<<

STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH Olivier Raimond, Tuan-Minh Nguyen

To cite this version:

Olivier Raimond, Tuan-Minh Nguyen. STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH. 2018. ￿hal-01894369￿

HAL Id: hal-01894369 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-01894369 Preprint submitted on 12 Oct 2018

HAL is a multi-disciplinary open access L’archive ouverte pluridisciplinaire HAL, est archive for the deposit and dissemination of sci- destinée au dépôt et à la diffusion de documents entific research documents, whether they are pub- scientifiques de niveau recherche, publiés ou non, lished or not. The documents may come from émanant des établissements d’enseignement et de teaching and research institutions in France or recherche français ou étrangers, des laboratoires abroad, or from public or private research centers. publics ou privés. STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH

OLIVIER RAIMOND AND TUAN-MINH NGUYEN

Abstract. The aim of our work is to study vertex-reinforced jump processes with super-linear weight function w(t) = tα, for some α > 1. On any complete graph G = (V, E), we prove that there is one vertex v ∈ V such that the total time spent at v almost surely tends to infinity while the total time spent at the remaining vertices is bounded.

Contents

1. Introduction 1 2. Preliminary notations and remarks 3 3. Dynamics of the occupation measure process 4 4. Convergence to equilibria 10 5. Non convergence to unstable equilibria 14 5.1. Attraction towards the unstable manifold. 14 5.2. Avoiding repulsive traps 16 5.3. Application to strongly VRJP on complete graphs 19 5.4. A theorem on martingales 21 Acknowledgement 24 References 24

1. Introduction

Let G =(V, E) be a finite connected, undirected graph without loops, where V = {1, 2, ..., d} and E respectively stand for the set of vertices and the set of edges. We consider a continuous time jump process X on the vertices of G such that the law of X satisfies the following condition: (v) i. at time t ≤ 0, the at each vertex v ∈ V has a positive initial value ℓ0 ,

Date: October 12, 2018. 2010 Mathematics Subject Classification. 60J55, 60J75. Key words and phrases. Vertex-reinforced jump processes; nonlinear reinforcement; random walks with mem- ory; stochastic approximation; non convergence to unstable equilibriums. 1 2 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN

ii. at time t > 0, given the natural filtration Ft generated by {Xs,s ≤ t}, the

that there is a jump from Xt during (t, t + h] to a neighbour v of Xt (i.e. {v,Xt} ∈ E) is given by t (v) w ℓ0 + 1{Xs=v}ds · h + o(h)  Z0  as h → 0, where w : [0, ∞) → (0, ∞) is a weight function. (v) t For each vertex v ∈ V , we denote by L(v, t) = ℓ0 + 0 1{Xs=v}ds the local time at v up to time t and let R L(1, t) L(2, t) L(d, t) Z = , , ..., t ℓ + t ℓ + t ℓ + t  0 0 0  (1) (2) (d) stand for the (normalized) occupation measure on V at time t, where ℓ0 = ℓ0 + ℓ0 + ··· + ℓ0 . In our work, we consider the weight function w(t) = tα, for some α > 0. The jump process X is called strongly vertex-reinforced if α > 1, weakly vertex-reinforced if α < 1 or linearly vertex-reinforced if α = 1. The model of discrete time edge-reinforced random walks (ERRW) was first studied by Cop- persmith and Diaconis in their unpublished manuscripts [8] and later the model of discrete time vertex-reinforced random walks (VRRW) was introduced by Pemantle in [19] and [20]. Several remarkable results about localization of ERRW and VRRW were obtained in [24], [23], [25], [5] and [7]. Following the idea about discrete time reinforced random walks, Wendelin Werner conceived a model in continuous time so-called vertex reinforced jump processes (VRJP) whose linear case was first investigated by Davis and Volkov in [9] and [10]. In particular, these au- thors showed in [10] that linearly VRJP on any finite graph is recurrent, i.e. all local times are almost surely unbounded and the normalized occupation measure process converges almost surely to an element in the interior of the (d − 1) dimensional standard unit simplex as time goes to infinity. In [16], Sabot and Tarr`es also obtained the limiting distribution of the centred local times process for linearly VRJP on any finite graph G =(V, E) with d vertices and showed that linearly VRJP is actually a mixture of time-changed Markov jump processes. The relation between VRJP, ERRW and random walks in random environment as well as its applications have been well studied in recent years (see, e.g. [11], [16], [17], [26], [15], [18], and [14]). The main aim of our paper is to prove that strongly VRJP on a complete graph G = (V, E) almost surely have an infinite local time at some vertex v, while the local times at the remaining vertices remain bounded. The main technique of our proofs is based on the method of stochastic approximation (see, e.g. [6, 1, 2, 3]). We organize the present paper as follows. In Section 2, we give some preliminary notations as well as some results of being used through- out the paper. We show in Section 3 that the occupation measure process of strongly VRJP on a complete graph is an asymptotic pseudo-trajectory of a flow generated by a vector field. STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 3

We then prove the convergence towards stable equilibria in Section 4 and the non convergence towards unstable equilibria in Section 5, which yields our above-mentioned main result.

2. Preliminary notations and remarks

Throughout this paper, we denote by ∆ and T ∆ respectively the (d − 1) dimensional standard unit simplex in Rd and its tangent space, which are defined by

d ∆= {z =(z1, z2, ..., zd) ∈ R : z1 + z2 + ··· + zd =1, zj ≥ 0, j =1, 2, ··· ,d},

d T ∆= {z =(z1, z2, ..., zd) ∈ R : z1 + z2 + ··· + zd =0}.

Also, let k·k and h·, ·i denote the Euclidean norm and the Euclidean scalar product in Rd respectively.

For a c`adl`ag process Y = (Yt)t≥0, we denote by Yt− = lims→t− Yt and ∆Yt = Yt − Yt− re- spectively the left limit and the size of the jump of Y at time t. Let [Y ] be as usual the of the process Y . Note that, for a c`adl`ag finite variation process Y , we have 2 [Y ]t = 0

d t d i i f(At) − f(A0)= ∂if(Au−)dAu + ∆f(Au) − ∂if(Au−)∆Au . i=1 0 0

2. Let M = (Mt)t≥0 be a c`adl`ag locally square-integrable martingale with finite variation in

R. A well-known result is that if E[[M]t] < ∞ for all t, then M is a true martingale. The change of variable formula implies that

t 2 2 Mt = M0 + 2Ms−dMs + [M]t. Z0 Let hMi denote the angle bracket of M, i.e. the unique predictable non-decreasing process such that M 2 −hMi is a . Note that [M] −hMi is also a local martingale. Let H be a locally bounded and denote by H ·M the c`adl`ag locally square- t integrable martingale with finite variation defined by (H · M)t = 0 HsdMs. Recall the following rules: R t t 2 2 hH · Mit = Hs dhMis and [H · M]t = Hs d[M]s. Z0 Z0 Recall also that H·M is a square integrable martingale if and only if for all t> 0, E[hH·Mit] < ∞. 4 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN

3. (Integration by part formula) Let X =(X)t≥0 and Y =(Y )t≥0 be two c`adl`ag finite variation processes in R. Then for t ≥ s ≥ 0,

t t XtYt − XsYs = Xu−dYu + Yu−dXu + [X,Y ]t − [X,Y ]s, Zs Zs where we recall that [X,Y ] is the covariation of X and Y , computed as [X,Y ]t = 0 1 and t ≥ s ≥ 0, p p E[ sup |X |p F ] ≤ E[|X |p F ]. u s p − 1 t s s≤u≤t  

5. (Burkholder-Davis-Gundy Inequality) Let X = (X)t≥0 be a c`adl`ag martingale adapted to a filtration (Ft)t≥0. For each 1 ≤ p < ∞ there exist positive constants cp and Cp depending on only p such that

E p/2 E p E p/2 cp [X]t Fs ≤ sup |Xu| Fs ≤ Cp [X]t Fs . s≤u≤t  h i h i

3. Dynamics of the occupation measure process

Using the method of stochastic approximation, we show in this section the connection between strongly VRJP and an asymptotic pseudo-trajectory of a vector field in order to study the dynamics and limiting behaviour of the model.

