ACT Legislative Assembly Electoral Boundaries Redistribution 2019
Redistribution report Accessibility
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ISBN 978-0-642-60670-9
© Australian Capital Territory, Canberra 2019
This work is copyright. Apart from any use as permitted under the Copyright Act 1968, no part may be reproduced by any process without written permission from the Territory Records Office, Community and Infrastructure Services, Territory and Municipal Services, ACT Government, GPO Box 158, Canberra City ACT 2601.
Produced by Publishing Services for the ACT Electoral Commission PO Box 272, Civic Square ACT 2608. Phone: 02 6205 0033 Web: www.elections.act.gov.au Email: [email protected] http://www.act.gov.au Telephone: Canberra 132 281 Mrs Joy Burch MLA Speaker ACT Legislative Assembly London Circuit CANBERRA ACT 2601
Dear Madam Speaker
Redistribution report of Augmented Electoral Commission
I submit to you the report of the Augmented Electoral Commission concerning the 2019 redistribution of the Australian Capital Territory Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries.
This report is submitted in accordance with section 53 of the Electoral Act 1992.
Yours sincerely
Dawn Casey Chairperson
31 July 2019 iv Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Contents
Determination by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission...... 1
Constitution of final ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries...... 5
Statement by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission...... 13
Statement by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission of its reasons for its redistribution of the ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries ...... 14
Summary of the redistribution determined by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission.15
Map of final boundaries...... 16
Objections to the Redistribution Committee’s proposal...... 17
Electorate names...... 18
Electorate boundaries...... 18
Whether to hold a public hearing into the objections ...... 21
Investigation of the objections ...... 23
Conclusion ...... 31
Next stage of the redistribution process...... 31 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution...... 33
Summary of proposed redistribution...... 34
Overall statistical summary...... 35
Map of proposed boundaries...... 36
Map of existing boundaries...... 37
Map of ACT districts...... 38
Legal requirements...... 39
Numbers of electors...... 42
Suggestions and comments...... 44
Names of electorates...... 45
The Committee’s proposed boundaries...... 47 Appendices...... 63
Appendix A: Composition of the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission and the Redistribution Committee...... 64
Appendix B: Redistribution timetable...... 65
Appendix C: Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology...... 66
Appendix D: Suggestions...... 78
Appendix E: Comments on the public suggestions...... 128
Appendix F: Objections to the Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution...... 148
Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 v vi Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Determination by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Determination Commission Electoral ACT Augmented the by Determination by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Final boundaries as determined by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission.
NEW YERRABI SOUTH WALES GINNINDERRA
MURRUMBIDGEE New KURRAJONG South Wales
BRINDABELLA
EXTENT OF MAIN MAP
AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY
NEW SOUTH WALES
New South Wales
Redistribution of the Australian Capital Territory into electorates pursuant to the Electoral Act 1992
Electorates for the ACT Legislative Assembly of Brindabella, Ginninderra, Kurrajong, Murrumbidgee and Yerrabi
Boundaries of electorates Division boundaries District boundaries This map shows the boundaries of the ACT Legislative Assembly electorates of Brindabella, Ginninderra, Kurrajong, Murrumbidgee and Yerrabi and the number of members to be elected from each electorate as determined by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission pursuant to 01234 section 35 of the Electoral ACT 1992. Kilometres Dawn Casey Damian Cantwell AM Philip Moss
Ben Ponton Jeffrey Brown Beidar Cho
Augmented ACT Electoral Commission July 2019
Ref: r:\Surveyor General and Land Information\GIS\Geomedia\ACT Electoral Boundaries\2019 ACT Redistribution Boundaries_A4_AUGMENTED
2 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Determination by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Australian Capital Territory
Electoral (Redistribution of electorates for the ACT Legislative Assembly) Determination 2019
Notifiable instrument NI 2019 — made under the
Electoral Act 1992, s 35 (Redistribution of electorates)
1 Name of instrument This instrument is the Electoral (Redistribution of electorates for the ACT Legislative Assembly) Determination 2019. 2 Commencement This instrument commences on the day after it is notified. 3 Determination of redistribution of electorates The Augmented Australian Capital Territory Electoral Commission determines that: (a) The boundaries of the Legislative Assembly electorates into which the Australian Capital Territory is to be redistributed are certified by the members of the Augmented Electoral Commission and shown on the map below. (b) The names of the electorates and the number of members of the Legislative Assembly to be elected from each electorate, are: Brindabella (5 members); Ginninderra (5 members); Kurrajong (5 members); Murrumbidgee (5 members); and Yerrabi (5 members).
Dawn Casey Damian Cantwell AM Philip Moss AM
Ben Ponton Jeffrey Brown Beidar Cho
Augmented Australian Capital Territory Electoral Commission
July 2019
Note: This notifiable instrument was published on the ACT Legislation Register on 8 July 2019 and was effective from 9 July 2019.
Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 3 4 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Constitution of final ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries
Constitution of final ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries Constitution of final ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries Overall statistical summary of final boundaries
Quotas and maximum and minimum numbers of electors ACT total 5-Member electorates 29 March 2019 Actual enrolment 292,311 Quotas 58,462 Not more than 110% of the quota 64,308 Not less than 90% of the quota 52,616 17 October 2020 Projected enrolment 299,081 Quotas 59,816 Not more than 105% of the quota 62,806 Not less than 95% of the quota 56,825
New electorates: Statistical summary Proposed Number of Enrolment % above or Projected % above or electorate members April 2015 below quota enrolment below quota 2015 October 2016 2016 Brindabella 5 60,846 4.08% 59,247 -0.95% Ginninderra 5 61,743 5.61% 62,426 4.36% Kurrajong 5 55,680 -4.76% 57,0 09 -4.69% Murrumbidgee 5 57,173 -2.21% 59,150 -1.11% Yerrabi 5 56,869 -2.73% 61,249 2.40% Total 25 292,311 299,081
6 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Constitution of final ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries 7 8 55 69 79 4,111 2,198 3,189 2,198 1,942 1,091 2,763 1,279 5,553 3,892 6,265 2,798 3,665 3,579 4,298 2,323 5,883 2,009 59,816 59,247 -0.95% 17 October 17 2020 Projected persons enrolled 8 65 57 73 3,197 5,924 3,924 1,123 1,315 3,818 5,797 3,624 4,361 1,998 4,225 2,847 2,246 2,378 2,857 2,339 2,062 6,608 4.08% 58,462 60,846 29 March 2019 Actual persons enrolled Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Murrumbidgee Brindabella Brindabella Current electorate Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Wanniassa Total Quota Variation from quota Monash Oxley District Tennent Paddy's River District River Paddy's Richardson Theodore District Tuggeranong Macarthur Tharwa KambahWest IsabellaPlains Greenway Suburb/District Banks Bonython Calwell Chisholm Conder Fadden Gilmore Gordon Gowrie Final composition of the electorate of Brindabella of the electorate of composition Final
Constitution of final ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries Final composition of the electorate of Ginninderra
Suburb/District Current Actual persons enrolled Projected persons enrolled electorate 29 March 2019 17 October 2020 Aranda Ginninderra 1,844 1,828 Belconnen Ginninderra 4,095 4,363 Belconnen District 1 Ginninderra 17 15 Belconnen District 2 Yerrabi 5 5 Bruce Ginninderra 4,265 4,342 Charnwood Ginninderra 2,152 2,038 Cook Ginninderra 2,205 2,119 Dunlop Ginninderra 4,979 5,006 Evatt Yerrabi 3,920 3,852 Florey Ginninderra 2,570 3,345 Flynn Ginninderra 1,603 2,455 Fraser Ginninderra 2,200 1,418 Hawker Ginninderra 2,260 2,157 Higgins Ginninderra 3,473 2,235 Holt Ginninderra 2,671 3,370 Latham Ginninderra 3,502 2,601 Lawson Yerrabi 1,020 1,378 Macgregor Ginninderra 4,633 4,721 Macnamara Ginninderra 0 0 Macquarie Ginninderra 1,967 1,982 McKellar Yerrabi 2,097 2,086 Melba Ginninderra 2,345 2,279 Page Ginninderra 1,985 1,979 Scullin Ginninderra 2,069 2,068 Spence Ginninderra 1,919 1,933 Strathnairn Ginninderra 0 956 Weetangera Ginninderra 1,947 1,895 Total 61,743 6,2426 Quota 58,462 5,9816 Variation from quota 5.61% 4.36%
8 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Constitution of final ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries 9 0 2 0 0 1 0 16 15 97 20 119 687 200 346 1,148 4,160 3,961 2,198 1,691 3,952 4,020 4,061 4,728 2,795 3,872 2,370 4,286 2,250 4,294 1,340 1,340 3,040 57,009 59,816 -4.69% 17 October 17 2020 Projected persons enrolled 0 3 0 0 1 0 19 97 13 23 520 123 209 344 4,169 1,153 2,219 1,950 3,756 2,726 4,079 2,950 1,826 3,764 1,372 1,343 4,328 2,269 4,223 3,802 4,099 4,300 55,680 58,462 -4.76% 29 March 2019 Actual persons enrolled Current electorate Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Suburb/District Acton Ainslie Barton Braddon Beard Campbell Hume CanberraCentral District CanberraCity CapitalHill Dickson Downer Forrest Fyshwick CanberraAirport Lyneham Griffith Hackett District Jerrabomberra Kingston OaksEstate Majura District Majura Pialligo RedHill Narrabundah O'Connor Parkes Reid Russell Symonston Turner Total Quota Variation from quota Watson Final composition of the electorate of Kurrajong of the electorate of composition Final
Constitution of final ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries Final composition of the electorate of Murrumbidgee
Suburb/District Current Actual persons enrolled Projected persons enrolled electorate 29 March 2019 17 October 2020 Chapman Murrumbidgee 2,171 1,989 Chifley Murrumbidgee 1,798 1,738 Coombs Murrumbidgee 1,927 2,733 Coree District Murrumbidgee 204 217 Curtin Murrumbidgee 3,962 3,850 Deakin Kurrajong 2,340 2,344 Denman Prospect Murrumbidgee 271 774 Duffy Murrumbidgee 2,436 2,403 Farrer Murrumbidgee 2,538 2,481 Fisher Murrumbidgee 2,185 2,131 Garran Murrumbidgee 2,374 2,351 Holder Murrumbidgee 2,030 1,898 Hughes Murrumbidgee 2,171 2,057 Isaacs Murrumbidgee 1,919 1,899 Kambah East Murrumbidgee 5,002 4,824 Lyons Murrumbidgee 2,062 2,136 Mawson Murrumbidgee 2,219 2,265 Molonglo Murrumbidgee 0 0 Molonglo Valley District Murrumbidgee 5 5 O'Malley Murrumbidgee 758 799 Pearce Murrumbidgee 1,972 1,969 Phillip Murrumbidgee 2,121 2,332 Rivett Murrumbidgee 2,359 2,271 Stirling Murrumbidgee 1,524 1,538 Stromlo District Murrumbidgee 39 37 Torrens Murrumbidgee 1,668 1,612 Waramanga Murrumbidgee 1,920 1,898 Weston Murrumbidgee 2,696 2,640 Weston Creek District Murrumbidgee 12 10 Whitlam Murrumbidgee 0 518 Woden Valley District Murrumbidgee 0 0 Wright Murrumbidgee 2,016 3,007 Yarralumla Kurrajong 2,474 2,424 Total 57,173 59,150 Quota 58,462 59,816 Variation from quota -2.20% -1.11%
10 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Constitution of final ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries 11 6 5 439 703 239 1,115 3,611 7,862 2,427 5,428 5,156 4,071 4,029 3,958 5,042 4,570 1,608 2,830 4,306 3,844 59,816 2.40% 61,249 17 October 17 2020 Projected persons enrolled 6 6 54 243 238 364 7,424 5,115 1,918 3,920 5,452 2,477 2,722 2,903 3,905 4,582 3,946 3,869 3,887 3,838 56,869 58,462 -2.72% March 2019 Actual persons enrolled 29 Current electorate Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Suburb/District Amaroo GungahlinDistrict Gungahlin Bonner Franklin Forde Giralang Hall Harrison Casey Crace Mitchell Kaleen Jacka Moncrieff Ngunnawal Nicholls Palmerston Taylor Total Quota Throsby Variation from quota Final composition of the electorate of Yerrabi of the electorate of composition Final
12 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission
Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Statement by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission of its reasons for its redistribution of the ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries
This statement by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission under section 51 of the Electoral Act 1992 sets out the results of the Augmented Commission’s investigation of the objections against the Redistribution Committee’s proposal under section 49 of the Electoral Act and sets out the reasons for the Augmented Commission’s proposed redistribution of the ACT Legislative Assembly electoral boundaries under section 50 of the Electoral Act.
14 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission 15 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Ben Ponton — Jeffrey Brown — Beidar — Cho Ben — JeffreyBeidar Brown Ponton ACT Electoral Commission Dawn Casey - Damian Cantwell AM — Philip Moss – AM — Philip AM Cantwell Casey - Damian Dawn Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 , a five Member electorate comprising the districts of Molonglo Valley, Weston Creek, Member, a five electoratedistricts the comprising Valley, of Molonglo , a five Member electorate comprising the district of Belconnen (excluding the suburbs of the suburbs Member(excluding a five , electoratedistrict the comprising of Belconnen , a five Member electorate comprising the district of Tuggeranong (excluding the section(excluding Tuggeranong Member five , a electoratedistrict the comprising of , a five Member electorate comprising the district of Canberra Central (excluding the suburbs suburbs the (excluding Memberfive a , electoratedistrict the comprising of Canberra Central , a five Member, a five and the electorate BelconnendistrictsHall and the comprising of Gungahlin As Commission accepted the Augmented has the proposal Committee the Redistribution of without of section of the meaning the proposalchange, Commission 51(2)(c) the within Augmented is not, of the ElectoraldifferentRedistribution Act,fromCommittee’sthe proposal. significantly Consequently, there no further are opportunities objections. formally for public Commission The Augmented will completeinstrument the redistribution process a notifiable of publication by future the near in section under the Electoral of determination of a report Act of 35 publication and concerning the redistribution. CommissionThe Augmented comprises the members the ACT of Electoral Commission (Chairperson, Philip Mr Commission and Member, Cantwell AM; Damian Mr Electoral Casey; Commissioner, Ms Dawn Ben authority Ponton), land members and and Moss (Mr Committee the Redistribution AM) of (planning and a personACTby the appointedElectoral the Commission, Jeffrey Brown) (Mr the Surveyor-General Statistics of Bureau Beidar Cho)). Australian (Ms Director Demography, of After considering written seven objections to the electoral boundaries proposed the Redistribution by Committee, Commission decided the Augmented has to adopt the boundaries proposed the by Committee unchanged. Redistribution CommissionThe Augmented proposes the ACTelectorates that five be divided into as follows: Brindabella portion that and Tuggeranong Drive, of is East that Drakeford of Kambah of suburb the Tuggeranong of the districts Paddy’s and Booth, Cotter of District River, Drive) between Athllon and Drive Drakeford Clear; Mount and Rendezvous Creek, Tennent River, Ginninderra Kaleen); and Giralang Kurrajong Hume), the districts of and suburb the entire Jerrabomberra of (including Deakin Yarralumla), of and Majura; and Kowen Murrumbidgee the section Stromlo, the and Tuggeranong of Uriarra) of the village Coree (including Valley, Woden District between portion that and Tuggeranong Drive, of is East that Drakeford of Kambah of suburb and the Canberra Deakin and Yarralumla; of and suburbs Central Drive, Athllon and Drive Drakeford Yerrabi Kaleen. and District Giralang of suburbs Summary of the redistribution determined by the by determined the redistribution of Summary Augmented
Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Map of final boundaries
NEW YERRABI SOUTH WALES GINNINDERRA
MURRUMBIDGEE New KURRAJONG South Wales
BRINDABELLA
EXTENT OF MAIN MAP
AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY
NEW SOUTH WALES
New South Wales
Redistribution of the Australian Capital Territory into electorates pursuant to the Electoral Act 1992
Electorates for the ACT Legislative Assembly of Brindabella, Ginninderra, Kurrajong, Murrumbidgee and Yerrabi
Boundaries of electorates Division boundaries District boundaries This map shows the boundaries of the ACT Legislative Assembly electorates of Brindabella, Ginninderra, Kurrajong, Murrumbidgee and Yerrabi and the number of members to be elected from each electorate as determined by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission pursuant to 01234 section 35 of the Electoral ACT 1992. Kilometres Dawn Casey Damian Cantwell AM Philip Moss
Ben Ponton Jeffrey Brown Beidar Cho
Augmented ACT Electoral Commission July 2019
Ref: r:\Surveyor General and Land Information\GIS\Geomedia\ACT Electoral Boundaries\2019 ACT Redistribution Boundaries_A4_AUGMENTED
16 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission 17
Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Chris Erett Chris Gillespie Elizabeth ACTLabor CanberraLiberals Deakin Residents Association South CanberraInner Community Council Residents Yarralumla Association or from the office of the ACT Electoral Commission, Ground Floor, North Building, 180 London Circuit, Circuit, 180 London NorthBuilding, or from the office ofthe Electoral ACT Floor, Ground Commission, Canberra Square, CityCivic ACT. Objections from individuals: Copies the objections of can be obtained from the Elections ACT at: website www.elections.act.gov.au/electoral_boundaries/redistributions/2018-2019-redistribution Objections from organisations: Objections to the Redistribution Committee’s proposal objections seven accordance in made to investigate Commission 2019 The Augmented met onJune 6 sectionwith 46 the Electoral of Act Committee’s to the proposed Redistribution redistribution the of Assembly’sACT Legislative electoral 2019. boundaries on 7 May published the term “objections”Note that is used the Electoral in Act response to in denote submissions made practice, Committee. these In submissions proposed to Redistribution the by published redistributions be opposedmay to or supportive the proposed of redistributions. Therefore, use the word of “objections” does necessarily not denoted a submission objection that as an imply is opposed to the proposalunder review. The objections by: made were
Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Electorate names
The Augmented Electoral Commission notes that no objections were raised in relation to the Redistribution Committee’s proposal to retain the electorate names of Brindabella, Ginninderra, Kurrajong, Murrumbidgee and Yerrabi.
Accordingly, no further investigations were undertaken into the name of the five electorates and the Augmented Electoral Commission unanimously agreed to maintain the five electorate names. Electorate boundaries
Summaries of objections
A brief summary of each of the seven objections: ACT Labor
ACT Labor endorses the proposed redistribution’s inclusion of the suburbs of Lawson, Evatt and McKellar from Yerrabi to Ginninderra, stating that this is broadly consistent with their own submission.
ACT Labor also states that it is in support of the move to “shift part of Kambah from Murrumbidgee into Brindabella” however state that “the proposal to redistribute the inner south suburbs of Deakin and Yarralumla from Kurrajong into Murrumbidgee creates a significant problem for maintaining this community of interest together and providing for good democratic representation for the residents of this area.”
ACT Labor argue that it is “worth examining the criteria used in Part 4, 36 of the Electoral Act to consider the redistribution of divisional boundaries.” ACT Labor continue by stating that it is their view that the Commission should consider whether it is “practicable to redistribute a single suburb from the electorate that incorporates its natural community of interest – Kurrajong – into an electorate with which it has very little relationship – Murrumbidgee.” They argue that this would create unnecessary confusion for the residents of the suburb that is reallocated, as to who their local representatives are; creating an “inequity of representation for those residents in the inner south because they are unlikely to receive the same level of representation when placed in an electorate with which they have little connection”.
