A Review of Microeconomic Theory
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Nber Working Paper Series Financial Markets and The
NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES FINANCIAL MARKETS AND THE REAL ECONOMY John H. Cochrane Working Paper 11193 http://www.nber.org/papers/w11193 NATIONAL BUREAU OF ECONOMIC RESEARCH 1050 Massachusetts Avenue Cambridge, MA 02138 March 2005 This review will introduce a volume by the same title in the Edward Elgar series “The International Library of Critical Writings in Financial Economics” edited by Richard Roll. I encourage comments. Please write promptly so I can include your comments in the final version. I gratefully acknowledge research support from the NSF in a grant administered by the NBER and from the CRSP. I thank Monika Piazzesi and Motohiro Yogo for comments. The views expressed herein are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Bureau of Economic Research. © 2005 by John H. Cochrane. All rights reserved. Short sections of text, not to exceed two paragraphs, may be quoted without explicit permission provided that full credit, including © notice, is given to the source. Financial Markets and the Real Economy John H. Cochrane NBER Working Paper No. 11193 March 2005, Revised September 2006 JEL No. G1, E3 ABSTRACT I survey work on the intersection between macroeconomics and finance. The challenge is to find the right measure of "bad times," rises in the marginal value of wealth, so that we can understand high average returns or low prices as compensation for assets' tendency to pay off poorly in "bad times." I survey the literature, covering the time-series and cross-sectional facts, the equity premium, consumption-based models, general equilibrium models, and labor income/idiosyncratic risk approaches. -
Principles of MICROECONOMICS an Open Text by Douglas Curtis and Ian Irvine
with Open Texts Principles of MICROECONOMICS an Open Text by Douglas Curtis and Ian Irvine VERSION 2017 – REVISION B ADAPTABLE | ACCESSIBLE | AFFORDABLE Creative Commons License (CC BY-NC-SA) advancing learning Champions of Access to Knowledge OPEN TEXT ONLINE ASSESSMENT All digital forms of access to our high- We have been developing superior on- quality open texts are entirely FREE! All line formative assessment for more than content is reviewed for excellence and is 15 years. Our questions are continuously wholly adaptable; custom editions are pro- adapted with the content and reviewed for duced by Lyryx for those adopting Lyryx as- quality and sound pedagogy. To enhance sessment. Access to the original source files learning, students receive immediate per- is also open to anyone! sonalized feedback. Student grade reports and performance statistics are also provided. SUPPORT INSTRUCTOR SUPPLEMENTS Access to our in-house support team is avail- Additional instructor resources are also able 7 days/week to provide prompt resolu- freely accessible. Product dependent, these tion to both student and instructor inquiries. supplements include: full sets of adaptable In addition, we work one-on-one with in- slides and lecture notes, solutions manuals, structors to provide a comprehensive sys- and multiple choice question banks with an tem, customized for their course. This can exam building tool. include adapting the text, managing multi- ple sections, and more! Contact Lyryx Today! [email protected] advancing learning Principles of Microeconomics an Open Text by Douglas Curtis and Ian Irvine Version 2017 — Revision B BE A CHAMPION OF OER! Contribute suggestions for improvements, new content, or errata: A new topic A new example An interesting new question Any other suggestions to improve the material Contact Lyryx at [email protected] with your ideas. -
Recurrent Hyperinflations and Learning
Recurrent Hyperin‡ations and Learning Albert Marcet Universitat Pompeu Fabra and CEMFI Juan Pablo Nicolini Universidad Torcuato Di Tella and Universitat Pompeu Fabra Working Paper No. 9721 December 1997 We thank Tony Braun, Jim Bullard, George Evans, Seppo Honkapohja, Rodi Manuelli, Ramon Marimon, Tom Sargent, Harald Uhlig, Neil Wallace and Car- los Zarazaga for helpful conversations and Marcelo Delajara and Ignacio Ponce Ocampo for research assistance. All errors are our own. Part of this work was done when both authors were visiting the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis. Research support from DGICYT, CIRIT and HCM is greatly appreciated. E-mail addresses: [email protected], [email protected]. CEMFI, Casado del Alisal 5, 28014 Madrid, Spain. Tel: 341 4290551, fax: 341 4291056, http://www.cem….es. Abstract This paper uses a model of boundedly rational learning to account for the observations of recurrent hyperin‡ations in the last decade. We study a standard monetary model where the fully rational expectations assumption is replaced by a formal de…nition of quasi-rational learning. The model under learning is able to match remarkably well some crucial stylized facts observed during the recurrent hyperin‡ations experienced by several countries in the 80’s. We argue that, despite being a small departure from rational expec- tations, quasi-rational learning does not preclude falsi…ability of the model and it does not violate reasonable rationality requirements. Keywords: Hyperin‡ations, convertibility, stabilization plans, quasi-rationality. JEL classi…cation: D83, E17, E31. 1 Introduction The goal of this paper is to develop a model that accounts for the main fea- tures of the hyperin°ations of last decade and to study the policy recomen- dations that arise from it. -
