Chapter 5 Traffic Survey and Traffic Demand Forecast

Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

CHAPTER 5 TRAFFIC SURVEY AND TRAFFIC DEMAND FORECAST

5.1 TRAFFIC SURVEY

The Study Team conducted a traffic survey in January 2010 to identify the current traffic condition and to forecast the future traffic demand. A supplemental traffic survey was also conducted on major junctions in June 2010 to study the current intersection condition and problems.

The objective, method and coverage of six types of traffic survey are summarized as below:

Table 5.1.1 Outline of Traffic Survey Survey Objectives Method Coverage To obtain traffic volumes on 12 locations (12hr) Traffic Count Survey Vehicular Traffic Count major roads 2 locations (24hr)

Origin-Destination (O-D) To capture trip information of Interview with drivers at 9 locations Survey vehicles roadsides To obtain traffic volumes and Intersection Traffic Count movement at major Vehicular Traffic Count 2 locations Survey intersections To collect information about Taxi (Minibus) Passenger and Interview with taxi public transport driver and 5 major taxi parks Driver Interview Survey drivers and users users, and their opinions Boda-Boda (Bike Taxi) To collect information about Interview with boda-boda 6 areas on major Passenger and Driver boda-boda drivers and users, drivers and users roads Interview Survey and their opinions To collect information on Actual driving survey by Travel Speed Survey present traffic situation on passenger car major roads Source: JICA Study Team

Actual traffic survey was conducted from January to February 2010. Each type of survey schedule is shown in below figure:

2009 2010 Survey Dec. Jan. Feb. Preparation of Survey Training and Trial Traffic Count Survey (12hr and 24hr) Origin-Destination (O-D) Survey Intersection Traffic Count Survey Taxi Passenger & Driver Interview Boda-Boda Passenger & Driver Interview Data Entry and Reporting Travel Speed Survey Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.1.1 Schedule of Traffic Surveys

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The locations of the traffic surveys are shown below. Two groups of intersections consisting five intersections were selected in consideration of existing traffic problems. One group is Jinja and Africana junction and the other group is Shoprite and Clock tower junction. The contents of the traffic count survey are as follows.

Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.1.2 (1) Location of Traffic Survey (Traffic Count and O-D Survey)

Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.1.2 (2) Location of Traffic Survey (Interview Survey)

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5.2 PRESENT TRAFFIC CONDITIONS

(1) Traffic Volume and Vehicle Composition

The traffic count results were analyzed from various views such as vehicle type, hourly or daily variation and large vehicle rate to figure out the traffic trend in the study area. The 12-hour flows obtained by this study are converted to Annual Average Daily Traffic (AADT) volumes using the conversion factor of 1.39 which was obtained from 24 hour traffic count survey.

Figure 5.2.1 shows the 12 hour traffic volume at each location, by vehicle type. The highest traffic volumes are observed at Entebbe Road (1-11), followed by Jinja Road (No.1-2). Both Entebbe Road and Jinja Road are major accesses to the CBD from the southern and eastern areas of Kampala, respectively. The third highest is observed on Gaba Road that has the capacity problem because of the dual carriageway.

8597 BWAISE212096BWAISE1 KYEBANDO KYAMBOGO UPP 9768 BUKOTO1 BA KYAMBOGO UPK 9832 1-4 NTINDA KYAMBOGO I 1-5 MULAGO3 MAKERERE 13779 BWAISE3 KYAMBOGO KAMWOKYA 14217 8085 MULAGO21-3 NAGURU2 KASUBI MULAGO1 10987 7992 NAKAWA 12389 NAGURU11-2 17499 1-6MULUKA KOLOLO WANDEGEYA LUBYA 1-8 KOLOLO3 MBUYA 6800 10491NAKULABYE 1-1

NAKASERO BUKESAKAGUGUBE KOLOLO4 8563 INDUSTRIAL AREA BUGOLOBI 10497 NAMIREMBE Old KampalaCIVIC CENTRE LUNGUJJA Nsambya Railway Traffic Volume (veh/12h) NAKIVUBO GA KISENYI1 20,000 Veh/12h 1-9 Nsambya Central 13702 WABIGALO MENGO KIBULI 10,000 Veh/12h NSAMBYA POLICE 5,000 Veh/12h 8067 KISENYI2 1-12 KISUGU NATEETE 10024 KATWE1 RUBAGA 14916 KABALAGALA NDEEBA KATWE2 Passenger Car LUZ 1-10 NSAMBYA Small Cargo 10311 Taxi (MiniBus)BUKASA KIBUYE1 L-Size Bus 1-11KIBUYE2 KANSANGA M-Size Goods Vehcle 19628 L-Size Goods Vehcle Motorcycle 21697 MAKINDYE1 MUTUNDWE Source: JICA Study Team KABOWA NAJJANANKUMBMAKINDYE2 500m 0 500 1000 1500

Figure 5.2.1 Distribution of Traffic Volume

In the view of vehicle composition, the proportion of motorcycle including bike taxi (boda-boda) is highest (36.7%) followed by passenger car (35.1%). This is because boda-boda is the current major transportation mean in the city. The share of minibus is at 18.5%.

Figure 5.2.2 shows the hourly profiles over the 12-hour period at Nakawa Road (No.1-2). The weekday peak hour traffic volume to the CBD occurs in the morning between 8.00 a.m. and 9.00 a.m. And evening peak hour to outside direction appears between 17:00 and 18:00. Other data displays relatively flat profiles and do not have the specific features.

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2,500 To Outside weekday To Outside Sat&Sun To CBD weekday To CBD Sat&Sun 2,000

1,500

1,000

500 Average Number of Vehicles / hour / Vehicles of Number Average 0 7:00 8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 Traffic Count Survey Point : At Nakawa on Jinja Road Survey Data : 12th to 18th of January 2010 Source : JICA Study 2010

Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.2.2 Hourly Variation by Directions

The traffic survey for seven days from Sunday to Saturday is also carried out at Nakawa Road to obtain data of daily variation. The traffic volume on Monday was greater than other days on both inflow and outflow directions. Meanwhile, the lowest volume is on Sunday. Compared to Sunday, traffic on Saturday is not low. Therefore all the traffic surveys were conducted on the days excluding Monday and Sunday.

(2) Traffic Growth on Major Arterial Roads

Table 5.2.1 shows the traffic increase trend of major road by utilizing traffic data of past studies. The average annual growth is at 13.3%. The highest growth rate is observed on Hoima Road along which land development is proceeding rapidly. Since the traffic volume has already reached the capacity, Jinja Road shows the lowest growth rate.

Table 5.2.1 Daily Traffic Volume on Major Roads from 1992 – 2010 (unit: vehicle/day) Annual Growth Road 1992 1997 2001 2008 2010 (1997-2010) Jinja Road 8,692 18,260 21,844 42,718 44,809 7.8% Entebbe Road 11,322 8,627 19,579 33,395 39,347 13.5% Masaka Road 4,188 8,027 19,162 23,836 24,953 9.9% Hoima Road 3,728 26,637 30,761 19.2% Bombo Road 7,175 14,290 19,522 28,982 12.3% Gayaza Road 7,329 10,582 17,544 21,485 9.4% Ggaba Road 9,226 15,892 23,401 41,300 13.3% TOTAL - 62,372- 187,053 231,637 11.6% 1992: Kampala City Council in KUTIP, 2003 1997: JICA Study in KUTIP, 2003 2001, 2008: Traffic Census 2010: JICA Study 2010, BRT Pre-FS, 2010

(3) Junction Traffic

1) Shoprite and Clock Tower Junctions

The traffic count survey for Shoprite-Clock Tower Intersection was conducted at four roads (Ben Kiwanuka St, Mengo Hill Rd, Nsambya Rd and Entebbe Rd). All survey points were located at inflow side of the intersection. The peak hour in this intersection occurs in the morning between 7.00 a.m. and 8.00 a.m. The inflow traffic from Mengo Hill Rd is largest, followed by Entebbe

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Rd. In view of vehicle type, minibus shows the highest share. In the evening, inflow traffic from Mengo Hill Rd and Entebbe Rd is almost same in number. The peak traffic volume of 11,000 veh/hr far exceeds the capacity of the intersection. In addition, traffic flows at this intersection are often disturbed by irregular vehicle movements which further worsen traffic congestion. Serious traffic congestion is observed throughout the day.

2) Jinja-Africana Intersection

The traffic count survey for Jinja-Africana Intersection was conducted at six roads (Jinja Rd, Kampala Rd, Yusufu Lule Rd, Old Port Bell Rd, Access Rd and Wampewo Rd). All survey points were located at the inflow side of the intersection. The peak hour traffic flow at this intersection occurs in the morning between 8.00 a.m. and 9.00 a.m. Traffic flow from Jinja Road to Kampala Road is distinguished in the morning. Comparing morning peak and evening peak, principal direction of traffic flow does not change in spite of reversing traffic from inflow to outflow. The peak traffic volume of 7,000 – 8,000 veh/hr far exceeded the intersection capacity and serious traffic congestion is seen, especially during morning and evening peak hours.

(4) Results of Origin-Destination (O-D) Survey

The O-D survey was conducted at nine locations to grasp the origin, destination, number of passengers, frequency of journey, type of cargo and weight of cargo.

The location of origin or destination of almost 97% of vehicles is in Kampala City, and 53% of trips are inside trips of Kampala City. The remaining 3% is through traffic which originates and travels outside of Kampala City. Inner trip of motorcycle shows a large share because travel distance for motorcycles is not so long. On the contrary, large-size bus, medium goods vehicle and heavy goods vehicle show a small share because of their long trip distance.