ACT Labor conclude by stating that they are of the view that the costs to the local community of reallocating an inner south suburb to Murrumbidgee outweigh the issue of Murrumbidgee falling outside of the quota thresholds outlined in the Electoral Act. Canberra Liberals
The Canberra Liberals offer support to the Redistribution Committee’s proposed boundaries, stating that “the inclusion of Deakin and Yarralumla in the electorate of Murrumbidgee is a logical outcome given the key redistribution requirement that each electorate be within +/- 5% of the quota at the time of the next election”.
The Canberra Liberals believe that the inclusion of these two suburbs will create a strong inner south community of interest within the Murrumbidgee electorate.
The Canberra Liberals also welcome the proposal to reallocate a number of Belconnen District suburbs from Yerrabi into Ginninderra.
18 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission 19 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 The Inner South Canberra Community Council, similar to the Yarralumla Residents Association, argue to the Yarralumla South CanberraThe Inner similar Community Council, part and West East meet the redistribution Kambah Kambah of in that “could its objective leaving by East Kambah of to Brindabella.” the balance moving and Murrumbidgee South CanberraThe Inner Community Council also raises concerns numbers change as population that causing further to disruption back to Kurrajong, to move is likely after the next election, Yarralumla residents Ministers as ACT Members. and as well Government South CanberraThe Inner Community the Council same supplies survey results the as provided by Residents Association two placing objection their south into that in inner suburbs argue and Yarralumla member our where a couple of residents a situation “create would be associations Murrumbidgee will of localnumber the from a different electorate,members in need doubling with, will deal to the Council increase workload will the this forboth that argue They on issues affecting inner the south”. 5 to 10, affected South Canberra localthe Inner the 10 Community Members Council, Government and relevant directorates. objections South CanberraThe Inner to the Community similar Council concludes providing by Inner South Canberra Community Council South Community Inner Canberra Yarralumla ResidentsYarralumla Association from Residents the Association is opposed to the proposalThe Yarralumla Yarralumla to move electorate electorate. to the Murrumbidgee Kurrajong Residents Association because is only “it argues that partthe larger Kambah The of Yarralumla is proposed there is a need that to Brindabella to be to increase moved West) the numbers in (Kambah part and West East Kambah Kambah of is left there If no is need Murrumbidgee in Murrumbidgee. to the numbers Murrumbidgee.” up in Deakin and to make Yarralumla move and Murrumbidgee in West Residents Kambah Association leaving by argues that The Yarralumla further projected East Kambah the boundaries of to retain adjusting 1,000 residents Murrumbidgee in projected residents 3,842 from only no further part East move Kambah and of to Brindabella, necessary. are adjustments or Kurrajong to Murrumbidgee the boundaries of Residents Association also raises concerns numbers after change as population that The Yarralumla the causing further to residents disruption back to as Kurrajong, to move is likely next election, Yarralumla Ministers as ACT Members. and well Government Residents AssociationResidents Association also provides survey results Yarralumla of The Yarralumla members to strong showing opposition its among members to the proposed Yarralumla of move Murrumbidgee. community Residents Association Yarralumla’s concludes that objection their arguing The Yarralumla by NCA any that arguing by and south geography; reinforced is interests the inner which of by with lay responsibility resting have MLAs now with and will for Kurrajong relatedmatters to Yarralumla relevant Murrumbidgee. Deakin Residents Association projected and current sits within quotaThe Deakin Kurrajong Residents Association given that, believe parameters, the electorate face should to no its change Deakin state They boundaries. moving that sense geographical disadvantagethe does would and to Murrumbidgee make not from Kurrajong tractionresidents on issues to the residents Deakin of relevant for “gaining Deakin.” of strong has heritage part Deakin is geographically issues that South; the inner argue They of similar issuesof the Molonglo to different that many has to Woden; unmatched and suburbs to surrounding requirements form a close zone that affiliation planning Capital Authority National has and (NCA) Valley; Forrestwith south other and inner suburbs.
Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Yarralumla Residents Association by arguing that Yarralumla and Deakin’s community of interests lay with the inner south which is reinforced by geography; and by arguing that any National Capital Authority (NCA) related matters relevant to Yarralumla will now have responsibility split between MLAs for Kurrajong and Murrumbidgee. Chris Erett
Mr Erett argues that the proposed electoral boundaries unnecessarily bifurcates the Canberra Central district, arguing that the proposed boundaries do not adequately address sections 36(c)(i), (iii) and (iv) of the Electoral Act.
Mr Erett contends that the proposed redistribution would “result in the members for Murrumbidgee being responsible for representing the community interests of five distinctive towns/districts: Woden Valley; Weston Creek; Molonglo Valley; Tuggeranong; and Canberra Central”. This, he states, would be a poor outcome for both the Members of Murrumbidgee, and their constituents.
Mr Erett also reinforces his earlier suggestion that Kambah West be split between Brindabella and Murrumbidgee; addressing the quota requirements of both electorates while avoiding the need to reallocate Yarralumla and Deakin. Elizabeth Gillespie
Ms Gillespie provides five reasons supporting why she believes moving Deakin and Yarralumla and splitting Kambah should not occur.
Firstly, she believes that the residents of Kambah would prefer to “retain their local interests within the strong community of Kambah”.
Secondly, Ms Gillespie outlines the shared history Yarralumla and Deakin maintain with the adjoining suburbs of the inner south and inner north, which she contends is to a greater extent to that shared with the adjoining newer suburbs of Curtin, Hughes and Garran.
Thirdly, Ms Gillespie states that Yarralumla’s community of interest is geographically reinforced with the inner south but separated from Weston Creek and the other areas of Murrumbidgee.
Fourthly, Ms Gillespie contends that within the next couple of years large housing developments are planned for Woden, Curtin and Yarralumla; impacting the population of Kurrajong and therefore removing the need for a change of boundaries for Yarralumla and Deakin.
Finally, Ms Gillespie argues that Yarralumla shares the lake and its shoreline with other Canberra Central suburbs like Acton, Barton and Kingston; reinforcing the link between those areas and contends that managing lake and designated land issues and liaising with the NCA will be made more difficult and inefficient the more ACT electorates are involved.
20 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission 21 Investigation Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 , the Augmented Commission gave full consideration to each full the lodged of objections. Commission, the Augmented gave suggestions or comments to the redistribution committee given accordance the in with or comments redistribution); and about (Suggestions (1) section under notice 41 (a) the matters raised in the objection (or substantially the same matters) were raised were in the same matters) substantially the matters raised the objection in (or (a) vexatious. or objection the frivolous is (b) section46. — that the opinion unless is of it hearing, (1) The augmented commission shall investigate each objection accordance in investigate with made commission The augmented shall (1) hold a public objection, commission the an augmented shall For the purpose investigating of (2) Whether to hold a public hearing into the objections the objections into hearing a public tohold Whether An important consideration Electoral for the Augmented Commission to decide was whether was it necessary the objections. of some or all into hearing to hold a public provides: Section objections) of the Electoral of 49 Act (Investigation the objections of consider not CommissionThe any received Augmented did or that frivolous were Therefore, the matters the of taskvexatious. Commission to decide the Augmented of was any if raised not were suggestions in or comments the same matters) substantially raised the objection in (or Committee. to the Redistribution given As the objections of discussed consider not Commission any the Augmented did that further below, raised matters suggestions new substantial public been not rounds of had that canvassed the initial in comments.and necessary Therefore, consider was Commission not it theAugmented did that to hold the objections. of As any section: into discussed hearing a public the following detail in in of the objections The objection submitted the Canberra by Liberals indicated support for the proposed and boundaries, matters. new hence any raise not did The objection submitted ACT by Labor indicated support for the proposed to the relation boundaries in matters new northern to this any relation raise not in did and electorates Yerrabi and Ginninderra of aspect the arguments Electoral The Augmented the redistribution. that of the view Commission of was ACT by Labormade to the southern relation in aspect to similar the redistribution of significantly were matters. new suggestionthose ACT by therefore Labor made any raise and not original did their in previouslyto lodgedtheir The DeakinResidents Association’s objection similar significantly was matters. new any raise not did comment and Residents South Association, Canberra Inner Community Erett Chris Council and each The Yarralumla the need or eliminate order to in minimise Kambah of the suburb of division arguedfor a more granular for further Such the a suggestion by made boundary was adjustments Kurrajong. and to Murrumbidgee CreekWeston Community both Council at the suggestion comments and considered phase was and Electoral the Augmented not Commission did Committee. the Redistribution detail by in Accordingly, consider raised to be this a newly issue. the Yarralumla survey of data by the provision ElectoralThe Augmented while Commission that felt South Canberra the Inner Community also included Council’s within Residents Association (and element an submitted was the matters as part raised the the objection of in objection) period only, the Augmented concerned communitysurvey interest primarily were with of matters. Accordingly, Electoral Commission these took that the view matters been had previously canvassed the initial in suggestions comments. and public of rounds South the Inner Residents and Association, Gillespie Elizabeth Other matters the raised Yarralumla by to other linkages and geography Deakin’s and/or Canberra centering on Yarralumla Community Council,
Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Kurrajong-based suburbs and their shared interests were also deemed to be substantially the same matters raised at earlier stages of the redistribution process within the meaning of section 49 of the Electoral Act.
The Inner South Canberra Community Council and Yarralumla Residents Association argued that future developments and growth in current Murrumbidgee suburbs will likely result in the need for Yarralumla and/or Deakin to be reallocated back to Kurrajong as part of subsequent redistributions. Elizabeth Gillespie offered that planned housing developments in Woden, Curtin and Yarralumla will remove the need for a change of boundaries for Yarralumla and Deakin. However such considerations of potential demographic changes beyond 2020 cannot be considered by the Augmented Electoral Commission in its deliberations for the boundaries to support the 2020 Legislative Assembly election. Accordingly, the Augmented Electoral Commission determined these matters did not necessitate a public hearing.
Likewise, the assertion by the Inner South Canberra Community Council that the number of MLAs engaged on issues affecting the inner south will double is not unique to these suburbs alone. The Augmented Commission considered that this is the case where any district is divided across two or more electorates with common community of interests. Accordingly, the Augmented Electoral Commission took the view that this was not a new issue in deliberations and did not necessitate a public hearing.
Finally, Mr Erett’s contention that the members for Murrumbidgee would be responsible for multiple distinctive towns/districts should the two Kurrajong suburbs be reallocated, was viewed by the Augmented Electoral Commission as unavoidable under any of the alternative options for resolution should the option to further divide Kambah be rejected (discussed in more detail below). Based on the unanimous decision of the Commission to reject a more granular division of Kambah, the Augmented Electoral Commission took the view that this issue did not necessitate a public hearing.
The Augmented Electoral Commission was therefore satisfied that no new or substantive arguments had been made as part of the objection period that warranted the holding of a public hearing.
22 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission 23
. Districts Act 2002 Australian Capital Territory (Self- Australian Capital Territory (Self-Government) Act 1988 (Cth), section subsection 67D(1); and section subsection 67D(1); (Cth), Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 the community interests of each proposed within electorate, economic, social including interests; regional and each proposed within travel electorate; and communication the of means each of area features and proposedthe physical electorate; existingthe boundaries of electorates; and sections and divisions the boundaries of under the fixed (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) Government) Act 1988 duly considerduly — ensure that the number of electors of the number ensure that electorate an after in immediately the redistribution is permitted the range within the by (Cwlth), section 67D(2) [not greater than 110%, or less than 90%, of the quota]; of or less 90%, than 110%, than greater [not section 67D(2) (Cwlth), as practicable, electors as far of to the ensure, number that endeavour electorate an in at the next of the time general election members of Assembly be not the Legislative of will the expected of or less 95%, quota than for the electorate time that at 105%, than greater ascertained set the in out accordance the formula in with (c) (a) (b) “As the Committee’s Report notes, neither Kurrajong nor Murrumbidgee electorates the Committee’s nor Murrumbidgee Report notes,“As neither require Kurrajong “sitting adjustment comfortably It projected and the current within quota enrolment parameters”. is proposed to Brindabella to be because moved West) is only part the larger (Kambah Kambah of part and West there Kambah is a need that of to increase If the numbers Murrumbidgee. in up Deakin and to make EastKambah is left there Yarralumla is no need Murrumbidgee in to move the numbers Murrumbidgee.” in leaving Committee’s more be by “The easily and objective Redistribution achieved simply could East Kambah the boundaries of to retain adjusting 1000 and Murrumbidgee in West Kambah projected projected 3842 only residents residents move from and part Murrumbidgee in Kambah of a result in be required would and would that change is the only This East instead. toBrindabella one boundary tochange only two.” than rather The objections submitted by Chris Erett, the Yarralumla Residents Association SouthThe objections the Inner and submitted Erett, Chris by the Yarralumla Canberra Community Council each dissection of propose the aim with a more Kambah granular of Kurrajong. the adjustments need and to Murrumbidgee the boundaries of for additional eliminating Residents Association, echoed largely and The the Inner objection in submitted the Yarralumla by South states: Canberra submission, Community Council’s Theobjection continues: Objections suggesting a more granular dissection of the suburb of of the dissection suburb of granular a more suggesting Objections Kambah Investigation of the objections the objections of Investigation the objections Committee’s to the proposed Redistribution investigating In the Augmented boundaries, its subject were that deliberations Electoralconstrained to section and Commission mindful by was 36 the Electoralof Act. Section the Electoral of 36 Act sets a redistribution the which criteria out under is to be conducted. sectionThis prescribes a redistribution making of Electoral in the Augmented Commission, that electorates, shall:
Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission This is a similar argument as that proposed by the Western Creek Community Council in both their initial suggestion and then restated in their lodged comment.
The Redistribution Committee had considered this approach earlier by gathering current enrolment data based on the smaller geographical areas known as SA1s. Based on this data the Redistribution Commission was able to identify a number of SA1s from the southern portion of Kambah that, when amalgamated with the other suburbs from the current Brindabella electorate, allowed for each of the electorates of Brindabella, Murrumbidgee and Kurrajong to fit within the legislated quota requirements and left all other Kurrajong and Murrumbidgee boundaries unchanged.
The Redistribution Committee however formed the view, subsequently upheld by the Augmented Electoral Commission, that dissecting any suburb based on these smaller geographical areas, without clear and easily communicable boundaries, is fraught with difficulty and opens significant avenues of confusion across the community and the Legislative Assembly. Additionally, ABS advice was that enrolment projections of smaller geographical SA1 population areas are inherently less accurate and increase the risk of boundary determinations being based on insufficiently derived projections.
The Augmented Electoral Commission agreed with the finding of the Redistribution Committee that, in order to comply with the quota requirements, the SA1 configured boundary that would be established to split that portion of Kambah to be held within Brindabella from that portion to be held within Murrumbidgee, would need to run along multiple smaller and relatively less transited suburban streets. The committee’s view was that such an ill-defined boundary would create a high degree of confusion amongst the electors of Kambah and would prove difficult for the elected MLAs to identify the specific electors that they have been elected to represent. Accordingly, the Augmented Electoral Commission upheld the view of the Redistribution Committee and unanimously rejected this suggestion as a means of determining the electorate boundaries for the 2020 election.
Objection to the placement of the suburbs of Deakin and Yarralumla
Community of interest and geography
Each of the submissions lodged by the Deakin Residents Association, Yarralumla Residents Association, Inner South Canberra Community Council and Elizabeth Gillespie, raised objections to the placement of Deakin and/or Yarralumla based on arguments relating to section 36(c) of the Electoral Act, which states that the Augmented Electoral Commission shall duly consider:
“(i) the community of interests within each proposed electorate, including economic, social and regional interests; and
(ii) the means of communication and travel within each proposed electorate; and
(iii) the physical features and area of each proposed electorate; and
(iv) the boundaries of existing electorates; and
(v) the boundaries of divisions and sections fixed under the Districts Act 2002”
The objections of the Yarralumla Residents Association and Inner South Canberra Community Council, submitted with near identical language, argue that:
“The community of interest of Deakin and Yarralumla with the inner south is reinforced by geography. Residential areas of Deakin and Yarralumla are geographically separated from Weston Creek, Molonglo, and the Woden Valley whereas they adjoin the other inner south suburbs. Yarralumla shares Lake Burley Griffin and its shoreline and adjacent areas with other Central Canberra suburbs like Acton, Barton and Kingston reinforcing Yarralumla’s links with those suburbs.” [Inner South Canberra Community Council]
24 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission 25 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 “Yarralumla and Deakin share a history and character with the adjoining suburbs of inner south a historyDeakin inner and share of suburbs character and the adjoining with “Yarralumla Curtin, of suburbs newer north, inner and extent to a much greater the adjoining do with they than are the with Ainslie along and two first was 1920s settledin the Yarralumla Garran. Hughes and oldest Canberra. in suburbs is Yarralumla community south interestof the inner geography. is reinforced with by …Yarralumla’s expanses large by separated Valley geographically Curtin from Creek, Woden Weston and Molonglo, openof space abuts abuts turn whereas geographically south Deakin the in other it inner which suburbs.” part“Deakin is geographically south Canberra. the inner of of and strong suburbs with heritagesuburb to surrounding garden issuesDeakin is a unique similar issue for Deakin a major is preservation area; thoseits of of the Woden historic in many unlike gardensuburb status. Deakin hosts institutions such as embassies national is a varied of number a The Lodge. and It issues the Molonglo in Many Hughes or Curtin. Garran, lessand suburb a dormitory like suburb different. are Valley ACT with GovtParts planning overlap rules NCA zones which and Deakin by covered of are planning with Forrest a closeinner requirementssuburbs other and south affiliation as such and have heritage with issues relevant Melbourne) and (Adelaide Deakin Avenues is bounded two by National National significant the nationally adjoins It Murrumbidgee. in suburbs unlike status; to that Area. the Central National and Parliament resident and issues interests and planning very be should and similar have Deakin Yarralumla and the same electorate.” in kept While Elizabeth Gillespie similarly states: similarly Gillespie Elizabeth While The Deakin Residents Association that: note ElectoralThe Augmented Commission discussed these detail. in views the need noting to increase the electorate in the enrolled and population Brindabella of However, Brindabella within Kambah of suburb the entire the inclusion of with the considerable issues involved District such suburbs as Wanniassa the unsatisfactory Tuggeranong alternative of allocation (requiring the electorate within Murrumbidgee of Kambah or the inclusion of to Murrumbidgee), or Fadden Beard, the inclusion of the impractical through extension deep Kurrajong Brindabella into of (requiring Electoral the Augmented Commission ultimately JerrabomberraOaks and District), Estate, Narrabundah east/ as an the upheld proposal Drive Committee the Drakeford Redistribution using of Kambah to split dissecting level. than to rather SA1 west down divide, Kambah and projected current Westwithin fell enrolment of Kambah inclusive confirmed Brindabella Having Electoralquotas, the Augmented Commission then to identify sought options to increase the enrolled The to the local Commission disruption noted communities. minimal with Murrumbidgee of population projected under requirements enrolment current under 4.07% and 0.42% fall would Murrumbidgee that suburbs additional Accordingly, from taken its West requirementsenrolment Kambah responsibility. with needed its to bring projected and current Murrumbidgee to be included population within enrolment the requiredlegislated parameters.within figures ElectoralThe Augmented Commission with requirement considered this options for achieving several the Electoral of Act. identifying of bestthe the aim one that s36(c) of met the intention beenOne option discussed previously raised having consultation as part detail, public in earlier of phases the Proportional by Representation Society the Belconnen the inclusion of was Australia, of Although satisfyingDistrict Murrumbidgee. Cook of the quota within suburbs Aranda requirements, and
Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission this proposal was lacking when held against those same considerations in relation to Yarralumla and Deakin within Murrumbidgee when analysed against the considerations of s36(c). The Augmented Electoral Commission could not find strong arguments to support the economic, social and regional ties that these suburbs could hold with other Murrumbidgee suburbs, nor could it identify stronger arguments for the means of communication and travel against those held by the two Central Canberra District suburbs. The Commission could also not uphold the arguments raised by the above objectors in relation to the geographical differences between Murrumbidgee suburbs and Yarralumla and Deakin when held in contrast to those same issues in relation to Cook and Aranda.
