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COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Tracker 22Nd September 2021 Summary

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COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Tracker 22Nd September 2021 Summary COVID-19 Weekly Surveillance Tracker 22nd September 2021 Summary • The rate of new cases in Wigan is lower than the previous week. • Wigan has the fifth highest rate of new cases in Greater Manchester for the latest complete week (11th-17th September). Wigan currently has the 6th highest total rate in GM. • Wigan is currently ranked 133rd in England. • Wigan is classed as Red for new cases. The outbreak management surge plan has been updated and activated. • The over-60s weekly incidence rate for Wigan is the highest of the 10 Greater Manchester areas. • Wigan is similar to the Greater Manchester average and lower than the North West average for rate of new cases in the latest 7 days. • As at 21st September, there were 19 COVID-positive patients in Wrightington, Wigan and Leigh hospitals. • There have been 2 COVID–19 related deaths registered in Wigan so far in the latest week th (w/e 10 September). Weekly Cases and Rates COVID-19 cases are identified by taking specimens from people and sending them to laboratories around the UK to be tested. If the test is positive, this is a referred to as a lab-confirmed case. Pillar 1 refers to tests that have been carried out in labs run by Public Health England or the NHS (usually for inpatients and frontline workers in the NHS), Pillar 2 refers to tests delivered by commercial partners (usually for the general public). Both Pillar 1 and Pillar 2 results are published. Weekly counts show the total number of events that were reported in the latest seven-day period for which data are considered complete, and the rates per 100,000 population are based on these figures (and the latest population estimates from the Office for National Statistics). This data uses the date of test rather than the date the result was reported and as such the most recent 5 days' data are considered incomplete. The week-ending date for the latest seven-day period will be the date when the national Coronavirus website data were last updated minus 5 days. New Cases in Wigan Borough In the 7 days 11th-17th September, Wigan Borough had 865 new cases identified, a rate of 261.6 per 100,000 population and the fifth highest rate of new cases of the ten Greater Manchester areas. This rate is the lower than seen regionally (North West’s rate is 353.2 per 100,000) and higher than seen nationally (England’s rate is 257.7 per 100,000). The over-60s weekly incidence rate for Wigan is 169.3 per 100,000, the highest rate of the 10 Greater Manchester areas. Electoral Wards within Wigan – weekly cases 6 wards saw an increase in the number of cases from the previous week. Bryn had the highest rate of cases for the latest week (433 per 100,000 population; 50 cases), with Wigan West (390 per 100,000; 52 cases) having the second highest rate. Winstanley had the highest relative increase from the previous week (+36%), with Bryn and Ince (both +16%) having the second highest increase. Latest Week Direction Rate per Previous No. of from Ward 100,000 week Cases Previous pop Week Abram 48 14 88 Ashton 52 19 159 Aspull, New Springs And Whelley 52 31 239 Astley Mosley Common 53 39 333 Atherleigh 44 29 237 Atherton 56 27 172 Bryn 43 50 433 Douglas 58 37 269 Golborne And Lowton West 45 29 242 Hindley 49 39 285 Hindley Green 29 31 276 Ince 38 44 307 Leigh East 40 28 222 Leigh South 82 35 242 Leigh West 59 43 278 Lowton East 64 39 301 Orrell 51 23 188 Pemberton 38 39 260 Shevington With Lower Ground 54 44 380 Standish With Langtree 45 43 341 Tyldesley 46 52 349 Wigan Central 41 27 221 Wigan West 53 52 390 Winstanley 28 38 322 Worsley Mesnes 42 37 299 Latest week: 9th September – 15th September 2021 Previous week: 2nd September -8th September 2021 Wigan° Council Total Cases in Wigan Borough The total number of confirmed cases is now 49,012 a rate of 14820 per 100,000 population. This is similar to the rate for Greater Manchester as a whole (14749) and higher than the rate for the North West (13819). Wigan has the sixth highest rate of total cases in Greater Manchester. Wigan Weekly Cases 3000 2500 2000 1500 1000 500 0 Source: Coronavirus Data website - The data published on this website are constantly being reviewed and corrected. Cumulative counts can occasionally go down from one day to the next. Regional ‘R’ Data and Growth Rate (published 17/09/2021) What is the R number? R represents the