AI Principles 2020 Progress Update
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Artificial Intelligence in Health Care: the Hope, the Hype, the Promise, the Peril
Artificial Intelligence in Health Care: The Hope, the Hype, the Promise, the Peril Michael Matheny, Sonoo Thadaney Israni, Mahnoor Ahmed, and Danielle Whicher, Editors WASHINGTON, DC NAM.EDU PREPUBLICATION COPY - Uncorrected Proofs NATIONAL ACADEMY OF MEDICINE • 500 Fifth Street, NW • WASHINGTON, DC 20001 NOTICE: This publication has undergone peer review according to procedures established by the National Academy of Medicine (NAM). Publication by the NAM worthy of public attention, but does not constitute endorsement of conclusions and recommendationssignifies that it is the by productthe NAM. of The a carefully views presented considered in processthis publication and is a contributionare those of individual contributors and do not represent formal consensus positions of the authors’ organizations; the NAM; or the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data to Come Copyright 2019 by the National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved. Printed in the United States of America. Suggested citation: Matheny, M., S. Thadaney Israni, M. Ahmed, and D. Whicher, Editors. 2019. Artificial Intelligence in Health Care: The Hope, the Hype, the Promise, the Peril. NAM Special Publication. Washington, DC: National Academy of Medicine. PREPUBLICATION COPY - Uncorrected Proofs “Knowing is not enough; we must apply. Willing is not enough; we must do.” --GOETHE PREPUBLICATION COPY - Uncorrected Proofs ABOUT THE NATIONAL ACADEMY OF MEDICINE The National Academy of Medicine is one of three Academies constituting the Nation- al Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (the National Academies). The Na- tional Academies provide independent, objective analysis and advice to the nation and conduct other activities to solve complex problems and inform public policy decisions. -
Digital Economy Compass
Digital Economy Compass Mai 2017 “At least 40% of all businesses will die in the next 10 years… if they don’t figure out how to change their entire company to accommodate new technologies.” John Chambers, Chairman of Cisco System 2 Welcome to the Digital Economy Compass Less talking, more facts – our idea behind creating the Digital Economy Compass. It contains facts, trends and key players, covering the entire digital economy. We provide… › key essentials from our research, › actionable insights, › Statista’s exclusive forecasts. This very first edition will provide everything you need to know about the digital economy. Your Digital Market Outlook Team 3 Table of Contents Global Trends › Connectivity: Numbers behind the “always on” trend…………………………... 5 › Social Media: Love it, hate it, but accept that you need it…………………... 20 › Platform Economics: A story about White Sharks and Swordfish……… 30 › Venture Capital: Feed for new Tech-Unicorns…………………………………...... 83 › AI, AR and VR: The next big Technology Hype………………………………………. 91 Statista’s Digital Market Outlook › e-Commerce……………………... 106 › FinTech…………………………………. 148 › eServices……………………………. 117 › Digital Advertising…………….... 160 › eTravel ………………………………. 129 › Smart Home……………………...... 171 › Digital Media……………………...138 › Connected Car…………………….. 181 4 Connectivity 2,570,792 e-mails per second The global number of e-mails sent per second resulted in around 81 trillion e-mails sent during 2016. Source: internetlivestats.com Connectivity The world is more connected than ever, a development which -
Artificial Intelligence
TechnoVision The Impact of AI 20 18 CONTENTS Foreword 3 Introduction 4 TechnoVision 2018 and Artificial Intelligence 5 Overview of TechnoVision 2018 14 Design for Digital 17 Invisible Infostructure 26 Applications Unleashed 33 Thriving on Data 40 Process on the Fly 47 You Experience 54 We Collaborate 61 Applying TechnoVision 68 Conclusion 77 2 TechnoVision 2018 The Impact of AI FOREWORD We introduce TechnoVision 2018, now in its eleventh year, with pride in reaching a second decade of providing a proven and relevant source of technology guidance and thought leadership to help enterprises navigate the compelling and yet complex opportunities for business. The longevity of this publication has been achieved through the insight of our colleagues, clients, and partners in applying TechnoVision as a technology guide and coupling that insight with the expert input of our authors and contributors who are highly engaged in monitoring and synthesizing the shift and emergence of technologies and the impact they have on enterprises globally. In this edition, we continue to build on the We believe that with TechnoVision 2018, you can framework that TechnoVision has established further crystalize your plans and bet on the right for several years with updates on last years’ technology disruptions, to continue to map and content, reflecting new insights, use cases, and traverse a successful digital journey. A journey technology solutions. which is not about a single destination, but rather a single mission to thrive in the digital epoch The featured main theme for TechnoVision 2018 through agile cycles of transformation delivering is AI, due to breakthroughs burgeoning the business outcomes. -
