2020: the New Miami
Total Page:16
File Type:pdf, Size:1020Kb
MIAMI REPORT AN IN-DEPTH ANALYSIS OF SOUTH FLORIDA’S NEW CONDOMINIUM MARKET 2020 NEWTHE MIAMI “MIAMI IS ENTERING A NEW GOLDEN AGE OF GROWTH.” - ISG PRINCIPALS PHOTOGRAPH BY GLEASON WAITE ROMER MIAMI, FL | CIRCA 1950 WEALTH REPORT THE CITIES THAT MATTER TO HNWI’S - GLOBAL SURVEY MOST IMPORTANT NOW AS SEEN IN London 1New York 2 THE WEALTH REPORT REPORT THE WEALTH 3 Singapore Hong Kong A GLOBAL PERSPECTIVE ON PRIME PROPERTY AND WEALTH AND WEALTH ON PRIME PROPERTY PERSPECTIVE A GLOBAL 4 Geneva 5 Shanghai6 7 Dubai Miami THE GLoBAL PERSPECTIVE oN PRIME PRoPERTy AND WEALTH 8 Paris WWW.THEWEALTHREPORT.NET 9 Beijing10 HNWI – High Net Worth Individuals US $30 MIL + NEW CONSTRUCTION PIPELINE AS OF FEBRUARY 2014 BRICKELL TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION CONDO UNITS AVAILABLE FOR SALE SINCE JAN. 2012 DeveloperDEVELOPER Units UNITSSold SOLD DEVELOPER UNITSDeveloper UNSOLD Units Unsold 1010 Brickell 50% SOLD 900 BRICKELL 352 UNITS Bond 60% SOLD BRICKELL 323 UNITS Brickell CityCentre I & II 820 UNITS BRICKELL (release date TBD) 50% SOLD *Brickell Heights 358 UNITS BRICKELL Brickell House 100% SOLD 374 UNITS BRICKELL Echo Brickell 70% SOLD 180 UNITS BRICKELL 128 UNITS Le Parc 62% SOLD BRICKELL 390 UNITS Nine at Mary Brickell 55% SOLD BRICKELL 382 UNITS Millecento 100% SOLD BRICKELL 192 UNITS 100% SOLD MyBrickell BRICKELL 450 UNITS SLS Brickell 100% SOLD BRICKELL *Tower 1 only (other tower currently unavailable) 3,949 UNITS TOTAL • 2,367 UNITS SOLD • 1,581 UNSOLD AVG ABSORPTION : 1,900 UNITS ANNUALLY OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS BISCAYNE CORRIDOR DOWNTOWN MIAMI, EDGEWATER, MIDTOWN & DESIGN DISTRICT TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION CONDO UNITS AVAILABLE FOR SALE SINCE JAN. 2012 DeveloperDEVELOPER Units UNITS Sold SOLD DEVELOPER UNITS UNSOLDDeveloper Units Unsold 800 Baltus House 93% SOLD 167 UNITS DESIGN DISTRICT 23 Biscayne Bay 100% SOLD 96 UNITS EDGEWATER Bay House 65% SOLD 164 UNITS EDGEWATER Biscayne Beach Club 55% SOLD 399 UNITS EDGEWATER The Crimson 50% SOLD 90 UNITS EDGEWATER 300 UNITS Icon on the Bay 100% SOLD EDGEWATER Paraiso Bay 33% SOLD 720 UNITS EDGEWATER 400 UNITS *Hyde Midtown (release date TBD) MIDTOWN 85 UNITS 1000 Museum 18% SOLD DOWNTOWN MIAMI Centro 70% SOLD 350 UNITS DOWNTOWN MIAMI *CONDO UNITS ONLY - RELEASE DATE TBD 2,771 UNITS TOTAL • 1,416 UNITS SOLD • 1,355 UNSOLD AVG ABSORPTION : 1,300 UNITS ANNUALLY OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS NEW CONSTRUCTION SUMMARY TOTAL NEW CONSTRUCTION CONDO UNITS TO BE BUILT, SOLD AND CURRENTLY AVAILABLE FOR SALE IN BISCAYNE CORRIDOR (DOWNTOWN MIAMI, EDGEWATER, MIDTOWN & DESIGN DISTRICT), THE MIAMI BEACHES (SOUTH BEACH, MIAMI BEACH, SURFSIDE, BAL HARBOUR, SUNNY ISLES, HALLANDALE & HOLLYWOOD BEACH), FORT LAUDERDALE, AVENTURA, NORTH MIAMI, COCONUT GROVE, & KEY BISCAYNE SINCE JAN. 2012 Project Units (Total) Developer Units Sold Developer Units Unsold TOTAL NEW NEW CONSTRUCTION NEW CONSTRUCTION CONSTRUCTION SOLD UNITS UNSOLD UNITS UNITS 10000 Project Units (Total) 10,329 60% Developer Units Sold 6,065 SOLD SINCE JAN. 2012 