POLL on HOLYROOD VOTING INTENTION Published 12Th November 2015

POLL ON HOLYROOD VOTING INTENTION Published 12th November 2015

As the leading supplier of opinion polls within Scotland for over 30 years, TNS has recently published public opinion polling on the Scottish Independence referendum and on voting intentions in Scotland for the 2015 General Election.

TNS is now conducting a series of monthly polling to assess the current standing of the parties in Scotland in respect of popular voting intentions as we move towards the next Scottish Parliament election in May 2016. This latest poll was published on 12th November 2015.

TNS is a member of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abides by its rules. We also operate within the Code of Conduct of the Market Research Society (MRS). In accordance with these rules the following information is provided:

Sample size 1034 Fieldwork dates 16th October – 4th November 2015 Interview method Face-to-face, in-home CAPI Population sampled All adults aged 16+ in Scotland Sampling method The poll was conducted through our Omnibus, Scottish Opinion Survey. For this survey, sampling points are selected to be representative of Scotland demographically and geographically. Within each sampling point, a quota sampling method is used for respondent selection. Data weighting Data is weighted to the profile of all adults aged 18+ in Scotland, based on population profile estimates from the BARB (Broadcasters’ Audience Research Board) Establishment Report 2011, Mid year population estimates 2011 and the 2001 Census. Weighting is carried out in relation to working status within gender, age, social grade and electoral region. Data was also weighted to match turnout and share of vote from the 2015 General Election in Scotland (as recorded at http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/election/2015/results/scotland), and turnout and share of constituency vote from the 2011 Holyrood election (as recorded in SPICe Briefing 11-29 2011 Scottish Parliament Election Results). Unweighted and weighted bases are shown at the top of each data table. Questions The data tables show the question wording in full Further enquiries [email protected]

Page 1 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 1 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?) BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

SEX AGE SEG SEG Total Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 16-34 35-54 55+ AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE Unweighted base 1034 492 542 113 152 132 143 177 317 265 275 494 246 280 224 284 526 508 Weighted base 1034 496 538 149 162 168 185 157 212 311 353 369 222 294 209 309 516 518

Conservative 70 36 34 4 5 11 12 9 28 9 23 38 26 18 15 10 44 25 7% 7% 6% 3% 3% 6% 7% 6% 13% 3% 6% 10% 12% 6% 7% 3% 9% 5% Labour 140 56 84 7 15 24 26 30 39 21 50 68 27 29 34 51 56 84 14% 11% 16% 4% 9% 14% 14% 19% 18% 7% 14% 19% 12% 10% 16% 16% 11% 16% Liberal Democrat 25 12 13 3 - 2 2 7 12 3 3 19 16 6 1 2 22 3 2% 2% 2% 2% - 1% 1% 4% 6% 1% 1% 5% 7% 2% * 1% 4% 1% S.N.P. 339 183 156 45 63 56 73 53 49 108 128 102 61 95 80 103 156 183 33% 37% 29% 30% 39% 33% 39% 34% 23% 35% 36% 28% 27% 32% 38% 33% 30% 35% Other candidate or party 15 12 3 3 * 2 6 2 1 3 8 3 1 6 - 8 7 8 1% 2% 1% 2% * 1% 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% - 2% 1% 1% Undecided 285 115 170 65 43 38 46 32 62 108 84 94 63 91 57 75 154 131 28% 23% 32% 44% 26% 22% 25% 20% 29% 35% 24% 25% 28% 31% 27% 24% 30% 25% Refused 41 15 26 - 3 8 9 9 12 3 17 21 15 14 6 6 28 12 4% 3% 5% - 2% 5% 5% 6% 5% 1% 5% 6% 7% 5% 3% 2% 6% 2% Would not vote 120 68 52 23 33 28 12 15 9 56 40 24 13 36 17 54 49 71 12% 14% 10% 15% 21% 17% 6% 10% 4% 18% 11% 7% 6% 12% 8% 17% 10% 14%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 2 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 1 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?) BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

AREA AREA North Mid & Lothia Centra Glasgo East/ Total H&I East Fife ns l w West South West South North Unweighted base 1034 77 149 170 149 124 173 91 101 430 314 290 Weighted base 1034 83 134 134 134 145 134 134 134 474 297 263

Conservative 70 2 15 18 14 2 4 5 10 15 29 26 7% 2% 11% 13% 11% 2% 3% 3% 7% 3% 10% 10% Labour 140 5 15 16 21 13 14 26 30 69 46 25 14% 6% 11% 12% 15% 9% 11% 19% 22% 15% 15% 10% Liberal Democrat 25 4 1 3 13 - 4 - 1 5 13 7 2% 5% * 2% 9% - 3% - 1% 1% 4% 3% S.N.P. 339 35 41 43 44 48 46 40 43 156 97 86 33% 42% 30% 32% 33% 33% 34% 29% 32% 33% 33% 33% Other candidate or party 15 2 - 2 2 6 1 1 2 9 2 3 1% 2% - 1% 1% 4% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% Undecided 285 21 41 34 25 48 42 44 30 139 72 74 28% 25% 30% 25% 19% 33% 31% 33% 23% 29% 24% 28% Refused 41 1 5 7 3 14 3 6 1 24 7 10 4% 1% 4% 6% 2% 10% 3% 4% 1% 5% 2% 4% Would not vote 120 13 17 11 13 14 20 14 17 57 31 32 12% 16% 13% 8% 10% 10% 15% 11% 13% 12% 10% 12%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 3 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 1 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?) BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Certai n to Party Supports for Holyrood constituency vote 2015 General Election vote Libera Libera l l Didn't Conser Democr Undeci Holyro Conser Democr Vote / Total vative Labour at SNP Other ded od vative Labour at SNP Other CR Unweighted base 1034 68 146 20 369 18 252 671 101 184 21 390 26 312 Weighted base 1034 70 140 25 339 15 285 640 111 178 55 368 23 299

Conservative 70 70 - - - - - 47 61 5 - - - 4 7% 100% - - - - - 7% 55% 3% - - - 1% Labour 140 - 140 - - - - 106 4 114 - 13 1 8 14% - 100% - - - - 17% 4% 64% - 3% 4% 3% Liberal Democrat 25 - - 25 - - - 20 3 2 17 - * 3 2% - - 100% - - - 3% 3% 1% 31% - 1% 1% S.N.P. 339 - - - 339 - - 239 1 5 10 292 1 30 33% - - - 100% - - 37% 1% 3% 18% 79% 4% 10% Other candidate or party 15 - - - - 15 - 13 1 2 - 3 6 3 1% - - - - 100% - 2% * 1% - 1% 26% 1% Undecided 285 - - - - - 285 179 39 45 27 53 11 110 28% - - - - - 100% 28% 35% 25% 49% 14% 46% 37% Refused 41 ------36 3 3 - 2 1 32 4% ------6% 3% 2% - 1% 2% 11% Would not vote 120 ------1 1 5 4 109 12% ------1% 3% 1% 16% 36%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 4 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 2 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?) BASE: All committed voters aged 16+

SEX AGE SEG SEG Total Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 16-34 35-54 55+ AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE Unweighted base 621 312 309 44 77 78 101 117 204 121 179 321 160 155 142 164 315 306 Weighted base 588 299 289 61 84 94 118 101 130 144 213 230 131 153 129 174 285 303

Conservative 70 36 34 4 5 11 12 9 28 9 23 38 26 18 15 10 44 25 12% 12% 12% 7% 6% 11% 10% 9% 22% 6% 11% 16% 20% 12% 12% 6% 16% 8% Labour 140 56 84 7 15 24 26 30 39 21 50 68 27 29 34 51 56 84 24% 19% 29% 11% 18% 26% 22% 29% 30% 15% 23% 30% 20% 19% 26% 29% 20% 28% Liberal Democrat 25 12 13 3 - 2 2 7 12 3 3 19 16 6 1 2 22 3 4% 4% 4% 4% - 2% 1% 7% 9% 2% 2% 8% 12% 4% 1% 1% 8% 1% S.N.P. 339 183 156 45 63 56 73 53 49 108 128 102 61 95 80 103 156 183 58% 61% 54% 74% 76% 59% 61% 53% 38% 75% 60% 44% 46% 62% 62% 59% 55% 60% Other candidate or party 15 12 3 3 * 2 6 2 1 3 8 3 1 6 - 8 7 8 2% 4% 1% 5% * 2% 5% 2% 1% 2% 4% 1% 1% 4% - 4% 2% 3%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 5 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 2 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?) BASE: All committed voters aged 16+

AREA AREA North Mid & Lothia Centra Glasgo East/ Total H&I East Fife ns l w West South West South North Unweighted base 621 50 84 104 108 60 92 52 71 239 209 173 Weighted base 588 48 71 82 94 68 69 71 86 253 187 147

Conservative 70 2 15 18 14 2 4 5 10 15 29 26 12% 4% 21% 22% 15% 4% 5% 7% 12% 6% 16% 18% Labour 140 5 15 16 21 13 14 26 30 69 46 25 24% 11% 21% 20% 22% 18% 21% 36% 35% 27% 25% 17% Liberal Democrat 25 4 1 3 13 - 4 - 1 5 13 7 4% 9% 1% 3% 13% - 6% - 1% 2% 7% 5% S.N.P. 339 35 41 43 44 48 46 40 43 156 97 86 58% 72% 57% 53% 47% 70% 67% 56% 50% 61% 52% 58% Other candidate or party 15 2 - 2 2 6 1 1 2 9 2 3 2% 4% - 2% 2% 8% 1% 1% 3% 4% 1% 2%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 6 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 2 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?) BASE: All committed voters aged 16+

Certai n to Party Supports for Holyrood constituency vote 2015 General Election vote Libera Libera l l Didn't Conser Democr Undeci Holyro Conser Democr Vote / Total vative Labour at SNP Other ded od vative Labour at SNP Other CR Unweighted base 621 68 146 20 369 18 - 471 67 139 11 336 12 56 Weighted base 588 70 140 25 339 15 - 425 69 129 26 307 8 48

Conservative 70 70 - - - - - 47 61 5 - - - 4 12% 100% - - - - - 11% 88% 4% - - - 9% Labour 140 - 140 - - - - 106 4 114 - 13 1 8 24% - 100% - - - - 25% 6% 89% - 4% 12% 16% Liberal Democrat 25 - - 25 - - - 20 3 2 17 - * 3 4% - - 100% - - - 5% 4% 2% 63% - 2% 6% S.N.P. 339 - - - 339 - - 239 1 5 10 292 1 30 58% - - - 100% - - 56% 1% 4% 37% 95% 11% 63% Other candidate or party 15 - - - - 15 - 13 1 2 - 3 6 3 2% - - - - 100% - 3% 1% 2% - 1% 75% 6%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 7 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 3 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?) BASE: All committed voters who are certain to vote in Scottish Parliament election

SEX AGE SEG SEG Total Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 16-34 35-54 55+ AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE Unweighted base 471 239 232 29 51 58 76 92 165 80 134 257 127 117 101 126 244 227 Weighted base 425 216 209 37 49 69 90 78 102 86 159 180 97 111 87 130 208 217

Conservative 47 24 23 2 2 9 8 4 21 4 17 25 19 12 10 5 31 16 11% 11% 11% 6% 5% 13% 9% 6% 21% 5% 11% 14% 20% 11% 12% 4% 15% 7% Labour 106 40 66 3 7 20 20 23 33 10 40 56 22 22 21 41 44 62 25% 19% 31% 8% 13% 29% 23% 30% 32% 11% 25% 31% 23% 20% 24% 32% 21% 29% Liberal Democrat 20 10 10 3 - 2 - 4 11 3 2 15 15 2 1 2 17 3 5% 5% 5% 7% - 3% - 5% 11% 3% 1% 9% 15% 2% 1% 2% 8% 1% S.N.P. 239 132 107 26 40 37 56 44 36 66 93 80 40 69 55 75 109 130 56% 61% 51% 71% 81% 54% 62% 57% 35% 77% 58% 45% 41% 62% 64% 57% 52% 60% Other candidate or party 13 10 3 3 * 1 6 2 1 3 7 3 1 6 - 6 7 6 3% 5% 1% 8% 1% 2% 7% 2% 1% 4% 5% 1% 1% 5% - 5% 3% 3%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 8 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 3 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?) BASE: All committed voters who are certain to vote in Scottish Parliament election

AREA AREA North Mid & Lothia Centra Glasgo East/ Total H&I East Fife ns l w West South West South North Unweighted base 471 39 71 83 83 39 74 36 46 166 164 141 Weighted base 425 33 58 64 68 39 54 51 58 170 140 114

Conservative 47 1 11 8 10 2 3 5 7 12 17 18 11% 2% 19% 13% 15% 6% 5% 9% 11% 7% 12% 16% Labour 106 4 13 16 14 8 12 17 22 47 36 22 25% 13% 23% 24% 21% 22% 22% 33% 38% 28% 26% 20% Liberal Democrat 20 1 1 2 11 - 4 - 1 5 11 4 5% 4% 1% 3% 16% - 7% - 1% 3% 8% 4% S.N.P. 239 25 33 36 31 22 35 30 27 98 73 67 56% 75% 57% 57% 45% 58% 64% 58% 46% 58% 52% 59% Other candidate or party 13 2 - 1 2 6 1 - 2 8 2 3 3% 5% - 2% 3% 14% 1% - 4% 5% 1% 3%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 9 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 3 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?) BASE: All committed voters who are certain to vote in Scottish Parliament election

