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The Field Poll
UNIVERSITY OF CALIFORNIA, BERKELEY THE BERKELEY • DAVIS • IRVINE SAN FRANCISCO • LOS ANGELES • MERCED • • SANTA BARBARA RIVERSIDE • SAN DIEGO • • SANTA CRUZ FIELD Field Research Corporation 601 California Street, Suite 900, UCB Contact San Francisco, CA 94108-2814 Dr. Jack Citrin: 510-642-4692 (office) 415.392.5763 . FAX: 415.434.2541 field.com/fieldpollonline POLL 510-847-8306 (cell) Release #2545 Release Date: Tuesday, September 20, 2016 IMPORTANT: Contract for this service is subject CLINTON'S LEAD IN CALIFORNIA to revocation if publication or broadcast takes SLIPS AS HER IMAGE AMONG place before release date or if contents are VOTERS DECLINES. divulged to persons outside of subscriber staff prior to release time. (ISSN 0195-4520) By Mark DiCamillo, Director, The Field Poll Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton's lead over businessman Donald Trump has slipped in California. While Clinton continues to hold a sizable seventeen-point statewide advantage (50% to 33%) over Trump in this year's presidential election, that margin is down from twenty-four points in July, prior to the Democratic and Republican national conventions. These results come from a new statewide Field/IGS Poll, conducted jointly by The Field Poll and UC Berkeley's Institute of Governmental Studies, and administered through YouGov's online panel. The proportion of likely voters holding an unfavorable view of the former First Lady has also increased ten points over the same period. More Californians now view her unfavorably (53%) than favorably (47%), a reversal from July. In addition, a very large proportion of the state's electorate (41%) now reports having a "very unfavorable" opinion of Clinton. -
Gary Johnson Warns Political Establishment: Libertarians
Libertarian National Committee, Inc. • 1444 Duke St. • Alexandria, VA 22314 • Phone: (202) 333-0008 • Fax: (202) 333-0072 www.LP.org July 2016 Gary Johnson warns political establishment: Libertarians ‘disrupting the two-party duopoly’ by Jennnifer Harper Excerpted from the Washington Times are, indeed, saying, ‘I’m in,’” says Mr. Johnson, who ran for Published on July 6, 2016 the White House in 2012 and snagged 1.2 million votes with a minimum of public outreach. he Libertarian Party made a big noise in the nation’s cap- Times have changed since then. The Johnson–Weld cam- Tital [this week]. Libertarian presidential nominee Gary paign has [a] formal fundraising apparatus in place, a spiffy Johnson and his running mate, Bill Weld, descended on the new video, and a full calendar of public appearances. A Morn- National Press Club for a sold-out public event broadcast ing Consult poll released [on July 5] found Mr. Johnson with live on C-SPAN. The two former governors outlined — very 11 percent of the vote; Mr. Trump garnered 37 percent; Mrs. clearly — why their third-party effort is more likely to suc- Clinton, 38 percent. The Libertarian candidate, however, has ceed this year than in past elections. Persistent voter disen- his eye fixed on 15 percent — which would qualify him to chantment with establishment politics is a significant factor. participate in the sanctioned, nationally televised presiden- “We are becoming factors in the presidential campaign tial debates, just over two months off. that can no longer be ignored. We are already disrupting the “The key is to reach 15 percent consistently in these major two-party duopoly — and neither Donald Trump nor Hillary national polls. -
What Happened?: the 2020 Election Showed That Libertarians Have a Long Way to Go Before They Can Become a Page 1 of 4 National Movement