For t> 0 which is not a jumping time of Xt, we have

dZt 1 (1) = (−Zt + I[Xt]) , dt ℓ0 + t where for each matrix M, M[j] is the j-th row vector of M and I is as usual the identity matrix.

Observe that the process Z = (Zt)t≥0 always takes values in the interior of the standard unit simplex ∆.

For fixed t ≥ 0, let At be the d-dimensional infinitesimal generator matrix such that the (i, j) element is defined by (j) 1(i,j)∈Ewt , i =6 j; Ai,j := (k) t − wt , i = j,  k∈V,(k,i)∈E X (j)  α (1) (2) (d) where we have set wt = w(L(j, t)) = L(j, t) for each j ∈ V . Also, let wt = wt +wt +···+wt . Note that (1) (2) (d) wt wt wt πt := , , ··· , wt wt wt ! STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 5 is the unique invariant probability measure of At in the sense that πtAt = 0. Since πt can be rewritten as a function of Zt, we will also use the notation πt = π(Zt), where we define the function π : ∆ → ∆, such that for each z =(z1, z2, ..., zd) ∈ ∆, zα zα π(z)= 1 , ··· , d . zα + ··· + zα zα + ··· + zα  1 d 1 d  Now we can rewrite the equation (1) as

dZt 1 1 (2) = (−Zt + πt)+ (I[Xt] − πt). dt ℓ0 + t ℓ0 + t u ˜ u Changing variable ℓ0 +t = e and denoting Zu = Ze −ℓ0 for u> 0, we can transform the equation (2) as

dZ˜u = −Z˜ + π(Z˜ )+(I[X u ] − π u ). du u u e −ℓ0 e −ℓ0 Taking integral of both sides, we obtain that

t+s t+s e −ℓ0 I[Xu] − πu (3) Z˜t+s − Z˜t = −Z˜u + π(Z˜u) du + du. t et−ℓ ℓ0 + u Z   Z 0 Let us fix a function f : {1,...,d} → R. For t > 0, define Atf : {1,...,d} → R by i,j f Atf(i)= j At f(j) and define the process M by t P f Mt = f(Xt) − f(X0) − Asf(Xs)ds. Z0 f f 2 Lemma 3.1. The process M is a martingale, with [M ]t = 0 0, we have

E[f(Xt+h) − f(Xt)|Ft]= [f(j) − f(Xt)]P[Xt+h = j|Ft] j∼X Xt (j) = [f(j) − f(Xt)]wt .h + o(h) jX∼Xt = Atf(Xt).h + o(h).

Let us fix 0

n E E E [f(Xt) − f(Xs)| Fs]= (f(Xtj ) − f(Xtj−1 ) | Ftj−1 ) Fs " # j=1 X n E t − s = Atj−1 f(Xtj−1 )(tj − tj−1)+ n · o Fs . " n # j=1   X

6 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN

Since the left hand side is independent on n, using Lebesgue’s dominated convergence theorem and taking the limit of the random sum under the expectation sign on the right hand side, we obtain that t E [f(Xt) − f(Xs)| Fs)= E Auf(Xu)du | Fs . Zs  E f Thus, [Mt | Fs]= Ms.

To prove (4), we calculate (to simplify the calculation, we will suppose that f(X0) = 0).

t t t 2 f 2 2 f (Mt ) = f (Xt) − 2 Mt + Asf(Xs)ds Asf(Xs)ds + Asf(Xs)ds  Z0  Z0 Z0  t t t 2 f 2 2 f = Mt + Asf (Xs)ds − 2Mt Asf(Xs)ds − Asf(Xs)ds Z0 Z0 Z0  t 2 = martingale + Asf (Xs)ds Z0 t t s f − 2 Ms Asf(Xs)ds − 2 Asf(Xs) Auf(Xu)du ds Z0 Z0 Z0  t t 2 = martingale + Asf (Xs)ds − 2 f(Xs)Asf(Xs)ds. Z0 Z0 The lemma is proved. 

Let M be the process in Rd defined by t Mt = I[Xt] − As[Xs]ds for t ≥ 0. Z0 j j δj Then for each j, M is a martingale since M = M , with δj defined by δj(i) = 1 is i = j and

δj(i) = 0 is i =6 j. We also have that

t j j (5) hM it = Λsds, Z0 with Λj defined by

(j) wt if Xt ∼ j, (6) Λj = w(k) if X = j, t  k∼Xt t t   P0 otherwise. Lemma 3.2. Assume that G = (V, E) is a complete graph and w(t) = tα with α > 0. Then almost surely ct−ℓ0 I[X ] − π (7) lim sup s s ds =0 t→∞ ℓ + s 1≤c≤C Zt−ℓ0 0 for each C > 1.

STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 7

Proof. Note that, for t ≥ 0, 1 πt − I[Xt]= At[Xt]. wt Using the integration by part formula, we obtain the following identity for each c ∈ [1,C]

ct−ℓ0 π − I[X ] ct−ℓ0 ds s s ds = A [X ] ℓ + s s s (ℓ + s)w Zt−ℓ0 0 Zt−ℓ0 0 s I[X ] I[X ] = ct−ℓ0 − t−ℓ0 ctw tw  ct−ℓ0 t−ℓ0  ct−ℓ0 d 1 − I[X ] ds s ds (s + ℓ )w Zt−ℓ0  0 s  ct−ℓ0 dM − s . (s + ℓ )w Zt−ℓ0 0 s α Observe that for some positive constant k, ws ≥ ks (which is easy to prove, using the fact

that L(1, t)+ L(2, t)+ ··· + L(d, t)= ℓ0 + t). We now estimate the terms in the right hand side of the above-mentioned identity. In the following, the positive constant k may change from lines

to lines and only depends on C and ℓ0. First, I[X ] I[X ] (8) ct−ℓ0 − t−ℓ0 ≤ k/tα+1. ctw tw ct−ℓ0 t−ℓ0

Second, for s ∈ [t, ct] which is not a jump time, we have d 1 1 1 dw = − + s . ds (ℓ + s)w (ℓ + s)2w (ℓ + s)w2 ds  0 s   0 s 0 s 

dws α−1 When s is not a jump time, it is easy to check that ds ≤ α(ℓ0 + s) . Therefore, for s ∈ [t, ct] which is not a jump time,

d 1 ≤ k/s2+α ds (ℓ + s)w  0 s 

and thus,

ct−ℓ0 d 1 (9) I[X ] ds ≤ k/tα+1. s ds (ℓ + s)w Zt−ℓ0  0 s 

And at last (using first Doob’s inequality), for i, j ∈{1, 2, ··· ,d}, 2 2 ct−ℓ0 dM i Ct−ℓ0 dM i E sup s ≤ 4 E s . (ℓ + s)w (ℓ + s)w "1≤c≤C Zt−−ℓ0 0 s # "Zt−ℓ0 0 s  #

i 2 Observe that in our setting, for i ∈ {1, 2, ··· ,d}, (∆Is) = 1 if s is a jump time between i and 1 2 d another vertex. Thus [M ]t + [M ]t + ··· + [M ]t is just twice the number of jumps up to time t 8 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN

of X. So, for i, j ∈{1, 2, ··· ,d},

2 Ct−ℓ0 dM i Ct−ℓ0 d[M i] E s = E s (ℓ + s)w (ℓ + s)2w2 "Zt−ℓ0 0 s  # Zt−ℓ0 0 s  k ≤ E [M i] − [M i] t2(α+1) Ct−ℓ0 t−ℓ0 k   ≤ (Ct)α(C − 1)t, t2(α+1)

where in the last inequality, we have used the fact that the number of jumps in [t − ℓ0, Ct − ℓ0] is dominated by the number of jumps of a Poisson process with constant intensity (Ct)α in