Another potential solution deliberated by the Augmented Electoral Commission was to extend Murrumbidgee to the east; subsuming Symonston and Narrabundah. While this solution would again meet the quota requirements for both current and projected data, the Commission was unable to establish stronger ‘community of interest’ ties than those maintained through the inclusion of Yarralumla and Deakin in Murrumbidgee. Symonston and Narrabundah only being directly connected to other Murrumbidgee suburbs via a single thoroughfare; and physically isolated from those suburbs by large tracts of nature reserve and/or other Kurrajong suburbs such as Red Hill. The Augmented Electoral Commission was unable to develop an argument satisfactorily establishing stronger or more defined economic, social, communication or travel links between these two suburbs above and beyond those that can be established for the suburbs of Yarralumla and Deakin.
Finally, had the Commission taken the view that Kambah West was the more suitable of the two segments to remain in Murrumbidgee, it would have been possible for any one of either Yarralumla, Deakin or Red Hill to be moved between electorates. However, it was the strong and unanimous view of the Augmented Electoral Commission, like the Redistribution Committee before it, that Brindabella and Murrumbidgee were both served best by the decision to allocate Kambah East to Murrumbidgee and Kambah West to Brindabella. Accordingly, it was necessary for the Augmented Electoral Commission to identify which two Central Canberra District suburbs, if reallocated, would best meet the intensions of s36(c) of the Electoral Act. Accordingly, the Augmented Electoral Commission discussed the potential to include Red Hill as an alternative Kurrajong suburb, potentially replacing Yarralumla.
The Commission discussed the economic, social and regional interests, along with lines of communication and travel that Yarralumla and Red Hill share with other Murrumbidgee suburbs. It reviewed in detail the arguments posited in the lodged objections, but ultimately held the view that the two suburbs of Yarralumla and Deakin both hold a strong connection with the Woden Valley through transport links via Adelaide Avenue and Yarra Glen, as well as Carruthers St and Kent St; and economic and social links via the Woden Town Centre, which, it was held, provide for the main shopping hub for those residents. These links, the Augmented Commission maintains, are stronger than those held by the residents of Red Hill, whose residents are separated from Garran and Hughes by Red Hill Nature Reserve and share only one direct means of travel via Hindmarsh Dr.
Accordingly, the Augmented Electoral Commission felt that, while it is not an ideal situation to be splitting districts across multiple electorates, the reality is that some districts must be split across electorates to achieve the required equity in distribution of electors. The goal must therefore be to identify the most appropriate and conversely, least disruptive, solution. In support of the Redistribution Committee’s findings, it is the conclusion of the Augmented Electoral Commission that the allocation of Yarralumla and Deakin to Murrumbidgee best meets the legislated considerations against all other possible solutions.
26 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission 27 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 “Managing Lake related issues and liaising with Commonwealth entities responsible Commonwealth for the Lake with related issues Lake liaising and “Managing inefficient Capital and the besuch more more Authority difficult made as the National ACT will electorates involved. are underNational the land aredesignated Yarralumla areasof and Deakin as significant Similarly, the Committee’s under proposalCapitalPlan, responsibility between be split will Legislative the other and mattersAssembly planning involving in Murrumbidgee and members for Kurrajong [Inner South Canberra NCA, Community Council] further in resulting inefficienciesduplication.” and ACTwith Govt“Parts overlap rules NCA zones which and Deakinby covered of are planning with Forrest a closeinner other and requirements south affiliation as such and have planning suburbs.” “The proposed member our where a couple of create residents a situation redistributionwould of localnumber the a different beelectorate,associationsmembers in doubling will the Council on issuesincrease affectingworkload The will inner the south. from to 5 10, need with, to deal will 10 local forISCCC, the Membersmember significantly our residentsof the Legislative the groups, directorates.” Government relevant and Assembly Murrumbidgee, and for Kurrajong Liaising with government entities with government Liaising Residents South Association, Canberra Inner Community The objections lodged the Yarralumla by objections centred identical language, near each in around raise, Gillespie, Elizabeth Counciland landthe increased andlake-related mattersdesignated inefficiencies and difficulties managing of the proposed about by brought increase Members of Assembly the number in the Legislative of with responsibility south: the inner of theDeakin Residents Association stated: Similarly, South Canberra the Inner Community Council argued that: Additionally, Electoral the Augmented situation ideal Commission an not agreed was it that matter, to this relation In to be splitting districts to so does doing it agreed and by community result in councils having that increased an with MLAs, of number liaise increased where an as creating a situation as well number the Commission MLAsof responsibility matters of district. to that oversight have relating However, some to across the be reality districts is that split holds that the the view situation of to have going are electorates the issues and raised these in specifically objections,substantively notare different, while across or split other could be, is, to communitythose different, that any electorates.of the While Capital Electoral Augmented the National the note Commission uniqueness the matters of did involving larger as sufficientlyoverride the powerfulissues argument of this view to not enough did it Authority, solutions mentioned theother of potential above. any by community interest maintained of are that ElectoralFor the Augmented reason, these this uphold Commission not did objection matters.
Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Future changes in population numbers
Elizabeth Gillespie, the Yarralumla Residents Association and the Inner South Canberra Community Council, all raise an objection based around concerns that future population increases in and around the Molonglo Valley and Curtin, will have the result of reversing the need to include the inner south suburbs of Yarralumla and Deakin in Murrumbidgee at subsequent redistributions.
“Within the next couple of years large housing developments are planned for Woden, Curtin and Yarralumla. These developments will have a large impact on the population for the electorate of Kurrajong. This significant increase in the population, will remove the need for a change of boundaries for Yarralumla and Deakin.” [Elizabeth Gillespie]
“The risk with the Redistribution Committee’s proposal is a yo-yo situation where rapid population growth in Molonglo and urban infill in Woden risks a further redistribution at the following election that will see Deakin and/or Yarralumla moving back again to Kurrajong. The Redistribution Committee’s Report recognises Molonglo as an area of high growth in the ACT, and Molonglo and Curtin have both been identified in the ACT Planning Strategy 2018 as urban intensification localities. If, as expected, the population in Murrumbidgee increases and exceeds 5% above the quota the logical response would be to move Deakin and/or Yarralumla back to Kurrajong. This will cause further disruption to residents as well as ACT Government Ministers and Members.” [Inner South Canberra Community Council]
The Augmented Electoral Commission is not able to take into consideration these arguments as they are not within its remit for consideration. Section 36(b) of the Electoral Act prescribes the breadth of the Augmented Electoral Commission’s considerations to the projected enrolment levels at the time of the next general election. The Electoral Act requires the Augmented Electoral Commission to endeavour to ensure, as far as practicable, that the number of electors in an electorate at the time of the next general election is within the range of not greater than 105% nor less than 95% of the quota at that time. The next general election is due to be held on 17 October 2020 under section 100 of the Electoral Act.
In order to comply with this criterion, the ACT Electoral Commission engaged the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) to project enrolment, largely at the suburb level, as at 17 October 2020. The projected enrolment statistics were calculated by the ABS according to assumptions reflecting prevailing trends and anticipated new dwelling occupancies.
Accordingly, future housing developments that occur outside of the considerations for the 2020 ACT election and are assumed to affect population figures that could result in boundary alterations at subsequent redistributions, are not matters that the Augmented Electoral Commission could include it its deliberations. The Augmented Electoral Commission also noted that any yet to be completed housing developments that will increase population figures for any Murrumbidgee or Kurrajong areas before the October 2020 ACT election, will have already been included, to the best of the ABS’s ability, in the data used by the ABS to derive its projected enrolment figures.
The Commission noted however, that the enrolment projections for October 2020 are simply projections; based on current enrolment statistics and anticipated population changes, considering past population growth and projected housing developments. While projected housing developments are a critical element to the formation of projected enrolment data, the methodology used to calculate projected enrolment at the time of the 2020 election may not fully and accurately take account of all new developments expected to occur in the ACT. The Augmented Electoral Commission accordingly must rely on the data at hand and cannot make its determinations on assumptions without a statistical basis.
For these reasons, the Augmented Electoral Commission did not uphold these objection matters.
28 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission 29 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 “The the residents survey showed results a strong overwhelmingly had community interest of with Woden [sic] Griffith and Forrestratherthat south suchother Manuka, inner suburbs as Deakin, respondents of 94% agreed strongly or agreed Creek Molonglo. Weston and Curtin, [sic] Valley a stronger has community interest than south of rather other inner suburbs with Yarralumla that respondents of also agreed or strongly agreed the electorate in suburbs Murrumbidgee….81% of issues environmental south and to inner economic planning and social, similar has Yarralumla that suburbs.” the existing than rather Murrumbidgee suburbs Survey results Residents Association presents dataThe on the results Yarralumla inhouse surveyan conducted of itsof South members, lodged the submission via the Inner the results by also relayed are which of CanberraCommunity Council. Residents ElectoralThe Augmented Commission discussedYarralumla the survey results offered by the Residents Association members (Yarralumla only Association, Yarralumla of the survey was noting 2019) June 30 as at households Yarralumla in Residents Association 1410 of out membership is 123 independently an not survey across run was and a broader The sample. members the Augmented of Electoral Commission agreed the topics that raised mattersthe survey new not were in provided and evidence tosupport only the arguments being the objection. lodged within ElectoralThe Augmented Commission noted the survey results discussed and the matters relation in to the broader Residents interest’ Association, of ‘community Inner matters the raised Yarralumla by South Canberra Deakin not Community Residents did Association but Council, Gillespie, Elizabeth and the survey against results itsplace in weight deliberations.
Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Objection matters raised by ACT Labor
ACT Labor stated within their lodged objection:
“We believe that the proposal to redistribute the inner south suburbs of Deakin and Yarralumla from Kurrajong into Murrumbidgee creates a significant problem for maintaining this community of interest together and providing for good democratic representation for the residents of this area…. We understand that one may take a narrow reading of this paragraph and interpret its aim purely as ensuring that no ‘zig-zagging’ of divisional boundaries would occur. However we believe that community interest calls on the Redistribution Committee to take a broader, more inclusive view…. It is our view that the Commission should consider whether it is practicable to redistribute a single suburb from the electorate that incorporates its natural community of interest - Kurrajong into an electorate with which it has very little relationship - Murrumbidgee… We believe that the costs to the local community outweigh the problem of Murrumbidgee falling 1.66% below the projected quota threshold. We therefore request that the Redistribution Committee reconsider their proposal concerning the boundaries for Kurrajong and Murrumbidgee and maintain Yarralumla and Deakin within the division of Kurrajong.”
The Augmented Electoral Commission discussed ACT Labor’s comments in regard to placing greater weight upon ‘community of interest’ matters over compliance with legislated quota requirements. Commission members unanimously agreed that the Electoral Act provides language placing greater emphasis upon the quota requirements outlined at s36(b) through the use of the wording ‘endeavour to ensure’ over and above the wording requiring the Augmented Electoral Commission to ‘duly consider’ the matters following s36(c). In discussions centred on these matters the members of the Augmented Electoral Commission agreed that the choice of the word ‘endeavour’ within s36(b) is an acknowledgment that the projected enrolment figures cannot be held as absolute and that the projected enrolment statistics calculated by the ABS are calculated according to assumptions reflecting prevailing trends and anticipated new dwelling occupancies. The word ‘endeavour’, in the view of the Commission, does not provide the ability to determine boundaries that are known to fall outside of compliance with the supplied projected enrolment data quota. The Augmented Electoral Commission held that it was bound to comply with s36(b) of the legislation in its decisions.
For this reason, the Augmented Electoral Commission did not uphold ACT Labor’s objection.
30 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Statement of reasons by the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission 31 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 “The proposed the members result in redistribution beingwould responsible for Murrumbidgee Weston Valley; Woden for representing the community interestsdistinctive towns/districts: five of be a poor would This outcome Canberra and for Central. Tuggeranong; Creek; Valley; Molonglo both note I the members electorate, this of Assembly. constituents, their and the Legislative in membersthat other of electorates be representing would constituents or one two in significant districts.” Dawn Casey Cantwell MossDawn — Damian AM — Philip AM Ben Ponton — Jeffrey Brown — Beidar Cho 2019 2 July For the reasons given above, the Augmented Commissionthe Augmented proposes For the reasons above, to adopt given the Redistribution Committee’sproposed names and boundaries unchanged. process Next the redistribution of stage As Commission accepted the Augmented has the proposal Committee the Redistribution of without of section of the meaning the proposalchange, Commission 51(2)(c) the within Augmented is not, of the ElectoraldifferentRedistribution Act,fromCommittee’sthe proposal. significantly Consequently, there no further are opportunities objections. formally for public Commission The Augmented will completeinstrument the redistribution process a notifiable of publication by future the near in section under the Electoral of determination of a report Act of 35 publication and concerning the redistribution section under the Electoral of Act. 53 ACTAugmented Electoral Commission Conclusion Objection in relation to multiple district responsibility district tomultiple relation in Objection The objection submitted Erett Chris by argues that: ElectoralThe Augmented Commission discussed the matters held Erett, Mr raised by ultimately but rejected unanimously the proposition having to further suchthat, dissect level, toSA1 down Kambah solutions for increasing population thematters enrolment the alternative of a reality were any of Allocating Cook from the Belconnen Aranda Murrumbidgee. of and and District, or Narrabundah districtSymonston both the east, responsibilities additional result in in for the Members would of Murrumbidgee. ElectoralFor the Erett’s Augmented reason, Mr this uphold Commission not did objection.
32 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution redistribution proposed Redistribution Committee’s Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Summary of proposed redistribution
The 2019 ACT Redistribution Committee proposes, in accordance with section 43 of the Electoral Act 1992, that the electoral boundaries in the Australian Capital Territory be as follows:
Brindabella, a 5-Member electorate comprising the district of Tuggeranong (excluding the section of the Tuggeranong suburb of Kambah that is East of Drakeford Drive, and that portion of Tuggeranong District between Drakeford Drive and Athllon Drive) and the districts of Booth, Cotter River, Paddy’s River, Rendezvous Creek, Tennent and Mount Clear;
Ginninderra, a 5-Member electorate comprising the district of Belconnen (excluding the suburbs of Giralang and Kaleen);
Kurrajong, a 5-Member electorate comprising the district of Canberra Central (excluding the suburbs of Deakin and Yarralumla), and the districts of Jerrabomberra (including the entire suburb of Hume), Kowen and Majura;
Murrumbidgee, a 5-Member electorate comprising the districts of Molonglo Valley, Weston Creek, Woden Valley, Coree (including the village of Uriarra) and Stromlo, the section of the Tuggeranong suburb of Kambah that is East of Drakeford Drive, and that portion of Tuggeranong District between Drakeford Drive and Athllon Drive, and the Canberra Central suburbs of Deakin and Yarralumla; and
Yerrabi, a 5-Member electorate comprising the districts of Gungahlin and Hall and the Belconnen District suburbs of Giralang and Kaleen.
34 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 35 2020 59,816 52,616 58,462 56,825 62,806 64,308 4.36% 2.40% -1.11% -0.95% -4.69% % above or % above below quota 5-Member electorates 59,150 57,0 09 59,247 62,426 61,249 299,081 Projected enrolment 292,311 299,081 October 2020 ACT total 2019 5.61% 4.08% -2.21% -2.73% -4.76% % above or % above below quota 57,173 61,743 55,680 56,869 60,846 292,311 Enrolment March 2019 5 5 5 5 5 25 members Number of Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Quotas of the quotaNot more than 105% Not less of the quota than 95% Projected enrolment Quotas of the quota Not more than 110% Not less than 90% of the quota Actual enrolment 17 October17 2020 29 March 2019 Proposed electorate Ginninderra Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Yerrabi Brindabella ACT total For a detailed breakdown of these of For a detailed statistics breakdown report]. page 54 this of see Appendix A. [at report]. this of page 36 the proposed of A map electorate [at on page 3. boundaries is shown report]. this of page 37 the existing of [at electorateA map on page 4. boundaries is shown report]. this page of 38 districts of [at A map the ACT on page 5. is shown within Proposed electorates: Statistical summary Statistical electorates: Proposed Quotas and maximum and minimum numbers of electors of numbers minimum and maximum and Quotas Overall statistical summary
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Map of proposed boundaries
NEW SOUTH YERRABI WALES GINNINDERRA
MURRUMBIDGEE New KURRAJONG South Wales
BRINDABELLA
EXTENT OF MAIN MAP
AUSTRALIAN CAPITAL TERRITORY
NEW SOUTH WALES
New South Wales
Redistribution of the Australian Capital Territory into electorates pursuant to the Electoral Act 1992
Proposed electorates for the ACT Legislative Assembly of Brindabella, Ginninderra, Kurrajong, Murrumbidgee and Yerrabi
Proposed boundaries of electorates Division boundaries District boundaries
The ACT Redisribution Committee has prepared a proposed redistribution of electorates for the ACT Legislative Assembly. This map shows the names and boundaries of the proposed electorates and the number of members 01234 to be elected in each of the proposed electorates. Kilometres Damian Cantwell AM Ben Ponton
Jeffrey Brown Beidar Cho
ACT Redistribution Committee May 2019
Ref: r:\Surveyor General and Land Information\GIS\Geomedia\ACT Electoral Boundaries\2019 ACT Redistribution Boundaries_A4
36 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 37 NEW SOUTH WALES May 2015 rajong, KURRAJONG Kur errabi 1992 New
South Wales YERRABI the Y EXTENT OF MAIN MAP MAIN OF EXTENT ssembly nd Ref: x:\actlic\actlic geomedia\ACT Electoral Boundaries\2015 ACT Boundaries Redistribution ACT Electoral Boundaries\2015 x:\actlic\actlicRef: geomedia\ACT a ElectoralAct BRINDABELLA GINNINDERRA CAPITAL Division boundaries District boundaries ACT electorate boundaries MURRUMBIDGEE TERRITORY inninderra, AUSTRALIAN Redistribution of the of Redistribution NEW lectorates for SOUTH WALES E
pursuant to the pursuant ACT Legislative ACT A Murrumbidgee Australian Capital Territoryinto electorates indabella, G of Br Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 New South Wales Kilometres 01234 Map of existing boundaries existing of Map
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Map of ACT districts
38 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 39 and the ACT Legislation Register on 5 February 2019. The the ACT and on 5 February Register Legislation 2019. (the Electoral Act) provides that a redistribution the electoral provides of that Electoral Act) (the The Canberra Times Electoral Act 1992 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 closing date for suggestions was 4 March 2019. Fifteen suggestions received were the closing by for suggestionsclosing date 4 March 2019. was comments Seven on The for comments closing date date. on these March 2018. suggestions 18 was suggestionsreceived. were In accordance with section 41 of the Electoral of Act, Committee accordance section the Redistribution written with In invited 41 written and comments those writtenon redistribution, the to suggestions, suggestionsby relating notice in published Invitation to submit suggestions and comments and suggestions to submit Invitation The Redistribution Committee Under section the Electoral of Act,39 the ACT Electoral Commission a is required to appoint Redistribution Committee this purposes Before the for Redistribution appointing each of redistribution. the fourth careful of Committee, consideration to the appointment member the Commission of gave the Committee. Committee the Redistribution of NoticeACT the notified appointment of was on the became and effective26 October on 2018. October on 25 Register Legislation 2018 CommitteeThe Redistribution consists is Cantwell who AM, Damian the Electoral of Commissioner (Mr the authority land Ponton); and (Ben planning the presiding Committee); member the Redistribution of and a personACT by the appointedElectoral in Commission, Brown); (Jeffrey ACT Surveyor-General Statistics of Bureau Cho). Australian (Beidar casethis the Director Demography, of CommitteeThe Redistribution the Electoral of functions. two Act, has Under section key 41 Committee writtenthe Redistribution is required suggestions to invite comments and about the Under sectionsredistribution. 44 and the Electoral of Act, Committee 43 the Redistribution is required a proposedto publish redistribution electorates of after suggestions considering comments any and it written receivedhas notification objections the official ofof the invite and to its days proposal 28 within proposed electorates. Commencement of the redistribution process the redistribution of Commencement Section the of 37 Legal requirements boundaries of the ACT shall begin as the soonACT boundaries of shall as practicable after the commencement the period of 2 of October the in next which in Saturday the 3rd the of year ordinary in on the expiration ending years election The next to be is due held. October election to be is due held on 17 2020.
