Key Trends in China's Online Video Industry
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KEY TRENDS IN CHINA’S ONLINE VIDEO INDUSTRY April 2021 1 ONLINE VIDEO PENETRATION APPROACHES 94% OF INTERNET USERS TRACKING INTERNET & ONLINE VIDEO USER TRENDS Penetration of Internet Users 94% 89% 62% 1,200 989 1,007 927 942 1,000 880 873 900 829 802 725 800 709 617 624 549 600 501 499 Total users (mil.) 400 200 0 2018 2019 2020 Q1 2021 Internet Users Online Video Users Short Video Users Livestreaming Users Source: Company data, Media Partners Asia 2 SHORT VIDEO DRIVING CONSUMPTION SHARE OF VIDEO USER TIME SPENT 100% 9% 9% 22% 19% 20% 3% 3% 90% 24% 3% 3% 3% 3% 2% 80% 2% 3% 2% 3% 3% 8% 8% 4% 2% 5% 10% 9% 70% 13% 8% 9% 12% 4% 5% 60% 15% 66% Of 24% 12% 50% 23% 27% 27% Streaming Time 19% Spent On Top 3 40% 20% Short Video 30% 27% 28% 15% Platforms 20% 33% 34% % of Online Video Time Spent Time Video Online of % 26% 14% 10% 9% 15% 0% 1% 0% 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Q1 2021 Douyin Kuaishou WeChat Channel Video iQIYI Tencent Video Youku Mango TV Bilibili Others Source: Company data, Media Partners Asia 3 RATE INCREASES SUPPORT SVOD ARPUS, MORE UPSIDE ON AD ARPUS MONTHLY ARPU PER DAU (KEY DIGITAL COMPANIES) ADVERTISING REVENUE PER DAU (KEY VIDEO PLATFORMS) 35 70 30 60 Ad monetization per DAU for most video platforms Platforms such as Bilibili 25 50 is still fairly low, but and WeChat Channel Video upside may be limited due still significantly 40 20 to slowing industry undermonetized US$ US$ 65.1 growth 15 Recent rate hikes led 30 by iQIYI and Tencent Low monthly ARPU implies upside 21.6 10 Video on membership fees for most 20 Chinese platforms Average 5 10 20.4 7.5 12.3 11.8 10.9 10.7 4.9 6.8 3.8 2.9 2.8 2.5 0 1.0 0 Alibaba Tencent Baidu iQIYI Bilibili Kuaishou Weibo Douyin Youku Mango Kuaishou iQIYI Tencent Bilibili WeChat TV Video Channel Note: Video 1) Monthly ARPU reflects consumer spend, and excludes advertising. 2) ARPU for Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu reflects total consumer spend across all digital segments. 3) ARPU for Bilibili, and Kuaishou includes livestreaming (virtual gifts). 4 Source: Company data, Media Partners Asia SVOD TO CAPTURE 77% OF INCREMENTAL ONLINE VIDEO INDUSTRY REVENUE SVOD (Consumer Spend) Incremental Online Video 77% Revenue (2020-25): US$8.4 bil. AVOD (Advertising) 23% ONLINE VIDEO REVENUE TRENDS 30 CAGR 23.8 24.9 (2020-25) 22.2 Overall: 9% 25 20.4 18.5 20 16.5 . AVOD: 5% bil 15 US$ 10 5 SVOD: 11% 0 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 Subscription Advertising 5 * SVOD includes internet TV | Source: Media Partners Asia RISING BIG SCREEN CONSUMPTION DRIVES INDUSTRY GROWTH +25% Y/Y >40% Y/Y ~10% of TV ~250 mil. ~5 hours average Short Video Apps viewers access SVOD / Internet TV active smart daily time spent on Integration short videos on TV terminals smart TV smart TV Ultimate hub of full array of video formats Key Drivers For Long Form Centric Platforms: Key Drivers For Short Form Centric Platforms: -ARPU increase as more households choose 4K / 8K VR / AR to subscribe internet TV packs (typically -Expands reach onto non-conventional screens priced 3-4x mobile plans). with new user cases. -New advertising formats on smart TV -New content focus adapted for household screens. viewing, i.e. short-to-mid form, educational, UHD Upgrade 5G Integration games, home-shopping, and infotainment. 6 ABOUT US Established in 2001, Media Partners Asia (MPA) is the leading independent provider of research, advisory and consulting services across the media and telecoms sectors in Asia Pacific. MPA provides definitive reports with proprietary industry models and forecasts. Our reports are widely used and sourced by local, regional and global companies for business planning, market strategy and capital market transactions. MPA advisory and consulting services help clients enter new markets and acquire businesses with our team providing commercial due diligence, customized research and strategy recommendations. We offer customized services to guide strategic planning and business development activities and support the launch of new products and services. We also provide independent consultant (IC) industry analysis and benchmarking for equity and debt offerings, including IPOs for broadcasting, digital media and telecommunications companies in Asia Pacific. Our offering includes AMPD, a research platform measuring consumer behavior across the digital economy, including online video and gaming. The service provides unparalleled access to data, case studies and strategies for business planning, marketing, and programming. CONTACT: Adrian Tong, Senior Analyst | [email protected] 7.