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Policy Notes for the Trump Notes Administration the Washington Institute for Near East Policy ■ 2018 ■ Pn55
TRANSITION 2017 POLICYPOLICY NOTES FOR THE TRUMP NOTES ADMINISTRATION THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY ■ 2018 ■ PN55 TUNISIAN FOREIGN FIGHTERS IN IRAQ AND SYRIA AARON Y. ZELIN Tunisia should really open its embassy in Raqqa, not Damascus. That’s where its people are. —ABU KHALED, AN ISLAMIC STATE SPY1 THE PAST FEW YEARS have seen rising interest in foreign fighting as a general phenomenon and in fighters joining jihadist groups in particular. Tunisians figure disproportionately among the foreign jihadist cohort, yet their ubiquity is somewhat confounding. Why Tunisians? This study aims to bring clarity to this question by examining Tunisia’s foreign fighter networks mobilized to Syria and Iraq since 2011, when insurgencies shook those two countries amid the broader Arab Spring uprisings. ©2018 THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED. THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY ■ NO. 30 ■ JANUARY 2017 AARON Y. ZELIN Along with seeking to determine what motivated Evolution of Tunisian Participation these individuals, it endeavors to reconcile estimated in the Iraq Jihad numbers of Tunisians who actually traveled, who were killed in theater, and who returned home. The find- Although the involvement of Tunisians in foreign jihad ings are based on a wide range of sources in multiple campaigns predates the 2003 Iraq war, that conflict languages as well as data sets created by the author inspired a new generation of recruits whose effects since 2011. Another way of framing the discussion will lasted into the aftermath of the Tunisian revolution. center on Tunisians who participated in the jihad fol- These individuals fought in groups such as Abu Musab lowing the 2003 U.S. -
Deir-Ez-Zor Governorate - Gender-Based Violence Snapshot, January - June 2016
Deir-ez-Zor Governorate - Gender-Based Violence Snapshot, January - June 2016 Total Population: 0.94 mio No. of Sub-Districts: 14 Total Female Population: 0.46 mio No. of Communities: 133 Total Population > Age of 18: 0.41 mio No. of Hard-to-Reach Locations: 133 IDPs: 0.32 mio No. of Besieged Locations: 0 People in Need: 0.75 mio GOVERNORATE HIGHLIGHTS & CAPACITY BUILDING INITIATIVES: Ar-Raqqa P ! • Several GBV training sessions were provided in Basira, Kisreh and Sur ! sub-districts Kisreh Tabni Sur Deir-ez-Zor P Deir-ez-Zor Khasham Basira NUMBER OF ORGANIZATIONS BY ACTIVITY IN EACH SUB-DISTRICT Awareness Raising Dignity Kits Distribution Psychosocial Support IRAQIRAQ Skills Building & Livelihoods Specialised Response Muhasan Thiban P Governorate Capitals Governorate Boundaries Al Mayadin District Boundaries Sub-District Boundaries Hajin Ashara GBV Reach !1 -!>5 Women and Girls Safe Spaces (Jun 2016) 1 1 1 !1 - >5 Women and Girls Safe Spaces (Jan-May 2016) Jalaa ! Areas of Influence (AoI) Syria Susat Contested Areas Golan Heights Abu Kamal Government (SAA) ´ ISIS-affiliated groups A S H A R A D E I R - E Z - Z O R M U H A S A N Kurdish Forces NUMBER OF ORGANIZATIONS BY HUB IN EACH SUB -DISTRICT Non-state armed groups and ANF Amman Hub Damascus Hub Gaziantep Hub Unspecified Disclaimer: The boundaries and names shown and the designations used on this map do not imply official endorsment. This map is based on available data 0 12.5 25 50 km at sub-district level only. Information visualized on this map is not to be considered complete or geographically correct. -
