AS Economics: Microeconomics Ability to Pay Where Taxes Should
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Estimating the Effects of Fiscal Policy in OECD Countries
Estimating the e®ects of ¯scal policy in OECD countries Roberto Perotti¤ This version: November 2004 Abstract This paper studies the e®ects of ¯scal policy on GDP, in°ation and interest rates in 5 OECD countries, using a structural Vector Autoregression approach. Its main results can be summarized as follows: 1) The e®ects of ¯scal policy on GDP tend to be small: government spending multipliers larger than 1 can be estimated only in the US in the pre-1980 period. 2) There is no evidence that tax cuts work faster or more e®ectively than spending increases. 3) The e®ects of government spending shocks and tax cuts on GDP and its components have become substantially weaker over time; in the post-1980 period these e®ects are mostly negative, particularly on private investment. 4) Only in the post-1980 period is there evidence of positive e®ects of government spending on long interest rates. In fact, when the real interest rate is held constant in the impulse responses, much of the decline in the response of GDP in the post-1980 period in the US and UK disappears. 5) Under plausible values of its price elasticity, government spending typically has small e®ects on in°ation. 6) Both the decline in the variance of the ¯scal shocks and the change in their transmission mechanism contribute to the decline in the variance of GDP after 1980. ¤IGIER - Universitµa Bocconi and Centre for Economic Policy Research. I thank Alberto Alesina, Olivier Blanchard, Fabio Canova, Zvi Eckstein, Jon Faust, Carlo Favero, Jordi Gal¶³, Daniel Gros, Bruce Hansen, Fumio Hayashi, Ilian Mihov, Chris Sims, Jim Stock and Mark Watson for helpful comments and suggestions. -
Principles of MICROECONOMICS an Open Text by Douglas Curtis and Ian Irvine
with Open Texts Principles of MICROECONOMICS an Open Text by Douglas Curtis and Ian Irvine VERSION 2017 – REVISION B ADAPTABLE | ACCESSIBLE | AFFORDABLE Creative Commons License (CC BY-NC-SA) advancing learning Champions of Access to Knowledge OPEN TEXT ONLINE ASSESSMENT All digital forms of access to our high- We have been developing superior on- quality open texts are entirely FREE! All line formative assessment for more than content is reviewed for excellence and is 15 years. Our questions are continuously wholly adaptable; custom editions are pro- adapted with the content and reviewed for duced by Lyryx for those adopting Lyryx as- quality and sound pedagogy. To enhance sessment. Access to the original source files learning, students receive immediate per- is also open to anyone! sonalized feedback. Student grade reports and performance statistics are also provided. SUPPORT INSTRUCTOR SUPPLEMENTS Access to our in-house support team is avail- Additional instructor resources are also able 7 days/week to provide prompt resolu- freely accessible. Product dependent, these tion to both student and instructor inquiries. supplements include: full sets of adaptable In addition, we work one-on-one with in- slides and lecture notes, solutions manuals, structors to provide a comprehensive sys- and multiple choice question banks with an tem, customized for their course. This can exam building tool. include adapting the text, managing multi- ple sections, and more! Contact Lyryx Today! [email protected] advancing learning Principles of Microeconomics an Open Text by Douglas Curtis and Ian Irvine Version 2017 — Revision B BE A CHAMPION OF OER! Contribute suggestions for improvements, new content, or errata: A new topic A new example An interesting new question Any other suggestions to improve the material Contact Lyryx at [email protected] with your ideas. -
Econ 230A: Public Economics Lecture: Tax Incidence 1
Econ 230A: Public Economics Lecture: Tax Incidence 1 Hilary Hoynes UC Davis, Winter 2013 1These lecture notes are partially based on lectures developed by Raj Chetty and Day Manoli. Many thanks to them for their generosity. Hilary Hoynes () Incidence UCDavis,Winter2013 1/61 Outline of Lecture 1 What is tax incidence? 2 Partial Equilibrium Incidence I Theory: Kotliko¤ and Summers, Handbook of Public Finance, Vol 2 I Empirical Applications: Doyle and Samphantharak (2008), Hastings and Washington 3 General Equilibrium Incidence – WILL NOT COVER 4 Capitalization & Asset Market Approach I Empirical Application: Linden and Rocko¤ (2008) 5 Mandated Bene…ts I Theory: Summers (1989) I Empirical Application: Gruber (1994) Hilary Hoynes () Incidence UCDavis,Winter2013 2/61 1. What is tax incidence? Tax incidence is the study of the e¤ects of tax policies on prices and the distribution of utilities/welfare. What happens to market prices when a tax is introduced or changed? Examples: I what happens when impose $1 per pack tax on cigarettes? Introduce an earnings subsidy (EITC)? provide a subsidy for food (food stamps)? I e¤ect on price –> distributional e¤ects on smokers, pro…ts of producers, shareholders, farmers,... This is positive analysis: typically the …rst step in policy evaluation; it is an input to later thinking about what policy maximizes social welfare. Empirical analysis is a big part of this literature because theory is itself largely inconclusive about magnitudes, although informative about signs and comparative statics. Hilary Hoynes () Incidence UCDavis,Winter2013 3/61 1. What is tax incidence? (cont) Tax incidence is not an accounting exercise but an analytical characterization of changes in economic equilibria when taxes are changed. -