The Kampala City center (inner side of Masaka Rd., Entebbe Rd., Jinja Rd. and Northern B.P.) and outer side have a strong link through Entebbe Road, Bombo Road and Jinja Road as illustrated in Figure 5.2.3.

OD Distribution in GKMA BomboRd 175 GayazaRd HoimaRd

1 11 5 53 1 64

1 2 9 0 8 5 KiraRd 6 378 1 8 Wakiso 37 2 1 3 186 JinjaRd 66

7 7 1 7 1 7 M 1 6 3 1 2 1 4 9 5 1 14 17 8 MityanaRd 0 10 7 20 1 7 0 8 9 u 8 7 8 3 8 4 1 0 3 2 26326 2 363 7 8 k 4 978 7 5 8 2 0 Kampala2 1 3 4 3 1634 553 31 2 5 2 o 0 7 PortBellRd 211 4 3 1 MasakaRd 5 2 3 1 7 n 5 3 2 1400 1 1 0 90 3985 GabbaRd o 100 5 Over Dist Trip 6 Road Network 291 Less than 100 Veh/day 100 ～ 1,000 Veh/Day National Road 1,000 ～ 2,000 Veh/Day EntebbeRd Inner Dist Trip 2,000 ～ 5,000 Veh/Day 5,000 ～ 10,000 Veh/Day 30,000 Veh/Day Over 10,000 Veh/Day (All type of Vehicles exclude bike) Source : JICA STUDY, 2010 (Total Volume : 203,936Veh/Day) Figure 5.2.3 Estimated Inter-Area Traffic Volume excluding Motorcycle

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Figure 5.2.4 illustrates the trip desire line diagram at Parish level. In this figure, characteristics of strong relationship between the city center and other areas are presented. Besides, although places with markets or taxi parks such as Nakawa, Bwaise and Natete also have a relationship with other areas, such relationship is not much strong. Relation to the area within 4 km is not strong and major destinations are outside of 4km radius. Outside the Kampala city area, connection with Nabweru area followed by Kira, Entebbe and Busiro is strong. Except for GKMA and adjacent districts, connection with Masaka district is strong.

Kawempe

Bwaise Ntinda Kyambogo Nakawa

Nsambya R=2km Nateete Luzira R=4km Najjanankumbi

Ggaba 1,000Veh/Day 2,000Veh/Day 3,000Veh/Day Source: JICA Study Team

Figure 5.2.4 Diagram for Trip Desire Line (Parish Level of Kampala)

(5) Travel Speeds on Major Roads

Travel speeds survey was conducted on 19 main roads around CBD in the morning and evening peak hours. The congested sections appear around Clock Tower, Shoprite, Jinja Junction and Africana Roundabout. Travel speeds between current situation and previous records, which were provided by NTMP/GKMA in 2003 to 2004, were compared. Throughout the compared period, e travel speed is generally slow along the surveyed routes. In addition, the sections with less than 15 km/h travel speed are increasing in the access roads to the CBD. Queen’s Way has been operated as one-way traffic since the end of 2004. Consequently, based on the result of evening survey, travel speed largely surpassed the previous record.

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(6) Taxi (Minibus) and Boda-Boda (Bike taxi)

At five major taxi parks and major boda-boda stages on major road sides in Kampala, the interview survey for public transport drivers and passengers was conducted to understand the present situation of public transport service.

Table 5.2.2 shows the distribution of sampled origin and destination of passengers. About 82% of the boda-boda passengers have both their origins and destinations in Kampala City. In contrast, only 39% of the minibus passengers have their origins and destinations in Kampala City. Origins and destinations of passengers of minibus are distributed in wider area.

Table 5.2.2 O-D Distribution of Boda-Boda and Mini-bus Passenger Destination Kampala Wakiso Mukono Other Total Samples Rate Samples Rate Samples Rate Samples Rate Samples Rate BodaBoda 731 82.3% 67 7.5% 7 0.8% - 0.0% 805 90.7% Kampala MiniBus 1,626 39.2% 661 15.9% 105 2.5% 819 19.7% 3,211 77.4% BodaBoda 56 6.3% 5 0.6% 1 0.1% - 0.0% 62 7.0% Wakiso MiniBus 190 4.6% 144 3.5% 6 0.1% 192 4.6% 532 12.8% BodaBoda 16 1.8% - 0.0% - 0.0% 1 0.1% 17 1.9% Origin Mukono MiniBus 29 0.7% 14 0.3% 2 0.0% 32 0.8% 77 1.9% BodaBoda 3 0.3% - 0.0% - 0.0% 1 0.1% 4 0.5% Other MiniBus 136 3.3% 62 1.5% 4 0.1% 129 3.1% 331 8.0% BodaBoda 806 90.8% 72 8.1% 8 0.9% 2 0.2% 888 100% Total MiniBus 1,981 47.7% 881 21.2% 117 2.8% 1,172 28.2% 4,151 100% Source: JICA Study Team For the travel purpose with time restrictions like business, office or hospital, the use rate of a boda-boda is higher than that of minibus (Figure 5.2.5). For the purpose with less time restrictions like home, the use rate of minibus is overwhelmingly higher than boda-boda. It is noted that boda-boda is used more frequently and reaches destination at less travel time than minibus.

Taxi(MiniBus) 43.4% 20.9% 15.9% 7.6% 5.1%2.1%3.6%

BodaBoda 19.3% 33.6% 18.5% 12.6% 5.4%5.6%4.3%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100% Go Home Business Social Office School Hospital Shopping Tourism Others Survey Data : 15th and 18th of January 2010 Source : JICA Study 2010

Figure 5.2.5 Comparison of Purpose of Trip

Approximately 30% of boda-boda drivers own the units that they drive. This share is almost double than that of minibuses. Other drivers belong to the companies of operators.

5.3 TRAFFIC DEMAND FORECAST

(1) Basic Condition for Traffic Demand Forecast

There are two basic transport plans for GKMA to be considered for the traffic demand forecast in this Study. One is the NTMP/GKMA (May 2009), with some modifications recommended by the Study Team in Section 4.3, and the other is the BRT plan stated in its Pre-FS Final Report (May

5-7 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

2010).

The Study Team has assumed two development scenarios for the future traffic demand forecast in 2018 and 2023, which shall be the basis for road network planning, public transport planning and economic analysis.

Scenario 1 is a standard development scenario for which investment cost is approximately 17% higher than that in NTMP/GKMA in May 2009, taking limited budget availability into consideration. This investment involves a rather affordable approach through planning implementation of some programs after 2023. Instead of the dual carriageway with railway viaduct in NKMP/GKMA, the Study Team included Jinja Junction Flyovers and Clock Tower Flyover. The Study Team also included the Kampala – Entebbe Airport Expressway (US$ 350 million for 35 km long).

Scenario 2 is an aggressive development plan for which investment cost is approximately 38% higher than that in NTMP/GKMA in May 2009. All roads and approximately 70% of the BRT development planned in the NKMP/GKMA will be implemented by 2023, including Jinja Junction Flyovers, Clock Tower Flyover and the Kampala – Entebbe Airport Expressway.

The Study Team adopted Scenario 1 since it is a more realistic plan as compared with Scenario 2 which requires large cost and considerable time for land acquisition and resettlement for road network development and BRT introduction. This Main Report of the Study is therefore based on Scenario 1.

A future road network in GKMA (refer to Annex 6) was developed by the Study Team as shown in the following figure assuming the introduction of BRT based on the future traffic demand

forecast in 2023.

) u

LEGEND-1 l

Northern Bypass (Grade-separate Junction) R

o Kira n

b i s

Signalized Junction (Grant Aids of GOJ) m

a N o

Signalized Junction (KIIDP) o

(T 9 WAKISO Roundabout ayaza G ass

Non-signalized Junction Mpererwe) (To yp

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id Radial Roads No. rr

1 o 6 BRT up to B C

o h t KAWEMPE m

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H N Ntinda 7 Jinja R (T oim nja) o kono/Ji W a R Bwaise To Mu a Kireka ( k d KYAMBOGO is Bukoto o) Makerere Jct ss . Banda a d p R WAKISO y Mulago ira r B K L o d u rid R g d or ka n o R C ire r g ja st K WAKIS e o in We h J t- t B B Ntinda Jct as r o y E o Kawaala m -p b a N o s r s MAKERERE d . Y Kololo us Port Bell Jct Wandegeya Jct uf F L d ul Lugogo Bypass o o R e r asir Rd. R t M ubi Hill d (T P as erere . Jct NAKAWA o o K Mak M rt it al CENTRAL y R H Jinja Jct Mbuya a Se Nakulabye Jct o n d nte im a m a Nakasero a K 3 ) 3.7 Shoprite / R R a O d d m ld Port . p Bell Rd B a Entebbe Jct e l Clock Tower Jcts n a Por K R i d w . t Bel a Traffic Safety n Industrial Area u CBD l Rd k Butabika a

