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IBEF Presentataion STEEL For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org July 2017 Table of Content Executive Summary……………….….…….3 Advantage India…………………..….……..4 Market Overview …………………….……..6 Recent Trends and Strategies …….……..17 Growth Drivers…………………….............22 Opportunities…….……….......……………30 Success Stories……………....……………33 Industry Associations……………....……...36 Useful Information……….......…………….38 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY . Total finished steel production in India has increased at a CAGR of 4.70 per cent during FY12–16, with country’s steel production reaching to 90.98 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) in FY16. 2rd largest producer of . The country became the 2nd largest crude steel producer in 2017, as large public and private sector players crude steel strengthen steel production capacity in view of rising demand. Moreover, capacity has increased to 121.97 million tonnes (MT) in FY16, which is 11 per cent more than FY15, while in the coming ten years the country is anticipated to produce 300 MT of steel . India’s comparatively low per capita steel consumption and expected growth in consumption due to growing Strong growth infrastructure construction, automobile and railways sectors has offered scope for growth opportunities . National Mineral Development Corporation is expected to increase the iron ore production 75 million tonnes per annum (MTPA) until 2021 indicating new opportunities in the sector . Domestic players’ investments in expanding and upgrading manufacturing facilities are expected to reduce Rising domestic and reliance on imports. In addition, the entry of international players would provide benefits in terms of capital international investments resources, technical know how and more competitive industry dynamics Note: 1) April-December 2015 MTPA – Million Tonnes Per Annum Source: World Steel Association, Ministry of Steel, Aranca Research 3 Steel For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Steel ADVANTAGE INDIA ADVANTAGE INDIA . Demand would be supported by growth in . To achieve steel capacity build-up of 300 the domestic market million tonnes per annum (MTPA) by 2025, . Infrastructure, oil and gas and automotives India would need to invest US$ 210 billion would drive the growth of the industry over the next decade . Lower per capita consumption compared to . 301 MoUs have been signed with various international average states for planned capacity of about 486.7 MT. In 2015, 4 MOU’s were signed at . Steel production in India is forecast to double Dantewada by 2031, with growth rate expected to go above 10 per cent in FY18 . Ministry of Steel plans to set up Steel Research and Technology Mission in India to promote R&D activities in the sector ADVANTAGE INDIA . As of 2017, India is the world’s 2rd largest . 100 per cent FDI through the automatic producer of crude steel (up from 8th in route is allowed . Large infrastructure 2003); projects in the PPP mode are being formed . Easy availability of low-cost manpower . National Steel Policy (NSP) implemented to and presence of abundant iron ore encourage the industry to reach global reserves make India competitive in the benchmarks global set up . Policy clarity and stability expected in respect of mining leases and forest clearances . 20 per cent safeguard duty on steel imports Notes: FDI - Foreign Direct Investment, MT - Million Tonnes, E- Estimated MoUs - Memorandum of Understanding, 2016E - Estimated figure for the year 2016; These estimates are from Data monitor, PPP - Public-Private Partnership Source: Metallurgical and Materials Engineering Division Board, Aranca Research 5 Steel For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org Steel MARKET OVERVIEW EVOLUTION OF THE INDIAN INSURANCE SECTOR . Foreign players began entering the Indian steel . Hindustan Steel Ltd and Bokaro Steel Ltd market were setup in 1954 and 1964, respectively . Production of steel started in . No license requirement for capacity creation . In the early 1990s, the public sector India (TISCO was setup in 1907) . Imposition of export duty on iron ore, to focus more dominated steel production . IISC was set up in 1918 to on catering growing domestic demand . Private players were in downstream compete with TISCO . Decontrol of domestic steel prices production mainly producing finished steel using crude steel products . Launch of Scheme for promotion of Research and Development in Iron and Steel sector 1907-18 1923-48 1954-64 1973-92 1993-2014 2015-17 . SAIL was created in 1973 as a holding company . In 2017, India ranked as the 2nd . Mysore Iron and Steel Company to oversee most of India's iron and steel largest crude steel producer in the was set up in 1923 production world, leaving behind United States. According to the new Industrial . In 1989, SAIL acquired Vivesvata Iron and Steel . The total finished steel production of Policy Statement (1948), new Ltd TISCO in FY17(1) stood at 83.10 ventures were only undertaken by MT. the central government . In 1993, the government set plans in motion to partially privatise SAIL . During FY17, 8.24 MT of steel was Notes(1): TISCO - Tata Iron and Steel Company; IISC - Indian Iron and Steel Company; SAIL - Steel Authority of India Ltd; exported from India. 