Developer Units Unsold 4,264 AVG ABSORPTION: 4,615 UNITS ANNUALLY OVER THE LAST 10 YEARS 10 YEAR ANNUAL ABSORPTION ANALYSIS FOR CONDOS BUILT FROM 2003-2013 SUBMARKETS CONSIST OF BISCAYNE CORRIDOR ( DOWNTOWN MIAMI, EDGEWATER, MIDTOWN & DESIGN DISTRICT), THE MIAMI BEACHES (SOUTH BEACH, MIAMI BEACH, SURFSIDE, BAL HARBOUR, SUNNY ISLES,Average HALLANDALE Yearly Absorption & HOLLYWOOD BEACH), FORT LAUDERDALE, AVENTURA, NORTH MIAMI, COCONUT GROVE & KEY BISCAYNE SINCE JAN. 2012 4,615 AVERAGE YEARLY CONDO INVENTORY ABSORPTION FROM 2003-2013 PER YEAR 1,900 PER YEAR 1,300 1,300 PER YEAR PER YEAR 215 200 350 PER YEAR PER YEAR PER YEAR Brickell Biscayne Corridor The Beaches Aventura Fort Lauderdale Total North Miami \ Key Biscayne & Coconut Grove Sources: Integrated Realty Information Systems (Iris); Miami-Dade & Broward County Property Appraiser And Multiple Listing Service (MLS). S Ca iege rlo r s + O Su tt a re STARCHITECTS z Echo Aventura 1010 Brickell A NEW STANDARD OF ARCHITECTURE Sage Beach Brickell House U U R Echo Brickell S U G A Marea Beach U AY + C *Muse U B A *Muse els ng ier 1100 Millecento Prive I Me ke d r ar ja h B ic R Re cia Marina Lofts m res The Surf Club Ko t-B ol or h F a o Grove at U s d D a E . n Grand Bay S r N . e M A B A R . ARQUITECTONICA K Faena Arts Center SLS Brickell er N st Faena Bazaar Fo E n T SkyRise Miami a H & Artists-in- Herz rm E og o R Residence Port Of Miami P & N L A E de N D R M S Tunnel Gateways U e u Faena Park r o n Brickell Heights Faena House Miami Beach One Brickell City E Convention Center Jade Signature N G Center L A S Perez Art N W D Icon Bay I T Museum E Z nriq E R Hyde Midtown ue L N A N o D r te Parasio Bay n Nic d hol di as Ha G a Chateau Ocean ri h m a s Z h a Bath Club Estates Design 41 w Resorts World Miami M One Ocean E Frost Museum 1000 Museum X I 321 Ocean C of Science Collins Park I O R Garage A E N Q G L A N D STARCHITECTS MAKE STAR ARCHITECTS LEAVE ARCHITECTS ART BASEL -- AND REAL THEIR MARK IN MIAMI A MARK ON MIAMI TRANSFORMING ESTATE PROJECTS -- BRING SOUTH FLORIDA STAR ARCHITECTS TO MIAMI MLS-RESALE INVENTORY AS OF FEBRUARY 2014 BRICKELL New Condos Built Since 2006 & Available for Sale 18 Months Ago, 12 Months Ago, 6 Months Ago and Currently Active Brickell MLS Inventory Analysis New Condos Built Since 2006 & Available for Sale 18 Months Ago, 12 Months Ago, 6 Months Ago, and Currently Active Active Listings Price PSF $501 900 $485 $430 $600 800 $401 700 $500 600 $400 500 $300 400 805 690 300 $200 525 200 391 $100 100 $0 0 18 Months Ago 12 Months Ago 6 Months Ago Currently Active BISCAYNE CORRIDOR DOWNTOWN MIAMI, EDGEWATER, MIDTOWN & DESIGN DISTRICT New Condos Built Since 2006 & Available for Sale 18 Months Ago, 12 Months Ago, 6 Months Ago and Currently Active Downtown Miami & Edgewater MLS Inventory Analysis New Condos Built Since 2006 & Available for Sale 18 Months Ago, 12 Months Ago, 6 Months Ago, and Currently Active Active Listings Price PSF 1,000 $526 900 $501 $540 800 $520 700 $475 $500 600 $450 $480 500 927 $460 400 860 300 651 $440 200 425 $420 100 $400 0 18 Months Ago 12 Months Ago 6 Months Ago Currently Active DAYS ON MARKET(DOM)Days On Market (DOM) ANALYSIS2011 