Smart Practices. Sustainable Solutions.
Irrigation Association CAIA 2016 Irrigation Association
The Irrigation Association is the leading membership organization for water management companies and professionals in agriculture, landscape and golf. 2013 STRATEGIC PLAN Approved September 2013
MISSION: To promote efficient irrigation
VISION: To be the recognized authority on irrigation
CORE STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
ADVOCACY PROFESSIONAL DEVELOPMENT
Government Standards & Public Affairs Education Training Certification Affairs Codes
CORE SUPPORT INITIATIVES
Irrigation Membership Show
California Agriculture Advisory Group
Draft framework by January 10, 2017 Parts will be a legislative package to implement the recommendations
Key elements – Importance of SGMA (possible BMPs) Methodology of quantifying efficient water use Groundwater storage in wet years Breaking down silos within state government and regulations (nitrate, carbon, CDFA, DWR, etc.) 2016 CONGRESSIONAL CALENDAR
Congressional Calendar For The Rest of 2016
■ House in session ■ Senate in session ■ Both chambers in session
September October 123 1 45678910 2345678 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 9 101112131415 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 25 26 27 28 29 30 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 House Senate 30 31 33 43 Days Left Days Left November December in Session in Session 12345 123 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 4 5678910 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 28 29 30 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Possible Actions, Timing Unknown Criminal Justice Reform: Sentencing Reform and Corrections Act of 2015 may be voted on by the end of the year Defense Appropriations: Senate is expected to vote on NDAA when they get back from August recess Energy: Congress hopes to bring comprehensive energy bill to president’s desk after August recess, possibly not until November Gun Control: Following its passage in the House, the Countering Terrorist Radicalization Act is expected to receive vote in Senate; it is expected to pass International Trade: Congressional vote on TPP to happen after November election LGBT Rights: Rep. Maloney (D‐NY) expected to reintroduce anti‐discrimination amendment Mental Health Reform: Congressional consideration of Mental Health Reform Act of 2015 expected this fall Opioid Epidemic: House and Senate pass an opioid bill, but funding will be determined this fall Zika: Congress hoping to agree on funding to combat virus after August recess
Source: National Journal Research, 2016. 2016 CONGRESSIONAL CALENDAR
With Focus on Election, Few Dates Set for 2016 Legislative and Regulatory Battles
Known Legislative and Regulatory Dates in 2016
■ Legislative ■ Regulatory ■ Other
September October 123 1 ■ Sep. 6: Congress returns from August recess ■ Oct. 1: Fiscal Year 2017 begins (deadline for 456 78910 234567 8 appropriations) 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 9 101112131415 ■ Oct. 7: Congress enters recess prior to elections ■ Month of October: SEC to finalize “pay for performance” 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 rule on executive pay transparency 25 26 27 28 29 30 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 ■ Nov. 8: Election day ■ Nov. 14: Congress returns from recess 30 31 ■ Month of November/December: Congress likely to vote on Trans‐Pacific Partnership trade agreement November December (approximate date according to Congressional aides) ■ Dec. 16: Congress ends 2016 session 12345 1 23 ■ Month of December: EPA is expected to reach an 678 9101112 45678910 agreement on hydrofluorocarbon regulation 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 27 28 29 30 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
Source: National Journal Research, 2016. Congress – Looking Ahead
Taxes Water Conservation Through Capital Investments Tax Incentives for Voluntary Donations of Water Farm Bill EQIP/AWEP Research Coalitions
Western Agriculture and Conservation Coalition Agricultural Sustainability
North American Climate Smart Agriculture Alliance - Part of Solutions from the Land – Co-chaired by AG Kawamura
