Cattle 01/29/2021
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Cattle ISSN: 1948-9099 Released January 29, 2021, by the National Agricultural Statistics Service (NASS), Agricultural Statistics Board, United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). January 1 Cattle Inventory Down Slightly All cattle and calves in the United States as of January 1, 2021 totaled 93.6 million head, slightly below the 93.8 million head on January 1, 2020. All cows and heifers that have calved, at 40.6 million head, were slightly below the 40.7 million head on January 1, 2020. Beef cows, at 31.2 million head, were down 1 percent from a year ago. Milk cows, at 9.44 million head, were up 1 percent from the previous year. All heifers 500 pounds and over as of January 1, 2021 totaled 20.0 million head, slightly below the 20.0 million head on January 1, 2020. Beef replacement heifers, at 5.81 million head, were up slightly from a year ago. Milk replacement heifers, at 4.60 million head, were down 2 percent from the previous year. Other heifers, at 9.58 million head, were 1 percent above a year earlier. Steers weighing 500 pounds and over as of January 1, 2021 totaled 16.6 million head, up slightly from January 1, 2020. Bulls weighing 500 pounds and over as of January 1, 2021 totaled 2.21 million head, down 1 percent from January 1, 2020. Calves under 500 pounds as of January 1, 2021 totaled 14.2 million head, down 1 percent from January 1, 2020. Cattle and calves on feed for the slaughter market in the United States for all feedlots totaled 14.7 million head on January 1, 2021. The inventory is up slightly from the January 1, 2020 total of 14.7 million head. Cattle on feed in feedlots with capacity of 1,000 or more head accounted for 81.4 percent of the total cattle on feed on January 1, 2021, down slightly from the previous year. The combined total of calves under 500 pounds and other heifers and steers over 500 pounds (outside of feedlots) at 25.7 million head, was slightly below January 1, 2020. Calf Crop Down 1 Percent The 2020 calf crop in the United States was estimated at 35.1 million head, down 1 percent from the previous year's calf crop. Calves born during the first half of 2020 were estimated at 25.8 million head, down 1 percent from the first half of 2019. Calves born during the second half of 2020 were estimated at 9.39 million head, 27 percent of the total 2020 calf crop. Revisions All inventory and calf crop estimates for July 1, 2019, January 1, 2020, and July 1, 2020 were reviewed using calf crop, official slaughter, import and export data, and the relationship of new survey information to the prior surveys. Based on the findings of this review, July 1, 2019 all cattle and calves decreased by 0.3 percent. January 1, 2020 all cattle and calves decreased by 0.7 percent and 2019 calf crop decreased by 1.3 percent. July 1, 2020 all cattle and calves decreased by 0.8 percent and 2020 calf crop decreased by 1.9 percent. State level estimates were reviewed and changes were made to reallocate inventory estimates to the United States total. This report was approved on January 29, 2021. Secretary of Agriculture Agricultural Statistics Board Designate Chairperson Seth Meyer Joseph L. Parsons 2 Cattle (January 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Contents Cattle Inventory by Class and Calf Crop – United States: January 1, 2020 and 2021 ............................................................ 4 All Cattle and Calves Inventory – United States: January 1 ................................................................................................... 4 Cattle Inventory by Class – States and United States: January 1, 2020 and 2021 .................................................................. 5 Calf Crop – States and United States: 2019 and 2020 ............................................................................................................ 9 All Cattle on Feed Inventory– States and United States: January 1, 2020 and 2021 ............................................................ 10 Cattle Grazing on Small Grain Pasture – 3-State Total: January 1, 2020 and 2021 ............................................................. 11 Cattle Inventory by Class and Calf Crop – United States: July 1, 2019 and 2020................................................................ 11 Calf Crop by Six Month Period – United States: 2019 and 2020 ......................................................................................... 11 Statistical Methodology ........................................................................................................................................................ 12 Reliability of January 1 Cattle Estimates .............................................................................................................................. 