POST-ELECTION REPORT “Ontario Election” by knehcsg is licensed under 2.0 CC BY-SA
METHODOLOGY CONTACT INFORMATION The analysis in this report is based on results of a survey conducted on In Ottawa: June 28th-30th, and July 14-16th 2018 among a sample of 3005 adults, Quito Maggi, President 18 years of age or older, living in the electoral districts of Don Valley East, [email protected] Don Valley West, Etobicoke North, Mississauga-Erin Mills, Mississauga– In Toronto: Malton, Mississauga Centre, Ottawa South, Scarborough–Guildwood, Dr. Joseph Angolano, Vice President Scarborough Centre, and Scarborough Southwest, as well as 1846 Muslims [email protected] in the province. The survey was conducted using automated telephone interviews (Smart IVR). Respondents were interviews on landlines and Find us online at: cellular phones. The survey is intended to represent the voting population • www.mainstreetresearch.ca in these ten ridings. • twitter.com/MainStResearch • facebook.com/mainstreetresearch The margin of error for the poll is +/- 1.78% at the 95% confidence level. Margins of error are higher in each subsample. The Canadian Muslim Vote: Totals may not add up 100% due to rounding. Ali Manek, Executive Director, [email protected] ABOUT MAINSTREET Hussein Allidina, Board Member, With 20 years of political experience in all three levels of government, [email protected] President and CEO Quito Maggi is a respected commentator on international public affairs. Differentiated by its large sample sizes, Mainstreet Research has provided accurate snapshots of public opinion, having predicted a majority NDP government in Alberta, and was the only polling firm to correctly predict a Liberal majority government in the 2015 federal election. Mainstreet also accurately predicted the Miami & New York City Mayoral elections, and the Alabama special election in 2017. Mainstreet Research is a member of the World Association for Public Opinion Research and meets international and Canadian publication standards.
ABOUT THE CANADIAN-MUSLIM VOTE The Canadian-Muslim Vote is a national, non-profit, non-partisan organization with the aim of increasing the participation of Canadian Muslims within the democratic process.
THE CANADIAN MUSLIM VOTE: Post Election Report Did you vote in the recent 2018 Provincial Election between Doug Ford, Kathleen Wynne, Andrea Horwath and Mike Schreiner (Muslims in the ten ridings compared to all Muslims in Ontario)?
And, did you vote in the recent 2018 Provincial Election between Doug Ford, Kathleen Wynne, Andrea Horwath and Mike Schreiner (Muslims in the ten ridings compared to all Muslims in Ontario)?
Voter turnout in this election was 58%
1.00
0.75
69.4% Option 79% Yes
0.50 No
Value Not Sure Not Eligible
0.25 15.4% 8.8% 4.1% 3.9% 8.4% 11.1% 0.00
Muslim Voters in Muslim Voters the ten ridings in all Ontario* Category
*n=1846, survey conducted July 14-16th, 2018
THE CANADIAN MUSLIM VOTE: Post Election Report
16 Did you vote in the recent 2018 Provincial Election between Doug Ford, Kathleen Wynne, Andrea Horwath and Mike Schreiner uestion(Muslims 5 And, in the did you ten vote ridings)? in the recent 2018 Provincial Elec tion between Doug Ford, Kathleen Wynne, Andrea Horwath and Mike Schreiner?
8 % 4 %
9 %
79 %
Yes No Response Not Sure Not Eligible
Gender Age Total Male Female 18-34 35-49 50-64 65+ Yes 79% 80.3% 77.8% 58.4% 84.2% 88.5% 88.6% No 8.8% 8.2% 9.3% 13.2% 8.6% 6.7% 5.6% Not Sure 3.9% 3.3% 4.4% 5.5% 4.7% 2.1% 2.8% Not Eligible 8.4% 8.2% 8.5% 22.8% 2.5% 2.7% 3.1% Unweighted Frequency 3005 1259 1746 273 368 863 1501 Weighted Frequency 3005 1477 1528 844 757 825 580
THE CANADIAN MUSLIM VOTE: Post Election Report
10 Did you vote in the recent 2018 Provincial Election between Doug Ford, Kathleen Wynne, Andrea Horwath and Mike Schreiner?