DOCSLIB.ORG

Pinduoduo Inc

Total Page：16

File Type：pdf, Size：1020Kb

Download full-text PDF Read full-text
Pinduoduo Inc Pinduoduo Inc. Equity Research Target Price: 28,82$ Current Price: 169,43$ Downside Potential: -82,1% Recommendation: UNINVESTABLE Investment Horizon: 1 Year Vienna, January 29th, 2021 - 1 - © WUTIS Team – Overview Equity Research Jan Iryna Benedikt Katrin Tanson Zginnyk Lucny Haas Director Associate Analyst Analyst ▪ Task distribution ▪ Market & industry ▪ Business model ▪ Business model ▪ Story guideline analysis ▪ Industry analysis ▪ Financial analysis ▪ Valuation ▪ Peer benchmarking ▪ HR analysis ▪ Management analysis ▪ Valuation ▪ BSc. (WU) – 7th Sem. ▪ BSc. (WU) – 3rd Sem. ▪ BSc. (WU) – 2nd Sem. ▪ BSc. (WU) – 5th Sem. ▪ BSc. Pharma – 5th Sem. - 2 - © WUTIS Agenda 1 Executive summary 4 2 Business description 6 3 Market outlook 13 4 Competitive landscape 21 5 Questionable financials 24 6 Benchmarking 28 7 Risk analysis 34 8 Catalysts 36 9 Conclusion 38 - 3 - © WUTIS Share price performance PDD has experienced a tremendous growth in share price and a lofty valuation since 2020 Share price – Major Events $180 ▪ [1] April 2019 (-5%) – Financial Times cash $160 burn criticism [5] $140 ▪ [2] August 2019 (+39%) – Q2 2020 results – $120 Pinduoduo beats estimates & GMV strength [4] ▪ [3] April 2020 (+35%) – Strategic partnership $100 with GOME (financing of struggling retailer) $80 ▪ [4] August 2020 (-19%) – Q2 2020 results – [3] Pinduoduo missed top-line estimates $60 [1] [2] ▪ [5] November 2020 (+21%) – Q3 2020 results $40 – Pinduoduo beats expectations (89% Y/Y revenue growth) & Q3 report shows $20 “investments paying off” $0 Source: Yahoo Finance, SeekingAlpha - 4 - © WUTIS Investment thesis A cash-burning business model, potential fraud and no plan for the future; PDD is uninvestable Key investment highlights 1 Pinduoduo has grown almost exponentially since its foundation in 2015 and is on the run to outpace its competitors in terms of GMV1 2 The company’s shareholder structure, management, financials Unprecedented Misleading growth rates and relations with independent parties are opaque and deceiving numbers 6 1 3 Pinduoduo’s growth is founded only on its expensive subsidy program that is fueled by investors´ money and enables the company to offer products at a cheaper price 5 2 Powerful and 4 better positioned Non-transparency While management has spoken about the idea of becoming China’s competitors “first” agricultural e-commerce company, there are no clear plans or 4 3 transactions showing how it will achieve this goal 5 Well-established competitors and new entrants compete with Pinduoduo in its main market and already have the necessary Ambiguous future Unsustainable infrastructure to enable online grocery shopping strategy business model 6 Pinduoduo’s reported numbers seem unrealistic and might be embellished, underscored by the fact that explanatory details in the financial statements are missing 1Total value of all orders for products and services placed on Pinduoduo, regardless of whether actually sold, - 5 - © WUTIS delivered, or returned. Shipping costs are included Pinduoduo WUTIS - Equity Research Business Description - 6 - © WUTIS Company overview Pinduoduo Inc. is the holding company of a Chinese mobile e-commerce platform Business description Initial public offering Management team ▪ Pinduoduo Inc. is a Chinese e-commerce platform operator ▪ Date: July 26, 2018 ▪ Zheng Huang offering value-for-money merchandise and an interactive shopping ▪ Stock exchange: NASDAQ Chairman & Founder experience through its same-named mobile platform ▪ Ticker: PDD ▪ Lei Chen ▪ Business segments: Online marketplace services (90%) & CEO since 07/20 ▪ Initial Price: $19,00 Transaction services (10%) ▪ Zhenwei Zheng ▪ Opening Trade: $26,50 ▪ Founded: September 2015 Senior VP of Product ▪ Closing