Population 1 Population
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Population 1 Population comparability, population change and its two components Introduction are presented as crude rates per 1 000 inhabitants, i.e. Demographic trends vary across the EU’s regions, with relative to the size of the average population of the region certain phenomena making a stronger impact in some (see ‘Data sources and availability’). regions than in others. This chapter describes the regional The maps show how the population change varies across pattern of demographic phenomena in 2008, at NUTS 3 level regions from growth to decline (Map 1.2) due to positive or across the EU-27 and by level 3 statistical region for EFTA negative natural change (Map 1.3) and positive or negative and candidate countries. However, due to data availability net migration and statistical adjustment (Map 1.4). constraints, several demographic indicators were analysed at NUTS 2 regional level. The current demographic situation in the EU-27 confirms a trend of continuing growth, which has been unbroken since 1960. The population of the EU-27 grew by 4.1 per 1 000 inhabitants in 2008, due to a natural increase (see Main statistical findings ‘Data sources and availability’) of 1.2 per 1 000 inhabitants and net migration (1) of 2.9 per 1 000 inhabitants. Although Population size and density the population of the EU-27 as a whole increased in 2008, this population change was unevenly distributed across the On 1 January 2009, 499.7 million people inhabited the 27 Member States. In 2008, the population increased in 20 EU Member States of the European Union. The population Member States and declined in the other seven. density at EU-27 level in 2008 was estimated at 116 inhabitants per km2. The population decline was seen in most of the north- eastern and eastern and part of the south-eastern NUTS Map 1.1 shows the population density in 2008. Generally, 3 regions. The countries with regions most affected by this the NUTS 3 regions that include the capital city of the trend in 2008 were Bulgaria, Germany, Hungary, Romania, country, and in most cases the regions in their immediate Poland, Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and Croatia, where the vicinity, are among the most densely populated. population declined in most of their NUTS 3 regions and The NUTS 3 region of Paris was by far the most densely outpaced the population growth observed in their other populated (21 022 inhabitants per km2), followed by Inner regions. A decline in population was also evident in the London West (10 094) and Inner London East (9 049). northern parts of Sweden, in the Finnish region of Itä-Suomi, Population densities above 5 000 per km2 were observed, in in many regions of Greece and Portugal and in several decreasing order, in the following NUTS 3 regions: Hauts- regions of Turkey. On the other hand, the population grew de-Seine (France), Bucureşti (Romania), Bruxelles-Capitale/ in Cyprus, Luxembourg and Malta, and in Montenegro, the Brussel-Hoofdstad (Belgium), Seine-Saint-Denis and Val-de- former Yugoslav Republic of Macedonia and, to a greater Marne (France), Melilla (Spain) and Basel-Stadt (Switzerland). extent, in Turkey. The least densely populated level 3 statistical region within In nearly all western and south-western regions of the EU, the territory covered in 2008 was Landsbyggd (Iceland) with the population increased during 2008. This is particularly 2 1.2 inhabitants per km . Within the EU-27, the least densely evident in Ireland and in almost every region of the United populated NUTS 3 region was Guyane (France) with 2.7 Kingdom, in Italy, Spain, France, including the French 2 inhabitants per km . overseas departments, and in the Spanish and Portuguese islands in the Atlantic Ocean. Positive population changes Population change in 2008 were also recorded in Austria, Switzerland, Belgium, Luxembourg and the Netherlands. Population change in a given reference year is the difference between the population size on 1 January of the following The picture provided by Map 1.2 can be sharpened by year and on 1 January of the given reference year. Changes analysing the two components of population change, i.e. in the size of population are the result of the number of natural change and net migration (1). births and deaths and of the number of people migrating Map 1.3 shows that, in many regions of the EU, more inward and outward. Population change therefore consists people died than were born in 2008. The resulting negative of two components: ‘natural change’ (the difference between natural population change is widespread and affects almost live births and deaths) and ‘net migration and statistical half the regions in the EU. A positive natural change in adjustment’ (see ‘Data sources and availability’). population can be identified across Ireland, the central parts Maps 1.2, 1.3 and 1.4 present population change and of the United Kingdom, most regions in France, Belgium, these two components in 2008, by NUTS 3 regions. For Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Switzerland, Iceland, (1) Including statistical adjustments. 