The Argentine Elections: Systems and Candidates Carlos M
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
Load more
Recommended publications
-
Federalism, Bicameralism, and Institutional Change: General Trends and One Case-Study*
brazilianpoliticalsciencereview ARTICLE Federalism, Bicameralism, and Institutional Change: General Trends and One Case-study* Marta Arretche University of São Paulo (USP), Brazil The article distinguishes federal states from bicameralism and mechanisms of territorial representation in order to examine the association of each with institutional change in 32 countries by using constitutional amendments as a proxy. It reveals that bicameralism tends to be a better predictor of constitutional stability than federalism. All of the bicameral cases that are associated with high rates of constitutional amendment are also federal states, including Brazil, India, Austria, and Malaysia. In order to explore the mechanisms explaining this unexpected outcome, the article also examines the voting behavior of Brazilian senators constitutional amendments proposals (CAPs). It shows that the Brazilian Senate is a partisan Chamber. The article concludes that regional influence over institutional change can be substantially reduced, even under symmetrical bicameralism in which the Senate acts as a second veto arena, when party discipline prevails over the cohesion of regional representation. Keywords: Federalism; Bicameralism; Senate; Institutional change; Brazil. well-established proposition in the institutional literature argues that federal Astates tend to take a slow reform path. Among other typical federal institutions, the second legislative body (the Senate) common to federal systems (Lijphart 1999; Stepan * The Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa no Estado -
1 Political Shocks and Asset Prices Daniel Carnahan
Political Shocks and Asset Prices Daniel Carnahan (Business Insider) Sebastian Saiegh (University of California San Diego) Abstract We estimate how asset prices respond to a range of political shocks, including changes in a country’s economic stewardship, national elections, coup d'états, wars, and terrorist attacks. Multiple instances of these events took place in Argentina between 1967 and 2020. Using an event study approach and over 13,000 daily prices from the Buenos Aires exchange, we find that stock-market volatility increases in the days immediately following unexpected, major policy- shifting events. These results hold irrespective of whether market returns are measured in nominal terms, in local consumption units, or in US dollars. Our analysis allows us to establish comparisons across different types of political shocks while avoiding the identification problems of multi-country event studies. The most significant increase in post-event risk is associated with irregular government turnovers (coup d'états, presidential death, resignations); approximately 100 percent on average, when returns are expressed in US dollars. Volatility also increases in the days immediately following a defeat in an international war, national elections and changes in the country’s economic stewardship. No changes in stock market volatility occur, however, after terrorist attacks or when the date of a new administration’s inauguration is publicly known and determined sufficiently far in advance. Word Count: 10,929 1 Introduction Investors concerned about non-commercial risks need to consider their exposure to political events that may affect the value of their assets. These political risks can originate in specific government actions, such as laws or regulations. -
Côte D'ivoire Country Focus
European Asylum Support Office Côte d’Ivoire Country Focus Country of Origin Information Report June 2019 SUPPORT IS OUR MISSION European Asylum Support Office Côte d’Ivoire Country Focus Country of Origin Information Report June 2019 More information on the European Union is available on the Internet (http://europa.eu). ISBN: 978-92-9476-993-0 doi: 10.2847/055205 © European Asylum Support Office (EASO) 2019 Reproduction is authorised, provided the source is acknowledged, unless otherwise stated. For third-party materials reproduced in this publication, reference is made to the copyrights statements of the respective third parties. Cover photo: © Mariam