APA Group Investor Day Disclaimer
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MORE THAN THE SUM OF OUR PARTS APA Group Investor Day 14 November 2013 Sydney Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Australian Pipeline Limited (ACN 091 344 704) the responsible entity of the Australian Pipeline Trust (ARSN 091 678 778) and APT Investment Trust (ARSN 115 585 441) (APA Group). Summary information: This presentation contains summary information about APA Group and its activities current as at the date of this presentation. The information in this presentation is of a general background nature and does not purport to be complete. It should be read in conjunction with the APA Group’s other periodic and continuous disclosure announcements which are available at www.apa.com.au. Not financial product advice: Please note that Australian Pipeline Limited is not licensed to provide financial product advice in relation to securities in the APA Group. This presentation is for information purposes only and is not financial product or investment advice or a recommendation to acquire APA Group securities and has been prepared without taking into account the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals. Before making an investment decision, prospective investors should consider the appropriateness of the information having regard to their own objectives, financial situation and needs and consult an investment adviser if necessary. Past performance: Past performance information given in this presentation is given for illustrative purposes only and should not be relied upon as (and is not) an indication of future performance. Future performance: This presentation contains certain “forward‐looking statements” such as indications of, and guidance on, future earnings and financial position and performance. Forward‐looking statements, opinions and estimates provided in this Presentation are based on assumptions and contingencies which are subject to change without notice, as are statements about market and industry trends, which are based on interpretations of current market conditions. This presentation contains such statements that are subject to risk factors associated with the industries in which APA Group operates which may materially impact on future performance. Investors should form their own views as to these matters and any assumptions on which any forward‐looking statements are based. APA Group assumes no obligation to update or revise such information to reflect any change in expectations or assumptions. Investment risk: An investment in securities in APA Group is subject to investment and other known and unknown risks, some of which are beyond the control of APA Group. APA Group does not guarantee any particular rate of return or the performance of APA Group. Not an offer: This presentation does not constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to subscribe for or purchase any security. APA Group Investor Day 2013 2 Agenda Business overview and strategy ‐ Mick McCormack (MD) Industry focus ‐ Ross Gersbach (Strategy & Development) Gas transmission ‐ Rob Wheals (Transmission) Q & A session 10:30 ‐ 10:50 am Morning tea Major projects ‐ Kevin Lester (Infrastructure Development) Network operations and asset management ‐ John Ferguson (Networks) Energy Investments ‐ Ross Gersbach Finance and capital management ‐ Peter Fredricson (CFO) Summary ‐ Mick McCormack Q & A session 12:30 ‐ 2:00 pm Lunch Lifecycle of pipelines ‐ Kevin Lester, Mark Fothergill, Edwin De Prinse 3:30 pm Close APA Group Investor Day 2013 3 Business overview and strategy Mick McCormack Managing Director and CEO APA Group Investor Day 2013 4 Agenda APA’s executive team APA’s infrastructure portfolio Strategy Organic growth Revenue diversity and security Financial strength Safety and reliability APA Group Investor Day 2013 5 APA executive team Chris Kotsaris Head of Investor Relations & Communications APA Group Investor Day 2013 6 APA’s infrastructure portfolio Darwin Unrivalled gas infrastructure portfolio Integrated portfolio of assets Attractive growth opportunities Mount Isa Increased industry efficiency Stable and secure cash flow Gladstone Internally managed and operated Brisbane Moomba APA owned and operated assets Transmission pipelines 14,100 km Perth Gas storage Mondarra UGS Sydney Dandenong LNG Adelaide Distribution networks 25,000 km mains APA natural gas pipelines (including investments) Other natural gas pipelines Melbourne 1.25m gas users Gas resource Gas production Power generation 6 power plants 430 MW (1) APA’s 14,100 km of pipelines represents approximately 65% of Australia’s gas transmission pipelines APA Group Investor Day 2013 7 Australian gas industry – supply and demand Supply fundamentals remain strong Australian gas consumption projected to grow ̶ Proven