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ALTERNATIVE BETA MATTERS Quarterly Newsletter - Q4 2019
Alt Beta Newsletter 1 November 2019 ALTERNATIVE BETA MATTERS Quarterly Newsletter - Q4 2019 Introduction Welcome to CFM’s Alternative Beta Matters Quarterly Newsletter. Within this report we recap major developments in the Alternative Industry, together with a brief overview of Equity, Fixed Income/Credit, FX and Commodity markets as well as Trading Regulations and Data Science and Machine Learning news. All discussion is agnostic to particular approaches or techniques, and where alternative benchmark strategy results are presented, the exact methodology used is given. It also features our ‘CFM Talks To’ segment, an interview series in which we discuss topical issues with thought leaders from academia, the finance industry, and beyond. We have included an extended academic abstract from a paper published during the quarter, and one whitepaper. Our hope is that these publications, which convey our views on topics related to Alternative Beta that have arisen in our many discussions with clients, can be used as a reference for our readers, and can stimulate conversations on these topical issues. Contact details Call us +33 1 49 49 59 49 Email us [email protected] www.cfm.fr CFM Alternative Beta Matters CONTENTS 3 Quarterly review 10 Extended abstract The case for long-only agnostic allocation portfolios 11 Other news 12 CFM Talks To Robert Engle 17 Whitepaper Of Presidents and Heart Attacks - risk control as diversification through time www.cfm.fr 02 CFM Alternative Beta Matters (SG) Multi Alternative Risk Premia Index1 still managed to Quarterly review post a 2% positive return over the quarter. The headline story, however, was the good performance of Quantitative overview of Commodity Trading Advisors (CTA) in 2019, which continued in Q3. -
The Impact of Trump's Tweets on Financial Markets
A Service of Leibniz-Informationszentrum econstor Wirtschaft Leibniz Information Centre Make Your Publications Visible. zbw for Economics Abdi, Farshid; Kormanyos, Emily; Pelizzon, Loriana; Getmansky, Mila; Simon, Zorka Working Paper A modern take on market efficiency: The impact of Trump's tweets on financial markets SAFE Working Paper, No. 314 Provided in Cooperation with: Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE Suggested Citation: Abdi, Farshid; Kormanyos, Emily; Pelizzon, Loriana; Getmansky, Mila; Simon, Zorka (2021) : A modern take on market efficiency: The impact of Trump's tweets on financial markets, SAFE Working Paper, No. 314, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE, Frankfurt a. M. This Version is available at: http://hdl.handle.net/10419/233887 Standard-Nutzungsbedingungen: Terms of use: Die Dokumente auf EconStor dürfen zu eigenen wissenschaftlichen Documents in EconStor may be saved and copied for your Zwecken und zum Privatgebrauch gespeichert und kopiert werden. personal and scholarly purposes. Sie dürfen die Dokumente nicht für öffentliche oder kommerzielle You are not to copy documents for public or commercial Zwecke vervielfältigen, öffentlich ausstellen, öffentlich zugänglich purposes, to exhibit the documents publicly, to make them machen, vertreiben oder anderweitig nutzen. publicly available on the internet, or to distribute or otherwise use the documents in public. Sofern die Verfasser die Dokumente unter Open-Content-Lizenzen (insbesondere CC-Lizenzen) zur Verfügung gestellt haben sollten, If the documents have been made available under an Open gelten abweichend von diesen Nutzungsbedingungen die in der dort Content Licence (especially Creative Commons Licences), you genannten Lizenz gewährten Nutzungsrechte. may exercise further usage rights as specified in the indicated licence. www.econstor.eu Farshid Abdi | Emily Kormanyos | Loriana Pelizzon | Mila Getmansky Sherman | Zorka Simon A Modern Take on Market Efficiency: The Impact of Trump’s Tweets on Financial Markets SAFE Working Paper No. -
Lionel Leong Is Warning of a Weak Quarter on Poor
