Impact of the Economic Crises on Suicide in Italy: the Moderating Role of Active Labor Market Programs
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Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology (2019) 54:201–208 https://doi.org/10.1007/s00127-018-1625-8 ORIGINAL PAPER Impact of the economic crises on suicide in Italy: the moderating role of active labor market programs Giorgio Mattei1,2 · Barbara Pistoresi3 · Roberto De Vogli4 Received: 21 May 2018 / Accepted: 2 November 2018 / Published online: 12 November 2018 © Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2018 Abstract Purpose To analyze the association between unemployment and suicide in Italy during the years 1990–2014, with a peculiar focus on the great recession (GR) and the role played by social protection as buffering mechanism against the negative effect on health outcomes. Methods Fixed effects panel regressions were used to assess the association between changes in unemployment rate and suicide rates. Additional models investigated the role of active labor market programs (ALMPs) as possible moderators of the association. Analyses were carried out for both males and females, stratified by age and region. Results The negative time-trend displayed by suicide rate in Italy until 2007 was slowed down by changes in unemployment at the beginning of the GR, when this trend reversed and the rate of suicide started increasing. Male workers aged 25–64 and women aged 55–64 years were affected by both “normal” unemployment rate fluctuations as well as severe economic crises. Women aged 35–44 were only influenced by the latter. Men benefit from ALMPs mainly in Central Italy, while women did not benefit significantly from ALMPs. Conclusions In Italy, economic downturns were associated with increased suicides mainly among men, while severe eco- nomic crises were associated with increased suicides among both men and women. ALMPs showed to be effective in mod- erating the association between unemployment and suicide among men aged 45–54 only in Central Italy. The overall small effectiveness of such programs may be due to lack of sufficient funding. Keywords Economic crisis · Italy · Suicide · Active labor market programs · Fixed effects panel regression Introduction * Barbara Pistoresi In 2008 the world was hit by the Great Recession (GR), the [email protected] worst economic crisis since the 1929 Great Depression [1]. Giorgio Mattei The GR began in 2007 in the United States to then affect [email protected] the global economy and European countries such as Italy, Roberto De Vogli though its effect showed to vary according to the country [email protected] considered [2, 3]. In a previous study, Stuckler et al. [4] measured the 1 “Marco Biagi” Department of Economics and Marco Biagi Foundation, University of Modena and Reggio Emilia, Via J. impact of governmental policies as possible buffering Berengario, 51, 41121 Modena, Italy mechanisms for the negative health effect of economic cri- 2 Section of Psychiatry, Department of Biomedical, Metabolic ses. They focused on the role of welfare and social safety and Neural Sciences, University of Modena and Reggio nets, indicating that the relationship between suicide and Emilia, via G. Campi, 287, 41125 Modena, Italy economic fluctuations may vary according to level of 3 Department of Economics, RECent, Center for Economic expenditure in social protection, with particular reference to Research, University of Modena and Reggio Emila, Viale active labor market programs (ALMPs). According to these Berengario 51, 41121 Modena, Italy authors, recessions do not hurt per se; rather, it is the govern- 4 Department of Social Psychology and Development ments’ choice to implement economic policies of stimulus and Human Rights Centre, University of Padova, Via or austerity (favoring or reducing social safety nets) that Venezia, 12, 35131 Padova, Italy Vol.:(0123456789)1 3 202 Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology (2019) 54:201–208 matter the most for understanding the effect of economic in the present study we focus specifically on the relation downturns on population health. Specifically, austerity poli- between unemployment and suicide, and the possible mod- cies have a major detrimental effect on suicide, while public erating effect played by social protection, since suicide may spending in ALMPs can be an effective buffering mecha- be considered a gross indicator of mental health within a nism against negative health outcomes [5]. A case in point population. In fact, though suicide is a multifactorial phe- is Greece, where social and health indicators (all-cause mor- nomenon, severe mental illnesses account up to the 74% tality, cardiovascular mortality, homicides and crime, HIV of the population attributable risk of suicide [23], and in and tuberculosis