[t − ℓ0, Ct − ℓ0]. Therefore, 2 ct−ℓ0 dM k (10) E sup s ≤ . (ℓ + s)w tα+1 "1≤c≤C Zt−ℓ0 0 s #

From (8), (9), (10) and by using Markov’s inequality, we have ct−ℓ0 I[X ] − π 1 k (11) P sup s s ds ≥ ≤ ℓ + s tγ tα+1−2γ 1≤c≤C Zt−ℓ0 0 

for every 0 <γ ≤ α+1 . Using the Borel-Cantelli lemma, we thus obtain 2 n cC −ℓ0 I[X ] − π lim sup sup s s ds =0. n ℓ + s n→∞ 1≤c≤C ZC −ℓ0 0

n n+1 Moreover, for C ≤ t ≤ C , we have n+1 ct−ℓ0 I[X ] − π t−ℓ0 I[X ] − π min(ct,C )−ℓ0 I[X ] − π sup s s ds ≤ s s ds + sup s s ds n n 1≤c≤C t−ℓ0 ℓ0 + s C −ℓ0 ℓ0 + s 1≤c≤C C −ℓ0 ℓ0 + s Z Z Z n+1 max(ct,C )−ℓ 0 I[X ] − π + sup s s ds n+1 ℓ + s 1≤c≤C ZC −ℓ0 0 n cC −ℓ0 I[Xs] − πs ≤ 2 sup ds n ℓ + s 1≤c≤C ZC −ℓ0 0 n+1 cC −ℓ0 I[X ] − π + sup s s ds . n+1 1≤c≤C C −ℓ0 ℓ0 + s Z

This inequality immediately implies (7). 

From now on, we always assume that w(t) = tα, α > 1 and G = (V, E) is a complete graph. Let us define the vector field F : ∆ → T ∆ such that F (z)= −z + π(z) for each z ∈ ∆. We also

remark that for each z =(z1, z2, ··· , zd) ∈ ∆, zα zα (12) F (z)= −z + 1 , ··· , −z + d . 1 zα + ··· + zα d zα + ··· + zα  1 d 1 d  STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 9

A continuous map Φ : R+ × ∆ → ∆ is called a semi-flow if Φ(0, ·) : ∆ → ∆ is the identity

map and Φ has the semi-group property, i.e. Φ(t + s, ·)=Φ(t, ·) ◦ Φ(s, ·) for all s, t ∈ R+. 0 0 Now for each z ∈ ∆, let Φt(z ) be the solution of the differential equation d z(t)= F (z(t)), t> 0; (13) dt  0 z(0) = z . 0 R Note that F is Lipschitz. Thus the solution Φt(z ) can be extended for all t ∈ + and Φ : R+ × ∆ → ∆ defined by Φ(t, z) = Φt(z) is a semi-flow.

Theorem 3.3. Z˜ is an asymptotic pseudo-trajectory of the semi-flow Φ, i.e. for all T > 0,

(14) lim sup Z˜t+s − Φs(Z˜t) =0. a.s. t→∞ 0≤s≤T

˜ α+1 Furthermore, Z is an - 2 -asymptotic pseudo-trajectory, i.e. for 1 α +1 (15) lim sup log sup kZ˜ − Φ (Z˜ )k ≤ − a.s. t t+s s t 2 t→∞ 0≤s≤T  Proof. From the definition of Φ, we have s Φs(Z˜t) − Z˜t = F (Φu(Z˜t))du. Z0 Moreover, from (3)

t+s s e −ℓ0 I[Xu] − πu Z˜t+s − Z˜t = F (Z˜t+u)du + du. t ℓ + u Z0 Ze −ℓ0 0 Subtracting both sides of the two above identities, we obtain that

t+s s e −ℓ0 I[Xu] − πu Z˜t+s − Φs(Z˜t)= F (Z˜t+u) − F (Φu(Z˜t)) du + du. 0 et−ℓ ℓ0 + u Z   Z 0 Observe that F is Lipschitz, hence

s+t s e −ℓ0 I[Xu] − πu kZ˜t+s − Φs(Z˜t)k ≤ K kZ˜t+u − Φu(Z˜t)kdu + du , t 0 e −ℓ0 ℓ0 + u Z Z

where K is the Lipschitz constant of F . Using Gr¨onwall’s inequality, we thus have

s+t e −ℓ0 I[Xu] − πu Ks (16) kZ˜t+s − Φs(Z˜t)k ≤ sup du e . t 0≤s≤T e −ℓ0 ℓ0 + u Z

On the other hand, from Lemma 3.2, we have

s+t e −ℓ0 I[X ] − π (17) lim sup u u du =0. a.s. t→∞ t 0≤s≤T e −ℓ0 ℓ0 + u Z

The inequality (16) and (17) immediately imply (14).

10 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN

We now prove the second part of the theorem. From (11), we have

s+t e I[X ] − π P sup u u du ≥ e−γt ≤ ke−(α+1−2γ)t, 0≤s≤T et ℓ0 + u ! Z for every 0 <γ ≤ α+1 . By Borel-Cantelli lemma, it implies that 2 s+nT 1 e I[X ] − π lim sup log sup u u du ≤ −γ a.s. n→∞ nT 0≤s≤T enT ℓ0 + u ! Z and therefore that (taking γ → α+1 ) 2 s+nT 1 e I[X ] − π α +1 lim sup log sup u u du ≤ − a.s. n→∞ nT 0≤s≤T enT ℓ0 + u ! 2 Z

Note that for nT ≤ t ≤ (n + 1)T and 0 ≤ s ≤ T ,

s+t s+nT e I[X ] − π e I[X ] − π u u du ≤ 2 sup u u du et ℓ0 + u 0≤s≤T enT ℓ0 + u Z Z s+(n+1)T e I[X ] − π + sup u u du . 0≤s≤T e(n+1)T ℓ0 + u Z

Therefore,

s+t 1 e I[X ] − π α +1 (18) lim sup log sup u u du ≤ − a.s. t→∞ t 0≤s≤T et ℓ0 + u ! 2 Z

Finally, (15) is obtained from (16) and (18). 

4. Convergence to equilibria

Let C = {z ∈ ∆ : F (z)=0} stand for the equilibria set of the vector field F defined in (12). We say an equilibrium z ∈ C is (linearly) stable if all the eigenvalues of DF (z), the Jacobian matrix of F at z, have negative real parts. If there is one of its eigenvalues having a positive real part, then it is called (linearly) unstable. Observe that C = S ∪ U, where we define

S = {e1 = (1, 0, 0, ··· , 0), e2 = (0, 1, 0, ··· , 0), ··· , ed = (0, 0, ··· , 0, 1)} as the set of all stable equilibria and

U = {zj1,j2,··· ,jk :1 ≤ j1 < j2 < ··· < jk ≤ d,k =2, ··· ,d}

as the set of all unstable equilibria, where zj1,j2,··· ,jk stands for the point z = (z1, ··· , zd) ∈ ∆ 1 such that zj1 = zj2 = ··· = zjk = k and all the remaining coordinates are equal to 0. STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 11

Indeed, for each z ∈ S, we have that DF (z)= −I. Moreover, 1 1 1 α DF , , ··· , =(α − 1)I − N, d d d d   where N is the matrix such that Nn,m = 1 for all n, m and DF (zj1,j2,··· ,jk )=(Dm,n) where

α (α − 1) − k if m = n = ji, i =1, ··· ,k;  −1 if m = n, m =6 ji, i =1, ··· ,k; D = m,n   0 if m =6 n, m or n =6 ji, i =1, ··· ,k;  α − k otherwise.   Therefore, we can easily compute that for each z ∈ U, the eigenvalues of DF (z) are −1 and α − 1, having respectively multiplicity d − k + 1 and k − 1.