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Redistribution criteria
Section 36 of the Electoral Act sets out the criteria under which a redistribution is to be conducted. This section (as applied to a Redistribution Committee by section 43 of the Electoral Act) prescribes that a Redistribution Committee, in making a redistribution of electorates, shall:
(a) ensure that the number of electors in an electorate immediately after the redistribution is within the range permitted by subsection 67D(2) of the Australian Capital Territory (Self- Government) Act 1988 (the Self-Government Act) of the Commonwealth;
(b) endeavour to ensure, as far as practicable, that the number of electors in an electorate at the time of the next general election of Members of the Legislative Assembly will not be greater than 105%, or less than 95%, of the expected quota for the electorate at that time ascertained in accordance with the formula set out in subsection 67D(1) of the Self- Government Act; and
(c) duly consider —
(i) the community of interests within each proposed electorate, including economic, social and regional interests;
(ii) the means of communication and travel within each proposed electorate;
(iii) the physical features and area of each proposed electorate;
(iv) the boundaries of existing electorates; and
(v) the boundaries of divisions and sections fixed under the Districts Act 2002.
Section 67D of the Australian Capital Territory (Self-Government) Act 1988 of the Commonwealth prescribes that:
(1) In this section:
quota, in relation to an electorate for the Territory, means the number calculated in accordance with the formula:
Number of Territory electors X Number of electorate members
Number of Territory members
where:
Number of Territory electors means the number of electors of the Territory.
Number of electorate members means the number of members to be elected by the electorate.
Number of Territory members means the number of members of the Assembly.
(2) A distribution or redistribution of the Territory into electorates is not to result in any electorate having, immediately after the distribution or redistribution:
(a) a number of electors of the Territory greater than 110% of its quota; or
(b) a number of electors of the Territory less than 90% of its quota.
40 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 41 . 3 June 2019 3 June Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 ACTElectoral Commission Square Civic North Building, Ground Floor, LondonCircuit CANBERRA ACT 2601 CIVIC SQUARE ACT 2608 Postal PO 272, Box Address: 0382 6205 (02) Fax: 0033, 6205 (02) Phone: [email protected] Email: Who considers objections? Objections Committee’s to the Redistribution proposal be considered ACT the will Augmented by Electoral Commission section under the Electoral of 49 Act. CommissionThe Augmented consists the Chairperson of the ACT of Dawn Electoral Commission (Ms is the Cantwell presiding member who the AM, of Damian the Electoral Commissioner(Mr Casey), and Moss AM) member the the ACT third of Philip Electoral Commission (Mr Committee), Redistribution Ben authority Ponton), land and the (Mr other members Committee: the planning the Redistribution of of Bureau Australian and Directorthe of Demography, Jeffrey Brown) (Mr the ACT Surveyor-General Statistics Cho). (Beidar objections into hearings to the proposed hold public CommissionThe Augmented may redistribution. Objections Written objections Committee’s to the proposed Redistribution redistribution can be lodged the with ACT Electoral than no later Commission by Objectionsbe lodged should at:
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Numbers of electors
Numbers of electors immediately after the redistribution
Paragraph 36(a) of the Electoral Act requires the Committee to ensure that the number of electors in an electorate immediately after the redistribution is within the range permitted by subsection 67D(2) of the Self-Government Act. The Committee has had recourse to several sets of enrolment statistics in the course of the redistribution.
Before appointing the Redistribution Committee, the ACT Electoral Commission obtained enrolment statistics for the ACT from the Australian Electoral Commission, broken down by locality. These enrolment statistics were compiled on 31 August 2018. These statistics were used to project the enrolment figures by locality at the time of the next election. They were made available for the information of people lodging submissions.
This report includes updated enrolment statistics compiled on 29 March 2019. The Committee considered that these figures were sufficient for ensuring the criterion related to current enrolment will be met under its proposed redistribution. However, the Augmented Electoral Commission may seek updated enrolment statistics from the Australian Electoral Commission before it makes its final determination, to ensure that the final determination is made against the latest enrolment statistics.
Numbers of electors at the time of the next general election
Paragraph 36(b) of the Electoral Act requires the Committee to endeavour to ensure, as far as practicable, that the number of electors in an electorate at the time of the next general election is within the range of not greater than 105% nor less than 95% of the quota at that time. The next general election is due to be held on 17 October 2020 under section 100 of the Electoral Act.
In order to comply with this criterion, the ACT Electoral Commission engaged the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) to project enrolment largely at the suburb level as at 17 October 2020. The projected enrolment statistics were calculated by the ABS according to assumptions reflecting prevailing trends and anticipated new dwelling occupancies agreed to by the ACT Electoral Commission, using the number of electors enrolled in each suburb as at 31 August 2018. A detailed description of the methodology used to calculate the projected enrolment statistics is included in the introduction to those statistics, which are available from the Commission’s website (see www.elections.act.gov. au/__data/assets/pdf_file/0018/1309401/Guidelines-for-submissions-2019.pdf).
The Committee noted that the enrolment projections for October 2020 are simply projections; based on current enrolment statistics and anticipated population changes, taking, amongst other things, past population growth and projected housing developments into account. In particular, the Committee notes that the methodology used to calculate projected enrolment at the time of the 2020 election may not accurately take account of new developments expected to occur in the ACT, especially in the areas of greatest growth in the ACT; the district of Molonglo Valley and the district of Gungahlin.
42 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 43 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 The criteria set out in paragraph 36(c) of the Electoral of Act — community interests, of of means 36(c) The criteria set paragraph in out existing boundaries of electorates area, features and physical and travel, and communication sections and divisions boundaries of under Districts the fixed are subservient — Act2002 to the two objectives enrolments of proposed or below in the quota above electorates 5% of a range being within or below the quota. the next of above the time at election 10% enrolments current and being within these given two constraints the Committee the other tocriteria ensure were sought that However, the Committee possibleconsidered effect.these maximum that were In given particular, bestcriteria splitting districts and suburbs selecting where possible, by and avoiding a policy of, maintaining met by objective this been not has While possible entirely clearlyboundaries separate which communities. in the Committee’s redistribution, current proposedthis based boundaries are strongly on discussions and decisions focussed that as best attempt on an to limit, as possible, from policy. divergence this The other redistribution criteria Quotas The quota for the 5-Member electors for the ACT. on the roll there 292,311 were March 2019 29 At the Actelectorates58,462, is the Self-Government of accordance section determined in with 67D the permitted and maximum is 52,616, less the quota) 90% of than (not permittedenrolment minimum 64,308. is the quota) of 110% than greater (not enrolment electors Therefore for the ACT on the roll OctoberThe in ABS projects be 2020. 299,081 there will that the quota for the 5-Member electorates accordance subsection determined in time with that at 67D(1) the of less 95% than (not the permitted enrolment minimum Act 59,816, is the Self-Government of is the quota) of 105% than greater the permitted and (not enrolment maximum is 56,825, quota) 62,806.
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Suggestions and comments
To assist persons and organisations making submissions to the Redistribution Committee, the ACT Electoral Commission provided an interactive mapping tool on its website. This enabled submitters to model different configurations of electoral boundaries, to determine whether proposed boundaries met the numerical requirements, and to lodge submissions on-line, by uploading proposed maps and supporting documents. All but one of the suggestions lodged made use of this mapping tool.
Fifteen suggestions were lodged with the Redistribution Committee by the close of the suggestions period on 4 March 2019. Seven comments on the suggestions were received by the closing date on 18 March 2019. Copies of the suggestions and comments may be viewed at the Commission’s office or obtained from its website, www.elections.act.gov.au.
The Committee met on 2 April 2019 and again on 8 April 2019 to discuss the public suggestions and comments received. Discussion on the views expressed in the suggestions and comments is included in the following sections on the Committee’s proposed boundaries and names.
A list of the suggestions and comments received is at Attachment B.
44 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 45 for the Tuggeranong-based electorate. As for the Tuggeranong-based Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 noted by the 1993 Redistribution Committee, the name Brindabella is derived from an Aboriginal word word Committee, is derived from Aboriginal an Redistribution Brindabella the name noted the 1993 by the south of dominates that range to the mountain given is the name It “twomeaning rats”. kangaroo the ACT. Names of electorates of Names Redistribution the thenCommittee dutyhad the 1993, the firstof distribution electoralIn in boundaries the electorates naming the Committee In was fornames electoratesto propose the initial the ACT. in electoral took Commonwealth and confusion cognisance divisions with tosensitive the need of to avoid a common theme had some and connection tangible names that respective their with electorates. The features associatedcommon theme to physical chosen relating with origin adopted Aboriginal of names Molonglo and Ginninderra –Brindabella, the landscape each of electorate. The names adopted 1993 in general community a further of acceptance– gained the addition unchanged remained until they and two electorates as part the Assembly. of the increase of the size in redistribution process, Committee the then Redistribution As the agreed part to maintain the 2015 of features associated to physical the landscape relating with eachof origin theme Aboriginal names of of Committee Redistribution the electorate and maintained Brindabella names of electorate. The 2015 Yerrabi. and Murrumbidgee introduced and three names – Kurrajong, new Ginninderra, As part redistribution current suggestions submitted this were process, of submitted, with the 15 12 of either no electorate associated name the suggestion with or electorate the current names appropriately attached boundary to their related suggestions. seem a broad would This to acceptance indicate the of electorate of suite current names. discussing the issueOne suggestion tool, only of lodged mapping was the use the without online of it can be assumed such a that electorate suggestions. offer not Accordingly, naming did boundaries and suggestion acceptance is in electorate the current of least names or is at ambivalent. suggestions lodged were electorate with suggestions from the status name diverge that quo. Two suggested the electorates Chef Giovannus while naming after “importantin the government”, figures Anne-Maree Nelmes suggested Canberra the central electorate naming as indicated on her map Creek, Weston valley, Molonglo takes in that the area the Belconnen region ‘Belconnen’; ‘Mahony’; region the Tuggeranong and region ‘Gungahlin’; the Gungahlin district ‘Stromlo’; the Majura and Woden ‘Tuggeranong’. As the case redistribution previous was processes, during Committeethis is reluctant to propose a new the Committeeelectorate general, is the same as a district considers that In name name. important it confusion between any electorateto avoid districts names and particular this case, as In or suburbs. the electorate is also proposed the district containing Gungahlin of from to Belconnen, contain suburbs the Committee could as this the electorate to name be considers misleading Gungahlin would it that the impression the Belconnen that thegive electorate to inclusions the in electorate. integral not were as the electorate the district containing Belconnen of is proposed of a number to not include Similarly, the Belconnen from the electorate within suburbs District, to name be misleading wold Belconnen. it electorate an if district, of to compriseEven was a single only the Committee be favour not in would the districtusing electorate as an time As name over to change name. electorate likely boundaries are be could expectedit parts that changes districtsoccur, asdemographic different of could be transferred rise a name to the risk electorates that the various of give or out in would This to from time. time no the longer present as at at boundaries be change be would appropriate appropriate time might that redistributions. future Due to the broad acceptance existing the current of the electorate throughout names displayed suggestions, the Committee alternative suggestions of number decided has the limited and to propose tono electorate change names. The Committee proposes Brindabella to retain the name
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution The Committee proposes to retain the name Ginninderra for the Belconnen-based electorate. As noted by the 1993 Redistribution Committee, the name Ginninderra is derived from an Aboriginal word meaning “sparkling like the stars”. It is the name given to the creek that flows through Belconnen and Gungahlin, which was dammed to form Lake Ginninderra, the lake on which the Belconnen Town Centre is sited.
The Committee proposes to retain the name Kurrajong for the Canberra Central-based electorate. As noted by the 2015 Redistribution Committee, Kurrajong Hill was the name used by early settlers for Capital Hill, the site of the Australian Parliament House. The name Kurrajong is understood to be derived from an Aboriginal word for the tree, Brachychiton populneus. The Kurrajong tree occurs locally and would probably have been used by local Aboriginal people as a resource. Kurrajong trees are planted in several of the suburbs in Central Canberra, including Ainslie, Barton, Braddon, Forrest, Red Hill and Reid. Kurrajong Point is the point at the northern end of Weston Park on Lake Burley Griffin. While the word Kurrajong is not a local Aboriginal word, the Committee considers that its strong connection with Parliament House, Lake Burley Griffin and nearby suburbs makes it an appropriate name for the electorate centred around the Parliamentary Triangle.
The Committee proposes to retain the name Murrumbidgee for the Weston Creek, Woden Valley and Molonglo Valley-based electorate. As noted by the 2015 Redistribution Committee, the Murrumbidgee River is a major tributary of the Murray River and the second longest river in Australia. It flows through New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory, crossing both the proposed Weston Creek, Woden Valley and Molonglo Valley-based electorate and the Tuggeranong-based electorate. The name is derived from an Aboriginal word meaning “big water”. Again, while this word is not a local Aboriginal word, it is a very significant feature of the landscape in the ACT.
The Committee proposes to retain the name Yerrabi for the Gungahlin-based electorate. As noted by the 2015 Redistribution Committee, Yerrabi Pond is one of the major water features of the Gungahlin District. The word Yerrabi is derived from a local Aboriginal word meaning “go”, “walk” and “to leave”.
46 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 47 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Strategic considerations Strategic long been has It a recurring Assembly themeACT of Legislative redistributions both among those the members submissions and lodging Committee, possible the Redistribution where of ever the that districts. urban process splitting can be the main presented aim This avoid should effect as giving sectionto in the requirement the Electoral of 36 Act consider factors,of to duly a range including features and the physical and the community travel, interests, of and communication of the means each of area proposed environment, urban capital’s electorate. thenational of nature The planned staged separation and districts, urban the physical the various of invested including has development a strong sense separate identity of each districts in the urban of a considerable and degree physical of separation between each them. of typically has it been participated held amongstConsequently, ACT those in redistribution have who districtsprocesses splitting any avoided be the ACT. redistribution one that in “ideal” would an that expressed a suggestions in again the public was of included view This and as a rationale several in enrolment particularly that the requirement criteria, the numerical the comments. of number However, the next of the quota the of time at 5% election, district dictates is larger that any that +/- be within the permittedthan must necessity of size across be split least at two electorates. the present each are projectedIn case, the districts more to include Belconnen of Tuggeranong and electors the next of the time at election the Electoral of Act. permitted are than section under 36(b) a quota of providing The projected election the October of the time total at is 299,081, enrolment 2020 the quota that of at order to meet enrolments +/-5% In that the requirement must be within 59,816. – 62,806. 56,825 enrolments the range musttime, be within the district while of electorsThe district Belconnen of October in is projected 2020, 70,281 to include Rendezvous Creek, River, the districts Paddy’s with Booth, Cotter of (combined River, Tuggeranong is projected 64,071 to include enrolments) negligible have which of all Clear, Mount and Tennent Tuggeranong cannot effectivelyBelconnen This and dictates minimum, electors as a that, 2020. in electorate. a single each containedbe wholly within of the suburb (excluding The electorate current comprises Brindabella of the district Tuggeranong of Drive) district to the west to Kambah Athllon of adjacent portion that and Kambah Tuggeranong of Clear. Mount and Rendezvous Creek, Tennent River, the districts Paddy’s and Booth, Cotter of River, a was the redistribution 2015 at held from in The Brindabella need Kambah of the suburb to exclude electorate. being a single to too be contained large within consequence the district of Tuggeranong of presenting redistribution, the current present the need address issueThis is again within to again best quotahow requirements, based the legislative to comply with upon contemporary and current the bestprojecteddelivering outcomes to while the requirementsin relation figures, enrolment set out the Electoral of Act. sectionin 36(c) the electorate the current comprises the Ginninderra district of Belconnen of (excluding Similarly, portion that and Lawson Belconnen McKellar of and Kaleen, District Evatt, of Giralang, suburbs adjacent a redistribution again was The need these to exclude the 2015 at suburbs to the Barton Highway). consequence the district of Belconnen of more electors including contained be could legislatively than the redistribution, the current present issue electorate. this is again within single a While within the need of those of for a number Belconnen favour in suburbs District-based numbers swinging are being reallocated Belconnen their alongside neighbours from District-based the electorate Yerrabi of then This presents the electorateto within Ginninderra. the of opportunity the to electorate adjust electorate, a single the case as was within suburbs Gungahlin so all include as to only not Yerrabi of to further but redistribution, restrict the included suburbs within of the number the 2015 following electorate District from non-Gungahlin areas. The Committee’s proposed boundaries Committee’s The
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution While the current electorates of Murrumbidgee and Kurrajong are both within the quota requirements based on both current and projected enrolment figures, and do not, on their own, require alteration, the fact that adjustments are required to ensure Brindabella falls within the projected quota requirements means that alterations to one or both of those electorates will be required.
Seen in this light, the key decisions that need to be made in this redistribution can be confined to determining which part or parts of Tuggeranong are to be included in either the electorate of Murrumbidgee and/or Kurrajong; and which parts of Yerrabi are to be allocated back to their ‘home’ district of Belconnen within the electorate of Ginninderra.
It should be noted that of the 15 suggestions lodged, 10 can be seen to adhere strongly to the current existing electoral boundaries, an issue mandated for consideration by the Electoral Act. Two suggestions (Anne-Maree Nelmes and Barry Coyles 2) could be seen as honouring the current existing boundaries but included more significant alterations that the above mentioned 10. Two suggestions (Chef Giovannus and Barry Coyles 1) diverge significantly from current existing boundaries. While noting the specific suggestions raised in each of these two suggestions, the Committee held the view that, as they did not give satisfactory consideration to the criteria set out in s36(c), little weight could be given to the associated proposed boundaries. The remaining submission (Woden Valley Community Council) did not submit a map and offer only a written statement which does not argue for any specific movements and asking only that the Woden, Weston Creek and Molonglo communities be kept together.
The Brindabella electorate
The current Brindabella electorate is projected to include 52,972 electors in October 2020, or 17.71% of the total projected ACT enrolment. In order to bring it within the required range of +/-5% of the quota at that time, the enrolment in each electorate must be within the range 56,825 – 62,806. The number of electors must therefore increase by a minimum of 3,853 in order to comply with the legislative requirements of the Electoral Act.
In order to ensure the electorate of Brindabella was within the quota range set at the 2015 redistribution, the Redistribution Committee proposed (and the Augmented Electoral Commission ultimately accepted) that the suburb of Kambah be excised from its Tuggeranong District-based neighbours and be allocated to the electorate of Murrumbidgee.
At this current redistribution, the suburb of Kambah presents a significant issue for the Redistribution Committee. If the entire suburb is to be included within the electorate of Brindabella, along with all the other suburbs within the Tuggeranong District, the resultant electorate would fall 2.11% outside of the projected quota parameter. The result of which would mean the selection of alternative Tuggeranong based suburbs for excise from Brindabella in order to comply with the requirements. The obvious alternatives either being the entire suburb of Wanniassa or both the suburbs of Fadden and Macarthur. While both these options provide for appropriate projected elector figures, it is difficult to suggest that the allocation of either option into either Kurrajong or Murrumbidgee is the most suitable solution when duly considering the factors outlined in section 36(c) of the Electoral Act. Further, such a suggestion was only a feature of two submissions; submissions that, on the whole, offered minimal loyalty to existing electorate boundaries as is required to be considered under s36(c)(iv).