7 Steel For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org STRUCTURE OF THE STEEL SECTOR Steel Form Composition End use Finished Non-alloy Liquid steel Crude Steel Alloy Structural steel steel steel Low Ingots Flat Stainless carbon Construction steel steel Medium Silicon Semis Non-flat carbon Rail steel electrical steel High High carbon speed steel Source: Report on Indian steel industry by Competition Commission of India, Aranca Research 8 Steel For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org STEEL PRODUCTION IN INDIA HAS BEEN GROWING AT A FAST PACE . In FY17 (1), crude steel production in India was 72.35 MT, with the Total crude steel production (million tonnes) total crude steel production growing at a CAGR of 4.90 per cent over the last 5 years and reached 89.79 MT in FY16. 100 . The steel sector contribute over 2 per cent to the GDP of the nation 80 17.21 17.92 16.77 16.48 and provides 20 lakh jobs in the country 16.48 13.63 60 16.99 71.87 40 71.77 . During April-January 2017, crude steel production in India grew by 7 64.92 61.94 58.72 57.81 per cent YoY and stood at 39.98 MT. 20 53.68 . As of March 2017, the capacity utilisation of steel producers is set to 0 increase with strong export demand and signs of revival in domestic FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 sales. Companies like JSW and Essar Steel have experienced a Private Sector Public Sector sharp increase in steel manufacturing in the last 2 months . Steel manufacturing output of India is expected to increase from 88.4 Total finished steel production (million tonnes) million tonnes (MT) in 2017 to 128.6 MT by 2021, accelerating the country’s share of global steel production from 5.4 per cent in 2017 100 to 7.7 per cent by 2021. 12.83 80 13.44 12.97 12.82 12.52 10.74 60 13.25 79.34 78.00 74.24 40 68.86 63.22 63.18 20 55.37 0 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 Private Sector Public Sector Notes: FY - Indian Financial Year (April – March), MT - Million Tonnes, CAGR - Compound Annual Growth Rate; (1) - April to January 2017 , Figures mentioned are as per latest data available Source: Ministry of Steel Annual Report 9 Steel For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org SHARES IN PRODUCTION: SAIL AND TATA LEAD THE WAY 2 . Total proposed crude steel capacity during 2016-17 by the private India’s crude steel market share by production – FY171 investors is expected to rise by 76.8 MT . As of FY17(1), SAIL dominated India’s steel sector, with the company accounting for 11.47 per cent of country’s finished steel 14.80% SAIL production and 14.8 per cent of country’s crude steel production.. During FY17(1), Tata Steel accounted for 10.84 per cent of finished 11.72% TATA steel production and 11.72 per cent of the country’s crude steel RINIL production 4.04% . In January 2017, Indian government inaugurated Universal Rail Mill OTHERS 69.45% (URM) worth US$ 178.49 million at SAIL’s Bhilai steel plant. The production of the world’s longest single rail of 130 meters from the new URM also commenced in the new mill India’s finished steel market share by production – FY171 11.47% SAIL 10.84% TATA RINIL 3.05% OTHERS 53.96% Notes: RINL - Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited, (1) - April to December 2017; (2) – Provisional; Figures mentioned are as per latest data available Source: Ministry of Steel Annual Report 2016-17, Aranca Research 10 Steel For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org GROWTH IN MARKET VALUE OF THE INDIAN STEEL SECTOR HAS ALSO BEEN STRONG . The sector has benefitted from the hike in prices and production, Market value of the Indian steel sector (US$ billion) especially since the beginning of the millennium . Over 2007–16(E), the sector’s market value is estimated to have 120 CAGR 18.7% posted a strong CAGR of 18.7 per cent 100 95.30 80 87.9 81 60 57.8 40 46.8 43 36.5 20 30.1 0 FY07 FY08 FY09 FY10 FY11 FY14 FY15E FY16E Note: E - Estimates Source: Ministry of External Affairs, Aranca Research 11 Steel For updated information, please visit www.ibef.org DEMAND HAS OUTPACED SUPPLY OVER THE LAST FIVE YEARS . Total real consumption of steel is estimated at 61.54 MT in April- Real consumption of steel (in million tonnes) December 2017.. Driven by rising infrastructure development and growing demand for 90 CAGR 1.87% automotives, steel consumption is expected to reach 104 MT by 2017 80 .
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