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Global Catastrophe Recap

May 2021

Table of Contents

Executive Summary 3

United States 4

Remainder of North America (Non-U.S.) 5

South America 5

Europe 5

Middle East 6

Africa 6

Asia 7

Oceania (Australia, New Zealand, South Pacific Islands) 8

Appendix: Updated 2021 Data 9

Additional Report Details 13

Contact Information 14

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 2

Executive Summary

. U.S. insurers face multi-billion-dollar toll as convective storms spawn hail, , wind and flood damage . struck by two in 10 days’ time; preliminary combined economic toll tops USD4 billion . Volcanic eruption at Mount Nyiragongo on May 22 leaves 32 dead in the Democratic Republic of the Congo

205 kph / 125 mph Wind speed (1-min average) of Tauktae; strongest Cyclone on record to hit the state of , India

31.9°C / 89.4°F Hottest May temperature on record (May 20) at Naryan-Mar, Russia; located in the Arctic Circle

87.6 % Portion of the Western U.S. enduring drought conditions during the week of May 18; highest percentage this century

29.97 m / 98.33 ft Historic level exceeded along the Negro River at Manaus, Brazil; records began in 1902

Drought Earthquake EU Windstorm Flooding Severe Weather Wildfire Winter Weather Other

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 3

United States

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 05/03-05/05 Severe Weather Plains, Southeast, Mid-Atlantic 4 85,000+ 850+ million 05/06-05/11 Severe Weather Plains, Southeast 1 40,000+ 350+ million 05/14-05/19 Severe Weather Plains, Southeast 5 70,000+ 1.1+ billion 05/22-05/27 Severe Weather Plains, Midwest 0 Thousands 100s of millions 05/25-05/26 Severe Weather Mid-Atlantic, Northeast 0 Thousands 100s of millions 05/29-05/31 Severe Weather Rockies, Plains 1 Thousands 100+ million

Severe storms swept across the Plains, Lower and Middle Mississippi Valley, Southeast, and Mid-Atlantic from May 3- 5. Hazards included damaging tornadoes, large hail, strong straight-line winds, and flash flooding. Total combined economic losses were anticipated to exceed USD850 million. Most of the hail and wind-related damage was insured.

A series of frontal systems resulted widespread severe weather from May 6-11. Parts of the Plains, Middle and Lower Mississippi Valley, and Southeast were impacted by large hail, damaging straight-line winds, tornadoes, and flooding. Hail the size of softballs affected portions of Texas, particularly north of Fort Worth. Total economic losses were estimated at up to USD350 million.

Persistent moisture from the Gulf of Mexico aided in severe weather and flash-flooding across the Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley between May 14-19. On May 17, flash flood emergencies were issued for localities in southeastern Texas and southern Louisiana. Concurrently, daily severe storms generated damaging hail, strong straight-line winds, and brief tornadoes. Total economic losses from the severe weather and flooding were estimated at USD1.1 billion. A large portion of the flood-related damage in Louisiana was likely to be uninsured.

Parts of the Rockies and Plains were affected by severe weather from May 22-27. Dozens of tornado touchdowns were confirmed in Colorado, Nebraska, and Kansas, though most of the damage to property and agriculture was due to hail and damaging straight-line winds. Total combined economic losses were expected to reach into the hundreds of millions (USD). A majority of the property damage costs will be insured.

Multiple clusters of storms ahead of a cold front left notable non-tornadic wind damage in the Northeast and Mid- Atlantic on May 26. Regions of Maryland, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania, and Virginia were most impacted. Gusts exceeding 60 mph (95 kph) resulted in significant instances of downed trees and power lines. Total economic costs were anticipated to reach into the hundreds of millions (USD).

Powerful thunderstorms spawned damaging hail, tornadoes, and isolated flash flooding in parts of the Rockies and Plains from May 29-31. At least one person was killed. Sections of Colorado, New Mexico, Oklahoma, and Texas were most affected. Very large hail pelted localities in Oklahoma and Texas, while flash flooding occurred across central and southern New Mexico. Total economic losses were expected to be at least USD100 million.