Certai n to Party Supports for Holyrood constituency vote 2015 General Election vote Libera Libera l l Didn't Conser Democr Undeci Holyro Conser Democr Vote / Total vative Labour at SNP Other ded od vative Labour at SNP Other CR Unweighted base 471 49 112 16 278 16 - 471 49 109 9 262 12 30 Weighted base 425 47 106 20 239 13 - 425 47 100 20 225 8 25

Conservative 47 47 - - - - - 47 40 4 - - - 3 11% 100% - - - - - 11% 84% 4% - - - 14% Labour 106 - 106 - - - - 106 4 89 - 10 1 2 25% - 100% - - - - 25% 9% 89% - 4% 12% 8% Liberal Democrat 20 - - 20 - - - 20 3 2 14 - * 1 5% - - 100% - - - 5% 6% 2% 68% - 2% 5% S.N.P. 239 - - - 239 - - 239 1 3 7 212 1 16 56% - - - 100% - - 56% 1% 3% 32% 94% 11% 64% Other candidate or party 13 - - - - 13 - 13 - 2 - 3 6 2 3% - - - - 100% - 3% - 2% - 1% 75% 9%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 10 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 4 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?) BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Conservative 64 33 31 4 8 6 11 9 25 13 17 34 23 17 14 11 39 24 6% 7% 6% 3% 5% 4% 6% 6% 12% 4% 5% 9% 10% 6% 7% 3% 8% 5% Labour 140 62 79 10 11 21 28 27 44 21 48 71 27 36 29 48 63 77 14% 12% 15% 7% 7% 12% 15% 17% 21% 7% 14% 19% 12% 12% 14% 16% 12% 15% Liberal Democrat 26 10 16 4 2 1 3 8 9 6 4 17 16 7 1 2 23 3 3% 2% 3% 3% 1% 1% 1% 5% 4% 2% 1% 5% 7% 3% 1% 1% 4% 1% S.N.P. 296 162 134 39 55 53 60 47 42 94 113 89 49 82 71 94 131 164 29% 33% 25% 26% 34% 31% 33% 30% 20% 30% 32% 24% 22% 28% 34% 30% 25% 32% Scottish Green Party 28 13 15 1 8 2 5 6 6 9 7 12 11 7 5 4 18 9 3% 3% 3% 1% 5% 1% 2% 4% 3% 3% 2% 3% 5% 2% 2% 1% 4% 2% Scottish Socialist Party 2 2 1 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 * * * - 1% * - * - * * * * * * - * * Solidarity * * ------* - - * * - - - * - * * ------* - - * * - - - * - UKIP (United Kingdom 9 9 - 2 - 4 1 - 2 2 5 2 5 1 - 3 5 3 Independence Party) 1% 2% - 2% - 3% * - 1% 1% 1% * 2% * - 1% 1% 1% Other candidate or party 5 4 * - - * 4 - - - 5 - * 1 - 3 1 3 * 1% * - - * 2% - - - 1% - * * - 1% * 1% Undecided 308 122 186 64 40 48 52 40 65 104 100 104 68 93 64 83 161 147 30% 25% 35% 43% 25% 28% 28% 25% 30% 33% 28% 28% 31% 32% 30% 27% 31% 28% Refused 36 15 22 - 3 8 9 6 11 3 17 17 12 11 6 7 24 13 4% 3% 4% - 2% 5% 5% 4% 5% 1% 5% 5% 6% 4% 3% 2% 5% 2% Would not vote 120 66 55 24 35 24 13 14 10 59 37 24 10 38 19 54 47 73 12% 13% 10% 16% 22% 14% 7% 9% 5% 19% 10% 7% 4% 13% 9% 17% 9% 14%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 11 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 4 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?) BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Conservative 64 1 15 18 14 3 4 5 4 15 24 25 6% 1% 11% 13% 11% 2% 3% 3% 3% 3% 8% 9% Labour 140 10 13 14 25 12 16 27 23 70 45 25 14% 12% 9% 10% 19% 8% 12% 20% 17% 15% 15% 9% Liberal Democrat 26 5 - 4 10 - 4 - 3 5 13 8 3% 7% - 3% 8% - 3% - 2% 1% 5% 3% S.N.P. 296 21 35 41 31 46 40 40 41 148 80 68 29% 26% 26% 31% 23% 32% 30% 30% 30% 31% 27% 26% Scottish Green Party 28 3 2 2 11 1 3 1 4 7 14 6 3% 3% 2% 2% 8% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% 5% 2% Scottish Socialist Party 2 - - - 2 - 1 - - 1 2 - * - - - 1% - 1% - - * 1% - Solidarity * - - - * - - - - - * - * - - - * - - - - - * - UKIP (United Kingdom 9 4 - - - 2 1 1 1 4 1 4 Independence Party) 1% 5% - - - 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 2% Other candidate or party 5 - - * - 3 * - 1 4 - * * - - * - 2% * - 1% 1% - * Undecided 308 26 46 37 26 49 42 43 38 142 80 85 30% 32% 34% 28% 20% 34% 31% 32% 28% 30% 27% 32% Refused 36 1 5 7 2 14 3 4 1 22 5 9 4% 1% 4% 5% 1% 10% 3% 3% 1% 5% 2% 3% Would not vote 120 11 18 12 14 14 19 14 17 56 32 32 12% 14% 14% 9% 10% 10% 14% 11% 13% 12% 11% 12%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 12 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 4 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?) BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Conservative 64 57 1 1 2 - 2 40 53 4 - 2 - 4 6% 82% 1% 3% 1% - 1% 6% 48% 2% - 1% - 1% Labour 140 3 114 5 14 - 3 107 3 112 5 13 - 7 14% 5% 81% 20% 4% - 1% 17% 2% 63% 9% 4% - 2% Liberal Democrat 26 - 2 16 7 1 * 17 4 3 13 4 - 2 3% - 2% 66% 2% 4% * 3% 3% 2% 25% 1% - 1% S.N.P. 296 3 7 - 282 1 3 214 3 6 7 261 1 19 29% 4% 5% - 83% 7% 1% 33% 3% 3% 12% 71% 4% 6% Scottish Green Party 28 - 5 1 13 4 4 24 1 5 2 14 3 2 3% - 4% 3% 4% 28% 1% 4% 1% 3% 5% 4% 13% 1% Scottish Socialist Party 2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - - 1 - 1 * 1% - - 1% - - * - - - * - * Solidarity * - - - * - - * - - - * - - * - - - * - - * - - - * - - UKIP (United Kingdom 9 1 - - * 4 - 4 1 - - * 5 3 Independence Party) 1% 1% - - * 27% - 1% 1% - - * 20% 1% Other candidate or party 5 - - - - 5 - 5 - 1 - - 3 - * - - - - 31% - 1% - 1% - - 14% - Undecided 308 5 9 2 14 1 272 195 43 44 26 63 11 122 30% 7% 6% 8% 4% 4% 96% 30% 38% 25% 47% 17% 47% 41% Refused 36 - - - 1 - - 32 3 2 - 2 1 28 4% - - - * - - 5% 3% 1% - 1% 2% 9% Would not vote 120 * 1 - 3 - - - * * 1 7 - 111 12% 1% 1% - 1% - - - * * 3% 2% - 37%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 13 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 5 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?) BASE: All committed voters aged 16+

SEX AGE SEG SEG Total Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 16-34 35-54 55+ AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE Unweighted base 604 308 296 44 80 73 96 113 198 124 169 311 158 153 135 158 311 293 Weighted base 570 294 276 61 84 89 111 97 127 145 200 225 132 152 120 166 284 286

Conservative 64 33 31 4 8 6 11 9 25 13 17 34 23 17 14 11 39 24 11% 11% 11% 7% 10% 7% 10% 9% 19% 9% 9% 15% 17% 11% 11% 6% 14% 9% Labour 140 62 79 10 11 21 28 27 44 21 48 71 27 36 29 48 63 77 25% 21% 29% 17% 13% 23% 25% 28% 34% 14% 24% 32% 21% 23% 24% 29% 22% 27% Liberal Democrat 26 10 16 4 2 1 3 8 9 6 4 17 16 7 1 2 23 3 5% 3% 6% 7% 2% 2% 2% 8% 7% 4% 2% 7% 12% 5% 1% 1% 8% 1% S.N.P. 296 162 134 39 55 53 60 47 42 94 113 89 49 82 71 94 131 164 52% 55% 49% 64% 65% 59% 54% 49% 33% 64% 57% 40% 37% 54% 59% 56% 46% 58% Scottish Green Party 28 13 15 1 8 2 5 6 6 9 7 12 11 7 5 4 18 9 5% 4% 5% 2% 9% 2% 4% 6% 5% 6% 3% 5% 8% 5% 4% 3% 6% 3% Scottish Socialist Party 2 2 1 - 1 1 - 1 - 1 1 1 1 1 1 - 2 1 * 1% * - 1% 1% - 1% - 1% * * 1% 1% 1% - 1% * Solidarity * * ------* - - * * - - - * - * * ------* - - * * - - - * - UKIP (United Kingdom 9 9 - 2 - 4 1 - 2 2 5 2 5 1 - 3 5 3 Independence Party) 2% 3% - 4% - 5% * - 1% 2% 2% 1% 4% * - 2% 2% 1% Other candidate or party 5 4 * - - * 4 - - - 5 - * 1 - 3 1 3 1% 1% * - - * 4% - - - 2% - * 1% - 2% 1% 1%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 14 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 5 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?) BASE: All committed voters aged 16+

AREA AREA North Mid & Lothia Centra Glasgo East/ Total H&I East Fife ns l w West South West South North Unweighted base 604 46 78 100 105 60 95 54 66 243 200 161 Weighted base 570 45 65 79 93 67 70 73 78 254 179 136

Conservative 64 1 15 18 14 3 4 5 4 15 24 25 11% 3% 23% 22% 15% 4% 6% 6% 6% 6% 13% 18% Labour 140 10 13 14 25 12 16 27 23 70 45 25 25% 22% 19% 18% 27% 18% 24% 37% 30% 28% 25% 18% Liberal Democrat 26 5 - 4 10 - 4 - 3 5 13 8 5% 12% - 5% 11% - 6% - 4% 2% 8% 6% S.N.P. 296 21 35 41 31 46 40 40 41 148 80 68 52% 48% 55% 52% 33% 69% 58% 55% 52% 58% 45% 50% Scottish Green Party 28 3 2 2 11 1 3 1 4 7 14 6 5% 6% 3% 3% 12% 2% 4% 1% 6% 3% 8% 5% Scottish Socialist Party 2 - - - 2 - 1 - - 1 2 - * - - - 2% - 1% - - * 1% - Solidarity * - - - * - - - - - * - * - - - * - - - - - * - UKIP (United Kingdom 9 4 - - - 2 1 1 1 4 1 4 Independence Party) 2% 9% - - - 3% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 3% Other candidate or party 5 - - * - 3 * - 1 4 - * 1% - - * - 4% * - 2% 2% - *

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 15 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 5 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?) BASE: All committed voters aged 16+

Certai n to Party Supports for Holyrood constituency vote 2015 General Election vote Libera Libera l l Didn't Conser Democr Undeci Holyro Conser Democr Vote / Total vative Labour at SNP Other ded od vative Labour at SNP Other CR Unweighted base 604 62 139 17 354 17 12 461 61 141 11 330 12 49 Weighted base 570 64 130 23 321 14 13 413 65 131 27 296 12 39

Conservative 64 57 1 1 2 - 2 40 53 4 - 2 - 4 11% 89% 1% 3% 1% - 19% 10% 82% 3% - 1% - 11% Labour 140 3 114 5 14 - 3 107 3 112 5 13 - 7 25% 5% 88% 22% 4% - 27% 26% 4% 85% 18% 4% - 19% Liberal Democrat 26 - 2 16 7 1 * 17 4 3 13 4 - 2 5% - 2% 71% 2% 4% 3% 4% 6% 3% 49% 2% - 4% S.N.P. 296 3 7 - 282 1 3 214 3 6 7 261 1 19 52% 4% 5% - 88% 7% 21% 52% 5% 4% 24% 88% 8% 48% Scottish Green Party 28 - 5 1 13 4 4 24 1 5 2 14 3 2 5% - 4% 4% 4% 29% 30% 6% 2% 4% 9% 5% 25% 6% Scottish Socialist Party 2 1 - - 2 - - 2 - - - 1 - 1 * 1% - - 1% - - * - - - * - 4% Solidarity * - - - * - - * - - - * - - * - - - * - - * - - - * - - UKIP (United Kingdom 9 1 - - * 4 - 4 1 - - * 5 3 Independence Party) 2% 1% - - * 28% - 1% 1% - - * 39% 8% Other candidate or party 5 - - - - 5 - 5 - 1 - - 3 - 1% - - - - 32% - 1% - 1% - - 28% -

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 16 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 6 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?) BASE: All committed voters who are certain to vote in Scottish Parliament election

SEX AGE SEG SEG Total Male Female 16-24 25-34 35-44 45-54 55-64 65+ 16-34 35-54 55+ AB C1 C2 DE ABC1 C2DE Unweighted base 461 236 225 32 54 53 72 88 162 86 125 250 123 117 98 123 240 221 Weighted base 413 211 202 41 51 61 84 75 102 92 145 177 94 113 82 125 206 207

