The Determinations of the Demand for Money In
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Journal of Economics and International Finance Vol. 3 (15), pp. 771–779, 7 December, 2011 Available online at http://www.academicjournals.org/JEIF DOI: 10.5897/JEIF11.118 ISSN 2006-9812 ©2011 Academic Journals Full Length Research Paper The determinants of the demand for money in developed and developing countries Yamden Pandok Bitrus Department of Economics University of Jos, P. M. B. 2084, Jos, Plateau State, Nigeria. E-mail: [email protected]. Tel: 234-8032104525. Accepted 15 November, 2011 This study examined the determinants of the demand for money in developing and the developed countries. The study employed a comparative analysis of the effectiveness of the determinants of the demand for money in both developing and developed countries. It was found out that income related factors or the scale variables are more effective in the developing countries while factors that work through the financial system are more effective in the developed economies and that stock market variables should not be ignored in modeling demand for money even in emerging economies since they constitute an alternative to holding cash. The level of the development of a country’s financial system determines which factors will be relevant targets in moping excess liquidity within an economy. Key words: Demand for money, comparative analysis, excess liquidity. INTRODUCTION According to Black (2003), demand for money refers to developing countries. The rest of the paper is organized the amount of money people wish to hold or the function as follows; theories of the demand for money, determining this. In other words, it is referred to as the comparative analysis of the relevance of the desire to hold cash. The demand for money arises from determinants of the demand for money in developed and two important functions of money; medium of exchange developing countries and conclusion. and the store of value. The study of the demand for money is not restricted to the money market, but also involves other market such as the commodity, capital and THEORIES OF DEMAND FOR MONEY foreign exchange market According to Jhingan (2004), demand for money arises The purpose of the theory of demand for money is to look from two important functions of money. The first is that at the variables that motivate people to hold part of there money act as a medium of exchange and the second is wealth in money as opposed to other assets. According that it is a store of value. Thus individuals and businesses to Jhingan (2004), there are three approaches to the wish to hold money partly in cash and partly in the form of demand for money: assets. Why do individuals desire to hold money? In an attempt (1) The classical approach; (a) the equation of exchange; to answer this question, several economists made b) the cash balance (Cambridge) approach several assertions on the reason(s) why people hold (2) The Keynesian approach money. With his conceptual framework, Keynes (1936) (3) The post Keynesian approach laid the foundation for the development of all modern theories on the demand for money hence regarded as the father of modern theories of money demand. Classical approach This paper examines the contribution of various schools of thought in economist on the demand for The classical economist did not explicitly formulate money. The study then examines the relevance of the demand for money theory but they emphasized the determinants of the demand for money in developed and transactions demand for money in terms of the velocity of 772 J. Econ. Int. Finance circulation of money (Jhingan, 2004). This, according to value function of money – even though they expanded the classical economist, is because money acts as the the scope of the demand for money. Keynes, a product of medium of exchange and facilitates the exchange of Cambridge, further extended the concept of the demand goods and services. There views were expressed in the for money in two of this works on money, a trade on fishers equation of exchange; monetary reform (1923) and a treatise on money (1930). Examining why the demand for money depends MV = PQ negatively on interest rate, Keynes published “The General theory of employment, interest and money” in where, M = the quantity of money; V = its velocity of 1936. circulation; P = price level and Q = total output Keynes (1936) introduced three reasons or motives for holding money; the transactionary, precautionary and the Here, MV = Money supply, while PQ represents the speculative or portfolio motive. Each of these motives is demand for money. At equilibrium, money demand (PQ) associated with one component of the demand for money equals money supply (MV). The underlying assumption in examined by Keynes. the equation of exchange is that people hold money to buy goods and does not explain fully why people hold money. Transactionary demand for money In a slight contrast to the fisher version introduced by Irving Fisher of yale in the early 1900‟s, the Cambridge This arises from the need to hold cash for current version introduced by economist of the Cambridge personal and business expenditure. There is hardly any University of England raised a further question: why economic unit whose cash receipt perfectly matches its would individuals want to hold there assets in the form of cash payments at all times. Monthly salary earners cash?. The Cambridge demand equation for money is receive their remuneration on monthly basis, some d d represented by the equation M = KPY where M = weekly and some on bi-monthly basis but not all demand for money, K = is the fraction of real money, foodstuffs could be bought and stored up till the next incomes individuals want to hold in the form of cash, P = salary period. Even if this possible, other expenses like is the price level and Y = is the aggregate real income. transport to work and newspaper will have to be on daily Assuming a year consists of 12-4 week months, that is, basis or at shorter intervals than receipt or income. 48 weeks. Considering the case of an employee who is The situation appears similar for must business goods paid N2,800.00 once a month, or N33,600.00 a year and may have to be sold on credit or on monthly billings but who spend his income evenly – N100.00 a day – over the daily expenses have to be made. Even for government, 28 day month. The moment the individual received his most company profit tax and trading surplus of monthly income, he holds N2,800.00. The next day, he government owned corporations accrue mostly at year holds N2,700.00 (having spend N100.00) the day after he ends but again daily expenses will have to be met. The holds N2,600.00 and so on until the 28th and last day of diversity in the timing of inflow and outflow of funds the month when he spends the remaining N100.00. create the need to hold some cash to meet daily Dividing the individual‟s average money holdings of expenses till the next cash inflow period. N1,400.00 by his income (expenditure) of N2,800.00 we Therefore, the higher the level of income of an find the Cambridge “K” which is ½ which means that the economic unit, the higher will be the transactions demand individual‟s average holdings of (demand for) money is ½ for money and vice versa, hence Mt = F(Y) where F > 0. of his monthly income which is equivalent to 1/24th of his The important thing to note here is that while Keynes annual income. explicitly recognize that the transactions demand for Suppose that employees are paid once a week instead money (Mt) depends on interest rate, he argued that the of once a month, with the same income the employee will influence of interest rate was minor compared to that of receive N700.00 a week which he spends. The income individual‟s average income is N350.00 which is ½ of his weekly income and 1/96th of his annual income in cash. This demonstrates that the more frequently employees Precautionary demand for money are being paid; the lower will be their demand for money. It is evident therefore, that the Cambridge approach The precautionary demand, according to Keynes arises stressed the importance of other variables that influence from the need to provide for unforeseen event requiring the demand for money at any point in time. sudden expenditures. Unforeseen events as ill health, accidents and robbery/theft happen so sudden hence the need to hold cash to meet such unexpected cash needs. The Keynesian perspective The higher the level of income of an economic unit, the higher will be the precautionary demand for money by the According to Jhingan (2004), one of the major criticisms individual or the higher will be the money needed to meet of the Cambridge version is their neglect of the store of unexpected expenditures and vice versa. Hence Mp = Bitrus 773 F(Y), F > 0. While Keynes explicitly recognized that that individuals would hold their wealth in bonds or precautionary money demand depends on interest rate, money, that is, they would not diversify their portfolios. he argues that the influence of interest rate was minor This was remedied by Harry Markowitz and James Tobin. compared with that of real income. In addition William Baumol and James Tobin also provided the theory that explains why the transactions demand and even the precautionary demand depends on The speculative demand for money the interest rate. The speculative demand according to Keynes arises from uncertainty about future interest rate. Keynes James Tobin’s explanation emphasized risk and the uncertainty of expectations as the reasons behind the negative relationship between the Tobin noted that the Cambridge approach merely asserts interest rate and the speculative demand for money.