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 4

Remainder of North America (Non-U.S.)

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 05/16-05/18 Severe Weather Mexico 0 2,000+ 50+ million

Rounds of severe weather, including , resulted in extensive damage in portions of northern Mexico between May 16-18. Regions of eastern Coahuila and Nuevo Leon as well as northern Tamaulipas were affected. Extremely large hail, torrential rainfall, and strong winds resulted in notable material damage to vehicles and structures. Total economic losses were anticipated to reach into the tens of millions (USD). South America

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 04/20-05/31 Flooding Brazil 0 4,200+ 10s of millions 05/11-05/31 Flooding Guyana 0 1,400+ Unknown

Heavy rainfall associated with remnant influence from La Niña brought continued flooding along tributaries of the Amazon River in the Brazilian state of Amazonas throughout May. The Negro River in the capital city of Manaus rose to a record level of 29.98 meters (98.36 feet) by June 1 – surpassing the previous record high crest reached in 2012. The flooding impacted thousands of structures and inundated vast expanses of agricultural land.

Several rounds of flooding affected parts of Guyana from mid- to late May, particularly in regions 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 9 and 10. Nearly 1,400 homes were inundated, while authorities also noted damage to infrastructure and agriculture. Europe

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 05/01-05/02 Windstorm Daniel Austria 0 Thousands Millions 05/04-05/05 Windstorm Eugen Western Europe 0 10s of thousands 10s of millions 05/17-05/11 Flooding Central Europe 1 Thousands 40+ million

A minor windstorm “Daniel” caused some property damage in Vienna and Lower Austria on May 1-2. Local insurers reported thousands of claims. Further, minor effects were felt in Slovakia and eastern Poland.

Windstorm Eugen generated moderate damage in Ireland, southern England, Belgium, Netherlands, and northwestern Germany on May 4-5. Total impacts were expected to be in the region of tens of millions EUR.

A prolonged stretch of rainfall in mid-May affected multiple countries in Central Europe. Localized flooding was registered in Poland, the Czech Republic, Slovakia and Romania, with additional impacts in Germany and Austria. The event resulted in one fatality and damage to several thousands of properties, located mostly in rural communities. Aggregated economic losses were expected in the tens of millions EUR.

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 5

Middle East

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 04/15-05/05 Flooding Yemen 13 3,700 10+ million 05/01-05/05 Flooding Iran 11 Hundreds Millions

Further rains in Yemen caused fatalities, material damage, and destroyed dozens of homes and shelters in the Aden, Abyan, Al Dhale’e, Lahj, Hadramaut, Ma’rib, and Ta’iz governorates in early May. Since the floods began in April, officials noted that thousands of homes had been damaged or destroyed.

At least ten people were killed, one was reported missing, and several others were injured due to flooding triggered by heavy rains in Iran from May 1-5. Central and eastern Yazd, Kerman, and South Khorasan were among the hardest-hit provinces. Hundreds of structures were damaged or destroyed. Africa

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 04/07-05/31 Flooding Kenya 9 4,500+ Millions 05/01-05/31 Flooding Somalia 25 Thousands Unknown 05/01-05/31 Flooding Ethiopia 16 Hundreds Unknown 05/22-05/23 Volcano Democratic Republic of the Congo 32 Hundreds Millions

Seasonal flooding in Kenya during April and May resulted in displacement of at least 40,000 people, per the Kenyan Red Cross. At least nine people were killed, with most coming from Tana River, Homa Bay, Kisumu, Buisa, or Migori. At the same time, overall rainfall was well below average and reduced harvest was expected in parts of Kenya.