Price: $26,70 ▪ Headquarters: Shanghai, China Development since 01/16 ▪ Offering led by Credit ▪ Employees: 5,828 ▪ Junyun Xiao Suisse, Goldman Sachs & Senior VP of Operation ▪ Auditor: Ernst & Young Hua Ming LLP1 China Renaissance since 01/16 ▪ Jing Ma VP of Finance since 07/20 Key financial metrics Shareholder structure in RMB tsd. 2016 2017 2018 2019 Revenues 504.864 1.774.076 13.119.990 30.141.886 12.4% Zheng Huang YoY growth 245% 641% 220% 29.4% 6.2% Tencent Holdings Limited Costs of revenues (544.870) (722.830) (2.905.249) (6.338.778) Banyan Partners Fund li, L.p. Gross margin -8% 58% 78% 79% 7.7% Sequoia Capital China Operating expenses (791.074) (2.339.800) (23.919.731) (38.680.097) Qubit GP Ltd Operating loss (286.210) (595.724) (10.799.741) (8.538.211) 8.2% BlackRock Inc. Operating margin -34% -82% -28% 22.4% Other Net loss (291.977) (525.115) (10.217.125) (6.967.603) 13.7% Total Debt/Equity 0% 0% 0% 25% Source: PDD Annual Report 2018 & 2019, investors.com, sec.gov, fintel.io - 7 - © WUTIS 1Same auditor (Independent Franchise of EY) as fraudulent company “Luckin Coffee” Business model Together, maybe more savings for consumers, probably less fun for investors deliver goods share with friends deliver goods Group Social Media buyers Merchants Group purchase pay deposits, advertising & transaction fees purchase Users gives discounts and raffles Platform Pinduoduo Merchants Customers ▪ Products get subsidized ▪ Pay deposits but no platform ▪ Customer base = not loyal ▪ Revenue Income: 90% comes fees ▪ Price sensitive & benefit from from online marketing services & ▪ Ships goods via 3rd party logistic, discounts of up to 90% 10% from transaction mainly China post (pay on own) ▪ Reside in rural areas ▪ Pay 0.6% of each transaction on platform as payment fee The business model is not sustainable as Pinduoduo is burning huge amounts of cash while not generating a loyal customer base Source: Financial Times, Forbes, pinduoduo S-1 filing, Team Analysis - 8 - © WUTIS Target group & monetization Pinduoduo monetizes its users through cheap advertising services for merchants Distribution of PDD users (%) User distribution by age (%) 40% 37% 36% 36% 11% 33% 35% 31% 29% 32% 30% 23% 25% 22% 21% Age Gender 48% 52% 20% 36% 15% 11% 11% 10% 10% 5% 21% 0% 18-25 26-35 36-45 46 and above Female Male 18-25 26-35 36-45 46 and above New Uninstalled Active Revenue breakdown (RMB m) – The unusual case of a marketplace, not monetizing on sales 16000 1.4% 14000 1.20% 1.2% 1.07% 0.97% 12000 1.03% 1.03% 0.98% 1.0% 10000 0.89% 0.96% 0.84% 0.82% 0.8% 8000 0.70% 0.60% 0.6% 6000 0.57% 0.4% 4000 0.27% 2000 0.18% 0.2% 0 0.0% Q1 17 Q2 17 Q3 17 Q4 17 Q1 18 Q2 18 Q3 18 Q4 18 Q1 19 Q2 19 Q3 19 Q4 19 Q1 20 Q2 20 Q3 20 Online Marketing Services Other Monetization rate Source: Aurora Mobile „Comprehensive analysis on PDD data“, company report, Team Analysis - 9 - © WUTIS NoteMonetization rate is calculated as revenue divided by GMV History Founded in 2015, PDD is said to be China’s fastest growing e-commerce company Company Development Unprecedented Gross Merchandise Volume growth ▪ Pinduoduo reached the same GMV figure in 5 2015 Sep 2015 2011 years that its main competitors Alibaba and Pinhaohuo Pinduoduo JD.com needed more than 14 years to achieve Shanghai Xunmeng Social e-commerce Same concept applied Online gaming platform ▪ This might be best explained by Pinduoduo’s platform for groceries to online marketplace subsidy-fueled spending spree to attract neglected lower tier consumers in bn Until 2016 ¥ 1,600 Hangzhou Tuxian Dec 2015 ¥ 1,400 Logistics providing Private Equity funding fulfilment services for round of $110 m ¥ 1,200 fresh produce ¥ 1,000 ¥ 800 ¥ 600 2018 Jul 2018 Selling of Hangzhou ¥ 400 Initial Public Offering Tuxian Logistics, of $1,626 bn ¥ 200 followed by bankruptcy ¥ 0 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 