Theorem 4.1. Zt converges almost surely to a point in C as t →∞.

Proof. Consider the map H : ∆ → R such that

α α α H(z)= z1 + z2 + ··· + zn . Note that H is a strict Lyapunov function of F , i.e h∇H(z), F (z)i is positive for all z ∈ ∆ \ C. Indeed, we have

d α α−1 zi h∇H(z), F (z)i = αz −zi + i d α i=1 j=1 zj ! X d dPz2α−1 = α − zα + i=1 i i d α i=1 i=1 zi ! X P 2 α d P d d = − zα + z2α−1 z H(z)  i i i i=1 ! i=1 i=1 X X X α  2  = z z zα−1 − zα−1 . H(z) i j i j 1≤i

For z ∈ ∆ \ C, there exist distinct indexes j1, j2 ∈{1, 2, ..., d} such that zj1 , zj2 are positive and zj1 =6 zj2 . Therefore, α h∇H(z), F (z)i ≥ z z zα−1 − zα−1 2 > 0. H(z) j1 j2 j1 j2 Let  L(Z)= Z([t, ∞)) t≥0 \ be limit set of Z. Since Z˜ is an asymptotic pseudo-trajectory of Φ, by Theorem 5.7 and Propo- sition 6.4 in [3], we can conclude that L(Z) = L(Z˜) is a connected subset of C. Moreover, C 12 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN is actually an isolated set and this fact implies the almost sure convergence of Zt toward an equilibrium z ∈ C as t →∞. 

∗ Lemma 4.2. Let z be a stable equilibrium. Then for each small ǫ> 0 there exists δǫ > 0 such ∗ ∗ ∗ that z attracts exponentially Bδǫ (z ) := {z ∈ ∆ : kz − z k < δǫ} at rate −1+ ǫ, i.e.

∗ −(1−ǫ)s ∗ kΦs(z) − z k ≤ e kz − z k

∗ for all s> 0 and z ∈ Bδǫ (z ).

Proof. We observe that F (z)=(z − z∗).DF (z∗)T + R(z − z∗), where we have set 1 R(y)= y. DF (ty + z∗)T dt − DF (z∗)T . Z0  Note that kR(y)k ≤ kkyk1+β, where β = min(1,α−1) and k is some positive constant. Therefore, we can transform the differential equation (13) to the following integral form t ∗ T ∗ T z(t) − z∗ =(z(0) − z∗)etDF (z ) + R(z(s) − z∗)e(t−s)DF (z ) ds. Z0 Note that for z∗ ∈ S, we have DF (z∗)= −I. Therefore, t kz(t) − z∗k ≤ e−tkz(0) − z∗k + e−(t−s)kR(z(s) − z∗)kds. Z0 ∗ ǫ 1/β For each small ǫ> 0, if kz(s) − z k ≤ k for all 0 ≤ s ≤ t, then  t etkz(t) − z∗k≤kz(0) − z∗k + ǫ eskz(s) − z∗kds. Z0 ∗ ǫ 1/β Thus, by Gronwall inequality, if kz(s) − z k ≤ k for all 0 ≤ s ≤ t, then kz(t) − z∗k≤kz(0) − z∗ke−(1−ǫ)t.

∗ ǫ 1/β ∗ ǫ 1/β But this also implies that if kz(0) − z k ≤ k then kz(t) − z k ≤ k for all t ≥ 0. Hence, ∗ ǫ 1/β for all t ≥ 0 and any small ǫ> 0 and z(0) such  that kz(0) − z k ≤ k  , we have kz(t) − z∗k ≤ e−(1−ǫ)tkz(0) − z∗k.  

∗ ∗ Lemma 4.3. Let z = ej be a stable equilibrium, with j ∈ V . Then, a.s. on the event {Zt → z }, for all ǫ> 0, L(i, t)= o(tǫ). Xi6=j STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 13

Proof. Let us fix ǫ> 0 and let δǫ be the constant defined in Lemma 4.2. Note that on the event ∗ ∗ ˜ Γ(z ) := {Zt → z }, there exists Tǫ > 0 such that Zt ∈ Bδǫ for all t ≥ Tǫ. Combining the results in Theorem 3.3, Lemma 4.2 and using Lemma 8.7 in [3], we have a.s. on Γ(z∗),

1 ∗ lim sup log kZ˜t − z k ≤ −1+ ǫ t→∞ t ∗ ∗ −(1−ǫ) for arbitrary ǫ> 0. This implies that a.s. on Γ(z ), that kZt − z k = o(t ). And the lemma easily follows. 

Lemma 4.4. Let j ∈ V , ǫ ∈ (0, 1 − 1/α) and C a finite constant. Set

ǫ Aj,C,ǫ := L(i, t) ≤ Ct , ∀t ≥ 1 . ( ) Xi6=j

Then E[ i6=j L(i, ∞)1Aj,C,ǫ ] < ∞. P Proof. For each n ≥ 1, set τn := inf{t ≥ 1 : L(j, t) = n} and γn = i∈V \{j} L(i, τn). Set ǫ ′ ′ ′ also τ := inf{t ≥ 1 : i6=j L(i, t) > Ct }, τn = τn ∧ τ and γn = i∈V \{Pj} L(i, τn). Note that ′ ′ Aj,C,ǫ = {τ = ∞} and onPAj,C,ǫ, τn = τn < ∞ and γn = γn for all n P≥ 1. ′ ′ α During the time interval [τn, τn+1], the jumping rate to j is larger than ρ0 = n and the jumping ǫ α ′ ′ rate from j is smaller than ρ1 =(C(n+1) ) . This implies that on the time interval [τn, τn+1], the number of jumps from j to V \{j} is stochastically dominated by the number of jumps of a Poisson ′ ′ ′ ′ process with intensity ρ1. Since the time spent at j during [τn, τn+1] is L(j, τn+1) − L(j, τn) ≤ 1,

the number of jumps from j is stochastically dominated by a random variable N ∼ Poisson(ρ1). ′ ′ ′ ′ Therefore, γn+1 − γn, the time spent at V \{j} during [τn, τn+1], is stochastically dominated N by T := i=1 ξi, where ξi, i =1, 2, ..., N are independent and exponentially distributed random variablesP with mean value 1/ρ0. Therefore, ρ Cα(n + 1)αǫ 1 E[γ′ − γ′ ] ≤ 1 = = O . n+1 n ρ nα nα(1−ǫ) 0   ′ E Since limn→∞ γn = i6=j L(i, τ), this proves that i6=j L(i, τ) < ∞. This proves the lemma since L(i, ∞)1 ≤ L(i, τ).  i6=j PAj,C,ǫ i6=j hP i

P ∗ P Theorem 4.5. Let z = ej ∈ S be a stable equilibrium, with j ∈{1, 2, ..., d}. Then, a.s. on the ∗ event {Zt → z }, L(j, ∞)= ∞ and L(i, ∞) < ∞. Xi6=j 1 ∗ Proof. Lemma 4.3 implies that for ǫ ∈ (0, 1 − α ), the event {Zt → z } coincides a.s. with

∪C Aj,C,ǫ. Lemma 4.4 states that for all C > 0, a.s. on Aj,C,ǫ, i6=j L(i, ∞) < ∞. Therefore, we ∗  have that a.s. on {Zt → z }, i6=j L(i, ∞) < ∞. P P 14 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN

∗ ∗ We will show in the next section that if z is an unstable equilibrium, then P(Zt → z )=0 and thus obtain our following main result:

Theorem 4.6. Assume that Xt is a strongly VRJP in a complete graph with weight function w(t) = tα, α > 1. Then there almost surely exists a vertex j such that its local time tends to infinite while the local times at the remaining vertices remain bounded.

