July 29Th, 2019
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Town Manager’s Newsletter July 29th, 2019 1. Upcoming Events - A. Friends of Breckenridge Trails - August 3rd B. Grand Opening of River Park - August 7th C. Theobald Award Reception - August 8th 2. Welcome Melanie Smith to Free Ride 3. July 15th Occupancy Forecast Notes & Report - Fill rate for the 15 day period was not bad. July 4 occupancy closed at 93% despite being one time when YOY fill was down. Not surprising considering how far ahead we were going into the weekend. We gained a little ground in August, a sharp drop on Aug 19 – 20 (Groups) may hurt the end number but on most days in August experienced FLAT YOY fill. A handful of nights were up YOY September remains a bright spot before what will be some tough drops in October. We have on the books through January 31. Some shifts in Holidays and Groups account for the early season roller coaster along the zero % axis. 4. DMMO Download from the BTO - A. July 23rd Issue 5. Board of the County Commissioners - A. July 30th - Cancelled 6. Summit County Government News - A. Improvements on Swan Mountain Recpath Begin 7. Northwest Colorado Council of Governments - A. eNews - July 2019 8. I-70 Coalition - A. Work starts on WB Mtn Express Lane 9. Colorado Mountain College - B. The Eagle - July 2019 10. Mountain Town News from CAST - A. July 24th Issue B. Delta-Montrose and Tri-State reach exit agreement Friends Of Breckenridge Trails Be Active, Get Outside, And Make A Difference You Can See! The Friends of Breckenridge Trails is a program designed to provide an opportunity for locals and visitors to participate in the upkeep of the fragile habitats, open spaces and trail systems unique to the Town of Breckenridge. Through volunteer efforts, Town open spaces, trails, historic sites and ecologically sensitive areas are maintained and restored, thereby creating fun opportunities for outdoor enthusiasts of all ages and abilities. 2019 Volunteer Events June 1st: National Trails Day, Trail Love Carter Park, TLC CANCELLED, POOR CONDITIONS Come join us for a trail maintenance day to give a little love to some of your favorite local trails: Carter Park, Moonstone, Barney Flow, B-Line, and Jack’s Cruel Joke! Please meet at the Carter Park parking lot 9am. June 15th: Planting at the River Park Help us to get the River Park ready for it’s Grand Opening by planting perennials. Then stay to enjoy the afternoon and play at the park! Pizza will be provided for lunch. Please meet at the River Park 9am. For more information click here July 13th Redpig Trail Help to construct a safe and sustainable trail connection from the Wellington Trail and Wellington Neighborhood to the Barney Ford Trail. This new trail will be constructed through a community wide effort in conjunction with Friends of Breckenridge Trails, Higher Ground Earthworks, and Summit County Open Space. Trail highlights include roughly 3,000 feet of new trail contouring through a beautiful north facing forest, existing mining ditches, unique rock outcroppings, and will be an important trail connection to French Gulch. For more information click here July 27th: Redpig Trail Give back to the trails you love to use! We aim to make new trail construction fun and safe. Join us to help construct this important trail connection, and regardless of your trail experience and age, by the end of the day you will know the basics of new trail construction. For more information click here August 3rd: Redpig Trail Join in on this community wide project to help construct a new singletrack, multi-use trail connecting the Wellington Trail to the Barney Ford Trail. For more information click here August 24th: Redpig Trail Do you enjoy working outside, using trails, and being surround by good people? Then please join us on this community wide project constructing a new single track trail connecting the Wellington Trail and Barney Ford Trail. For more information click here September 7th: Redpig Trail Please join us for our last trail building event of the season! Be a part of completing this new trail connecting the Wellington Trail and Barney Ford trail. For more information click here The Town also offers team building opportunities centered around trail construction efforts for businesses, families or other groups. On the morning of the event, volunteers are encouraged to meet in front of the Breckenridge Recreation Center (880 Airport Rd) at 9:00am for juice, coffee and snacks. A typical work day will end around 2:00 p.m. Volunteers of all ages and abilities are welcome. Participants should bring