APRU/AEARU Research Symposium 2007 “ Hazards around the Pacific Rim”

Date and Venue June 21-22 2007, Hotel Nikko Jakarta, Diamond Room 1&2, Jakarta, Indonesia

Host University The University of Tokyo and the University of Indonesia

Purpose of activity This symposium brought together leading researchers of APRU/AEARU member universities in the field of seismology, volcanology, civil engineering, and related social sciences, in order to understand the mechanism of natural disasters due to , and volcanic eruptions, find better way of mitigating these disasters and developing sustainable societies against them. We needed to discuss scientific aspects on the restoration from giant earthquakes and tsunamis, particularly from that generated in Indian Ocean in 2004, in order to integrate effective strategies for the future establishment of earthquake-and -proof cities around the Indian Ocean. Thus challenging the participants to think about recent developments, new results, and new ideas in these fields, this symposium aimed to stimulate them to learn about diversity of mechanism of these geological hazards and to find ways of building sustainable societies against natural disasters. This symposium also gave us an opportunity to consider new directions in their respective research activities and disaster-prevention administration.

Program of activity Please see the following pages

Number of participants attended & papers submitted Participants: 149 Keynote Lectures: 2 Oral Presentations: 37 Poster Presentations: 19

Comments - The symposium recorded 149 participants from 8 countries. The number of participants may be

the largest among the three symposia. - Participants included not only academic researchers but also governmental officials and community representatives. - The session program included two keynote lectures, 37 oral presentations and 19 poster presentations from various research fields of natural science, civil engineering and social science. - The symposium was concluded with very active general discussion. The audience was very enthusiastic to continue this series of symposium. - The post-symposium excursion was conducted with 15 participants. The excursion visited the central region of the May 26 2006 Central earthquake and Mt. Merapi that erupted also in May 2006. - The symposium was well attended and the presentations were in advanced level, which fascinated the audience. - Some people commented that this symposium is very valuable for academic researchers, in particular for its interdisciplinary program.

The secretariat personally believes that the symposium was successful and worth continuing in the future. It was regrettable, however, that there were little participants from AEARU member universities. We do believe that the future stronger collaboration with AEARU will lead to more successful symposium of this kind.

The 3rd APRU/AEARU Research Symposium Earthquake Hazards around the Pacific Rim - Diversity of Earthquake, Tsunami and Volcanic Phenomena and Their Hazards -

June 21-22, 2007 Hotel Nikko Jakarta, Diamond Room 1&2 Jakarta, Indonesia

June 21, 2007 (Thursday)

9:00-9:30 Registration

9:30-10:00 Opening Ceremony (chaired by T. Kato) Opening address Sadanori Okamura, Vice President, the University of Tokyo, Japan Welcome address Richard Drobnick, Secretary General Emeritus, APRU Director, Center for Global Business Excellence, Marshall School of Business, University of Southern California Congratulatory address Minoru Hakamagi, MEXT, Japan Welcome address Usman Chatib Warsa, Rector, University of Indonesia, Indonesia Welcome address Satryo Soemantri Brodjonegoro, Director General of Higher Education, Indonesia (whose speech was read by Junaidi, Deputy Head of Cooperation and International Office, University of Indonesia) Remarks Teruyuki Kato

Break

10:15-11:00 Key note lecture (1) [K-1] Jun Murai : New Age of Digital Communication: Role in Asia Pacific Rim 11:00-11:05 Intermission 11:05-11:50 Key note lecture (2) [K-2] Kusmayanto Kadiman

11:50-13:00 Lunch

13:00-13:15 Introduction of posters

Session 1: Earthquake – Forecast, monitoring and early warning – Chairperson: Subarya and Hirata

13:15-13:30 [S1-1] Hirata, N., Japanese national program for the earthquake prediction research 13:30-13:45 [S1-2] Rundle, J., Earthquake risk assessment and forecasting: a summary of current issues 13:45-14:00 [S1-3] Wu, Y.-M., Determination of earthquake early warning parameters, τc and Pd 14:00-14:15 [S1-4] Subarya, C., The first implementation of a real time high rate GPS network for tsunami early warning system in Indonesia 14:15-14:30 [S1-5] Yamaoka, K., Recent progress of ACROSS system for monitoring plate coupling