d S Improvement t R

a d Namirembe Rd R s d o Kibuli e Mengo R n N t e a b w a u b 8 e k k e Shoprite Jct nt u b M E M iv teb RUBAGA FO1 Yusufu Lule - u En ay b – sw d Clock Tower Jct o FO2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds ala res te R Mukwano Rds Ch p xp Nate a& Mukwano - Jinja Rds am t E East Flyover n K or -We Rubaga d ne p s R T Flyover (Right-turn) ir t C u a l A or s y nk r MENGO a a id Ma u K H o b W e i r sa v ll k k a s i a Hill ' na R a R K n R d d e d s e 2 a u M Q G "With Project" for a o b T a JICA Pre-FS Muyenga Kibuye Jct R Port Bell LEGEND-2 d LEGEND-3 National Roads (MoWT) 2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, 1.8 km, including Mukwano MAKINDYE BRT operated by 2018 4-lane Road (Dual Carriageway) Rbt & Nsambya Jct BRT operated by 2023 Rd 2-lane Road (Single Carriageway) e Capacity Improvement Dual Carriageway ( 4 lanes road) b b 10 constructed / used by 2018 e KCC Administration t n FO3 Clock Tower Dual Carriageway ( 4 lanes road) UC-I : 4-lane Road (Dual Carriageway) E Flyover constructed / used by 2023 UC-I : 2-lane Road (Single Carriageway) Nammasuba Gaba Flyovers constructed / opened by 2018 UC-II : 6-lane Roads (Dual Carriageway) Flyovers constructed / opened by 2023 UC-II : 4-lane Road (Dual Carriageway) rt o p UC-II : 2-lane Road (Single Carriageway) 1 ir Kampala - Entebbe Airport Expressway A BRT up to e ) constructed / opened by 2023 UC-III : 2-lane Road (Single Carriageway) b WAKIS b m e k UC-III, IV, V : 4-lane Road (Single t 0 Kajansi n 3 012345km E ( UC-III, IV, V : 2-lane Road (Single o T Source: The Study Team based on NTMP/GKMA, MoWT, May 2009 Figure 5.3.1 Road Network Development Plan 2023 in NTMP/GKMA

5-8 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

Introduction of the BRT on the major arterial roads is one of the core projects in the NDP. A Pre-FS for the BRT was completed by the WB assistance in May 2010. The Final report of Pre-FS is stating that the introduction of BRT to nine arterial roads will be completed in 2030. (Figure 5.3.2), but implementation schedule of the BRT routes was not clarified in this stage. The total lengths of BRT operation route and segregated lanes are estimated at 118.6 km and 103.5 km, respectively. The introduction of the BRT with this scale will give a significant impact on traffic flow and volume of the future GKMA road network. Therefore for the traffic demand forecast, the Study Team presumed the implementation schedule of BRT as shown in Figure 5.3.2.

No Sub BRT Route Name Facility 2010/ 2011/ 2012/ 2013/ 2014/ 2015/ 2016/ 2017/ 2018/ 2019/ 2020/ 2021/ 2022/ 2023/2030 No Length (km) 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 A1 A1.1 Bombo Rd - Kampala Rd 14.0 (Jan.2015) - Jinja Road (Pilot) A1.2 Kireka/Northern Bypass - 13.5 Mukono Terminal A1.3 Northern Bypass - 1.6 Kawempe Terminal A2 Makerere Rbt - Northern 2.4 Bypass - Kanyama A3 Kira Rd (Mulago Rbt - 2.5 Bukoto/Lugogo Bypass A4 Wandegeya Jct - 7.1 Nabweru Terminal B1 B1.1 Entebbe Rd (Kampala Rd 13.1 - Kibuye Jct - Kajansi) B1.2 Entebbe Rd (Kajansi - 24.0 Airport) B2 Kibuye Jct - Busega Rbt 6.5

B3 Clock Tower - Nsambya 9.3 Road - Gaba B4 Africana Rbt - Old Port 8.3 Bell Rd - Port Bell CBD City Center Triangle (On 1.2 Ben Kiwanuka St) Notes: Procurement (9 months) Design Construction Operation on Dedicated BRT Lanes Operation on existing highways ( BRT shared lanes) Source: Assumed by the Study Team based on BRT Pre-FS Draft Final Report / Presentation, April 2010 Figure 5.3.2 Anticipated BRT Implementation Schedule

(2) Method of Traffic Demand Forecast

User Equilibrium Assignment Model is adopted to the distribution of the O-D table to road network since it is the most common modeling for traffic demand forecast. The software named JICA-STRADA is used for actual traffic assignment.

(3) Present traffic flow patten

The present O-D matrices in 2010 were processed from O-D survey conducted by the Study Team. As the next step, it is necessary to adjust estimated O-D matrices to observed traffic volume at each survey site. Moreover, seasonal factor should be also considered. As a result of the analysis of adjustment factor, average expansion factor was derived as 22.4, while the seasonal factors were 1.1 for passenger cars and 1.08 for motorcycles. These results were derived from the traveler interview survey (February 2010, BRT Pre-FS Interim Report).

In addition, trips to and from the inner city obtained from the results of minibus (taxi) drivers interview survey and boda-boda interview survey were added to the present O-D table. As a result, a total trip in the study area is estimated as approximately 733,000 trips per day.

5-9 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

Present OD table Result of O-D Survey For Assignment (13,341trip/12h)

Expansion Factor Result of Traffic count Survey (average=22.4)

Present Vehicle OD Table without inner trip (297,168trip/day)

Inner side Trip of O-D survey points Result of Minibus driver Interview (30,602trip/day) (4,151trip/12h)

Inner side Trip of O-D survey points Result of BodaBoda Interview (208,001trip/day) (888trip/12h)

Inner side Trip of O-D survey points (197,120trip/day) (Passenger-car Trip)

Present(2010)O-D Table Unit : vehicle for Assignment (732,891trip/day)

Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.3.3 Estimation flow of Present O-D Distribution

Figure 5.3.4 illustrates the present traffic volume reproduced through assignment model. It shows that Jinja, Kampala, Entebbe and Bombo road have high demands.

10,000PCU/day 20,000PCU/day 40,000PCU/day 60,000PCU/day Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.3.4 Result of Present Traffic Volume estimated by Assignment Model

(4) Examination of Future Traffic Demand

The target year of the Study is decided as 2018 and 2023, in coordination with the NTMP/GKMA. Traffic demand forecast is prepared for 2013, 2018 and 2023. Future traffic demand is forecasted in the following six cases including 2010.

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Table 5.3.1 Cases of Traffic Demand Forecast Scenario Year Pre-FS Projects Case1 2010 without Case2 2013 without Case3 with 2018 Case4 without Case5 with 2023 Case6 without Source: JICA Study Team

In the above table, “With Project Case” means implementation of the Pre-FS projects (Jinja Jct Flyovers, Mukwano Road Widening and Shoprite and Clock Tower Jcts Road safety Improvement) by 2018 and construction of Clock Tower Flyover by 2023. “Without Project Case” means the Pre-FS Projects are not implemented. The Study Team presumed implementation schedule for BRT project as shown in Figure 5.3.3. The conditions regarding BRT are based on the presumption.

The following figure illustrates the relation between “With Project Case” and “Without Project Case” in this Study.

(Investment Cost Short-Term Medium-Term Long-Term 1,611 Mill US$) Up to 2013 2013 - 2018 2018 - 2023 (16.7% more to the NTMP /GKMA Plan) Year 2013 Traffic Year 2018 Traffic Year 2023 Traffic (ADT) and (ADT) and Road (ADT) and Road Road Network, including BRT, Network Network, including Dual Carriageways & BRT and Dual Kampala-Entebbe Expressway Carriageways Year 2010 Without Projects Without Projects Without Projects Traffic (ADT) and Road Network Year 2018 Traffic Year 2023 Traffic (ADT) and (existing) (ADT) and Road Road Network , with the Network , with the following flyovers following flyovers

With Projects With Projects 1) Yusufu Lule - 5) Clock Tower FO Mukwano Rds FO 2) Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds & Mukwano - Jinja 3). Mukwano Rd Widening 4). Shoprite Jct Safety Improvement Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.3.5 With and Without Project Cases for Traffic Demand Forecast

In this study, forecast of future traffic generation was divided into passenger transport (Passenger car, Minibus, Large size bus, Motorcycle) and cargo transport (Small size cargo, Medium goods vehicle, Heavy goods vehicle). Passenger transport generation within the GKMA area was estimated by the equation model formulated by the NTMP/GKMA IR-4. Applying future population and workforce by zone to the equation model, future traffic generation by zone were estimated. Passenger demand outside the GKMA was estimated using the growth factor for passenger travel in the NTMP/GKMA. Cargo transport generation was forecasted based on the growth rate in each district employed in NTMP/GKMA.

The total number of trips in 2023 was estimated to be approximately 1.1 million per day as shown in Figure 5.3.6.

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Present(2010)O-D Table GKMA Future population projection for Assignment (732,891trip/day) Population & Employee(unit parish)

Average Growth Factor 1.51 Growth rate by PT demand model. From 2010 to 2023. (PT trips generated and attracted (passenger-car, minibus, are estimated with above factors) large-bus, motorcycle)

Average Growth Factor 2.35 Estimated Future Daily truck Trips From 2010 to 2023 among Regions in Uganda (Small-Cargo, MGV,LGV) National Transport Master Plan for GKMA Future O-D Table based on Trend socioeconomic conditions type 2013 O-D Table (Trend type : 788,369trip/day) 2018 O-D Table (Trend type : 946,656trip/day)

2023 O-D Table (Trend type : 1,136,840trip/day)

Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.3.6 Flow of Future Trip Number Estimation

(5) Outline of Future O-D Distribution Pattern

Figure 5.3.7 is a graph comparing the trip distributions of all purposes in 2010 and 2023. These distribution patterns were derived from the O-D table calculated for traffic assignment model. The major trip flows are limited within Kampala City in 2010. Distribution pattern in 2023 is basically the same pattern as that in 2010. Only the share of external trips (through trips) will slightly expand because future population and employment outside Kampala City will increase more.

Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.3.7 Estimated O-D Distribution (2023)

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Major impacts to the future road network by the introduction of the BRT will be the decrease in number of lanes for some trunk roads. Especially by the BRT proposals, Entebbe Junction will be closed and Entebbe Road will be narrowed to general traffic. The main traffic flow will shift from Jinja-Kampala roads direction (east-west) to Yusufu Lule - Mukwano Roads direction (north-south) as shown in Figure 5.3.8.

(UNIT : 100PCU/day)

Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.3.8 Main Traffic Flow Change after Introduction of the BRT

Figures 5.3.9 and 5.3.10 show the results of traffic assignments in 2023. The road network in the forecast consists of proposed road improvement project and the BRT project.

5-13 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

4 2 1 5 1 92 6 4 8 5 13 8 8 4 5 8 15 0 8 74 2 1 7 7 4 4 4 4 1 5 9 2 1 1 1 0 194 7

6 7 4 1 5 0 2 4 9 1 94 7 46 8 14 14 6 1 4 5 9 9 5 4 2 1 3 6 2 1 2 2 2 5 2 23 2 4 1 1 7 194 5 3 4 3 8 5 39 6 6 49 2 1 0 2 4833 1 393 2 6 6 2 3 2 1 62 1 62 1 2 8 9 4 1 4 6 9 4 6 51 235 54 6 6 6 7 6 2 6 54 7 42 4 635

1 4 1 6 2 4 2 2 2 1 1 49 6 4 3 8 4 8 3 4 6 2 4 2 3 3 1 4 0 7

10 3 382 3 1 33 0 6 42 2 1 5 2 0 686 47 6 8 5 3 7 88 3 2 2 63 5 6 9 6 21 8 534 42 7 6 6 8 7 3 27 91 3 5 76 4 53 5 6 4 9 3 686 5 27 4 8 4 211 8 6 18 1 1 1 3 4 3 8 6 1 3 2 4 1 4 1 6 4 2 0 3 8 13 156 18 1 7 2 8 4 4 11 0 7 3 1 2 6 7 155 1 8 1 0 3 1 6 14 43 7 27 59 19 6 3 1 1 3 2 0 1 2 9 8 1 2 5 7 3 2 0 6 24 4 8 7 904 4 7 0 393 7 9 42 915 13 7 1 6 2 265 1 7 6 6 2 0 9 1 3 8 45 51 9 1 1 3 1 2 1 9 2 6 0 0 0 25 4 9 0 0 12 0 2 1 6 8 6 2 5 8 155 3 4 7 1 1 65 0 51 126221 1 9 3 4 33 0 1 8 1 118 0 5 6 3 6 2 3 12 3 1 45 1 5 6 3 2663162375163 4 31 4 1 1111178 73 9 3 81 7 1 6 1 4 2 118 1 8 234129 1 8 3555 113 3 8 9 2 1 1 247 8 3 1 8 6 9 0 081 8 0 2 7 6 4 2 1314 83 03 1 1 383 7 3 1 3 58 3 1 0 1 7 7 6 9 1 266 219 91 2 2 113 5 45 4 3 3 1 3 27 1311 5 6 1 8 41 11 0031509 3 14 3 8 1 3 52 1

32 1 4 186 8 1 3 11 9 9 7 3 111 3 2649853907 4 8 6 1 6 2 0 2 174 53 2 9 8 1 38 6 3 161 5 4 93 5 7 2 4 2 8 9 9 2 5 277 3 2 6 9 1 1 8 6 20 2 1 2 5 5 0 4 2 8 4 7 1 16 2 7 1 1511 7 3 47 4 2 6 0 2840 4 3 98 2 6 6 7 7 4 5 9 11 19 9 7 5 5 2 2 0 2 4 4 3 3 1 5 8 6 4 1 4 9 1 4 2243 6 0 71 3 7 1 257 343 1 0 135 225 7 2 1 6 32 9 4 6 135 2 6 43 4 0 2 112 6 4 02 7 1 8 6 4 3 585 6 5 479 0 2 5 5 6 610 688 3 4 2 6 1 2 6 4 4 0 8 6 3 7 2 3 2 3 1 1 0 1 6 5 2 7 16 1 24 9 1 1 0 5 6 20 7 3 7 3 5 9 3 2 2 4 6 2 3 1 1 4 0 2 6 9 6 4 1 3 1 1 2 1 5 0 5 9 9 6 18 7 1 74 2 10,000PCU/day 12 20,000PCU/day 1 113 3 40,000PCU/day 3 7 1 6 3 5 7 9 7 60,000PCU/day 26 0 1 26 3 5 5 5 0 6 Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.3.9 Result of Future Traffic Assignment in Kampala (2023)

3 5 7 9 32 4 4

1 1 1 3 6 1 2 2 8 1 8 6 3 64

1 3 0 2 2 0 1 8 3 64 8

1 1 0 8 3 14 7 9 6 57 9 1 2 4 37 1 61 1 4 0 0 2 4 1 7 2 7 9 3 0 3 9 19 19 4 0 2 0 4 86 6 1 1 10 193 3 6 2 51 7 5 8 11 6 4 0 9 2 9 0 4 9 0 10 8 2 5 2 5 1

1 5 2 8 0 1 1 4 3 6 1 65 215215 1 4 1 1 7 8 126 6 9 1 8 33 200 16 4 3 7 3 1 1 1 5 6 4 4 4 2 2 2 5 31 266 316 237 3 13 6 1 178 3179 1 111 1 1 3 3 18 35 3 4 4 8 5633 1 8 29 3 1 8 11 8 5 35 3 08 9 9 1 3 3 1 2 4 2 70 8 8 2 1 1 6 9 0 1 113 3 7 5 3 183 28 0 1 2 0 091 8 2 3 1 7 9 1 9 4 5 1 2 6 2 1 7 1 0 1 1 0 3 1 33 2 1 46 1 6 2 1 3 5 92 2 3 1 9 9 1 1 3 4 8 46 3 77

1 89 0 364 692 853 907 7 582 6 161 5 5 52 0

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5 10,000PCU/day

1 5 10 20,000PCU/day 40,000PCU/day 2 8 26 60,000PCU/day 0 9 225 1 12 0 Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.3.10 Result of Future Traffic Assignment at City Center (2023)

5-14 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

5.4 SUPPLEMENTAL TRAFFIC SURVEY

A supplemental traffic survey was carried out in June 2010 to identify the problems at nine major junctions, including six intersections signalized through the ODA of the GOJ. The outline of the traffic survey is summarized in the following:

Survey Objectives Method Coverage Traffic Count To obtain traffic condition on major junction Vehicular Traffic Count 9 locations (12 hr) Survey Source: JICA Study Team

Figure 5.4.1 shows the hourly profile of observed traffic volume at survey points where 12-hr counts were undertaken. From the results obtained at Garden City roundabout, pattern of the peak hour of weekday and holiday was different. The peak hour on holiday is around 13:00 hrs while that on weekday was 7:00 to 9:00 hrs and 15:00 to 17:00 hrs.

8,000 Peak Time on Weekday 7,000 6,000 5,000 4,000 3,000 2,000

Inflow Traffic Volume (PCU) Volume Traffic Inflow 1,000 Peak Time on Holiday 0 7:00 8:00 9:00 10:00 11:00 12:00 13:00 14:00 15:00 16:00 17:00 18:00 GardenCity(W) GardenCity(H) Mukuwano Kibuye Wandegeya PortBell Bakuli Kibuli Natete Kampala/Entebbe Survey Date : 15th to 22nd June, 2010 Source : JICA Study, 2010

Figure 5.4.1 Hourly Traffic Variation at Major Nine Junctions

5.5 PEDESTRIAN TRAFFIC SURVEY

The Study Team conducted pedestrian and boda-boda traffic count survey between Shoprite and Clock Tower Junctions (on Entebbe Road) to identify volume of the latest non-motorized traffic (NMT) around these junctions. The survey was conducted on 4th August for each peak three hours in the morning and evening, i.e., 6.00 – 9.00 a.m. and 4.00 – 7.00 p.m.

The average morning peak hour pedestrian traffic passing along Nakivubo Channel is 2,180 persons/hr from Clock Tower to Shoprite direction (inflow to the city center). The average evening peak hour pedestrian traffic is 2,600 persons/hr from Shoprite to Clock Tower direction (outflow from the city center). The total three-hour pedestrian traffic is 9,670 persons in the morning and that for the evening three hours is 10,745 persons, passing on Entebbe Road on Nakivubo Channel. The pedestrian traffic has increased to 3.5 times as compared with the data 2001 KUTIP survey (Table 5.5.1).

The Study Team has estimated that approximately 48,000 persons pass at this point daily and over 10 million pass per year. According to the observation, approximately 70% are from Katwe and Nsambya areas, where many poor people stay and travel to the city center to work in the morning and return to their homes in the evening. Most of these pedestrians would be the users

5-15 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

of the pedestrian bridges planned on Shoprite and Clock Tower junctions, which is intended to promote road safety by segregating the pedestrians and vehicles.