17 17 17 17 18 18 18 18 19 19 19 19 20 20 20 GMV PDD 4 year lagged GMV JD.com 2021 2019 - 2020 Jul 2020 Change in business Several funding rounds Lei Chen succeeding ”GMV”: Total value of all orders for products and services model back to in total of Colin Huang as CEO placed on Pinduoduo, regardless of whether actually Pinhaohuo concept? $3,3 bn sold, delivered, or returned. Shipping costs are included. Source: Financial times, PDD annual report, m.chinaknowledge.com, JD.com quarterly reports - 10 - © WUTIS Management Two men concentrate Pinduoduo management functions between them, without a CFO Founder & former CEO Zheng Huang Shareholder structure after Huang’s resignation ▪ MSc in Computer Science from the University of May 2020 June 2020 Wisconsin (2014) ▪ Worked on setting up Google China ▪ Serial entrepreneur & founder of Ouku.com (2007), 29% Leqee (2009), & Lebbay (2011) 44% 56% ▪ No direct ownership in any of these companies 57% ▪ Transferred majority ownership in PDD’s VIE to Lei 4% Chen in May 2018 8% ▪ Stepped down as CEO and transferred 35 % of his 2% Born 1979/80 in shares in May 2020 Hangzhou Rest Starry Night Charitable ▪ Has remained chairman of board of director Trust ▪ First partner in Pinduoduo Partnership Huang Pinduoduo Partnership Current CEO Lei Chen Vice President of Finance history ▪ Founding member & former CTO VP of CEO (Huang) VP of CEO (Huang) acting as CFO Finance as CFO Finance ▪ Doctoral degree in Computer Science from University of Wisconsin ▪ Interned at Google, Yahoo, IBM ▪ Worked at Ouku.com ▪ Second partner in Pinduoduo Partnership 09/15 06/18 07/18 04/19 05/19 06/20 07/20 ▪ Established with Huang’s share transfer to “act as cultural guardian” and “assisting board of Tian Xu resigned after Jing Ma announced as directors to select directors and the CEO” 10 months because of VP of Finance after Born 1979/80 “personal reasons” Huang’s resignation ▪ Only two partners are Huang and Chen Source: Financial
Load more

Recommended publications
  • Graham & Doddsville
    Graham & Doddsville An investment newsletter from the students of Columbia Business School Inside this issue: Issue XXXIV Fall 2018 From Graham to Tweedy, Browne Company Tweedy, Browne Buffett and Beyond Company is a value- Omaha Dinner P. 3 oriented asset manager that Howard Marks manages domestic, Book Signing P. 4 international, and Tweedy, Browne global equity portfolios for Company P. 6 individuals, family Student groups, and Investment Ideas P. 17 institutions from all over the world. The Scott Miller P. 21 firm was one of the Clockwise from top left: Roger De Bree; Andrew Ewert ‘07; Frank Hawrylak, few investment firms Steve Tusa P. 28 CFA; Jay Hill, CFA; Bob Wyckoff; John Spears; Tom Shrager; Amelia Koh ‘16 mentioned by Warren Buffett in his Editors: (Continued on page 6) Ryder Cleary MBA 2019 Scott Miller, Greenhaven Road Capital Gregory Roberson, Esq. MBA 2019 Scott Miller formally launched long-biased value hedge fund Greenhaven Road Capital in 2011. Prior to founding David Zheng Greenhaven, Mr. Miller was the Co-Founder and CFO/Chief of MBA 2019 Strategy of Acelero Learning, a Head Start education services Frederic Dreyfuss company that has grown to over 1,200 employees. He was MBA 2020 previously an Analyst at Litmus Capital, an Associate at NewSchools Venture Fund, and has further experience as a Sophie Song, CFA business owner-operator. Mr. Miller earned a B.A. in Political MBA 2020 Science from the University of Pennsylvania, an M.B.A. from Scott Miller the Stanford University Graduate School of Business, and an John Szramiak MBA 2020 (Continued on page 21) Steve Tusa, Wall Street’s GE Bear Visit us at: www.grahamanddodd.com Rolf Heitmeyer www.csima.info JP Morgan’s Steve Tusa is Institutional Investor magazine’s #1 ranked analyst covering the Electrical Equipment & Multi- Industry sector.