Despite lower-than-average rainfall, notable flooding occurred in the Shabelle River Basin in Somalia. At least 25 people were killed, and residents from 11,000 homes were displaced. More than 40,000 hectares (100,000 acres) of agricultural land was damaged or destroyed. Mild to moderate drought conditions were expected in the coming months.

Significant flooding triggered by continued heavy rains was reported along the Shabelle River in Ethiopia. At least 16 people died while hundreds of structures were damaged and wide swaths of cropland were left inundated.

A volcanic eruption on Mount Nyiragongo occurred in the Democratic Republic of the Congo on May 22. Lava reached the city of Goma, prompting thousands of people to evacuate. At least 32 people were killed, and hundreds of homes were destroyed by the lava flow.

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 6

Asia

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 05/01-05/31 Flooding China 4 3,000+ 751+ million 05/02-05/05 Flooding Afghanistan 116 2,600+ Millions 05/13-05/15 Severe Weather China 14 11,700+ 96+ million 05/14-05/19 India, , Maldives 198 141,600+ 1.5+ billion 05/21 Severe Weather 14 Dozens Negligible 05/21-05/22 Earthquake China 3 21,200+ 70+ million 05/22 Severe Weather China 21 N/A N/A 05/25-05/29 Cyclone Yaas India 19 325,000+ 3.0+ billion 05/25 Flooding Indonesia 0 8,900+ Millions 05/27-05/29 Flooding Indonesia 0 4,100+ Millions 05/31 Severe Weather Pakistan 12 Dozens Negligible

Flooding affected southern parts of China during the month, particularly its second half. Nearly 89 river gauge locations surpassed flood stage, resulting in notable damage to more than 3,000 homes and numerous other structures in 18 provinces, particularly Hunan, Jinagxi or Guizhou. Total economic losses were estimated at CNY4.8 billion (USD752 million).

Flash flooding triggered by a period of heavy rainfall affected central and northwestern provinces in Afghanistan from May 2-5. At least 116 people were reported dead or missing. More than 2,000 hectares (5,000 acres) of cropland and orchards were inundated, while approximately 2,600 homes were damaged or destroyed.

An outbreak of severe weather affected parts of China from May 13-15. Two deadly tornadoes occurred: an EF2 event in Wuhan, Hubei Province and an EF3 in Shengze of Jiangsu Province. At least 14 people were killed, and more than 380 others were injured. As many as 11,700 residential structures were damaged or destroyed, along with dozens of businesses. Total economic losses were CNY613 million (USD96 million).

Cyclone Tauktae made landfall in the Indian state of Gujarat near Una Town as a Category 3-equivalent hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale on May 17. The storm left as many as 198 people dead and 153 others injured. Extensive damage was cited, as more than 140,000 homes and other structures were damaged or destroyed. The economic cost was estimated at USD1.4 billion (INR100 billion) in Gujarat alone.

Severe weather conditions affected southwestern parts of Bangladesh on May 21. Several instances of lightning strikes resulted in at least 14 fatalities. Dozens of structures were damaged or destroyed.

Two separate strong earthquakes struck China on May 21 and 22. A magnitude-6.1 tremor in Yunnan Province near Dali City killed three people and caused extensive damage to roughly 13,000 structures. Preliminary economic losses were listed at USD50 million. Impacts of a magnitude-7.3 event in Qinghai Province were relatively minor, as it occurred in a sparsely populated region. Roughly 8,200 structures were damaged or destroyed.

The quick deterioration of weather conditions during an ultra-marathon race in Gansu Province, China on May 22 claimed 21 lives and eight injuries. The incident prompted a large-scale rescue operation.

Cyclone Yaas made landfall in India on May 26, causing at least 19 fatalities and more than 325,000 homes being damaged or destroyed. The Category 1 equivalent storm resulted in heavy damage in the states of and , with additional impacts noted across northern India. Economic damage in West Bengal alone was estimated at INR200 billion (USD2.7 billion).