Dembélé, Abidjan (December 2016) CÔTE D’IVOIRE: COUNTRY FOCUS - EASO COUNTRY OF ORIGIN INFORMATION REPORT — 3 Acknowledgements EASO acknowledges as the co-drafters of this report: Italy, Ministry of the Interior, National Commission for the Right of Asylum, International and EU Affairs, COI unit Switzerland, State Secretariat for Migration (SEM), Division Analysis The following departments reviewed this report, together with EASO: France, Office Français de Protection des Réfugiés et Apatrides (OFPRA), Division de l'Information, de la Documentation et des Recherches (DIDR) Norway, Landinfo The Netherlands, Immigration and Naturalisation Service, Office for Country of Origin Information and Language Analysis (OCILA) Dr Marie Miran-Guyon, Lecturer at the École des Hautes Études en Sciences Sociales (EHESS), researcher, and author of numerous publications on the country reviewed this report. It must be noted that the review carried out by the mentioned departments, experts or organisations contributes to the overall quality of the report, but does not necessarily imply their formal endorsement of the final report, which is the full responsibility of EASO. -
Argentina: from Kirchner to Kirchner
ArgentinA: From Kirchner to Kirchner Steven Levitsky and María Victoria Murillo Steven Levitsky is professor of government at Harvard University. María Victoria Murillo is associate professor of political science and international affairs at Columbia University. Together they edited Ar- gentine Democracy: The Politics of Institutional Weakness (2005). Argentina’s 28 October 2007 presidential election contrasted sharply with the one that preceded it. The 2003 race took place in the after- math of an unprecedented economic collapse and the massive December 2001 protests that toppled two presidents in a span of ten days. That election—which was won by little-known (Peronist) Justicialist Party governor Néstor Kirchner—was held in a climate of political fragmenta- tion and uncertainty. Little uncertainty surrounded the 2007 campaign. After four years of strong economic growth, and with the opposition in shambles, a victory by the incumbent Peronists was a foregone conclu- sion. The only surprise was that Kirchner, who remained popular, chose not to seek reelection. Instead, his wife, Senator Cristina Fernández de Kirchner, ran in his place. Cristina Kirchner captured 45 percent of the vote, easily defeating Elisa Carrió of the left-of-center Civic Coalition (23 percent) and Kirch- ner’s former economics minister, Roberto Lavagna (17 percent), who was backed by the Radical Civic Union (UCR). In addition to winning more than three-quarters of Argentina’s 23 governorships, the Justicial- ist Party (PJ) and other pro-Kirchner allies won large majorities in both legislative chambers. In the Chamber of Deputies, the lower house of Argentina’s bicameral National Congress, progovernment Peronists and other Kirchner allies (including pro-Kirchner Radicals) won 160 of 257 seats, while dissident Peronists won another 10 seats. -
Argentina's Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies After the Convertibility
CENTER FOR ECONOMIC AND POLICY RESEARCH April Argentina’s Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies after the Convertibility Regime Collapse • ii Contents Introduction 1 1. The Convertibility Regime 2 2. The Post-Convertibility Macroeconomic Regime and Performance 9 2.1 The Main Characteristics of the Economic Recovery 10 2.2 The Evolution of Monetary and Exchange Rate Policies 16 3. A Macroeconomic Policy Regime with a SCRER as an Intermediate Target 25 3.1 The Orthodox Arguments Against RER Targeting 26 3.2 The Exchange Rate Policy 29 3.3 The Exchange Market and Capital Flows 30 3.4 Monetary Policy 31 Conclusion 35 References 36 Chronological Appendix 39 About the Authors Roberto Frenkel is a senior research associate at the Center for Economic and Policy Research in Washington, D.C. and Principal Research Associate at the Centro de Estudios de Estado y Sociedad (CEDES) in Buenos Aires, Argentina. Martín Rapetti is a research assistant at CEDES and a Ph.D. candidate at the University of Massachusetts, Amherst. Acknowledgements This paper was written as part of an international research project on Alternatives to Inflation Targeting for Stable and Equitable Growth co-directed by Gerald Epstein, PERI and Erinc Yeldan, Bilkent University. The authors thank the Rockefeller Brothers Fund, Ford Foundation and UN-DESA for financial support. Additionally, Nelson Barbosa-Filho, Erinc Yeldan and the participants in the workshop on “Alternatives to Inflation Targeting Monetary Policy for Stable and Egalitarian Growth in Developing Countries” held at CEDES in May 13-14, 2005 contributed comments to a previous version of this paper. Finally, the authors thank Julia Frenkel for her collaboration and Erinc Yeldan and an anonymous referee from World Development for their comments and suggestions. -