    [Show full text]
  • Portfolio Holdings Listing Fidelity Advisor Equity Growth Fund As Of
    Portfolio Holdings Listing Fidelity Advisor Equity Growth Fund DUMMY as of July 30, 2021 The portfolio holdings listing (listing) provides information on a fund’s investments as of the date indicated. Top 10 holdings information (top 10 holdings) is also provided for certain equity and high income funds. The listing and top 10 holdings are not part of a fund’s annual/semiannual report or Form N-Q and have not been audited. The information provided in this listing and top 10 holdings may differ from a fund’s holdings disclosed in its annual/semiannual report and Form N-Q as follows, where applicable: With certain exceptions, the listing and top 10 holdings provide information on the direct holdings of a fund as well as a fund’s pro rata share of any securities and other investments held indirectly through investment in underlying non- money market Fidelity Central Funds. A fund’s pro rata share of the underlying holdings of any investment in high income and floating rate central funds is provided at a fund’s fiscal quarter end. For certain funds, direct holdings in high income or convertible securities are presented at a fund’s fiscal quarter end and are presented collectively for other periods. For the annual/semiannual report, a fund’s investments include trades executed through the end of the last business day of the period. This listing and the top 10 holdings include trades executed through the end of the prior business day. The listing includes any investment in derivative instruments, and excludes the value of any cash collateral held for securities on loan and a fund’s net other assets.
    [Show full text]
  • Roger A. Ikeda, Et Al. V. Baidu, Inc., Et Al. 20-CV-02768-Order Granting
    Case 5:20-cv-02768-LHK Document 60 Filed 04/07/21 Page 1 of 31 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT 9 NORTHERN DISTRICT OF CALIFORNIA 10 SAN JOSE DIVISION 11 12 ROGER A. IKEDA, et al., Case No. 20-CV-02768-LHK 13 Plaintiffs, ORDER GRANTING MOTION TO DISMISS WITH LEAVE TO AMEND 14 v. Re: Dkt. No. 50 15 BAIDU, INC. et al., 16 Defendants. 17 Lead Plaintiff Robert J. Allustiarti, individually and on behalf of all other persons similarly United States District United States Court Northern District of CaliforniaNorthern of District 18 situated (“Plaintiff”), alleges that Defendants Baidu, Inc.; Yanhong Li; and Cheng-Chun Yu 19 (collectively, “Defendants”) violated federal securities laws. Before the Court is Baidu’s motion to 20 dismiss Plaintiff’s Amended Complaint. ECF No. 50. Having considered the parties’ submissions, 21 the relevant law, and the record in this case, the Court GRANTS Baidu’s motion to dismiss with 22 leave to amend. 23 I. BACKGROUND 24 A. Parties 25 Plaintiff sues Defendant Baidu, Inc. (“Baidu”), which is a Cayman Islands corporation with 26 its headquarters in Beijing, China. ECF No. 41 (“AC”) ¶ 25. Since at least 2005, Baidu has 27 1 28 Case No. 20-CV-02768-LHK ORDER GRANTING MOTION TO DISMISS WITH LEAVE TO AMEND Case 5:20-cv-02768-LHK Document 60 Filed 04/07/21 Page 2 of 31 1 sponsored American Depositary Shares (“ADSs”) that trade on the NASDAQ. Id. ¶ 26. 2 Plaintiff also sues Defendants Yanhong Li (“Li”) and Cheng-Chun Yu (“Yu”) (collectively, 3 “the Individual Defendants”).