Neoliberalism and Regional Development in Latin America
Neoliberalism and Regional Development in Latin America Robert N.Gwynne School of Geography University of Birmingham Edgbaston Birmingham B15 2TT Abstract This paper is an attempt to promote discussion on the contemporary relationship between the adoption of neoliberal policies by many Latin American governments and the social and economic development of space within those countries. The shift towards neoliberal policies in Latin America is also associated with increasing economic integration between countries but this topic is not the priority in this paper. Rather the emphasis is to see if any generalizations can be made on how the productive response to neoliberalism is taking place within the regions of Latin American countries. After brief discussions on the political economy and origins of neoliberalism, the paper seeks to examine some broad themes of the political economy of regional development within Latin America. Issues of regional production have very much focused on the growth of non-traditional exports. It is argued that these can be best divided into two groups - those based on manufacturing products and those based on renewable resources. This paper pursues analysis of the latter category, mainly in relation to regional development in Chile - first in relation to the wide range of primary exports and then more specifically in terms of the impact of agricultural export growth on regional land and labour markets. Brief Perspectives on the political economy of neoliberalism The political economy of Latin American countries seems increasingly characterized by neoliberal approaches. The use of the term neoliberal has numerous problems in terms of its ideological connotations. For example in international policy circles, the term Washington consensus (Williamson, 1990) tends to be used, indicating virtually the same package of reforms. -
The Socialization of Investment, from Keynes to Minsky and Beyond
Working Paper No. 822 The Socialization of Investment, from Keynes to Minsky and Beyond by Riccardo Bellofiore* University of Bergamo December 2014 * [email protected] This paper was prepared for the project “Financing Innovation: An Application of a Keynes-Schumpeter- Minsky Synthesis,” funded in part by the Institute for New Economic Thinking, INET grant no. IN012-00036, administered through the Levy Economics Institute of Bard College. Co-principal investigators: Mariana Mazzucato (Science Policy Research Unit, University of Sussex) and L. Randall Wray (Levy Institute). The author thanks INET and the Levy Institute for support of this research. The Levy Economics Institute Working Paper Collection presents research in progress by Levy Institute scholars and conference participants. The purpose of the series is to disseminate ideas to and elicit comments from academics and professionals. Levy Economics Institute of Bard College, founded in 1986, is a nonprofit, nonpartisan, independently funded research organization devoted to public service. Through scholarship and economic research it generates viable, effective public policy responses to important economic problems that profoundly affect the quality of life in the United States and abroad. Levy Economics Institute P.O. Box 5000 Annandale-on-Hudson, NY 12504-5000 http://www.levyinstitute.org Copyright © Levy Economics Institute 2014 All rights reserved ISSN 1547-366X Abstract An understanding of, and an intervention into, the present capitalist reality requires that we put together the insights of Karl Marx on labor, as well as those of Hyman Minsky on finance. The best way to do this is within a longer-term perspective, looking at the different stages through which capitalism evolves. -
Economic Models
Economic models Crucini/Driskill August 25, 2007 List of Figures 1 TheMonk’spaths.......................... 4 2 TheO’Rourkegraph......................... 13 d 3 Pairs of (PS,Si ) ........................... 20 4 Sd = 1 ............................... 21 i 4PS 3 5 Inverse linear demand function: Yi = 4 . .............. 24 6 Inverse demand functions with different Yi’s............ 24 1 7 PS = d ............................... 27 4Si 1 1 8 PS = d ; PS = d ......................... 27 4Si Si 9 Marketandindividualinversedemands.............. 31 10 Individualinversesupplyfunctions................. 33 11 Market and individual inverse supply . ............... 34 12 Depictingthedemand-supplymodel............... 44 13 Equilibrium with differentincome.................. 45 Contents 1LearningObjectives 2 2 Introduction 3 3 The power and ubiquitousness of models 3 4 The structure, language, and depiction of economic models. 6 4.1 Some definitions........................... 6 4.2 A problem: The effects of an end of EU sugar - production subsidies 7 4.3Elementsofmodels.......................... 7 4.3.1 Variables........................... 7 4.3.2 Logicalstructuringandrepresentation........... 8 4.4Solvingthemodel.......................... 9 4.4.1 Thecanonicalquestion.................... 9 4.4.2 Solutionstrategies...................... 12 1 5 The microeconomic partial-equilibrium model of competitive demand and supply for sugar 14 5.1Anoteonnotation.......................... 14 5.2Demandsubmodel.......................... 15 5.2.1 Variables.......................... -