Wartime Price Control and the Problem of Inflation
WARTIME PRICE CONTROL AND THE PROBLEM OF INFLATION J. M. CLARK* I. Inflation and the Normal Function of Price Everyone opposes "inflation"-or nearly everyone. And everyone agrees that war brings on inflation if it is allowed to run its natural course unresisted. But there is no real agreement as to just what "inflation" is. On the whole it seems best to consider that what we are talking about is harmful price increases of a widespread or general sort, and then go on to examine the things that do harm, and the kinds of harm they do; and forget this ill-defined and controversial term. So far as the term is used in this article, it will mean simply general price increases of harmful magnitude. In ordinary times, it is customary to say, price is the agency which brings supply and demand into equality with one another, allocates productive resources between different products, determines how much of each shall be produced and limits de- mand to the amount that is available. This is a shorthand form of statement, and in some respects a bit misleading. The chief misleading implication is that production responds only to price; and, if supply is short of demand, production will not increase except as price rises. It is true that in such a situation price will usually rise, and production will increase; but this leaves out the most essential part of the process: namely, an increase in the volume of buying orders. In a large-scale manufacturing industry, this alone will ordinarily result in increased output. -
What Equilibrium Concept for Public Goods Provision? I - the Convex Case
Walras-Lindahl-Wicksell: What equilibrium concept for public goods provision ? I - The convex case Monique Florenzano To cite this version: Monique Florenzano. Walras-Lindahl-Wicksell: What equilibrium concept for public goods provision ? I - The convex case. 2009. halshs-00367867 HAL Id: halshs-00367867 https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-00367867 Submitted on 12 Mar 2009 HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. Documents de Travail du Centre d’Economie de la Sorbonne Walras—Lindahl—Wicksell : What equilibrium concept for public goods provision ? I – The convex case Monique FLORENZANO 2009.09 Maison des Sciences Économiques, 106-112 boulevard de L'Hôpital, 75647 Paris Cedex 13 http://ces.univ-paris1.fr/cesdp/CES-docs.htm ISSN : 1955-611X WALRAS–LINDAHL–WICKSELL: WHAT EQUILIBRIUM CONCEPT FOR PUBLIC GOODS PROVISION? I - THE CONVEX CASE MONIQUE FLORENZANO Centre d’Economie de la Sorbonne, CNRS–Universit´eParis 1, monique.fl[email protected] Abstract. Despite the large number of its references, this paper is less a survey than a systematic exposition, in an unifying framework and assuming convexity as well on the consumption side as on the production side, of the different equilibrium concepts elaborated for studying provision of public goods. -
Public Goods in Everyday Life
Public Goods in Everyday Life By June Sekera A GDAE Teaching Module on Social and Environmental Issues in Economics Global Development And Environment Institute Tufts University Medford, MA 02155 http://ase.tufts.edu/gdae Copyright © June Sekera Reproduced by permission. Copyright release is hereby granted for instructors to copy this module for instructional purposes. Students may also download the reading directly from https://ase.tufts.edu/gdae Comments and feedback from course use are welcomed: Global Development And Environment Institute Tufts University Somerville, MA 02144 http://ase.tufts.edu/gdae E-mail: [email protected] PUBLIC GOODS IN EVERYDAY LIFE “The history of civilization is a history of public goods... The more complex the civilization the greater the number of public goods that needed to be provided. Ours is far and away the most complex civilization humanity has ever developed. So its need for public goods – and goods with public goods aspects, such as education and health – is extraordinarily large. The institutions that have historically provided public goods are states. But it is unclear whether today’s states can – or will be allowed to – provide the goods we now demand.”1 -Martin Wolf, Financial Times 1 Martin Wolf, “The World’s Hunger for Public Goods”, Financial Times, January 24, 2012. 2 PUBLIC GOODS IN EVERYDAY LIFE TABLE OF CONTENTS 1. INTRODUCTION .........................................................................................................4 1.1 TEACHING OBJECTIVES: ..................................................................................................................... -