Control of Terrain in Syria: February 9, 2015
Control of Terrain in Syria: February 9, 2015 Ain-Diwar Ayn al-Arab Bab al-Salama Qamishli Harem Jarablus Ras al-Ayn Yarubiya Salqin Azaz Tal Abyad Bab al-Hawa Manbij Darkush al-Bab Jisr ash-Shughour Aleppo Hasakah Idlib Kuweiris Airbase Kasab Saraqib ash-Shadadi Ariha Jabal al-Zawiyah Maskana ar-Raqqa Ma’arat al-Nu’man Latakia Khan Sheikhoun Mahardeh Morek Markadeh Hama Deir ez-Zour Tartous Homs S y r i a al-Mayadin Dabussiya Palmyra Tal Kalakh Jussiyeh Abu Kamal Zabadani Yabrud Key Regime Controlled Jdaidet-Yabus ISIS Controlled Damascus al-Tanf Quneitra Rebels Controlled as-Suwayda JN Controlled Deraa Nassib JN Stronghold Jizzah Kurdish Controlled Contested Areas ISW is watching Changes since last Control Map by ISW Syria Team YPG forces have taken Ayn al-Arab/Kobani from ISIS and swept outward to clear the surrounding countryside. The YPG continues to pursue ISIS as part of the “Euphrates Volcano Operations Room,” along with three Aleppo-based rebel groups. These groups claim to have seized over 100 villages from ISIS control. YPG and rebel forces seized the Qarah Qawzaq bridge on February 7 and appear to be mobilizing for an oensive against Manbij. ISIS forces are reportedly conducting “tactical withdrawals” from al-Bab, amidst rumors of ISIS attempts to hand over its bases to the Aleppo Sala Jihadist coalition Jabhat Ansar al-Din. ISW is placing watches on both Manbij and al-Bab as ISIS forces regroup and the Euphrates Volcano Operations Room continues to advance. Meanwhile, Hezbollah forces have mobilized in the vicinity of the besieged JN and rebel enclave of Zabadani, northwest of Damascus city near the Lebanese border, amidst an increased regime barrel bomb campaign against the town. -
Deir Ez Zor Governorate
“THIS IS MORE THAN VIOLENCE”: AN OVERVIEW OF CHILDREN’S PROTECTION NEEDS IN SYRIA Deir Ez Zor PROTECTION SEVERITY RANKING BY SUB-DISTRICT Severity ranking by sub-districts considered 3 indicators: i) % of IDPs in the population; Kisreh ii) conflict incidents weighted according to Tabni the extent of impact; and Sur iii) population in hard-to-reach communities. Deir-ez-Zor Khasham Basira Deir-ez-Zor Muhasan Thiban Sve anks Al Mayadin Hajin N oblem Ashara oblem Jalaa Moderat oblem Susat Abu Kamal oblem Svere oblem Cri�cal problem Catrastrophic problem POPULATION DATA Number of 0-4 Years 5-14 Years 15-17 Years Locations Total Children % of Children Total Population Communities 136 Overall Population 12% 27% 6% 400K 45% 895K PIN 12% 25% 8% 329K 45% 740K IDP 12% 27% 6% 68K 45% 152K Hard to Reach Locations 135 12% 27% 6% 285K 45% 638K Besieged Locations 0 Military Encircled Locations 1 12% 27% 6% 37K 45% 84K * es�mates to support humanitarian planning processes only SUMMARY OF FINDINGS 131 communities (96%) were assessed in Deir-ez-Zor issue of concern. Adolescent boys (70%) followed by adolescent governorate. girls (8%) were considered most affected child population groups. • In 7 per cent of assessed communities, respondents • In 100 percent of assessed communities respondents reported reported child labour preventing school attendance was that family violence was an issue of concern. Adolescent girls an issue of concern. Both adolescent boys in different age (100%) followed by both girls <12 years and boys <12 years (99%) groups 15-17 and 12-14 years were considered equally were considered the most affected child population groups. -