Similarly, if the entire suburb of Kambah was to continue to be excised from the electorate of Brindabella, as it has been since the 2015 redistribution process, the resultant electorate would fall -11.43% short of the required projected quota parameter. The result of which would mean the inclusion of alternative suburbs from either Murrumbidgee or Kurrajong in order to comply with requirements. Such a solution was raised by a number of lodged suggestions; with six suggestions (Michael Adams, Alex Adkins, Chris Erett, Martin Gordon, Barry Coyles 2 and the Weston Creek Community Council) proposing that the Kurrajong suburbs of Beard, Hume, Oaks Estate and Symonston and Jerrabomberra district be subsumed by the electorate of Brindabella. Michael Adams and Martin Gordon further
48 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 49 , ACT Labor, the Canberra the Proportional Liberals and Representation , ACT Labor, 1 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Mr ErettMr submitted that included a map the whole of Kambah the within electorate of Murrumbidgee, but “I believe Kambah West should be moved, as it links closely as it encompassing other suburbs be with should West moved, Lake Kambah believe “I multi- and East Kambah is separatedAtthlon [sic] by while Drive such as Greenway, Tuggeranong, Drive.” Drakeford lane do consider not there difference of is a lot that “We between more these we note that but options, East. Kambah Kambah centre And than while town is closer West Kambah of to Tuggeranong is closerEast it clearly its suburbs, has to the strongest connections the other Tuggeranong with West.” Kambah than Mawson and centresMurrumbidgee such as Phillip electors needs of number Brindabella 3356 to meet“By the minimum Council calculations…. electors 3500 of electors the movement East with from Kambah satisfy…requirements would so we toBrindabella.” Society of Australia – ACT Branch (PRSoA)). Of these suggestions seven Kambah including the option of Society – ACT Branch Australia (PRSoA)). of three the electorate respectively. to split four was East within Brindabella West of or Kambah East Kambah in leaving while Of those Brindabella, propose who into West Kambah the inclusion of Ben only CheslerMurrumbidgee, the PRSoA and offer a supportingjustification. CheslerMr offers: the PRSoAWhile states its Comment submission: within Kambah leaving Of the suggestions while propose that East Brindabella, Kambah the inclusion of into a supporting none provide justification. Murrumbidgee, in West the twoDuring redistribution committee the close the phase, comment meetings the public of following Members considered a further option for addressing the need to increase electors of the number within Anderson the Weston of on behalf submission his in Asthe electorate stated Brindabella. of Tom Mr by CreekCommunity Council: Anderson Mr submission electors identifying his by 3500 around In argued that and from Kambah areas/electors the remaining leaving and specific that to only reallocating Brindabella areaof Kambah no further be to Murrumbidgee, necessary. the boundary would alterations Murrumbidgee within of to the alterations electoratecurrent so doing required significant Anderson’s submission, Mr in However, of Anderson’s suggestion suburbs Mr opted for the Kurrajong Kurrajong. and Brindabella boundaries of Oaks Beard, Symonston, Estate, Jerrabomberra and District Hume to be Brindabella. subsumed by from the reaction common practiceIn diverging Anderson’s arguments and to previous ACT Mr of AssemblyLegislative redistribution processes, Committee the Redistribution further considered this data based enrolment current as areas known geographical approach gathering on the smaller by Based Committee dataSA1s. the Redistribution from on this to identify able was SA1s of a number from the other the suburbs with amalgamated when the southern portion allowed, that Kambah of quotalegislated the within to fit Kurrajong and Murrumbidgee for Brindabella, Brindabella, current 1 stated his accompanying in comment “PLEASE proposing I am NOTE: that the southern portion of Tuggeranong District 1 and Kambah West…be incorporated the into Brindabella electorate, the however mapping tool does not allowthat level ofgranularity.” suggested that the Murrumbidgee suburbs of Farrer, Isaacs and Mawson or Farrer, Isaacs and O’Malley, Isaacs O’Malley, and Isaacsor Farrer, Mawson and suggested Farrer, of suburbs the Murrumbidgee that Brindabella. be included within respectively, attempt an flexibilityin greater the lodgement to In provide of suggestions around issuesthe related electorate, departedto the Brindabella the Redistribution from the long held only practice providing of based on the understanding Kambah that electorate. to an suburbs However, full for the of allocation the ACT electorate also but sat potential the largest and on within the current only not was suburb Committee the Redistribution tool that decided mapping functionality the online to build boundary, into east/west Drive, split segments Drakeford down Kambah, of for theability individual to allocate allowed Ben electorates. Adkins, tosuggestions Chesler, alternate seven implemented by option was This (Alex Erett Chris Peter Sutherland,
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution requirements, while leaving all other Kurrajong and Murrumbidgee boundaries unchanged.
However, in agreement with the policy of past redistribution committees, this committee also formed the view that dissecting a suburb based on these smaller geographical areas, without clear and easily communicable boundaries, is fraught with difficulties and opens significant avenues of confusion across the community and the Assembly. The Redistribution Committee found that in order to comply with the quota requirements, the SA1 configured boundary splitting that portion of Kambah to be held within Brindabella from that portion to be held within Murrumbidgee, would need to run along multiple smaller and relatively insignificant suburban streets. The committee’s view was that such an ill-defined boundary would create a high degree of confusion amongst the electors of Kambah and would prove difficult for the elected MLAs to identify the specific electors that they have been elected to represent. Accordingly, the Committee rejected this possibility.
At the conclusion of Committee discussions, the Committee unanimously held the view that splitting Kambah east/west down Drakeford Drive was the most appropriate solution for addressing the quota requirements of Brindabella. It was also held that Kambah West is the most appropriate segment of Kambah to be included in Brindabella. Kambah West is closer to the Tuggeranong town centre within Greenway and is electorally the smaller of the two segments, allowing more electors to be reallocated to Brindabella; while Kambah East has a greater proportion geographically closer to the other suburbs within Murrumbidgee, with strong communication links with Weston Creek and Woden Valley via Drakeford Drive/Tuggeranong Parkway and Athllon Drive. The electorate border would follow both these roads so that the Mount Taylor Nature Reserve (which has no current or projected enrolments associated with it) is also included in the electorate of Murrumbidgee.
Ultimately, the Redistribution is proposing that Brindabella be a 5-Member electorate comprising the district of Tuggeranong (excluding the section of the Tuggeranong suburb of Kambah that is East of Drakeford Drive and that portion of Tuggeranong District between Drakeford Drive and Athllon Drive) and the districts of Booth, Cotter River, Paddys River, Rendezvous Creek, Tennent and Mount Clear.
While it is not ideal to split a district, nor is it ideal to split a suburb, the Committee considers that the exclusion of Kambah East from the Tuggeranong-based Brindabella electorate best fits the criteria in the Electoral Act.
The Committee also considers that the rural and remote districts of Booth, Cotter River, Paddy’s River, Rendezvous Creek, Tennent and Mount Clear that are currently within the electorate of Brindabella, should remain with the proposed Brindabella electorate.
The Kurrajong and Murrumbidgee electorates
The current Kurrajong electorate is projected to include 61,777 electors in October 2020, or 20.66% of the total projected ACT enrolment. The current Murrumbidgee electorate is projected to include 60,657 electors in October 2020, or 20.28% of the total projected ACT enrolment. On their own, neither of these electorates require adjustment, sitting comfortably within the current and projected enrolment quota parameters. However, the very nature of a redistribution, where adjustments to other electorates will have a direct effect on neighbouring electorates, means that in this case, where Brindabella is required to increase its enrolled population, the neighbouring electorates of Murrumbidgee and Kurrajong are likely to require adjustment to accommodate that change.
While the Redistribution Committee has ultimately proposed that Kambah East remain in Murrumbidgee, as described above, it did engage in a rigorous review of both Kambah alternatives.
By agreeing to the splitting of the suburb of Kambah as the most appropriate means of overcoming Brindabella’s quota concerns, the Redistribution Committee next had to overcome the resultant issue, that in doing so, Murrumbidgee’s enrolment numbers would fall below current and projected requirements. Consequently, additional suburbs (and their associated electors), would be required to be reallocated to Murrumbidgee if it is to comply with legislative requirements.
50 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 51 suggestions a offering chose Kambah, to split 2 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 The suggestion lodged Chris Mr by Erett did not comply with the quota requirements. Erett Mr stated “These [two suburbs] represent reasonably distinct communities, and although they clearly have represent clearly they have although reasonably and distinct communities, “These suburbs] [two the greatest affinity tothe district,Belconnen inmakes Canberra position central their relatively provides connections substantive and connectionthat other weaker districts. with relatively Redfern Street Street distinct Redfern and provide Bindubi boundaries (although Belconnen Way, boundary).” Street is clearly the weaker Forrest Griffith and Hill, Red while Murrumbidgee into Deakin be and should moved “Yarralumla is because This close the latter within distance are Kurrajong. suburbs in with remain should as characteristics, as well Curtin, suburban Hughes Deakin and with is closely while similar linked Hill.” more Red so than Yarralumla, link providesnatural a Hughes which Reserve and Nature Garran with Hill shares the Red Hill “Red to connect is also connected Drive.” these Hill Hindmarsh Red via suburbs. to Murrumbidgee “Deakin strong has electorate to links served the Murrumbidgee is well and transport by links to Centre also serves for Deakin residents hub shopping as the main and electorate.that Town Woden Deakindistrict.” is therefore a goodinterest the Valley with communityof fit Woden centred on the variety of Murrumbidgee/Kurrajong based solutions. variety Murrumbidgee/Kurrajong of the PRSoA, and Peter Sutherland both selected whom of East the electorate Kambah to include in of Sutherland Mr choseMurrumbidgee. to expand offered enlarging differingfor solutions Murrumbidgee, Narrabundah, Symonston, Hume, of suburbs took Kurrajong the current it so in that Murrumbidgee OaksBeard, Estate Jerrabomberra and district. the PRSoA, of on behalf Martin Dunn, chose to leave instead the Belconnen allocating untouched, the District boundary Cook Kurrajong of of suburbs and upon comment suggestions their in that: arguing to Murrumbidgee; Aranda CommitteeThe disagreed Redistribution these with ultimately two proposals, that the view holding a more Jerrabomberra was to subsume suburbs district Murrumbidgee surrounding and enlarging wasnecessary than alteration significant unsatisfactorily and one that interest,provided communityof the Committee disagreed Similarly, suburbs. the amalgamated among links travel and communication assertion Cook shared the that PRSoA’s a satisfactory Aranda with and connection to the other suburbs Murrumbidgee. of proposalAlex offerednumber ofchanges Adkin’s electorate to a significant placing boundaries, then and allocating Brindabella Jerrabomberra into suburbs District the surrounding of number a and the Belconnen (within Macnamara and to ‘yet be and Strathnairn the developed’ new of suburbs as the Canberra Central As as well District suggestion to Murrumbidgee. this Deakin, of suburb District), the electorateCommitteewhat multiple as to well alterations as boundaries viewed requires significant the Committee interference pursue interest’, not of the strategy did as multiple offered to ‘communities byMr Adkins. reallocating each offeredinvolved three suggestions Kambah, Of a that split solution the remaining that from the CanberraCentral District Ben to Chesler Murrumbidgee. proposed reallocating suburb(s) arguing: Deakin and to Murrumbidgee, Yarralumla ACT stating: be Labor allocated to Murrumbidgee, Hill propose Red of the suburb that The Canberra Liberals propose Deakin of stating: be the suburb allocated that to Murrumbidgee, 2 he isthat while proposing for the southern portion District of Tuggeranong 1 and KambahWest to be incorporated electors as only 10 Brindabella,in the are mapping tool not did However, provide for this level of granularity. Districtenrolled Tuggeranong in of those 1 and all electors reside the in southern portion of the district, is it largely possible to see the effectallocating of West Kambah Tuggeranongand the section District of 1 identified Erett Mr by Doing Kambah. into so still shows a quota non-compliance for the electorate of Murrumbidgee (current projected 89.56% 90.92%). Regardless of which ‘half’ of Kambah was selected ‘half’was which of ‘half’ Kambah which Regardless of and was Murrumbidgee in to remain suggestions chose any that obliged to identifyoption was this reallocated from to suburbs Brindabella, elsewhere Seven for reallocation to Murrumbidgee.
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution In reaction to such suggestions, the Deakin Residents Association (DRA), in their comment upon suggestions, argued that given Kurrajong sits within current and projected quota parameters, it should face no change to its boundaries. They state that moving Deakin from Kurrajong to Murrumbidgee (as proposed by the Canberra Liberals and Mr Chesler) does not make geographical sense and would disadvantage the residents of Deakin in “gaining traction on issues relevant to the residents of Deakin.”
The DRA argue that Deakin is geographically part of the inner south; has strong heritage issues similar to surrounding suburbs and unmatched to Woden; has many issues different to that of the Molonglo Valley; and has NCA planning zone requirements that form a close affiliation with Forrest and other inner south suburbs.
The Inner South Canberra Community Council, in their comment upon suggestions, state that it does not support changes in the electorate boundaries of Kurrajong, arguing that there is no compelling rationale provided in any of the suggestions for the proposed change to the boundary.
The Committee discussed these concerns but ultimately hold the view that due to the need to increase enrolments in the electorate of Brindabella, and the decision to achieve this by splitting Kambah down Drakeford Drive, the most suitable and conversely, least disruptive, solution is to transfer Kurrajong electors on the western border of Kurrajong across to Murrumbidgee.
The decision taken by the Committee to maintain Kambah East within Murrumbidgee, the smaller of the two segments, has the consequence or requiring more than a single suburb be transferred between electorates. Had the Committee taken the view that Kambah West was the more suitable of the two segments to remain in Murrumbidgee, it would have been possible for any one of either Yarralumla, Deakin or Red Hill to be moved between electorates. However, it was the strong and unanimous view of the Committee that Brindabella and Murrumbidgee were both served best by the decision to allocate Kambah East to Murrumbidgee and Kambah West to Brindabella.
Accordingly, it was necessary for the Committee to identify which two of these Central Canberra District suburbs, if reallocated, would best meet the intensions of s36(c) of the Electoral Act. The Committee ultimately agreed with the arguments of Mr Chesler and to an extent the Canberra Liberals, holding the view that the two suburbs of Yarralumla and Deakin both hold a strong connection with the Woden Valley through transport links via Adelaide Avenue and Yarra Glen; and economic and social links via the Woden Town Centre, which it is argued provide for the main shopping hub for those residents. These links, the Committee maintains, are stronger than those held by the residents of Red Hill and the option of including Hume, Jerrabomberra district, Symonston, Narrabundah, Oaks Estate and Beard within Brindabella.
The Redistribution Committee is therefore proposing that Kurrajong be a 5-Member electorate comprising the district of Canberra Central (excluding the suburbs of Deakin and Yarralumla), and the districts of Jerrabomberra (including the entire suburb of Hume), Kowen and Majura; and that Murrumbidgee be a 5-Member electorate comprising the districts of Molonglo Valley, Weston Creek, Woden Valley, Coree (including the village of Uriarra) and Stromlo, the section of the Tuggeranong suburb of Kambah that is East of Drakeford Drive, and that portion of Tuggeranong District between Drakeford Drive and Athllon Drive, and the Canberra Central suburbs of Deakin and Yarralumla.
While it is not ideal to split districts, the Committee considers that the inclusion of Deakin and Yarralumla within the electorate of Murrumbidgee best fits the criteria outlined in the Electoral Act.
The Committee also considers that the rural and remote districts of Coree, which includes the village of Uriarra and Stromlo that are currently within the electorate of Murrumbidgee should remain with the proposed Murrumbidgee electorate.