5. Non convergence to unstable equilibria

In this section, we prove a general non convergence theorem for a class of finite variation c`adl`ag processes. The proof follows ideas from proof of a theorem of Brandi`ere and Duflo (see [6] and [12]), but using a new idea presented in Section 5.1, where the fact that a pseudo-asymptotic trajectories of a dynamical system is attracted exponentially fast towards the unstable manifold of an unstable manifold. Then, in Section 5.2, we prove a non convergence Theorem towards an unstable equilibrium that has no stable direction. The proof essentially follows [6] and [12]. We also point out in Remark 5.16 several inaccuracies in their proof. The results proved in Sections 5.1 and 5.2 are then applied in Section 5.3 to strongly VRJP, showing in particular that the occupation measure process does not converge towards unstable equilibria with probability 1.

5.1. Attraction towards the unstable manifold. In this section, we fix m ∈ {1, 2,...d}, a point z ∈ Rd will be written as z = (x, y) where x ∈ Rm and y ∈ Rd−m. Let Π : Rd → Rm be defined by Π(x, y)= x (since Π is linear, we will often write Πz instead of Π(z)). We let F : Rd → Rd be a C1 Lipschitz vector field. Let us consider a finite variation c`adl`ag process Z = (X,Y ) in Rd, adapted to a filtration

(Ft)t≥0, satisfying the following equation

t t Zt − Zs = F (Zu)du + Ψudu + Mt − Ms Zs Zs

where Mt is a finite variation c`adl`ag martingale w.r.t (Ft) and Ψt is a (Ft)-adapted process. Let z∗ =(x∗,y∗) be an equilibrium of F , i.e. F (z∗) = 0. In the following, Γ denotes the event ∗ {limt→∞ Zt = z }.

Hypothesis 5.1. There is γ > 0 such that for all T > 0, there exists a finite constant C(T ), such that for all t> 0,

t+h 2 −2γt E sup (Ψudu + dMu) ≤ C(T )e . "0≤h≤T Zt #

STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 15

Remark 5.2. Using Doob’s inequality, Hypothesis 5.1 is satisfied as soon as there is a constant −γt C > 0 such that for all t > 0, kΨtk ≤ Ce and for all t>s> 0 and all 1 ≤ i ≤ d, i i −2γs hM it −hM is ≤ Ce .

Lemma 5.3. If Hypothesis 5.1 holds, then Z is a γ-pseudotrajectory of Φ, the flow generated by F , i.e. a.s. for all T > 0

1 lim sup log sup kZ − Φ (Z )k ≤ −γ. t t+h h t t→∞ 0≤h≤T  Proof. Follow the proof of Proposition 8.3 in [3]. 

∗ Hypothesis 5.4. There are µ > 0 and N = N1 ×N2 a compact convex neighborhood of z ∗ m ∗ d−m (with N1 and N2 respectively neighborhoods of x ∈ R and of y ∈ R ) such that K := {z = (x, y) ∈ N : y = y∗} attracts exponentially N at rate −µ (i.e. there is a constant C such that −µt d(Φt(z),K) ≤ Ce for all t> 0).

Lemma 5.5. If Hypotheses 5.1 and 5.4 hold, then, setting β0 := γ ∧ µ, for all β ∈ (0, β0), on the event Γ,

∗ −βt (19) kYt − y k = O(e ).

Proof. This is a consequence of Lemma 8.7 in [3]. 

Hypothesis 5.6. Suppose there are α > 1 and C > 0 such that for all 1 ≤ i ≤ m and all (x, y) ∈N ,

∗ ∗ α |Fi(x, y) − Fi(x, y )| ≤ Cky − y k .

m m 1 ∗ Set G : R → R be the C vector field defined by Gi(x) = Fi(x, y ), for 1 ≤ i ≤ m and x ∈ Rm. For p> 0, denote

Γp := Γ ∩ {∀t ≥ p : Zt ∈N}.

Lemma 5.7. Under Hypotheses 5.1, 5.4 and 5.6, on Γp, for all p

t t Xt − Xs = G(Xu)du + Ψ˜ udu + ΠMt − ΠMs, Zs Zs −αβt where Ψ˜ t = ΠΨt + O(e ), for all β ∈ (0, β0).

∗ Proof. It holds that for 1 ≤ i ≤ m, Ψ˜ i(t)=Ψi(t)+ Fi(Xt,Yt) − Fi(Xt,y ) and the lemma follows from Lemma 5.5.  16 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN

5.2. Avoiding repulsive traps. In applications, this subsection will be used for the process X defined in Lemma 5.7. In this subsection, we let F : Rd → Rd be a C1 Lipschitz vector field and we consider a finite d variation c`adl`ag process Z in R , adapted to a filtration (Ft)t≥0, satisfying the following equation t t Zt − Zs = F (Zu)du + Ψudu + Mt − Ms Zs Zs where Mt is a finite variation c`adl`ag martingale w.r.t (Ft) and Ψt = rt + Rt, with r and R two

(Ft)-adapted processes. ∗ d ∗ ∗ Let z ∈ R and Γ an event on which limt→∞ Zt = z . Let N be a convex neighborhood of z . For p> 0, set

Γp := Γ ∩ {∀t ≥ p : Zt ∈N}.

Then, Γ = ∪p>0Γp. We will suppose that

Hypothesis 5.8. z∗ is a repulsive equilibrium, i.e. F (z∗)=0 and all eigenvalues of DF (z∗) have a positive real part. Moreover DF (z∗)= λI, with λ> 0 and I the identity d × d matrix.

Remark 5.9. The second assumption is not necessary (see [6], sections I.3 and I.4.) and we can suppose more generally that z∗ is a repulsive equilibrium, and by taking for λ a positive constant lower than the real part of any eigenvalue of DF (z∗). Our proof is however is a little easier to write with Hypothesis 5.8.

For all z ∈ Rd, 1 F (z)= F (z∗)+ DF (z∗ + u(z − z∗)).(z − z∗)du Z0 = λ(z − z∗)+ J(z).(z − z∗)

where we have set 1 J(z)= (DF (z∗ + u(z − z∗)) − DF (z∗))du. Z0 Then, for all t ≥ s, t t ∗ (20) Zt − Zs = λZudu + [Ψu + J(Zu).(Zu − z )] du + Mt − Ms. Zs Zs Let us fix p> 0. Note that (20) implies that, for all t ≥ p, t λt −λp (21) Zt = e e Zp + Ψ¯ sds + M¯ t − M¯p  Zp  ¯ t −λs ¯ ¯ where Mt = 0 e dMs and Ψt =r ¯t + Rt, with −λt −λt ∗ R r¯t := e rt and R¯t := e [Rt + J(Zt).(Zt − z )]. STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 17

We assume that the following hypothesis is fulfilled:

