The Effect of Conflict on Palestine, Israel, and Jordan Stock Markets
International Review of Economics and Finance 56 (2018) 258–266 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect International Review of Economics and Finance journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/iref The effect of conflict on Palestine, Israel, and Jordan stock markets Islam Hassouneh a,*, Anabelle Couleau b, Teresa Serra b, Iqbal Al-Sharif a a College of Administrative Science and Informatics, Palestine Polytechnic University (PPU), P.O. Box 198, Abu Ruman, Hebron, Palestine b Department of Agricultural and Consumer Economics, University of Illinois, 335 Mumford Hall, 1301 W Gregory Drive, Urbana, IL 61801, United States ARTICLE INFO ABSTRACT JEL classification: This research studies how the Israeli-Palestinian conflict affects Palestine, Israel and Jordan stock C32 markets, as well as the links between these markets on a daily basis. A violence index is built and G11 used as an exogenous variable in a VECM-MGARCH model. Our findings suggest the existence of G15 an equilibrium relationship between the three markets, which is essentially kept through Pales- tinian and Jordanian stock market adjustments and that does not respond to increases in violence. Keywords: An increase in violence has short-run direct negative impacts on the Palestinian stock exchange, Stock markets but does not directly influence the Israeli and Jordanian stock markets. Volatility VECM MGARCH model 1. Introduction Understanding the dynamic relationships between different stock markets sheds light on important financial market characteristics, and provides valuable information
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