Table 5.5.1 Pedestrian Traffic Count Survey Results on Entebbe Road Date: 4th August 2010 (Wednesday) Time: 6.00 - 9.00 am and 4.00 - 7.00 pm

Direction Station Classification Morning Peak Hours (6.00 - 9.00) Evening Peak Hours (16.00-19.00) Estimated 6.00-6.30 6.30-7.00 7.00-7.30 7.30-8.00 8.00-8.30 8.30-9.00 Total 4.00-4.30 4.30-5.00 5.00-5.30 5.30-6.00 6.00-6.30 6.30-7.00 Total for 24 Hrs Clock T. to P1 Man 153 326 390 289 497 366 2,021 133 105 140 111 245 141 875 Shoprite (West) Woman 50 137 228 279 175 126 995 61 70 87 89 64 77 448 (South to P2 Man 289 418 335 297 330 342 2,011 198 238 158 235 145 160 1,134 North) (East) Woman 208 259 197 411 240 201 1,516 56 58 72 93 108 101 488 Sub-Total 700 1,140 1,150 1,276 1,242 1,035 6,543 448 471 457 528 562 479 2,945 22,000 Shoprite to P1 Man 81 130 212 116 326 267 1,132 248 386 346 302 464 710 2,456 Clock T. (West) Woman 16 40 37 50 59 58 260 83 135 117 151 160 263 909 (North to P2 Man 153 253 266 43 329 293 1,337 271 395 541 655 725 715 3,302 South) (East) Woman 38 67 36 80 94 80 395 85 187 160 285 200 216 1,133 Sub-Total 288 490 551 289 808 698 3,124 687 1,103 1,164 1,393 1,549 1,904 7,800 25,000 Total 988 1,630 1,701 1,565 2,050 1,733 9,667 1,135 1,574 1,621 1,921 2,111 2,383 10,745 48,000 Note: Comparison of Pedestrian Survey with KUTIP in 2001 Direction: From Shoprite to Clock Tower Unit: No. of Pedestrian Ave. Pedestrian TrafficKUTIP (2001) JICA (2010) Increase Morning Peak Hour 464 1,041 225% Evening Peak Hour 597 2,600 436% Total 1,060 3,641 344%

Source: JICA Survey on 4th August 2010

The Study Team observed that pedestrians are not given appropriate signal period to cross on these very busy junctions. The existing walkway widths are also not sufficient and are not well maintained. The Study Team also identified that a large number of boda-bodas are passing on this point to transport passengers. Since boda-bodas are weaving their way more frequently than cars and motor cycles, they are more subject to very high accident risks.

City Center

Overview of Entebbe Road on Nakivubo Channel Mixed Traffic (Car, Boda Boda & Pedestrian) on Shoprite Jct

Kibuye

Overview of Queen's Way from Clock Tower Commuters from Katwe and Nsambya Areas Source: JICA Study Team Figure 5.5.1 Photographs of Shoprite and Clock Tower Junctions

5-16 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

CHAPTER 6 LONG LIST AND SHORT LIST OF PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY

6.1 PREPARATION OF LONG LIST AND SHORT LIST OF PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY

The objective of the long listing is to identify the candidate projects which may be subjected to official development assistance of the GOJ for road network improvement addressing serious traffic congestion in GKMA to support the NTMP/GKMA as well as the NDP.

The objective of the short listing is to select priority projects for Pre-FS and preliminary design to evaluate them on technical, economical and other aspects. Figure 6.1.1 shows the flow of selection of the long and short list of projects for Pre-FS.

Interim Report I Interim Report II / Draft Final Report

Long-List for Short-List for Pre-FS Coordination Interview Survey Pre-FS Candidate (Preliminary Design) on Worst Traffic with BRT Pre-FS Component 1 Project 1.1 Jam Junctions Final Report (JKQ Flyover (May 2010) Yusufu Lule - Mukwano Rds Projects) Flyover Project 1.2 Transport Master Review of Component 2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Flyover Evaluation and Discussion by JICA Plan for GKMA, NTMP/GKMA (Dual Carriageway, and Mukwano - Jinja Rds and GOU (MoWT, etc) 2009 by the JICA including Junction Flyover (Right-Turn Ramps) (NTMP/GKMA) Study Team Improvement) Project 1.3 Recommendations on Policy of GOJ Queen's Way - Mukwano Rd Strategy for the Component 3 Short-List by the on ODA Flyover (Over Clock Tower Jct) Improvement of (Individual JICA Study Team, Project 2.4 Traffic Flow in Junction based on Multi Mukwano Rd Widening, incl. Kampala Improvement) Criteria Analysis Mukwano Rbt & Nsambya Jct (MoWT) (National Plan, Capacity Improvement Component 4 Engineering, Economic (Other Flyovers for and Environmental Project 3.7 reference) Aspects) and Other Shoprite Traffic Jct Safety Factors Improvement

Source: JICA Study Team Figure 6.1.1 Flow of Selection of Long and Short List Projects for Pre-FS

6.2 LONG LISTING OF CANDIDATE PROJECTS

The Study Team considered the interview results on the worst traffic jam junctions at the Steering Committee and stakeholder meetings for the long and short listing of Pre-FS projects. Of the worst ten junctions, six junctions were those improved with the grant aid of GOJ in 1998-2007. This means that conventional method of standalone junction improvement, either by signalization or roundabout, could not cope with the recent rapid traffic growth for the major junctions near/around the city center without substantial capacity increase or an introduction of area-controlled signalization system. As the traffic at all these junctions has far exceeded the traffic capacity, flyover construction and/or road and junction widening are required to improve the current severe traffic congestion.

The Study Team reviewed priority junctions (high priority, medium priority and special flyover projects) in NTMP/GKMA and selected many junctions from that for the Pre-FS long list. The junctions located in the suburbs of Kampala City were not selected as their traffic congestion is less serious compared with these located in or near the city center.

The Study Team reviewed and considered the “Strategy for the Improvement of Traffic Flow in Kampala, MoWT, December 2009” for selection of the long list projects. Of the 21 long-listed projects by the Study Team, 14 projects are consistent with the strategic junctions of MoWT.

6-1 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

The Study Team selected the “Mukwano Road Widening Project including Mukwano Roundabout Improvement” and “Makerere Hill Road Widening Project” from the priority projects of KUTIP for the long list.

6.3 LONG LIST OF CANDIDATE PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY

Considering the objectives, existing plans, interview results and site conditions, the Study Team prepared the long list of projects from which the Pre-FS short list projects were recommended. The long list was comprised of the following four components and projects as in Table 6.3.1 and Figure 6.3.1.

Table 6.3.1 Long List of Candidate Projects for Pre-FS ProjectProject No. Project Name Origination of Project Special Component NTMP/ KUTIP MoWT SC & Consideration GKMA Strategy Stakeholder by Study Team Interview* 1. Jinja - 1.1 Phase 1 Jinja - Kampala Rds Flyover Part Yes (No.4) Yes (Flyover) Kampala Rds - 1.2 Phase 2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Flyover (Right-turn Part Yes (No.4) Yes (Flyover) Queen's Way Ramp Flyover ) Flyover (JKQ)# 1.3 Phase 3 Kampala Rd - Queen's Way Flyover Yes (No.1&4) Yes (Flyover) 2. Combination 2.1 (Phase 1) Jinja Road (Port Bell Jct - Banda/Northern Yes Yes Yes (No.2) of Dual Bypass Section), including Ntinda/Spear Motor Carriageway, 2.1a (Phase 2) Jinja Road (Banda - Northern Bypass Section), Yes Yes Flyover and including Kireka Jct Junction 2.2 Bombo Road (Makerere Rbt - Northern Bypass Yes Yes (No.10) Yes (Flyover) Improvement Section), including Makerere Rbt Flyover 2.3 Makerere Hill Road, including Sir Apollo Yes Yes Yes Kaggwa Rd Jct 2.4 Mukwano Rd, including Mukwano Rbt and Yes Yes Nsambya Jct Capacity Improvement 2.5 Mutesa Rd - Kaweesa Rd - Kabasu Rd (South Part Yes (Part) Yes (South Inner Inner Ring Road) - Single Carriageway Paving Ring Road) 3. Individual 3.1 Hoima Rd - Kimera/ Masiro/ Kawala Rd Jct Yes Yes Junction (Kasubi Jct) Improvement 3.2 Kira Road - Acacia/ Babiha Av/ Kayunga Rd Yes 3.3 Kira Rd - Ntinda Rd Yes Yes 3.4 Port Bell (Nakawa) - Old Port Bell Rd Yes 3.5 Jinja Rd - Lugogo Bypass Yes Yes (Safety) 3.6 Ben Kiwanuka Rd - Luwum St Yes Yes (No.3) 3.7 Shoprite & Clock Tower Traffic Safety Yes Yes Yes (No.1) Yes (Safety) 4. Other 4.1 Queen's Way - Kevina/Mutebi Rd Yes Flyovers (For 4.2 Yusufu Lule - Mulago Rbts Kira/Haji Kasule Yes Reference) 4.3 Yusufu Lule - Fairway Rbt.Sezibwa/Kafu Babiha Yes 4.4 Kibuye Rbt - Masaka Rd Flyover Yes (No.7) Yes (Flyover) 4.5 Wandegeya Jct Flyover Yes (No.6) Yes (Flyover) 4.6 Equatoria & Pioneer Mall Jcts Flyover (Kampala KIIDP Yes Yes (No.5) Yes (Flyover) Rd - Ben Kiwanuka St / Kampala Rd - Burton (Signalization) 4.7 GKMA Inner Ring Viaduct (Motorway) Yes (Long-long Term Plan) Notes: 1. # Kampala Rd - Queen's Way Flyover crossing over the railway station was planned to divert part of the traffic on Entebbe Rd and Shoprite Jct. 2. * The worst ten (10) traffic jam junctions. Rank No.8 (Bwaise Jct) and No.10 (Pride Theater Jct) are not in this list as these are improved by KIIDP. Source: JICA Study Team

