In-Depth Accident Causation Analysis A
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TRACE Project. Deliverable 1.2. Road users and accident causation. Part 2: In-depth accident causation analysis A. Molinero, J. M. Perandones, T. Hermitte, A. Grimaldi, J. Gwehengerber, D. Daschner, J. M. Barrios, A. Aparicio, S. Schick, P. van Elslande, et al. To cite this version: A. Molinero, J. M. Perandones, T. Hermitte, A. Grimaldi, J. Gwehengerber, et al.. TRACE Project. Deliverable 1.2. Road users and accident causation. Part 2: In-depth accident causation analysis. 2008, 297p. hal-00545392 HAL Id: hal-00545392 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-00545392 Submitted on 10 Dec 2010 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. Project No. FP6-2004-IST-4 027763 Deliverable 1.2 Road users and accident causation. Part 2: In-depth accident causation analysis Contractual Date of Delivery to the CEC: M30, June 2008. Actual Date of Delivery to the CEC: June 2008 Author(s): Aquilino Molinero, José Miguel Perandones, Thierry Hermitte, Alfonso Grimaldi, Johann Gwehengerber, Dieter Daschner, José Manuel Barrios, Andrés Aparicio, Sylvia Schick, Pierre Van Elslande, Katel Fouquet. Participant(s): CIDAUT, LAB, ELASIS, ALLIANZ, IDIADA, LMU, INRETS. Workpackage: WP1 – Road Users. Validated by WP1 leader: Aquilino Molinero (CIDAUT). Validated by reviewers: All the authors. Validated by TRACE Coordinator: Yves Page (LAB). Est. person months: 20. Security: Public. Nature: Report. Version: 1. Total number of pages: 297 (Annexes: 75 pages). Abstract: This report aims to present the final results of the descriptive statistical, in-depth and risk analysis performed within the first TRACE Work Package, ‘WP1-Road Users’, in order to identify the main problems and the magnitude of these problems related to accident causation and risk factors for the following five different road user groups: passenger car drivers; powered two wheelers riders; van, bus and truck drivers; pedestrian and cyclists and, finally, elderly people and gender classification. The different analysis (descriptive, in-depth and risk) of each of these five tasks has been performed using the available European accident databases within TRACE (national, in-depth and exposure databases). The main output of this report are (from each road user point of view): - A summary of the descriptive analysis done in a previous report (D1.1) with the main characteristics of the accidents gathered in different extensive databases, from the road user’s point of view. - The understanding and identification of the accident causes by means of micro level analyses. - The estimation of the risk of being involved in an accident for these five user categories. Keyword list: Descriptive analysis, in-depth databases, risk factors, accident causation, human function failure, road user groups, passenger cars, powered two wheelers, buses, trucks, vans, pedestrians, cyclists, elderly people, gender. Date of delivery : June 2008 Table of Contents 1 Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................... 5 1.1 Main results for each road user point of view ............................................................................ 10 1.1.1 Task 1.1: Passenger Car Drivers. ..................................................................... 10 1.1.2 Task 1.2: Powered Two Wheeler Riders.......................................................... 12 1.1.3 Task 1.3: Van, Bus and Truck Drivers............................................................. 14 1.1.4 Task 1.4: Pedestrian and Cyclists..................................................................... 16 1.1.5 Task 1.5: Elderly People and Gender related accidents................................... 18 2 Introduction................................................................................................................................ 23 2.1 Objectives of TRACE Project ......................................................................................................... 24 2.2 ‘Work Package 1: Road Users’...................................................................................................... 25 2.2.1 WP1 description............................................................................................... 25 2.2.2 Overview of the problem.................................................................................. 27 2.2.3 WP1 Partners.................................................................................................... 29 2.2.4 WP1 objectives and methodology.................................................................... 30 2.2.5 Deliverable D1.2.............................................................................................. 32 3 Task 1.1: Passenger Car Drivers .............................................................................................. 34 3.1 Main results from deliverable D1.1 ..............................................................................................34 3.2 In-depth analysis............................................................................................................................. 34 3.2.1 Data selection................................................................................................... 34 3.2.2 Results from overall in-depth analysis............................................................. 34 3.2.3 Single passenger car drivers’ accidents analysis.............................................. 38 3.2.4 Multi-vehicles accidents analysis..................................................................... 44 3.3 Discussions....................................................................................................................................... 54 3.4 Conclusions...................................................................................................................................... 56 4 Task 1.2: Powered Two Wheelers Riders ............................................................................... 57 4.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................................... 57 4.2 Main results from the Deliverable D1.1 ....................................................................................... 58 4.3 In-Depth analysis ............................................................................................................................ 61 4.3.1 Methodology .................................................................................................... 61 4.3.2 Database ........................................................................................................... 62 4.3.3 Accident causation analysis............................................................................. 63 4.3.4 Human Function Failure................................................................................... 66 4.3.5 Risk analysis..................................................................................................... 68 4.4 Conclusions...................................................................................................................................... 75 4.5 References ........................................................................................................................................ 77 5 Task 1.3: Vans, Bus and Truck Drivers................................................................................... 78 5.1 Main results from deliverable D1.1 ..............................................................................................78 A.- Vans................................................................................................................................................ 80 5.2 In-depth analysis............................................................................................................................. 80 5.2.1 Method ............................................................................................................. 80 5.2.2 Available data................................................................................................... 80 5.2.3 Involved countries and geographical areas ...................................................... 80 Date of delivery : June 2008 5.2.4 List of used causation factors........................................................................... 80 5.2.5 Causation factors.............................................................................................. 81 5.3 Conclusions...................................................................................................................................... 85 B.- Buses .............................................................................................................................................. 86 5.4 In-depth analysis............................................................................................................................. 86 5.4.1 Causation factors.............................................................................................