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 7

Notable flooding affected the Bandung Regency of West Java, Indonesia on May 25. The worst hit sub-districts were Dayeuhkolot, Baleendah, Bojongsoang, and Margarahayu, where thousands of homes were left inundated. As many as 8,800 homes, 18 schools, and 28 places of worship were flooded.

Heavy rainfall prompted flash flooding in the Indonesian provinces of South Sumatra and Central Java from May 27- 29. At least 4,100 homes along with numerous other structures were damaged or destroyed.

Heavy rains combined with lightning strikes and thunderstorms affected Pakistan’s Punjab Province on May 31. At least 12 people were killed, 3 others were injured, and dozens of structures were either damaged or destroyed. Oceania (Australia, New Zealand, South Pacific Islands)

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 05/29-06/01 Flooding New Zealand 0 Thousands 10s of millions

Incessant rains from May 29 to June 1 triggered ‘one-in-100-year’ floods in New Zealand’s Canterbury Region, with additional impacts seen in the West Coast, Auckland and Otago. In addition to an extensive area of farmland left inundated, preliminary reports cited that thousands of homes, roads, and bridges were either damaged or destroyed. Total economic losses were likely to run into the tens of millions (USD).

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 8

Appendix: Updated 2021 Data

United States

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 01/01-12/31 Drought Nationwide N/A N/A 1+ billion 01/11-01/13 Severe Weather Northwest 2 40,000+ 675+ million 01/17-01/20 Severe Weather California 0 24,000+ 350+ million 01/24-01/27 Severe Weather Plains, Midwest, South 1 6,000+ 120+ million 01/24-01/29 Flooding West 2 75,000+ 1.75+ billion 01/30-02/03 Winter Weather Midwest, Northeast 4 10,000+ 100+ million 02/08-02/12 Winter Weather Plains, Southeast, Mid-Atlantic 9 10,000+ 75+ million 02/12-02/20 Winter Weather Western, Central, Eastern U.S. 147 690,000+ 20+ billion 02/25-02/26 Severe Weather Texas 0 20,000+ 210+ million 02/25-03/01 Flooding Plains, Southeast, Mid-Atlantic 1 10,000+ 150+ million 03/08-03/10 Flooding Hawaii 0 Thousands 50+ million 03/09-03/11 Severe Weather Plains, Midwest 0 5,000+ 75+ million 03/12-03/15 Winter Weather Plains, Rockies 0 Thousands 75+ million 03/16-03/18 Severe Weather Plains, Southeast 0 50,000+ 475+ million 03/22-03/23 Severe Weather Plains 0 30,000+ 315+ million 03/24-03/26 Severe Weather Plains, Southeast, Midwest, Northeast 6 115,000+ 1.3+ billion 03/27-03/29 Severe Weather Tennessee Valley, Mid-Atlantic 8 75,000+ 1.3+ billion 04/06-04/08 Severe Weather Plains, Midwest, Southeast 0 55,000+ 515+ million 04/09-04/11 Severe Weather Plains, Southeast 3 75,000+ 635+ million 04/12-04/14 Severe Weather Plains, Southeast 13 25,000+ 215+ million 04/15-04/16 Severe Weather Texas 0 105,000+ 975+ million 04/18-04/18 Severe Weather Southeast 0 2,500+ 25+ million 04/21-04/22 Severe Weather Northeast 0 5,000+ 75+ million 04/23-04/25 Severe Weather Plains, Southeast 1 35,000+ 390+ million 04/27-05/02 Severe Weather Plains, Southeast, Mid-Atlantic 0 210,000+ 2.6+ billion

Remainder of North America (Non-U.S.)