Syria SITREP Map 07
Syria Situation Report: February 7 - 21, 2018 1a-b February 10: Israel and Iran Initiate Largest Confrontation Over Syria Since 6 February 9 - 15: Turkey Creates Two Additional Observation Points in Idlib Start of the Syrian Civil War: Israel intercepted and destroyed an Iranian drone that violated Province: The Turkish Armed Forces (TSK) established two new observation points near its airspace over the Golan Heights. Israel later conducted airstrikes targeting the drone’s control the towns of Tal Tuqan and Surman in Eastern Idlib Province on February 9 and February vehicle at the T4 Airbase in Eastern Homs Province. Syrian Surface-to-Air Missile Systems (SAMS) 15, respectively. The TSK also reportedly scouted the Taftanaz Airbase north of Idlib City as engaged the returning aircraft and successfully shot down an Israeli F-16 over Northern Israel. The well as the Wadi Deif Military Base near Khan Sheikhoun in Southern Idlib Province. Turkey incident marked the first such combat loss for the Israeli Air Force since the 1982 Lebanon War. established a similar observation post at Al-Eis in Southern Aleppo Province on February 5. Israel in response conducted airstrikes targeting at least a dozen targets near Damascus including The Russian Armed Forces later deployed a contingent of military police to the regime-held at least four military positions operated by Iran in Syria. town of Hadher opposite Al-Eis in Southern Aleppo Province on February 14. 2 February 17 - 20: Pro-Regime Forces Set Qamishli 7 February 18: Ahrar Conditions for Major Offensive in Eastern a-Sham Merges with Key Ghouta: Pro-regime forces intensified a campaign 9 Islamist Group in Northern of airstrikes and artillery shelling targeting the 8 Syria: Salafi-Jihadist group Ahrar opposition-held Eastern Ghouta suburbs of Al-Hasakah a-Sham merged with Islamist group Damascus, killing at least 250 civilians. -
Syrian Army Shows Growing Signs of Strain | the Washington Institute
MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 1835 Syrian Army Shows Growing Signs of Strain by Jeffrey White Aug 1, 2011 ABOUT THE AUTHORS Jeffrey White Jeffrey White is an adjunct defense fellow at The Washington Institute, specializing in the military and security affairs of the Levant and Iran. Brief Analysis Although the Syrian army has shown signs of fraying for some time, the potential for more serious fissures is beginning to emerge. s Ramadan commences, the Syrian government is stepping up efforts to suppress unrest, with special A emphasis on the cities of Hama and Dayr al-Zawr. The regime has faced serious challenges in these areas and reportedly killed tens of people there during operations over the weekend and into today. These and other ongoing internal security efforts are placing serious strain on its forces, particularly the army. Regime Response T he government's response to the demonstrations since March has involved isolating areas of disturbance; arresting protestors, movement leaders, and uninvolved civilians; terrorizing the population with "disappearances" and shootings; conducting raids against centers of resistance; and, when these measures have proven insufficient, carrying out assaults with tanks, infantry fighting vehicles, and helicopters. At the core of these tactics has been a willingness to use major violence against largely peaceful and unarmed demonstrators. This weekend's operations in Hama and Dayr al-Zawr are typical of this pattern. Yet the demonstrations are widespread, persistent, and growing in size, forcing the regime to conduct a "360 degree defense." No area of the country seems secure except perhaps the Alawi heartland in the northwest. -