Hypothesis 5.10. There is a random variable K finite on Γ and there is a continuous function ∞ 2 ∞ ∞ −2λ(s−t) a : [0, ∞) → (0, ∞) such that 0 a(s)ds < ∞, α (t) := t a(s)ds = O t e a(s)ds as t →∞ and such that the followingR items (i) and (ii) hold.R R  i t i i i (i) For each i, hM it = 0 Λsds, with Λ a positive (Ft)-adapted process. Setting Λ = i Λ , we have that a.s. on RΓ, for all t> 0, P (22) K−1a(t) ≤ Λ(t) ≤ Ka(t),

d i (23) |∆Mt | ≤ Kα(t), i=1 X ∞ kr k2 (24) s ds ≤ K. a(s) Z0 (ii) As t →∞,

∞ 2 2 (25) E 1Γ kRskds = o α (t) . " Zt  #  For p> 0, define λ Gp =Γp ∩{sup kJ(Zt)k ≤ }∩{sup kZtk ≤ 1}. t≥p 2 t≥p Lemma 5.11. For all p> 0, as t →∞, ∞ E ¯ −λt (26) 1Gp kRskds = o(e α(t)).  Zt  Proof. Fix p > 0. Since Hypothesis 5.10-(ii) holds, to prove the lemma it suffices to prove that as t →∞, ∞ E −λs ∗ −λt 1Gp e kJ(Zs).(Zs − z )kds = o(e α(t)).  Zt  ∗ z To simplify the notation, we suppose z = 0. For s < t, (using the convention: kzk = 0 if z = 0) t t Z kZ k−kZ k = λ kZ kdu + u ,J(Z )Z du t s u kZ k u u Zs Zs  u  t Z t Z + u− , dM + u , Ψ du kZ k u kZ k u Zs  u−  Zs  u  Zu− + 1 − ∆kZ k − , ∆Z . {Zu 6=0} u kZ k u s

z Using the inequality kz + δk−kzk≥h kzk , δi, we have for all u>p, Z ∆kZ k − u− , ∆Z ≥ 0. u kZ k u  u−  Furthermore, using Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, on the event Gp, Z λ u ,J(Z )Z ≥ −kJ(Z )Z k ≥ − sup kJ(Z )k.kZ k ≥ − kZ k kZ k u u u u t u 2 u  u  t≥p for all u>p. From the above it follows that on the event Gp, λ t t Z t Z kZ k−kZ k ≥ kZ kdu + u− , dM + u , Ψ du t s 2 u kZ k u kZ k u Zs Zs  u−  Zs  u  for all t>s>p. As a consequence, using Doob’s inequality and Hypothesis 5.10, we obtain that

1 1 2 λ ∞ 2 2 T Z 2 E 1 kZ kds ≤ E 1 sup u− , dM 2 Gp s Gp kZ k u " Zt  # " T >t Zt  u−  # 1 ∞ kr k2 2 + α(t)E 1 u du Gp a(u)  Zt  1 ∞ 2 2 E + 1Gp kRukdu " Zt  # = O(α(t)).

Using Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, we have

1 1 2 ∞ 2 ∞ 2 E −λs −λtE 2 E 1Gp e kJ(Zs)Zskds ≤ e 1Gp sup kJ(Zs)k 1Gp kZskds .  Zt   s≥t  " Zt  #

Note that on Gp, sups≥t kJ(Zs)k ≤ λ/2 and limt→∞ sups≥t kJ(Zs)k = 0 almost surely. Therefore, E ∞ −λs −λt  we conclude that [1Gp t e kJ(Zs)Zskds]= o(e α(t)) as t →∞. R ∞ ¯ ¯ Hypothesis 5.10 ensures in particular that a.s. on Gp, p Ψsds and M∞ are well defined and almost surely finite. Let L be a random variable such thatR ∞ L = Ψ¯ sds + M¯ ∞ − M¯ p on Gp. Zp −λp Letting t → ∞ in (21), λ being positive, we have L = −e Zp a.s. on Gp. We now apply ¯ ¯ ¯ i t ¯ i Theorem 5.15 to the martingale Mt and to the adapted process Ψt. We have hM it = 0 Λsds, ¯ i −2λs i ¯ −λt with Λs = e Λs. We also have |∆Mt| = e |∆Mt|. Hypothesis 5.10-(i) implies that (29),R (30) and (31) are satisfied with the functiona ¯(t)= e−2λta(t). Finally, (32) follows from Lemma 5.11. Therefore, we obtain that

−λp P(Gp)= P(Gp ∩{L = −e Zp}]=0. STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 19

Since P(Γ) = limp→∞ P(Gp) = 0, we have proved the following theorem:

Theorem 5.12. Under Hypotheses 5.8 and 5.10, we have P(Γ) = 0.

5.3. Application to strongly VRJP on complete graphs. Recall from Section 3 that the empirical occupation measure process (Zt)t≥0 satisfies the following equation t 1 I[X ] I[X ] (27) Z − Z = F (Z )du + s − t t s u + ℓ u (s + ℓ )w (t + ℓ )w Zs 0 0 s 0 t t t dM + Ψ du + u , u (u + ℓ )w Zs Zs 0 u where d 1 t Ψ = I[X ] and M = I[X ] − A [X ]ds. t t dt (t + ℓ )w t t s s  0 t  Z0 j t j j Recall that hM it = 0 Λsds, where Λ is defined in (6). For t ≥ 0, let R t I[Xe −ℓ0 ] t Zt = Ze −ℓ0 + . t t e we −ℓ0 Equation (27) is thus equivalent to b t t (28) Zt − Zs = F (Zu)du + Ψudu + Mt − Ms, Zs Zs where we have set b b b b c c t e −ℓ0 t dMs Ψ = e Ψ t + F (Z t ) − F (Z ) and M = , t e −ℓ0 e −ℓ0 t t (s + ℓ )w Z0 0 s t which are respectivelyb an adapted processb and a martingalec w.r.t the filtration Ft := Fe −ℓ0 . j Λ s− j t j j e ℓ0 Note that hM it = Λ ds, with Λ = t 2 . 0 s s e w s− e ℓ0 b In this subsection,R we will apply the results of Subsection 5.1 and Subsection 5.2 to the process c b b ∗ ∗ ∗ (Zt)t≥0 and thus show that P [Zt → z ]= P [Zt → z ] = 0 for each unstable equilibrium z .

Lemmab 5.13. There exists a positive constantb K such that for all t> 0, a.s. −(α+1)t j −(α+1)t j −(α+1)t kΨtk ≤ Ke , Λt ≤ Ke and |∆Mt | ≤ Ke .

α Proof. Let us firstb recall that wt ≥ k(bt + ℓ0) for some constantck. Using that F is Lipschitz, we easily obtain the first inequality. To obtain the second inequality, observe that for each j, j Λt ≤ wt. Thus for all t> 0, j 1 −1 −(α+1)t Λt ≤ ≤ k e . t s e we −ℓ0 Finally, b t j |∆I[Xe −ℓ0 ]| 1 −1 −(α+1)t |∆Mt | = ≤ ≤ k e . t t t t e we −ℓ0 e we −ℓ0  c 20 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN

Theorem 5.14. Assume that z∗ is an unstable equilibrium of the vector field F defined by (12). ∗ Then P[Zt → z ]=0.

α+1 Proof. Note first that Lemma 5.13 implies that Hypothesis 5.1 holds with γ = 2 . ∗ ∗ ∗ ∗ Rd−m ∗ 1 1 1 Let z =(x ,y ) be an unstable equilibrium, where y =0 ∈ and x = m , m ,..., m ∈ Rm , with m ∈{2, 3,...,d} (up to a permutation of indices, this describes the set of all unstab le equilibriums). ∗ Note also that there is a compact convex neighborhood N = N1 ×N2 of z and a positive α 1 constant h such that for all z ∈N , H(z)= i zi ≥ h. Setting C(z)= H(z) , we have that for all i ∈{1, 2,...,d − m}, P α−1 Fm+i(x, y)= −yi(1 + C(z)yi ). Since α > 1, it can easily be shown that Hypothesis 5.4 holds for all µ ∈ (0, 1). Hypothesis 5.6 also holds (with the same constant α).

