Wager Guide Keeneland Race Course Nov06-07 Breeders
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WAGER GUIDE BREEDERS’ CUP NOV06-07 KEENELAND RACE COURSE BREEDERS’ CUP NEED-TO-KNOW HOST SITE: Keeneland (also hosted 2015) ENTRIES/POST POSITION DRAW: Monday, Nov. 2 RACE DATES: Friday-Saturday, Nov. 6-7 FRIDAY FIRST RACE POST TIME: 11:30 A.M. ET SATURDAY FIRST RACE POST TIME: 10:15 A.M. ET WATCH FREE AND WAGER: All races on 1/ST BET App // Xpressbet.com FRIDAY TELEVISION: NBCSN, 2:00-5:30 PM ET SATURDAY TELEVISION: NBCSN and NBC, 12:00-5:30 PM ET WAGERING NOTES: $1M Guaranteed Pool // Friday Late Pick 5 ($.50 min) $2M Guaranteed Pool // Saturday Late Pick 5 ($.50 min) $1M Guaranteed Pool // Saturday Ultra Pick 6 ($1 min.) FRIDAY CHAMPIONSHIP LINEUP G2 Juvenile Turf Sprint $1M 2YO 5-1/2 furlongs (turf) G1 Juvenile Turf $1M 2YO 1 mile (turf) G1 Juvenile Fillies $2M 2YOF 1-1/16 miles G1 Juvenile Fillies Turf $1M 2YOF 1 mile (turf) G1 Juvenile $2M 2YO 1-1/16 miles *10-race card includes 5 races from Keeneland. SATURDAY CHAMPIONSHIP LINEUP G1 Filly & Mare Sprint $1M F/M 7 furlongs G1 Turf Sprint $1M 3&UP 5-1/2 furlongs (turf) G1 Dirt Mile $1M 3&UP 1 mile G1 Filly & Mare Turf $2M F/M 1-3/16 miles (turf) G1 Sprint $2M 3&UP 6 furlongs G1 Mile $2M 3&UP 1 mile (turf) G1 Distaff $2M F/M 1-1/8 miles G1 Turf $4M 3&UP 1-1/2 miles (turf) G1 Classic $6M 3&UP 1-1/4 miles *12-race card includes 3 races from Keeneland. DOWNLOAD OUR FREE GUIDE UPDATE NOVEMBER 5 Check back Thursday, November 5 at Xpressbet.com and 1st.com/bet for the free 1/ST Breeders’ Cup Wager Guide update. Our expert racing analysts will have the latest information and any up-to-the-day changes. Plus, we’ll have these items exclusively in the updated Wager Guide: • Eddie Olczyk’s Breeders’ Cup Best Bets • Brent Musburger’s Breeders’ Cup Analysis • 1/ST Index Artificial Intelligence Selections for All Races Nov. 6-7 XPRESSBET.COM 2 XPRESSBET & 1/ST BET KENTUCKY DERBY PROMOTIONS BREEDERS’ CUP EXPERT PICKS We tasked our expert racing analysts across the 1/ST family to provide their early selections for this year’s 14 Breeders’ Cup Championship races over November 6-7 at Keeneland. Check back in our updated Breeders’ Cup Wager Guide on Thursday, November 5 for final selections as well as full-card artificial intelligence selections from the exclusive 1/ST BET app. Take advantage of our Breeders’ Cup Money-Back Guarantee up to $10 per race! Details. PETER LURIE DUSTIN FABIAN MATT DINERMAN NAOMI TUKKER @Peterlurievo @1stbet @3coltshandicap @NaomiTukker JUV. TURF SPRINT JUVENILE FILLIES JUVENILE TURF JUV. FILLIES TURF CAMPANELLE GIRL DADDY MUTASAABEQ MOTHER EARTH UBETTERBELIEVEIT PRINCESS NOOR BATTLEGROUND AUNT PEARL UNION GABLES SIMPLY RAVISHING GRETZKY THE GREAT MISS AMULET TRADE DEAL CRAZY BEAUTIFUL NEW MANDATE PLUM ALI JEREMY PLONK JASON BLEWITT MILLIE BALL RON NICOLETTI @Horseplayernow @jasonblewitt30 @camillayakteen @RONIC17 JUVENILE TURF SPRINT F&M TURF DIRT MILE ESSENTIAL QUALITY IMPRIMIS RUSHING FALL COMPLEXITY SITTIN ON GO INTO MYSTIC AUDARYA MR FREEZE JACKIE’S WARRIOR GOT STORMY