6-2 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

o T WAKISO 2.1a Jinja Rd Widening (Dual), 2.0 km (Banda - Section), Northern Bypass including Jct Kireka Port Bell 2.1 Jinja Rd Widening Rd Jinja 2.1 (Dual),km (Port- Bell Jct 3.0 Bypass Banda/Northern including Section), Motor Jct Ntinda/Spear JICA Pre-FS Long List Long Pre-FS JICA JKQ Flyover/Viaduct JKQ Jinja-Kireka Jct Jinja-Kireka Standalone Flyover Junction Flyover Standalone Single Carriageway (2-lanes) Improvement (Temporally Improvement (2-lanes) Carriageway Single Road) Ring Inner Dual Carriageway (4-lanes) Plan (4-lanes) Carriageway Dual Junctions Improvement (Signalization or Large Roundabout) Large or (Signalization Improvement Junctions LEGEND-2 LEGEND-2 01 2345km NAKAW 3.4Port Bell-Old PortBell Jct

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6-3 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

6.4 EVALUATION OF LONG LIST PROJECTS AND RECOMMENDED SHORTLIST OF PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY

(1) Evaluation Methods and Criteria

The multi-criteria analysis (MCA) methodology was adopted in the prioritization of the 15 projects in the long list for Components 1, 2 and 3. Component 4, which would be implemented in the long-term or long long-term, was not subjected to the evaluation.

The weights and 5-Grade scoring criteria for each evaluation factor are as shown in Table 6.4.1. An equal weight of 25% was given to consistency with overall plans and engineering factors. Socio-economic factors and environmental negative impacts were given 30% and 20%, respectively. Table 6.4.1 Evaluation Factor and Weight for MCA

Grade Consistency with Superior Plans (25%) Engineering Factors (25%) Socio-Economic Factors (30%) Environmental Impacts (20%) Consistency with Policy of Function of Technical Traffic Project Contribution to Interview Land Resettlement NTMP/GKMA Government of Road Effectiveness Volume Cost CBD/C.Center Ranking by Acquisition Requirements Uganda a) to Traffic (Current) Development Stakeholders on (Households) c) Sustainability Jam Traffic Jam b) Weight 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 10.0% 10.0% 5Yes (in NTMP/ Superior Priority East-West Very-very Very Small Very High The 1st - 3rd None None GKMA) (Flyovers if budget Corridor / High Large is available) North-South Corridor 4 Not Applicable High Priority Inner Ring Very High Large Medium High The 4 th - 6th Small Very Small Road/ Middle (Less than 10) Ring Road 3No (in Priority Major Radial Medium Medium Large Medium The 7th - 10th Medium Small NTMP/GKMA but Roads (10-20) very important) 2 Not Applicable Not Applicable Other Arterial Low Small Very Low The 11th - 15th Large Medium Roads Large (20 - 50) 1No in Not Applicable Local Roads Very Low Very Very-very None Over 15th or not Very Large Large NTMP/GKMA and Small Large listed (More than 50) not much urgent Notes: a) "Superior Priority" for Jinja-Kampala Rds Flyover, "High Priority" for the junctions/roads listed in "Strategy for the Improvement of Traffic Flow in Kampala", MoWT, Dec.2009 and "Priority" for others. b) Based on the result of Interview Surveys at Steering Committee Meeting on 20th November 2009 and Stakeholder Meeting on 8th December 2009. c) If possibility of the number of resettlement is over 20 families, the project will be listed for the medium term implementation candidates. Source: JICA Study Team

The final score per project was calculated using the weight allocated for each factor and normalized process.

(2) Evaluation Results

The Study Team had a series of meetings with key-stakeholders (MoWT, UNRA and KCC) and JICA on the long and short listing of Pre-FS projects. Table 6.4.2 shows the evaluation result on the long list. The Study Team recommended to MoWT the short-listed projects for the Pre-FS as presented in Table 6.4.3 based on the evaluation result while giving priority on strengthening and bottleneck improvement of the east-west corridor (international trunk road network of A109).

On March 4, 2010, the Steering Committee agreed that preliminary design should be conducted for the Jinja Rd–Kampala Road–Queen’s Way Flyover Project, for which a soft loan of the GOJ or other sources would be applied in the future. The Pre-FS at the basic design level was proposed for the remaining four projects, envisaging application of the Japanese Grant Aid for implementation.

6-4 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

) ) ) Remarks (Estimated Remarks less than 10 than less 10 than less 20-50 required resettlement) required number of households of number Resettlement 10) than (less No Resettlement Resettlement (10-20) Resettlement 10) than (less Resettlement 10) than (less Resettlement (10-20) Resettlement 50) (over Resettlement 50) (over Resettlement (20-50) No Resettlement No Resettlement Resettlement ( Resettlement ( No Resettlement Resettlement ( Resettlement 10) than (less ) ) ) ) Land on Budget on Acquisition Timing based Timing 2018 2018 2013 2018 Implementation Availability and Availability (2013) (2018) (2018) (2018) Medium Term Medium (2018)Long or (2023) Term (2013) (2018) (2018) (2018) Medium Term Medium (2018)Long or (2023) Term (2018) ( ( ( ( Short Term Short or (2013) Term Medium (2013) 6 Term Short 3 5 1 2 Term Short 4 Term Short Priority by MCA Order of Order Total 100.0% (evaluated withscore weight) acts p Resettlement Requirements 20% Land Environmental Im Environmental Acquisition Interview Ranking by on Stakeholders Jam* Traffic ore than 20 households are not appropriate for implementation in the short term under Grant Aid of the GOJ. Aid Grant short in the term under implementation for not are appropriate than 20 households ore 30% Contribution to Contribution CBD/C.Center Development Sustainability Socio-Economic Factors Project Cost Traffic Volume (Current) Technical Effectiveness to Traffic Jam 25% Engineering Factors Engineering Function Road of Table 6.4.2 6.4.2 Table List Projects Ranking of Long and Scores erior Plans erior p Policy of Policy of Government on Uganda Priority rm (by 2013)rm (by is estimated m resettlement which for projects The 25% with Su with y 8.3 9.7 11.4 9.5 2.2 8.0 4.9 2.9 12.5 14.3 83.8 15 Term Medium 8.3 12.9 14.3 12.7 6.7 8.0 9.8 8.6 9.4 11.4 102.1 8.3 12.9 8.6 6.3 4.4 10.0 12.2 14.3 12.5 5.7 95.4 11 Term Medium 8.3 12.9 14.3 12.7 11.1 8.0 12.2 14.3 12.5 11.4 117.8 13.913.9 12.9 9.7 8.6 9.5 11.4 12.7 6.7 10.0 6.7 10.0 2.4 4.9 2.9 2.9 12.5 12.5 8.6 11.4 88.0 14 96.1 Term Medium 9 Term Medium 13.9 12.913.9 14.313.9 12.9 12.713.9 14.3 8.9 9.7 8.0 12.7 14.3 12.9 6.7 4.9 15.9 11.4 8.0 6.7 14.3 12.7 4.9 4.0 8.9 3.1 9.8 8.0 2.9 8.6 7.3 5.7 3.1 101.6 11.4 7 2.9 6.3 Term Short 3.1 2.9 82.2 16 5.7 Term Medium 89.0 13 Term Medium 95.4 10 Term Medium 13.9 16.1 14.3 12.7 11.1 2.0 9.8 14.3 9.4 11.4 115.0 13.9 16.1 14.3 12.7 8.9 4.0 9.8 8.6 9.4 14.3 112.0 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 10.0% 10.0% Consistenc Consistency with Consistency TMP-GKMA Single Carriageway Kabasu Rd (South Inner Ring Inner Rd (South Kabasu - Road) Paving MasiroKawala Rd Jct (Kasubi Jct) Rd Av/ Kayunga Jinja Road (Port Bell Jct - Bypass Banda/Northern including Section), Jct, Motor Ntinda/Spear km 3.0 Length Northern - (Banda Jinja Road including Section), Bypass km 2.0 Length Jct, Kireka Section), Bypass Northern Rbt Makerere including Flyover Sir Apollo Rd Kaggwa Jct Rbt and Nsambya Mukwano Improvement Jct Capacity Kampala Rd - Queen's Way Rd - Queen's Kampala Flyover (Right Turn) Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Lule Yusufu - Jinja Ramp (Right-turn Flyover ) Flyover St Jinja - Kampala Rds Rds Flyover JinjaKampala - 13.9 16.1 14.3 15.9 11.1 2.0 12.2 8.6 12.5 14.3 120.9 Traffic Safety Improvement Safety Traffic ) ) No. Sub- Phase 1 Phase 2 Component 2.5 Rd - Rd - Kaweesa Mutesa 3.13.2 Rd - Kimera/ Hoima 3.3 - Acacia/ Babiha Road Kira Rd Ntinda - Rd Kira 13.9 12.9 11.4 12.7 6.7 10.0 2.4 2.9 12.5 11.4 96.9 8 Term Medium 2.1 ( 2.1a ( 2.2 Rbt - Road (Makerere Bombo 2.32.4 Hill including Road, Makerere including Rd, Mukwano 1.3 3 Phase 1.2 2 Phase 3.6Kiwanuka Ben Rd - Luwum Phase 1 Phase 3.43.5 Rd Bell - Old Port Port Bell Bypass Lugogo Rd - Jinja 3.7 13.9 Tower 13.9 Clock & Shoprite 9.7 9.7 8.6 14.3 12.7 15.9 4.4 8.9 10.0 10.0 4.9 7.3 2.9 2.9 12.5 15.7 11.4 14.3 91.0 12 112.8 Medium Term Project Name Sub-Component Junction Individual Component Improvement Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) Results with Weighted withIndex Results Weighted (MCA) Analysis Criteria Multi Weight JKQ Flyover 1.1 Notes: te implementation short in the for recommended The projects Combination Dual of Carriageway, and Flyover Junction Improvement Source: JICA Study Team Team Study Source: JICA