infections, anxiety and mood disorders, psychological autopsy studies the median proportion of sui- suicide, alcohol abuse, attendance of public healthcare ser- cides attributable to mental disorders was 91% [24]. Also, vices) worsened after the implementation of severe austerity evidence concerning the moderating effect of social pro- measures [5]. tection are particularly sound with respect to the impact of Building on the existing literature, this study assesses the unemployment on suicide [4]. effect of ALMPs as moderator of the association between economic crises and suicide. No previous study we are aware of has yet investigated this relationship in Italy that, together with Greece, Portugal and Spain, was severely hit by the Methods crisis, and experienced one of the fastest reductions in gross domestic product (GDP) in Europe [6]. Notably, the GR hit Study design and data collection the Italian economy during a period of long-term difficul- ties coupled with a climate of political instability ultimately Health indicators were collected from the ‘Health for All’ resulting in the postponement of crucial structural reforms (HFA) database (version: December 2017) powered by the (e.g., concerning labor market and retirement system), that Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT), that can be made the country particularly vulnerable to a sovereign debt freely downloaded at the following link: https ://www.istat crisis [7]. Some studies showed that in the first years of the .it/it/archi vio/14562 . Since available data referred to years economic crisis, Italy experienced increased suicides and 1990–2014, the latter was considered as observation period attempted suicides due to financial problems [8–11]. Also, of the study. Suicide rates obtained from HFA refer to the in the same period, the following were noticeable: increased actual rates that are observed in the Italian population. In ischemic heart diseases and cardiovascular mortality [10, other words, they are not derived from a representative sam- 12], increased nicotine consumption [13, 14], decreased pre- ple. Differently, unemployment rates (that were collected scription of expensive drugs, increased prescription of cheap from the online database https ://www.dati.istat .it, powered drugs [15]. As far as alcohol consumption in concerned, an by ISTAT) are derived from a survey carried on quarterly by increase in binge drinking may have occurred, accompanied the Italian National Institute of Statistics, based on a sample by an overall reduction in expenditure for alcoholics, pos- made up of 250,000 families living in about 1400 munici- sibly due to budget constraint [10, 14], and consistently with palities (corresponding to a sample size of about 600,000 international literature [16, 17]. people, representative of the Italian population). More infor- Although research has already shown that, as happened in mation concerning the survey may be found here: https :// the majority of EU-member states [18–20], the GR exerted a www.istat .it/it/archi vio/8263. negative health effect in Italy, particularly increased suicides Expenditure for ALMPs (per head, at current prices and and poor mental health outcomes [8–11, 21], little is known adjusted for purchasing power parity, in US Dollars) was about the role of welfare policies as buffering mechanisms. found on the Website of the Organization for Economic In a research letter published in the BMJ, De Vogli showed Co-operation and Development (https ://data.oecd.org). that the association between unemployment and suicides ALMPs include “spending on public employment services becomes weaker a higher levels of investment in social and administration, labor market training, special programs services across Italian regions [8]. The aim of the present for youth when in transition from school to work, labor mar- research is to assess the role of ALMPs as moderators for ket programs to provide or promote employment for unem- the adverse health effects of the crisis. Using longitudinal ployed and other people (excluding young and disabled peo- secondary data concerning both males and females, stratified ple), and special programs for disabled people” [4]. by age and region, we hypothesize that ALMPs are effec- The following Italian macro-regions were included in the tive social buffering mechanisms able to mitigate the conse- analysis: North-East (Emilia-Romagna, Trentino, Veneto, quences of financial hardship on suicidal behavior. Friuli Venezia-Giulia), North-West (Liguria, Lombardia, We are aware that other indicators may be influenced by Piemonte, Valle d’Aosta), Central Italy (Lazio, Marche, economic downturns, such as alcohol consumption, traffic Toscana e Umbria), South (Abruzzo, Basilicata, Calabria, fatalities, all-cause mortality and homicides [4, 22]; yet, Campania, Puglia, Molise),