    [Show full text]
  • The Competitive Landscape for E-Commerce in China
    The Competitive Landscape for E-Commerce in China 1 2 0 2 , H T 4 1 L I Jeff Towson - Peking University R P A April 14th, 2021 The Competitive Landscape for E-Commerce in China Alibaba paved the way for the e-commerce revolution that has taken China by storm. Today, China is the largest e-commerce market in the world. Roughly 50% of global online transactions occur within China. To truly understand the Chinese competitive e-commerce landscape, we need to look into the consumer trends, the characteristics of the Chinese consumer, the Chinese marketplace, and the growth of internet users and fintech. Joining us for a discussion on the Chinese E-commerce competitive landscape Jeff Towson— Keynote Speaker on Digital China and Asia, Head of Research at Asia Tech Strategy US-China Series has been blessed to have leading authorities on many segments of the Chinese economy, but I struggle to find another with Jeff’s knowledge of e-commerce and the digital landscape. His understanding of companies such as JD, Alibaba, and Pinduodou was exceptional, and our deep dive into these companies and their ecosystem provided insights into not only the prevailing competitive landscape but where the industry is likely headed in the years to come. Chinese e-commerce has merged content, commerce, and social media into one platform. Traditional retailers like Walmart pitch themselves as places where one would buy what they need with extensive selections to choose from, and many e-commerce retailers have followed this model. In contrast, the shopping mall represents a different retail experience: one may go there for fun with friends and experience different things.
    [Show full text]
  • K Invest Globale Aktier II Quarter End Statement for the Period January 1, 2021 to March 31, 2021
    K Invest Globale Aktier II Quarter End Statement For the period January 1, 2021 to March 31, 2021 BARON CAPITAL® As of March 31, 2021 Baron Investment Philosophy Reporting Currency: DKK As of March 31, 2021 K Invest Globale Aktier II Reporting Currency: DKK Portfolio Manager: Alex Umansky Primary Contact: Stephen Millar +44(0)20 3941 5961 Vice President, Head of EMEA Client Service: Janet Lam Chen +1-212-583-2162 Director, Client Service Investment Strategy Jennifer Bailey +1-212-583-2197 Senior Associate, Client Service The portfolio invests mainly in growth companies of all sizes located throughout the world. Diversified. Michael Howard +1-917-933-0127 Associate, Client Service Table of Contents: Portfolio Summary 2 Performance 3 Quarterly Top Contributor/Detractors 4 Performance Attribution 5 Performance Attribution by Region 6 Attribution Commentary 7 Significant Transactions 8 GICS Sector Breakdown 9 Relative Sector Breakdown 10 Relative Country, Region, Developed/Emerging Breakdown 11 Top Ten Holdings Investment Premise 12 Portfolio Holdings by GICS Sector 13 Portfolio Holdings by Country 14 Reports 15 Schedule of Investments 1 As of March 31, 2021 K Invest Globale Aktier II Reporting Currency: DKK Portfolio Characteristics Summary of Activities Account MSCI ACWI Index Portfolio Value on December 31, 2020 1,246,463,818.96 DKK # of Equity Securities / % of Net Assets 56 / 97.4% - Contributions 181,033,609.15 Median Market Cap 123.10 billion DKK 72.28 billion DKK Withdrawals -90,563,300.36 Weighted Average Market Cap 1,603.84 billion DKK 1,894.16 billion DKK Dividends and Interest -10,268.53 Inception Date December 21, 2020 - Net Assets 1.35 billion DKK - Management Fees 0.00 Appreciation/Depreciation 9,647,473.14 Monthly Performance (Net %) for Quarter Ended March 31, 2021 Portfolio Value on March 31, 2021 1,346,571,332.36 DKK Account MSCI ACWI Index January 2.22 0.18 February 5.92 2.39 March -6.30 6.05 Portfolio Review and Outlook The first quarter of 2021 saw a perceptible shift in market leadership from growth to value.