Argentina: Rudderless
1 110TH CONGRESS " ! S. PRT. 2d Session COMMITTEE PRINT 110–48 ARGENTINA: RUDDERLESS REPORT TO THE MEMBERS OF THE COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS UNITED STATES SENATE ONE HUNDRED TENTH CONGRESS SECOND SESSION SEPTEMBER 9, 2008 Printed for the use of the Committee on Foreign Relations Available via World Wide Web: http://www.gpoaccess.gov/congress/ index.html U.S. GOVERNMENT PRINTING OFFICE 44–239 PDF WASHINGTON : 2008 For sale by the Superintendent of Documents, U.S. Government Printing Office Internet: bookstore.gpo.gov Phone: toll free (866) 512–1800; DC area (202) 512–1800 Fax: (202) 512–2104 Mail: Stop IDCC, Washington, DC 20402–0001 VerDate Aug 31 2005 16:39 Sep 11, 2008 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00001 Fmt 5012 Sfmt 5012 H:\DOCS\44239.TXT sfrela2 PsN: MIKEB seneagle COMMITTEE ON FOREIGN RELATIONS JOSEPH R. BIDEN, JR., DELAWARE, Chairman CHRISTOPHER J. DODD, Connecticut RICHARD G. LUGAR, Indiana JOHN F. KERRY, Massachusetts CHUCK HAGEL, Nebraska RUSSELL D. FEINGOLD, Wisconsin NORM COLEMAN, Minnesota BARBARA BOXER, California BOB CORKER, Tennessee BILL NELSON, Florida JOHN E. SUNUNU, New Hampshire BARACK OBAMA, Illinois GEORGE V. VOINOVICH, Ohio ROBERT MENENDEZ, New Jersey LISA MURKOWSKI, Alaska BENJAMIN L. CARDIN, Maryland JIM DEMINT, South Carolina ROBERT P. CASEY, JR., Pennsylvania JOHNNY ISAKSON, Georgia JIM WEBB, Virginia DAVID VITTER, Louisiana ANTONY J. BLINKEN, Staff Director KENNETH A. MYERS, JR., Republican Staff Director (II) VerDate Aug 31 2005 16:39 Sep 11, 2008 Jkt 000000 PO 00000 Frm 00002 Fmt 5904 Sfmt 5904 H:\DOCS\44239.TXT sfrela2 PsN: MIKEB CONTENTS Page Letter of Transmittal ............................................................................................... v Introduction ............................................................................................................. -
Senators Phone List.Pdf
UNITED STATES SENATE INFORMATION SR—Russell Building From Outside Dial: Washington, D.C. 20510 SD—Dirksen Building Senate—224–3121 SH—Hart Building House—225–3121 117th CONGRESS From Inside Dial: 0 for Capitol Operator All telephone numbers SUITE and TELEPHONE LIST Assistance preceded by 202 prefix 9 for an Outside Line Senator Suite Phone Senator Suite Phone Vice President LEAHY, Patrick (D-VT) SR-437 4-4242 HARRIS, Kamala D. 4-2424 LEE, Mike (R-UT) SR-361A 4-5444 BALDWIN, Tammy (D-WI) SH-709 4-5653 LUJAN, Ben Ray (D-NM) SR-498 4-6621 BARRASSO, John (R-WY) SD-307 4-6441 LUMMIS, Cynthia M. (R-WY) SR-124 4-3424 BENNET, Michael F. (D-CO) SR-261 4-5852 MANCHIN III, Joe (D-WV) SH-306 4-3954 BLACKBURN, Marsha (R-TN) SD-357 4-3344 MARKEY, Edward J. (D-MA) SD-255 4-2742 BLUMENTHAL, Richard (D-CT) SH-706 4-2823 MARSHALL, Roger (R-KS) SR-479A 4-4774 BLUNT, Roy (R-MO) SR-260 4-5721 McCONNELL, Mitch (R-KY) SR-317 4-2541 BOOKER, Cory A. (D-NJ) SH-717 4-3224 MENENDEZ, Robert (D-NJ) SH-528 4-4744 BOOZMAN, John (R-AR) SH-141 4-4843 MERKLEY, Jeff (D-OR) SH-531 4-3753 BRAUN, Mike (R-IN) SR-404 4-4814 MORAN, Jerry (R-KS) SD-521 4-6521 BROWN, Sherrod (D-OH) SH-503 4-2315 MURKOWSKI, Lisa (R-AK) SH-522 4-6665 BURR, Richard (R-NC) SR-217 4-3154 MURPHY, Christopher (D-CT) SH-136 4-4041 CANTWELL, Maria (D-WA) SH-511 4-3441 MURRAY, Patty (D-WA) SR-154 4-2621 CAPITO, Shelley Moore (R-WV) SR-172 4-6472 OSSOFF, Jon (D-GA) SR-455 4-3521 CARDIN, Benjamin L. -
Unicameralism and the Indiana Constitutional Convention of 1850 Val Nolan, Jr.*