20 Eurostat regional yearbook 2011 eurostat Population 1 Map 1.1: Population density, by NUTS 3 regions, 2008 (1) (inhabitants per km²) 0600 km Population density, Guadeloupe (FR) Martinique (FR) by NUTS 3 regions, 2008 (1) (inhabitants per km²) EU-27 = 116 < = 50 025 020 50 - 100 100 - 150 Guyane (FR) Réunion (FR) 150 - 300 300 - 1 000 > 1 000 Data not available 0 100 020 © EuroGeographics Association, for the administrative boundaries Açores (PT) Madeira (PT) Cartography: Eurostat — GISCO, 03/2011 050 020 Canarias (ES) Malta 0 100 010 Liechtenstein Ísland 05 0100 (1(¹)) P Poopulationpulation density densit yis iscalculated calculated as asratio ra tibetweeno betwe en(annual (annual average) avera populationge) population and andsurface surf (land)ace (lan area.d) arLandea. areaLand is areaa country’s is a co totaluntry area,'s tota excludingl area, ex areacludin underg area inland unde water.r inla ndBulgaria, water. Bulgaria, DenmarDenmark,k, Germ Germany,any, FrFrance,ance, Cyprus,Cyprus Poland, Poland and and Portugal, Portugal total, tota areal ar eahas ha beens been used us insteaded inst ofead land of landarea; area;Poland, Po byland NUTS, by 2NU regions,TS 2 region Uniteds ;Kingdom; United King 2007.dom, 2007. Source:Source Eurostat: Eurostat (online (onlin edata dat acode: code demo_r_d3dens: demo_r_d3dens).) eurostat Eurostat regional yearbook 2011 21 1 Population Map 1.2: Population change, by NUTS 3 regions, 2008 (1) (per 1 000 inhabitants) 0600 km Population change, Guadeloupe (FR) Martinique (FR) 1 by NUTS 3 regions, 2008 ( ) (per 1 000 inhabitants) EU-27 = 4.1 025 020 <= -8.0 0.0 - 4.0 -8.0 - -4.0 4.0 - 8.0 Guyane (FR) Réunion (FR) -4.0 - -2.0 8.0 - 16.0 -2.0 - 0.0 > 16.0 0 100 020 © EuroGeographics Association, for the administrative boundaries Açores (PT) Madeira (PT) Cartography: Eurostat — GISCO, 03/2011 050 020 Canarias (ES) Malta 0 100 010 Liechtenstein Ísland 05 0100 (1) Belgium and United Kingdom, 2007. (¹) Belgium and United Kingdom, 2007. Source: Eurostat (online data code: demo_r_gind3). Source: Eurostat (online data code: demo_r_gind3) 22 Eurostat regional yearbook 2011 eurostat Population 1 Map 1.3: Natural population change, by NUTS 3 regions, 2008 (1) (per 1 000 inhabitants) 0600 km Natural population change, Guadeloupe (FR) Martinique (FR) by NUTS 3 regions, 2008 (1) (per 1 000 inhabitants) EU-27 = 1.2 025 020 <= -8.0 0.0 - 4.0 -8.0 - -4.0 4.0 - 8.0 Guyane (FR) Réunion (FR) -4.0 - -2.0 8.0 - 16.0 -2.0 - 0.0 > 16.0 0 100 020 © EuroGeographics Association, for the administrative boundaries Açores (PT) Madeira (PT) Cartography: Eurostat — GISCO, 03/2011 050 020 Canarias (ES) Malta 0 100 010 Liechtenstein Ísland 05 0100 (1(¹)) Belgium, Belgium, 2007; 2007; United United Kingdom, Kingdom 2007, 2007 and and NUTS NU 2TS regions; 2 region Turkey,s; Tu nationalrkey, na tilevel.onal level. Source: Eurostat (online data code: demo_r_gind3 and demo_gind). Source: Eurostat (online data code: demo_r_gind3 and demo_gind) eurostat Eurostat regional yearbook 2011 23 1 Population Map 1.4: Net migration (including statistical adjustment), by NUTS 3 regions, 2008 (1) (per 1 000 inhabitants) Net migration (including 0600 km statistical adjustment), Guadeloupe (FR) Martinique (FR) by NUTS 3 regions, 2008 (1) (per 1 000 inhabitants) EU-27 = 2.9 025 020 <= -6.0 0.0 - 2.5 -6.0 - -3.0 2.5 - 5.0 Guyane (FR) Réunion (FR) -3.0 - -1.0 5.0 - 10.0 -1.0 - 0.0 > 10.0 0 100 020 © EuroGeographics Association, for the administrative boundaries Açores (PT) Madeira (PT) Cartography: Eurostat — GISCO, 03/2011 050 020 Canarias (ES) Malta 0 100 010 Liechtenstein Ísland 05 0100 (1) Belgium, 2007; United Kingdom, 2007 and NUTS 2 regions; Turkey, national level. (¹) Belgium, 2007; United Kingdom, 2007 and NUTS 2 regions; Turkey, national level. Source: Eurostat (online data code: demo_r_gind3 and demo_gind). Source: Eurostat (online data code: demo_r_gind3 and demo_gind) 24 Eurostat regional yearbook 2011 eurostat Population 1 Liechtenstein and Denmark and most regions of Norway. 27, covering all regions of the Baltic States, Poland, Slovakia, In all these regions, there were more live births than deaths Hungary, Romania, Bulgaria, the former Yugoslav Republic in 2008. of Macedonia and Montenegro and a few regions of the Deaths outnumbered births in most regions of Germany, Czech Republic, Portugal and Croatia, whereas values higher in Hungary, Croatia, Romania and Bulgaria and also in the than 80 years were observed in Åland (Finland) and Ticino Baltic States in the north and Greece and Italy in the south. (Switzerland). Map 1.7 depicts the regional distribution of Other countries showed a more balanced pattern overall.