Therefore, Lemma 5.7 can be applied to the process (Zt)t≥0 defined by (28). Set Xt := ΠZt m m and let G : R → R be the vector field defined by Gi(x)= Fi(x, 0). Then for all s < t, b b b t t Xt − Xs = G(Xu)du + rˆudu + ΠMt − ΠMs, Zs Zs −αβt withr ˆt = ΠΨt + O(e b) onb Γ, for all β<γb ∧ µ. Note that sincec µ canc be taken as close as we α+1 want to 1 and since γ = 2 > 1, β can be also taken as close as we want to 1. b We now apply the result of Section 5.2, with Z, F , M, r and R respectively replaced by Xˆ, G, ΠMˆ ,r ˆ and 0. The vector field G satisfies Hypothesis 5.8 with λ = α − 1. Let us now check −(α+1)t α+1 Hypothesis 5.10 with a(t)= e . Choosing β ∈ ( 2α , 1), we have thatr ˆ satisfies (24). m j Set Λ = j=1 Λ . It remains to verify the inequality (22) for Λ. Lemma 5.13 shows that for all t> 0, P b b m b Λ ≤ e−(α+1)t = C e−(α+1)t. t k + Fix ǫ ∈ (0, 1) and choose the neighborhood N sufficiently small such that for all z ∈ N and b i ∈ {1,...,m}, mπi(z) ∈ (1 − ǫ, 1+ ǫ). Therefore, if Zt ∈ N , we have that for i ∈ {1,...,m}, (j) k(1−ǫ) α wt = wtπj(Zt) ≥ m (t + ℓ0) . Therefore, since m ≥ 2, if Zt ∈ N , we have that for all 1 ≤ i ≤ m

i (j) (i) (j) k(1 − ǫ) α Λt ≥ 1{Xt=i} wt +1{Xt6=i}wt ≥ min wu ≥ (u + ℓ0) . 1≤j≤m m j6=i,X1≤j≤m α Since wt ≤ d(t + ℓ0) , we have that if Zt ∈N , k(1 − ǫ)eαt Λ ≥ = C e−(α+1)t. t etd2e2αt − This proves that Hypothesis 5.10b is satisfied. STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 21

∗ As a conclusion Theorem 5.12 can be applied, and this proves that P[Zt → z ] = P[Xt → x∗] = 0.  b 5.4. A theorem on martingales. In this subsection, we prove a martingale theorem, which is a continuous time version of a theorem by Brandi`ere and Duflo (see Theorem A in [6] or Theorem 3.IV.13 in [12]).

d Theorem 5.15. Let M be a finite variation c`adl`ag martingale in R with M0 = 0, r and R be d adapted processes in R with respect to a filtration (Ft)t≥0. Set Ψt = rt + Rt. ∞ Let Γ be an event and let a : [0, ∞) → (0, ∞) be a continuous function such that 0 a(s)ds < ∞ 2 ∞ i t i i and set α (t)= t a(s)ds. Suppose that for each i, hM it = 0 Λsds, with Λ a positiveR adapted i c`adl`ag process. SetR Λ= i Λ . Suppose that there is a randomR variable K, such that a.s. on Γ, 1 P 0, (29) K−1a(t) ≤ Λ(t) ≤ Ka(t).

i (30) |∆Mt | ≤ Kα(t). i X ∞ kr k2 (31) s ds ≤ K a(s) Z0 and as t →∞, ∞ (32) E 1Γ kRskds = o(α(t)).  Zt  t Then, a.s. on Γ, St := 0 Ψsds + Mt converges a.s. towards a finite random variable L and for all Fp-measurable randomR variable η, p> 0, we have P[Γ ∩{L = η}]=0.

Remark 5.16. Our theorem here is a continuous-time version of Theorem A by Brandi`ere and Duflo in [6]. Their results is widely applied to discrete stochastic approximation processes, in particular to showing the non convergence to a repulsive equilibrium. Note that there is an inaccuracy in the application of the Burkholder’s inequality in their proof. Beside of this, there is also a mistake in the application of their theorem to the proof of Proposition 4 in [6] since the

process Sn defined in page 406 is not adapted.

Proof. Simplification of the hypotheses: It is enough to prove the Theorem assuming in addition that the random variable K is non-random and that (29), (30) and (31) are satisfied a.s. on Ω. 22 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN

Let us explain shortly why: The idea is due to Lai and Wei in [27] (see aslo [12], p. 60-61). N −1 i For n ∈ , let Tn be the first time t such Λ(t) 6∈ [n a(t), na(t)] or |∆Mt | > nα(t) for some i or 2 t krsk 0 a(s) ds > n. Then Tn is an increasing sequence of stopping times and a.s. on Γ ∩{K ≤ n}, TR n = ∞. Eventually extending the probability space, let N be a Poisson process with intensity a(t). For n ∈ N, i ∈{1,...,d} and t> 0, set

˜ i i Mt = Mt∧Tn + Nt − Nt∧Tn andr ˜t = rt∧Tn .

Then, M˜ andr ˜ satisfy (29), (30) and (31) a.s. on Ω, with K = n, and on the event {Tn = ∞}, M˜ = M andr ˜ = r. Now set ∞ Ln = (˜rs + Rs)ds + M˜ ∞, Z0 which is well defined on Γ. Then a.s. on the event Γn := Γ ∩{K ≤ n}, we have Ln = L.

Suppose now that for all n, we have P[Γn ∩{Ln = η}] = 0, then we also have P[Γ ∩{L = η}]=

limn→∞ P[Γn ∩{L = η}] = limn→∞ P[Γn ∩{Ln = η}] = 0.

Let Ω˜ be the event that (29), (30) and (31) is satisfied with non-random positive constant K. From now on, we suppose that K is non-random and that (29), (30) and (31) are satisfied a.s. on Ω. i i 2 i A first consequence is that, M,[M ] −hM i and kMk − A, with A = ihM i, are uniformly integrable martingales. Indeed, using Lemma VII.3.34 in [13], p. 423, thereP are constant k1 and k2 such that 2 E i 4 i E i 2 1/2 E i 2 sup0≤s≤t|Ms| ≤ k1 sup |∆Mt (ω)| hM it + k2 hM it . 0≤s≤t,ω∈Ω˜ !       i t i t ∞ i Recall from (29) and (30) that hM it = 0 Λsds ≤ K 0 a(s)ds < K 0 a(s)ds and |∆Mt | ≤ E 4 Kα(t) ≤ Kα(0) for all t ≥ 0. It impliesR that (kMtkR) is uniformlyR bounded and M is thus uniformly integrable. Without loss of generality, we also suppose that p = 0 and η = 0. Otherwise, one can ′ p replace Ft, Mt, rt and Rt by Ft+p, Mt+p − Mp, rt+p + β (t) η − 0 rsds − Mp and Rt+p + ′ p β (t) η − 0 Rsds − Mp respectively, where β : [0, ∞) → (0, ∞) is someR differentiable function such that βR (0) = 1, limt→∞ β(t) = 0 and β(t)= o(α(t)). ∞ Set G =Γ ∩{L =0}. For t ≥ 0, define ρt = M∞ − Mt, τt = t Ψsds and Tt = ρt + τt. Then Tt = L − St and on G, Tt = −St. R 2 Since for all t> 0, (kMs − Mtk − (As − At), s ≥ t) is a uniformly integrable martingale, we E 2 E E ∞ have that for all t> 0, [kρtk |Ft]= A∞ − At|Ft = t Λ(s)ds|Ft and therefore −1 2  2   R 2  K α (t) ≤ E[kρtk |Ft] ≤ Kα (t). STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 23

Using Lemma VII.3.34 in [13] to the martingale (Ms − Mt, s ≥ t), we have 2 1/2 E i i 4 i E i i 2 |Ms − Mt | |Ft ≤ k1 sup |∆Mu(ω)| hM is −hM it |Ft t≤u≤s,ω∈Ω˜ !    h  i i i 2 + k2E hM is −hM it |Ft

h s i s 2 3 2  2 ≤ k1K α (t) a(u)du + k2K a(u)du . Zt Zt  E 4 4 Hence, for all t> 0, there is a constant k such that [kρt kFt] ≤ kα (t). 3 1 2 1 − − 2 3 4 Set c0 = K 2 k 2 . Since E kρtk |Ft ≤ E kρtk|Ft E kρtk |Ft] 3 , we have that for all t,

 E[kρtk|F t] ≥ c0α(t).