The Importance of Generation Order in Language Modeling
The Importance of Generation Order in Language Modeling Nicolas Ford∗ Daniel Duckworth Mohammad Norouzi George E. Dahl Google Brain fnicf,duckworthd,mnorouzi,[email protected] Abstract There has been interest in moving beyond the left-to-right generation order by developing alter- Neural language models are a critical compo- native multi-stage strategies such as syntax-aware nent of state-of-the-art systems for machine neural language models (Bowman et al., 2016) translation, summarization, audio transcrip- and latent variable models of text (Wood et al., tion, and other tasks. These language models are almost universally autoregressive in nature, 2011). Before embarking on a long-term research generating sentences one token at a time from program to find better generation strategies that left to right. This paper studies the influence of improve modern neural networks, one needs ev- token generation order on model quality via a idence that the generation strategy can make a novel two-pass language model that produces large difference. This paper presents one way of partially-filled sentence “templates” and then isolating the generation strategy from the general fills in missing tokens. We compare various neural network design problem. Our key techni- strategies for structuring these two passes and cal contribution involves developing a flexible and observe a surprisingly large variation in model quality. We find the most effective strategy tractable architecture that incorporates different generates function words in the first pass fol- generation orders, while enabling exact computa- lowed by content words in the second. We be- tion of the log-probabilities of a sentence. -
The Deep Learning Revolution and Its Implications for Computer Architecture and Chip Design
The Deep Learning Revolution and Its Implications for Computer Architecture and Chip Design Jeffrey Dean Google Research [email protected] Abstract The past decade has seen a remarkable series of advances in machine learning, and in particular deep learning approaches based on artificial neural networks, to improve our abilities to build more accurate systems across a broad range of areas, including computer vision, speech recognition, language translation, and natural language understanding tasks. This paper is a companion paper to a keynote talk at the 2020 International Solid-State Circuits Conference (ISSCC) discussing some of the advances in machine learning, and their implications on the kinds of computational devices we need to build, especially in the post-Moore’s Law-era. It also discusses some of the ways that machine learning may also be able to help with some aspects of the circuit design process. Finally, it provides a sketch of at least one interesting direction towards much larger-scale multi-task models that are sparsely activated and employ much more dynamic, example- and task-based routing than the machine learning models of today. Introduction The past decade has seen a remarkable series of advances in machine learning (ML), and in particular deep learning approaches based on artificial neural networks, to improve our abilities to build more accurate systems across a broad range of areas [LeCun et al. 2015]. Major areas of significant advances include computer vision [Krizhevsky et al. 2012, Szegedy et al. 2015, He et al. 2016, Real et al. 2017, Tan and Le 2019], speech recognition [Hinton et al. -
Investment Company Report
Investment Company Report Meeting Date Range: 01-Jul-2018 - 30-Jun-2019 Report Date: 01-Jul-2019 Page 1 of 102 Bridges Investment ALLERGAN PLC Security: G0177J108 Agenda Number: 934955696 Ticker: AGN Meeting Type: Annual ISIN: IE00BY9D5467 Meeting Date: 01-May-19 Prop. # Proposal Proposed Proposal Vote For/Against by Management's Recommendation 1a. Election of Director: Nesli Basgoz, M.D. Mgmt For For 1b. Election of Director: Joseph H. Boccuzi Mgmt For For 1c. Election of Director: Christopher W. Bodine Mgmt For For 1d. Election of Director: Adriane M. Brown Mgmt For For 1e. Election of Director: Christopher J. Coughlin Mgmt For For 1f. Election of Director: Carol Anthony (John) Mgmt For For Davidson 1g. Election of Director: Thomas C. Freyman Mgmt For For 1h. Election of Director: Michael E. Greenberg, Mgmt For For PhD 1i. Election of Director: Robert J. Hugin Mgmt For For 1j. Election of Director: Peter J. McDonnell, M.D. Mgmt For For Investment Company Report Meeting Date Range: 01-Jul-2018 - 30-Jun-2019 Report Date: 01-Jul-2019 Page 2 of 102 Prop. # Proposal Proposed Proposal Vote For/Against by Management's Recommendation 1k. Election of Director: Brenton L. Saunders Mgmt For For 2. To approve, in a non-binding vote, Named Mgmt For For Executive Officer compensation. 3. To ratify, in a non-binding vote, the Mgmt For For appointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as the Company's independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2019 and to authorize, in a binding vote, the Board of Directors, acting through its Audit and Compliance Committee, to determine PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP's remuneration. -