FOUNDER & PUBLISHER Kowie Geldenhuys EDITOR-IN-CHIEF Paulo Coutinho www.macaudailytimes.com.mo TUESDAY T. 26º/ 32º Air Quality Good MOP 8.00 3372 “ THE TIMES THEY ARE A-CHANGIN’ ” N.º 10 Sep 2019 HKD 10.00 SURVEILLANCE CAMERAS TOOK THE GOV’T CONFIRMS: PLASTIC ENROLLMENT OF LOCAL CREDIT FOR FOILING FOUR CAR CRASH STUDENTS AT MACAU’S LIARS WHO PRETENDED A PASSENGER BAGS TO BE CHARGED AT UNIVERSITIES HAS DROPPED WAS BEHIND THE WHEEL ONE PATACA EACH 30% IN THE PAST SIX YEARS P2 P3 P3 Taiwan and the Solomon Islands put on a display of friendship yesterday, pledging to deepen ties, even as rumors persist the Pacific nation is close to severing relations in favor of China. More on p11 HEADWINDSLIONEL LEONG IS WARNING OF A WEAK QUARTER ON AHEAD POOR GAMING DATA P6 AP PHOTO AP PHOTO Philippines Five people were honored yesterday as this year’s winners of the Ramon Magsaysay Awards, regarded as Asia’s version of the Nobel Prize, including a South Korean who helped fight suicide and bullying and a Thai housewife who became a human rights defender after losing her husband to violence in southern Thailand. Vietnam is at risk of a 500,000 ton shortage of the meat most of its citizens rely on for daily protein between now and the Lunar New Year in January as African swine fever ravages the nation’s hog herd, according to Ipsos Business Consulting. North Korea State media urged citizens yesterday to “fully mobilize” to rebuild after powerful Typhoon Lingling lashed the country over the weekend, with workers rebuilding electricity networks, salvaging battered crops and helping families whose homes and property were damaged. -
By His Words Alone: the Economic Consequences of Rodrigo Duterte
PRE The Philippine Review of Economics 57(1): 71-100. DOI: 10.37907/4ERP0202J By his words alone: the economic consequences of Rodrigo Duterte Elain Brianne O. Balderas* Alyanna Maria Belen S.D. Bernardo University of the Philippines Philippine President Rodrigo Duterte has gained worldwide notoriety for his foul-mouthed statements, particularly for his threats directed towards the nation’s largest businesses and their powerful owners. Such pronouncements, which may be mistaken for shifts in government policy, may inadvertently provoke the business sector to react negatively. This paper examines whether President Duterte's negative business-related pronouncements have an appreciable effect on the Philippine Stock Exchange Index (PSEi). We apply an interrupted time series model on PSEi data for the period June 30, 2016 until December 31, 2019 to determine Duterte’s impact on stock prices under six different intervention scenarios. Specifically, we test different classifications of business pronouncements— initial business pronouncements, anti-oligarch statements, personal attacks, and combinations of the three. The results show a significant relationship between Duterte’s negative business-related pronouncements on the PSEi closing price, with the biggest changes occurring during the first times he brought up a particular issue or addressed a certain personality. We aggregated the losses for the period 2018-2019 resulting from these pronouncements. For the five pronouncements, we estimate the combined losses to rise from ₱1 million on the day they were made to ₱47 million within five days and, as the market continues to adjust, up to₱ 441 million within ten days. JEL classification: C23, G12, G14, G41 Keywords: political communication, stock markets, efficient market hypothesis, event studies 1. -
List of British Entities That Are No Longer Authorised to Provide Services in Spain As from 1 January 2021
LIST OF BRITISH ENTITIES THAT ARE NO LONGER AUTHORISED TO PROVIDE SERVICES IN SPAIN AS FROM 1 JANUARY 2021 Below is the list of entities and collective investment schemes that are no longer authorised to provide services in Spain as from 1 January 20211 grouped into five categories: Collective Investment Schemes domiciled in the United Kingdom and marketed in Spain Collective Investment Schemes domiciled in the European Union, managed by UK management companies, and marketed in Spain Entities operating from the United Kingdom under the freedom to provide services regime UK entities operating through a branch in Spain UK entities operating through an agent in Spain ---------------------- The list of entities shown below is for information purposes only and includes a non- exhaustive list of entities that are no longer authorised to provide services in accordance with this document. To ascertain whether or not an entity is authorised, consult the "Registration files” section of the CNMV website. 