Let U be a Borel function from Rd \{0} onto the set of d × d orthogonal matrices such that

U(a)[a/kak]= e1 (with e1 = (1, 0,..., 0)). Then on G,

kTtke1 + U(St)Tt =0

kρtke1 + U(St)ρt ≤ 2kτtk.

P 1 Set Gt := { (G|Ft) > 2 }. Then for all t > 0 (using in the second inequality that St is Ft-measurable and that E[ρt|Ft]=0) P 1 E E (Gt) ≤ 1Gt [kρtke1|Ft] c0α(t)   1 E E ≤ 1Gt [kρtke1 + U(St)ρt|Ft] c0α(t) 1   ≤ E 1GE[kρtke1 + U(St)ρt|Ft] c0α(t)   1 E E + (1Gt − 1G) [kρtke1 + U(St)ρt|Ft] c0α(t) 2  2 1 1 E E 2 2 E 2 2 ≤ 1Gkτtk + (1Gt − 1G) [kρtk ] . c0α(t) c0α(t) Note that      E 2 E 2 2 lim (1Gt − 1G) = 0 and [kρtk ] ≤ c+α (t). t→∞ Thus, the second term converges to 0. For the first term, (using Cauchy-Schwarz inequality to obtain the first term on the right hand side) ∞ ∞ E 1Gkτtk ≤ E 1G krskds + E 1G kRskds  Zt   Zt    1 ∞ kr k2 2 ≤ α(t)E 1 s ds + o(α(t)) = o(α(t)) G a(s) " Zt  # 24 OLIVIERRAIMONDANDTUAN-MINHNGUYEN using Cauchy-Schwarz inequality, Lebesgue’s Dominated Convergence Theorem and the hypothe- ses. We thus obtain that P(G) = limt→∞ P(Gt) = 0. 

Acknowledgement

O. Raimond’s research has been conducted as part of the project Labex MME-DII (ANR11- LBX-0023-01) and of the project ANR MALIN (ANR-16-CE93-0003). T.M. Nguyen’s research is partially supported by Crafoord Foundation and Thorild Dahlgrens & Folke Lann´ers Funds.

References

[1] Bena¨ım, Michel. A dynamical system approach to stochastic approximations. SIAM J. Control Optim. 34 (1996), no. 2, 437–472. [2] Bena¨ım, Michel. Vertex-reinforced random walks and a conjecture of Pemantle. Ann. Probab. 25 (1997), no. 1, 361–392. [3] Bena¨ım, Michel. Dynamics of stochastic approximation algorithms. S´eminaire de Probabilit´es, XXXIII, 1–68, Lecture Notes in Math., 1709, Springer, Berlin, 1999. [4] Bena¨ım, Michel; Raimond, Olivier. Self-interacting diffusions. III. Symmetric interactions. Ann. Probab. 33 (2005), no. 5, 1717–1759. [5] Bena¨ım, Michel; Raimond, Olivier; Schapira, Bruno. Strongly vertex-reinforced-random-walk on a complete graph. ALEA Lat. Am. J. Probab. Math. Stat. 10 (2013), no. 2, 767–782. [6] Brandi`ere, Odile; Duflo, Marie. Les algorithmes stochastiques contournent-ils les pi`eges? (French). Ann. Inst. H. Poincar´eProbab. Statist. 32 (1996), no. 3, 395–427 [7] Cotar, Codina; Thacker, Debleena, Edge- and vertex-reinforced random walks with super-linear reinforcement on infinite graphs, Ann. Probab. 45 (2017), no. 4, 2655–2706. [8] Coppersmith, Don; Diaconis, Persi. Random walks with reinforcement. Unpublished manuscript, 1986. [9] Davis, Burgess; Volkov, Stanislav. Continuous time vertex-reinforced jump processes. Probab. Theory Related Fields 123 (2002), no. 2, 281–300. [10] Davis, Burgess; Volkov, Stanislav. Vertex-reinforced jump processes on trees and finite graphs, Probab. Theory Related Fields 128 (2004), no. 1, 42–62. [11] Disertori, Margherita; Merkl, Franz; Rolles, Silke W. W. Localization for a nonlinear sigma model in a strip related to vertex reinforced jump processes, Comm. Math. Phys. 332 (2014), no. 2, 783–825. [12] Duflo, Marie. Algorithmes stochastiques. Mathematiques & Applications, 23. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 1996. [13] Jacod, Jean; Shiryaev, Albert N. Limit theorems for stochastic processes. Second edition. Grundlehren der Mathematischen Wissenschaften [Fundamental Principles of Mathematical Sciences], 288. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 2003. [14] Lupu, Titus; Sabot, Christophe; Tarrs, Pierre. Scaling limit of the VRJP in dimension one and Bass-Burdzy flow. ArXiv e-prints (2018), arXiv:1803.10626. [15] Merkl, Franz; Rolles, Silke W.W.; Tarr`es, Pierre. Convergence of vertex-reinforced jump processes to an extension of the supersymmetric hyperbolic nonlinear sigma model. ArXiv e-prints (2016), arXiv:1612.05409. [16] Sabot, Christophe; Tarr`es, Pierre. Edge-reinforced , vertex-reinforced jump process and the supersymmetric hyperbolic sigma model. J. Eur. Math. Soc. (JEMS) 17 (2015), no. 9, 2353–2378. STRONGLY VERTEX-REINFORCED JUMP PROCESS ON A COMPLETE GRAPH 25

[17] Sabot, Christophe; Tarr`es, Pierre; Zeng, Xiaolin. The Vertex Reinforced Jump Process and a Random Schr¨odinger operator on finite graphs. Ann. Probab. 45 (2017), no. 6A, 3967-3986. [18] Sabot, Christophe; Zeng, Xiaolin. Hitting times of interacting drifted Brownian motions and the vertex reinforced jump process, ArXiv e-prints (2017), arXiv:1704.05394. [19] Pemantle, Robin. Phase transition in reinforced random walk and RWRE on trees. Ann. Probab. 16 (1988), no. 3, 1229–1241. [20] Pemantle, Robin. Vertex-reinforced random walk, Probab. Theory Related Fields 92 (1992), no. 1, 117–136. [21] Protter, Philip. Stochastic integration and differential equations. Second edition. Stochastic Modelling and Applied Probability, 21. Springer-Verlag, Berlin, 2005. [22] Robinson, Clark. Dynamical systems. Stability, symbolic dynamics, and chaos. Second edition. Studies in Advanced Mathematics. CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL, 1999. [23] Tarr`es, Pierre. Vertex-reinforced random walk on Z eventually gets stuck on five points, Ann. Probab. 32 (2004), no. 3B, 2650–2701. [24] Volkov, Stanislav. Vertex-reinforced random walk on arbitrary graphs, Ann. Probab. 29 (2001), no. 1, 66–91. [25] Volkov, Stanislav. Phase transition in vertex-reinforced random walks on Z with non-linear reinforcement. J. Theoret. Probab. 19 (2006), no. 3, 691–700. [26] Zeng, Xiaolin. How vertex reinforced jump process arises naturally. Ann. Inst. Henri Poincar´eProbab. Stat. 52 (2016), no. 3, 1061–1075. [27] Lai, Tze Leung; Wei, Ching Zong. A note on martingale difference sequences satisfying the local Marcinkiewicz-Zygmund condition. Bull. Inst. Math. Acad. Sinica 11 (1983), no. 1, 1–13.

(O. Raimond) Modelisation´ aleatoire´ de l’Universite´ Paris Nanterre (MODAL’X), 92000 Nan- terre, France E-mail address: [email protected]

(T.M. Nguyen) Centre for Mathematical Sciences, Lund University, 22100 Lund, Sweden E-mail address: [email protected]