1분기) - 메트로 마닐라 3대 중심지 Makati CBD, Fort Bonifacio, Ortigas 지역 현황 ▣ 투자 단신 한국 삼본정밀전자, 필리핀에 1억3200만 페소 규모 공장 설립 계획 한국 삼성생명, 필리핀 보험시장 주시하는 중 필리핀 전기자동차 제조업체, 필리핀 자동차산업부활종합전략(CARS) 프로그램 기대 필리핀 육상운송면허규제위원회, 사용연한 15년 이상 지프니와 버스 폐기 계획 필리핀 국가경제개발청, 필리핀 경쟁력 저해 법규 검토 요구 필리핀 기업등록및감독위원회, 홈페이지에서 등록 양식 내려받기 허용 ▣ 주간 경제 동향 ▣ 투자진출 A to Z PEZA(경제자유구역청) 등록 기업이 자본재 무관세 수입 후 매각 시 면제 받았던 관세를 납부해야 하는지? ▣ 안내사항 해외 무역/투자/프로젝트 심층정보 보기 - KOTRA 무역투자 정보포탈(Globalwindow.org)안내 ▣ 주요 경제 지표 ▣ 해외투자진출 관련 정보서비스 안내 필리핀 투자․프로젝트 뉴스 지난호 보기 OIS(해외진출정보시스템) 및 ‘필리핀 비즈니스 클럽(온라인카페)’ 운영 한국투자기업지원센터 법률/세무 고문 무료 상담 해외투자․프로젝트 심층정보 보고 - 무역투자 정보포탈(Global Window) 안내 전문자료 보기 (KOTRA 마닐라 무역관 발간) - 필리핀 투자프로젝트뉴스 모음집 (2015.1) - 필리핀 투자실무가이드 2011 전면개정판 (2011.12월) - 필리핀 노동법 핵심정리(2011.3) - 필리핀 광물자원 개발투자 가이드(2010.11) - 필리핀 IPP(독립/민자발전) 프로젝트 진출가이드 (2010.5) - 필리핀 RE(재생에너지)/CDM 프로젝트 진출가이드 (2009.10) - ADB 프로젝트 진출가이드 (2009.9) 필리핀 투자·프로젝트 뉴스 Biweekly, No. 166 ▣ 투자•프로젝트 Focus 필리핀 부동산 시장 동향(2015년 1분기) - 메트로 마닐라 3대 중심지 Makati CBD, Fort Bonifacio, Ortigas 지역 현황 - □ 부동산 현황 ○ 국제 부동산 전문 업체 Colliers International의 필리핀 올해 1분기 부동산시장 보고서는 다음과 같이 필리핀 부동산 시장의 동향을 분석함. ○ 주요 중심업무지구(CBD)의 땅값은 1분기 동안 Makati CBD (+0.9%), Fort Bonifacio(+1.1%), Ortigas(+1.9%)로 꾸준히 상승하였음. ○ 1분기에 사무실 건물 3채(총면적 39,500㎡)가 완공되었고 추가 건설(총면적 576,000㎡, 43%는 Fort Bonifacio 건설)할 계획임. 공실률은 2.18%로 안정적이며 임대료는 지속해서 상승하였음. ○ 주거용 콘도 4채(1,649호)가 완공되었고 연말까지 8,253호가 추가 공급될 예정이며 공급보다 수요가 높아서 임대·전매 비용은 상승할 전망임. ○ 쇼핑몰 총 면적은 전 분기보다 182,000㎡ 증가한 5,900,000㎡로 소형몰이 주로 증가하였음. 임대료는 Makati(+1.3%), Ortigas(+3.2%)로 상승하였음. □ 토지 ○ 주요 중심업무지구의 땅값은 꾸준히 상승하였음. - Makati CBD 평균 땅값은 전 분기보다 0.9% 소폭 상승한 443,750페소(9,800달러)/㎡ 기록함. - Fort Bonifacio는 1.1% 상승한 273,000~500,000페소(6,028~11,041달러)/㎡, Ortigas는 1.9% 상승한 161,500페소(3,567달러)/㎡ 기록함. - 주요 중심업무지구 땅값은 사용할 수 있는 토지가 부족한 반면 주요 지역의 토지자산 수요는 증가하여 2016년 6~8%의 상승률을 유지할 것으로 전망함. <Makati CBD, Fort Bonifacio, Ortigas 땅값 동향> 2015년 변동률(%) 2016년 변동률(%) 지역 2014년 4분기 1분기 (전 분기 대비) 1분기 (전 년도 대비) 320,000(7,066) 327,500(7,232) 347,595(7,676) Makati CBD 0.85 7.31 ~ 560,000(12,366) ~ 560,000(12,366) ~ 604,795(13,356) Ortigas 122,000(2,694) 125,000(2,760) 133,915(2,957) 1.89 8.11 Center ~ 195,000(4,306) ~ 198,000(4,372) ~ 215,270(4,754) 265,000(5,852) 273,000(6,029) 288,755(6,377) Fort Bonifacio 1.05 7.47 ~ 500,000(11,041) ~ 500,000(11,041) ~ 542,010(11,969) * 단위 : 페소(달러) * 환율 : 1달러 = 45.28페소(2015년 6월 기준) 자료원 : Colliers International Philippines Research ○ 주거지 분양판매권은 전년 같은 시기보다 감소하였음. - 필리핀 부동산 프로젝트를 시행하기 위해서는 정부기관인 주택토지사용규제위원회(HLURB, House and Land Use Regulatory Board)에서 분양판매권(License to Sell) 허가를 받아야 함. - HLURB 자료에 따르면, 올해 1분기 분양판매권 허가 건수는 총 48,411건으로 작년 같은 시기보다 48% 감소하였음. - 이는 작년 같은 시기의 절반 수준으로 공공주택(-44%), 저소득 주택(-14%), 중산층 주택(-40%), 고급 주택(-45%) 등 주로 주택 허가 건수가 감소하였음. 