14:30-14:45 Break

Session 2: Earthquake – What we learn from Earthquake – Chairperson: Natawidjaja and Prawirodirdjo

14:45-15:00 [S2-1] Lubis, S., Tectonic setting in the vicinity of zone off west Sumatera and South Java, Indonesia 15:00-15:15 [S2-2] Sieh, K., Variations in modes of failures along the Sunda megathrust 15:15-15:30 [S2-3] Prawirodirdjo, L., Geodetic observations of an earthquake cycle at the Sumatra subduction zone: The role of interseismic strain segmentation 15:30-15:45 [S2-4] Meltzner, A., Coseismic, postseismic, and interseismic deformation in the boundary zone between the 2004 and 2005 Sunda megathrust ruptures: insights from coral microatolls 15:45-16:00 [S2-5] Hashimoto, M., Coseismic slip and afterslip of the Sumatra-Andaman Earthquake detected by continuous GPS observations and their tectonic implications 16:00-16:15 [S2-6] Natawidjaja, D.-H., A review on the Sumatran zone with reference to the 6 March 2007 events (M6.4 & 6.3) in Singkarak lake, Central Sumatra

16:15-16:30 Break

Session 3: Tsunami Chairperson: Siripong and Latief

16:30-16:45 [S3-1] Koshimura, S., Numerical modeling of tsunami inundation of , by the 2004 Sumatra earthquake 16:45-17:00 [S3-2] Wong, P.-P., Coasts of Aceh : Impacts and recovery from a tsunami

17:00-17:15 [S3-3] Latief, H., Developing of pre-calculated tsunami model database for Indonesian tsunami early warning system 17:15-17:30 [S3-4] Tsuji, Y., Two problems on the study of tsunamis 17:30-17:45 [S3-5] Siripong, A., The roles of education for tsunami mitigation in Thailand 17:45-18:00 [S3-6] Nallaperumal, S., A real-time embedded system integrated neural network design model to predict tsunami

18:00-18:05 John Rundle (UC Davis): Invitation speech for the next APRU/AEARU Symposium

18:30-20:00 Reception (Diamond Room 3) Greetings Satoru Satoh, Minister, Embassy of Japan Special talk Hiroyoshi Kano, The University of Tokyo

June 22, 2007 (Friday)

8:30-9:00 Registration

Session 4: Volcanic Hazard Chairperson: Surono and Kaneko

9:00-9:15 [S4-1] Watanabe, H., Progress of the national project for prediction of volcanic eruption in Japan 9:15-9:30 [S4-2] Surono, Merapi eruption in 2006 and its implication to future hazard 9:30-9:45 [S4-3] Iguchi, M., Eruption mechanism of explosive eruption at Semeru volcano, East Java, Indonesia 9:45-10:00 [S4-4] Kaneko, T., Satellite monitoring of active volcanoes in east Asia: a MODIS and MTSAT-based system 10:00-10:15 [S4-5] Sekiya, N., The social amplification and psychology of volcanic eruptions: normalcy bias, catastrophe bias, and image contamination

10:15-10:30 Break

Session 5 Earthquake – Engineering approach for mitigating earthquake hazards – Chairperson: Lase and Meguro

10:30-10:45 [S5-1] Hwang, S.-J., Experimental and analytical performance assessment of in-situ pushover tests of Reui-Pu Elementary School building in Taiwan 10:45-11:00 [S5-2] Prunomo, H., Behavior of non-standardised clay brick masonry wall panels to

lateral loading 11:00-11:15 [S5-3] Meguro, K., Implementation of earthquake safer housing through technological and social approaches 11:15-11:30 [S5-4] Lase, Y., Application of base isolation system for enhancing seismic performance of traditional houses in Indonesia 11:30-11:45 [S5-5] Prakoso, W., Initial evaluation of variability of design response spectrum 11:45-12:00 [S5-6] Nizam, Community based reconstruction – Lessons learned from Jogja-Jateng earthquake reconstruction 12:00-12:15 [S5-7] Iemura, H., Earthquake and tsunami damage survey in Indonesia and recommendation for the reconstruction

12:15-13:45 Lunch/Poster viewing

Session 6 Management of disasters and technologies for disaster mitigation and recovery Chairperson: Rokhmatuloh and Ahmed