6-5 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

Table 6.4.3 Recommended Short List Projects for Pre-FS

Component Proejct No Project Name Priority by Multi Basic Project Concept Implementation Criteria Analysis Project Viaduct/ Carriageway & Period (MCA) Length Flyover Length Number of Lanes & (km) (km) Junction Improvement 1.1 Jinja - Kampala Rds 1 1.4 1.1 Dual Carriageway Medium Term (Phase 1) Flyover (two-ways 2 lanes), (2018) crossing over Africana, Jinja & Siad Baree Ave Jcts 1.2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds 5 1.6 1.3 Single Carriageway Medium Term (Phase 2) Flyover (Right-turn) (one-way 1 lane) and (2018) or Long reversible lane for the Term (2023) evening traffic Way Flyover 1.3 Kampala Rd - Queen's 3 2.0 1.9 Single Carriageway or Medium Term

(Preliminary Design) (Phase 3) Way Flyover Dual Carriageway (2018) or Long Term (2023) Jinja - Kampala Roads - Queen's 2.1 Jinja Rd Widening 7 3.0 -Dual Carriageway Short (2013) (Phase 1) (Port Bell Jct - (Add. 2 lanes) & Banda/Northern Bypass Ntinda Jct Section), including improvement Ntinda/Spear Motors 2.4Mukwano Rd 6 1.8 - Dual Carriageway Short (2013) Widening, including (Add. 2 lanes) & Mukwano Rbt and Mukwano Rbt and Nsambya Jct Capacity Nsambya Jct Improvement 3.5 Jinja Rd - Lugogo 4--Signalization and Short (2013) Improvement Bypass Jct Pedestrian Bridges (Basic DesignLevel) 3.7 Shoprite & Clock 2--Pedestrian Bridges, Short (2013) Tower Jcts Traffic Separated Left-turn Improvement andSafety Traffic Safety Improvement Lanes and Traffic Management Dual Carriageway Construction, Junction

Source: JICA Study Team

6.5 INFLUENCE OF BRT PRE-FS ON THE SHORT LIST OF PROJECTS

(1) Outline of BRT Pre-FS Draft Final Report

The BRT consultants submitted to MoWT the Interim Report of the BRT Pre-FS in February, the Draft Final Report in April and the Final Report in May 2010.

The World Bank has financed the feasibility study and detailed design of the BRT pilot project under TSDP. It included review of the BRT Pre-FS, feasibility study, the preparation of design and bidding documents, EIA/PC and a Resettlement Action Plan and the necessary institutional set-up for the implementation and management of the system of the BRT Pilot Project.

The BRT route length and its configuration, including location of bus stations, implementation schedule and costs, are unclear in the BRT Pre-FS Final Report, except for the pilot project. The Study Team assumed two implementation scenarios of the BRT development to estimate the traffic flow and volume on the GKMA trunk road network, flyovers, short-listed road projects and junctions for the Pre-FS projects in 2013, 2018 and 2023 as shown in the following figures.

The Study Team assumed that BRT Route B2, Kibuye Jct–Busega Rbt, on Masaka Road should be operated by 2023 since its passenger demand is the third largest, according to the BRT Pre-FS.

6-6 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

(2) Closure of Kampala Road/Entebbe Road Junction to General Traffic

In the Final Report of the BRT Pre-FS, it was confirmed that the Kampala Road/Entebbe Road Junction will be opened for only BRT (Figure 6.5.2) and closed to the general traffic. The current traffic flow direction to/from the city center (CBD and Commercial Center) would change drastically. In addition, as three BRT stations and one BRT City Center Interchange are located between Entebbe Jct and Equatoria Jct, it would be difficult for the general traffic to pass through Kampala Road except to just access the buildings along it.

K ampa ue la Rd ven t A en ws BR m BRT Flo T Sta rlia tion Pa Only 200 m 26.5 - 27 Luwum St .0 mm d R e b b te Rd n krumah E N

d Nasser R Source: The Study Team based on interpretation of BRT Pre-FS Final Report Figure 6.5.2 Closure of Kampala/Entebbe Roads Junction to General Traffic

(3) BRT Routes and Stations in the Draft Final Report and Effects on Short List Projects

Three of the five Pre-FS short-listed projects, namely the Jinja – Kampala Rds Flyover, Lugogo Bypass Jct Traffic Safety Improvement and Jinja Road Widening (Port Bell – Banda), are located on the BRT pilot project as shown in Figure 6.5.3. Other two Pre-FS short-listed projects,

6-7 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

Shoprite/Clock Tower Traffic Safety and Mukwano Rd Widening are also located on the planned BRT routes of B1, B2 and B3. The BRT Pre-FS did not show several important configurations/dimensions of the BRT plan, which are required for the basic design level Pre-FS of the JICA short-listed projects. Those are left to the feasibility study and detailed design consultant of BRT Pilot Project to be commended. Nonetheless, the basic concepts of BRT in the Pre-FS might be changed during the BRT FS and DD stage as a result of technical and financial reviews or public consultations.

BRT Pilot Project

2.1 Jinja Rd Widening (Port Bell - Banda), 3 km

3.5 Jinja Rd- Lugogo Bypass Jct Trafic Safety Improvement

2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, includ. Mukwano Rbt & Nsambya 1.Jinja-Kampala Rds- Jct Improvement, 1.8 km 3.7 Shoprite / Queen's Way Clock Tower Flyovers JctsTraffic Safety

Source: The Study Team based on BRT Pre-FS Draft Final Report, April 2010, MoWT Figure 6.5.3 Shortlisted Projects on the BRT Pilot Project Route

The BRT Pre-FS suggested rerouting the traffic flows from Entebbe Road to Nsambya/Mukwano/Yusufu Lule Roads and Jinja Road in line with the closing of Entebbe Junction to general traffic. The main traffic flow on Jinja Jct would be changed from the east-west direction to the north-south direction. As a flyover should be constructed on the direction of the traffic main flow, the Study Team recommended the Yusufu Lule - Mukwano Rds Flyover instead of Jinja – Kampala Rds Flyover.

(4) Coordination of Short List Projects with BRT plans

Introduction of BRT is a given condition for this JICA Pre-FS. The Study Team has modified or changed the plans of the flyover and other short list projects in June 2010, to harmonize with the BRT plan in its Draft Final Report of April 2010. As Jinja Road Widening (Port Bell Jct – Banda) and Lugogo Bypass Junction Improvement are located on the BRT Pilot Project route, the Study Team omitted these two short-listed projects from the Pre-FS list.

6-8 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

Table 6.5.1 Summary of Coordination of Pre-FS Projects with the BRT Plan Shortlisted Project BRT Effect of BRT Plan on Shortlisted Projects Coordination Method Route 1.1 Jinja-Kampala A1and • As Entebbe Jct is closed to general • Change to a flyover for the Rds Flyover A2 traffic, the main traffic flow at Jinja north-south direction, Yusufu Lule (On Junction will change from the and Mukwano Rds Flyover (Y-M) BRT east-west to the north-south to address the change in main traffic Pilot) direction flow due to BRT • BRT stations between Jinja Jct and • Crossing two railways lines Africana Rbt • New bottleneck at Jinja Jct due to BRT Plan 1.2 Jinja - Yusufu A1and • Not much influence by BRT • Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds Right-turn Lule Rds Flyover A2 (On Flyover as in Interim Report I (Right-turn) BRT • Provide Mukwano - Jinja Rds Pilot) Right-turn Flyover to reduce conflict with BRT 1.3 Kampala Rd - B1, B2 • As Entebbe Jct is closed to general • Plan a flyover to accommodate new Queen's Way and B3 traffic, not much traffic on this traffic flows from BRT, Mengo Hill Flyover flyover – Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover • Anticipated BRT station at the front or Queen’s Way - of railway park, where J-K FO Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover, in-ramp was originally planned over Clock Tower Jct • New bottleneck at Clock Tower Jct by BRT Plan 2.4 Mukwano Rd B3 • Substantial traffic volume increase • Dual carriageway to accommodate Widening, including by rerouting of the general traffic Mengo Hill (or Queen’s Way) – Mukwano Rbt and from Entebbe Road to Nsambya,/ Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover Nsambya Jct Kibuli/ Mukwano Rds and Yusufu Lule – Mukwano Rds Capacity Flyover Improvement 3.7 Shoprite / Clock B1 and • BRT stations at Shoprite Junction • Plan pedestrian bridges which are Tower Jcts Traffic B2 not in conflict with the anticipated Safety Improvement BRT stations for Shoprite Jct • Plan a flyover to meet new traffic flows by BRT, Mengo Hill – • Substantial traffic volume increase Nsambya/Mukwano Rds Flyover or for Mengo Hill (or Queen’s Way) – Queen’s Way - Nsambya/Mukwano Mukwano Rds through Clock Tower Rds Flyover, over Clock Tower Jct Jct Source: JICA Study Team

6.6 FINAL SHORT-LISTED PROJECTS FOR PRE-FEASIBILITY STUDY

(1) Review of Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA)

Taking the latest development of the BRT study and in accordance with the original scope of work signed by both governments on March 1, 2007, it was decided to conduct the Pre-FS with preliminary design for three final short-listed projects: Jinja Junction Flyover Projects, Mukwano Road Widening, and the Shoprite/Clock Tower Traffic Safety Improvement. The Study Team has reviewed the MCA by taking the latest information of the sub-projects into account. The sub-projects in the initial long list that are located on the BRT pilot project routes were omitted from the MCA review list as their improvement, including road widening and junction improvement, shall be undertaken by the BRT FS/DD.