DOCUMENT UNICAMERALISM AND THE INDIANA CONSTITUTIONAL CONVENTION OF 1850 VAL NOLAN, JR.* Bicameralism as a principle of legislative structure was given "casual, un- questioning acceptance" in the state constitutions adopted in the nineteenth century, states Willard Hurst in his recent study of main trends in the insti- tutional development of American law.1 Occasioning only mild and sporadic interest in the states in the post-Revolutionary period,2 problems of legislative * A.B. 1941, Indiana University; J.D. 1949; Assistant Professor of Law, Indiana Uni- versity School of Law. 1. HURST, THE GROWTH OF AMERICAN LAW, THE LAW MAKERS 88 (1950). "O 1ur two-chambered legislatures . were adopted mainly by default." Id. at 140. During this same period and by 1840 many city councils, unicameral in colonial days, became bicameral, the result of easy analogy to state governmental forms. The trend was reversed, and since 1900 most cities have come to use one chamber. MACDONALD, AmER- ICAN CITY GOVERNMENT AND ADMINISTRATION 49, 58, 169 (4th ed. 1946); MUNRO, MUNICIPAL GOVERN-MENT AND ADMINISTRATION C. XVIII (1930). 2. "[T]he [American] political theory of a second chamber was first formulated in the constitutional convention held in Philadelphia in 1787 and more systematically developed later in the Federalist." Carroll, The Background of Unicameralisnl and Bicameralism, in UNICAMERAL LEGISLATURES, THE ELEVENTH ANNUAL DEBATE HAND- BOOK, 1937-38, 42 (Aly ed. 1938). The legislature of the confederation was unicameral. ARTICLES OF CONFEDERATION, V. Early American proponents of a bicameral legislature founded their arguments on theoretical grounds. Some, like John Adams, advocated a second state legislative house to represent property and wealth. -
Argentina: Peronism Returns María Victoria Murillo, S.J
Argentina: Peronism Returns María Victoria Murillo, S.J. Rodrigo Zarazaga Journal of Democracy, Volume 31, Number 2, April 2020, pp. 125-136 (Article) Published by Johns Hopkins University Press For additional information about this article https://muse.jhu.edu/article/753199 [ Access provided at 9 Apr 2020 16:36 GMT with no institutional affiliation ] ARGENTINA: PERONISM RETURNS María Victoria Murillo and Rodrigo Zarazaga, S.J. María Victoria Murillo is professor of political science and interna- tional and public affairs and director of the Institute of Latin American Studies at Columbia University. Rodrigo Zarazaga, S.J., is director of the Center for Research and Social Action (CIAS) and researcher at the National Scientific and Technical Research Council (CONICET) in Buenos Aires. The headline news, the main takeaway, from Argentina’s 2019 gen- eral election is encouraging for democracy despite the dire economic situation. Mauricio Macri, a president not associated with the country’s powerful Peronist movement, became the first such chief executive to complete his mandate, whereas two non-Peronists before him had failed to do so.1 Macri would not repeat his term, however. He lost the 27 October 2019 election and then oversaw a peaceful handover of power to his Peronist rival, Alberto Fernández, who won by 48 to 40 percent and whose vice-president is former two-term president Cristina Fernán- dez de Kirchner (no relation). Strikingly, even the economic hard times gripping the country—they are the worst in two decades, and they sank Macri at the polls—could not ruffle the orderliness of the transition. Peaceful changes of administration tend to be taken for granted in democracies, but they are in fact major achievements anywhere. -
PRIMARY ELECTIONS Special Report
PRIMARY ELECTIONS Special Report WHAT IS AT STAKE? Provincial Elections President 24 130 National Representatives Provinces of Catamarca, Buenos Aires, and the City of Vicepresident National Senators Buenos Aires held primary elections to governor while Santa Cruz had general election. NATIONAL PROVISIONAL RESULTS OF THE PRIMARY ELECTIONS s 47.65% PARTICIPATION: 75,78% Alberto Fernández – Cristina Fernández de Kirchner 32.08% Mauricio Macri - Miguel Ángel Pichetto 8.22% Roberto Lavagna – Juan Manuel Urtubey 2.86% Nicolás del Caño – Romina del Pla 2.63% Juan J. Gómez Centurión – Cynthia Hotton 2.18% José Luis Espert – Luis Rosales ELECTORAL THRESHOLD 1.5% 0.71% Manuela Castañeira – Eduardo Mulhall 0.24% Alejandro Biondini – Enrique Venturino 0.14% Raul Albarracín – Sergio Pastore 0.13% José Antonio Romero Feris – Guillermo Sueldo POLITICAL SUPPORT KEYS #1 THE CENTER REGION VOTE #2 BUENOS AIRES SUPPORT #3 THE REST OF THE COUNTRY The National Government