1 Article 13(3) of Spanish Royal Decree-Law 38/2020: "The authorisation or registration initially granted by the competent UK authority to the entities referred to in subparagraph 1 will remain valid on a provisional basis, until 30 June 2021, in order to carry on the necessary activities for an orderly termination or transfer of the contracts, concluded prior to 1 January 2021, to entities duly authorised to provide financial services in Spain, under the contractual terms and conditions envisaged”. List of entities and collective investment -
Canyon CLO Fund III L.P. Form D Filed 2021-08-17
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION FORM D Official notice of an offering of securities that is made without registration under the Securities Act in reliance on an exemption provided by Regulation D and Section 4(6) under the Act. Filing Date: 2021-08-17 SEC Accession No. 0001740292-21-000004 (HTML Version on secdatabase.com) FILER Canyon CLO Fund III L.P. Mailing Address Business Address 2000 AVENUE OF THE 2000 AVENUE OF THE CIK:1878799| IRS No.: 000000000 | State of Incorp.:DE | Fiscal Year End: 1231 STARS, 11TH FLOOR STARS, 11TH FLOOR Type: D | Act: 33 | File No.: 021-410267 | Film No.: 211181895 LOS ANGELES CA 90067 LOS ANGELES CA 90067 310-272-1000 Copyright © 2021 www.secdatabase.com. All Rights Reserved. Please Consider the Environment Before Printing This Document UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION OMB APPROVAL OMB Number: 3235-0076 Washington, D.C. 20549 June 30, Expires: FORM D 2012 Estimated average burden hours per 4.00 Notice of Exempt Offering of Securities response: 1. Issuer's Identity CIK (Filer ID Number) Previous Name(s) ☒ None Entity Type 0001878799 ☐Corporation Name of Issuer ☒ Limited Partnership Canyon CLO Fund III L.P. ☐ Limited Liability Company Jurisdiction of Incorporation/ Organization ☐ General Partnership DELAWARE ☐ Business Trust Year of Incorporation/Organization ☐Other ☐ Over Five Years Ago ☒ Within Last Five Years (Specify Year) 2021 ☐ Yet to Be Formed 2. Principal Place of Business and Contact Information Name of Issuer Canyon CLO Fund III L.P. Street Address 1 Street Address 2 2000 Avenue of the Stars, 11th Floor City State/Province/Country ZIP/Postal Code Phone No. -
Unfit for Office
Unfit for Office Donald Trump’s narcissism makes it impossible for him to carry out the duties of the presidency in the way the Constitution requires. George T. Conway III On a third-down play last season, the Washington Redskins quarterback Alex Smith stood in shotgun formation, five yards behind the line of scrimmage. As he called his signals, a Houston Texans cornerback, Kareem Jackson, suddenly sprinted forward from a position four yards behind the defensive line. Jackson’s timing was perfect. The ball was snapped. The Texans’ left defensive end, J.J. Watt, sprinted to the outside, taking the Redskins’ right tackle with him. The defensive tackle on Watt’s right rushed to the inside, taking the offensive right guard with him. The result was a huge gap in the Redskins’ line, through which Jackson could run unblocked. He quickly sacked Smith, for a loss of 13 yards. Special-teams players began taking the field for the punt. But Smith didn’t get up. He rolled flat onto his back, pulled off his helmet, and covered his face with his hands. He was clearly in excruciating pain. The slow-motion replay immediately showed the television audience why: As Smith was tackled, his right leg had buckled sharply above the ankle, with his foot rotating significantly away from any direction in which a human foot ought to point. The play-by-play announcer Greg Gumbel said grimly, “We’ll be back,” and the network abruptly cut to a break. There was nothing more to say. Even without the benefit of medical training, and even without conducting a physical examination, viewers knew what had happened. -
Arxiv:1910.00149V2 [Physics.Soc-Ph] 11 Jan 2021 Examples Abound