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 01/01-12/31 Drought Mexico N/A N/A 1+ billion 01/12-01/14 Severe Weather Canada 0 7,600+ 130+ million 01/19-01/20 Severe Weather Canada 0 3,100+ 50+ million 02/12-02/20 Winter Weather Mexico 12 Unknown 100s of millions 03/26-03/29 Severe Weather Canada 0 5,300+ 165+ million 04/03-04/12 Flooding Haiti 7 2,676+ Unknown 04/09-04/30 Volcano St. Vincent 0 Unknown 325+ million

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 9

South America

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 01/01-12/31 Drought Brazil N/A N/A Millions 01/04 Severe Weather Bolivia 4 Thousands Millions 01/01-01/09 Flooding Guyana 0 2,800+ Millions 01/16-01/20 Flooding Bolivia 1 2,000+ Millions 01/18 Earthquake Argentina 0 33,000+ 250+ million 01/21-01/24 Flooding Brazil 2 5,000+ 25+ million 01/29-02/01 Severe Weather Chile 0 Hundreds 175+ million 01/31-02/01 Flooding Paraguay 10 Thousands Millions 02/12-02/20 Flooding Brazil 0 10,000+ 50+ million 02/12-02/20 Flooding Peru 1 4,000+ 25+ million 03/09-03/10 Wildfire Argentina 2 502+ Millions 03/20-03/31 Flooding Peru 1 3,000+ Millions 03/01-04/30 Flooding Colombia 57 13,481+ 10s of millions 04/19-04/21 Flooding Brazil 0 3,000+ Millions

Europe

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 01/06-01/12 Flooding Southeastern Europe 0 2,500+ 10s of millions 01/08-01/12 Storm Filomena 4 159,000+ 1.9+ billion 01/13-03/31 Winter Weather Switzerland, Austria 17 Hundreds 60+ million 01/20-01/21 Windstorm Christoph Western Europe 0 Thousands 455+ million 01/21-01/22 Windstorm Hortense France, Spain 0 Thousands 90+ million 01/23-01/31 Earthquake Spain 0 9,200+ 35+ million 02/01-02/10 Flooding France 0 Thousands 10s of millions 02/01-02/15 Winter Weather Western, Central & Northern Europe N/A Unknown 100s of millions 02/15-02/17 Winter Weather 0 2,027+ 30+ million 03/03 Earthquake Greece 0 900+ 10s of millions 03/10-03/11 Windstorm Klaus Western & Central Europe 0 Thousands 100s of millions 03/13 Windstorm Luis Western & Central Europe 0 Thousands 100s of millions 03/18-03/23 Winter Weather Spain 0 NA 80+ million 04/05-04/08 Winter Weather Western & Central Europe NA NA 5.6+ billion 04/12-04/18 Winter Weather Spain 0 NA 40+ million

Middle East

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 02/01-02/02 Flooding 0 3,000+ 70+ million 02/17 Earthquake Iran 2 5,800+ 10s of millions

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 10

Africa

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 01/19-01/21 Cyclone Eloise Southern Africa 25 35,000+ 10s of millions 02/01-02/14 Flooding South Africa 31 Hundreds 75+ million 02/06-02/07 Flooding 28 Hundreds Millions 03/06-03/07 Flooding Algeria 10 Hundreds Millions 03/15-03/16 Flooding DRC, Angola 11 550+ Unknown 02/01-04/30 Flooding Burundi 0 2,000+ Unknown 04/18-04/20 Wildfire South Africa 0 11 10s of millions 04/19 Flooding Angola 24 2,350+ Millions 04/23-04/25 Cyclone Jobo East Africa 22 6,000+ Millions