    [Show full text]
  • Lessons from Chinese Platforms
    LESSONS FROM CHINESE PLATFORMS What other companies can learn from the China platforms’ response to COVID-19 Covid-19: What to do Now, What to do Next NOW NEXT Where we are now Compared with the rest of the world, China is months ahead in dealing with COVID-19. The first identified case of the disease has been traced to Hubei Province, where it was recorded on 17 November 2019.1 Since then, more than 1.2 million cases have been reported worldwide2, with many more expected. COVID-19 has affected communities and industries across the globe. And it continues to evolve with unprecedented speed and reach. Lives and livelihoods depend upon governments and businesses balancing health, social, financial and economic risks. And they have to do that in a rapidly changing environment with incomplete information. One thing we do know is that Chinese platform companies have played a vital role in the effort to slow the spread of COVID-19. They supported communities while the country was in lockdown, providing valuable information, and helping connect friends, families, experts, and governments. They’ve entertained people, helped them to learn, and kept small businesses alive. Along the way, they’ve faced new challenges and inevitably made mistakes. But they’ve also demonstrated how digital platforms generally can move quickly, operate flexibly and serve as a powerful resource in these testing times. 1 https://www.scmp.com/news/china/society/article/3074991/coronavirus-chinas-first-confirmed-covid-19-case-traced-back 2 https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/04/what-you-need-to-know-about-covid-19-5-april/ Copyright © 2020 Accenture.
    [Show full text]
  • Usaa Fund Holdings Usaa Nasdaq-100 Index Fund
    USAA FUND HOLDINGS As of June 30, 2021 USAA NASDAQ-100 INDEX FUND CUSIP TICKER SECURITY NAME SHARES/PAR/CONTRACTS MARKET VALUE 00507V109 ATVI ACTIVISION BLIZZARD INC 229,531.00 21,906,438.64 00724F101 ADBE ADOBE INC 141,201.00 82,692,953.64 007903107 AMD ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES 358,915.00 33,712,885.95 015351109 ALXN ALEXION PHARMACEUTICALS 65,289.00 11,994,242.19 016255101 ALGN ALIGN TECHNOLOGY INC 23,377.00 14,283,347.00 02079K107 GOOG ALPHABET INC - CLASS C 62,814.00 157,431,984.48 02079K305 GOOGL ALPHABET INC - CLASS A 58,382.00 142,556,583.78 023135106 AMZN AMAZON.COM, INC. 97,900.00 336,791,664.00 025537101 AEP AEP CO., INC. 147,626.00 12,487,683.34 031162100 AMGN AMGEN, INC. 169,722.00 41,369,737.50 032654105 ADI ANALOG DEVICES, INC. 108,951.00 18,757,004.16 03662Q105 ANSS ANSYS INC 25,745.00 8,935,059.70 037833100 AAPL APPLE, INC. 3,239,420.00 443,670,963.20 038222105 AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS, INC. 269,988.00 38,446,291.20 052769106 ADSK AUTODESK, INC. 65,007.00 18,975,543.30 053015103 ADP AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING 125,698.00 24,966,136.76 056752108 BIDU BAIDU INC 76,539.00 15,606,302.10 09062X103 BIIB BIOGEN INC 44,474.00 15,400,011.98 09857L108 BKNG BOOKING HOLDINGS INC 12,127.00 26,534,967.43 11135F101 AVGO BROADCOM INC 120,612.00 57,512,626.08 12514G108 CDW CDW CORP OF DELAWARE 41,416.00 7,233,304.40 126408103 CSX CSX CORP.