68%Educationfood As a Top 3 Priority
SYRIASYRIA 644 of524 1636 of 776assessed assessed ♍ ♍ communitiescommunities reported reported ☇☄ PriorityPriority Need:Need: FoodEducation Shelter - December - March 2018 2018 39%68%educationfood as a top 3 priority Kms ² 0 20 40 60 TURKEY AL-HASAKEH ALEPPO AR-RAQQA IDLEB HAMA DEIR-EZ-ZOR IRAQ HOMS Percent of assessed communities in sub-district reporting education as top 3 priority need RURAL 0% DAMASCUS0-25% 26-50% 51-75% 76%-100% Not assessed DAMASCUS Assessed communities by sub-district reporting education in top 3 priority needs GovernorateSub-District Education GovernorateSub-District Education GovernorateSub-District Education GovernorateSub-District Education Al-HasakehAl-Hasakeh 5/10 Aleppo Hadher 0/1 Deir-ez-Zor Basira 1/14 Idleb Armanaz 2/14 Al-HasakehAl-Malikeyyeh 19/32 Aleppo Haritan 8/8 Deir-ez-Zor Deir-ez-Zor 5/17 Idleb Badama 2/10 Al-HasakehAmuda 9/17 Aleppo Jandairis 18/44 Deir-ez-Zor Hajin 1/4 Idleb Bennsh 0/4 Al-HasakehAreesheh 1/12 Aleppo Jarablus 10/35 Deir-ez-Zor Khasham 3/8 Idleb Dana 0/20 Al-HasakehBe'r Al-Hulo Al-Wardeyyeh5/9 Aleppo Ma'btali 25/25 Deir-ez-Zor Kisreh 15/19 Idleb Darkosh 16/26 Al-HasakehDarbasiyah 3/12 Aleppo Mare' 1/6 Deir-ez-Zor Muhasan 1/7 Idleb Ehsem 0/19 Al-HasakehHole 0/1 Aleppo Menbij 11/35 Deir-ez-Zor Sur 0/15 Idleb Harim 1/5 Al-HasakehJawadiyah 9/15 Aleppo Nabul 1/1 Deir-ez-Zor Tabni 0/10 Idleb Heish 2/18 Al-HasakehMarkada 4/11 Aleppo Raju 10/50 Deir-ez-Zor Thiban 1/11 Idleb Idleb 5/15 Al-HasakehQahtaniyyeh 9/19 Aleppo Sarin 4/4 Hama As-Salamiyeh 0/1 Idleb Janudiyeh 5/14 Al-HasakehQuamishli -
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MENU Policy Analysis / PolicyWatch 3198 What Is Iran Up To in Deir al-Zour? by Oula A. Alrifai Oct 10, 2019 Also available in Arabic / Farsi ABOUT THE AUTHORS Oula A. Alrifai Oula A. Alrifai is a senior fellow in The Washington Institute's Geduld Program on Arab Politics. Brief Analysis Tehran and its proxies have been exerting hard and soft power in northeast Syria, combining military consolidation with economic, social, and religious outreach in order to cement their long-term influence. n September 30, Syria and Iraq reopened their main border crossing between al-Bukamal and al-Qaim, O which had been formally closed for five years. The circumstances surrounding the event were telling—the ceremony was delayed by a couple weeks because of unclaimed foreign airstrikes on Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps targets in east Syria following the Iranian attack against Saudi oil facilities earlier that month. What exactly have the IRGC and its local proxies been doing in Deir al-Zour province? And what does this activity tell us about Iran’s wider plans there? OPENING THE DOOR FOR IRAQI PROXIES T he border ceremony was led by Khadhim al-Ikabi, an Iraqi government representative, raising questions about whether the decision will help circumvent U.S. sanctions placed on Iran. Although Syrian state media celebrated the event as an opportunity to increase trade with Iraq, Tehran’s reaction indicated that the crossing will mainly serve Iranian military interests. According to officials and media in Iran, reopening the border is of “high strategic importance” in strengthening the Islamic Republic’s “trilateral coalition” with Baghdad and Damascus. -