lunch, gloves, sunscreen, sunglasses, sturdy footwear and a water bottle. All other materials will be provided by the Town. The Town requests each volunteer fill out a waiver prior to the trail work. Please print a copy of the waiver to sign and bring with you when you check in. For more information, or to Volunteer for a Friends of Breckenridge Trails project, please contact Tony Overlock, Open Space and Trails Division, at (970) 453-3189 or [email protected]. Please welcome our latest addition to the Breck Free Ride Team, Melanie Smith! Melanie enjoys showing her Labradors competitively and loves driving for the Free Ride! Melanie has worked for many companies including Disney, Town of Vail, and the Summit Stage, but likes working here the best because it feels like home! Kenneth Symank Transit Assistant Manager Town of Breckenridge Free Ride 1105 Airport Road 970-547-3142 July 15, 2019 Occupancy Forecast Notes Hello Breckenridge Business Community, The June 30 report brought many questions from the community and heightened the anticipation of our July 15 report. How has fill been the first 15 days of July? Last minute fill for fourth of July weekend was off a little, yet we closed with 93% occupancy on the 4th, 92% on the 5th and Saturday closed @ 77%. The remainder of July was mostly flat Year over Year (YOY) with some midweek nights falling below last year’s fill rate. Early August fill was slightly above last year, while the second half of August was flat except for the sharp drop on Aug. 19 & 20. September remains the bright spot of the summer season, as fill was mostly flat with some days exceeding pace and virtually no days failing to match last year’s pace. The weekend of July 26 – 28, we have slight increases in occupancy on the books. Last year we had 84% on Friday, 89% on Saturday and 59% on Sunday. I expect similar numbers this weekend with the heat index outside of Breckenridge being the key variable that could drive results. The following midweek nights will be slower than last year, especially later in the week. Occupancy on Wednesday the 31st was @ 69% last year and is pacing down by 6%, leading to an expectation of 65% occupancy before a bump to 72% on Thursday after Monday’s expected 62% occupancy. August 2 – 4 we see some impacts of some group business shifts and slower demand from the individual traveler segment. Last year, 85% on Friday, 89% on Saturday and 72% on Sunday. This year expect 81%, 82% and 68% on the 3 nights of this weekend. The midweek nights of Aug 5 – 8 start down and finish up YOY. Monday Aug 6 will start with 60% occupancy and by Thursday, August 8, occupancy will reach 80%. August 9 – 11 has a slide pattern. Friday will exceed last year’s 79% occupancy with the potential to reach 85% occupancy. Saturday, Aug. 10 is an interesting night. On the books occupancy is 10 points below Friday night. Last year we filled 30 points of occupancy between July 15 and Aug. 10. We need to maintain that pace to reach the 82% occupancy for the same night in 2018. Sunday will close the weekend with 61% occupancy. A reminder, August 9 marks the beginning of BIFA (Aug. 9 – 18) and Breck Epic races Aug 11 – 16. August 12 -15 midweek nights will have 60% occupancy each night give or take a point or two. The Spartan race is not happening in Breck in 2019; hence, the significant drop in occupancy on Aug 15 – 18. This is the last weekend before 50% of our public schools are in session on Aug 19. Right now, expect occupancy in the 70% range on August 16 & 17. This is about 17 points below last year. August 19 – 25 pace starts down YOY by 13% before pacing up by 5% on Aug 24. Expect Monday night occupancy around 48% and occupancy to hover around 50% for the remainder of the week before climbing to 63% on Friday and 70% on Saturday. Labor Day weekend is FLAT to last year when occupancy was 66%, 84%, and 74% Friday – Sunday nights. We will hold off on predictions for September occupancy. As you can see from the graph below, September is doing well. Oktoberfest (Sept. 6-8) and Wine Classic (Sept. 12 – 15) are pacing well with some nice group business bumping up the midweek nights. Film Festival weekend (Sept. 19-22) is flat to last year before the roller coaster pace to close out the month. This report gives us a snapshot of winter through January 31, 2020. For some of us, it is hard to believe it has been 20 years since the millennium. Maybe it is time to party like it is 1999. The November 16- 23 vs. Nov 23 – 30 reversal is the timing of Thanksgiving. November 30 – Dec 7 vs. Dec 7 -14; is a result of Hartford Ski Spectacular coming in a week later this year.