52 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 53
be a 5-Member electorate Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 comprising the district of Belconnen (excluding the suburbs of Giralang and Kaleen); and that Yerrabi that and Kaleen); and Giralang of the suburbs the districtcomprising Belconnen of (excluding be a 5-Member electorate the Belconnen and Hall district the districts comprising and Gungahlin of Kaleen. and Giralang of suburbs districts, to split ideal is not it the CommitteeWhile considers district as the entire that Belconnen of electorate, a single splitting contained tois too be the Belconnen wholly large within district is best fits the electorate the Kaleen and within Yerrabi of Giralang the inclusion of and unavoidable the Electoral in criteriaoutlined Act. RedistributionCommittee for the Australian Capital Territory CantwellDamian AM — Ben Ponton — Jeffrey Brown — Beidar Cho 2019 6 May The Ginninderra and Yerrabi electorates andThe Yerrabi Ginninderra or 18.42% electors October in 2020, electorate The Ginninderra current is projected 55,105 to include the of the totalof +/-5% projected of the required range within order it ACTto bring In enrolment. The – 62,806. each in the enrolment electorate 56,825 time, thequota range that must at be within order to in comply with electors Ginninderra of number 1,720 of must therefore increase a minimum by requirements the Electoral of the legislative Act. electorate or electors is projected 68,570 to October include Yerrabi the in current 2020, Conversely, the total of +/-5% projected of the required range within order it ACT to bring In enrolment. 22.93% electors order to in comply 5,764 of must decrease a minimum by Yerrabi time, the quotaof that at requirements the Electoral of the legislative with Act. the and Kaleen Giralang and Lawson, the Belconnen District Evatt, of McKellar, suburbs Currently, portion Belconnen of electorate the current District grouped are within to the Barton adjacent Highway presents This the opportunity so Yerrabi. these of of to reallocate a number to Ginninderra suburbs grouped Belconnen their are they with that District strategy neighbours. This a common thread was the submittedthroughout suggestions suggestions. Eleven took the opportunity to transfer multiple also placed eight Ginninderra; placed in eleven Evatt All McKellar and to Ginninderra. suburbs Yerrabi also placed portion eight that and Belconnen of District to Ginninderra; the adjacent Lawson within withinBarton Ginninderra. Highway, The PRSoA, Martin Gordon Barry and Coyles Giralang each of were 2 to also theable suburb allocate south of other boundaries to the East altering by each and/or they this but achieved to Ginninderra, The Committee as the North tookGinninderra. that the view already was boundary Ginninderra of across split districts, seek would it to not further the Belconnen disrupt District further making by such as thosealterations, offeredPRSoA,by the Mr Mr andGordon Coyles. best were suburbs served transfer by the Committee focussed many, how and on which, Accordingly, electors no more but required As were to be least moved, at 5,764 to Ginninderra. from Yerrabi the Committee agreed proposedthe majority suggestions with of Evatt have that and 7,701, than The projected be reallocated electors) to Ginninderra. (2,086 projected McKellar and electors) (3,852 Committee meet appropriately the so quota noted doing would requirements that the Electoral of Act. adherence in to the need consider to duly “the community interests of each electorate” within However, projected and electors) the Committee also proposes Lawson (1,378 that set section in out 36(c)(i), portion alsothat be projected Belconnen of District (5 electors), to the Barton adjacent Highway The projected to Ginninderra. electors from Yerrabi transfer total 7,321 in would This, reallocated. Committee the possibility lookedat further including of Belconnen but based Ginninderra into suburbs took the attempting other or Kaleen suburbs conjunction with that in found to reallocate either Giralang Ginninderraover quota. CommitteeThe Redistribution is therefore proposing Ginninderra that
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Appendix A: Constitution of proposed electorates
Note 1: The following localities and enrolment figures have undergone minor adjustments to match the functionality of the online geographical mapping tool at www.elections.act.gov.au/redistribution. Where necessary and where the effect is likely to be negligible, the current and projected enrolment figures for certain low populated districts have been merged with adjacent districts or localities and the relevant district has been removed from the list. For instance (but not limited to), Booth district has been included in Tuggeranong District, Uriarra has been included in Coree district and Cotter River District has been included in Paddy’s River District. Proposed electorate of Brindabella
Suburb/District Current Actual persons Actual persons Projected electorate enrolled enrolled persons enrolled 31 August 2018 29 March 2019 17 October 2020 Banks Brindabella 3,605 3,624 3,579 Bonython Brindabella 2,850 2,857 2,763 Calwell Brindabella 4,385 4,361 4,298 Chisholm Brindabella 3,912 3,924 3,892 Conder Brindabella 3,831 3,818 3,665 Fadden Brindabella 2,388 2,378 2,198 Gilmore Brindabella 2,065 2,062 2,009 Gordon Brindabella 5,949 5,924 5,883 Gowrie Brindabella 2,323 2,339 2,323 Greenway Brindabella 1,811 1,998 1,942 Isabella Plains Brindabella 3,200 3,197 3,189 Kambah West Murrumbidgee 6,579 6,608 6,265 Macarthur Brindabella 1,120 1,123 1,091 Monash Brindabella 4,219 4,225 4,111 Oxley Brindabella 1,325 1,315 1,279 Paddy's River District Brindabella 77 73 79 Richardson Brindabella 2,246 2,246 2,198 Tennent District Brindabella 8 8 8 Tharwa Brindabella 67 65 69 Theodore Brindabella 2,826 2,847 2,798 Tuggeranong District Brindabella 55 57 55 Wanniassa Brindabella 5,833 5,797 5,553 Total 60,674 60,846 59,247 Quota 57,980 58,462 59,816 Variation from quota 4.65% 4.08% -0.95%
54 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 55 5 0 15 956 2,119 1,418 1,933 2,157 4,721 1,979 2,455 1,982 2,601 4,342 1,828 1,378 3,852 3,370 2,038 1,895 2,279 2,235 4,363 3,345 5,006 2,086 2,068 4.36% 59,816 62,426 Projected 17 October 17 2020 persons enrolled 5 0 0 17 1,919 2,152 3,920 3,473 4,979 1,967 1,947 2,671 1,020 1,985 4,265 4,633 1,603 4,095 3,502 2,097 2,570 2,205 2,260 2,069 2,200 2,345 1,844 5.61% 61,743 58,462 enrolled 29 March 2019 Actual persons 5 0 0 15 889 3,911 2,149 3,510 2,187 2,196 1,922 2,108 1,938 4,992 2,242 1,607 1,963 2,678 4,226 1,964 3,449 4,663 1,834 4,066 2,339 2,566 2,094 57,980 6.09% 61,513 enrolled Actual persons August 2018 31 Ginninderra Yerrabi Ginninderra Current electorate Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Yerrabi Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Yerrabi Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Yerrabi Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Ginninderra Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 BelconnenDistrict 1 BelconnenDistrict 2 Aranda Suburb/District Charnwood Belconnen Bruce Flynn Florey Dunlop Evatt Cook Hawker Fraser Higgins Holt Latham Lawson Macgregor Macnamara Macquarie McKellar Melba Page Scullin Spence Strathnairn Weetangera Total Variation from quota Quota Proposedelectorate of Ginninderra
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Proposed electorate of Kurrajong
Suburb/District Current Actual persons Actual persons Projected electorate enrolled enrolled persons enrolled 31 August 2018 29 March 2019 17 October 2020 Acton Kurrajong 667 520 687 Ainslie Kurrajong 4,058 4,079 4,020 Barton Kurrajong 1,315 1,372 1,340 Beard Kurrajong 0 0 0 Braddon Kurrajong 3,732 3,756 3,872 Campbell Kurrajong 3,949 4,169 4,061 Canberra Airport Kurrajong 2 3 2 Canberra Central District Kurrajong 0 0 0 Canberra City Kurrajong 2,088 1,950 2,370 Capital Hill Kurrajong 0 0 0 Dickson Kurrajong 1,650 1,826 1,691 Downer Kurrajong 2,722 2,726 2,795 Forrest Kurrajong 1,333 1,343 1,340 Fyshwick Kurrajong 18 19 20 Griffith Kurrajong 3,733 3,764 3,961 Hackett Kurrajong 2,264 2,269 2,250 Hume Kurrajong 15 13 16 Jerrabomberra District Kurrajong 15 23 15 Kingston Kurrajong 4,160 4,300 4,728 Lyneham Kurrajong 3,820 3,802 3,952 Majura District Kurrajong 119 123 119 Narrabundah Kurrajong 4,274 4,328 4,294 Oaks Estate Kurrajong 200 209 200 O'Connor Kurrajong 4,214 4,223 4,286 Parkes Kurrajong 1 1 1 Pialligo Kurrajong 97 97 97 Red Hill Kurrajong 2,222 2,219 2,198 Reid Kurrajong 1,153 1,153 1,148 Russell Kurrajong 0 0 0 Symonston Kurrajong 346 344 346 Turner Kurrajong 2,939 2,950 3,040 Watson Kurrajong 4,134 4,099 4,160 Total 55,240 55,680 57,009 Quota 57,980 58,462 59,816 Variation from quota -4.73% -4.76% -4.69%
56 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 57 0 5 0 10 37 217 518 774 799 2,131 1,612 2,424 2,136 2,481 1,989 1,738 1,969 2,733 2,351 4,824 2,271 2,403 2,265 2,057 3,850 2,332 1,538 3,007 1,898 1,899 1,898 2,640 2,344 59,816 59,150 -1.11% Projected 17 October 17 2020 persons enrolled 0 5 0 0 12 39 271 758 204 1,919 2,171 2,171 1,927 2,474 2,121 1,920 2,185 1,972 2,016 2,219 2,436 2,374 3,962 1,524 1,798 2,030 5,002 2,359 2,696 2,062 2,538 1,668 2,340 57,173 58,462 -2.20% enrolled 29 March 2019 Actual persons 0 5 0 0 10 36 210 178 766 2,161 2,418 2,140 1,941 2,199 1,936 3,934 2,472 1,962 1,639 1,526 2,025 1,784 1,657 2,331 4,999 1,996 2,059 2,378 2,087 2,246 2,538 2,299 2,686 57,980 56,618 -2.35% enrolled Actual persons August 2018 31 Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Current electorate Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Kurrajong Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Chapman Chifley Suburb/District Coombs CoreeDistrict Curtin Deakin Duffy DenmanProspect Fisher Garran Holder Farrer Hughes Isaacs Molonglo Lyons Mawson KambahEast Molonglo Valley District Valley Molonglo O'Malley Pearce Phillip Rivett Waramanga Stirling Weston Torrens Creek District Weston Stromlo District Stromlo Whitlam WodenValley District Variation from quota Total Quota Wright Yarralumla Proposedelectorate of Murumbidgee
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Proposed electorate of Yerrabi
Suburb/District Current Actual persons Actual persons Projected electorate enrolled enrolled persons enrolled 31 August 2018 29 March 2019 17 October 2020 Amaroo Yerrabi 3,927 3,920 4,029 Bonner Yerrabi 3,847 3,869 4,071 Casey Yerrabi 3,797 3,838 4,306 Crace Yerrabi 2,897 2,903 3,611 Forde Yerrabi 2,689 2,722 2,830 Franklin Yerrabi 3,838 3,905 4,570 Giralang Yerrabi 2,488 2,477 2,427 Gungahlin Yerrabi 3,707 3,887 3,844 Gungahlin District Yerrabi 6 6 6 Hall Yerrabi 240 238 239 Harrison Yerrabi 4,532 4,582 5,042 Jacka Yerrabi 369 364 439 Kaleen Yerrabi 5,463 5,452 5,428 Mitchell Yerrabi 5 6 5 Moncrieff Yerrabi 1,483 1,918 1,608 Ngunnawal Yerrabi 7, 350 7,424 7,862 Nicholls Yerrabi 5,134 5,115 5,156 Palmerston Yerrabi 4,009 3,946 3,958 Taylor Yerrabi 4 54 1,115 Throsby Yerrabi 60 243 703 Total 55,845 56,869 61,249 Quota 57,980 58,462 59,816 Variation from quota -3.68% -2.72% 2.40%
58 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution 59 Electoral Act . www.elections.act.gov.au/electoral_boundaries/ Individuals Organisations Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 . AlexAdkins Anne-Maree Nelmes Barry Coyles 1 Barry Coyles 2 Ben Chesler Giovannus Chef Erett Chris MartinGordon MichaelAdams Peter Sutherland ACTLabor CanberraLiberals ProportionalRepresentation Society ACT - Branch Australia of Creek Weston Community Council WodenCommunity Valley Council Copies can be obtained from redistributions/2018-2019-redistribution Appendix B: List of public suggestions suggestions public of List B: Appendix the of Suggestions lodged Committee the Redistribution with to section pursuant 41(1)(a) 1992
Redistribution Committee’s proposed redistribution Appendix C: List of public comments
Comments lodged with the Redistribution Committee pursuant to section 41(1)(b) of the Electoral Act 1992.
Copies can be obtained from www.elections.act.gov.au/electoral_boundaries/ redistributions/2018-2019-redistribution.
Organisations Deakin Residents Association Inner South Canberra Community Council Proportional Representation Society of Australia – ACT Branch Weston Creek Community Council
60 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 61 62 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendices Appendices pedx : opsto o te umne AT lcoa Commision Electoral ACT Augmented the and the Redistribution Committee of Composition A: Appendix Appendix A: Composition of the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission and the Redistribution Committee
Members of the Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Dawn Casey Chairperson Damian Cantwell AM Electoral Commissioner Philip Moss AM Member of the ACT Electoral Commission Ben Ponton Planning and land authority Jeffrey Brown ACT Surveyor-General Beidar Cho Director, Demography, Australian Bureau of Statistics
Members of the Redistribution Committee Damian Cantwell AM Electoral Commissioner Ben Ponton Planning and land authority Jeffrey Brown ACT Surveyor-General Beidar Cho Director, Demography, Australian Bureau of Statistics
64 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix B: Redistribution timetable 65 2 July 2019 9 July 2019 7 May 2019 7 May 3 June 2019 4 March2019 5 March2019 18 March 2019 18 5 February 2019 26 October26 2018 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Suggestionsperiod opens Suggestionsperiod closes opens period Comments closes period Comments Proposedpublished redistribution Objectionsperiod closes Announcement redistributionof final - Statement of reasons published Determination redistribution of final Formation of Redistribution Committee Redistribution of Formation Appendix Redistribution B: timetable
Appendix C: Appendix C: Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology
The following statistics have been compiled for the 2018-19 redistribution of ACT electoral boundaries in preparation for the 2020 election for the ACT Legislative Assembly. The statistics are shown for localities, generally suburbs, in alphabetical order (Table 1), and according to the electorate in which that locality currently resides (Tables 2 to 6). The locality statistics are also available for viewing, listed
Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology statistics enrolment electoral Projected according to the specific ACT ‘district’ in which the locality resides, from the Current and projected electoral enrolment statistics spreadsheet available from the 2019 redistribution web page at www. elections.act.gov.au/electoral_boundaries/redistributions/2018-2019-redistribution
The enrolment projections are derived from population projections and from electoral enrolments as at 31 August 2018.
The enrolment information used by the ABS in calculating enrolment projections was supplied by the Australian Electoral Commission and was current as at 31 August 2018.
The compilation of these projections was undertaken by the ABS as a consultancy project for the ACT Electoral Commission.
Methodology for the projections
The method employed for projecting the population for the ACT was the cohort-component method, widely accepted as the best way of producing age/sex population projections. Annual fertility rates, mortality rates, internal migration, and overseas migration by age and sex were applied to the base population to produce a projected population, which then became the base population for projecting the next year and so on. This cycle was repeated until the projection horizon was reached.
For each SA2 in the ACT, total population aged 18 years and over was projected using average historical growth rates and constrained to the total over-18 ACT population.
Complete process:
1. State projections. The ACT population at 30 June 2018-2021 was projected by age and sex, from a base (observed) population at 30 June 2017.
2. Statistical Area Level 2 projections. The total over-18 population of all SA2s in the ACT at 30 June was projected and constrained to the territory level.
3. Projected population at 31 August 2018 and 17 October 2020 calculated by linear interpolation between the projected populations at 30 June.
4. Projected population by SA2 was allocated to ACT localities via a population-weighted geographical correspondence.
5. The enrolled population at 17 October 2020, by locality, was calculated by applying a ratio to the total over-18 population. The ratio was the enrolled population at 31 August 2018 by suburb divided by the population projection at that date.
For the purposes of this redistribution the suburb of Kambah has been split along the north-south running Drakeford drive. To determine current and projected enrolment figures for Kambah this projection uses ERP by SA1
66 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix C: Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology 67 4.6 272 1.75 3715 1 2021 4.6 276 1.75 1 3820 2020 4.6 279 1.75 1 3885 Population Projections, Australia, 2019 4.7 280 1.75 1 4400 2018 (ABS cat. no. 3222.0). Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/mf/3101.0 www.abs.gov.au/ausstats/[email protected]/mf/3101.0 Population componentPopulation Fertility – total fertility rate Mortality – standardised death rate Net interstate – persons migration Net overseas – persons migration 2012 (base) -2101 Note 1: Year ending 30 June 30 ending Year Note 1: For 2017. June to 30 historical growth 2015 SA2 from June 30 average assumptions were population forecasts population development, under suburbs new created used. were the ACT by Government assumed was to be 2018 August 31 at population to total enrolled of population over-18 The ratio except very for some roll of with outliers. ratios suburbs New low Octoberconstant to17 2020, up were population no current with suburbs Future increased an given were ratio. to population count a ratio and population declining Some with suburbs. suburbs similar typical new, of 0.7, of ratio a given to 1. equal a ratio given were 1 than greater Assumptions for the projection territory-level based were on both short trends long-term and for Development Economic and each Treasury The ACT change. component population Government of forecasts,Directorate, population and responsible for planning provided expert advice on the Territory’s recently trends. combined advice, with March demographic This future 2018, observed to 31 data up formed the broad assumptions. These the assumed were total fertility the standardised rate, death mortality Fertility, net levels. interstate and migration and levels migration net overseas migration rate, sex and age assumptions based by were on those used the latest in The base for the ACT estimated population projections cohort-component age/sex preliminary was as released Demographic the ABS Australian by in 2017, June 30 as at resident (ERP) population Statistics at Assumptions SA1 methodology SA1 and 2016 2015, June 30 at SA1, by over, and total aged estimated 18 resident population, Inputs: 1. The proportion to the totalrelation was SA2 in Kambah each of of population population SA1 2017. eachcalculated at these of dates. used was to create 2017 June to 30 the proportions in change The average 2015 2. from June 30 Oct 2020. 17 and projected Oct proportions 2018 31 at the SA1 by multiplied were Oct 2020 17 and Oct The projected3. 2018 SA2 31 at populations proportions the respective at the projected those at giving SA1 dates. dates, by population the the projected to give by multiplied population, was SA1, by Oct 2018, 31 at count The roll 4. date. that at ratio enrolment to create the ratio, the enrolment by multiplied was SA1, by Oct The projected 2020, 5. 17 at population Theseprojected date. counts that proportionally at were enrolled population constrained to the total SA2 projected enrolled population.
Appendix C: Geography
The population projections were calculated using Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) projections relating to Statistical Area Level 2s (SA2s). SA2 boundaries are from the Australian Statistical Geography Standard (ASGS): Volume 1 – Main Structure and Greater Capital City Statistical Areas, July 2016 (ABS cat. no. 1270.0.55.001), as used for the 2016 Census.
Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology statistics enrolment electoral Projected Disclaimer
It is important to recognise that the projection results in this report reflect the assumptions made about future fertility, mortality and migration trends. While these assumptions are formulated on the basis of an objective assessment of historical demographic trends and their likely future dynamics, there can be no certainty that they will be realised.
The ABS takes responsibility for the method employed, however in accordance with ABS policy regarding small area population projections, the assumptions used are the final responsibility of the client, and the projections are not official ABS population statistics.
The projections may be referred to as “...projections prepared by the ABS according to assumptions reflecting prevailing trends agreed to by the Australian Capital Territory Electoral Commission”.
No liability will be accepted by the ABS for any damages arising from decisions or actions based upon this population projection consultancy service.