Conservative 40 19 21 2 4 4 7 4 19 7 11 22 15 10 9 7 25 16 10% 9% 10% 6% 9% 7% 8% 5% 18% 8% 8% 13% 16% 9% 11% 5% 12% 8% Labour 107 45 62 6 5 17 22 19 39 11 39 58 23 28 19 37 51 56 26% 21% 31% 14% 10% 27% 26% 25% 38% 12% 27% 33% 25% 24% 23% 30% 25% 27% Liberal Democrat 17 7 10 4 * 1 1 5 5 5 3 10 10 4 1 2 14 3 4% 3% 5% 10% 1% 2% 1% 7% 5% 5% 2% 6% 11% 4% 1% 2% 7% 2% S.N.P. 214 117 97 26 34 36 45 41 31 61 81 72 35 61 48 71 95 118 52% 55% 48% 64% 67% 59% 53% 55% 31% 66% 56% 41% 37% 54% 58% 57% 46% 57% Scottish Green Party 24 12 12 - 6 2 5 6 6 6 7 12 9 7 5 2 17 7 6% 6% 6% - 11% 4% 5% 7% 6% 6% 5% 7% 10% 6% 6% 2% 8% 4% Scottish Socialist Party 2 2 - - 1 - - 1 - 1 - 1 - 1 1 - 1 1 * 1% - - 2% - - 1% - 1% - * - 1% 1% - * * Solidarity * * ------* - - * * - - - * - * * ------* - - * * - - - * - UKIP (United Kingdom 4 4 - 2 - - 1 - 2 2 1 2 1 1 - 3 2 3 Independence Party) 1% 2% - 6% - - 1% - 1% 3% * 1% 1% * - 2% 1% 1% Other candidate or party 5 4 * - - * 4 - - - 5 - * 1 - 3 1 3 1% 2% * - - 1% 5% - - - 3% - * 1% - 2% 1% 1%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 17 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 6 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?) BASE: All committed voters who are certain to vote in Scottish Parliament election

AREA AREA North Mid & Lothia Centra Glasgo East/ Total H&I East Fife ns l w West South West South North Unweighted base 461 36 68 81 82 38 76 38 42 169 158 134 Weighted base 413 29 55 61 70 36 55 53 52 171 136 106

Conservative 40 1 11 8 10 2 2 5 1 10 13 18 10% 4% 20% 14% 14% 5% 4% 9% 2% 6% 9% 17% Labour 107 8 11 13 21 8 13 18 16 47 38 22 26% 27% 19% 22% 29% 21% 24% 34% 30% 27% 28% 21% Liberal Democrat 17 3 - 3 6 - 4 - 2 5 7 5 4% 9% - 5% 8% - 7% - 4% 3% 5% 5% S.N.P. 214 15 32 34 23 21 32 30 27 95 63 55 52% 52% 59% 56% 32% 56% 57% 56% 52% 56% 46% 52% Scottish Green Party 24 2 1 2 9 1 3 1 4 7 12 5 6% 8% 2% 4% 13% 4% 5% 1% 8% 4% 9% 5% Scottish Socialist Party 2 - - - 2 - - - - - 2 - * - - - 2% - - - - - 1% - Solidarity * - - - * - - - - - * - * - - - * - - - - - * - UKIP (United Kingdom 4 * - - - 2 1 - 1 3 1 * Independence Party) 1% 1% - - - 6% 1% - 2% 2% 1% * Other candidate or party 5 - - * - 3 * - 1 4 - * 1% - - * - 8% * - 2% 3% - *

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 18 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 6 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?) BASE: All committed voters who are certain to vote in Scottish Parliament election

Certai n to Party Supports for Holyrood constituency vote 2015 General Election vote Libera Libera l l Didn't Conser Democr Undeci Holyro Conser Democr Vote / Total vative Labour at SNP Other ded od vative Labour at SNP Other CR Unweighted base 461 45 106 13 271 16 9 461 45 110 9 257 11 29 Weighted base 413 43 97 18 231 13 10 413 45 101 21 216 8 22

Conservative 40 35 1 1 1 - 2 40 33 2 - 1 - 3 10% 83% 1% 4% 1% - 17% 10% 74% 2% - 1% - 16% Labour 107 3 88 5 8 - 3 107 3 89 5 9 - 2 26% 7% 91% 28% 4% - 25% 26% 6% 88% 23% 4% - 9% Liberal Democrat 17 - 2 11 3 1 * 17 4 3 7 3 - - 4% - 2% 64% 1% 4% 4% 4% 8% 3% 35% 2% - - S.N.P. 214 3 2 - 205 1 2 214 3 3 7 187 1 13 52% 6% 2% - 89% 8% 17% 52% 7% 3% 31% 87% 11% 58% Scottish Green Party 24 - 3 1 12 4 4 24 1 3 2 14 3 1 6% - 4% 5% 5% 30% 37% 6% 2% 3% 12% 7% 37% 4% Scottish Socialist Party 2 1 - - 1 - - 2 - - - 1 - 1 * 1% - - * - - * - - - * - 3% Solidarity * - - - * - - * - - - * - - * - - - * - - * - - - * - - UKIP (United Kingdom 4 1 - - * 3 - 4 1 - - * 1 2 Independence Party) 1% 2% - - * 24% - 1% 2% - - * 11% 10% Other candidate or party 5 - - - - 5 - 5 - 1 - - 3 - 1% - - - - 34% - 1% - 1% - - 41% -

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 19 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 7 Q6. How likely do you think you are to vote in the Scottish Parliament election in May 2016? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Certain/very likely (Net) 775 367 408 91 105 114 156 122 187 196 270 309 186 227 149 213 413 362 75% 74% 76% 61% 65% 68% 84% 78% 88% 63% 76% 84% 84% 77% 71% 69% 80% 70% Certain to vote 640 307 333 63 78 100 131 105 163 141 231 268 154 181 124 180 336 304 62% 62% 62% 43% 48% 59% 71% 67% 77% 45% 65% 72% 69% 62% 59% 58% 65% 59% Very likely to vote 135 60 75 27 27 14 25 18 24 54 39 42 32 45 25 33 77 58 13% 12% 14% 18% 17% 8% 13% 11% 11% 17% 11% 11% 14% 15% 12% 11% 15% 11% Quite likely to vote 78 36 42 23 15 17 9 8 5 38 26 14 14 14 18 32 28 50 8% 7% 8% 15% 10% 10% 5% 5% 2% 12% 7% 4% 6% 5% 9% 10% 5% 10% Not very likely to vote 41 17 24 13 8 9 2 6 2 21 11 9 7 6 14 14 13 28 4% 3% 4% 9% 5% 5% 1% 4% 1% 7% 3% 2% 3% 2% 7% 4% 3% 5% Certain not to vote 141 76 64 22 34 29 18 20 18 56 47 38 15 47 28 50 62 78 14% 15% 12% 15% 21% 17% 10% 13% 8% 18% 13% 10% 7% 16% 13% 16% 12% 15%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 20 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 7 Q6. How likely do you think you are to vote in the Scottish Parliament election in May 2016? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Certain/very likely (Net) 775 58 101 108 104 105 103 100 95 344 230 202 75% 70% 75% 80% 77% 73% 77% 74% 71% 72% 77% 77% Certain to vote 640 46 92 95 85 81 80 82 79 270 197 173 62% 56% 68% 71% 63% 56% 60% 61% 59% 57% 67% 66% Very likely to vote 135 12 9 13 19 24 23 18 16 74 32 29 13% 14% 7% 10% 14% 17% 17% 14% 12% 16% 11% 11% Quite likely to vote 78 10 8 10 11 17 11 6 5 37 23 18 8% 12% 6% 7% 8% 12% 8% 4% 4% 8% 8% 7% Not very likely to vote 41 5 7 3 7 6 3 6 3 18 10 13 4% 6% 5% 2% 5% 4% 2% 5% 3% 4% 3% 5% Certain not to vote 141 9 18 14 13 16 17 23 31 76 34 31 14% 11% 14% 10% 9% 11% 13% 17% 23% 16% 11% 12%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 21 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 7 Q6. How likely do you think you are to vote in the Scottish Parliament election in May 2016? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Certain/very likely (Net) 775 56 118 23 295 15 229 640 96 158 53 314 19 135 75% 80% 84% 95% 87% 100% 80% 100% 87% 88% 97% 85% 83% 45% Certain to vote 640 47 106 20 239 13 179 640 78 137 47 259 15 103 62% 67% 76% 80% 71% 91% 63% 100% 71% 77% 87% 70% 68% 34% Very likely to vote 135 10 11 4 56 1 50 - 18 20 6 55 3 32 13% 14% 8% 14% 17% 9% 18% - 16% 11% 11% 15% 15% 11% Quite likely to vote 78 8 6 1 21 - 34 - 8 6 - 28 4 32 8% 12% 4% 5% 6% - 12% - 7% 3% - 8% 17% 11% Not very likely to vote 41 2 2 - 8 - 15 - 2 2 - 7 - 30 4% 3% 2% - 2% - 5% - 2% 1% - 2% - 10% Certain not to vote 141 4 14 - 15 - 7 - 5 13 1 20 * 102 14% 5% 10% - 4% - 2% - 4% 7% 3% 5% * 34%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 22 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 8 Q7. The last SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Did not vote 342 169 173 104 78 71 40 31 17 182 112 49 61 85 67 129 146 196 33% 34% 32% 70% 48% 42% 22% 20% 8% 58% 32% 13% 27% 29% 32% 42% 28% 38% Conservative 72 30 42 1 5 11 10 9 37 6 20 46 27 15 17 12 43 30 7% 6% 8% 1% 3% 6% 5% 6% 17% 2% 6% 12% 12% 5% 8% 4% 8% 6% Labour 165 75 90 10 18 18 43 30 47 27 61 77 31 52 36 46 83 82 16% 15% 17% 6% 11% 11% 23% 19% 22% 9% 17% 21% 14% 18% 17% 15% 16% 16% Liberal Democrat 41 14 28 9 1 5 * 15 11 10 6 26 11 16 10 4 27 14 4% 3% 5% 6% 1% 3% * 9% 5% 3% 2% 7% 5% 5% 5% 1% 5% 3% S.N.P. 237 144 93 12 35 37 56 47 49 47 93 97 50 73 51 63 123 114 23% 29% 17% 8% 21% 22% 30% 30% 23% 15% 26% 26% 22% 25% 24% 20% 24% 22% Other candidate or party 6 4 2 1 * 1 1 2 1 1 3 3 1 3 * 2 4 2 1% 1% * * * 1% 1% 1% * * 1% 1% 1% 1% * 1% 1% * Can’t remember 171 61 110 13 26 25 34 23 49 39 59 72 41 50 27 53 91 80 16% 12% 20% 9% 16% 15% 19% 15% 23% 13% 17% 20% 18% 17% 13% 17% 18% 15%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 23 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 8 Q7. The last SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Did not vote 342 27 55 39 32 48 69 43 30 171 77 94 33% 33% 41% 29% 24% 33% 51% 32% 22% 36% 26% 36% Conservative 72 2 16 16 13 5 3 7 11 22 29 22 7% 2% 12% 12% 10% 3% 2% 5% 9% 5% 10% 8% Labour 165 2 16 16 28 25 19 27 32 87 58 20 16% 3% 12% 12% 21% 17% 14% 20% 24% 18% 19% 8% Liberal Democrat 41 8 2 5 4 2 4 11 5 18 8 15 4% 9% 2% 4% 3% 1% 3% 8% 4% 4% 3% 6% S.N.P. 237 24 29 38 35 32 19 25 34 90 77 70 23% 30% 21% 28% 26% 22% 14% 18% 25% 19% 26% 27% Other candidate or party 6 1 1 * 2 * 2 - 1 2 2 2 1% 1% * * 1% * 1% - * * 1% 1% Can’t remember 171 18 17 21 20 34 18 21 21 85 46 40 16% 22% 13% 16% 15% 23% 14% 16% 16% 18% 15% 15%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 24 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 8 Q7. The last SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Did not vote 342 12 11 2 97 2 112 122 27 17 - 97 7 194 33% 17% 8% 8% 29% 16% 39% 19% 24% 9% - 26% 31% 65% Conservative 72 50 1 - 4 - 17 54 65 2 3 - - 2 7% 72% 1% - 1% - 6% 8% 59% 1% 5% - - 1% Labour 165 5 100 1 25 1 29 127 4 127 2 27 1 4 16% 7% 72% 4% 7% 9% 10% 20% 4% 71% 5% 7% 4% 1% Liberal Democrat 41 * - 14 4 1 20 36 2 3 32 3 - 1 4% * - 58% 1% 6% 7% 6% 2% 2% 59% 1% - * S.N.P. 237 * 7 * 189 7 28 178 1 8 6 204 9 9 23% 1% 5% 2% 56% 45% 10% 28% 1% 4% 10% 55% 39% 3% Other candidate or party 6 * - * - 4 1 5 1 1 - - 4 1 1% * - 1% - 24% * 1% 1% 1% - - 17% * Can’t remember 171 1 21 7 20 - 78 117 11 21 12 37 2 87 16% 2% 15% 27% 6% - 27% 18% 10% 12% 21% 10% 10% 29%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 25 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 9 Q3. The last General Election for the WESTMINSTER Parliament was held in on 7th May 2015. For which party did you vote for your MP in that election? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Did not vote 216 103 113 63 50 50 23 16 14 113 73 30 30 52 38 96 82 134 21% 21% 21% 42% 31% 30% 12% 10% 7% 36% 21% 8% 14% 18% 18% 31% 16% 26% Conservative 111 48 63 6 9 13 23 17 43 15 36 60 48 23 24 16 71 40 11% 10% 12% 4% 6% 8% 13% 11% 20% 5% 10% 16% 21% 8% 11% 5% 14% 8% Labour 178 82 96 16 19 26 33 32 52 35 59 84 41 51 36 51 92 87 17% 17% 18% 10% 12% 15% 18% 20% 25% 11% 17% 23% 18% 17% 17% 17% 18% 17% Liberal Democrat 55 18 37 9 - - - 14 32 9 - 46 17 14 13 11 31 24 5% 4% 7% 6% - - - 9% 15% 3% - 12% 8% 5% 6% 3% 6% 5% S.N.P. 368 198 171 46 73 63 78 62 47 119 141 109 62 109 83 115 170 198 36% 40% 32% 31% 45% 37% 42% 39% 22% 38% 40% 29% 28% 37% 40% 37% 33% 38% Scottish Green Party 9 2 7 3 2 * - 3 1 5 * 3 4 5 - 1 9 1 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% * - 2% * 2% * 1% 2% 2% - * 2% * UKIP (United Kingdom 11 11 - - - 6 5 - * - 11 * 5 1 2 3 6 6 Independence Party) 1% 2% - - - 4% 3% - * - 3% * 2% * 1% 1% 1% 1% Other candidate or party 2 * 2 - - * - * 1 - * 2 * 1 1 * 1 1 * * * - - * - * 1% - * * * * * * * * Can’t remember 83 34 50 7 9 10 22 13 21 16 33 35 15 39 13 16 54 29 8% 7% 9% 5% 6% 6% 12% 9% 10% 5% 9% 9% 7% 13% 6% 5% 10% 6%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 26 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 9 Q3. The last General Election for the WESTMINSTER Parliament was held in on 7th May 2015. For which party did you vote for your MP in that election? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Did not vote 216 13 43 24 27 29 31 30 19 95 57 64 21% 16% 32% 18% 20% 20% 23% 22% 14% 20% 19% 24% Conservative 111 2 21 22 18 13 10 7 17 39 39 33 11% 3% 16% 16% 14% 9% 8% 5% 12% 8% 13% 13% Labour 178 8 13 19 29 22 23 32 34 93 63 23 17% 9% 10% 14% 22% 15% 17% 24% 25% 20% 21% 9% Liberal Democrat 55 10 8 8 12 - 4 9 4 13 18 23 5% 12% 6% 6% 9% - 3% 7% 3% 3% 6% 9% S.N.P. 368 38 42 43 39 56 55 45 49 181 94 93 36% 46% 31% 32% 29% 39% 41% 34% 36% 38% 32% 35% Scottish Green Party 9 1 1 1 1 * 6 - - 6 1 3 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% * 4% - - 1% * 1% UKIP (United Kingdom 11 6 - - - 3 1 - 2 3 2 6 Independence Party) 1% 7% - - - 2% * - 2% 1% 1% 2% Other candidate or party 2 - 1 * * * * - - 1 * 1 * - 1% * * * * - - * * 1% Can’t remember 83 6 6 17 7 21 5 11 11 43 23 17 8% 7% 4% 13% 6% 14% 4% 8% 8% 9% 8% 6%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 27 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 9 Q3. The last General Election for the WESTMINSTER Parliament was held in on 7th May 2015. For which party did you vote for your MP in that election? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