Asia

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 12/31-01/05 Flooding Indonesia 3 2,500+ Unknown 01/01-03/31 Drought China N/A N/A 124+ million 01/01-01/04 Severe Weather Philippines 9 550+ 10s of millions 01/06-01/08 Winter Weather China 0 Hundreds 191+ million 01/07-01/12 Winter Weather Japan 23 69,630+ 2.0+ billion 01/08-01/12 Winter Weather Taiwan 18 N/A Unknown 01/08-01/24 Severe Weather Philippines 3 3,500+ 25+ million 01/09 Landslide Indonesia 40 11,000+ Millions 01/09-01/15 Flooding Indonesia 21 26,000+ 78+ million 01/14 Earthquake Indonesia 108 7,100+ 92+ million 01/14-01/17 Winter Weather China 0 Hundreds 115+ million 02/07-02/08 Flooding India 205 Thousands 210+ million 02/13 Earthquake Japan 1 221,994+ 7.5+ billion 02/14 Flooding Indonesia 19 Dozens Negligible 02/15-02/19 Winter Weather Japan 0 Hundreds 10s of millions 02/19-02/23 Flooding Indonesia 14 8,600+ 50+ million 02/20-02/24 Tropical Storm Dujuan Philippines 5 2,300+ 10+ million 02/22-02/25 Winter Weather China 1 Unknown 76+ million 02/23-02/26 Flooding Indonesia 1 9,200+ Millions 03/12-03/16 Sandstorm Mongolia, China 21 Hundreds 10s of millions 03/20 Earthquake Japan 0 19,118+ 250+ million 03/22-03/23 Severe Weather Vietnam, Thailand 2 500+ Millions 03/25-03/31 Severe Weather Indonesia 0 14,000+ Millions 04/03-04/05 Indonesia, Timor-Leste 272 75,000+ 475+ million 04/10 Earthquake Indonesia 8 1,350+ Millions 04/17-04/21 Surigae Philippines 10 3,000+ 10+ million 04/23 Other India 16 Dozens Negligible 04/30 Severe Weather China 11 6,000+ 2.5+ million

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 11

Oceania (Australia, New Zealand, South Pacific Islands)

Structures/ Economic Loss Date Event Location Deaths Claims (USD) 01/03-01/07 Cyclone Imogen Australia 0 Hundreds 10s of millions 01/30-01/31 Fiji 1 Thousands Millions 02/01-02/05 Wildfire Australia 0 995+ 80+ million 02/03-02/08 Flooding Australia 0 Hundreds 10s of Millions 02/25-03/07 Cyclone Niran Australia, 0 Thousands 250+ million 03/10-03/24 Flooding Australia 2 51,000+ 2.75+ billion 04/11-04/12 Cyclone Seroja Australia 1 5,500+ 250+ million

Global Catastrophe Recap: May 2021 12

Additional Report Details

TD = Tropical Depression, TS = Tropical Storm, HU = Hurricane, TY = Typhoon, STY = Super Typhoon, CY = Cyclone

Fatality estimates as reported by public news media sources and official government agencies.

Structures defined as any building – including barns, outbuildings, mobile homes, single or multiple family dwellings, and commercial facilities – that is damaged or destroyed by winds, earthquakes, hail, flood, tornadoes, hurricanes or any other natural-occurring phenomenon. Claims defined as the number of claims (which could be a combination of homeowners, commercial, auto and others) reported by various public and private insurance entities through press releases or various public media outlets.

Damage estimates are obtained from various public media sources, including news websites, publications from insurance companies, financial institution press releases and official government agencies. Damage estimates are determined based on various public media sources, including news websites, publications from insurance companies, financial institution press releases, and official government agencies. Economic loss totals are separate from any available insured loss estimates. An insured loss is the portion of the economic loss covered by public or private insurance entities. In rare instances, specific events may include modeled loss estimates determined from utilizing Impact Forecasting’s suite of catastrophe model products.

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Contact Information Adam Podlaha Steve Bowen Head of Impact Forecasting Managing Director Impact Forecasting Head of Catastrophe insight Aon Impact Forecasting [email protected] Aon [email protected]

Michal Lörinc Brian Kerschner Senior Catastrophe Analyst Senior Catastrophe Analyst Impact Forecasting Impact Forecasting Aon Aon [email protected] [email protected]

Gaurav Srivastava Karmen Hozjan Catastrophe Analyst Catastrophe Analyst Impact Forecasting Impact Forecasting Aon Aon [email protected] [email protected]

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