    [Show full text]
  • Stocks Eligible for Inclusion in a Broad-Based Index Under Path B
    Stocks Eligible for Inclusion in a Broad-Based Index Under Path B Under Path B, an index is classified as broad based if: 1) The index has 9 or more component securities; 2) No single security comprises more than 30 percent of the index’s weighting; 3) All of the securities are registered under Section 12 of the Exchange Act; and 4) Each security is one of the 750 securities with the largest market capitalization and one of the 675 securities with the largest dollar value of ADTV The list below shows those registered securities that meet both criteria 3) and 4), in alphabetical order. The list shows those registered securities that are among the 750 largest by market capitalization and that are among the 675 largest in terms of U.S. dollar value of average daily trading volume (ADTV). The list is updated in January and July based on market capitalization data and dollar value of average daily trading volume provided by Bloomberg Professional Service. CFTC staff collect data on the 1,400 largest companies by market capitalization in order to maintain the required six-month history. Bloomberg Professional Service provides data on the six-month dollar value of average daily trading volume. The list may change due to variances in the dollar value of average daily trading volume and market capitalization of the component stocks. Stocks indicated by an asterisk are among the bottom 10 percent of the 750 market capitalization list (75 stocks) or among the bottom 10 percent of the 675 value of average daily trading volume list (68 stocks).
    [Show full text]
  • The Future of Mobility Ride-Hailing and New Businesses to Fuel $7Tn+
    EQUITY RESEARCH | June 4, 2019 | 6:25 AM EDT The following is a redacted version of the original report. See inside for details. THE FUTURE OF M BILITY Ride-hailing and new businesses to fuel $7tn+ global mobility market The next 10 years of mobility will bring more change in the way that people and products move than any decade since the invention of the automobile. Emerging technologies and business models like ride-hailing and sharing, autonomous driving and delivery, micro-mobility and even eVTOL (flying cars, finally) stand to disrupt profit pools that we estimate exceed $700bn, and venture backed startups and incumbents will attempt to address over $7tn in spend- ing. Given the size of the opportunity, it should come as no surprise that access to capital has created a hyper competi- tive environment marked by massive operating losses driven by marketing, subsidies, incentives, and capital in- vestment. As this environment matures and rationalizes, we expect consolidation that will lead to profitability, the establishment of category leaders, and significant opportunities for investors. Heath P. Terry, CFA Daniel Powell Piyush Mubayi Frank Jarman David Tamberrino, CFA Adam Hotchkiss +1 212 357-1849 +1 917 343-4120 +852 2978-1677 +1 212 902-7537 +1 212 357-7617 +1 212 902-3941 [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] [email protected] Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Goldman Sachs & Co.LLC Goldman Sachs does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports.
    [Show full text]
  • Virtus Allianzgi Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund
    Virtus AllianzGI Artificial Intelligence & Technology Opportunities Fund as of : 05/28/2021 (Unaudited) SECURITY SHARES TRADED MARKET VALUE % OF PORTFOLIO NXP Semiconductors NV 89,880 $19,002,430 1.89 % Microsoft Corp 76,095 $18,999,400 1.89 % Deere & Co 52,235 $18,862,059 1.87 % UnitedHealth Group Inc 40,120 $16,526,230 1.64 % IQVIA Holdings Inc 63,895 $15,345,023 1.52 % ON Semiconductor Corp 14,000,000 $14,665,000 1.46 % Mastercard Inc 40,120 $14,466,470 1.44 % Citigroup Inc 182,535 $14,367,330 1.43 % Square, Inc. 0.25% 01-NOV-2027 12,500,000 $14,054,688 1.40 % Morgan Stanley 151,625 $13,790,294 1.37 % Broadcom Inc 8.00 % Cum Conv Pfd Registered Shs 2019-30.09.22 Series A 8,965 $13,634,689 1.35 % JPMorgan Chase & Co 82,100 $13,484,104 1.34 % Anthem Inc 33,835 $13,473,774 1.34 % Marvell Technology Inc 268,390 $12,963,237 1.29 % Snap Inc 12,425,000 $12,782,219 1.27 % Visa Inc 56,215 $12,777,670 1.27 % Flex Ltd 656,100 $11,986,947 1.19 % Alphabet, Inc.- Cl A 5,080 $11,972,798 1.19 % Microchip Technology Incorporated 0.125% 15-NOV-2024 10,457,000 $11,966,729 1.19 % Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. /Subsidiaries (2)/ 2.875% 15-NOV-2023 9,000,000 $11,920,500 1.18 % First Republic Bank/CA 61,770 $11,825,249 1.17 % 1 SECURITY SHARES TRADED MARKET VALUE % OF PORTFOLIO Micron Technology Inc 137,890 $11,602,065 1.15 % 2020 Cash Mandatory Exchangeable Trust 9,330 $11,503,703 1.14 % Applied Materials Inc 83,190 $11,491,035 1.14 % Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc 90,830 $11,378,274 1.13 % Honeywell International Inc 49,100 $11,337,681 1.13 % Ford Motor Company 0.0% 15-MAR-2026 10,000,000 $10,995,227 1.09 % Okta, Inc.