Did not vote 216 3 5 3 28 3 75 47 - - - - - 216 21% 4% 3% 11% 8% 21% 26% 7% - - - - - 72% Conservative 111 61 4 3 1 1 39 78 111 - - - - - 11% 87% 3% 12% * 4% 14% 12% 100% - - - - - Labour 178 5 114 2 5 2 45 137 - 178 - - - - 17% 7% 82% 9% 2% 16% 16% 21% - 100% - - - - Liberal Democrat 55 - - 17 10 - 27 47 - - 55 - - - 5% - - 67% 3% - 9% 7% - - 100% - - - S.N.P. 368 - 13 - 292 3 53 259 - - - 368 - - 36% - 9% - 86% 18% 19% 40% - - - 100% - - Scottish Green Party 9 - 1 - 1 2 6 6 - - - - 9 - 1% - 1% - * 13% 2% 1% - - - - 41% - UKIP (United Kingdom 11 - - - - 4 4 8 - - - - 11 - Independence Party) 1% - - - - 26% 1% 1% - - - - 50% - Other candidate or party 2 - - * - * 1 2 - - - - 2 - * - - 1% - 2% * * - - - - 9% - Can’t remember 83 1 3 - 3 - 35 56 - - - - - 83 8% 2% 2% - 1% - 12% 9% - - - - - 28%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 28 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 10 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Nicola Sturgeon BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 450 220 230 55 72 83 89 71 81 127 172 152 100 128 100 121 228 222 44% 44% 43% 37% 44% 49% 48% 45% 38% 41% 49% 41% 45% 44% 48% 39% 44% 43% 10 - Like a lot (10) 121 68 52 10 14 26 24 24 22 25 50 46 17 27 31 46 44 77 12% 14% 10% 7% 9% 16% 13% 15% 10% 8% 14% 12% 8% 9% 15% 15% 9% 15% 9 (9) 76 35 41 10 9 11 14 18 14 19 25 32 15 31 13 17 46 30 7% 7% 8% 7% 5% 6% 8% 11% 7% 6% 7% 9% 7% 11% 6% 6% 9% 6% 8 (8) 131 73 57 19 26 22 26 16 21 45 49 37 40 34 28 29 73 57 13% 15% 11% 13% 16% 13% 14% 10% 10% 14% 14% 10% 18% 12% 14% 9% 14% 11% 7 (7) 123 43 79 15 23 24 24 13 24 38 48 37 29 37 28 29 65 57 12% 9% 15% 10% 14% 14% 13% 8% 11% 12% 14% 10% 13% 12% 13% 10% 13% 11% 6 (6) 98 45 53 33 21 9 12 8 15 54 22 22 20 34 20 24 54 44 9% 9% 10% 22% 13% 6% 7% 5% 7% 17% 6% 6% 9% 12% 10% 8% 10% 9% 5 (5) 137 60 77 15 26 24 20 23 28 41 45 51 25 33 32 47 58 79 13% 12% 14% 10% 16% 14% 11% 15% 13% 13% 13% 14% 11% 11% 15% 15% 11% 15% 1-4 (Net) 261 135 126 26 22 31 54 50 77 48 85 128 65 70 44 82 135 126 25% 27% 23% 17% 14% 19% 29% 32% 37% 15% 24% 35% 29% 24% 21% 27% 26% 24% 4 (4) 52 21 31 6 7 5 14 15 5 13 19 20 15 16 12 9 30 21 5% 4% 6% 4% 4% 3% 8% 9% 2% 4% 5% 5% 7% 5% 6% 3% 6% 4% 3 (3) 39 19 20 8 4 7 4 4 13 11 11 17 11 8 2 18 19 20 4% 4% 4% 5% 2% 4% 2% 3% 6% 4% 3% 5% 5% 3% 1% 6% 4% 4% 2 (2) 41 25 17 2 1 3 16 8 11 3 19 20 11 15 9 7 26 15 4% 5% 3% 1% 1% 2% 9% 5% 5% 1% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 2% 5% 3% 1 - Do not like at all 128 70 58 10 10 17 20 23 48 20 37 71 28 31 21 48 59 69 (1) 12% 14% 11% 7% 6% 10% 11% 15% 23% 6% 10% 19% 13% 11% 10% 16% 11% 13% Don t know 35 14 21 7 8 4 2 5 8 15 6 13 8 11 4 11 19 16 3% 3% 4% 4% 5% 3% 1% 3% 4% 5% 2% 4% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 3% Don t know who he/she is 53 21 32 14 12 16 8 - 3 26 24 3 3 18 8 24 21 32 5% 4% 6% 9% 8% 10% 4% - 1% 8% 7% 1% 2% 6% 4% 8% 4% 6% Mean 5.926 5.914 5.937 6.146 6.358 6.377 5.952 5.878 5.161 6.258 6.146 5.470 5.751 6.006 6.232 5.762 5.893 5.959 Std. Dev. 2.876 3.027 2.729 2.398 2.355 2.835 2.933 3.100 3.158 2.373 2.892 3.149 2.805 2.792 2.778 3.068 2.798 2.956 Std. Error 0.093 0.141 0.124 0.246 0.206 0.264 0.251 0.237 0.183 0.158 0.182 0.145 0.184 0.177 0.191 0.193 0.127 0.137 Error Variance 0.009 0.020 0.015 0.061 0.042 0.070 0.063 0.056 0.033 0.025 0.033 0.021 0.034 0.031 0.036 0.037 0.016 0.019

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 29 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 10 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Nicola Sturgeon BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 450 39 61 57 63 57 69 54 51 204 127 120 44% 47% 45% 42% 47% 39% 51% 40% 38% 43% 43% 45% 10 - Like a lot (10) 121 11 14 16 15 16 16 15 18 60 33 28 12% 14% 11% 12% 11% 11% 12% 11% 14% 13% 11% 11% 9 (9) 76 3 14 15 14 4 13 3 10 27 27 22 7% 4% 11% 11% 10% 3% 9% 2% 7% 6% 9% 9% 8 (8) 131 13 18 18 15 18 21 22 7 60 33 37 13% 15% 13% 13% 11% 12% 16% 16% 5% 13% 11% 14% 7 (7) 123 12 15 9 19 19 19 15 16 57 33 32 12% 14% 11% 7% 14% 13% 14% 11% 12% 12% 11% 12% 6 (6) 98 6 8 6 12 22 12 16 15 60 25 13 9% 8% 6% 4% 9% 15% 9% 12% 11% 13% 9% 5% 5 (5) 137 11 26 13 13 25 16 17 16 63 34 40 13% 13% 20% 9% 10% 17% 12% 12% 12% 13% 11% 15% 1-4 (Net) 261 24 32 40 33 36 24 36 35 108 80 73 25% 29% 24% 30% 25% 25% 18% 26% 26% 23% 27% 28% 4 (4) 52 3 8 6 9 6 5 9 6 18 20 14 5% 3% 6% 4% 7% 4% 4% 7% 5% 4% 7% 5% 3 (3) 39 3 4 7 5 5 3 2 10 14 14 12 4% 4% 3% 5% 3% 4% 2% 1% 7% 3% 5% 4% 2 (2) 41 * 7 6 3 8 5 7 5 23 9 9 4% 1% 5% 5% 3% 6% 4% 5% 3% 5% 3% 3% 1 - Do not like at all 128 17 13 22 16 16 12 18 14 53 36 39 (1) 12% 21% 10% 16% 12% 11% 9% 13% 11% 11% 12% 15% Don t know 35 1 2 14 6 2 4 6 * 11 16 8 3% 1% 1% 11% 5% 1% 3% 4% * 2% 5% 3% Don t know who he/she is 53 2 6 4 6 3 9 6 17 28 16 9 5% 3% 4% 3% 5% 2% 6% 4% 13% 6% 5% 3% Mean 5.926 5.695 6.020 5.766 6.072 5.750 6.409 5.758 5.873 5.997 5.911 5.815 Std. Dev. 2.876 3.108 2.770 3.227 2.873 2.692 2.703 2.838 2.906 2.823 2.905 2.947 Std. Error 0.093 0.361 0.234 0.264 0.246 0.246 0.217 0.311 0.306 0.142 0.173 0.179 Error Variance 0.009 0.131 0.055 0.070 0.061 0.060 0.047 0.097 0.094 0.020 0.030 0.032

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 30 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 10 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Nicola Sturgeon BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 450 10 45 5 279 5 79 330 15 49 17 286 6 78 44% 15% 32% 19% 82% 31% 28% 51% 13% 27% 31% 78% 26% 26% 10 - Like a lot (10) 121 4 5 - 100 2 6 96 4 6 2 97 2 10 12% 6% 4% - 30% 12% 2% 15% 4% 3% 3% 26% 9% 3% 9 (9) 76 1 8 1 53 1 10 67 1 9 5 51 3 8 7% 1% 6% 3% 16% 6% 3% 10% * 5% 9% 14% 11% 3% 8 (8) 131 3 11 2 79 2 29 90 5 14 5 76 1 29 13% 5% 8% 9% 23% 12% 10% 14% 5% 8% 9% 21% 5% 10% 7 (7) 123 2 22 2 47 * 34 77 5 20 6 62 * 31 12% 3% 15% 8% 14% 1% 12% 12% 4% 11% 11% 17% 1% 10% 6 (6) 98 4 11 - 23 1 48 57 13 16 9 32 2 26 9% 5% 8% - 7% 5% 17% 9% 12% 9% 17% 9% 7% 9% 5 (5) 137 9 12 3 20 4 64 75 20 17 10 34 8 48 13% 13% 9% 13% 6% 25% 23% 12% 18% 9% 19% 9% 36% 16% 1-4 (Net) 261 42 66 17 13 6 68 158 58 93 18 12 7 74 25% 61% 47% 68% 4% 39% 24% 25% 52% 52% 33% 3% 29% 25% 4 (4) 52 8 10 5 7 1 15 32 11 15 6 3 2 14 5% 12% 7% 19% 2% 4% 5% 5% 10% 9% 12% 1% 9% 5% 3 (3) 39 8 7 1 2 1 14 26 10 15 - 2 - 12 4% 11% 5% 5% 1% 4% 5% 4% 9% 8% - 1% - 4% 2 (2) 41 8 12 2 * 2 13 27 16 16 2 2 - 6 4% 12% 8% 9% * 12% 4% 4% 15% 9% 3% * - 2% 1 - Do not like at all 128 19 37 8 3 3 26 73 21 46 10 5 5 41 (1) 12% 27% 27% 34% 1% 19% 9% 11% 19% 26% 18% 1% 20% 14% Don t know 35 2 2 - 2 - 8 11 3 2 - 3 * 27 3% 3% 2% - 1% - 3% 2% 2% 1% - 1% 1% 9% Don t know who he/she is 53 2 3 - 2 - 18 10 2 3 - 2 - 46 5% 3% 2% - 1% - 6% 1% 2% 1% - 1% - 15% Mean 5.926 3.780 4.524 3.588 8.115 5.036 5.340 6.242 4.044 4.339 5.192 7.864 5.239 5.155 Std. Dev. 2.876 2.697 2.944 2.538 1.813 3.197 2.271 2.908 2.455 2.843 2.618 1.914 2.889 2.637 Std. Error 0.093 0.332 0.249 0.567 0.095 0.753 0.150 0.114 0.248 0.212 0.571 0.098 0.590 0.171 Error Variance 0.009 0.110 0.062 0.322 0.009 0.568 0.023 0.013 0.062 0.045 0.326 0.010 0.348 0.029

