The Long Range Metropolitan Transportation Plan for the Monterey Bay Area How will people and goods move throughout the Monterey Bay Area from 2010 to 2035? The following document sets forth the plan to improve regional mobility by 2035. Monterey Bay Area Mobility 2035 The preparation of this plan was fi nanced, in part, by grants from the U.S. Department of Transportation, Federal Highway Administration and the Federal Transit Administration, under the SAFETEA-LU act, and the local governments of the Monterey Bay Region. AMBAG Staff AMBAG Board of Directors John Doughty, Executive Director Patricia Stephens, President Randy Deshazo, Principal Planner Stephany Aguilar, Vice-President Bhupendra Patel, Senior Transportation Modeler Ed Laverone, 2nd Vice-President Sasha Tepedelenova, TDM/Planner Linda Meckel, Planner Ronald Graves, City of Capitola Steph A. Nelson, Planner Ken Talmage, City of Carmel-by-the-Sea David Johnston, GIS Coordinator Michael Zuccaro, City of Del Rey Oaks Anais Schenk, Intern Scott Funk, City of Gonzales Eugenia Sanchez, City of Hollister with contributions from: Jeff Pereira, City of King SBtCOG Staff Frank O’Connell, City of Marina Lisa Rheinheimer, Executive Director Libby Downey, City of Monterey Mary Gilbert, Transportation Planning Manager Carmelita Garcia, City of Pacifi c Grove Veronica Lezama, Transportation Planner Janet Barnes, City of Salinas Ed Laverone, City of San Juan Bautista SCCRTC Staff David Pendergrass, City of Sand City George Dondero, Executive Director Lynn Robinson, City of Santa Cruz Rachel Moriconi, Senior Transportation Planner Stephany Aguilar, City of Scotts Valley Grace Blakeslee, Transportation Planner Dennis Alexander, City of Seaside TAMC Staff Patricia Stephens, City of Soledad Debbie Hale, Executive Director Luis Alejo, City of Watsonville Todd Muck, Principal Transportation Planner Jane Parker, County of Monterey Andrew Cook, Associate Transportation Planner Simon Salinas, County of Monterey METRO Tony Campos, County of Santa Cruz Les White, General Manager Ellen Pirie, County of Santa Cruz Monterey-Salinas Transit (MST) Anthony Botelho, County of San Benito Carl Sedoryk, General Manager/CEO Margie Barrios, County of San Benito Caltrans District 5 staff 2 Monterey Bay Area Mobility 2035 June 2010 9 11 17 Monterey Bay Area Mobility 2035 21 Executive Summary The Monterey Bay Transportation Vision for 2035 Regional Transportation Trends 53 Existing Conditions Policy Element Transportation System Operation & Management Financing the Plan 61 System Monitoring and Benchmarks Environmental & Air Quality Conformity Mitigation Land Banking 73 APPENDICES 87 95 97 103 List of Tables Table 1. Fixed-Route Transit Operating Table 20. Daily Vehicle Hours of Delay Statistics Table 21. Daily Person Trips by Travel Mode Table 2. Demand Response Operating Statistics Table 22. Modal Split Table 3. Railroad Section Length Descriptions Table 23. Average Vehicle Speeds Table 4. MST Unfunded Capital Projects Table 24. Revenue Constrained Project List Table 5. Route Descriptions and Congestion Table 25. Unconstrained Revenue Project List Issues Table 26. Funded By Others Project List Table 6. 2003 Monterey Bay Area General Aviation Operations & Facilities Table 27. SAFTEA-LU, AMBAG, & RTPA Policy Matrix Table 7. Monterey Bay Area General Aviation Forecast Table 28. SAFTEA-LU vs. TEA-21 Gap Analysis Table 8. Monterey Bay Area Airports Economic Table 29. Plan Consistency Checklist Impact Table 30. Population Forecast Table 9. Monterey Bay Area Goods Movement Table 31. Employment by Sector Forecast Rail Lines Table 32. Population by County Forecast Table 10. The Monterey Bay Area Issues, Goals, and Strategies Table 33. Population Growth Forecast Table 11. Peak Hour Level of Service for Table 34. Housing Units Forecast Roadways Table 35. Employment by County Forecast Table 12. Peak Hour Level of Service for Table 36. Employment Growth Forecast Signalized Intersections Table 37. Jobs to Housing Ratio Forecast Table 13. Regionally Signifi cant Projects Table 38. Population by Jurisdiction Forecast Table 14. Summary of Revenue Sources Table 39. Percent of Regional Population Table 15. Federal Funding Resources Forecast Table 16. State Funding Resources Table 40. Park & Ride Addresses Table 17. Local Funding Resources Table 41. Response to Comments Table 18. Consistency with STIP Fund Table 19. SAFETEA-LU Goals & Monterey Bay Area Measures & Metrics 6 List of Figures Figure 1. The Monterey Bay Area Region Figure 22. 