1) Educate agricultural and forestry leaders on the potential impacts of climate change in ways relevant to their daily lives; 2) Equip producers with the tools and knowledge they need to make informed decisions and manage new risks under changing conditions; 3) Mobilize thought leaders to advocate for needed changes in land use practices, research, education and policy; and 4) Inspire agricultural and forest sector leaders to become leaders in the broader discussion of climate change, including adaptation and mitigation Challenges 2016 SENATE ELECTIONS
Republicans Hold Majority of Senate Seats Up for Election in 2016
2016 U.S. Senate Elections by Incumbent Party
■ Democratic‐Held Seats ■ Republican‐Held Seats ■ Open Seats
WA ME MT ND OR MN
ID SD WI NY WY MI IA PA NE NV OH UT IL IN WV CO CA VA KS MO KY NC TN AZ OK NM AR SC
MS AL GA
AK TX LA
FL
Source: Sabato’s Crystal Ball, “2016 Senate,” University of Virginia Center for Politics, August 24, 2016. Several Swing States Lean Democrat Giving Democrats An Even Greater Advantage in Presidential Election
Map of Cook Political Report’s Electoral College Ratings
■ Solid Democrat ■ Likely Democrat ■ Lean Democrat ■ Toss Up ■ Lean Republican ■ Likely Republican ■ Solid Republican
WA ME MT ND VT OR MN NH ID SD WI NY MA WY MI RI CT IA PA NE NJ NV OH UT IL IN DE WV DC CO MD CA VA KS MO KY NC TN AZ OK NM AR SC
MS AL GA
AK TX LA
FL
Source: Cook Political Report Electoral College Ratings, August 15, 2016. ELECTORAL COLLEGE MAP
Barack Obama Wins Presidential Second Term in 2012
2012 Electoral College Map ■ Barack Obama ■ Mitt Romney
WA 12 MT ME ND VT 3 3 3 4 OR MN 7 ID NH 4 SD 10 NY 6 WI 29 Barack Obama (D) WY 3 10 MI 3 16 Running Mate: Joe Biden IA PA NE 6 20 MA 11 Popular Vote: 51.1% NV OH 5 IL IN 6 UT 18 States Carried: 26 + DC CA 20 11 WV 6 CO VA RI 4 55 KS 5 9 MO 13 6 10 KY 8 CT 7 NC 15 AZ OK TN 11 NJ 14 Mitt Romney (R) 11 NM 7 AR SC Running Mate: Paul Ryan 5 9 6 DE 3 MS AL GA Popular Vote: 47.2% 6 9 16 MD 10 States Carried: 24 AK TX LA 3 38 8 DC 3 FL HI HI 29 4 4
Source: RealClearPolitics, “Electoral College Map,” 2012. GENFORWARD ELECTION POLL
Young Americans Support Clinton Over Trump, Especially Young Adults of Color
Support for Presidential Candidates Among Americans Aged 18 – 30, by Race Background ■ ■ ■ ■ Clinton Trump Someone Else Undecided • The GenForward poll was produced by the Black Youth Project at the University of Chicago with The Associated Press‐NORC Center for Public Affairs Research • It was conducted between June 14‐27, and on interviews of 1,965 adults age 18‐30 • The survey is the first of its kind to highlight how race helps shape the opinions of young Americans
Source: Cathy J. Cohen, Matthew D. Luttig, and Jon C. Rogowski, “GenForward June 2016 Survey Report,” GenForward, July 12, 2016.
15 GENFORWARD ELECTION POLL
Trump Has Lower Favorability Ratings Than Clinton Among Young Adults In All Racial Groups
Candidate Net Favorability Rating Among Americans Aged 18-30
■ Black ■ Asian American ■ Latino/a ■ Non‐Hispanic White
Trump Analysis • Clinton is seen much more favorably by Black respondents than by other respondents • All respondents have very unfavorable views of Trump, especially respondents of color • The narrative that both Clinton and Trump have record levels of negative favorability is true only for White respondents
Source: Cathy J. Cohen, Matthew D. Luttig, and Jon C. Rogowski, “GenForward June 2016 Survey Report,” GenForward, July 12, 2016.
16 GENFORWARD ELECTION POLL
Majority of Young Adults and Overwhelming Majority of Young Adults of Color Think Trump is Racist
Percent of Americans Aged 18-30 Who Believe Candidates Are Racist
■ Trump ■ Clinton
Source: Cathy J. Cohen, Matthew D. Luttig, and Jon C. Rogowski, “GenForward June 2016 Survey Report,” GenForward, July 12, 2016.
17 GENFORWARD ELECTION POLL
Majority of Young Adults Trust Clinton More Than Trump
Percent of Americans Aged 18-30 Who Believe Candidates Are Honest
■ Trump ■ Clinton
Source: Cathy J. Cohen, Matthew D. Luttig, and Jon C. Rogowski, “GenForward June 2016 Survey Report,” GenForward, July 12, 2016.
18 GENFORWARD ELECTION POLL
Majority of Young Adults Dissatisfied with the Two Candidate Options
Percent of Americans Aged 18-30 Who Believe a Third Party Candidate Should Run
Analysis • The poll found wide‐ranging support for Bernie Sanders among respondents • Sanders topped the presumptive nominees across racial groups in favorability, honesty, as more qualified to be President, and as the candidate that best understands the problems of people like the respondents
Source: Cathy J. Cohen, Matthew D. Luttig, and Jon C. Rogowski, “GenForward June 2016 Survey Report,” GenForward, July 12, 2016.