Policy Notes March 2021
THE WASHINGTON INSTITUTE FOR NEAR EAST POLICY MARCH 2021 POLICY NOTES NO. 100 In the Service of Ideology: Iran’s Religious and Socioeconomic Activities in Syria Oula A. Alrifai “Syria is the 35th province and a strategic province for Iran...If the enemy attacks and aims to capture both Syria and Khuzestan our priority would be Syria. Because if we hold on to Syria, we would be able to retake Khuzestan; yet if Syria were lost, we would not be able to keep even Tehran.” — Mehdi Taeb, commander, Basij Resistance Force, 2013* Taeb, 2013 ran’s policy toward Syria is aimed at providing strategic depth for the Pictured are the Sayyeda Tehran regime. Since its inception in 1979, the regime has coopted local Zainab shrine in Damascus, Syrian Shia religious infrastructure while also building its own. Through youth scouts, and a pro-Iran I proxy actors from Lebanon and Iraq based mainly around the shrine of gathering, at which the banner Sayyeda Zainab on the outskirts of Damascus, the Iranian regime has reads, “Sayyed Commander Khamenei: You are the leader of the Arab world.” *Quoted in Ashfon Ostovar, Vanguard of the Imam: Religion, Politics, and Iran’s Revolutionary Guards (2016). Khuzestan, in southwestern Iran, is the site of a decades-long separatist movement. OULA A. ALRIFAI IRAN’S RELIGIOUS AND SOCIOECONOMIC ACTIVITIES IN SYRIA consolidated control over levers in various localities. against fellow Baathists in Damascus on November Beyond religious proselytization, these networks 13, 1970. At the time, Iran’s Shia clerics were in exile have provided education, healthcare, and social as Muhammad Reza Shah Pahlavi was still in control services, among other things. -
Monthly Every 2 Months Yearly
Syrian Arab Republic: Coverage of Main Multisectoral Assessments and Timeline (April 2015) Al-Malikeyyeh Al-Malikeyyeh Turkey Turkey Quamishli Quamishli Jarablus Jarablus Ras Al Ain Ras Al Ain Afrin Ain Al Arab Afrin Ain Al Arab Azaz Tell Abiad Azaz Tell Abiad Al-Hasakeh Al Bab Al-Hasakeh Al Bab Al-Hasakeh Al-Hasakeh Harim Harim Jebel Saman Ar-Raqqa Jebel Saman Ar-Raqqa Menbij Menbij Aleppo Aleppo Ar-Raqqa Idleb Ar-Raqqa Idleb Jisr-Ash-Shugur Jisr-Ash-Shugur As-Safira Ariha As-Safira Lattakia Ariha Ath-Thawrah Lattakia Ath-Thawrah Al-Haffa Idleb Al-Haffa Idleb Deir-ez-Zor Al Mara Deir-ez-Zor Al-Qardaha Al Mara Al-Qardaha As-Suqaylabiyah Deir-ez-Zor Lattakia As-Suqaylabiyah Deir-ez-Zor Lattakia Jablah Jablah Muhradah Muhradah As-Salamiyeh As-Salamiyeh Hama Hama Banyas Banyas Hama Sheikh Badr Masyaf Hama Sheikh Badr Masyaf Tartous Tartous Dreikish Al Mayadin Dreikish Ar-Rastan Al Mayadin Ar-Rastan Tartous TartousSafita Al Makhrim Safita Al Makhrim Tall Kalakh Tall Kalakh Homs Syrian Arab Republic Homs Syrian Arab Republic Al-Qusayr Al-Qusayr Abu Kamal Abu Kamal Tadmor Tadmor Homs Homs Lebanon Lebanon An Nabk An Nabk Yabroud Yabroud Al Qutayfah Al Qutayfah Az-Zabdani Az-Zabdani At Tall At Tall Rural Damascus Rural Damascus Rural Damascus Rural Damascus Damascus Damascus Darayya Darayya Duma Duma Qatana Qatana Rural Damascus Rural Damascus IraqIraq IraqIraq Quneitra As-Sanamayn Quneitra As-Sanamayn Dar'a Quneitra Dar'a Quneitra Shahba Shahba Al Fiq Izra Al Fiq Izra As-Sweida As-Sweida As-Sweida As-Sweida Dara Jordan AREA OF ORIGIN Dara Jordan -