< LRMC, MR = SRMC Iii) SRAC < LRAC, SRMC > LRMC
Econ 100A Fall 2001 Prof. Daniel McFadden Problem Set 8 1. True/False: state your reasons clearly and succinctly. a) A profit-maximizing firm will always minimize costs. True. b) In the long run a firm always operates at the minimum level of average costs for the optimally sized plant to produce a given amount of output. False. 2. Assume downward sloping or flat demand and a U-shaped LRAC curve. In each of the following situations, determine graphically and/or verbally: a) Does the firm have the cost-minimizing amount of capital given its output level? If not, should the firm increase or decrease its amount of capital given its output? b) Does the firm have the profit maximizing level of output given its amount of capital? If not, should the firm increase or decrease its level or output, given its capital? If the situation is impossible, state why. Answers: first, it is to be understood that capital input is here regarded as the fixed costs---fixed in the short run, that is. So the two questions for each case come down to your judgment in the short term and long term. Secondly, refer to Fig.21.6 and 21.10 for a graphical understanding of the explanation. i) SRAC > LRAC, SRMC > LRMC, MR = SRMC MR=SRMC shows that the firm is at an output level that maximizes the profit, given its capital in the short term. However, because SRMC>LRMC and SRAC>LRAC (See Fig. 21.10), the amount of capital is not optimized to minimize costs at the present output level. -
Money Neutrality Long Run and Short
Long Run and Short Run • In the short run, the price level is fixed at some level. the analysis heretofore has been a short run analysis. PP542 • In the long run, prices of factors of production and of output are allowed to adjust to demand and supply in the ir respec tive mar ke ts. Wages adjust to the demand and supply of labor. Inflation and Exchange Rates Real output and income are determined by the amount of workers and other factors of production—by the economy’s productive capacity—not by the supply of money. The interest rate depends on the supply of saving and the demand for saving in the economy and the inflation rate—and thus is also independent of the money supply level. K. Dominguez 2010 2 Long Run and Short Run (cont.) Money Neutrality • In the long run, the level of the money supply • All else equal, an increase in the level of does not influence the amount of real output a country’s money supply causes a nor the interest rate. proportional increase in its price level in • But in the long run, prices of output and the long run. inputs adjust proportionally to changes in the • money supply: This is called money neutrality –it is another way of saying that an increase Long run equilibrium: Ms/P = L(R,Y) in money is not like an increase in Ms = P x L(R,Y) production – it does not influence any increases in the money supply are matched by “real” variables. proportional increases in the price level. -
Economic Exchange During Hyperinflation
Economic Exchange during Hyperinflation Alessandra Casella Universityof California, Berkeley Jonathan S. Feinstein Stanford University Historical evidence indicates that hyperinflations can disrupt indi- viduals' normal trading patterns and impede the orderly functioning of markets. To explore these issues, we construct a theoretical model of hyperinflation that focuses on individuals and their process of economic exchange. In our model buyers must carry cash while shopping, and some transactions take place in a decentralized setting in which buyer and seller negotiate over the terms of trade of an indivisible good. Since buyers face the constant threat of incoming younger (hence richer) customers, their bargaining position is weak- ened by inflation, allowing sellers to extract a higher real price. How- ever, we show that higher inflation also reduces buyers' search, increasing sellers' wait for customers. As a result, the volume of transactions concluded in the decentralized sector falls. At high enough rates of inflation, all agents suffer a welfare loss. I. Introduction Since. Cagan (1956), economic analyses of hyperinflations have fo- cused attention on aggregate time-series data, especially exploding price levels and money stocks, lost output, and depreciating exchange rates. Work on the German hyperinflation of the twenties provides a We thank Olivier Blanchard, Peter Diamond, Rudi Dornbusch, Stanley Fischer, Bob Gibbons, the referee, and the editor of this Journal for helpful comments. Alessandra Casella thanks the Sloan Foundation -
The Oxford Economics Global Economic Model