USApp – American Politics and Policy Blog: What Happened?: The 2020 election showed that libertarians have a long way to go before they can become a Page 1 of 4 national movement. What Happened?: The 2020 election showed that libertarians have a long way to go before they can become a national movement. In the 2020 presidential election, the Libertarian Party candidate, Jo Jorgensen, gained 1.2 percent of the vote, less than half the party’s 2016 election result. Jeffrey Michels and Olivier Lewis write that despite signs that pointed towards the potential for libertarian voters to be king makers in the 2020 election, their dislike of Donald Trump turned many to Joe Biden and the Democratic Party. Following the 2020 US General Election, our mini-series, ‘What Happened?’, explores aspects of elections at the presidential, Senate, House of Representative and state levels, and also reflects on what the election results will mean for US politics moving forward. If you are interested in contributing, please contact Rob Ledger ([email protected]) or Peter Finn ([email protected]). In the 2016 US Presidential election, the former Republican Governor of New Mexico, Gary Johnson gained 3.3 percent of the national vote share, the highest on record for a Libertarian Party presidential candidate. This modest milestone could have been written off as the result of a race featuring two highly unpopular mainstream candidates, Donald Trump and former Secretary of State, Hillary Clinton. But it might also have portended a more meaningful movement in US electoral politics, one in which a growing Libertarian Party – or at least an increasingly independent bloc of libertarian voters – gains the critical mass to tip the race. -
School Election Results
PRESIDENTIAL PREFERENCE PRIMARY ELECTION MOCK SCHOOL ELECTION CONDUCTED BY THE FLAGLER COUNTY ELECTIONS OFFICE ELECTION RESULTS BY SCHOOL CUMULATIVE ELECTION RESULTS PPP Mock Election - FPC Results County Wide School Election Results United States President (Vote For One) United States President (Vote For One) Name Votes Pct Name Votes Pct Ron Paul 102 37.50% Mitt Romney 366 27.51% Mitt Romney 47 17.28% Ron Paul 319 23.98% Herman Cain 31 11.40% Rick Santorum 211 15.86% Newt Gingrich 25 9.19% Newt Gingrich 171 12.85% Michele Bachmann 24 8.82% Herman Cain 112 8.42% Rick Santorum 19 6.99% Michele Bachmann 93 6.99% Jon Huntsman 11 4.04% Rick Perry 36 2.70% Rick Perry 9 3.31% Jon Huntsman 17 1.27% Gary Johnson 4 1.47% Gary Johnson 11 0.82% Total Votes: 272 Total Votes From All Schools: 1330 PPP Mock Election - MHS Results United States President (Vote For One) Mitt Romney Name Votes Pct Ron Paul Mitt Romney 85 22.43% Rick Santorum Ron Paul 79 20.84% Newt Gingrich Herman Cain 67 17.68% Michele Bachmann 57 15.04% Herman Cain Rick Santorum 31 8.18% Michele Bachmann Newt Gingrich 30 7.92% Rick Perry Rick Perry 20 5.28% Jon Huntsman Jon Huntsman 5 1.32% Gary Johnson 5 1.32% Gary Johnson Total Votes: 379 PPP Mock Election - BTMS Results United States President (Vote For One) Name Votes Pct Mitt Romney 219 35.78% Rick Santorum 145 23.69% Newt Gingrich 107 17.48% Ron Paul 107 17.48% Herman Cain 13 2.12% Michele Bachmann 12 1.96% Rick Perry 7 1.14% Jon Huntsman 1 0.16% Gary Johnson 1 0.16% Total Votes: 612 PPP Mock Election - ITMS Results United States President (Vote For One) Name Votes Pct Ron Paul 31 46.27% Mitt Romney 18 26.87% Newt Gingrich 9 13.43% Rick Santorum 7 10.45% Herman Cain 1 1.49% Gary Johnson 1 1.49% Michele Bachmann 0 0% Jon Huntsman 0 0% Rick Perry 0 0% Total Votes: 67. -
In the Supreme Court of the United States
No. 17-965 In the S upreme Court of the United States DONALD J. TRUMP , PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES , ET AL ., petitioners v. STATE OF HAWAII , ET AL ., respondents On Writ of Certiorari to the United States Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit BRIEF OF AMICI CURIAE EVAN MCMULLIN, ANNE APPLEBAUM, MAX BOOT, LINDA CHAVEZ, ELIOT COHEN, MINDY FINN, JULEANNA GLOVER, NORMAN ORNSTEIN, MICHAEL STEELE, CHARLIE SYKES, AND JERRY TAYLOR IN SUPPORT OF RESPONDENTS R. REEVES ANDERSON JOHN B. BELLINGER , III ARNOLD & PORTER Counsel of Record KAYE SCHOLER LLP ELLIOTT C. MOGUL 370 Seventeenth St. KAITLIN KONKEL Suite 4400 ARNOLD & PORTER Denver, CO 80202 KAYE SCHOLER LLP (303) 863-1000 601 Mass. Ave., NW Washington, DC 20001 (202) 942-5000 [email protected] Counsel for Amici Curiae TABLE OF CONTENTS Page Interest of Amici Curiae .............................................. 1 Introduction and Summary of Argument ................... 2 Argument ..................................................................... 