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 31 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 11 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Kezia Dugdale BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 75 36 39 4 9 13 13 14 23 12 26 37 28 16 9 22 44 31 7% 7% 7% 2% 5% 8% 7% 9% 11% 4% 7% 10% 12% 6% 5% 7% 9% 6% 10 - Like a lot (10) 9 2 7 2 - 4 - 2 * 2 4 3 * * - 9 1 9 1% * 1% 2% - 2% - 2% * 1% 1% 1% * * - 3% * 2% 9 (9) 8 3 4 - 1 - 4 2 1 1 4 3 5 1 1 1 6 2 1% 1% 1% - * - 2% 1% 1% * 1% 1% 2% * 1% * 1% * 8 (8) 15 7 9 - 3 1 1 5 6 3 2 11 6 5 3 1 11 4 1% 1% 2% - 2% 1% * 3% 3% 1% 1% 3% 3% 2% 1% * 2% 1% 7 (7) 43 24 19 1 5 7 9 4 16 7 16 20 16 11 5 11 26 17 4% 5% 3% 1% 3% 4% 5% 3% 7% 2% 5% 5% 7% 4% 3% 4% 5% 3% 6 (6) 55 34 21 8 7 7 7 12 15 15 14 27 16 20 10 9 36 20 5% 7% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 8% 7% 5% 4% 7% 7% 7% 5% 3% 7% 4% 5 (5) 129 64 65 11 13 17 28 22 37 23 46 59 23 50 27 29 73 56 12% 13% 12% 7% 8% 10% 15% 14% 17% 8% 13% 16% 10% 17% 13% 9% 14% 11% 1-4 (Net) 233 130 102 14 31 46 51 45 46 44 97 91 63 60 53 56 124 109 23% 26% 19% 9% 19% 27% 28% 29% 22% 14% 28% 25% 29% 21% 25% 18% 24% 21% 4 (4) 77 33 44 6 9 18 19 7 18 15 37 25 28 18 20 11 46 30 7% 7% 8% 4% 5% 11% 10% 4% 9% 5% 10% 7% 13% 6% 9% 4% 9% 6% 3 (3) 40 18 22 2 7 1 14 10 6 8 15 16 10 15 7 8 25 15 4% 4% 4% 1% 4% 1% 7% 6% 3% 3% 4% 4% 4% 5% 3% 3% 5% 3% 2 (2) 26 18 9 - 5 5 1 7 9 5 6 16 9 9 4 4 19 8 3% 4% 2% - 3% 3% 1% 4% 4% 2% 2% 4% 4% 3% 2% 1% 4% 2% 1 - Do not like at all 90 62 28 6 11 22 18 21 13 16 39 34 16 18 23 33 34 56 (1) 9% 12% 5% 4% 7% 13% 10% 14% 6% 5% 11% 9% 7% 6% 11% 11% 7% 11% Don t know 70 28 42 11 14 8 7 8 22 25 15 30 10 22 12 26 32 38 7% 6% 8% 7% 9% 5% 4% 5% 10% 8% 4% 8% 5% 8% 6% 8% 6% 7% Don t know who he/she is 472 203 269 102 89 78 78 56 69 191 155 125 82 125 97 167 208 264 46% 41% 50% 69% 55% 46% 42% 36% 33% 61% 44% 34% 37% 43% 47% 54% 40% 51% Mean 4.329 4.087 4.612 4.688 4.159 4.085 4.215 4.185 4.682 4.356 4.156 4.465 4.601 4.404 3.995 4.218 4.497 4.115 Std. Dev. 2.216 2.239 2.160 2.237 2.148 2.460 2.040 2.461 1.988 2.185 2.234 2.215 2.194 1.889 2.065 2.682 2.037 2.415 Std. Error 0.096 0.133 0.138 0.415 0.280 0.305 0.231 0.239 0.143 0.233 0.187 0.128 0.179 0.158 0.193 0.245 0.119 0.158 Error Variance 0.009 0.018 0.019 0.173 0.078 0.093 0.053 0.057 0.021 0.054 0.035 0.016 0.032 0.025 0.037 0.060 0.014 0.025

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 32 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 11 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Kezia Dugdale BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 75 5 8 13 10 10 14 7 8 34 23 18 7% 6% 6% 10% 8% 7% 10% 5% 6% 7% 8% 7% 10 - Like a lot (10) 9 - 3 - 2 - 3 - 2 4 2 3 1% - 2% - 2% - 2% - 1% 1% 1% 1% 9 (9) 8 - 1 2 2 1 1 - - 2 4 1 1% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% - - 1% 1% * 8 (8) 15 * 1 2 2 1 3 4 1 9 5 2 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 1% 7 (7) 43 4 3 8 4 8 7 3 5 19 12 12 4% 5% 3% 6% 3% 5% 5% 2% 4% 4% 4% 5% 6 (6) 55 6 9 11 9 5 6 7 2 18 18 19 5% 8% 7% 8% 6% 4% 4% 5% 2% 4% 6% 7% 5 (5) 129 16 14 23 16 15 13 23 10 58 33 38 12% 20% 10% 17% 12% 10% 9% 17% 7% 12% 11% 14% 1-4 (Net) 233 18 29 33 31 37 25 29 31 104 68 60 23% 21% 22% 24% 23% 26% 19% 21% 23% 22% 23% 23% 4 (4) 77 9 11 9 12 8 10 12 6 33 19 24 7% 11% 8% 7% 9% 6% 7% 9% 4% 7% 7% 9% 3 (3) 40 2 5 5 4 11 4 2 8 20 11 9 4% 2% 3% 4% 3% 8% 3% 2% 6% 4% 4% 3% 2 (2) 26 1 6 3 4 6 2 3 1 11 7 8 3% 2% 4% 2% 3% 4% 2% 3% 1% 2% 2% 3% 1 - Do not like at all 90 5 8 16 11 12 9 10 17 40 31 19 (1) 9% 6% 6% 12% 8% 8% 7% 8% 12% 8% 11% 7% Don t know 70 2 10 19 9 9 5 9 5 28 22 20 7% 3% 8% 14% 6% 7% 4% 7% 4% 6% 8% 8% Don t know who he/she is 472 36 64 36 60 67 72 60 78 232 132 108 46% 43% 47% 27% 45% 46% 53% 45% 58% 49% 44% 41% Mean 4.329 4.515 4.447 4.392 4.483 4.021 4.742 4.301 3.719 4.292 4.286 4.434 Std. Dev. 2.216 1.711 2.308 2.221 2.333 2.131 2.452 1.943 2.457 2.230 2.355 2.050 Std. Error 0.096 0.264 0.274 0.223 0.256 0.260 0.278 0.286 0.375 0.155 0.181 0.166 Error Variance 0.009 0.070 0.075 0.050 0.066 0.068 0.077 0.082 0.140 0.024 0.033 0.027

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 33 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 11 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Kezia Dugdale BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 75 3 35 1 16 - 15 63 6 37 2 21 2 7 7% 5% 25% 5% 5% - 5% 10% 5% 21% 3% 6% 10% 2% 10 - Like a lot (10) 9 - 8 - * - - 8 - 9 - * - - 1% - 6% - * - - 1% - 5% - * - - 9 (9) 8 1 6 - - - - 7 1 6 - - - 1 1% 1% 4% - - - - 1% * 3% - - - * 8 (8) 15 - 10 1 2 - 2 12 1 8 - 5 * 1 1% - 7% 4% 1% - 1% 2% 1% 5% - 1% 1% * 7 (7) 43 3 12 * 14 - 13 35 5 14 2 16 2 4 4% 4% 9% 2% 4% - 4% 6% 4% 8% 3% 4% 9% 1% 6 (6) 55 7 11 1 11 2 21 40 12 16 3 12 2 9 5% 9% 8% 2% 3% 13% 7% 6% 11% 9% 5% 3% 10% 3% 5 (5) 129 12 17 5 50 2 36 93 16 30 12 50 2 20 12% 17% 12% 22% 15% 13% 13% 14% 14% 17% 23% 14% 8% 7% 1-4 (Net) 233 17 14 4 111 3 45 157 29 27 9 113 2 52 23% 25% 10% 16% 33% 18% 16% 25% 27% 15% 17% 31% 8% 17% 4 (4) 77 7 7 - 24 1 21 51 14 12 6 22 2 21 7% 10% 5% - 7% 9% 7% 8% 12% 7% 11% 6% 7% 7% 3 (3) 40 2 3 * 20 - 8 25 5 4 - 23 * 7 4% 3% 2% 2% 6% - 3% 4% 5% 2% - 6% 1% 2% 2 (2) 26 4 - 1 13 - 6 16 6 4 1 12 - 4 3% 5% - 5% 4% - 2% 3% 5% 2% 2% 3% - 1% 1 - Do not like at all 90 5 5 2 54 1 10 65 5 7 2 56 - 20 (1) 9% 7% 3% 9% 16% 9% 3% 10% 4% 4% 4% 15% - 7% Don t know 70 3 8 * 16 - 22 39 5 6 8 20 * 31 7% 5% 6% 1% 5% - 8% 6% 4% 3% 14% 5% 1% 10% Don t know who he/she is 472 27 54 13 134 8 147 248 43 63 21 152 14 180 46% 39% 39% 54% 40% 57% 52% 39% 39% 35% 38% 41% 62% 60% Mean 4.329 4.342 6.216 4.149 3.560 4.266 4.634 4.454 4.466 5.718 4.526 3.647 5.591 3.843 Std. Dev. 2.216 1.851 2.318 2.224 2.057 1.966 1.713 2.291 1.747 2.305 1.493 2.130 1.275 2.007 Std. Error 0.096 0.289 0.251 0.642 0.138 0.622 0.164 0.115 0.220 0.215 0.431 0.139 0.341 0.212 Error Variance 0.009 0.084 0.063 0.412 0.019 0.386 0.027 0.013 0.048 0.046 0.186 0.019 0.116 0.045

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 34 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 12 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Ruth Davidson BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 115 60 55 7 10 16 13 26 43 18 29 69 40 33 23 20 72 43 11% 12% 10% 5% 6% 9% 7% 17% 20% 6% 8% 19% 18% 11% 11% 6% 14% 8% 10 - Like a lot (10) 17 7 9 - 1 - 2 6 7 1 2 13 9 4 2 2 13 4 2% 1% 2% - 1% - 1% 4% 3% * 1% 4% 4% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 9 (9) 12 6 6 - - 3 - 3 7 - 3 9 5 3 3 2 7 5 1% 1% 1% - - 2% - 2% 3% - 1% 3% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 8 (8) 30 15 15 5 3 1 2 7 13 8 3 19 12 10 6 2 21 9 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 1% 1% 4% 6% 2% 1% 5% 5% 3% 3% 1% 4% 2% 7 (7) 56 32 24 3 6 12 9 11 16 9 20 27 15 16 12 13 31 25 5% 6% 4% 2% 4% 7% 5% 7% 8% 3% 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 4% 6% 5% 6 (6) 76 42 35 15 6 9 17 10 19 21 26 29 28 30 8 11 57 19 7% 8% 6% 10% 4% 5% 9% 6% 9% 7% 7% 8% 13% 10% 4% 3% 11% 4% 5 (5) 114 59 54 14 21 24 13 9 33 35 37 42 33 39 21 20 72 41 11% 12% 10% 9% 13% 14% 7% 6% 16% 11% 10% 11% 15% 13% 10% 7% 14% 8% 1-4 (Net) 363 200 163 32 40 59 91 76 65 72 150 141 61 107 84 111 168 195 35% 40% 30% 22% 24% 35% 49% 48% 31% 23% 42% 38% 28% 36% 40% 36% 33% 38% 4 (4) 100 56 44 10 13 15 23 22 16 24 38 38 24 39 17 21 63 37 10% 11% 8% 7% 8% 9% 13% 14% 8% 8% 11% 10% 11% 13% 8% 7% 12% 7% 3 (3) 65 30 35 8 10 8 15 14 12 17 22 25 12 17 16 20 29 36 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 5% 8% 9% 5% 6% 6% 7% 5% 6% 8% 7% 6% 7% 2 (2) 41 19 22 1 3 8 16 5 9 4 24 14 9 14 4 13 23 18 4% 4% 4% 1% 2% 5% 9% 3% 4% 1% 7% 4% 4% 5% 2% 4% 4% 3% 1 - Do not like at all 157 95 62 14 14 29 37 36 28 28 65 64 16 37 47 57 53 104 (1) 15% 19% 12% 9% 9% 17% 20% 23% 13% 9% 18% 17% 7% 13% 22% 18% 10% 20% Don t know 60 21 40 8 9 9 9 5 20 18 17 25 8 18 10 23 27 33 6% 4% 7% 6% 6% 5% 5% 3% 9% 6% 5% 7% 4% 6% 5% 7% 5% 6% Don t know who he/she is 306 114 191 72 76 52 43 31 32 148 95 63 52 67 62 125 119 187 30% 23% 36% 48% 47% 31% 23% 20% 15% 47% 27% 17% 23% 23% 30% 40% 23% 36% Mean 4.149 4.055 4.260 4.295 4.184 3.884 3.537 4.051 4.834 4.236 3.692 4.497 5.091 4.315 3.725 3.348 4.655 3.521 Std. Dev. 2.431 2.428 2.432 2.118 2.096 2.283 2.217 2.718 2.597 2.100 2.249 2.673 2.358 2.250 2.528 2.307 2.327 2.414 Std. Error 0.092 0.126 0.133 0.294 0.242 0.248 0.218 0.228 0.165 0.186 0.164 0.135 0.172 0.161 0.201 0.181 0.119 0.135 Error Variance 0.008 0.016 0.018 0.086 0.059 0.061 0.048 0.052 0.027 0.035 0.027 0.018 0.030 0.026 0.040 0.033 0.014 0.018

