PRESS ADVISORY FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE JUNE 27, 2012

INDEPENDENT ELECTION ANALYSIS IS GOOD NEWS FOR SHERMAN CAMPAIGN OUTLOOK FOR NOVEMBER

Congressman Brad Sherman’s campaign was encouraged by recently-released statistical findings of the June 5 primary election results that showed Sherman ran much more competitively in the political stomping grounds of his rival, Howard Berman, than Berman ran in Sherman’s political backyard. "That’s a very good sign for this campaign," said Sherman's chief campaign strategist, Parke Skelton.

The statistical analysis by the independent firm of Redistricting Partners showed Sherman getting 32 percent of the vote in that part of the new 30th District previously represented by Berman, while Berman picked up only 25 percent of the vote in that part of the 30th previously represented by Sherman. “Each candidate had to compete on turf previously dominated by their rival, and we came off doing a significantly better job of capturing votes in Berman's backyard than he did in ours,” Skelton said.

The 30th District was created by the Citizens' Redistricting Commission out of parts of four congressional districts. About 47 percent of the new district is comprised of Sherman's old district. In that territory, Sherman won, 49 percent (Sherman) to 25 percent (Berman). In the 26 percent of the new district that was formerly in Berman's old district, Berman got 49 percent of the vote, Sherman 32 percent.

In the political neutral ground, at the extreme western and eastern ends of the 30th Congressional District, previously represented by Cong. Henry Waxman and Cong. Adam Schiff (where 27 percent of the 30th CD's voters can be found), Sherman got 41 percent of the vote to Berman's 29 percent. "In this part of the district, where about a quarter of the voters are living, the two men were basically on an equal footing - and Brad came out on top, by 12 percentage points," Skelton said.

Here is a link to the story in Roll Call about the Redistricting Partners analysis, which warned about a wide disparity between how Berman is perceived inside the beltway, in Washington, D.C., and his popularity inside the district. "The question hanging over the high-profile race is how Berman, the overwhelming favorite among the California delegation and Hollywood royalty, picks up ground in a redrawn district that includes far more of Sherman's current territory [district]," Roll Call reported.

For further comment on this analysis please contact:

Parke Skelton, chief strategist [email protected] 626-535-9616

or

John Schwada [email protected] 310-709-0056

Paid for and authorized by Sherman for Congress, FEC# C00308742