When Diving Deep Into Operationalizing the Ethical Development of Artificial Intelligence, One Immediately Runs Into the “Fractal Problem”
When diving deep into operationalizing the ethical development of artificial intelligence, one immediately runs into the “fractal problem”. This may also be called the “infinite onion” problem.1 That is, each problem within development that you pinpoint expands into a vast universe of new complex problems. It can be hard to make any measurable progress as you run in circles among different competing issues, but one of the paths forward is to pause at a specific point and detail what you see there. Here I list some of the complex points that I see at play in the firing of Dr. Timnit Gebru, and why it will remain forever after a really, really, really terrible decision. The Punchline. The firing of Dr. Timnit Gebru is not okay, and the way it was done is not okay. It appears to stem from the same lack of foresight that is at the core of modern technology,2 and so itself serves as an example of the problem. The firing seems to have been fueled by the same underpinnings of racism and sexism that our AI systems, when in the wrong hands, tend to soak up. How Dr. Gebru was fired is not okay, what was said about it is not okay, and the environment leading up to it was -- and is -- not okay. Every moment where Jeff Dean and Megan Kacholia do not take responsibility for their actions is another moment where the company as a whole stands by silently as if to intentionally send the horrifying message that Dr. Gebru deserves to be treated this way. -
Bias and Fairness in NLP
Bias and Fairness in NLP Margaret Mitchell Kai-Wei Chang Vicente Ordóñez Román Google Brain UCLA University of Virginia Vinodkumar Prabhakaran Google Brain Tutorial Outline ● Part 1: Cognitive Biases / Data Biases / Bias laundering ● Part 2: Bias in NLP and Mitigation Approaches ● Part 3: Building Fair and Robust Representations for Vision and Language ● Part 4: Conclusion and Discussion “Bias Laundering” Cognitive Biases, Data Biases, and ML Vinodkumar Prabhakaran Margaret Mitchell Google Brain Google Brain Andrew Emily Simone Parker Lucy Ben Elena Deb Timnit Gebru Zaldivar Denton Wu Barnes Vasserman Hutchinson Spitzer Raji Adrian Brian Dirk Josh Alex Blake Hee Jung Hartwig Blaise Benton Zhang Hovy Lovejoy Beutel Lemoine Ryu Adam Agüera y Arcas What’s in this tutorial ● Motivation for Fairness research in NLP ● How and why NLP models may be unfair ● Various types of NLP fairness issues and mitigation approaches ● What can/should we do? What’s NOT in this tutorial ● Definitive answers to fairness/ethical questions ● Prescriptive solutions to fix ML/NLP (un)fairness What do you see? What do you see? ● Bananas What do you see? ● Bananas ● Stickers What do you see? ● Bananas ● Stickers ● Dole Bananas What do you see? ● Bananas ● Stickers ● Dole Bananas ● Bananas at a store What do you see? ● Bananas ● Stickers ● Dole Bananas ● Bananas at a store ● Bananas on shelves What do you see? ● Bananas ● Stickers ● Dole Bananas ● Bananas at a store ● Bananas on shelves ● Bunches of bananas What do you see? ● Bananas ● Stickers ● Dole Bananas ● Bananas -
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1 TABLE OF CONTENTS 2 I. INTRODUCTION ...................................................................................................... 2 3 II. JURISDICTION AND VENUE ................................................................................. 8 4 III. PARTIES .................................................................................................................... 9 5 A. Plaintiffs .......................................................................................................... 9 6 B. Defendants ....................................................................................................... 9 7 IV. FACTUAL ALLEGATIONS ................................................................................... 17 8 A. Alphabet’s Reputation as a “Good” Company is Key to Recruiting Valuable Employees and Collecting the User Data that Powers Its 9 Products ......................................................................................................... 17 10 B. Defendants Breached their Fiduciary Duties by Protecting and Rewarding Male Harassers ............................................................................ 19 11 1. The Board Has Allowed a Culture Hostile to Women to Fester 12 for Years ............................................................................................. 19 13 a) Sex Discrimination in Pay and Promotions: ........................... 20 14 b) Sex Stereotyping and Sexual Harassment: .............................. 23 15 2. The New York Times Reveals the Board’s Pattern -
Gender Shades: Intersectional Accuracy Disparities in Commercial Gender Classification∗