Fame and Ultrafame: Measuring and comparing daily levels of `being talked about' for United States' presidents, their rivals, God, countries, and K-pop Peter Sheridan Dodds,1, 2, ∗ Joshua R. Minot,1 Michael V. Arnold,1 Thayer Alshaabi,1 Jane Lydia Adams,1 David Rushing Dewhurst,1 Andrew J. Reagan,3 and Christopher M. Danforth1, 2 1Computational Story Lab, Vermont Complex Systems Center, MassMutual Center of Excellence for Complex Systems and Data Science, Vermont Advanced Computing Core, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05401. 2Department of Mathematics & Statistics, University of Vermont, Burlington, VT 05401. 3MassMutual Data Science, Amherst, MA 01002. (Dated: January 12, 2021) When building a global brand of any kind|a political actor, clothing style, or belief system| developing widespread awareness is a primary goal. Short of knowing any of the stories or products of a brand, being talked about in whatever fashion|raw fame|is, as Oscar Wilde would have it, better than not being talked about at all. Here, we measure, examine, and contrast the day-to-day raw fame dynamics on Twitter for US Presidents and major US Presidential candidates from 2008 to 2020: Barack Obama, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, and Joe Biden. We assign \lexical fame" to be the number and (Zipfian) rank of the (lowercased) mentions made for each individual across all languages. We show that all five political figures have at some point reached extraordinary volume levels of what we define to be \lexical ultrafame": An overall rank of approximately 300 or less which is largely the realm of function words and demarcated by the highly stable rank of `god'. -
Salinas Valley
BUSINESS Chamber Trip Economy on JOURNAL to Australia + Fiji P. 5 Moderate Growth Path P. 9 INSIDE THIS ISSUE: Workplace Mental Health P.7 | Home Sales are Solid P.9 | Public Retirees Pensions P.17 Update on “The Salinas Plan” 32 Unpopular Recommendations to Avoid Future City Bankruptcy by Kevin Dayton, Chamber Board We’ve all heard of companies reorganizing their debts under Chapter 11 problem even more acute. of the U.S. Bankruptcy Code. And sometimes we hear about companies filing Recessions Lead to Local Government Bankruptcies for bankruptcy under Chapter 7, which means the companies go completely out of business. Notice in the chart above that Vallejo, Stockton, and San Bernardino went bankrupt during the so-called “Great Recession” of the late 2000s/ But do you know about Chapter 9 bankruptcy? This is the law for municipal early 2010s. When businesses were prospering, elected officials in these governments (such as cities and counties) that can’t pay off their debts. three cities could not resist imprudent spending on programs and projects. They go bankrupt to reorganize their debts, just like a business that can’t They also agreed to excessive financial commitments for employees. pay its obligations. When the economy slowed down, these cities couldn’t collect enough revenue Two of the most notorious Chapter 9 bankruptcies in recent American in taxes and fees to pay their bills. history were Orange County, California in 1994 and Detroit, Michigan in 2013. Ten years later, the American economy has experienced the longest period In recent years federal courts have also declared these three California cities of sustained growth in its history. -
1. INTRODUCTION Economists Are Interested Every Day in The
Dr. Ing. Ștefan SFICHI “Ștefan cel Mare” University of Suceava, Romania [email protected] Abstract: Economists are interested every day in the evolution of the markets. Nowadays, more and more mass media and social media are getting a higher important point on the evolution of the world. This is why these get to be more and more important. Taking into consideration the importance of presidents announcing trends on social media, it is of great value a capitalization of it. This is what this paper intends to find out and expose. Social has become the most important place of assimilation and or consumption of information and therefore is influencing the political directions and the markets. Key words: Media, Social Media, Markets, media impacting the market, worldwide, mass media JEL classification: L82 1. INTRODUCTION Economists are interested every day in the evolution of the markets. It is a fact that you may become even president if you have the media and social media with you. It is also a fact that you may not become a president if you don’t. Thinking of these facts, this article tries to find out how are media and social media impacting the markets. Nowadays, more and more mass media and social media are getting a higher important point on the evolution of the world. This is why these get to be more and more important. Taking into consideration the importance of presidents announcing trends on social media, it is of great value a capitalization of it. This is what this paper intends to find out and expose. -
Canyon Distressed Opportunity Fund Ill (Cayman), L.P
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION FORM D Official notice of an offering of securities that is made without registration under the Securities Act in reliance on an exemption provided by Regulation D and Section 4(6) under the Act. Filing Date: 2019-11-15 SEC Accession No. 0001738775-19-000005 (HTML Version on secdatabase.com) FILER Canyon Distressed Opportunity Fund Ill (Cayman), L.P. Mailing Address Business Address MAPLES CORPORATE MAPLES CORPORATE CIK:1793630| IRS No.: 000000000 | State of Incorp.:E9 | Fiscal Year End: 1231 SERVICES LIMITED SERVICES LIMITED Type: D | Act: 33 | File No.: 021-353520 | Film No.: 191223137 UGLAND HOUSE, SOUTH UGLAND HOUSE, SOUTH CHURCH STREET CHURCH STREET GRAND CAYMAN E9 GRAND CAYMAN E9 KY1-1104 KY1-1104 345-949-8066 Copyright © 2019 www.secdatabase.com. All Rights Reserved. Please Consider the Environment Before Printing This Document UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION OMB APPROVAL OMB Number: 3235-0076 Washington, D.C. 20549 June 30, Expires: FORM D 2012 Estimated average burden hours per 4.00 Notice of Exempt Offering of Securities response: 1. Issuer's Identity CIK (Filer ID Number) Previous Name(s) ☒ None Entity Type 0001793630 ☐Corporation Name of Issuer ☐ Limited Partnership Canyon Distressed Opportunity Fund ☐ Limited Liability Company Ill (Cayman), L.P. Jurisdiction of Incorporation/ ☐ General Partnership Organization ☐ Business Trust CAYMAN ISLANDS ☒Other Year of Incorporation/Organization Cayman Islands Exempted Limited ☐ Over Five Years Ago Partnership ☒ Within Last Five Years (Specify Year) 2019 ☐ Yet to Be Formed 2. Principal Place of Business and Contact Information Name of Issuer Canyon Distressed Opportunity Fund Ill (Cayman), L.P. -
Research Topic Measuring the Impact of Individual Twitter Accounts on The
Research Topic Measuring the Impact of Individual Twitter Accounts on the S&P 500 and Investment Strategies Master Thesis Geneva Business School Master in International Finance Submitted by: Michelle Fleming Geneva, Switzerland Approved on the application of: Dr. Samer Ajour Dr. Oliver Elliot And Dr. Roy Maurad Date: May 22, 2020 Declaration of Authorship “I hereby declare: ● That I have written this work on my own without other people’s help (copy-editing, translation, etc.) and without the use of any aids other than those indicated; ● That I have mentioned all the sources used and quoted them correctly in accordance with academic quotation rules; ● That the topic or parts of it are not already the object of any work or examination of another course unless this has been explicitly agreed on with the faculty member in advance; ● That my work may be scanned in and electronically checked for plagiarism; ● That I understand that my work can be published online or deposited to the university repository. I understand that to limit access to my work due to the commercial sensitivity of the content or to protect my intellectual property or that of the company I worked with, I need to file a Bar on Access according to thesis guidelines.” Date: May 22, 2020 Name: Michelle Fleming Signature: 2 Acknowledgements I would like to thank all of the faculty and staff at Geneva Business School for giving me hands on tools and real world experiences during my masters program. I would especially like to express my gratitude to my advisor Samer Ajour for being a dedicated teacher and mentor through this process.