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 35 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 12 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Ruth Davidson BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 115 10 16 24 23 8 17 11 7 39 40 36 11% 12% 12% 18% 17% 5% 12% 8% 5% 8% 14% 14% 10 - Like a lot (10) 17 - 1 5 6 - 1 2 1 5 8 4 2% - 1% 4% 4% - 1% 2% 1% 1% 3% 2% 9 (9) 12 - 6 1 4 1 - - - 1 5 6 1% - 4% 1% 3% 1% - - - * 2% 2% 8 (8) 30 3 3 6 3 1 6 4 4 12 10 8 3% 4% 3% 4% 2% * 5% 3% 3% 3% 3% 3% 7 (7) 56 6 5 12 10 6 9 5 2 20 18 18 5% 8% 4% 9% 8% 4% 7% 4% 2% 4% 6% 7% 6 (6) 76 6 6 9 13 6 12 17 7 35 23 18 7% 7% 5% 7% 10% 4% 9% 13% 5% 7% 8% 7% 5 (5) 114 12 18 21 15 12 12 17 7 42 37 35 11% 14% 13% 16% 11% 8% 9% 13% 5% 9% 13% 13% 1-4 (Net) 363 31 45 44 41 53 43 50 56 181 96 86 35% 37% 33% 33% 31% 37% 32% 38% 42% 38% 32% 33% 4 (4) 100 14 4 9 15 15 12 18 14 53 27 20 10% 17% 3% 7% 11% 10% 9% 13% 11% 11% 9% 8% 3 (3) 65 6 9 6 8 12 7 7 9 31 17 17 6% 7% 7% 5% 6% 8% 5% 5% 7% 7% 6% 7% 2 (2) 41 2 8 9 1 11 4 - 6 21 7 12 4% 3% 6% 7% * 8% 3% - 5% 5% 2% 5% 1 - Do not like at all 157 8 24 19 18 15 20 26 27 76 45 36 (1) 15% 10% 18% 14% 13% 11% 15% 19% 20% 16% 15% 14% Don t know 60 2 11 17 3 9 6 10 1 24 15 21 6% 3% 8% 13% 2% 6% 4% 8% 1% 5% 5% 8% Don t know who he/she is 306 23 39 18 38 57 46 29 56 154 85 67 30% 27% 29% 14% 29% 39% 34% 21% 42% 32% 29% 25% Mean 4.149 4.345 3.997 4.555 4.824 3.613 4.249 4.101 3.344 3.850 4.412 4.361 Std. Dev. 2.431 2.015 2.670 2.594 2.604 2.003 2.415 2.323 2.288 2.295 2.552 2.471 Std. Error 0.092 0.269 0.268 0.230 0.254 0.228 0.227 0.288 0.288 0.137 0.171 0.173 Error Variance 0.008 0.072 0.072 0.053 0.065 0.052 0.052 0.083 0.083 0.019 0.029 0.030

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 36 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 12 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Ruth Davidson BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 115 32 11 7 33 - 26 91 41 13 12 31 2 16 11% 46% 8% 30% 10% - 9% 14% 37% 7% 23% 8% 7% 5% 10 - Like a lot (10) 17 10 2 3 1 - - 12 12 2 1 1 - - 2% 15% 2% 12% * - - 2% 11% 1% 2% * - - 9 (9) 12 7 1 - - - 4 11 9 2 - - - 1 1% 10% 1% - - - 1% 2% 8% 1% - - - * 8 (8) 30 7 3 2 9 - 9 27 10 4 4 9 - 4 3% 10% 2% 10% 3% - 3% 4% 9% 2% 6% 2% - 1% 7 (7) 56 8 5 2 23 - 13 42 10 5 8 21 2 11 5% 11% 4% 8% 7% - 5% 7% 9% 3% 14% 6% 7% 4% 6 (6) 76 11 10 - 18 1 30 52 17 12 11 17 4 15 7% 16% 7% - 5% 4% 11% 8% 15% 7% 20% 5% 17% 5% 5 (5) 114 8 16 7 41 2 30 84 13 22 10 45 1 22 11% 11% 12% 29% 12% 10% 11% 13% 12% 12% 18% 12% 6% 7% 1-4 (Net) 363 5 61 6 161 7 82 243 19 79 9 175 10 72 35% 7% 44% 24% 48% 46% 29% 38% 17% 44% 16% 48% 42% 24% 4 (4) 100 4 13 3 31 1 29 68 9 21 4 38 6 22 10% 6% 9% 14% 9% 4% 10% 11% 8% 12% 8% 10% 25% 7% 3 (3) 65 1 9 2 25 3 22 44 4 13 5 26 3 15 6% 1% 7% 9% 7% 20% 8% 7% 4% 7% 8% 7% 13% 5% 2 (2) 41 - 9 - 19 * 11 25 4 12 - 15 * 10 4% - 7% - 5% 1% 4% 4% 4% 7% - 4% 1% 3% 1 - Do not like at all 157 - 30 * 87 3 20 107 1 33 - 97 1 26 (1) 15% - 21% 1% 26% 21% 7% 17% 1% 19% - 26% 3% 9% Don t know 60 1 2 1 8 - 23 35 2 6 8 9 * 35 6% 2% 1% 3% 2% - 8% 5% 2% 3% 14% 2% 1% 12% Don t know who he/she is 306 13 40 4 77 6 94 135 19 46 5 91 6 139 30% 18% 29% 14% 23% 40% 33% 21% 17% 26% 9% 25% 27% 46% Mean 4.149 7.188 3.610 5.802 3.475 2.881 4.489 4.278 6.456 3.728 5.699 3.406 4.529 3.947 Std. Dev. 2.431 1.993 2.370 2.348 2.289 1.763 2.072 2.464 2.325 2.292 1.610 2.246 1.539 2.110 Std. Error 0.092 0.266 0.229 0.587 0.133 0.509 0.165 0.109 0.254 0.194 0.390 0.127 0.363 0.182 Error Variance 0.008 0.071 0.053 0.345 0.018 0.259 0.027 0.012 0.064 0.038 0.152 0.016 0.132 0.033

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 37 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 13 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: David Cameron BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 144 83 61 13 15 22 18 23 52 29 40 76 55 44 22 24 98 46 14% 17% 11% 9% 9% 13% 10% 15% 25% 9% 11% 20% 25% 15% 11% 8% 19% 9% 10 - Like a lot (10) 13 4 10 - 3 2 1 3 3 3 4 6 4 3 2 3 8 6 1% 1% 2% - 2% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 9 (9) 12 8 4 2 - 2 3 1 4 2 5 5 2 3 3 4 5 7 1% 2% 1% 2% - 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 1% 8 (8) 51 30 21 1 4 6 7 8 25 5 12 33 22 11 9 9 33 17 5% 6% 4% * 3% 3% 4% 5% 12% 2% 4% 9% 10% 4% 4% 3% 6% 3% 7 (7) 68 42 27 10 8 12 7 11 20 18 19 31 27 26 8 8 53 16 7% 8% 5% 7% 5% 7% 4% 7% 9% 6% 5% 8% 12% 9% 4% 2% 10% 3% 6 (6) 70 44 26 8 12 11 15 8 15 21 26 23 21 22 11 17 42 28 7% 9% 5% 6% 8% 6% 8% 5% 7% 7% 7% 6% 9% 7% 5% 5% 8% 5% 5 (5) 130 54 76 24 13 15 23 21 35 37 37 56 35 40 21 34 75 55 13% 11% 14% 16% 8% 9% 12% 13% 17% 12% 11% 15% 16% 14% 10% 11% 15% 11% 1-4 (Net) 630 292 338 84 106 112 127 101 100 190 239 201 105 165 148 212 271 360 61% 59% 63% 56% 65% 66% 69% 65% 47% 61% 68% 54% 47% 56% 71% 69% 52% 69% 4 (4) 102 41 61 17 21 13 21 11 18 38 35 29 22 34 18 28 56 46 10% 8% 11% 12% 13% 8% 12% 7% 9% 12% 10% 8% 10% 11% 9% 9% 11% 9% 3 (3) 72 36 37 10 11 15 12 13 11 22 27 24 23 23 9 18 46 27 7% 7% 7% 7% 7% 9% 6% 8% 5% 7% 8% 6% 10% 8% 4% 6% 9% 5% 2 (2) 104 44 60 15 23 16 18 16 16 38 34 32 20 27 23 34 47 57 10% 9% 11% 10% 14% 10% 10% 10% 7% 12% 10% 9% 9% 9% 11% 11% 9% 11% 1 - Do not like at all 352 171 181 41 51 68 76 61 55 92 143 117 41 82 97 132 123 230 (1) 34% 35% 34% 28% 32% 40% 41% 39% 26% 30% 41% 32% 18% 28% 46% 43% 24% 44% Don t know 36 11 24 9 11 4 1 3 8 20 5 11 7 14 5 10 21 15 3% 2% 5% 6% 7% 2% 1% 2% 4% 6% 1% 3% 3% 5% 2% 3% 4% 3% Don t know who he/she is 24 12 12 10 6 6 - 1 2 16 6 3 * 9 2 12 9 15 2% 2% 2% 7% 3% 3% - 1% 1% 5% 2% 1% * 3% 1% 4% 2% 3% Mean 3.468 3.600 3.343 3.405 3.232 3.166 3.183 3.329 4.278 3.313 3.176 3.869 4.443 3.701 2.928 2.893 4.030 2.908 Std. Dev. 2.482 2.557 2.406 2.190 2.343 2.463 2.363 2.547 2.677 2.269 2.406 2.660 2.505 2.415 2.427 2.311 2.480 2.357 Std. Error 0.080 0.118 0.107 0.219 0.202 0.221 0.198 0.195 0.155 0.148 0.148 0.123 0.163 0.150 0.165 0.143 0.112 0.108 Error Variance 0.006 0.014 0.012 0.048 0.041 0.049 0.039 0.038 0.024 0.022 0.022 0.015 0.027 0.023 0.027 0.020 0.012 0.012

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 38 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 13 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: David Cameron BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 144 6 28 26 28 12 13 15 17 47 50 47 14% 8% 21% 19% 20% 8% 9% 11% 13% 10% 17% 18% 10 - Like a lot (10) 13 - 7 3 3 - 1 - - 1 3 10 1% - 5% 2% 2% - 1% - - * 1% 4% 9 (9) 12 * 5 4 - - 2 1 - 3 3 6 1% 1% 3% 3% - - 1% 1% - 1% 1% 2% 8 (8) 51 3 8 8 18 5 1 2 5 9 27 15 5% 4% 6% 6% 14% 3% 1% 2% 4% 2% 9% 6% 7 (7) 68 3 9 11 6 7 9 11 12 33 18 17 7% 3% 6% 8% 5% 5% 7% 8% 9% 7% 6% 6% 6 (6) 70 9 7 17 10 7 7 2 10 19 28 23 7% 11% 5% 12% 8% 5% 5% 2% 7% 4% 9% 9% 5 (5) 130 11 27 13 10 20 18 14 17 57 33 39 13% 13% 20% 10% 7% 14% 13% 10% 12% 12% 11% 15% 1-4 (Net) 630 53 66 68 77 103 91 90 83 321 168 141 61% 64% 49% 50% 58% 71% 67% 67% 61% 68% 57% 54% 4 (4) 102 9 4 7 21 24 16 12 9 48 40 14 10% 10% 3% 5% 16% 16% 12% 9% 7% 10% 13% 5% 3 (3) 72 8 7 12 5 12 12 9 8 36 15 21 7% 9% 5% 9% 4% 9% 9% 7% 6% 8% 5% 8% 2 (2) 104 9 8 13 11 23 13 18 8 59 24 22 10% 11% 6% 10% 8% 16% 10% 13% 6% 12% 8% 8% 1 - Do not like at all 352 28 48 36 40 43 49 50 58 178 89 85 (1) 34% 33% 36% 27% 30% 30% 37% 38% 43% 38% 30% 32% Don t know 36 1 3 9 7 2 4 10 * 16 12 7 3% 1% 2% 7% 5% 1% 3% 7% * 3% 4% 3% Don t know who he/she is 24 2 2 2 3 - 3 4 8 14 5 5 2% 3% 2% 1% 2% - 2% 3% 6% 3% 2% 2% Mean 3.468 3.308 3.989 4.018 3.938 3.206 3.142 2.931 3.166 3.027 3.826 3.850 Std. Dev. 2.482 2.223 2.922 2.710 2.706 2.052 2.234 2.224 2.391 2.203 2.550 2.743 Std. Error 0.080 0.258 0.245 0.217 0.229 0.186 0.175 0.247 0.247 0.110 0.149 0.165 Error Variance 0.006 0.067 0.060 0.047 0.052 0.035 0.031 0.061 0.061 0.012 0.022 0.027