Carbon Price Floor Consultation: the Government Response
Carbon price floor consultation: the Government response March 2011 Carbon price floor consultation: the Government response March 2011 Official versions of this document are printed on 100% recycled paper. When you have finished with it please recycle it again. If using an electronic version of the document, please consider the environment and only print the pages which you need and recycle them when you have finished. © Crown copyright 2011 You may re-use this information (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence. To view this licence, visit http://www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open- government-licence/ or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or e-mail: [email protected]. ISBN 978-1-84532-845-0 PU1145 Contents Page Foreword 3 Executive summary 5 Chapter 1 Government response to the consultation 7 Chapter 2 The carbon price floor 15 Annex A Contributors to the consultation 21 Annex B HMRC Tax Impact and Information Note 25 1 Foreword Budget 2011 re-affirmed our aim to be the greenest Government ever. The Coalition’s programme for Government set out our ambitious environmental goals: • introducing a floor price for carbon • increasing the proportion of tax revenues from environmental taxes • making the tax system more competitive, simpler, fairer and greener This consultation response demonstrates the significant progress the Coalition Government has already made towards these goals. As announced at Budget 2011, the UK will be the first country in the world to introduce a carbon price floor for the power sector. -
2B Tax Incidence : Partial Equilibrium the Most Simple Way of Analyzing
2b Tax Incidence : Partial Equilibrium The most simple way of analyzing tax incidence is to use demand curves and supply curves. This analysis is an example of a partial equilibrium model. Partial equilibrium models look at individual markets in isolation. They are appropriate when the effects of the tax change are | for the most part | confined to one market. They are inappropriate when there are changes in other markets. Why might partial equilibrium analysis be misleading in many cases? Recall that a demand curve for some commodity expresses the quantity consumers wish to buy of a good as a function of the price they pay for that good | holding constant a bunch of stuff. In particular, when drawing an ordinary [as opposed to a compensated] demand curve for socks, we are holding constant the prices buyers pay for all other goods (other than socks), and the incomes of all the buyers. Very often, a tax will change not only the price that consumers pay for socks, but the prices they pay for other goods. For example, an 8 percent sales tax should have some effects on the market for socks. But since a sales tax also applies to many more goods than socks, the sales tax will also probably affect the equilibrium price of shoes, pants, and many other commodities. All these changes will shift the demand curve for socks, if there are any important substitutabilities or complementarities in the demand for socks with the prices of other goods. So partial equilibrium analysis of the market for some commodity, or group of commodities, will be useful, and reasonably accurate, only when looking at at tax which applies only to that group of commodities. -
Supply and Demand Is Not a Neoclassical Concern
Munich Personal RePEc Archive Supply and Demand Is Not a Neoclassical Concern Lima, Gerson P. Macroambiente 3 March 2015 Online at https://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/63135/ MPRA Paper No. 63135, posted 21 Mar 2015 13:54 UTC Supply and Demand Is Not a Neoclassical Concern Gerson P. Lima1 The present treatise is an attempt to present a modern version of old doctrines with the aid of the new work, and with reference to the new problems, of our own age (Marshall, 1890, Preface to the First Edition). 1. Introduction Many people are convinced that the contemporaneous mainstream economics is not qualified to explaining what is going on, to tame financial markets, to avoid crises and to provide a concrete solution to the poor and deteriorating situation of a large portion of the world population. Many economists, students, newspapers and informed people are asking for and expecting a new economics, a real world economic science. “The Keynes- inspired building-blocks are there. But it is admittedly a long way to go before the whole construction is in place. But the sooner we are intellectually honest and ready to admit that modern neoclassical macroeconomics and its microfoundationalist programme has come to way’s end – the sooner we can redirect our aspirations to more fruitful endeavours” (Syll, 2014, p. 28). Accordingly, this paper demonstrates that current mainstream monetarist economics cannot be science and proposes new approaches to economic theory and econometric method that after replication and enhancement may be a starting point for the creation of the real world economic theory. -