13:45-14:00 [S6-1] Rokhmatuloh, Management of disaster mitigation: The role of remote sensing for updating data 14:00-14:15 [S6-2] Setiadi, H., Geographies of natural disaster management: spatial knowledge for vulnerable people 14:15-14:30 [S6-3] Raj, J. K., Predicted impacts of future tsunami in northwest Peninsular Malaysia 14:30-14:45 [S6-4] Ahmed, Z., Seismic risk reduction: The Bangladesh perspective 14:45-15:00 [S6-5] Widjajalaksmi, Role of physical medicine and rehabilitation in disaster recovery for Aceh 2004 Earthquake and tsunami limb amputee

15:00-15:15 Break

15:15-15:30 [S6-6] Christmann, J., Geo-hazard awareness maps in the Philippines - scientific approach versus data reality - 15:30-15:45 [S6-7] Shimazaki, K., Estimates and public awareness of seismic hazard in Japan 15:45-16:00 [S6-8] Maki, N., Long-term recovery from Indian Ocean tsunami disaster: Toward sustainable safer community

16:00-16:30 General Discussion Moderator: Koketsu and Sieh 16:30-17:00 Closing ceremony Closing Address Kazuhiko Takeuchi, Director, Div. Intl. Relations, the University of Tokyo

Closing Address Sutanto Soehodho, Vice Rector, University of Indonesia

Poster presentations and exhibition # Posters should be raised during the whole period of the symposium. # Core time period for poster viewing: June 22 (Fri.), 12:45-13:30PM

Session 1: Earthquake – Forecast, monitoring and early warning –

[P-S1-1] Sarsito, D. A., Present day kinematics of Palu-Koro fault (Sulawesi – Indonesia): GPS permanent stations results [P-S1-2] Andreas, H., The role of geodesy in earthquake prediction: what to believe? [P-S1-3] Iwakuni, M., East Asian tectonics using GPS data [P-S1-4] Usman, E., Offshore fault assessment: Implication to predict earthquake and tsunamigenic potential along the coastal area of Muria Peninsula, Central Java

Session 2: Earthquake – What we learn from Sumatra Earthquake –

[P-S2-1] Husen, A. b., Tsunami height memorial poles in Banda Aceh for disaster prevention and education

Session 3: Tsunami

[P-S3-1] Raj, J. K., The need for tsunami alerts in northeast and east Sabah, Malaysia [P-S3-2] Soomro, A. S., Tsunami disaster risk zone mapping by using GIS for Muang Krabi coast line, Thailand

Session 6: Management and technologies for disaster mitigation and recovery

[P-S6-1] Palupi, L. S., Trilogi disaster management: Pre-disaster, disaster and post disaster management [P-S6-2] Pudjiati, R., Evaluation of school-based psychosocial program in enhancing recovery of disaster affected school in North Aceh [P-S6-3] Hadi, C., Disaster and multicultural education: Positive interdependence psychology perspective [P-S6-4] Sakamoto, M., The challenges for post-disaster reconstruction -The case of Indian Ocean earthquake and tsunami disaster, Indonesia and Southern Leyte landslide disaster, Philippines- [P-S6-5] Surono, Earthquake and tsunami hazard mitigation strategy - case study: Earthquake amplification and tsunami prone mapping in Indonesia

Special Session: International collaborations in Asian countries against geohazards

[P-SP-1] Abidin, H. Z., Crustal deformation studies in Indonesia using GPS – a researh plan – [P-SP-2] Fujino, S., Discovery of paleotsunami deposit along Sunda megathrust – Preliminary results from Island, Indonesia – [P-SP-3] Hirakawa, K., “Paleotsunami and historical tsunami studies along the Sunda Arc” as one of the LIPI-JSPS project [P-SP-4] Koketsu, K., Earthquake source and strong ground motion studies in Indonesia – A research plan – [P-SP-5] Tanaka, S., Tsunami disaster and reconstruction processes in Banda Aceh, Indonesia: Socio-human and geo-environmental aspects [P-SP-6] Narafu T., Collaborative research and development for safer housing against Earthquakes [P-SP-7] Kato, T., Outline of the “Restoration program from the giant earthquakes and tsunamis” project

Exibition

[P-EX-1] JICA, Hiroyuki Katayama [P-EX-2] Hakusan Corp., Koji Watanabe [P-EX-3] Nippon GPS Solutions Co. Ltd., Kazutoshi Satoh