The Oxford Economics Global Economic Model April 2015 Who we are About Oxford Economics ■ Oxford Economics is a world leader in global forecasting and quantitative analysis. Our worldwide client base comprises over 850 international corporations, financial institutions, government organizations and universities. ■ Founded in 1981 as a joint venture with Oxford University, Oxford Economics is now a leading independent economic consultancy. Our link to Oxford University is still present today through our management board, empirical research approach and access to Oxford scholars. ■ Headquartered in Oxford, with offices around the world, we employ more than 150 people, including 90 economists, and a network of 500 contributing researchers. The rigor of our analysis, caliber of staff and links with Oxford University and other leading research groups make us a trusted resource for decision makers. We specialise on three types of analysis Forecasts & Models Economic Impact Thought Leadership Track, analyse, forecast Assess the impact of a Evidence-based research and model country, company, industry, new to influence corporate industry and urban trends technology, regulation, or leaders, policy-makers, around the world market change and other stakeholders We go deeper and further with our global analysis Further Event-driven scenario planning and stress testing Tailored market sizing and sales forecasting Impact of macro events on your markets and business Deeper Economic outlook for 201 countries Forecasts for 100 industrial sectors Analysis on 3,000 cities and sub-regions Our modelling expertise sets us apart ■ Oxford Economics has developed the world’s leading globally integrated economic model, relied on by over 100 leading organisations around the world. -
ECON 110 Principles of Macroeconomics
South Central College ECON 110 Principles of Macroeconomics Common Course Outline Course Information Description Macroeconomics is the study of issues that affect whole economies, including economic growth, employment levels, management of the money supply, international trade, and economic instability. The course will examine tools governments can use to stabilize and grow economies, as well as controversies surrounding their use. Prerequisites: READ0090 with a grade of C or Higher or a minimum score of 78 on the Accuplacer Reading Comprehension test. This class satisfies MnTC Goal Area 5 (History and the Social and Behavioral Sciences) and MnTC Goal Area 9 (Ethical and Civic Responsibility). Total Credits 3.00 Total Hours 48.00 Types of Instruction Instruction Type Credits/Hours Lecture 3 Pre/Corequisites READ0090 with a grade of C or Higher or a minimum score of 78 on the Accuplacer Reading Comprehension test. Institutional Core Competencies 1 Analysis and inquiry: Students will demonstrate an ability to analyze information from multiple sources and to raise pertinent questions regarding that information. 2 Civic knowledge and engagement- local and global: Students will understand the richness and challeng e of local and world cultures and the effects of globalization, and will develop the skills and attitudes to function as “global citizens." 3 Teamwork and problem-solving: Students will demonstrate the ability to work together cohesively with diverse groups of persons, including working as a group to resolve any issues that arise. Course Competencies 1 Apply the economic method. Learning Objectives Define Economics. Common Course Outline September, 2016 Apply the scientific method in economics. Demonstrate scarcity, opportunity costs, and economic growth with the production possibility curve model. -
THE DEBATE of the MODERN THEORIES of REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH Ra Ximhai, Vol
Ra Ximhai ISSN: 1665-0441 [email protected] Universidad Autónoma Indígena de México México Díaz-Bautista, Alejandro; González-Andrade, Salvador THE DEBATE OF THE MODERN THEORIES OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH Ra Ximhai, vol. 10, núm. 6, julio-diciembre, 2014, pp. 187-206 Universidad Autónoma Indígena de México El Fuerte, México Available in: http://www.redalyc.org/articulo.oa?id=46132135014 How to cite Complete issue Scientific Information System More information about this article Network of Scientific Journals from Latin America, the Caribbean, Spain and Portugal Journal's homepage in redalyc.org Non-profit academic project, developed under the open access initiative Ra Ximhai Revista de Sociedad, Cultura y Desarrollo Sustentable Ra Ximhai Universidad Autónoma Indígena de México ISSN: 1665-0441 México 2014 THE DEBATE OF THE MODERN THEORIES OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH Alejandro Díaz-Bautista y Salvador González-Andrade Ra Ximhai, Julio - Diciembre, 2014/Vol. 10, Número 6 Edición Especial Universidad Autónoma Indígena de México Mochicahui, El Fuerte, Sinaloa. pp. 187 - 206 Ra Ximhai Vol. 10, Número 6 Edición Especial, Julio - Diciembre 2014 DEBATE EN LAS TEORÍAS MODERNAS DE CRECIMIENTO REGIONAL THE DEBATE OF THE MODERN THEORIES OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH Alejandro Díaz-Bautista1 y Salvador González-Andrade2 1He is Professor of Economics and Researcher at the Department of Economic Studies, El Colegio de la Frontera Norte (COLEF), he has also been a member of the United States - Mexico Border Governors Council of Economic Advisers. Email: [email protected]. 2He is Professor of Economics and Researcher at the Department of Economic Studies, COLEF. Email: [email protected] RESUMEN ¿Cómo podemos explicar las diferencias en el crecimiento económico en las distintas regiones del país y del mundo en los últimos sesenta años? El objetivo del estudio es el de realizar una revisión de la literatura tradicional de los principales modelos del crecimiento económico regional.