Feasibility Study on the Rehabilitation/Modernization of Tartous, Homs and Al-Sharqia Section
Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) No. Syrian Arab Republic The Master Plan Study on the Development of Syrian Railways in the Syrian Arab Republic Volume II Feasibility Study on The Rehabilitation/Modernization of Tartous, Homs and Al-Sharqia Section Final Report (Summary) August, 2001 Japan Railway Technical Service (JARTS) SSF JR Yachiyo Engineering CO., LTD. (YEC) 01-120 (5/6) Exchange Rate of Currency 1 US$ = 46 Syrian Pounds 1 US$ = ¥115 1 Syrian Pound = ¥2.5 January, 2001 PREFACE In response to a request from the Government of the Syrian Arab Republic, the Government of Japan decided to conduct a Master Plan Study on the Development of Syrian Railways in the Syrian Arab Republic and entrusted the study to the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA). JICA selected and dispatched a study team headed by Dr. Sadaaki Kuroda of Japan Railway Technical Service, and consist of Japan Railway Technical Service and Yachiyo Engineering Co., Ltd. to the Syrian Arab Republic, 3 times between April 2000 and August 2001. In addition, JICA set up an advisory committee headed by Mr. Hiroshi Saeki, Director, Environmental Office, Railway Bureau, Ministry of Transport (present Ministry of Land, Infrastructure and Transport) between April 2000 and August 2001, which examined the study from specialist and technical points of view. The team held discussions with the officials concerned of the Government of the Syrian Arab Republic and conducted field surveys at the study area. Upon returning to Japan, the team conducted further studies and prepared this final report. I hope that this report will contribute to the promotion of this project and to the enhancement of friendly relationship between our two countries. -
COVID-19 Rapid Assessment Government of Syria Controlled Areas
Humanitarian Needs GOS 31 March, 2020 Assessment Programme COVID-19 Rapid Assessment Government of Syria Controlled Areas This report provides an overview of the response to the COVID-19 virus in GoS controlled areas. Data collection was undertaken at the sub-district level on Saturday 28 and Sunday 29 March 2020, via face-to-face key informant interviews. Mitigation Measures TURKEY No Yes Additional hand washing facilities in the camps / collective shelters 194 Menbij Nabul Al Bab Closure of public spaces Haritan 19 175 Rasm Haram El-Imam Jebel Saman Eastern Kwaires Dayr Hafir As-Safira ZarbahHadher Maskana Banan Communication on COVID-19 risk 6 188 Kasab Hajeb Saraqab Al-Khafsa Qastal MaafRabee'a Abul ThohurTall Ed-daman Maadan Kansaba Ziyara Ein El-Bayda Ma'arrat An Nu'man Khanaser Sabka Al-HaffaSalanfa Mansura Lattakia Kafr Nobol Sanjar Mzair'a Heish Tabni Disinfection campaign 68 126 Hanadi Shat-ha Madiq Castle FakhuraAl-Qardaha Tamanaah Khan Shaykun Hamra As-Suqaylabiyah IRAQ Jablah Kafr Zeita As-Saan Suran Qteilbiyyeh Tell Salhib Deir-ez-Zor Khasham Dalyeh Muhradah Anaza Jeb Ramleh Banyas Saboura Distribution of soap/disinfectant 189 5 Qadmous Hama Oqeirbat Rawda Masyaf As-Salamiyeh Muhasan Sheikh Badr Soda Khawabi Ein Halaqim Harbanifse Eastern Bari Sibbeh Oj Ar-Rastan Tartous Dreikish Talbiseh Al Mayadin Arwad HawashQabu Taldu Safita Ein Elniser Jeb Ej-Jarrah Kherbet Elma'aza Nasra Shin Al Makhrim Ashara Health screening for new IDPs 191 3 HameidiyyehSafsafa Homs SisniyyehTall KalakhHadideh Sokhneh Kherbet Tin Noor Jalaa Kareemeh