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 39 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 13 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: David Cameron BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 144 46 13 10 15 * 45 97 60 16 16 23 * 30 14% 66% 10% 42% 4% 2% 16% 15% 54% 9% 29% 6% 1% 10% 10 - Like a lot (10) 13 8 2 - - - 3 7 8 2 2 - - 2 1% 12% 1% - - - 1% 1% 7% 1% 3% - - 1% 9 (9) 12 5 2 - 1 - 2 8 6 2 - 1 - 3 1% 7% 1% - * - 1% 1% 6% 1% - * - 1% 8 (8) 51 17 6 8 5 * 11 35 22 7 5 8 * 9 5% 24% 4% 32% 1% 2% 4% 5% 19% 4% 9% 2% 1% 3% 7 (7) 68 16 4 3 9 - 29 48 24 5 9 13 - 16 7% 23% 3% 10% 3% - 10% 7% 22% 3% 17% 4% - 5% 6 (6) 70 10 8 2 12 1 28 43 17 14 4 15 * 19 7% 15% 6% 7% 4% 4% 10% 7% 15% 8% 7% 4% 1% 6% 5 (5) 130 5 16 4 20 1 62 80 14 21 15 28 3 49 13% 8% 11% 16% 6% 4% 22% 12% 13% 12% 28% 8% 12% 16% 1-4 (Net) 630 6 100 9 285 13 135 406 17 125 20 295 19 154 61% 9% 72% 35% 84% 91% 47% 63% 15% 70% 36% 80% 84% 52% 4 (4) 102 6 13 3 31 1 32 60 12 13 8 40 2 27 10% 8% 9% 13% 9% 5% 11% 9% 11% 7% 14% 11% 8% 9% 3 (3) 72 1 9 3 21 1 21 38 1 17 2 27 5 21 7% 1% 7% 13% 6% 4% 7% 6% 1% 9% 4% 7% 20% 7% 2 (2) 104 - 20 1 54 3 20 67 1 22 7 47 7 20 10% - 14% 5% 16% 24% 7% 10% * 12% 13% 13% 29% 7% 1 - Do not like at all 352 - 58 1 180 9 62 241 3 74 2 181 6 86 (1) 34% - 42% 3% 53% 59% 22% 38% 3% 41% 5% 49% 26% 29% Don t know 36 2 1 - 6 - 7 12 3 2 - 6 * 25 3% 3% 1% - 2% - 2% 2% 3% 1% - 2% 1% 8% Don t know who he/she is 24 - 1 - 1 - 9 3 - 1 - 1 - 22 2% - 1% - * - 3% * - * - * - 7% Mean 3.468 7.158 3.003 5.534 2.279 1.926 4.108 3.412 6.535 3.033 5.021 2.544 2.608 3.521 Std. Dev. 2.482 1.731 2.369 2.224 1.850 1.637 2.306 2.511 1.974 2.331 2.142 2.001 1.524 2.349 Std. Error 0.080 0.211 0.198 0.497 0.097 0.386 0.149 0.098 0.198 0.173 0.467 0.102 0.311 0.145 Error Variance 0.006 0.045 0.039 0.247 0.009 0.149 0.022 0.010 0.039 0.030 0.218 0.010 0.097 0.021

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 40 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 14 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Jeremy Corbyn BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 152 79 73 14 26 23 31 31 27 40 53 58 51 48 19 33 100 52 15% 16% 14% 9% 16% 13% 17% 20% 12% 13% 15% 16% 23% 16% 9% 11% 19% 10% 10 - Like a lot (10) 28 14 14 4 3 4 5 7 6 6 9 12 5 6 5 13 11 17 3% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 3% 4% 3% 2% 3% 3% 2% 2% 2% 4% 2% 3% 9 (9) 14 11 3 1 2 2 4 1 4 3 6 4 7 3 - 4 10 4 1% 2% * 1% 1% 1% 2% * 2% 1% 2% 1% 3% 1% - 1% 2% 1% 8 (8) 50 21 30 3 10 6 7 13 11 12 14 24 14 18 9 10 31 19 5% 4% 6% 2% 6% 4% 4% 8% 5% 4% 4% 7% 6% 6% 4% 3% 6% 4% 7 (7) 59 33 26 7 11 10 14 11 6 18 24 17 25 22 6 6 48 12 6% 7% 5% 5% 7% 6% 8% 7% 3% 6% 7% 5% 11% 8% 3% 2% 9% 2% 6 (6) 57 32 25 6 8 11 15 8 10 14 26 18 13 17 8 20 30 27 6% 6% 5% 4% 5% 7% 8% 5% 5% 4% 7% 5% 6% 6% 4% 6% 6% 5% 5 (5) 157 82 74 18 20 25 37 22 35 38 62 56 26 51 33 47 77 80 15% 17% 14% 12% 12% 15% 20% 14% 16% 12% 17% 15% 12% 17% 16% 15% 15% 15% 1-4 (Net) 374 193 181 32 42 60 66 73 100 74 126 173 95 109 81 89 204 170 36% 39% 34% 22% 26% 36% 36% 47% 47% 24% 36% 47% 43% 37% 39% 29% 40% 33% 4 (4) 83 34 49 17 12 16 12 15 12 28 27 27 22 24 20 16 47 36 8% 7% 9% 11% 7% 9% 6% 10% 6% 9% 8% 7% 10% 8% 9% 5% 9% 7% 3 (3) 52 29 24 6 8 5 8 9 16 14 14 25 14 20 9 9 34 18 5% 6% 4% 4% 5% 3% 4% 6% 8% 4% 4% 7% 6% 7% 4% 3% 7% 4% 2 (2) 63 27 36 1 9 11 11 10 20 10 22 31 21 16 13 13 37 26 6% 5% 7% 1% 6% 6% 6% 7% 10% 3% 6% 8% 9% 5% 6% 4% 7% 5% 1 - Do not like at all 176 103 73 9 14 28 35 39 51 22 63 90 37 50 39 50 86 89 (1) 17% 21% 14% 6% 8% 17% 19% 25% 24% 7% 18% 24% 17% 17% 19% 16% 17% 17% Don t know 79 28 51 15 12 9 11 7 25 26 20 33 21 21 15 22 42 37 8% 6% 9% 10% 7% 5% 6% 5% 12% 8% 6% 9% 10% 7% 7% 7% 8% 7% Don t know who he/she is 216 83 133 64 54 42 25 16 16 118 66 32 17 47 54 99 63 153 21% 17% 25% 43% 34% 25% 13% 10% 7% 38% 19% 9% 7% 16% 26% 32% 12% 30% Mean 4.248 4.195 4.306 4.764 4.741 4.225 4.360 4.138 3.763 4.751 4.301 3.928 4.444 4.315 3.831 4.288 4.373 4.092 Std. Dev. 2.581 2.631 2.528 2.235 2.478 2.536 2.571 2.762 2.602 2.371 2.552 2.675 2.642 2.481 2.441 2.723 2.552 2.612 Std. Error 0.093 0.132 0.130 0.304 0.258 0.263 0.238 0.225 0.159 0.196 0.176 0.131 0.183 0.168 0.191 0.200 0.124 0.140 Error Variance 0.009 0.017 0.017 0.092 0.067 0.069 0.057 0.051 0.025 0.039 0.031 0.017 0.033 0.028 0.036 0.040 0.015 0.020

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 41 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 14 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Jeremy Corbyn BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 152 13 19 22 28 17 26 13 15 61 52 38 15% 16% 14% 16% 21% 12% 19% 10% 11% 13% 18% 14% 10 - Like a lot (10) 28 2 6 4 3 2 8 2 2 13 7 9 3% 2% 5% 3% 2% 1% 6% 1% 2% 3% 2% 3% 9 (9) 14 1 3 2 3 1 2 1 1 4 6 4 1% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 2% 1% 1% 1% 2% 1% 8 (8) 50 5 5 9 12 6 6 2 6 17 21 13 5% 6% 4% 6% 9% 4% 5% 2% 5% 4% 7% 5% 7 (7) 59 6 5 8 11 8 9 8 5 27 19 13 6% 7% 4% 6% 8% 6% 7% 6% 4% 6% 7% 5% 6 (6) 57 7 5 5 4 7 13 9 8 34 10 13 6% 8% 4% 4% 3% 5% 10% 6% 6% 7% 4% 5% 5 (5) 157 14 25 15 13 23 27 20 20 90 22 44 15% 17% 19% 11% 10% 16% 20% 15% 15% 19% 8% 17% 1-4 (Net) 374 30 49 62 53 55 26 57 42 145 125 104 36% 36% 37% 46% 39% 38% 20% 43% 31% 31% 42% 39% 4 (4) 83 8 11 9 10 18 6 18 4 39 23 22 8% 10% 8% 7% 7% 12% 5% 13% 3% 8% 8% 8% 3 (3) 52 2 6 7 6 14 2 8 8 24 18 10 5% 2% 4% 5% 4% 9% 1% 6% 6% 5% 6% 4% 2 (2) 63 7 12 9 6 5 5 9 9 22 20 21 6% 9% 9% 6% 4% 3% 4% 7% 7% 5% 7% 8% 1 - Do not like at all 176 13 20 37 31 19 12 23 21 60 65 51 (1) 17% 15% 15% 27% 23% 13% 9% 17% 16% 13% 22% 19% Don t know 79 2 10 15 17 14 5 11 4 30 32 17 8% 3% 8% 11% 13% 10% 4% 8% 3% 6% 11% 6% Don t know who he/she is 216 16 26 16 20 30 37 24 47 115 54 47 21% 20% 20% 12% 15% 20% 28% 18% 35% 24% 18% 18% Mean 4.248 4.360 4.297 3.802 4.213 4.193 5.241 3.919 4.066 4.477 3.999 4.133 Std. Dev. 2.581 2.476 2.657 2.784 2.866 2.229 2.562 2.241 2.563 2.391 2.790 2.636 Std. Error 0.093 0.317 0.249 0.241 0.267 0.229 0.230 0.276 0.313 0.136 0.181 0.175 Error Variance 0.009 0.100 0.062 0.058 0.071 0.052 0.053 0.076 0.098 0.018 0.033 0.030

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 42 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 14 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Jeremy Corbyn BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland

7-10 (Net) 152 1 43 3 54 3 37 124 5 52 6 62 6 20 15% 1% 31% 14% 16% 21% 13% 19% 5% 29% 11% 17% 27% 7% 10 - Like a lot (10) 28 1 17 - 7 1 3 27 1 18 2 7 1 * 3% 1% 12% - 2% 5% 1% 4% 1% 10% 3% 2% 4% * 9 (9) 14 - 2 2 9 1 1 10 2 2 - 8 1 2 1% - 1% 7% 3% 4% * 2% 2% 1% - 2% 2% 1% 8 (8) 50 - 14 * 15 1 13 42 2 13 4 17 4 10 5% - 10% 2% 4% 6% 5% 7% 2% 7% 8% 5% 17% 3% 7 (7) 59 - 10 1 23 1 20 45 1 19 - 30 1 8 6% - 7% 4% 7% 5% 7% 7% * 11% - 8% 4% 3% 6 (6) 57 - 11 - 33 - 11 30 2 13 - 33 2 7 6% - 8% - 10% - 4% 5% 2% 7% - 9% 7% 2% 5 (5) 157 4 21 4 60 6 41 122 6 29 8 71 6 36 15% 6% 15% 17% 18% 43% 14% 19% 6% 16% 15% 19% 26% 12% 1-4 (Net) 374 58 33 10 128 5 84 238 80 49 29 124 7 85 36% 84% 24% 41% 38% 36% 29% 37% 72% 28% 54% 34% 29% 28% 4 (4) 83 11 8 3 27 * 23 47 13 8 12 26 * 23 8% 16% 6% 13% 8% 2% 8% 7% 12% 5% 22% 7% 2% 8% 3 (3) 52 3 6 1 21 - 15 36 13 8 8 13 * 11 5% 5% 4% 3% 6% - 5% 6% 11% 5% 15% 3% 1% 4% 2 (2) 63 11 10 1 17 1 14 49 16 14 - 22 1 10 6% 16% 7% 2% 5% 4% 5% 8% 15% 8% - 6% 4% 3% 1 - Do not like at all 176 33 9 6 63 4 32 106 38 20 9 64 5 40 (1) 17% 47% 6% 23% 19% 30% 11% 17% 34% 11% 17% 17% 22% 14% Don t know 79 5 6 6 14 - 29 44 11 7 12 15 * 34 8% 7% 4% 23% 4% - 10% 7% 10% 4% 21% 4% * 11% Don t know who he/she is 216 2 26 1 50 - 83 81 6 28 - 63 2 117 21% 3% 18% 5% 15% - 29% 13% 6% 16% - 17% 11% 39% Mean 4.248 2.177 5.736 3.954 4.351 4.373 4.345 4.481 2.670 5.312 3.981 4.451 4.884 3.812 Std. Dev. 2.581 1.611 2.778 2.677 2.519 2.859 2.335 2.654 2.015 2.836 2.295 2.499 2.875 2.272 Std. Error 0.093 0.205 0.255 0.649 0.143 0.674 0.181 0.112 0.214 0.226 0.527 0.138 0.587 0.182 Error Variance 0.009 0.042 0.065 0.422 0.020 0.454 0.033 0.013 0.046 0.051 0.277 0.019 0.344 0.033

