Kintore Station Business Case, in Particular Within the Demand Forecasting Analysis
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Kintore Station Business Case to support Scottish Stations Fund application Prepared by: ............................................................. Checked by: ........................................................................ Richie Fraser Andy Coates Principal Consultant Regional Director Approved by: ............................................................. Emma Gilmour Associate Director Kintore Station – SSF Business Case Rev No Comments Checked by Approved Date by 1 Submission to Client AC EG 30/06/2016 2 Final submission incorporating Client comments AC EG 11/08/2016 Aurora, 120 Bothwell Street, Glasgow G2 7JS Telephone: 0141 248 0300 Website: http://www.aecom.com Job No: 60446358 Date Created: January 2016 This document has been prepared by AECOM Limited for the sole use of our client (the “Client”) and in accordance with generally accepted consultancy principles, the budget for fees and the terms of reference agreed between AECOM Limited and the Client. Any information provided by third parties and referred to herein has not been checked or verified by AECOM Limited, unless otherwise expressly stated in the document. No third party may rely upon this document without the prior and express written agreement of AECOM Limited. f:\projects\transport planning - ssf business cases\03 execution\07 technical work\business case reports\kintore business case\2016_08_11_kintore station ssf business case.docx Table of Contents Executive Summary ................................................................................................................................................................ 2 1 Introduction................................................................................................................................................................ 8 1.1 Introduction ..................................................................................................................................................... 8 1.2 Context – Kintore Station ................................................................................................................................. 8 1.3 Study Approach .............................................................................................................................................. 9 1.4 Structure of Report ........................................................................................................................................ 10 2 Policy Context .......................................................................................................................................................... 12 2.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 12 2.2 Policy Context ............................................................................................................................................... 12 2.3 Review of Previous Studies ........................................................................................................................... 13 2.4 Transport Planning Objectives ....................................................................................................................... 13 3 Problems and Opportunities .................................................................................................................................... 16 3.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 16 3.2 Socio-Economic Context & Travel Trends ...................................................................................................... 16 3.3 Existing Transport Infrastructure & Service Provision ...................................................................................... 17 3.4 Problems ...................................................................................................................................................... 17 3.5 Opportunities ................................................................................................................................................ 18 3.6 Committed Transport Interventions ................................................................................................................ 20 3.7 Wider Issues ................................................................................................................................................. 21 3.8 Consultations ................................................................................................................................................ 22 3.9 Summary ...................................................................................................................................................... 22 4 Options..................................................................................................................................................................... 25 4.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 25 4.2 Options Review ............................................................................................................................................. 25 4.3 Summary ...................................................................................................................................................... 27 5 The Proposal – Kintore Station ................................................................................................................................ 29 5.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 29 5.2 The Proposal ................................................................................................................................................ 29 6 Appraisal .................................................................................................................................................................. 35 6.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 35 6.2 Appraisal Approach ....................................................................................................................................... 35 0 6.3 Transport Planning Objectives ....................................................................................................................... 37 6.4 Implementability Criteria ................................................................................................................................ 38 6.5 STAG Criteria ............................................................................................................................................... 39 6.6 Summary ...................................................................................................................................................... 40 7 Key Risks and Uncertainties .................................................................................................................................... 43 7.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 43 7.2 Key Risks and Uncertainties .......................................................................................................................... 43 8 Delivery and Operation ............................................................................................................................................ 46 8.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 46 8.2 Delivery of Kintore Station and Interchange .................................................................................................... 46 8.3 Programme Considerations ........................................................................................................................... 47 8.4 Summary ...................................................................................................................................................... 48 9 The Case for Investment .......................................................................................................................................... 51 9.1 Introduction ................................................................................................................................................... 51 9.2 Estimated Capital Cost .................................................................................................................................. 51 9.3 Benefit to Cost Ratio ..................................................................................................................................... 51 9.4 Wider Benefits .............................................................................................................................................. 51 9.5 Potential External Funding ............................................................................................................................. 52 9.6 Further Development Funding ......................................................................................................................