average number of onward infections that will be generated by a single infectious individual. R tells us if the epidemic is getting bigger (>1) or smaller (<1) but not how large it is, and therefore should not be used as a sole indicator of the current threat posed by an epidemic. It cannot be measured directly so there is always some uncertainty around its exact value. What is a growth rate? The growth rate reflects how quickly the number of infections are changing day by day It is an approximation of the change of number infections each day. If the growth rate is greater than zero (+ positive), then the disease will grow. If the growth rate is less than zero (- negative) then the disease will shrink. Both the R number and Growth rate are published at Regional level. Please see the table on the next page for the latest regional and national figures. Wigan° Council Latest figures Growth Region R Rate (% per day) England 0.9 to 1.1 -1 to +1 East of England 0.9 to 1.1 -2 to +1 London 0.9 to 1.1 -1 to +1 Midlands 0.9 to 1.1 -1 to +1 North East and Yorkshire 0.9 to 1.1 0 to +2 North West 0.9 to 1.1 -1 to +1 South East 0.9 to 1.2 --1 to +1 South West 0.9 to 1.1 -3 to +1 North West Overview The latest range for R for the North West is 0.9 to 1.1 which is the same as the previous week. The growth rate (-1 to +1) is slightly improved than last week (-1 to +2). Source: GOV.UK – R Number Covid-positive inpatients in Hospital st As at 21 September, there were 19 COVID-positive patients in Wrightington, Wigan and Leigh (WWL) hospitals. The chart below shows the daily count of confirmed COVID-19 patients admitted to WWL. JC 2C IC 1 Jcl.2C<20 1JJ-,2021' 1 H,,' 2021 1 Ms,' 2021 1JJl2021 Source: Government’s Coronavirus data page th Weekly Death Registrations (latest data published covers up to w/e 10 September 2021) As at 10th September, there have been 1061 deaths registered for Wigan residents that mention COVID-19, with 2 registrations in the latest week, an reduction of 1 from the previous week. There were 66 deaths from all causes registered in the latest week, an increase of 15 from the previous week. 81% of all COVID-related deaths occurred in hospital, 13% in care homes and 4% at home. Wigan° Council Wigan Death Registrations by Week 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 Registrations Registrations 40 20 0 1 4 7 101316192225283134374043464952555861646770737679828588 Week Number All causes COVID Further information available on Office for National Statistics death registrations page. Wigan's Exceedance Level - RED The PHE Joint Modelling Cell provides 'exceedance' data to Local Authorities – this is a summary of the combined Pillar 1 and Pillar 2 COVID-19 cases in the previous 14 days. A Red/Amber/Green rating is then applied to assist in identifying those Local Authorities for which there is evidence that recent numbers of COVID-19 cases are not following the previous time trend. This rating is based solely on the results of the analyses and should be used alongside local intelligence. Wigan's current rating is RED. The exceedance report should not be considered in isolation but in context alongside other factors such as the recent total number of cases, changes in the local testing regime and local hotspot analysis. Source: Public Health England Contact Tracing People who test positive for COVID-19 are contacted by the Test & Trace system to make sure they self-isolate and to identify people they have been in contact with. Complex cases (e.g. if they live in a care home or have been in contact with a school) are escalated to “Level 1” teams, who provide a local response; straight forward cases are handled by the national system. As at 21st September, 93% of all contacts who have been escalated to Wigan's Level 1 teams for a local response have been successfully managed. Source: Public Health England Wigan° Council Schools Schools currently report all confirmed cases of COVID-19 either directly to the Department for Education, or to the Wigan Council Health Protection and Civil Contingencies Team. Both will provide schools with advice on identifying close contacts of confirmed cases and support with making decisions on further infection control measures. The information currently available relating to schools with confirmed cases is made available below but should not be considered as an authoritative list. The inclusion of a school in the below list strictly relates to where there has been at least one confirmed case within a school amongst either staff or pupils within the given time period.
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