In the first section of the Other provinces, mainly driven expected to count with greater province of Buenos Aires, by the support of several support in Córdoba and Santa bastion of Cambiemos in 2015 Peronist governors, also added Fe, that along with Mendoza, and 2017, the officialism got an important part of votes that would provide a number of adverse results from expected summed up in the final result votes to face the tight scenario while in the other two -of an led Alberto Fernández to win in the province of Buenos Aires, average lower income-, the with several points ahead. but finally it turned the opposite Frente de Todos prevailed with way. -
Asian-Parliaments.Pdf
Asian Parliaments Bangladesh Government type: parliamentary democracy unicameral National Parliament or Jatiya Sangsad; 300 seats elected by popular vote from single territorial constituencies (the constitutional amendment reserving 30 seats for women over and above the 300 regular parliament seats expired in May 2001); members serve fiveyear terms elections: last held 1 October 2001 (next to be held no later than January 2007) Bhutan Government type: monarchy; special treaty relationship with India unicameral National Assembly or Tshogdu (150 seats; 105 elected from village constituencies, 10 represent religious bodies, and 35 are designated by the monarch to represent government and other secular interests; members serve threeyear terms) elections: local elections last held August 2005 (next to be held in 2008) Burma Government type: military junta (leader not elected) Unicameral People's Assembly or Pyithu Hluttaw (485 seats; members elected by popular vote to serve fouryear terms) elections: last held 27 May 1990, but Assembly never allowed by junta to convene Cambodia Government type: multiparty democracy under a constitutional monarchy established in September 1993 Bicameral, consists of the National Assembly (123 seats; members elected by popular vote to serve fiveyear terms) and the Senate (61 seats; 2 members appointed by the monarch, 2 elected by the National Assembly, and 57 elected by parliamentarians and commune councils; members serve fiveyear terms) elections: National Assembly last held 27 July 2003 (next to be -
The Current Argentine Inflation. the Need of an Heterodox Vision to Analyse Its Causes and Specificities
The current Argentine inflation. The need of an heterodox vision to analyse its causes and specificities. Julio Eduardo Fabris Pablo Julio Lopez José Villadeamigo 1. INTRODUCTION After the 2001 crisis that caused the financial default, the Argentina Republic is going through a high growth phase, driven specially by the agricultural and combustibles exports and, in lesser extend, by the imports substitution considering the peso devaluation. Even though all analysts agree to point out the correlation between this economic prosperity and the increase of the international commodities prices, this situation doesn’t seem to be changing for the moment. However, also according to national and international analysts, there are some threats for this growth path: the likelihood of an energetic crisis and the aggravation of an incipient inflation process. In this paper we focus on the second problem, trying to specify the causes and the mechanisms underlying the prices increases. We start making a brief reference to the present situation, which most remarkable characteristic is the moderate inflation in a high growth context. We synthesize the orthodox criticism and the acknowledgement of the problem by the pro-government sectors. We revise the government measures concerning the inflation problem (price agreements, wages increases restrictions, the agricultural and oil exports withholdings, the transport subventions, the oil prices controls) and the criticized government manoeuvres to disguise the prices index. Then, we make a schematic summary of the inflation theories. Continuously, we briefly recount the history of the Argentine economy inflation, comparing the present inflation with the inflation in different past stages. Finally, based on the previous developments, we establish the main features of the present inflation trying to point out the significant elements underlying the process from those who have only temporary effects or are not relevant in the present situation.