SISTERCHARLIE ART COLLECTOR KEEPMEINMIND GLASS SLIPPERS MEAN MARY BODEXPRESS STAN SALTER MICHELLE YU ZOE CADMAN JON WHITE @MDHorseRadio @themichelleyu @zoecadman @PostTimeJon F&M SPRINT SPRINT MILE DISTAFF SPEECH VEKOMA IVAR SWISS SKYDIVER FRANK’S ROCKETTE YAUPON FACTOR THIS VALIANCE GAMINE COLLUSION ILLUSION RAGING BULL MONOMOY GIRL SERENGETI EMPRESS DIAMOND OOPS UNI HOROLOGIST JEFF SIEGEL JOHN DESANTIS EDDIE OLCZYK ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE @jsiegelracing @XBJohnnyD BRENT MUSBURGER FULL-CARD PICKS TURF CLASSIC BEST BETS 1/ST BET TARNAWA MAXIMUM SECURITY COMING NOV. 5 A.I. PICKS FOR EVERY RACE MAGICAL IMPROBABLE TO OUR UPDATED FRIDAY AND SATURDAY. UNITED TOM’S D’ETAT WAGER GUIDE! COMING NOV. 5 TO OUR MOGUL HIGHER POWER UPDATED WAGER GUIDE! XPRESSBET.COM 3 BREEDERS’ CUP MONEY-BACK GUARANTEE GET YOUR CASH BACK – UP TO $10 - EACH TIME YOUR BREEDERS' CUP PICK FINISHES 2ND OR 3RD. HOW IT WORKS: 1. BET UP TO $10 ON A HORSE TO WIN ONE OR MORE OF THE 14 BREEDERS’ CUP CHAMPIONSHIP RACES ON NOVEMBER 6 & 7, 2020. 2. EACH TIME A HORSE YOU BET FINISHES 2ND OR 3RD, YOU’LL RECEIVE A REFUND OF YOUR WIN BET. 3. ALL REFUNDS WILL BE PAID BY TUESDAY, NOVEMBER 10 @ 5:00PM ET. 1/ST $10THE CREDIT+ OFFICIAL APP OF: PREAKNESS STAKES // PEGASUS WORLD CUP // SANTA ANITA PARK $500GULFSTREAM BONUS PARK // GOLDEN GATE FIELDS // MARYLAND JOCKEY CLUB BET PROMO CODE: SPORTOFKINGS Must be 18 or older (21 in AL, AZ, IA, IN, KS, NH, ND, WA) to open an account with 1/ST BET and reside in a state where such activity is legal. Void where prohibited. National Gambling Support Line 800.522.4700. RACE SCHEDULE & CONDITIONS November 6 • Future Stars Friday BREEDERS’ CUP JUVENILE TURF SPRINT (Grade II) To be run Friday, November 6 With a gross purse of US$1,000,000 (includes travel awards) Owners purse to be divided as follows: 1st $520,000, 2nd $170,000, 3rd $90,000, 4th $50,000, 5th $30,000, 6th $20,000, 7th $10,000, 8th $10,000, 9th $10,000, 10th $10,000 In addition to gross purse, nominator awards will be paid to both the foal and stallion nominator (based on eligibility qualifications) as follows: 1st $20,000, 2nd $8,000, 3rd $4,000, 4th $2,000 Additional $1,000 Foal Nominator Award paid 5th through last. For two year olds (open) Five and One-Half Furlongs (5 1/2 F) (Turf) (1100 m) $15,000 pre-entry fee due at Noon (EDT) on Monday, October 26, 2020, and $15,000 entry fee due at 10:00 am (EST) on Monday, November 2, 2020 Payable to Keeneland Association, Inc. at the Breeders’ Cup Racing Office, Keeneland Race Course, 4201 Versailles Road, Lexington, KY 40510 Weight: 122 lbs Fillies Allowed 3 lbs Horses not nominated to the Breeders’ Cup must be nominated by the pre-entry deadline. NOT MORE THAN 14 STARTERS MAY TAKE PART IN THIS RACE • 4 ALSO-ELIGIBLES MAY BE TAKEN No Lasix will be permitted in two-year-olds racing in the State of Kentucky. Travel All non-Kentucky based runners that ship into Kentucky from a North American location will receive a $10,000 shipping stipend upon starting. All international runners will receive a $40,000 shipping