Paper to be presented at the 35th DRUID Celebration Conference 2013, Barcelona, Spain, June 17-19 Markets for Technology, Vertical Integration, and Industry Dynamics: Efficiency and Foreclosure in the Laser Printer Industry John M. de Figueiredo Duke University School of Law
[email protected] Brian S. Silverman University of Toronto Rotman School of Management
[email protected] Abstract An important unanswered question in strategy research is: how does vertical integration affect industry evolution? Foreclosure and efficiency theory both predict that vertical integration by one firm can increase the exit rate of non-integrated rivals, but offer competing predictions for the cause of this increase. A related question is how upstream markets for technology affect downstream firm and industry performance ? i.e., to what extent does a thick upstream market for key technological inputs reduce foreclosure and reduce the efficiency benefits of integration? This paper attempts to answer these questions by a developing a series of predictions regarding the effect of vertical integration patterns and upstream markets for technology on downstream pricing, entry rates, and exit rates. We test these predictions empirically with unusually detailed data on the U.S. laser printer and laser engine industries between 1984 and 1996. We exploit both cross-section and time-series variation in governance of laser engine procurement among laser printer firms to explore the effects of vertical integration on entry, exit, and pricing dynamics in each segment of the industry. Jelcodes:L10,L63 Markets for Technology, Vertical Integration, and Industry Dynamics: Efficiency and Foreclosure in the Laser Printer Industry Abstract An important unanswered question in strategy research is: how does vertical integration affects industry evolution? Foreclosure and efficiency theory both predict that vertical integration by one firm can increase the exit rate of non-integrated rivals, but offer competing predictions for the cause of this increase.