Table 6.6.1 shows the review result through MCA to be used as confirmation of the final short-listing of Pre-FS projects.

6-9 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

Table 6.6.1 Review of Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) for Final Short Listing for Pre-FS ) ) ) ) Remarks (Estimated Remarks 10-20 10 than less 10 than less 20-50 required resettlement) required number of of households number (less than 10) than (less (10-20) Resettlement (more than 50) Resettlement (10-20) (more than 50) Resettlement 10) than (less Resettlement (10-20) Resettlement 10) than (less Resettlement ( ( ( ( 6 5 2 4 1 3 Priority by MCA by Order of Order Total 100.0% (evaluated with score weight) acts p Resettlement Requirements 20% 8 15.9 83.8 13 Resettlement No 11.8 12.7 96.6 7 Resettlement 11.8 12.7 95.8 8 Resettlement 11.8 12.7 90.7 11 Resettlement Land Environmental Im Environmental Acquisition 8 3.0 3.2 91.1 10 Resettlement 5 11.8 6.3 92.7 9 Resettlement 7 11.8 9.5 87.3 12 Resettlement Interview Ranking by on Stakeholders Jam* Traffic n 50n households is and requiredEIA in accordancewith the environmentalguideline JICA. of 11.1 13.5 11.8 12.7 115.9 30% Contribution to CBD/C.Center Development Sustainability 5 8.9 8.1 8.9 9.5 106.3 8 11.1 8.1 8.9 9.5 107.4 8 11.1 8.1 11.8 9.5 113.5 .6 8.9 8.1 5.9 3.2 103.1 .5 11.1 13.5 8.9 12.7 115.9 Socio-Economic Factors Socio-Economic .5% 7.5% 7.5% 10.0% 10.0% Project Cost Traffic Volume (Current) Technical Effectiveness to Traffic Jam 25% Engineering Factors Function of Road erior Plans erior p Policy of Policy of Government on Uganda Priority 25% with Su with y 5 12.3 11.8 12.7 6.5 9.4 2.2 2.7 8.7 9.2 11.8 9.6 2.2 7.5 4.4 2.7 11. 8.7 15.3 14.8 15.9 8.7 7. 8.78.7 12.3 12.3 8.9 14.8 6.4 12.7 4.3 10.8 9.4 7.5 11.1 13. 14.5 9.2 11.8 12.7 6.5 9.4 4.4 2.7 14.5 12.3 8.9 9.6 6.5 9.4 2.2 2. 14.5 15.3 14.8 15.9 10.8 5 14.5 12.3 11.8 12.7 8.7 7.5 6.6 10. 11.6 12.3 14.8 12.7 10.8 7 14.5 15.3 14.8 12.7 8.7 3. 14.5 15.3 14.8 15.9 8.7 3. 14.5 9.2 8.9 12.7 4.3 9.4 4.4 2.7 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 12.5% 7.5% 7 Consistenc Consistency with Consistency TMP-GKMA r d ove y Av/ Kayunga Rd Av/ Kayunga MasiroKawala Rd Jct (Kasubi Rd Jct MasiroKawala Jct) Kabasu Rd (South Inner Ring Inner (South Rd Kabasu Road) Flyover on Kibuye Rbt on Kibuye Flyover Mukwano Rbt Nsambya and Mukwano Improvement Jct Capacity Sir Apollo Rd Kaggwa Jct Queen's Way - Nsambya / Nsambya - Way Queen's (Right- Rds Flyover Mukwano turn) Jinja - Yusufu Lule Flyover Lule Yusufu - Jinja - Mukwano and (Right-turn) (Right-turn) Jinja Rds Flyover Bell R St Improvement Safety Traffic Yusufu - Lule Mukwano Rds Fl Team y ) No. Sub- Phase 1 Phase Component 3.3Rd Ntinda - Rd Kira 14. 3.2 Kira RoadAcacia/ - Babiha 3.1 Kimera/ Rd Hoima - 2.5 - Rd Rd - Kaweesa Mutesa 2.6and Way Queen's of Widening 2.4 Rd, including Mukwano 2.3 Makerere HillRoad, including 1.3 2) (Phase ( 1.2 1) (Phase 3.43.6 Port Bell(Nakawa) - Old Port 3.7 Rd - Luwum Kiwanuka Ben Clock Tower & Shoprite 1.1 Project Name Sub-Component Component Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) Results with Weighted Index Individual Junction Improvement Notes: study. pre-feasibility the for recommended projects priority The tha more is estimated resettlement which for projects The Combination Dual of Carriageway, Flyover and Junction Improvement Weight Flyover / Viaduct Source: JICA Stud Source: JICA

6-10 Final Report – Executive Summary The Study on Greater Kampala Road Network and Transport Improvement in the Republic of Uganda November 2010

(2) Final Short List of Projects for Pre-FS

Table 6.6.2 and Figure 6.6.1 summarize the short-listed projects for Pre-FS finally agreed and subjected to Pre-FS.

Table 6.6.2 Final Short List of Projects for Pre-FS Project No Project Name Basic Project Concept Implementation Priority by Project Viaduct/ Carriageway & Junction Period Multi Length Flyover Length Improvement Criteria (km) (km) Analysis 1.1 Yusufu Lule and Mukwano 1.7 1.5 Dual Carriageway (two- Medium Term 3 (Phase 1) Rds Flyover ways 2 lanes) (2018) 1.2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule Rds 2.3 1.9 Single Carriageway Medium Term 4 (Phase 1) Flyover (Right-turn) & (2018) Mukwano - Jinja Rd Flyover (Right-turn) 1.3 Queen's Way - Nsambya / 0.6 0.5 Single Carriageway Long Term 2 (Phase 2) Mukwano Rds Flyover (2023) (Right-turn) 2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, 1.8 - Dual Carriageway (Add. Medium Term 5 including Mukwano Rbt 2 lanes) & Mukwano Rbt (2018) and Nsambya Jct Capacity and Nsambya Jct Improvement improvement 3.7 Shoprite & Clock Tower - - Pedestrian Bridges & Medium Term 1 Jcts Traffic Safety Separated Left-turn (2018) Note: Preliminary planning of a flyover on Kibuye Roundabout was included in the Study addressing the proposal of MoWT in line with Dual Carriageway Railway Viaduct Plan in NTMP/GKMA. Source: JICA Study Team

LEGEND-1

i b

Northern Bypass (Grade-separate Junction) d

m i

4-lane Roads s N

a Bo

2-lane Roads KAWEMPE

M o

/ T

East-West Corridor d

R Northern Bypass WAKISO

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a B G inja To J

r Northern Bypass rido B or o KYAMBOGO t C m es b . Banda t-W WAKISO o Rd as

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. d ir L d K u

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R d o

g R a o

m B nj

i y Ji

o -p H a s B s o m b o Y u MAKERERE r d s . u f L ul Rd e siro Rd. R Ma Hill d T erere . o Mak Jinja Jct P NAKAWA M ort CENTRAL Bel it S H l R y en o d a te im n ma a R R Old Port a d d Bell Rd . B e n

K CBDi / . w d a R n a u al k p a m S a Commercialt K d Namirembe Rd R d o Mukwano Rbt. R n Center be a b w e k nt u RUBAGA E M 2.4 Mukwano Rd Widening, Nsambya Jct 1.8 km, including Mukwano E d as R t- Rbt & Nsambya Jct T W u a es s y nk a u MENGO a K t C b ev H k W i Capacity Improvement i o a na ll a rr K 's R R s id n d d o e a r e u M Q G o a T b a 1.2 Jinja - Yusufu Lule R

Rds Flyover (Right- Jinja Jct d Port Bell d R e R b turn) & Mkwano - Jinja b a te j n in /E J a MAKINDYE Rds Flyover (Right- al p m a turn) K Legend 2: Short List Projects for JICA Pre-Feasibility Study Ka mpal a Rd. Flyover/Viaduct 3.7 d 1.1 Yusufu Lule - R d o Shoprite/Clock R n e a Mukwano Rds Junctions Improvement (Signalization or Large Roundabout) Tower Jcts Traffic b w eb k nt u Flyover Safety E M Dual Carriageway (4-lanes) construction, including junction improvement

e Planned BRT Routes at the City Center by 2023 Queen's Way b 1.3 Queen's Way - b e t MENGO HILL Nsambya/Mukwano Rds n 01 2345km E

Flyover (Right-turn) o T Source: JICA Study Team Figure 6.6.1 Final Short-List of Projects Selected for Pre-FS

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