2035 Level of Service on Roadways in the Monterey Bay Area Figure 2. Urbanized Areas Figure 23. Park & Ride Lot Locations Figure 3. Population Density Figure 24. Expenditures by Mode Graph Figure 4. Monterey Bay Area Watersheds Figure 25. Monterey County Expenditures by Figure 5. Comprehensive Transportation System Mode Graph Figure 6. Bike Lane Classifi cations Figure 26. San Benito County Expenditures by Figure 7. Bicycle Network Mode Graph Figure 8. Santa Cruz MBSST Figure 27. Santa Cruz County Expenditures by Mode Graph Figure 9. Monterey MBSST Figure 28. Forecasted Revenues, 2010-2035 Figure 10. Regional & Connecting Transit Graph Services Figure 29. Federal Revenue Sources 2010-2035 Figure 11. Monterey Bay Area Paratransit Pickup Coverage Figure 30. State Revenue Sources 2010-2035 Figure 12. Monterey Bay Area & Connecting Rail Figure. 31. Local Revenue Sources 2010-2035 Systems Figure 32. Mode Split, Work Trips 2005-2035 Figure 13. Monterey Bay Area & Connecting Figure 33. Mode Split, All Trips 2005-2035 State Designated Highways Figure 34. EPA Attainment Areas Figure 14. Functional Classifi cation of Road Sections Figure 35. Existing Regional Conservation/ Mitigation Banks Figure 15. Aviation Network Figure 36. MTP Update Cycle 2009-2022 Figure 16. Goods Movement Network Figure 37. 2010 EIR Document Information Figure 17. Alternative Fueling Facility Locations Figure 18. 2005 Level of Service on Roadways in the Monterey Bay Area Figure 19. Map of the 2010 MTP Projects Figure 20. Level of Service Info-graphic Figure 21. Level of Service Threshold Graph 7 “To seek the timeless way we must fi rst know the quality without a name. There is a central quality which is the root criterion of life and spirit in a man, a town, a building, or a wilderness. This quality is objective and precise, but it cannot be named.” - Christopher Alexander 8 Executive Summary Federal regulations require the attainment area for the federal one- The format of this document is as Association of Monterey Bay Area hour ozone standard under the follows: Governments (AMBAG) to develop Federal Clean Air Act Amendments • The Monterey Bay (CAAA) of 1990, AMBAG is exempt a long range transportation plan Transportation Vision for for the three-county Monterey Bay from a conformity analysis at this 2035 metropolitan region that is both time. fi nancially constrained and falls • Regional Transportation AMBAG completes forecasts Trends under the on-road motor vehicle of population growth to guide emissions budget included in the • Existing Conditions planned and programmed capacity- Federal Air Quality Maintenance Plan. increasing projects, which are then • Policy Element The AMBAG region is currently in incorporated into the regional travel • Transportation System conformity for its vehicle emissions demand model. When run, the travel Operation & Management budget. demand model provides anticipated • Financing the Plan The 2010 Monterey Bay Area vehicle miles of travel (VMT) for the • System Monitoring and Metropolitan Transportation Plan region. This VMT is then converted Benchmarks (MTP) includes a section entitled into air quality pollutant emissions Financing the Plan. This chapter associated with on-road vehicle use. • Air Quality Conformity demonstrates how the programs These anticipated pollutant emissions • Mitigation Banking and projects in this plan can be are included in the region’s air quality • APPENDICES implemented with resources that plans. can be reasonably be expected Once included in the approved, Programs and projects listed in to be made available, both public fi nancially-constrained MTP, programs this plan serve the stated goals and private, to pay for the planned and projects become eligible and objectives, as well as meet improvements through 2035. for inclusion in the Metropolitan the transportation needs and Transportation Improvement Program Because new state legislation, SB defi ciencies, Programs and projects (MTIP -- also known as Federal 375, calls for MPOs to prepare a are fi rst proposed and adopted in the Transportation Improvement Program Sustainable Communities Strategy respective Regional Transportation -- a separate document) which (SCS) to be used to synchronize and Plans (RTPs) of the three Monterey identifi es funding and schedules coordinate both the metropolitan Bay Area counties: Monterey, San all regional projects by fi scal year transportation planning process and Benito and Santa Cruz. The project over a minimum four-year period. the regional housing needs allocation lists from each RTP are incorporated, To secure federal transportation process, AMBAG is treating this 2010 in their entirety, into the MTP. The funding, projects must be included in update of the MTP as a minor update, project lists provide all funded an approved Federal Transportation with a signifi cantly revised MTP in (constrained)projects and potential Improvement Program. 2012. projects (unconstrained) should funding become available, from 2010 Since the metropolitan area covered to 2035. by this