Proceedings of Machine Learning Research 81:1{15, 2018 Conference on Fairness, Accountability, and Transparency Gender Shades: Intersectional Accuracy Disparities in Commercial Gender Classification∗ Joy Buolamwini [email protected] MIT Media Lab 75 Amherst St. Cambridge, MA 02139 Timnit Gebru [email protected] Microsoft Research 641 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10011 Editors: Sorelle A. Friedler and Christo Wilson Abstract who is hired, fired, granted a loan, or how long Recent studies demonstrate that machine an individual spends in prison, decisions that learning algorithms can discriminate based have traditionally been performed by humans are on classes like race and gender. In this rapidly made by algorithms (O'Neil, 2017; Citron work, we present an approach to evaluate and Pasquale, 2014). Even AI-based technologies bias present in automated facial analysis al- that are not specifically trained to perform high- gorithms and datasets with respect to phe- stakes tasks (such as determining how long some- notypic subgroups. Using the dermatolo- one spends in prison) can be used in a pipeline gist approved Fitzpatrick Skin Type clas- that performs such tasks. For example, while sification system, we characterize the gen- face recognition software by itself should not be der and skin type distribution of two facial analysis benchmarks, IJB-A and Adience. trained to determine the fate of an individual in We find that these datasets are overwhelm- the criminal justice system, it is very likely that ingly composed of lighter-skinned subjects such software is used to identify suspects. Thus, (79:6% for IJB-A and 86:2% for Adience) an error in the output of a face recognition algo- and introduce a new facial analysis dataset rithm used as input for other tasks can have se- which is balanced by gender and skin type. -
Google Becomes Alphabet
Google to become Alphabet as firm shakes up operating structure Yahoo Finance By Aaron Pressman August 10, 2015 5:05 PM Investors have been after Google CEO Larry Page for years to cut back on the pie-in-the-sky bets that many see as a costly distraction to the company's highly profitable core search and Internet advertising businesses. On Monday, Page and partner in crime/Google co-founder Sergey Brin came up with an unprecedented solution: create a new holding company structure to separate, at least in their financial results, Google's core Internet businesses from the farther afield fare like DNA research, smart thermostats and self- driving cars. The move harkened back to Page and Brin's controversial auction-based initial public offering back in 2004, an unusual structure that puzzled Wall Street. The initial stock market reaction was positive, as Google shares jumped more than 7%. Under the unorthodox plan unveiled by Page on Monday, a new holding company called Alphabet will be formed as the publicly-traded entity owning Google and all of its varied other efforts. Page will become CEO of Alphabet and Sundar Pichai, who oversaw most of Google's core businesses, will become CEO of the newly segregated Google unit. Brin will become the president of Alphabet, and Eric Schmidt will become the executive chairman of Alphabet. The Google unit, which will report distinct financial results, will include only search, ads, maps, apps, YouTube and Android and the related technical infrastructure, the company said in a filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission. -
The Truth About Google, Facebook, and Small Businesses
economicliberties.us CORPORATE POWER QUICK POWER CORPORATE TAKE The Truth About Google, Facebook, and Small Businesses May 2021 Over the last several decades, small business formation in the U.S. has plummeted, harming economic growth and local economies.1 This has occurred, in large part, due to unfair competition and the power of monopolies, including big tech corporations such as Facebook and Google.2 But now, facing several antitrust suits and the realistic threat of break-ups, Google and Facebook are trying portray themselves as vital boosters of America’s small businesses, especially during the COVID-19 pandemic. COO Sheryl Sandberg has called Facebook a “lifeline for businesses,” while Google CEO Sundar Pichai has written that “At Google, we 3 see it as our job to help small businesses leverage the power of technology.” The truth is very different. “It’s less harmful to piss off the government than piss off Google,” said one small businessman in Chicago last year to the Wall Street Journal. “The government will hit me with a fine. But if Google suspends my listings, I’m out of a job. Google could make me homeless.”4 The stories are endless. From businesses fearing arbitrary delisting, to the proliferation of scams and counterfeiting, to a lack of customer service for small businesses dependent on their core infrastructure, Google and Facebook inspire terror across the commercial 1 See: Boak, Josh, “A slowdown in US business formation poses a risk to economy,” Associated Press, September 5, 2019, https://apnews.com/article/ e7179fc8b9dc4399818f2038b75ec423; Rupasingha, Anil, “Locally Owned: Do Local Business Ownership and Size Matter for Local Economic Well-being?,” Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta, Community and Economic Development Department, August 2013, https://www.frbatlanta.org/-/media/documents/ community-development/publications/discussion-papers/2013/01-do-local-business-ownership-size-matter-for-local-economic-well-being-2013-08-19.