Table 1 - Australian Capital Territory projections Locality Current Actual Projected Percentage Projected Current Projected electorate persons persons change proportion quota quota enrolled enrolled of the ACT 31 Aug 17 Oct 2018 2020 Acton Kurrajong 667 687 3.00% 0.23% 1.15% 1.15% Ainslie Kurrajong 4058 4020 -0.94% 1.34% 7.00% 6.72% Amaroo Yerrabi 3927 4029 2.60% 1.35% 6.77% 6.74% Aranda Ginninderra 1834 1828 -0.33% 0.61% 3.16% 3.06% Banks Brindabella 3605 3579 -0.72% 1.20% 6.22% 5.98% Barton Kurrajong 1315 1340 1.90% 0.45% 2.27% 2.24% Beard Kurrajong 9 9 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.02% Belconnen Ginninderra 4066 4363 7.30% 1.46% 7.01% 7.29% Belconnen District Ginninderra 15 15 0.00% 0.01% 0.03% 0.03% remainder 1 Belconnen District Ginninderra 5 5 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01% remainder 2 Bonner Yerrabi 3847 4071 5.82% 1.36% 6.64% 6.81% Bonython Brindabella 2850 2763 -3.05% 0.92% 4.92% 4.62% Braddon Kurrajong 3732 3872 3.75% 1.29% 6.44% 6.47% Bruce Ginninderra 4226 4342 2.74% 1.45% 7.29% 7.26% Calwell Brindabella 4385 4298 -1.98% 1.44% 7.56% 7.19% Campbell Kurrajong 3949 4061 2.84% 1.36% 6.81% 6.79% Canberra Airport Kurrajong 2 2 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
68 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix C: Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology 69 3.41% 2.91% 7.20% 6.51% 7.6 4% 4.10% 4.15% 3.92% 3.93% 3.96% 6.13% 4.73% 4.02% 4.67% 6.44% 3.67% 0.03% 6.44% 2.24% 9.83% 4.06% 6.62% 3.33% 3.56% 0.36% 6.04% 4.57% 5.59% 3.36% 3.54% 3.25% 1.29% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.83% 2.37% 8.37% 3.88% quota Projected 3.71% 4.01% 6.61% 8.61% 0.31% 4.43% 4.10% 4.17% 4.12% 3.12% 3.97% 3.73% 6.75% 6.75% 6.44% 0.03% 4.69% 6.62% 6.55% 3.77% 3.79% 4.64% 6.79% 3.56% 6.05% 0.36% 3.60% 2.77% 3.08% 4.29% 2.85% 0.00% 0.00% 2.83% 0.00% 5.00% 4.38% 2.30% quota 10.26% Current 0.91% 0.71% 0.71% 0.01% 0.81% 1.21% 0.47% 1.12% 0.45% 0.93% 1.97% 1.44% 0.95% 0.67% 0.73% 1.67% 0.67% 0.78% 0.79% 0.26% 0.07% 0.78% 0.65% 0.79% 1.32% 1.53% 0.82% 1.23% 0.68% 0.83% 1.29% 0.58% 1.29% 0.00% 0.00% 0.57% 0.00% 1.30% 0.80% Projected ofthe ACT proportion 6.11% 7.23% 1.96% 5.24% 2.48% 0.53% 3.33% 0.00% 0.28% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.68% -1.11% -7.96% -7.96% -1.14% -3.11% -1.51% -2.71% -2.14% -2.45% -0.51% -5.17% -2.25% -2.58% -3.09% 11.11% 13.41% -4.70% -0.62% -4.33% -4.33% 13.51% 19.07% 24.65% 66.75% -11.76% change 334.83% Percentage 0 0 0 20 217 774 1418 2119 3611 2131 1691 2427 2198 1942 2455 2351 1738 2481 3961 1989 2733 2370 4570 2038 2795 2403 3892 4306 2323 3345 3852 3850 3665 2830 1340 2009 5883 2344 5006 2020 17 Oct 17 persons enrolled Projected 0 0 0 18 210 178 2161 2418 2149 1811 3510 3911 2187 3912 2199 1607 1650 1639 3797 3831 1333 3733 1784 2722 2897 3934 2378 2323 4992 2538 2065 2689 5949 2299 2488 2566 2088 3838 2388 2018 Actual 31 Aug 31 persons enrolled Murrumbidgee Yerrabi Ginninderra Kurrajong Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Current electorate Kurrajong Kurrajong Brindabella Brindabella Ginninderra Yerrabi Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Kurrajong Yerrabi Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Brindabella Ginninderra Kurrajong Ginninderra Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Yerrabi Kurrajong Yerrabi Brindabella Brindabella Ginninderra Yerrabi Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee Ginninderra Brindabella Brindabella Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Chapman Casey Charnwood CanberraCity CapitalHill Chifley Locality CanberraCentral Districtremainder 2 CanberraCentral Districtremainder 1 Chisholm Conder Cook Crace Curtin CoreeDistrict Coombs Deakin DenmanProspect Dickson Franklin Fyshwick Garran Gilmore Flynn Griffith Fraser Downer Duffy Forde Forrest Giralang Gordon Gowrie Dunlop Evatt Farrer Fisher Florey Greenway Fadden
Appendix C: Locality Current Actual Projected Percentage Projected Current Projected electorate persons persons change proportion quota quota enrolled enrolled of the ACT 31 Aug 17 Oct 2018 2020 Gungahlin Yerrabi 3707 3844 3.70% 1.29% 6.39% 6.43% Gungahlin District Yerrabi 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% remainder 1 Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology statistics enrolment electoral Projected Gungahlin District Yerrabi 6 6 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01% remainder 2 Gungahlin District Yerrabi 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% remainder 3 Hackett Kurrajong 2264 2250 -0.62% 0.75% 3.90% 3.76% Hall Yerrabi 240 239 -0.42% 0.08% 0.41% 0.40% Harrison Yerrabi 4532 5042 11.25% 1.69% 7.82% 8.43% Hawker Ginninderra 2196 2157 -1.78% 0.72% 3.79% 3.61% Higgins Ginninderra 2242 2235 -0.31% 0.75% 3.87% 3.74% Holder Murrumbidgee 2025 1898 -6.27% 0.63% 3.49% 3.17% Holt Ginninderra 3449 3370 -2.29% 1.13% 5.95% 5.63% Hughes Murrumbidgee 2140 2057 -3.88% 0.69% 3.69% 3.44% Hume Kurrajong 15 16 6.67% 0.01% 0.03% 0.03% Isaacs Murrumbidgee 1941 1899 -2.16% 0.63% 3.35% 3.17% Isabella Plains Brindabella 3200 3189 -0.34% 1.07% 5.52% 5.33% Jacka Yerrabi 369 439 18.97% 0.15% 0.64% 0.73% Jerrabomberra Kurrajong 15 15 0.00% 0.01% 0.03% 0.03% District Kaleen Yerrabi 5463 5428 -0.64% 1.81% 9.42% 9.07% Kambah East Murrumbidgee 4999 4824 -3.50% 1.61% 8.62% 8.06% Kambah West Murrumbidgee 6579 6265 -4.77% 2.09% 11.35% 10.47% Kingston Kurrajong 4160 4728 13.65% 1.58% 7.17% 7.90% Latham Ginninderra 2678 2601 -2.88% 0.87% 4.62% 4.35% Lawson Yerrabi 889 1378 55.01% 0.46% 1.53% 2.30% Lyneham Kurrajong 3820 3952 3.46% 1.32% 6.59% 6.61% Lyons Murrumbidgee 2087 2136 2.35% 0.71% 3.60% 3.57% Macarthur Brindabella 1120 1091 -2.59% 0.36% 1.93% 1.82% Macgregor Ginninderra 4663 4721 1.24% 1.58% 8.04% 7.89% Macnamara Ginninderra 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Macquarie Ginninderra 1963 1982 0.97% 0.66% 3.39% 3.31% Majura District Kurrajong 119 119 0.00% 0.04% 0.21% 0.20% Mawson Murrumbidgee 2246 2265 0.85% 0.76% 3.87% 3.79% Mckellar Yerrabi 2108 2086 -1.04% 0.70% 3.64% 3.49% Melba Ginninderra 2339 2279 -2.57% 0.76% 4.03% 3.81% Mitchell Yerrabi 5 5 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01% Molonglo Murrumbidgee 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Molonglo Valley Murrumbidgee 5 5 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01% District remainder Monash Brindabella 4219 4111 -2.56% 1.37% 7.28% 6.87% Moncrieff Yerrabi 1483 1608 8.43% 0.54% 2.56% 2.69% Narrabundah Kurrajong 4274 4294 0.47% 1.44% 7.37% 7.18%
70 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix C: Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology 71 7.17% 0.01% 3.31% 2.14% 0.16% 1.92% 3.17% 1.18% 0.13% 0.12% 3.46% 6.95% 0.02% 3.67% 3.67% 6.62% 8.62% 3.90% 1.86% 9.28% 0.33% 0.06% 1.34% 4.68% 1.60% 2.69% 3.23% 0.08% 5.08% 3.29% 0.00% 0.58% 0.00% 0.00% 2.57% 3.80% quota 13.14% Projected 7.13% 6.91% 3.61% 0.01% 0.01% 7.27% 0.17% 0.10% 0.13% 0.12% 4.02% 0.02% 1.32% 1.99% 5.07% 3.55% 0.06% 4.87% 0.34% 3.83% 8.85% 2.63% 3.87% 0.60% 3.34% 0.08% 3.34% 2.86% 3.39% 0.00% 2.29% 0.00% 0.00% 3.38% 0.00% quota 10.06% 12.68% Current 0.01% 0.51% 1.43% 0.43% 0.76% 0.12% 1.72% 1.02% 0.73% 0.73% 0.02% 0.02% 0.24% 0.94% 0.07% 0.03% 0.78% 0.03% 0.65% 0.66% 1.32% 0.66% 0.63% 0.69% 0.27% 1.86% 2.63% 0.32% 0.54% 0.37% 1.39% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.38% Projected ofthe ACT proportion 1.71% 4.31% 0.43% 0.76% 6.97% 3.44% 0.79% 0.63% 2.78% 0.36% 2.99% 0.00% 0.00% 2.60% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% -2.14% -1.96% -1.24% -3.47% -1.27% -1.08% -2.72% -0.43% -2.57% -0.26% -0.99% -4.80% 13.26% change 1071.67% 27775.00% Percentage 1 8 0 0 10 97 37 45 69 79 703 956 200 799 346 1115 1612 1148 4160 5156 1933 1979 2198 2198 2271 1279 1969 5553 4286 2332 1538 1898 3958 2798 7862 2068 3040 2020 17 Oct 17 persons enrolled Projected 1 8 4 0 0 0 10 67 97 45 77 36 60 766 200 346 4214 1153 4134 1936 5134 1526 1938 1657 2331 1325 1962 2059 2939 2826 7350 1964 2246 2222 5833 2094 4009 2018 Actual 31 Aug 31 persons enrolled Current electorate Yerrabi Yerrabi Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Brindabella Kurrajong Brindabella Ginninderra Murrumbidgee Yerrabi Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Brindabella Kurrajong Brindabella Kurrajong Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Brindabella Murrumbidgee Kurrajong Brindabella Murrumbidgee Ginninderra Brindabella Ginninderra Murrumbidgee Kurrajong Yerrabi Yerrabi Murrumbidgee Brindabella Brindabella Kurrajong Kurrajong Murrumbidgee Ginninderra Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Locality Ngunnawal Nicholls O'Connor O'Malley Oxley OaksEstate Paddys River River Paddys District Page Pearce Palmerston Parkes Phillip Tharwa Pialligo District Tennent RedHill Reid Rivett Theodore Torrens Turner Wanniassa Waramanga Scullin Richardson Spence Stirling Symonston Taylor Throsby Tuggeranong Tuggeranong Districtremainder 1 Tuggeranong Districtremainder 2 Tuggeranong Tuggeranong Districtremainder 3 Watson Russell Stromlo District Stromlo Strathnairn
Appendix C: Locality Current Actual Projected Percentage Projected Current Projected electorate persons persons change proportion quota quota enrolled enrolled of the ACT 31 Aug 17 Oct 2018 2020 Weetangera Ginninderra 1922 1895 -1.40% 0.63% 3.31% 3.17% Weston Murrumbidgee 2686 2640 -1.71% 0.88% 4.63% 4.41%
Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology statistics enrolment electoral Projected Weston Creek Murrumbidgee 10 10 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.02% District remainder Whitlam Murrumbidgee 0 518 0.17% 0.00% 0.87% Woden Valley Murrumbidgee 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% District remainder Wright Murrumbidgee 1996 3007 50.65% 1.01% 3.44% 5.03% Yarralumla Kurrajong 2472 2424 -1.94% 0.81% 4.26% 4.05% Total 289899 299090 3.17% 100%
Note 1: The above localities and enrolment figures have undergone minor adjustments to match the functionality of the online geographical mapping tool at www.elections.act.gov.au/redistribution. Where necessary and where the effect is likely to be negligible, the current and projected enrolment figures for certain low populated districts have been merged with adjacent districts or localities and the relevant district has been removed from the list. For instance (but not limited to), Booth district has been included in Tuggeranong District Remainder 2, Uriarra has been included in Coree district and Cotter River District has been included in Paddy’s River District.
72 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix C: Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology 73 7.19% 0.01% 6.51% 2.14% 0.12% 0.13% 6.13% 4.62% 5.98% 3.67% 3.67% 9.83% 1.82% 5.33% 3.36% 3.25% 4.68% 6.87% 0.08% 3.88% 0.00% quota Projected 4.01% 6.61% 0.01% 7.56% 7.28% 4.92% 4.12% 1.93% 3.12% 0.12% 0.13% 6.75% 5.52% 3.56% 4.87% 6.22% 3.87% 0.08% 0.00% 2.29% quota 10.26% Current 0.43% 0.92% 1.97% 1.44% 0.73% 0.73% 0.02% 0.02% 0.94% 1.07% 0.67% 0.78% 0.65% 0.03% 1.20% 0.36% 1.23% 1.37% 1.30% 0.00% 0.00% 17.71% Projected ofthe ACT proportion 7.23% 2.99% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.60% -1.11% -7.96% -2.71% -2.14% -1.98% -3.47% -0.51% -3.05% -2.56% -2.59% -0.72% -0.99% -4.33% -0.34% change -2.06% Percentage 8 0 45 69 79 4111 3189 1091 2198 1942 2198 2763 4298 1279 3579 2323 3892 2798 3665 2009 5883 2020 52972 17 Oct17 persons enrolled Projected 8 0 67 45 77 1811 4219 1120 3912 1325 3831 4385 2826 2850 2323 3200 2246 2065 5949 3605 2388 2018 Actual 54085 31 Aug 31 persons enrolled Current electorate Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Brindabella Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Locality Banks Bonython Calwell Chisholm Gilmore IsabellaPlains Conder Macarthur Gowrie Fadden Gordon Greenway Monash Oxley Tharwa Tennent District Tennent Paddys River River Paddys District Theodore Total Richardson Tuggeranong Districtremainder 2 Wanniassa Table 2 - Projections for current localities in Brindabella
Appendix C: Table 3 - Projections for current localities in Ginninderra Locality Current Actual Projected Percentage Projected Current Projected electorate persons persons change proportion quota quota enrolled enrolled of the ACT 31 Aug 17 Oct 2018 2020 Aranda Ginninderra 1834 1828 -0.33% 0.61% 3.16% 3.06% Belconnen Ginninderra 4066 4363 7.30% 1.46% 7.01% 7.29% Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology statistics enrolment electoral Projected Belconnen District Ginninderra 15 15 0.00% 0.01% 0.03% 0.03% remainder 1 Belconnen District Ginninderra 5 5 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01% remainder 2 Bruce Ginninderra 4226 4342 2.74% 1.45% 7.29% 7.26% Charnwood Ginninderra 2149 2038 -5.17% 0.68% 3.71% 3.41% Cook Ginninderra 2187 2119 -3.11% 0.71% 3.77% 3.54% Dunlop Ginninderra 4992 5006 0.28% 1.67% 8.61% 8.37% Florey Ginninderra 3510 3345 -4.70% 1.12% 6.05% 5.59% Flynn Ginninderra 2566 2455 -4.33% 0.82% 4.43% 4.10% Fraser Ginninderra 1607 1418 -11.76% 0.47% 2.77% 2.37% Hawker Ginninderra 2196 2157 -1.78% 0.72% 3.79% 3.61% Higgins Ginninderra 2242 2235 -0.31% 0.75% 3.87% 3.74% Holt Ginninderra 3449 3370 -2.29% 1.13% 5.95% 5.63% Latham Ginninderra 2678 2601 -2.88% 0.87% 4.62% 4.35% Macgregor Ginninderra 4663 4721 1.24% 1.58% 8.04% 7.89% Macquarie Ginninderra 1963 1982 0.97% 0.66% 3.39% 3.31% Melba Ginninderra 2339 2279 -2.57% 0.76% 4.03% 3.81% Page Ginninderra 1964 1979 0.76% 0.66% 3.39% 3.31% Scullin Ginninderra 2094 2068 -1.24% 0.69% 3.61% 3.46% Spence Ginninderra 1938 1933 -0.26% 0.65% 3.34% 3.23% Strathnairn Ginninderra 0 956 0.32% 0.00% 1.60% Weetangera Ginninderra 1922 1895 -1.40% 0.63% 3.31% 3.17% Total 54605 55110 0.92% 18.43%
74 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix C: Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology 75 7.17% 7.18% 6.61% 7.90% 0.16% 1.92% 1.15% 3.76% 3.92% 6.47% 3.96% 6.95% 4.67% 0.02% 6.72% 3.67% 4.05% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 2.24% 6.62% 2.24% 6.79% 0.33% 0.20% 5.08% 0.58% 2.83% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% quota Projected 7.17% 7.13% 7.27% 6.81% 7.37% 0.21% 7.00% 1.15% 0.17% 3.97% 4.26% 0.02% 6.44% 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 6.44% 1.99% 5.07% 4.69% 3.90% 3.83% 0.60% 3.60% 6.59% 0.34% 2.85% 2.27% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.30% quota Current 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 0.81% 1.43% 0.45% 0.45% 0.12% 0.93% 0.75% 1.02% 0.73% 1.44% 0.78% 0.03% 0.07% 0.79% 1.32% 1.32% 0.04% 1.36% 1.34% 0.23% 1.29% 1.58% 1.39% 0.57% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.38% 20.66% Projected ofthe ACT proportion 6.11% 1.71% 0.47% 1.96% 3.75% 3.46% 3.44% 6.67% 0.63% 1.90% 2.48% 0.53% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 3.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.68% 2.84% -1.94% -1.08% -0.43% 11.11% -0.94% -0.62% 13.51% 13.65% 2.94% change Percentage 0 0 1 0 0 9 2 16 15 97 20 119 687 200 346 1148 2424 4160 1691 2198 3961 4728 4286 3952 2370 2795 4294 4020 4061 3872 2250 1340 1340 2344 3040 2020 61786 17 Oct17 persons enrolled Projected 0 0 1 0 0 9 2 18 15 15 97 119 667 200 346 4214 4274 4160 1315 1153 4134 2472 1650 3732 1333 2939 3733 2722 3820 2222 2299 2264 3949 2088 4058 2018 60020 Actual 31 Aug 31 persons enrolled Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Kurrajong Kurrajong Current electorate Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Kurrajong Deakin Dickson CanberraCity CapitalHill Locality Yarralumla Total Pialligo RedHill Reid Symonston Turner Watson Fyshwick Griffith Hackett Acton CanberraCentral Districtremainder 2 Ainslie Majura District Majura O'Connor Parkes Russell Jerrabomberra District Kingston Downer Forrest Hume Braddon CanberraCentral Districtremainder 1 OaksEstate Narrabundah Lyneham Barton Beard Campbell CanberraAirport Table 4 - Projections for current localities in Kurrajong
Appendix C: Table 5 - Projections for current localities in Murrumbidgee Locality Current Actual Projected Percentage Projected Current Projected electorate persons persons change proportion quota quota enrolled enrolled of the ACT 31 Aug 17 Oct 2018 2020 Chapman Murrumbidgee 2161 1989 -7.96% 0.67% 3.73% 3.33% Chifley Murrumbidgee 1784 1738 -2.58% 0.58% 3.08% 2.91% Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology statistics enrolment electoral Projected Coombs Murrumbidgee 1639 2733 66.75% 0.91% 2.83% 4.57% Coree District Murrumbidgee 210 217 3.33% 0.07% 0.36% 0.36% Curtin Murrumbidgee 3934 3850 -2.14% 1.29% 6.79% 6.44% Denman Prospect Murrumbidgee 178 774 334.83% 0.26% 0.31% 1.29% Duffy Murrumbidgee 2418 2403 -0.62% 0.80% 4.17% 4.02% Farrer Murrumbidgee 2538 2481 -2.25% 0.83% 4.38% 4.15% Fisher Murrumbidgee 2199 2131 -3.09% 0.71% 3.79% 3.56% Garran Murrumbidgee 2378 2351 -1.14% 0.79% 4.10% 3.93% Holder Murrumbidgee 2025 1898 -6.27% 0.63% 3.49% 3.17% Hughes Murrumbidgee 2140 2057 -3.88% 0.69% 3.69% 3.44% Isaacs Murrumbidgee 1941 1899 -2.16% 0.63% 3.35% 3.17% Kambah East Murrumbidgee 4999 4824 -3.50% 1.61% 8.62% 8.06% Kambah West Murrumbidgee 6579 6265 -4.77% 2.09% 11.35% 10.47% Lyons Murrumbidgee 2087 2136 2.35% 0.71% 3.60% 3.57% Mawson Murrumbidgee 2246 2265 0.85% 0.76% 3.87% 3.79% Molonglo Murrumbidgee 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% Molonglo Valley Murrumbidgee 5 5 0.00% 0.00% 0.01% 0.01% District remainder O'Malley Murrumbidgee 766 799 4.31% 0.27% 1.32% 1.34% Pearce Murrumbidgee 1962 1969 0.36% 0.66% 3.38% 3.29% Phillip Murrumbidgee 2059 2332 13.26% 0.78% 3.55% 3.90% Rivett Murrumbidgee 2331 2271 -2.57% 0.76% 4.02% 3.80% Stirling Murrumbidgee 1526 1538 0.79% 0.51% 2.63% 2.57% Stromlo District Murrumbidgee 36 37 2.78% 0.01% 0.06% 0.06% Torrens Murrumbidgee 1657 1612 -2.72% 0.54% 2.86% 2.69% Tuggeranong Murrumbidgee 10 10 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.02% District remainder 1 Waramanga Murrumbidgee 1936 1898 -1.96% 0.63% 3.34% 3.17% Weston Murrumbidgee 2686 2640 -1.71% 0.88% 4.63% 4.41% Weston Creek Murrumbidgee 10 10 0.00% 0.00% 0.02% 0.02% District remainder Whitlam Murrumbidgee 0 518 0.17% 0.00% 0.87% Woden Valley Murrumbidgee 0 0 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% District remainder Wright Murrumbidgee 1996 3007 50.65% 1.01% 3.44% 5.03% Total 58436 60657 3.80% 20.28%
76 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix C:
Projected electoral enrolment statistics methodology 77 0.01% 0.01% 7.6 4% 6.81% 7.20% 6.74% 6.43% 8.43% 1.18% 4.73% 9.07% 3.49% 0.73% 6.44% 0.40% 4.06% 6.62% 8.62% 1.86% 6.04% 2.69% 0.00% 0.00% 2.30% quota 13.14% Projected 0.41% 6.91% 0.01% 0.01% 0.01% 7.82% 9.42% 0.10% 6.75% 6.62% 4.64% 1.53% 6.55% 6.77% 3.64% 0.64% 6.64% 4.29% 2.56% 8.85% 0.00% 5.00% 0.00% 6.39% quota 12.68% Current 1.81% 0.81% 1.21% 0.15% 0.95% 0.46% 1.72% 1.44% 0.24% 0.70% 1.69% 1.32% 1.53% 1.35% 1.36% 2.63% 0.54% 1.29% 0.37% 0.08% 1.29% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 22.92% Projected ofthe ACT proportion 0.43% 8.43% 6.97% 5.24% 3.70% 5.82% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 2.60% -1.51% -2.45% -1.04% -1.27% -0.42% 13.41% -0.64% 55.01% 19.07% 18.97% 24.65% 11.25% 9.26% change 1071.67% 27775.00% Percentage 0 5 6 0 439 703 239 1115 3611 2427 5156 1378 4071 5428 4570 5042 1608 3852 4029 3958 4306 2830 7862 2086 3844 2020 68565 17 Oct17 persons enrolled Projected 0 5 6 0 4 60 240 369 889 3911 2108 1483 5134 3927 3707 4532 3797 2897 7350 3847 2689 2488 3838 5463 4009 2018 62753 Actual 31 Aug 31 persons enrolled Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Current electorate Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Yerrabi Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Crace Evatt Hall Locality Moncrieff Bonner Forde Franklin GungahlinDistrict remainder3 Harrison Amaroo Casey Mckellar Mitchell Total Jacka Giralang Gungahlin GungahlinDistrict remainder2 Kaleen Lawson Ngunnawal Nicholls Throsby GungahlinDistrict remainder1 Palmerston Taylor Table 6 - Projections for current localities in Yerrabi
