Summary of International Travel to the United States MARCH 2016 and YEAR to DATE (Revised) (Based on Country of Residence) Visitor Arrivals Program (I-94 Data)
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Summary of International Travel to the United States MARCH 2016 AND YEAR TO DATE (revised) (Based on Country of Residence) Visitor Arrivals Program (I-94 Data) U.S. DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE International Trade Administration National Travel and Tourism Office Website: http://travel.trade.gov INTRODUCTION Purpose and Objectives The National Travel and Tourism Office (NTTO) is required to effectively provide travel data to public and private industry users. To fulfill this requirement, NTTO produces the Summary of International Travelers to the United States. The Summary is the official federal government source of reporting international arrivals to the United States. The report defines the size, select characteristics, and travel patterns of inbound international visitor arrivals coming into the United States from world regions and countries based primarily on residency, but also available on country of citizenship. These data are tabulated and published monthly by NTTO. There are no other federal government or private sector sources for these data. Methodology This report integrates the volume of inbound international visitors to the United States from residents of other countries, using three U.S. and international government sources: the U.S. Department of Homeland Security (DHS)/U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) 1-94 program data, Statistics Canada's International Travel Survey (ITS) and Banco de Mexico travel data. The count of overseas visitors to the United States is based on DHS/CBP Non-Immigrant 1-94 Arrival/Departure Records. On April 30, 2013, Phase 2 of the I-94 Automation project was implemented. Most (approximately two-thirds) of the I-94’s were automated in 2010 during Phase 1 of the project with the conversion of the I-94W paper-based document system to an electronic record system together with the implementation of the Electronic System for Travel Authorization (ESTA) program. Citizens of Visa Waiver Program countries were affected by ESTA and the rollout of the ‘e-I94W,’ specifically for the WB and WT visa types. By April 30, 2013, the remaining I-94 records (approximately one-third), for citizens of countries requiring a visa, were automated in Phase 2. Beginning in 2014 I-94 arrivals data include a methodology change where the country of citizenship is used as a substitute for those I-94 records with missing country of residence data. Please note that I-94 arrivals data sets are based on the same criteria, including the same visitor types and the ‘one night or more’ definition of a traveler. I-94 arrivals monthly data are released initially as ‘preliminary,’ with these data subject to revisions that may be possible with improved solutions and/or sources discovered. I-94 arrivals monthly data are subject to revisions for up to 36 months following the initial data release. DHS/CBP provides NTTO’s contractor with 1-94 program (raw) data monthly. To account for visits (arrivals) to the United States, NTTO only selects 1-94 records bearing certain visa types: i Business: Pleasure (continued): B-1 Visa Holders-Business GT WB Visa Waiver-Business GMT Guam Visa Waiver-Tourist GB CPL GMB Guam Visa Waiver-Business SBP I & I1 Visa Holders-Foreign Information Media CP Country code not equal 584 ‘Cuba” E-1 Visa Holders-Treaty Trader E-2 Visa Holders-Treaty Investor Student: M-1 Visa Holders-Vocational Students Pleasure: M-2 Visa Holders-Family Members of Vocational Students B-2 Visa Holders-Pleasure F-1 Visa Holders-Students WT Visa Waiver-Pleasure F-2 Visa Holders-Family Members of Students To comply with globally accepted international tourism definitions and classifications (United Nations World Tourism Organization/UNWTO), a traveler must spend one or more nights in the United States for a period that does not exceed 12 months to be classified a visitor to the United States. The purpose of the trip must be for pleasure, business (i.e., conduct business meetings and consultations, attend conventions and conferences or negotiate contracts) or study. In addition, all visitors are recognized primarily by residency. Visits based on country of citizenship are also provided. The aggregate count of Mexican visitors to the United States is based on monthly counts from Banco de Mexico which are classified as ‘border’ travelers (1 + night) and ‘tourists.’ However, NTTO does use the DHS ‘1-94 air only’ count to determine Mexican air travelers to the United States. The count of Canadian resident travelers to the United States is provided by Statistics Canada's International Visitor Survey. The inbound arrivals from the Survey are reported in the Summary but are subject to monthly revisions by Statistics Canada for up to 36 months following the initial data release. Visa Waiver Pilot Program (VWPP)/Parolee (April 30-October 30, 2000) The Visa Waiver Pilot Program (VWPP) expired at midnight on the evening of April 30, 2000/morning of May 1, 2000. With the statutory expiration of the VWPP, DHS/Office of Immigration Statistics (OIS) began paroling into the United States for up to 90 days, under terms and conditions almost identical to those required under the VWPP, those travelers who otherwise would have been eligible for entry under the VWPP. These measures were undertaken to avoid substantial disruption to international travel and commerce. A parolee is defined as an alien, appearing to be inadmissible to the inspecting officer (e.g., lack of a valid visa), allowed into the United States for urgent humanitarian reasons or when that alien's entry is determined to be for significant public benefit. Parole does not constitute a formal admission to the United States and confers temporary status only, requiring parolees to leave when the conditions supporting their parole cease to exist. Therefore, parolees are not classified as tourists or visitors for business or pleasure. i On October 30, 2000, the Visa Waiver Permanent Program Act made permanent the Visa Waiver Pilot Program. On October 31, 2000, DHS/OIS resumed admitting visitors for business as WBs and visitors for pleasure as WTs. The permanent program permits nationals from participating countries to apply for admission to the United States for ninety (90) days or less as visitors for business or pleasure without first obtaining a nonimmigrant visa. Non-Tourist Visitor Counts Excluded Other "non-tourist" visitor counts reported in DHS 1-94 program data, such as transiting passengers on the way to another country destination, airline crew members, official diplomats, temporary and religious workers, members of the foreign media, press and radio, are excluded from the Summary report because they are not by definition considered an international visitor to the United States. REPORT LIMITATIONS Trend Line Analysis Over time, several system changes have occurred to collecting, processing and reporting the visitor arrivals data for the United States. System changes to select data make some elements of this data base incompatible with arrival statistics produced and reported in prior years. When using this report in a time series, the user should pay close attention to past report introductions to assess comparability issues. Years where slight incompatibilities have occurred are discussed below. Unfortunately, there is no way to adjust past data as DHS does not store the raw data for extended periods of time. And there is no way to determine the impact of these changes. Therefore, each year’s counts are the best data available at the time it is released. Additionally, many official country designations change over time, which may affect time series analysis. Mexican Arrivals to the United States Prior to 2010, the United States only reported monthly Mexican tourist arrivals who visited the U.S. 'interior', beyond the 40 kilometer-25-mile border zone. The source of these data is the I094A semi-automated entry document system in use at U.S. land border ports. Starting in 2010, NTTO reports all Mexican travelers to the United States, monthly, using estimates from Banco de Mexico. Banco counts are subject to periodic revisions. Air travel counts, however, are derived from DHS/CBP 1-94 records. Canadian Arrivals Data on Canadian arrivals are derived from Statistics Canada's International Travel Survey. NTTO uses Statistic Canada's data as the official visitor estimates. These data reflect the number of Canadian residents visiting the United States overnight or longer. The Canadian arrival data are subject to monthly revisions by Statistics Canada for up to 36 months following the initial data release. Contact the National Travel and Tourism Office to obtain revised Canadian monthly and total arrivals data. ii China/Peoples Republic of China (PRC) and Hong Kong Starting in 1996, NTTO began reporting China PRC and Hong Kong as one country due to the re-unification. However, NTTO will continue to sub-set Hong Kong if Hong Kong residency data are reported by DHS/CBP. The Hong Kong data should be considered as an estimate in all years subsequent to 1996. Address While in U.S., a/k/a First Intended Address of Non-Resident Arrivals by Country of Residence During entry processing, CBP officers ask visitors to the United States to identify the address (number and street), U.S. city and state, they will be visiting while in the country. Currently, DHS/CBP only provides NTTO’s contractor with the U.S. state (not city) the traveler is visiting, as indicated in the arrival record. The data are found in the First Intended Address of Non-Resident Arrivals by Country of Residence tables (G.1 and G.2, H .1 and H.2, I.1 and I.2). While these data can be a useful barometer of the visitor’s intention, it is limited to a one destination response. Since the average overseas traveler visits 1.4 U.S. states (in 2013), the I-94 tables will understate the total number of international travelers that visited any given U.S.