stipend upon starting. Runners who stable in Kentucky are not eligible for the award. JUVENILE TURF SPRINT FRIDAY // RACE 6 // 2:30PM GRADE 2 - $1,000,000 members.breederscup.com 23 SCENE SETTER: Keeneland’s titan of 2-year-olds and turf sprints, trainer Wesley Ward, has a natural bond with this race. His GOLDEN PAL’s Skidmore win at Saratoga STATS & TRENDS may have been the division’s best domestically so far this year; filly AMANZI YIMPILO DIVISION DEBUT: 2018 already beat the boys at Santa Anita; and fellow filly ROYAL APPROVAL has turned it on FAVORITES: Win 50% // In-The-Money 50% since a trip to Royal Ascot. Ward’s CAMPANELLE is unbeaten and a major threat here or in the Juvenile Fillies Turf. Meanwhile, SECOND OF JULY owes no one a penny after AVERAGE $2 PAYOFFS: 68-1 and 15-1 victories to open his career at Belmont. Win: $7.80 Exacta: $142.80 Trifecta: $1660.40 1/ST BET FACTORS: Superfecta: $26,291.90 Last year’s winner Four Wheel Drive ranked top-2 in 3 of the top 4 factors, including No. 1 in the leading category ‘Win %.’ 2015 BC-AT-KEENELAND RESULTS The top factors in Keeneland 2-year-old turf sprint stakes have been ‘Average Div. Winner ($2 Pay) Last Prep Speed Last 3,’ ‘Horses Beaten %’ and ‘Average Lifetime Earnings.’ JFT Catch a Glimpse ($14.80) WO JT Hit It a Bomb ($16.40) Ire CHOOSE FROM 50+ FACTORS IN THE 1/ST BET APP JF Songbird ($3.20*) SA J Nyquist ($11.40) SA TS Mongolian Saturday ($33.80) Kee FMS Wavell Avenue ($22.00) Bel WORKOUT REPORT // MICHELLE YU: FMT Stephanie’s Kitten ($17.60) Bel NAME DATE TRACK DIST. TIME DM Liam’s Map ($3.00*) Sar M Tepin ($11.80) Kee PIZZAZZ 10/25 Santa Anita 5 furlongs 1:00.60 (15/72) S Runhappy ($5.20*) Kee Couldn’t wait to get in front of her workmate, but once she was, she was confidently the best D Stopchargingmaria ($16.20) Sar over an older, larger male workmate. Ears up and restrained, she looked all class here while T Found ($14.80) Eng working on the dirt. Also pre-entered in the Juvenile Fillies Turf. C American Pharoah ($3.40*) Sar MOMOS 10/25 Belmont (T) 4 furlongs :52.02 (19/20) I couldn’t help but notice how well Momos looked in the flesh as the sun lit up his coat. He ? KNOW THIS seemed sharp, focused and happy in this turf work, showing no wasted action. He breaks well in his races and he should enjoy the cut-back in trip. He’s the most interesting not among the Europeans are 12: 0-0-1 in the first 2 editions of the Juvenile Turf Sprint and comprised Wesley Ward brigade. – Additional reporting Millie Ball exactly half the entries both years. Juvenile Turf Sprint winners Four Wheel Drive and Bulletin exited preps in the Futurity at Belmont $100 WAGERING STRATEGY // PETER LURIE: and Hollywood Beach at Gulfstream Park. • $30 Win: CAMPANELLE ($30) • $25 Win: UBETTERBELIEVEIT ($25) Not only has the Juvenile Turf Sprint been won • $5 Exacta Part-Wheel: CAMPANELLE, UBETTERBELIEVEIT, UNION wire-to-wire in both of its editions to date, GABLES with CAMPANELLE, UBETTERBELIEVEIT, UNION GABLES, but the runner-up has been essentially TRADE DEAL ($45) second the entire way each time.