필리핀 투자·프로젝트 뉴스 Biweekly, No. 166 - 반면, 주상복합콘도(189% 증가), 산업 지구(6% 상승), 상업 지구(271% 상승), 농지 등 비거주 영역 허가 건수는 증가하였음. <필리핀 분양판매권 동향(건)> 구분 2014년 1월~3월 2015년 1월~3월 변동률(%) 공공주택 9,820 5,535 -44% 저소득층 주택 11,189 9,573 -14% 중산층 주택 5,826 3,504 -40% 고급 주택 19,738 10,820 -45% 추모공원 39,026 11,097 -72% 주상복합콘도 336 972 189% 농지 - 40 - 산업지구 18 19 6% 상업지구 17 63 271% Total 93,562 48,411 -48% 자료원 : Colliers International Philippines Research □ 사무실 ○ 공급 - 메트로 마닐라 지역에 총면적 39,500㎡ 사무실 건물 3채가 완공되었으며 완공 건물은 다음과 같음. ① Wilcon IT Hub (총면적 24,100㎡, Makati) ② McKinley Exchange Corporate Centre (총면적 9,000㎡, Makati) ③ 45 San Miguel (총면적 6,400㎡, Oltigas) - 올해 말까지 총면적 576,000㎡ 규모의 사무실 건물들이 건설될 계획이며, 총면적의 63%가 Fort Bonifacio와 Makati에 건설될 예정임. ○ Fort Bonifacio는 Makati에 이어 두 번째 중심업무지구로 성장하고 있음. - JP Morgan과 Deutsche Bank 같은 금융 기업뿐 아니라 대형 비내구성 소비재 회사인 Procter & Gamble과 Unilever도 동지역에 사무실 확장을 계획하고 있음. - 동지역의 사무실 수요가 계속 증가함에 따라 부동산 개발업체의 프로젝트도 늘고 있으며 총면적은 매년 25만㎡씩 확장되어 2018년 197만㎡에 다다를 것으로 예상함. - 정부관계자와 개발업체는 BPO 산업의 성장이 사무실 수요를 주도할 것으로 예상하며 BPO 산업에 적합한 건물을 건설하여 관련 기업을 유치할 계획을 추진하고 있음. ○ Makati CBD 사무실 공실률은 완만하게 하락하고 있음. - Makati CBD의 평균 사무실 공실률은 2.18%로 전 분기보다 프리미엄급 사무실 공실률 0.44%로 0.05% 소폭 하락, A등급 사무실 공실률 7.6%로 0.01% 하락하였음. - 반면, B등급 사무실은 일부 오래된 사무실에서 공실이 발생하여 공실률 0.83%로 0.08% 증가하였음. - 2016년 사무실 공실률은 2%대를 유지할 것으로 전망함. 필리핀 투자·프로젝트 뉴스 Biweekly, No. 166 <Makati CBD 사무실 등급별 공실률 동향(%)> 구분 2014년 4분기 2015 1분기 2016년 1분기(예상) 프리미엄급 0.49 0.44 0.18 A등급 7.70 7.59 4.69 B등급 및 기타 0.75 0.83 0.59 평균 2.15 2.18 1.41 자료원 : Colliers International Philippines Research ○ 사무실 임대료는 완만하게 상승하고 있음. - 전 분기보다 프리미엄급 사무실 임대료는 2.2% 상승하여 평균 매월 1,175페소(26달러)/㎡, A등급 사무실 임대료는 3.2% 상승하여 평균 매월 878페소(19달러)/㎡ 기록함. - 반면, B등급 사무실 임대료는 다른 등급보다 소폭 상승한 1.9%로 평균 매월 673페소(15달러)/㎡ - Makati CBD 사무실 임대료는 2016년에 6.5~7.6% 상승률을 유지할 것으로 전망함. <Makati CBD 사무실 등급별 월 임대료 동향> 2015년 변동률(%) 2016년 변동률(%) 구분 2014년 4분기 1분기 (전 분기 대비) 1분기 (전 년도 대비) 1,000(22) 1,020(23) 1,085(24) 프리미엄급 2.17 6.67 ~ 1,300(29) ~ 1,330(29) ~ 1,425(31) 695(15) 705(16) 745(16) A등급 3.24 6.53 ~ 1,005(22) ~ 1,050(23) ~ 1,125(25) 550(12) 560(12) 595(13) B등급 1.89 7.64 ~ 770(17) ~ 785(17) ~ 850(19) * 단위 : 페소(달러)/㎡ * 환율 : 1달러 = 45.28페소(2015년 6월 기준) 자료원 : Colliers International Philippines Research ○ 사무실 자본 가치는 지속해서 상승하였음. - Makati CBD 사무실 자본 가치 상승률은 임대료 상승률보다 높으며 이는 작년 3분기 평균 땅값이 상승했기 때문임. - 전 분기보다 프리미엄급 사무실은 평균 158,000페소(3,489달러)/㎡로 2.4% 상승, A등급 사무실은 102,000페소(2,252달러)/㎡로 4.1% 상승하여 가장 빠른 상승세를 보였는데 이는 일부 사무실의 높은 분양가 때문임. B등급 사무실은 평균 73,500페소(1,623달러)/㎡로 3.2% 상승하였음. - 2016년 자본 가치 상승률은 임대료 상승률보다 높은 7.5~8.6%로 전망함. <Makati CBD 사무실 등급별 자본가치 동향> 변동률(%) 변동률(%) 구분 2014년 4분기 2015년 1분기 2016년 1분기 (전 분기 대비) (전 년도 대비) 146,500(3,235) 148,000(3,268) 157,470(3,477) 프리미엄급 2.43 7.58 ~ 162,000(3,577) ~ 168,000(3,709) ~ 182,475(4,029) 83,000(1,833) 86,000(1,899) 91,275(2,016) A등급 4.08 7.48 ~ 113,000(2,495) ~ 118,000(2,606) ~ 127,975(2,826) 59,000(1,303) 62,000(1,369) 66,880(1,477) B등급 3.16 8.63 ~ 83,500(1,844) ~ 85,000(1,877) ~ 92,810(2,050) * 단위 : 페소(달러)/㎡ * 환율 : 1달러 = 45.28페소(2015년 6월 기준) 자료원 : Colliers International Philippines Research 필리핀 투자·프로젝트 뉴스 Biweekly, No. 166 □ 주택 ○ 공급 - 메트로 마닐라 CBD 지역에 콘도 4채가 완공되어 1,649호가 공급될 예정이며 완공 콘도는 다음과 같음. ① Fort Bonifacio : Icon Plaza (308호), The Venice Luxury Residences . Bellini Tower (332호) ② Makati : Park Terraces Tower 1 (370호) ③ Ortigas : One Shangri-La Place South Tower (639호) - 올해 말까지 총 8,253호, 향후 3년 동안 총 30,935유닛이 공급될 예정이며 18~90㎡ 규모의 스튜디오와 원 베드룸 타입이 공급량의 대부분울 차지하고 100~500㎡ 규모의 3~5 베드룸 타입은 공급량의 7%를 차지할 예정임. <메트로 마닐라 주택 신규 공급량 전망(호)> 지역 2014년 말 2015F 2016F 2017F 2018F 2019F TOTAL Makati CBD 18,564 1,768 4,857 1,485 1,072 522 27,746 Rockwell 4,600 - - 346 492 - 5,438 Fort Bonifacio 21,341 3,729 6,599 2,979 1,010 407 35,658 Ortigas 15,343 2,756 1,227 573 422 - 20,321 Eastwood 8,266 - 988 - 632 - 9,886 Total 68,114 8,253 13,671 5,383 3,628 929 99,049 자료원 : Colliers International Philippines Research ○ Makati CBD 주택 공실률은 지속해서 하락하고 있음. - Makati CBD 주택 공실률은 높은 분양률로 소폭 하락하였으며 비즈니스 업무지구의 주택 공실률은 구매자가 선호하는 A등급 건물의 높은 분양률로 0.16% 하락한 7.9%를 기록함. - 2016년 추가 공급으로 11%까지 상승할 것으로 전망함. ○ 신규 주택 공급 부족으로 임대료는 더욱 상승하였음. - 높은 수요에 비해 신규 공급량이 낮아 임대료는 전 분기보다 상승하였음. - Makati CBD의 평균 월 임대료는 848페소(19달러)/㎡로 1.3%, Fort Bonifacio는 1.5%, Rockwell은 1.7% 상승하였음. - 2016년 주택 임대료는 4.7~5.1% 상승할 것으로 전망함. <메트로 마닐라 지역 고급콘도 임대료 동향> 변동률(%) 변동률(%) 지역 2014년 4분기 2015년 1분기 2016년 1분기 (전 분기 대비) (전 년도 대비) 575(13) 578(13) 603(13) Makati CBD 1.3 5.1 ~ 1,100(24) ~ 1,118(25) ~ 1,180(26) 750(17) 755(17) 800(18) Rockwell 1.7 4.8 ~ 1,055(23) ~ 1,080(24) ~ 1,124(25) 640(14) 660(15) 688(15) Fort Bonifacio 1.5 4.7 ~ 1,045(23) ~ 1,050(23) ~ 1,102(24) 필리핀 투자·프로젝트 뉴스 Biweekly, No.
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