    [Show full text]
  • Blue Orca Capital
    BLUE ORCA CAPITAL “One percent of bad apples in the barrel probably won’t affect anything, but five percent of bad apples will destroy the whole barrel.” - Colin Huang, Pinduoduo CEO and Founder THIS RESEARCH REPORT EXPRESSES SOLELY OUR OPINIONS. We are short sellers. We are biased. So are long investors. So is PDD. So are the banks that raised money for the Company. If you are invested (either long or short) in PDD, so are you. Just because we are biased does not mean that we are wrong. Use BOC Texas, LLC’s research opinions at your own risk. This report and its contents are not intended to be and do not constitute or contain any financial product advice. Because this document has been prepared without consideration of any specific clients’ investment objectives, financial situation or needs, and no information in this report should be construed as recommending or suggesting an investment strategy. Investors should seek their own financial, legal and tax advice in respect of any decision regarding any securities discussed herein. You should do your own research and due diligence before making any investment decisions, including with respect to the securities discussed herein. We have a short interest in PDD’s stock and therefore stand to realize significant gains in the event that the price of such instrument declines. Please refer to our full disclaimer located on the last page of this report. COMPANY: Pinduoduo Inc.│ NASDAQ: PDD INDUSTRY : E-commerce Pinduoduo Inc. (NASDAQ: PDD) (“PDD” or the “Company”) purports to be China’s third-leading e- PRICE (AS OF CLOSE commerce platform behind Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) and JD.com (NASDAQ: JD).
    [Show full text]
  • China E-Commerce Technology Initiation of Coverage Software & Services
    Deutsche Bank Research Asia Industry Date China 27 May 2019 China E-commerce Technology Initiation of Coverage Software & Services A tale of two camps - and we favor the one with strong growth prospects Han Joon Kim We have a growth bias in the China e-commerce landscape and hence favor Alibaba Research Analyst and Pinduoduo (PDD). We also like VIPS as a GARP stock. We reiterate Buy on Aliba- +852-2203 6157 ba, initiate coverage of PDD as a Buy, VIPShop (VIPS) as a Buy, and JD.com (JD) as a Hold. We adjusted Alibaba's valuation in synchronizing all our e-commerce Maria Ma Research Associate stocks, which lifts its target price to US$220 from US$197. In this report, we look +852-2203 6242 at the key themes reverberating across the China e-commerce landscape, which we have put together after our interviews with companies, industry experts and merchants. We look at the evolution of the FMCG segment and the demographic Key Changes and geographic penetration in China, along with a comparison of the key metrics Company Target Price Rating and market positioning of leading companies. BABA.N 197.00 to 220.00 - JD.OQ - to 29.40 - to Hold PDD.OQ - to 26.20 - to Buy We favor the growth-oriented camp VIPS.N - to 9.30 - to Buy At the risk of oversimplifying a dynamic and complex market, we see two camps Source: Deutsche Bank emerging in the Chinese e-commerce landscape. One camp comprises companies with a meaningful TAM (total addressable market) outlook but a weaker near-term profit momentum as they invest in operations.
    [Show full text]