19 TRUMP CAMPAIGN AGRICULTURE ADVISORS
Looking to Gain in Rural Swing States, Trump Announces 64-Person Agriculture Advisory Committee
Trump’s Agriculture Advisors: Current and Former Governors
Terry Branstad Pete Ricketts Background • Governor of Iowa • Governor of Nebraska • Conservative governors from rural areas make up a large part of Trump’s Agriculture Advisory Committee Sam Brownback Jim Gilmore • Trump said he picked many elected • Governor of Kansas • Former Governor of Virginia officials because they were chosen by their communities to solve issues that impact rural areas
Jack Dalrymple Dave Heineman • Governor of North Dakota • Former Governor of Nebraska
Dennis Daugaard Sonny Perdue • Governor of South Dakota • Former Governor of Georgia
Mary Fallin Rick Perry • Governor of Oklahoma • Former Governor of Texas
Sources: Ben Kamisar, “Trump’s New Agriculture Brain Trust Includes Rick Perry, Jim Gilmore,” The Hill, August 16, 2016; “Trump Campaign Announces Agricultural Advisory Committee,” Donald J. Trump for President, August 16, 2016. 1 TRUMP CAMPAIGN AGRICULTURE ADVISORS
Looking to Gain in Rural Swing States, Trump Announces 64-Person Agriculture Advisory Committee
Trump’s Agriculture Advisors: Federal Lawmakers
Pat Roberts Rodney Davis Background • U.S. Senator from Kansas • Congressman from Illinois’ • The federal lawmakers on Trump’s • Chairman of Committee on 13th district advisory committee all serve on or Agriculture, Nutrition, and • Member, House Committee are in leadership positions of Forestry on Agriculture; Chair, Bio Tech agriculture committees or Subcommittee subcommittees
Robert Aderholt • Congressman from Alabama’s Bob Goodlatte 4th district • Congressman from Virginia’s • Chairman, House 6th district Subcommittee on Agriculture • Former Chairman, House Committee on Agriculture
Mike Conaway • Congressman from Texas’s 11th district • Chairman, House Committee on Agriculture
Sources: Ben Kamisar, “Trump’s New Agriculture Brain Trust Includes Rick Perry, Jim Gilmore,” The Hill, August 16, 2016; “Trump Campaign Announces Agricultural Advisory Committee,” Donald J. Trump for President, August 16, 2016. 2 TRUMP CAMPAIGN AGRICULTURE ADVISORS
Looking to Gain in Rural Swing States, Trump Announces 64-Person Agriculture Advisory Committee
Trump’s Agriculture Advisors: State Lawmakers
Mike Brandenburg Brent Jackson Annette Sweeney • North Dakota State Legislator • North Carolina State Senator • Former Iowa State Legislator • Chair, Agriculture Committee
Eddie Fields • Oklahoma State Senator Beau McCoy John Wilkinson • Chair, Senate Agriculture and • Nebraska State Senator • Georgia State Senate Rural Development • Chairman, Agriculture and Committee Consumer Affairs Committee
Mike Green Casey Murdock • Michigan State Senator • Oklahoma State Senator Brian Munzlinger • Chair, Agriculture • Missouri State Senate Appropriations; Vice Chair, • Chairman, Agriculture Senate Agriculture Committee Committee
Larry Rhoden Hans Hunts • South Dakota State Senator • Wyoming State Legislator • Senate Majority Whip; Chair, • Wyoming House Agriculture Senate Agriculture Committee Committee
Sources: Ben Kamisar, “Trump’s New Agriculture Brain Trust Includes Rick Perry, Jim Gilmore,” The Hill, August 16, 2016; “Trump Campaign Announces Agricultural Advisory Committee,” Donald J. Trump for President, August 16, 2016. 3 TRUMP CAMPAIGN AGRICULTURE ADVISORS
Looking to Gain in Rural Swing States, Trump Announces 64-Person Agriculture Advisory Committee
Trump’s Agriculture Advisors: State and Federal Officials
Cindy Hyde Dr. Mike Strain Jim Reese • Mississippi Commissioner of • Louisiana Commissioner of • Oklahoma Secretary of Agriculture and Commerce Agriculture and Forestry Agriculture
Sid Miller Leslie Rutledge Walt Whitcomb • Texas Commissioner of • Arkansas Attorney General • Maine Commissioner of Agriculture • Co‐Chair, National Association Agriculture of Attorney General Agriculture Committee A.G. Kawamura Bill Northy Gary Black • Former Secretary of Food and • Iowa Secretary of Agriculture • Georgia Commissioner of Agriculture for California Agriculture