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 43 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 15 Q15. Summary table: Rating of politicians BASE: All respondents

Nicola Sturgeon Kezia Dugdale Ruth Davidson David Cameron Jeremy Corbyn Unweighted base 1034 1034 1034 1034 1034 Weighted base 1034 1034 1034 1034 1034

7-10 (Net) 450 75 115 144 152 44% 7% 11% 14% 15% 10 - Like a lot (10) 121 9 17 13 28 12% 1% 2% 1% 3% 9 (9) 76 8 12 12 14 7% 1% 1% 1% 1% 8 (8) 131 15 30 51 50 13% 1% 3% 5% 5% 7 (7) 123 43 56 68 59 12% 4% 5% 7% 6% 6 (6) 98 55 76 70 57 9% 5% 7% 7% 6% 5 (5) 137 129 114 130 157 13% 12% 11% 13% 15% 1-4 (Net) 261 233 363 630 374 25% 23% 35% 61% 36% 4 (4) 52 77 100 102 83 5% 7% 10% 10% 8% 3 (3) 39 40 65 72 52 4% 4% 6% 7% 5% 2 (2) 41 26 41 104 63 4% 3% 4% 10% 6% 1 - Do not like at all 128 90 157 352 176 (1) 12% 9% 15% 34% 17% Don t know 35 70 60 36 79 3% 7% 6% 3% 8% Don t know who he/she is 53 472 306 24 216 5% 46% 30% 2% 21% Mean 5.926 4.329 4.149 3.468 4.248 Std. Dev. 2.876 2.216 2.431 2.482 2.581 Std. Error 0.093 0.096 0.092 0.080 0.093 Error Variance 0.009 0.009 0.008 0.006 0.009

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 44 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 16 Q15. Mean score summary table: Rating of politicians BASE: All respondents

Nicola Sturgeon 5.926 5.914 5.937 6.146 6.358 6.377 5.952 5.878 5.161 6.258 6.146 5.470 5.751 6.006 6.232 5.762 5.893 5.959 Kezia Dugdale 4.329 4.087 4.612 4.688 4.159 4.085 4.215 4.185 4.682 4.356 4.156 4.465 4.601 4.404 3.995 4.218 4.497 4.115 Ruth Davidson 4.149 4.055 4.260 4.295 4.184 3.884 3.537 4.051 4.834 4.236 3.692 4.497 5.091 4.315 3.725 3.348 4.655 3.521 David Cameron 3.468 3.600 3.343 3.405 3.232 3.166 3.183 3.329 4.278 3.313 3.176 3.869 4.443 3.701 2.928 2.893 4.030 2.908 Jeremy Corbyn 4.248 4.195 4.306 4.764 4.741 4.225 4.360 4.138 3.763 4.751 4.301 3.928 4.444 4.315 3.831 4.288 4.373 4.092

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 45 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 16 Q15. Mean score summary table: Rating of politicians BASE: All respondents

Nicola Sturgeon 5.926 5.695 6.020 5.766 6.072 5.750 6.409 5.758 5.873 5.997 5.911 5.815 Kezia Dugdale 4.329 4.515 4.447 4.392 4.483 4.021 4.742 4.301 3.719 4.292 4.286 4.434 Ruth Davidson 4.149 4.345 3.997 4.555 4.824 3.613 4.249 4.101 3.344 3.850 4.412 4.361 David Cameron 3.468 3.308 3.989 4.018 3.938 3.206 3.142 2.931 3.166 3.027 3.826 3.850 Jeremy Corbyn 4.248 4.360 4.297 3.802 4.213 4.193 5.241 3.919 4.066 4.477 3.999 4.133

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 46 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 16 Q15. Mean score summary table: Rating of politicians BASE: All respondents

Nicola Sturgeon 5.926 3.780 4.524 3.588 8.115 5.036 5.340 6.242 4.044 4.339 5.192 7.864 5.239 5.155 Kezia Dugdale 4.329 4.342 6.216 4.149 3.560 4.266 4.634 4.454 4.466 5.718 4.526 3.647 5.591 3.843 Ruth Davidson 4.149 7.188 3.610 5.802 3.475 2.881 4.489 4.278 6.456 3.728 5.699 3.406 4.529 3.947 David Cameron 3.468 7.158 3.003 5.534 2.279 1.926 4.108 3.412 6.535 3.033 5.021 2.544 2.608 3.521 Jeremy Corbyn 4.248 2.177 5.736 3.954 4.351 4.373 4.345 4.481 2.670 5.312 3.981 4.451 4.884 3.812

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 47 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 17 Break 1 BASE: All respondents

SEX Male 496 496 - 72 72 82 107 69 94 144 189 163 117 149 111 120 266 231 48% 100% - 48% 45% 48% 58% 44% 44% 46% 53% 44% 53% 51% 53% 39% 51% 45% Female 538 - 538 77 90 87 78 88 118 167 165 206 106 145 98 189 250 287 52% - 100% 52% 55% 52% 42% 56% 56% 54% 47% 56% 47% 49% 47% 61% 49% 55% AGE 16-24 149 72 77 149 - - - - - 149 - - 19 59 26 45 78 71 14% 15% 14% 100% - - - - - 48% - - 9% 20% 12% 15% 15% 14% 25-34 162 72 90 - 162 - - - - 162 - - 31 50 35 46 81 82 16% 15% 17% - 100% - - - - 52% - - 14% 17% 17% 15% 16% 16% 35-44 168 82 87 - - 168 - - - - 168 - 36 39 37 57 75 93 16% 16% 16% - - 100% - - - - 48% - 16% 13% 17% 18% 15% 18% 45-54 185 107 78 - - - 185 - - - 185 - 36 63 38 47 99 86 18% 22% 15% - - - 100% - - - 52% - 16% 21% 18% 15% 19% 17% 55-64 157 69 88 - - - - 157 - - - 157 40 41 24 52 81 76 15% 14% 16% - - - - 100% - - - 43% 18% 14% 11% 17% 16% 15% 65+ 212 94 118 - - - - - 212 - - 212 59 42 49 61 102 110 21% 19% 22% - - - - - 100% - - 57% 27% 14% 23% 20% 20% 21% 16-34 311 144 167 149 162 - - - - 311 - - 50 108 61 91 159 153 30% 29% 31% 100% 100% - - - - 100% - - 23% 37% 29% 30% 31% 29% 35-54 353 189 165 - - 168 185 - - - 353 - 73 102 75 104 175 179 34% 38% 31% - - 100% 100% - - - 100% - 33% 35% 36% 34% 34% 35% 55+ 369 163 206 - - - - 157 212 - - 369 100 83 73 114 183 187 36% 33% 38% - - - - 100% 100% - - 100% 45% 28% 35% 37% 35% 36% SEG AB 222 117 106 19 31 36 36 40 59 50 73 100 222 - - - 222 - 22% 24% 20% 13% 19% 22% 20% 25% 28% 16% 21% 27% 100% - - - 43% - C1 294 149 145 59 50 39 63 41 42 108 102 83 - 294 - - 294 - 28% 30% 27% 39% 31% 23% 34% 26% 20% 35% 29% 23% - 100% - - 57% - C2 209 111 98 26 35 37 38 24 49 61 75 73 - - 209 - - 209 20% 22% 18% 17% 22% 22% 21% 15% 23% 20% 21% 20% - - 100% - - 40% DE 309 120 189 45 46 57 47 52 61 91 104 114 - - - 309 - 309 30% 24% 35% 30% 29% 34% 26% 33% 29% 29% 29% 31% - - - 100% - 60% SEG ABC1 516 266 250 78 81 75 99 81 102 159 175 183 222 294 - - 516 - 50% 54% 47% 52% 50% 45% 54% 51% 48% 51% 49% 49% 100% 100% - - 100% - C2DE 518 231 287 71 82 93 86 76 110 153 179 187 - - 209 309 - 518 50% 46% 53% 48% 50% 55% 46% 49% 52% 49% 51% 51% - - 100% 100% - 100%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 48 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 18 Break 2 BASE: All respondents

AREA H&I 83 83 ------5 - 78 8% 100% ------1% - 30% North East 134 - 134 ------134 13% - 100% ------51% Mid & Fife 134 - - 134 ------84 51 13% - - 100% ------28% 19% Lothians 134 - - - 134 - - - - - 134 - 13% - - - 100% - - - - - 45% - Central 145 - - - - 145 - - - 125 19 - 14% - - - - 100% - - - 26% 7% - Glasgow 134 - - - - - 134 - - 134 - - 13% - - - - - 100% - - 28% - - West 134 ------134 - 134 - - 13% ------100% - 28% - - South 134 ------134 75 59 - 13% ------100% 16% 20% - AREA West 474 5 - - - 125 134 134 75 474 - - 46% 6% - - - 87% 100% 100% 56% 100% - - East/ South 297 - - 84 134 19 - - 59 - 297 - 29% - - 62% 100% 13% - - 44% - 100% - North 263 78 134 51 ------263 25% 94% 100% 38% ------100%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 49 Scottish Politics - October 2015 JN260180073 Table 19 Break 3 BASE: All respondents

Party Supports for Holyrood constituency Conservative 70 70 - - - - - 47 61 5 - - - 4 7% 100% - - - - - 7% 55% 3% - - - 1% Labour 140 - 140 - - - - 106 4 114 - 13 1 8 14% - 100% - - - - 17% 4% 64% - 3% 4% 3% Liberal Democrat 25 - - 25 - - - 20 3 2 17 - * 3 2% - - 100% - - - 3% 3% 1% 31% - 1% 1% SNP 339 - - - 339 - - 239 1 5 10 292 1 30 33% - - - 100% - - 37% 1% 3% 18% 79% 4% 10% Other 15 - - - - 15 - 13 1 2 - 3 6 3 1% - - - - 100% - 2% * 1% - 1% 26% 1% Undecided 285 - - - - - 285 179 39 45 27 53 11 110 28% - - - - - 100% 28% 35% 25% 49% 14% 46% 37% Certain to vote Holyrood 640 47 106 20 239 13 179 640 78 137 47 259 15 103 62% 67% 76% 80% 71% 91% 63% 100% 71% 77% 87% 70% 68% 34% 2015 General Election vote Conservative 111 61 4 3 1 1 39 78 111 - - - - - 11% 87% 3% 12% * 4% 14% 12% 100% - - - - - Labour 178 5 114 2 5 2 45 137 - 178 - - - - 17% 7% 82% 9% 2% 16% 16% 21% - 100% - - - - Liberal Democrat 55 - - 17 10 - 27 47 - - 55 - - - 5% - - 67% 3% - 9% 7% - - 100% - - - SNP 368 - 13 - 292 3 53 259 - - - 368 - - 36% - 9% - 86% 18% 19% 40% - - - 100% - - Other 23 - 1 * 1 6 11 15 - - - - 23 - 2% - 1% 1% * 41% 4% 2% - - - - 100% - Didn't Vote / CR 299 4 8 3 30 3 110 103 - - - - - 299 29% 6% 5% 11% 9% 21% 39% 16% - - - - - 100%

Prepared by TNS Fieldwork : 16th October - 4th November 2015 Page 1

Page Table Title Base Description Base 1 1 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?)

4 2 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating BASE: All committed voters aged 16+ 621 undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?)

7 3 Q4a/Q4b. The next election for the Scottish Parliament will be held in May 2016. Which party do you intend to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP? (Respondents initially stating BASE: All committed voters who are certain to vote in Scottish Parliament election 471 undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most inclined to vote for when choosing your constituency MSP?)

10 4 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?)

13 5 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most BASE: All committed voters aged 16+ 604 inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?)

16 6 Q5a/Q5b. And which party do you intend to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area? (Respondents initially stating undecided/refused then asked: Which party would you be most BASE: All committed voters who are certain to vote in Scottish Parliament election 461 inclined to vote for when choosing additional MSPs for your area?)

19 7 Q6. How likely do you think you are to vote in the Scottish Parliament election in May 2016? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 22 8 Q7. The last SCOTTISH PARLIAMENT election was held in May 2011. For which party did you vote for your constituency MSP in that election? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 Page 2

Page Table Title Base Description Base 25 9 Q3. The last General Election for the WESTMINSTER Parliament was held in on 7th May 2015. For which party did you vote for your MP in that election? BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 28 10 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Nicola Sturgeon BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 31 11 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Kezia Dugdale BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 34 12 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Ruth Davidson BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 37 13 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: David Cameron BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 40 14 Q15. On a scale of 1-10, were 10 is “like a lot” and 1 is ""do not like at all"", how would you rate: Jeremy Corbyn BASE: All aged 16+ in Scotland 1034 43 15 Q15. Summary table: Rating of politicians BASE: All respondents 1034

44 16 Q15. Mean score summary table: Rating of politicians BASE: All respondents 1034

47 17 Break 1 BASE: All respondents 1034

48 18 Break 2 BASE: All respondents 1034

49 19 Break 3 BASE: All respondents 1034