and probable gas reserves total 140,150 PJ (1) ̶ Domestic gas use for 2012 was 1,100 PJ(1), forecast to increase by 1/3 (1.3% pa) to 2034–35 ̶ Identified gas resources exceed 430,000 PJ (2) ̶ Growth likely to be underpinned by gas‐fired electricity generation and the mining sector Source: BREE Gas Market Report, July 2012 (1) 2012 gas production, LNG production and gas reserves: Energy Quest, February 2013 (2) As at January 2011: BREE Gas Market Report, July 2012, APA Group Investor Day 2013 8 Australian gas industry ‐ changes Responding to short and long term changes in the industry East coast gas allocation for domestic use and export Gas pricing and impacts on the supply and demand of gas Development of new gas sources Efficient market operations APA Group Investor Day 2013 9 APA strategy Focus on our core business –gas pipelines and distribution infrastructure Facilitating development of Enhancing APA’s portfolio of gas infrastructure assets in Australia’s gas related projects that growing energy market enhance APA’s infrastructure portfolio Pursuing opportunities that Capturing revenue and operational leverage APA’s knowledge synergies from APA’s significant asset base and skills base Strengthening financial capability APA Group Investor Day 2013 10 Successful strategy implementation 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 Acquired minorities, achieving 100% Acquisition – pipelines, Pipeline acquisitions ownership of major distribution networks, Pipeline acquisitions electricity Organic expansion pipeline asset Organic expansion – pipelines interconnects and pipeline and gas storage Development –gas development Development of the east coast power stations, Internal management gas grid processing plants and operation Development and investment in Focused balance assets that protect and/or sheet – partial enhance APA’s gas portfolio divestment of non‐ core assets Partial divestment of non‐core assets APA Group Investor Day 2013 11 Envestra rationale Rationale unchanged Core business –gas distribution Largest shareholder and service provider Revenue certainty and appropriate commercial returns Significant growth APA Group Investor Day 2013 12 Organic growth Organic growth continues to be focus Committed projects underwritten by long term revenue contracts FY 2013 FY 2014 FY 2015 Committed growth capital Roma Brisbane $500m Pipeline Pipeline expansion Moomba Sydney Pipeline expansion Pipeline Southern lateral expansion $400m Victorian Northern augmentation Capacity expansion of southern and northern sections of Transmission System project Sunbury looping the transmission system $300m Goldfields Gas PIpeline Pipeline expansions $200m Moomba Compression for eastern haul transportation compression Wallumbilla Compression Wallumbilla hub for deliveries to Gladstone $100m compression Mondarra Gas Capacity increase Storage Facility $0m FY2012 FY2013 FY2014 FY2015 FY2016 Diamantina 242 MW gas fired power station Growth capex guidance Power Station 60 MW back up generation APA Group Investor Day 2013 13 Creating value Distribution per security Total annual returns EBITDA 667.1 700 40 35.5 600 50% 30 43% 500 40% 400 20 31% million 300 29% $ 30% 200 cents 10 23% 100 18% 20% 0 0 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 10% Operating cash flow Operating cash flow per security 0% 56.0 500 432.6 60 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 400 50 ‐10% 40 300 ‐20% 30 200 cents 20 million ‐30% APA Total Securityholder Return $ 100 10 S&P/ASX200 Accumulation index 0 0 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 2001 2004 2007 2010 2013 Source: APA based on IRESS data APA Group Investor Day 2013 14 Revenue security and diversity $900m (1) Revenue by business segment 6% $800m Energy Investments 9% FY13 Revenue split Asset Management $700m Other 1% Regulated WA and NT WA (revenue subject to price Energy regulated tariffs) $600m Vic and SA & 25% Infrastructure NT 25% Qld $500m NSW Vic & 19% $400m SA $300m Contracted Qld 25% (regulated assets with $200m negotiated tariffs) 18% 15% 24% Contracted $100m (light regulation and NSW non‐regulated assets) 58% 16% 59% $0m 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 (1) Excludes pass‐through revenue and divested businesses APA Group Investor Day 2013 15 Financial strength Strong balance sheet characterised by a long term debt profile Access to broad cross‐section of debt and equity capital markets Focus on maintaining strong BBB/Baa2 investment grade credit ratings Funding all growth with appropriate levels of OCF retained in the business, equity and debt Distribution policy set to deliver ongoing growth ‐ value for securityholders APA Group Investor Day 2013 16 Safety and reliability LTIFR Long term safety goal of zero harm 7.3 6.1 ̶ All incidents are preventable 4.9 ̶ Our performance