Microeconomics III Oligopoly — Preface to Game Theory
Microeconomics III Oligopoly — prefacetogametheory (Mar 11, 2012) School of Economics The Interdisciplinary Center (IDC), Herzliya Oligopoly is a market in which only a few firms compete with one another, • and entry of new firmsisimpeded. The situation is known as the Cournot model after Antoine Augustin • Cournot, a French economist, philosopher and mathematician (1801-1877). In the basic example, a single good is produced by two firms (the industry • is a “duopoly”). Cournot’s oligopoly model (1838) — A single good is produced by two firms (the industry is a “duopoly”). — The cost for firm =1 2 for producing units of the good is given by (“unit cost” is constant equal to 0). — If the firms’ total output is = 1 + 2 then the market price is = − if and zero otherwise (linear inverse demand function). We ≥ also assume that . The inverse demand function P A P=A-Q A Q To find the Nash equilibria of the Cournot’s game, we can use the proce- dures based on the firms’ best response functions. But first we need the firms payoffs(profits): 1 = 1 11 − =( )1 11 − − =( 1 2)1 11 − − − =( 1 2 1)1 − − − and similarly, 2 =( 1 2 2)2 − − − Firm 1’s profit as a function of its output (given firm 2’s output) Profit 1 q'2 q2 q2 A c q A c q' Output 1 1 2 1 2 2 2 To find firm 1’s best response to any given output 2 of firm 2, we need to study firm 1’s profit as a function of its output 1 for given values of 2. -
Chapter 19 the Theory of Effective Demand
Chapter 19 The theory of effective demand In essence, the “Keynesian revolution” was a shift of emphasis from one type of short-run equilibrium to another type as providing the appropriate theory for actual unemployment situations. Edmund Malinvaud (1977), p. 29. In this and the following chapters the focus is shifted from long-run macro- economics to short-run macroeconomics. The long-run models concentrated on factors of importance for the economic evolution over a time horizon of at least 10-15 years. With such a horizon the supply side (think of capital accumulation, population growth, and technological progress) is the primary determinant of cumulative changes in output and consumption the trend. Mainstream macro- economists see the demand side and monetary factors as of key importance for the fluctuations of output and employment about the trend. In a long-run perspective these fluctuations are of only secondary quantitative importance. The preceding chapters have chieflyignored them. But within shorter horizons, fluctuations are the focal point and this brings the demand-side, monetary factors, market imper- fections, nominal rigidities, and expectation errors to the fore. The present and subsequent chapters deal with the role of these short- and medium-run factors for the failure of the laissez-faire market economy to ensure full employment and for the possibilities of active macro policies as a means to improve outcomes. This chapter introduces building blocks of Keynesian theory of the short run. By “Keynesian theory”we mean a macroeconomic framework that (a) aims at un- derstanding “what determines the actual employment of the available resources”,1 including understanding why mass unemployment arises from time to time, and (b) in this endeavor ascribes a primary role to aggregate demand. -
FACTORS of SUPPLY & DEMAND Price Quantity Supplied
FACTORS OF SUPPLY & DEMAND Imagine that a student signed up for a video streaming subscription, a service that costs $9.00 a month to enjoy binge- worthy television and movies at any time of day. A few months into her subscription, she receives a notification that the monthly price will be increasing to $12.00 a month, which is over a 30 percent price increase! The student can either continue with her subscription at the higher price of $12.00 per month or cancel the subscription and use the $12.00 elsewhere. What should the student do? Perhaps she’s willing to pay $12.00 or more in order to access and enjoy the shows and movies that the streaming service provides, but will all other customers react in the same way? It is likely that some customers of the streaming service will cancel their subscription as a result of the increased price, while others are able and willing to pay the higher rate. The relationship between the price of goods or services and the quantity of goods or services purchased is the focus of today’s module. This module will explore the market forces that influence the price of raw, agricultural commodities. To understand what influences the price of commodities, it’s essential to understand a foundational principle of economics, the law of supply and demand. Understand the law of supply and demand. Supply is the quantity of a product that a seller is willing to sell at a given price. The law of supply states that, all else equal, an increase in price results in an increase in the quantity supplied.