vs 2013 MLS Analysis for Closed Sales MLS ANALYSIS FOR CLOSED SALES IN 2011 & 2013 2011 AVG DOM 2013 AVG DOM Brickell 150 32 Biscayne Corridor 180 30 Aventura 115 34 The Beaches 120 39 Greater Fort Lauderdale 174 East Palm Beach 39 147 35 SOUTH AMERICAN MARKET REPORT As Politics Continue To Shift, South Americans Are Moving To Miami Venezuela, Argentina, Brazil, MEXICO Colombia, Peru and Mexico continue to fuel the South Florida Real Estate market revival over the past two years. VENEZUELA COLOMBIA Once again we see all Latin American Markets performing at the same time. As Miami continues BRAZIL to embrace the cultures and flavor PERU of our neighbors to the South, Miami Real Estate will continue to grow and prosper as we truly ARGENTINA become an International Gateway and World Class City. MIAMITROPOLIS Miami’s growth in the world of the arts, dining, high-end retail and overall neighborhood transformations has officially placed the city within the ranks of the most culturally rich locales in the world. Here are just a few of Miami’s exciting new additions... PEREZ ART MUSEUM MIAMI SHOPPING, DINING, & NEIGHBORHOOD GROWTH ADRIENNE ARSHT CENTER BRICKELL CITYCENTRE PANAMAEFFECT COMMERCE EXPANSION TRACKING FORCAST Miami has commenced its $220 million dredge project combined Florida East Coast Railway (FECR) $50 with a $2 billion infrastructure Million in upgrades to the 351 miles of COMPLETED upgrade, that will make Miami track from Miami to Jacksonville one of the first and only U.S. ports capable of housing the new larger “Post-Panamax” ships Government cut dredging SCHEDULED SUMMER OF 2014 Port Tunnel opens for traffic SCHEDULED SUMMER OF 2014 Panama Canal Expansion Completion SCHEDULED SUMMER OF 2015 Bank of America Merrill Lynch Article AS SEEN IN Bank of America Merrill Bank of America Merrill Lynch Article Lynch Article “It will likely reshape global imports, exports and trade flows for years to come, Get Ready May 2013 May 2013 affecting nearly every sector Get Ready of the American economy.” for the Big Ships for the Big Ships Executive summary Contents In 2015, a little more than a century after the dramatic opening of the Panama Canal, Targeting 2015 completion . 2 cargo ships the size of aircraft carriers will begin steaming toward American ports from “In Florida, the Port of Miami Expanding logistics......... 2 has partnered with the U.S. Miami to New York. The expansion effort represents a potential boon to East Coast The role of finance ......... 3 businesses and industries. Infrastructure investments . 3 Army Corps of Engineers New gateways ............. 4 Capitalizing on strengths.... 4 Executive summary Contents to dredge its harbors and The takeaway.............. 5 In 2015, a little more than a century after the dramatic opening of the Panama Canal, channels to a depth of 50 Targeting 2015 completion . 2 feet to accommodate new cargo ships the size of aircraft carriers will begin steaming toward American ports from Expanding logistics......... 2 big ships” Miami to New York. The expansion effort represents a potential boon to East Coast The role of finance ......... 3 businesses and industries.