Appendix D: Suggestions Appendix D: Suggestions
Suggestions lodged with the Redistribution Committee pursuant to section 41(1)(a) of the Electoral Act 1992:
Organisations ACT Labor page 79 Canberra Liberals page 85 Proportional Representation Society of Australia - ACT Branch page 93 Weston Creek Community Council page 97 Woden Valley Community Council page 102
Individuals Alex Adkins page 104 Anne-Maree Nelmes page 106 Barry Coyles page 108 Ben Chesler page 112 Chef Giovannus page 114 Chris Erett page 116 Martin Gordon page 119 Michael Adams page 123 Peter Sutherland page 125
Note: The format of many of the following submissions were submitted using the ACT Electoral Commission’s online redistribution mapping tool. Each of these submissions contained an electorate summary displaying under each electorate, the enrolled and projected enrolment figures of the suburbs that had been included for the electorate. These electorate summaries are not reproduced in this document but can be viewed at the Elections ACT website at www.elections.act.gov.au/electoral_ boundaries/redistributions/2018-2019-redistribution
78 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix D: Suggestions 79 % 6 0 % . 2 2 6 0 . 1 9
9 :
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: d : e ubm d d t e e c t t S ar e c c j e e ne j o j r s d bor o o l r P r a yr e P P n L B % bor tai T % 0 % w a a dge 0 9 5 e C l . 0 8 l he L Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 ou . 1 . t bi A t 6 0 7 T d : a be 9 1 9 C
e : : : b s bi um t t t M r A a on n n n : r i nda am e e e y: r r r r i al ur r r r s r e n ate on b u u u i s d M C B C Y C on e at i or t s s i tor t s mi t i i c b c m m e gan b b u r e u u l S O El S S E Suggestion from Labor ACT
Appendix D: Suggestions
Electorate boundary map
Taylor
Jacka
Gungahlin District 1 Bonner Moncrieff
Hall Casey Amaroo Forde Ngunnawal
Belconnen District 2
Nicholls Gungahlin Fraser Throsby Palmerston Gungahlin District 2 Dunlop Harrison Spence Charnwood Franklin Crace Flynn Macgregor Melba Evatt Giralang Gungahlin District 3
Latham McKellar Macnamara Mitchell
Holt Florey Lawson Kaleen
Strathnairn Higgins Scullin Belconnen Watson Page Lyneham Downer Bruce Canberra Central District 2 Belconnen District 1 Hawker WeetangeraMacquarie Hackett Dickson O'Connor Aranda Cook Ainslie Turner Braddon Majura District Whitlam Canberra Central District 1 Acton Canberra City Reid Molonglo Valley District Campbell
Denman Prospect Parkes Molonglo Russell Yarralumla Canberra Airport Capital Hill Barton Stromlo District Weston Creek District Kingston Forrest Coombs Deakin Wright Fyshwick Curtin Griffith Pialligo Red Hill Hughes Duffy Holder Weston Narrabundah Oaks Estate Lyons Garran Beard
Rivett Phillip Symonston Stirling Waramanga Chapman Chifley O'Malley
Fisher Pearce Jerrabomberra District Woden Valley District Mawson
Isaacs Torrens Farrer
Kambah East Kambah West Hume Tuggeranong District 3
Wanniassa Tuggeranong District 1 Fadden Macarthur Oxley Gowrie Greenway Monash Gilmore
Chisholm
Paddy's River District Isabella Plains Richardson Bonython
Calwell
Theodore
Gordon Conder
Banks
Tharwa Tuggeranong District 2
80 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix D: Suggestions 81 [email protected] [email protected] E (02) 6247 4066 4066 6247 (02) P and Officer. and Registered www.actlabor.org.au www.actlabor.org.au ABN: 74 438 540 751 751 540 438 74 ABN: party’s Secretary GPO BOX 3065, CANBERRA ACT 2601 2601 ACT CANBERRA 3065, BOX GPO behalf of ACT Labor as the as Labor of behalf ACT on Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 FLOOR, 222 CITY WALKFLOOR, 222 CITY ST ACT Labor welcomes the opportunity to participate in the redistribution process to determine the to determine process the redistribution in participate to opportunity the welcomes ACT Labor election. Assembly Legislative ACT 2020 the for ACT the of Divisions the for boundaries ACT in conduct Elections and of professionalism the recognise to opportunity this take to I would like the from benefited has greatly The ACT system. electoral ofour operation and the regulation the better is all democracy small our ACT and by Elections implemented been have that innovations for it. the Redistribution of the consideration for recommendations a seriesof make will This submission the This submission ACT. of the divisions for five of boundaries placement the regarding Committee the guidelines for and Committee Redistribution the by released projections population on the relies submissions. the will form that ACT of the Divisions for the contours basic down the laid Redistribution The 2015 our for basis the this provides and future foreseeable the for boundaries electoral our ofbasis submission. this process. of results the seeing to I look forward regards Kind Byrne Matthew Labor ACT Secretary, Dear Redistribution Committee Members, Members, Committee Redistribution Dear submission this I make ACT BRANCH OFFICE:ACT BRANCH 1
Appendix D: Suggestions
Context
In 2015, the Redistribution Committee determined the boundaries for the five new electorates that would be contested for 25 seats of the Legislative Assembly.
In our submission, we argued that communities of interest centred on the five major town centres of the ACT should form the basis of the new divisions:
“The ACT’s local communities are based on the “town centres” developed by the former National Capital Development Commission (NCDC): North and South Canberra is the original ‘Burley Griffin’ Canberra or what would be called inner city in other cities. Of the new towns Woden was first in the 1960s, followed by Belconnen and Weston Creek in the 1970s, then Tuggeranong in the late 1970s to 1980s. Gungahlin is the most recent dating from the 1990s.
ACT Labor has a clear position that, as far as reasonably possible, the five new electorates should be centred on the five most prominent town centres of the ACT: Tuggeranong, Woden Valley, Canberra City, Belconnen and Gungahlin.
It is our belief that the town centres of the ACT have developed distinct identities in the years since self-government and these deserve to be reflected in the redistribution. The growth in these town centres has affected how Canberrans live, work and play and we argue that they provide the Redistribution Committee with the most logical basis from which to draw new boundaries.”
This position has not changed. With the need to make amendments to the boundaries of the five electorates due to a growing ACT population, we reiterate our support for the basic structure of the five current electorates and therefore we will be arguing for a minimal redistribution that protects the integrity of these five divisional boundaries.
As you will see in the map we submitted via the online Mapping Tool, we have recommended that the five electorates be redistributed as follows:
Yerrabi and Ginninderra
A small shift in boundaries from Yerrabi to Ginninderra is required to satisfy the population projections for these districts.
We submit that the suburbs of Evatt and Mackellar, along with the rural Belconnen District 2, be moved from Yerrabi to Ginninderra so that the boundary dividing these two electorates now be:
the Barton Highway from the NSW/ACT border down to the intersection of Barton Highway and William Slim Drive, William Slim Drive to the intersection of William Slim Drive and Ginninderra Drive, then Ginninderra Drive to the suburban boundary of Kaleen.
Evatt and Mackellar were moved into the new division of Yerrabi in order to satisfy the population needs of the new electorate and because the Belconnen district was too large to be able to maintain these suburbs within the boundaries of Ginninderra. Population growth in the Gungahlin district has necessitated this change.
These are the only changes we believe are required for these electorates.
www.actlabor.org.au
ACT BRANCH OFFICE: 1ST FLOOR, 222 CITY WALK GPO BOX 3065, CANBERRA ACT 2601 ABN: 74 438 540 751 P (02) 6247 4066 E [email protected]
82 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix D: Suggestions 83 [email protected] [email protected] E into an into the mapping the mapping on Kurrajong – Kurrajong – st” would have to be have be to would (02) 6247 4066 4066 6247 (02) Ea – P Murrumbidgee falling of . www.actlabor.org.au www.actlabor.org.au …” ABN: 74 438 540 751 751 540 438 74 ABN: , then we believe that the Commission will Commission the that we believe then ’, b) Murrumbidgee. Murrumbidgee. – as set out in ’36) out set as GPO BOX 3065, CANBERRA ACT 2601 2601 ACT CANBERRA 3065, BOX GPO [the Commission shall] endeavour to ensure, as far as practicable, that the that as practicable, as far ensure, to endeavour shall] Commission [the “ which was placed in the new division of Murrumbidgee Murrumbidgee of division in the new was placed which – says says outlines the other criteria that the Commission must also take into account when into account take also must Commission the that criteria the other outlines ’ b) c)’ ’36) ’36) Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 FLOOR, 222 CITY WALKFLOOR, 222 CITY ST order to comply with the projected quota criteria, we have chosen to move the suburb of Hill Red suburb the to move chosen have we criteria, quota projected the with comply to order ndmarsh Drive. Drive. ndmarsh to Murrumbidgee. Red Hill shares the Red Hill Nature Reserve with Garran and Hughes which Hughes and with Garran Reserve Hill Nature Red shares the Red Hill Murrumbidgee. to 1.66% below the projected quota threshold. threshold. quota projected the below 1.66% In in via Murrumbidgee to connected is also Hill Red suburbs. these connect to link a natural provides Hi have to move a suburb of the inner south that borders the electorate of Murrumbidgee into that into Murrumbidgee of electorate the borders south that ofinner the suburb a move have to electorate. Red Hill. and Deakin Yarralumla, are redistribution for candidates best three the On that basis single a redistribute to is practicable it whether consider should Commission that the our view It is of interest community its natural that incorporates electorate fromthe suburb is suburb of whichever residents the for confusion unnecessary create would this that We believe of an inequity will create this that think We are. local representatives their who to as redistributed the same receive to are unlikely they because south inner the in residents those for representation connection. little have they with which electorate an in placed when representation of level problem the outweigh community local the to costs the that We believe electorate with which it has very little relationship relationship little very has it which with electorate considering the redistribution of boundaries i.e. communities of interest, means of of communication means interest, of i.e. communities boundaries of redistribution the considering features. natural and electorates and districts of boundaries existing transport, and a criteri the apply to strictly If one is Paragraph Paragraph tool be redistributed into Brindabella. Brindabella. into tool be redistributed Kurrajong and Murrumbidgee the division consider to necessary becomes it Brindabella into East Kambah By redistributing projected the below falls 1.66% Murrumbidgee as Kurrajong and Murrumbidgee for boundaries that area. for population the consider Act to Electoral the of 36 4, Part used in criteria the examining worth it is At this point redistribution of boundaries. divisional Paragraph Brindabella enough large a have do not Brindabella for boundaries current the projections, On current Act. Electoral of the criteria the satisfy to population large time the over that understanding our it is 2015, in determined were boundaries the When of Kambah suburb relocated into Brindabella to balance out the fast growing Molonglo district with the slower rate of rate slower the with Molonglo district fast growing the out balance to Brindabella into relocated district. Tuggeranong the ingrowth labelled “Kambah Kambah of area the that submit we For this redistribution number of electors in an electorate at the time of the next general election of members of the of members of election next general the of the time at electorate an in of electors number the for quota expected the of 95%, than less or 105%, than greater be will not Assembly Legislative the formula with in accordance ascertained time that at electorate ACT BRANCH OFFICE:ACT BRANCH 1
Appendix D: Suggestions
Future Considerations
The population of the ACT is going to change significantly over the coming years and this will create new challenges for future Redistribution Committees.
The growth of the Molongo district, infill of north Canberra and construction of new suburbs in West Belconnen foreshadow a need for significant change to electoral boundaries in the next three terms.
The Commission may wish to give Canberrans an insight into the potential changes to electorate boundaries by considering the placement of sparsely populated districts such as the eastern districts of the ACT – Jerrabomberra, Symonston, Hume, as well as Belconnen District 1 and 2 and Tuggeranong District 1.
Whilst largely symbolic, this could give Canberrans a view on how our electorates might change over time.
www.actlabor.org.au
ACT BRANCH OFFICE: 1ST FLOOR, 222 CITY WALK GPO BOX 3065, CANBERRA ACT 2601 ABN: 74 438 540 751 P (02) 6247 4066 E [email protected]
84 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix D: Suggestions 85 electorate at the forefront. 102.06% 97.26% Projected: Projected: 96.13% 104.56% Ginninderra Current: Murrumbidgee Current: 96.62% 104.70% 99.37% Projected: Projected: Projected: Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Canberra Liberals Submission 2019 97.85% 101.90% 99.55% Kay Gilchrist r the 2019 redistribution of the ACT's Legislative Assembly ele for the 2019 redistribution of the ACT's Legislative Assemblyctorates. The Canberra Liberals are pleased to provide this submission : : Yerrabi Current: Brindabella Current: Kurrajong Current: Submitted by: Canberra Liberals Organisation: Submission name: Electorates Submission details Comment - Yerrabi to lose Evatt, McKellar and Belconnen District 2 whi changes: - Yerrabi to lose Evatt, McKellar and Belconnen Districtch will be added to In summary the Canberra Liberals propose the following to M Belconnen District 2 - Kurrajong to lose Deakin which will be addedurrumbidgee - Ginninderra - Ginninderra to gain Evatt, McKellar and Libera - Brindabella to gain Kambah East The changes proposed by the Canberrals to the Murrumbidgee to gain Deakin and lose Kambah East approach that places the community of interest in each existing electorate boundaries represent a minimalist Electoral boundaries submission Suggestion Liberals from Canberra
Appendix D: Suggestions
Electorate boundary map
Taylor
Jacka
Gungahlin District 1 Bonner Moncrieff
Hall Casey Amaroo Forde Ngunnawal
Belconnen District 2
Nicholls Gungahlin Fraser Throsby Palmerston Gungahlin District 2 Dunlop Harrison Spence Charnwood Franklin Crace Flynn Macgregor Melba Evatt Giralang Gungahlin District 3
Latham McKellar Macnamara Mitchell
Holt Florey Lawson Kaleen
Strathnairn Higgins Scullin Belconnen Watson Page Lyneham Downer Bruce Canberra Central District 2 Belconnen District 1 Hawker WeetangeraMacquarie Hackett Dickson O'Connor Aranda Cook Ainslie Turner Braddon Majura District Whitlam Canberra Central District 1 Acton Canberra City Reid Molonglo Valley District Campbell
Denman Prospect Parkes Molonglo Russell Yarralumla Canberra Airport Capital Hill Barton Stromlo District Weston Creek District Kingston Forrest Coombs Deakin Wright Fyshwick Curtin Griffith Pialligo Red Hill Hughes Duffy Holder Weston Narrabundah Oaks Estate Lyons Garran Beard
Rivett Phillip Symonston Stirling Waramanga Chapman Chifley O'Malley
Fisher Pearce Jerrabomberra District Woden Valley District Mawson
Isaacs Torrens Farrer
Kambah East Kambah West Hume Tuggeranong District 3
Wanniassa Tuggeranong District 1 Fadden Macarthur Oxley Gowrie Greenway Monash Gilmore
Chisholm
Paddy's River District Isabella Plains Richardson Bonython
Calwell
Theodore
Gordon Conder
Banks
Tharwa Tuggeranong District 2
86 Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 Appendix D: Suggestions 87
02 6273 5155 02 6273
ABN: 65 727 304 134 304 727 65 ABN: [email protected]
Augmented ACT Electoral Commission Redistribution Report 2019 ACTAugmented Electoral Report Commission Redistribution 2019 Cziesla John President Liberals Canberra
Dear Mr Cantwell PO Box 272 2608 Civic ACT Square ACT’s the of redistribution 2019 the for submission Liberals Canberra the to provide I am pleased electorates. Legislative Assembly a make to opportunity the ACT for Elections thank to opportunity this take to I would like submission. Yourssincerely Elections ACT Elections 2019 4 March AM Cantwell Damian Mr Commissioner ACT Electoral PO Box 66 Deakin West ACT 2600 ACT West Deakin 66 POBox Liberal Party of Australia (ACT ofParty Liberal (ACT Division) Australia
Appendix D: Suggestions 2
Overview The Canberra Liberals note that the main hallen e fa ed b the edistribution Committee is the hi h population ro th rate in the north of Canberra espe iall in the un ahlin distri t ompared ith the lo er ro th rate in the south espe iall in Tu eranon This has created a situation where it is impossible to correct the “anomalies” from the previous redistribution to eep all suburbs and ommunities of interest normall asso iated ith the eo raphi distri ts or areas asso iated ith to n entres to ether This is espe iall apparent in the ases of Tu eranon and ambah and the various el onnen suburbs urrentl in luded in errabi ambah presents the lar est issue as there are fe pra ti al alternatives to splittin ambah eepin part of the suburb ithin urrumbid ee hile in ludin part in rindabella hile splittin a suburb is not ideal other alternatives ould also split ommunities of interest in a s that ould not serve those ommunities ell iven that future ro th rates ill li el result in a situation here the remainder of ambah an be in luded in rindabella in the 202 redistribution the Canberra Liberals believe in ludin part of ambah in rindabella in this redistribution is a better alternative than ta in a sele tion of suburbs from the oden alle distri t to in lude in rindabella or in ludin all of ambah in rindabella and ta in a number of Tu eranon suburbs and in ludin them in urrumbid ee In summar the Canberra Liberals propose the follo in han es errabi to lose vatt ellar and el onnen istri t 2 hi h ill be added to inninderra inninderra to ain vatt ellar and el onnen istri t 2 urra on to lose ea in hi h ill be added to urrumbid ee urrumbid ee to ain ea in and lose ambah ast rindabella to ain ambah ast
The han es proposed b the Canberra Liberals to the e istin ele torate boundaries represent a minimalist approa h that pla es the ommunit of interest in ea h ele torate at the forefront
Requirements of the Electoral Act As the le tions ACT outlines the le toral A t and the elf overnment A t provide that the edistribution Committee and the Au mented le toral Commission shall –