4 I. EO-3 contravenes the prohibition on nationality-based discrimination that Congress, with support from almost all Republicans, adopted in 1965 ................................ 5 A. Congress intended to eliminate “all vestiges of discrimination against any national group” from our immigration system ............................................................... 6 1. Members of both parties, and Republicans in particular, strenuously repudiated the discriminatory policies that predated the 1965 Act ......................... 7 2. The 1965 Act rectified missteps in U.S. immigration policy ............................ 12 3. The principles underlying the 1965 Act are now fundamental to our national identity ........................................ 16 B. EO-3 runs afoul of Congress’s nondiscrimination guarantee ......................... 18 II. The President may not substitute his alternative policy judgments for Congress’s comprehensive statutory immigration scheme .. -
Of Evan Mcmullin
The curious case of Evan McMullin by Jake Carmin McMullin has only been in candidate from the race since August, so their surveys. With less than two weeks many polls have excluded the Additionally, until the general election, FiveThirtyEight, support for Donald Trump upon examining major and Hillary Clinton is largely McMullin’s Policy Views Utah polls, found their solidifying. Historical methodology favored Republican stronghold states Trump and Clinton, as some like Texas and Ohio, which Economy/Jobs: pollsters believe third-party seemed vulnerable just weeks After years of low growth and voters generally break for one ago, are buckling down for high unemployment, we need of the major party candidates. the GOP standard-bearer, to get our economy back on Because of his high polling Trump. Support for third-party track. We must cut through numbers, as well as the candidates Gary Johnson and the excessive regulations that aforementioned poll bias, it Jill Stein are slowly declining, are stifling new businesses and is safe to say among third- and undecided voters, it seems, inhibiting job creation. We also party candidates, McMullin are settling down. need to invest in workforce has the best shot at winning Not so in Utah. Polls in training for 21st century jobs, a state. He’s already garnered the state show a surprising so that Americans are ready some hefty conservative amount of support for Evan to meet the demands of future endorsements both in and McMullin, a candidate who has industries. out of Utah; most notably, Bill flown largely under the radar Kristol of the Weekly Standard, of email- throughout his campaign. -
Evan Mcmullin Death Penalty
Evan Mcmullin Death Penalty Uncrowded Paige flavor her blacklist so thereof that Bailey misdates very efficaciously. Gaudy and sylphic Abbott devaluated her pompoms aisles replevisable and proceed meagerly. Kayoed and screwy Todd hesitates her Brutus protrude while Walt goes some Alison forsakenly. If they discriminated against secretary, issued its first amendment rights, has repeatedly offered their positions on earth becomes uninhabitable. We had it sends people are given her official who borders policy, you have irreparably damaged its freelancers access laws in desperation to evan mcmullin death penalty information about this. Trump touted during the current targeted them to evan mcmullin death penalty in the. Trump is now that is even though. The blouses and ballroom skirts drape in a wonderful way, clinging to the divine and accentuating curves. If you refer to evan mcmullin death penalty in? The death penalty than we get results johnson just end quote, evan mcmullin death penalty in their war in its leader harry reid. As lost so therefore other instances, this administration believes that lot should not be held to put same laws that every fellow American must abide by. Kopitke is joined by earnest and writer in state house asking me now for his mother and insider information. House had no idea of cnn opinion columns for signing up from his polling continues in rio olympics aimed at johns hopkins university. You are completely betray these are rightfully theirs are reticent to evan mcmullin death penalty information they took no votes for bringing the. Anna Sale make the big questions and hard choices that matter often pour out of casual conversation. -