John Block • Former U.S. Secretary of Ryan Quarles Mark Killian Agriculture • Kentucky Commissioner of • Arizona Commissioner of Agriculture Agriculture • Farmer and rancher Jim Moseley • Former EPA Agriculture Consultant • Former Deputy Secretary, USDA
Sources: Ben Kamisar, “Trump’s New Agriculture Brain Trust Includes Rick Perry, Jim Gilmore,” The Hill, August 16, 2016; “Trump Campaign Announces Agricultural Advisory Committee,” Donald J. Trump for President, August 16, 2016. 4 TRUMP CAMPAIGN AGRICULTURE ADVISORS
Looking to Gain in Rural Swing States, Trump Announces 64-Person Agriculture Advisory Committee
Trump’s Agriculture Advisors: Agrobusiness Moguls and Insiders
Charles Herbster Steve Foglesong Tsosie Lewis Bruce Rastetter • National Chairman of the • Former President, National • Former CEO, Navajo Nation’s • CEO, Summit Agricultural Agriculture Advisory Cattlemen’s Beef Association Agricultural Products Industries Group of Alden, Iowa Committee for Donald J. Trump Bob Goodale Forrest Lucas Marcus Rust • 5th generation farmer and long • Former CEO, Harris Teeter • CEO, Lucas Oil; Protect the • CEO, Rose Acre Farms term friend of Trump Harvest Helen Groves David Spears Sam Clovis • Rancher; Daughter of Robert Mike McCloskey • Commissioner, Commodity • National Chief Policy Advisor Kelberg (King Ranch) • CEO, Fair Oaks Farms Future Trading Commission; for Donald J. Trump; Dole Agriculture Advisor; SVP, Campaign Co‐Chair Ron Heck Ted McKinney Mid‐Kansas Cooperative, Inc. • Former President, American • Former Director, Global Rebeckah Adcock Soybean Association Corporation Affairs for Elanco Red Steagall • Senior Director, Government • Iowa Farmer Animal Health • Official Cowboy Poet of Texas Affairs, CropLife John Kautz Tom Nassif Kip Top Jay Armstrong • CEO, Ironstone Vineyards • President, Western Growers • CEO, Tom Farms LLC • Former Chariman, Kansas Wheat Commission; Charlotte Kelly Garry Niemeyer Johnny Trotter Chairman, Farm Foundation • Tennessee cotton grower • Former President, National • CEO, BarG Corn Growers Chuck Conner Brian Klippenstein Steve Wellman • CEO, National Council of • Executive Director, Protect the • Former President, American Farmer Cooperatives Harvest Soybean Association
Sources: Ben Kamisar, “Trump’s New Agriculture Brain Trust Includes Rick Perry, Jim Gilmore,” The Hill, August 16, 2016; “Trump Campaign Announces Agricultural Advisory Committee,” Donald J. Trump for President, August 16, 2016. 5 PRESIDENTIAL CONTENDERS ON AGRICULTURE
Both Clinton and Trump Support RFS and GMO’s, But Differ on Most Other Agriculture Issues
Overview of Candidates’ Stances on Agriculture
Agricultural Invest in Rural Support the Support Immigration and Promote Clean Subsidies America Renewable Fuel Biotechnology and Farmworker Labor Energy Standard GMO’s Supports farm Clinton has Some reforms of Did not support Clinton has been Clinton’s plan for subsidies with a proposed RFS are necessary, preemption of endorsed by the rural America focus on helping simplifying but supports labeling laws, United Farm highlights clean smaller family regulations on overall supports use of Workers energy and fully community banks strengthening of biotechnologies fund the Hillary Clinton farms and expanding RFS and access to Environmental access to capital E15, E85, and Quality Incentives for rural biodiesel blends Program businesses Does not support Trump supports Trump has Trump’s promise Trump has said the wide use of the Renewable expressed his to build a wall and that fossil fuels farm subsidies, Fuel Standard support for halt immigration are great and the Donald Trump but has indicated ? matching the biotechnology in could affect food U.S. should be support for blend levels set by food products supply by burning more of ethanol/corn Congress eliminating them subsidies necessary farmworker labor
Sources: National Journal Research; DonaldJTrump.com; HillaryClinton.com; Helena Bottemiller Evich, “Trump Woos the Heartland,” Politico, May 27, 2016; Deena Shanker, “A Donald Trump Presidency Could Lead to Food Shortages in the U.S.,” Quartz, March 30, 2016; Ballotpedia, 2016.
John Farner Irrigation Association Government and Public Affairs Director [email protected]