13 Information Contacts ............................................................................................................................................................ 13 Cattle (January 2021) 3 USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Cattle Inventory by Class and Calf Crop – United States: January 1, 2020 and 2021 Percent of Class 2020 2021 previous year (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) All cattle and calves .............................................................................. 93,793.3 93,594.5 100 All cows and heifers that have calved .................................................... 40,681.3 40,598.0 100 Beef cows ......................................................................................... 31,338.7 31,157.6 99 Milk cows .......................................................................................... 9,342.6 9,440.4 101 All heifers 500 pounds and over ............................................................ 20,024.4 20,000.1 100 For beef cow replacement ................................................................. 5,808.9 5,812.1 100 Expected to calve 1 ........................................................................ 3,500.4 3,546.6 101 For milk cow replacement ................................................................. 4,684.0 4,604.5 98 Expected to calve 1 ........................................................................ 2,971.4 2,915.9 98 Other heifers ..................................................................................... 9,531.5 9,583.5 101 Steers 500 pounds and over ................................................................. 16,541.2 16,597.8 100 Bulls 500 pounds and over .................................................................... 2,237.4 2,210.5 99 Calves under 500 pounds ..................................................................... 14,309.0 14,188.1 99 All cattle on feed ................................................................................... 14,657.7 14,707.4 100 Percent of 2019 2020 previous year Calf crop ............................................................................................... 35,591.6 35,135.5 99 1 Replacement heifers expected to calve during the year. All Cattle and Calves Inventory – United States: January 1 Million head 105 100 95 90 85 1996 2001 2006 2011 2016 2021 4 Cattle (January 2021) USDA, National Agricultural Statistics Service Cattle Inventory by Class – States and United States: January 1, 2020 and 2021 All cattle and calves All cows and heifers that have calved State Percent of Percent of 2020 2021 2020 2021 previous year previous year (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) (1,000 head) (1,000 head) (percent) Alabama ................ 1,300.0 1,290.0 99 700.0 700.0 100 Alaska ................... 17.0 17.0 100 8.0 7.5 94 Arizona .................. 960.0 980.0 102 390.0 390.0 100 Arkansas ............... 1,730.0 1,770.0 102 920.0 930.0 101 California ............... 5,150.0 5,150.0 100 2,380.0 2,390.0 100 Colorado ................ 2,750.0 2,650.0 96 960.0 860.0 90 Connecticut ........... 49.0 47.0 96 25.0 24.0 96 Delaware ............... 15.0 13.0 87 6.0 5.5 92 Florida ................... 1,680.0 1,690.0 101 1,020.0 1,040.0 102 Georgia ................. 1,090.0 1,090.0 100 600.0 590.0 98 Hawaii ................... 140.0 142.0 101 76.0 77.0 101 Idaho ..................... 2,470.0 2,500.0 101 1,130.0 1,120.0 99 Illinois .................... 1,090.0 1,050.0 96 460.0 440.0 96 Indiana .................. 840.0 850.0 101 370.0 385.0 104 Iowa ....................... 3,850.0 3,650.0 95 1,120.0 1,110.0 99 Kansas .................. 6,400.0 6,500.0 102 1,610.0 1,650.0 102 Kentucky ................ 2,110.0 2,090.0 99 1,070.0 1,030.0 96 Louisiana ............... 780.0 775.0 99 465.0 455.0 98 Maine .................... 80.0 76.0 95 39.0 37.0 95 Maryland ................ 179.0 177.0 99 89.0 88.0 99 Massachusetts ....... 34.0 37.0 109 15.5 17.0 110 Michigan ................ 1,150.0 1,140.0 99 520.0 540.0 104 Minnesota .............. 2,260.0 2,140.0 95 810.0 800.0 99 Mississippi ............. 920.0 920.0 100 490.0 490.0 100 Missouri ................. 4,300.0 4,300.0 100 2,160.0 2,110.0 98 Montana ................ 2,500.0 2,450.0 98 1,440.0 1,430.0 99 Nebraska ............... 6,750.0 6,850.0 101 1,980.0 1,960.0 99 Nevada .................. 480.0 470.0 98 280.0 275.0 98 New Hampshire ..... 32.0 32.0 100 15.0 15.5 103 New Jersey ............ 28.0 25.0 89 14.0 13.0 93 New Mexico ........... 1,430.0 1,390.0 97 810.0 800.0 99 New York ............... 1,460.0 1,420.0 97 730.0 720.0 99 North Carolina ....... 810.0 800.0 99 410.0 410.0 100 North Dakota ......... 1,880.0 1,950.0 104 1,010.0 990.0 98 Ohio ....................... 1,290.0 1,260.0 98 550.0 560.0 102