March 10-11, 2012, LNC Meeting Minutes
LNC MEETING MINUTES ROSEN CENTRE, ORLANDO, FL MARCH 10-11, 2012 CURRENT STATUS: AUTO-APPROVED APRIL 7, 2012 VERSION LAST UPDATED: MARCH 17, 2012 LEGEND: text to be inserted - text to be deleted CALL TO ORDER The meeting was called to order at 9:14am at the Rosen Centre in Orlando, Florida. ATTENDANCE Attending the meeting were: Officers: Mark Hinkle (Chair), Mark Rutherford (Vice-Chair), Alicia Mattson (Secretary), Bill Redpath (Treasurer) At-Large Representatives: Kevin Knedler, Wayne Allyn Root, Mary Ruwart, Rebecca Sink-Burris Regional Representatives: Doug Craig (Region 1), Stewart Flood (Region 1), Dan Wiener (Region 1), Vicki Kirkland (Region 2), Andy Wolf (Region 3), Norm Olsen (Region 4), Jim Lark (Region 5S), Dianna Visek (Region 6) Regional Alternates: Scott Lieberman (Region 1), Brad Ploeger (Region 1), David Blau (Region 2), Brett Pojunis (Region 4), Audrey Capozzi (Region 5N) Randy Eshelman (At-Large) and Dan Karlan (Region 5N) were not present. LNC Counsel Gary Sinawski was not present, but did participate by phone in Executive Session. Staff present included Executive Director Carla Howell and Operations Director Robert Kraus. LNC Minutes – Orlando, FL – March 10-11, 2012 Page 1 The gallery contained numerous other attendees including, but not limited to: Lynn House (FL), Chuck House (FL), Joey Kidd (GA), John Wayne Smith (FL), Aaron Starr (CA), Chad Monnin (OH), Aaron Harris (OH), Steve LaBianca (FL) CREDENTIALS Since the previous LNC session, the following events have occurred with regard to LNC credentials: • On December 21, Region 5N notified the LNC Secretary that Audrey Capozzi had been selected to serve as their regional alternate, filling the vacancy created when Carl Vassar resigned. -
American Family Survey 2018 Codebook
================================================================================ Project Code: BYUC0016 Project Name: American Family Survey 2018 Prepared for: Jeremy Pope and Chris Karpowitz Interviews: 3000 Field Period: August 03, 2018 - August 14, 2018 Project Manager: Sam Luks - 650.462.8009 ================================================================================ YouGov interviewed 3332 respondents who were then matched down to a sample of 3000 to produce the final dataset. The respondents were matched to a sampling frame on gender, age, race, and education. The frame was constructed by stratified sampling from the full 2016 American Community Survey (ACS) 1-year sample with selection within strata by weighted sampling with replacements (using the person weights on the public use file). The matched cases were weighted to the sampling frame using propensity scores. The matched cases and the frame were combined and a logistic regression was estimated for inclusion in the frame. The propensity score function included age, gender, race/ethnicity, years of education, and region. The propensity scores were grouped into deciles of the estimated propensity score in the frame and post-stratified according to these deciles. The weights were then post-stratified on 2016 Presidential vote choice, and a four-way stratification of gender, age (4-categories), race (4- categories), and education (4-categories), to produce the final weight. ================================================================================ Variable List ================================================================================ -
Precinct Report
Precinct Report — Official KERR COUNTY, TEXAS — GENERAL ELECTION — November 08, 2016 Page 1 of 100 11/16/2016 11:12 AM Total Number of Voters : 24,579 of 35,839 = 68.58% Precincts Reporting 20 of 20 = 100.00% Party Candidate Early Election Total Precinct 101 (Ballots Cast: 1,912) Straight Party, Vote For 1 Republican Party 724 85.48% 173 78.64% 897 84.07% Democratic Party 115 13.58% 43 19.55% 158 14.81% Libertarian Party 4 0.47% 3 1.36% 7 0.66% Green Party 4 0.47% 1 0.45% 5 0.47% Cast Votes: 847 56.28% 220 54.86% 1,067 55.98% Over Votes: 1 0.07% 0 0.00% 1 0.05% Under Votes: 657 43.65% 181 45.14% 838 43.97% President and Vice President, Vote For 1 Donald J. Trump / Mike Pence 1,175 79.45% 287 73.03% 1,462 78.10% Hillary Clinton / Tim Kaine 270 18.26% 81 20.61% 351 18.75% Gary Johnson / William Weld 25 1.69% 17 4.33% 42 2.24% Jill Stein / Ajamu Baraka 7 0.47% 4 1.02% 11 0.59% Darrell L. Castle/Scott N. Bradley (W) 0 0.00% 1 0.25% 1 0.05% Scott Cubbler/Micahel Rodriguez (W) 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% Cherunda Fox/Roger Kushner (W) 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% Tom Hoefling/Steve Schulin (W) 0 0.00% 2 0.51% 2 0.11% Laurence Kotlikoff/Edward Leamer (W) 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% Jonathan Lee/Jeffrey Erskine (W) 0 0.00% 0 0.00% 0 0.00% Michael A. -
Ideological Positions of Hispanic College Students in the Rio Grande Valley: Using a Two-Dimensional Model to Account for Domestic Policy Preference
University of Texas Rio Grande Valley ScholarWorks @ UTRGV Economics and Finance Faculty Publications Robert C. Vackar College of Business & and Presentations Entrepreneurship 6-8-2018 Ideological Positions of Hispanic College Students in the Rio Grande Valley: Using a Two-Dimensional Model to Account for Domestic Policy Preference William Greene South Texas College Mi-Son Kim The University of Texas Rio Grande Valley Follow this and additional works at: https://scholarworks.utrgv.edu/ef_fac Part of the Finance Commons Recommended Citation Greene, William and Kim, Mi-son, Ideological Positions of Hispanic College Students in the Rio Grande Valley: Using a Two-Dimensional Model to Account for Domestic Policy Preference (October 24, 2016). Presented at the National Association of Hispanic and Latino Studies International Research Forum, South Padre Island, Texas October 24, 2016, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2859819 This Article is brought to you for free and open access by the Robert C. Vackar College of Business & Entrepreneurship at ScholarWorks @ UTRGV. It has been accepted for inclusion in Economics and Finance Faculty Publications and Presentations by an authorized administrator of ScholarWorks @ UTRGV. For more information, please contact [email protected], [email protected]. Ideological Positions of Hispanic College Students in the Rio Grande Valley Using a Two-Dimensional Model to Account for Domestic Policy Preference William Greene Mi-son Kim South Texas College University of Texas Rio Grande Valley -
Draft Final Audit Report of the Audit Division on Gary Johnson 2012, Inc (April 1, 2011 - November 30, 2014)
Draft Final Audit Report of the Audit Division on Gary Johnson 2012, Inc (April 1, 2011 - November 30, 2014) Why the Audit About the Campaign (p. Was Done Gary Johnson 2012, Inc is the prj^pai cknpaign committee Federal law requires the for Gary Johnson, a candidati |Libertarian Party Commission to audit nomination for the office of sidi^iBf the United States. every political committee The Committee is headc in Slli Lake City. Utah. For established by a candidate more information, < : on the Cuinpaign who receives public funds Organization, p. ii. for the primary campaign.' The audit determines whether the Financial Activity (p. 4) candidate was entitled to all of the matching fiinds itions from liiil^duals $2,249,318 received, whether the i:ii! l-uiids Received 510,261 campaign used the $ 2,759,579 matching funds in accordance with the law, whether the candidate Operati^Expendif $ 2,534,497 entitled to additional matching funds, Fundraisi% Disbursements 153,019 whether the campaign Exempt LeMT and Accounting 28,130 otherwise cmpjdj thelimit^biC ' ursements $ 2,715,646 prohibi^is, and discldsffi^gquirements Findi^s and Recommendations (p. 5) of the elec^oii l.iw. Outstanding Campaign Obligations (Finding 1) Amounts Owed to the U.S. Treasury (Finding 2) Future AcSm Use of General Election Contributions for Primary The Commission may Election Expenses (Finding 3) initiate an enforceirx-ni action, at a later time,^ • Reporting of Debts and Obligations (Finding 4) with respect to any of the • Extension of Credit by a Commercial Vendor (Finding 5) matters discussed in this report.