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IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements in North-West Syria, November 2018

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IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements in North-West Syria, November 2018 IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements in north-west Syria, November 2018 Summary of Findings About ISMI & This Factsheet Communities assessed: 563 Following the announcement on 17 September of a demilitarised The IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) is an initiative of the Camp zone (DMZ) to be implemented along the major frontlines of Idleb Coordination and Camp Management (CCCM) Cluster, implemented by REACH Total IDP arrivals:1 25,041 (19%)2 governorate and surrounding areas, many parts of opposition-held and supported by cluster members. north-west Syria saw reduced levels of displacement in October, 2,4 Following a baseline assessment conducted at the end of 2016, weekly, bi- Total IDP departures:3 44,649 (33%) compared to the preceding months. With November, however, weekly and now monthly data collection cycles were initiated. This factsheet came a renewal in hostilities between Government of Syria (GoS)- presents an overview of reported inward and outward movements of IDPs from Total IDP arrivals and IDP departures by region: allied forces and armed opposition groups (AOGs) in several parts 1 to 30 November 2018. Such displacements were reported in 563 communities of the DMZ. These contributed to the 16,417 total IDP arrivals and 35,783 in sub-districts monitored by ISMI. The coverage map in this section shows the 35,783 IDP departures reported from assessed communities in Idleb sub-districts that were monitored for the most recent round of data collection, and surrounding areas, many of which were concentrated in Al Ma’ra as well as the communities reporting movements. ISMI monitoring coverage district. Substantial IDP departure waves were reported in particular varies over time depending on access. Displacements are identified through from Jarjnaz (12,107) community in Ma’arrat An Nu’man sub-district, 5 an extensive key informant (KI) network, either from alerts initiated by KIs 16,417 driven by aerial bombardments throughout the month. or from follow-up by enumerators. At least two KIs are interviewed in each In parallel, in northern Aleppo governorate, large-scale security assessed community, and collected information is further triangulated through 8,624 8,866 operations were conducted in several major cities and urban centres other sources, including CCCM member data and humanitarian updates. This during November, including in Al Bab, Afrin, Azaz and Jarablus.6 approach allows for regular updates on IDP movements at the community These, combined with ongoing inter-AOG tensions and poor level across sub-districts monitored by ISMI in north-west Syria. Idleb and surrounding areas Northern Aleppo region humanitarian conditions reportedly contributed to the 8,624 total The data used for this product was collected, triangulated and verified based 46+100+ 24+25+ IDP arrivals and 8,866 IDP departures across the region. on submissions from ISMI’s network and select CCCM cluster members ■ IDP arrivals ■ IDP departures following the ISMI methodology. Due to differences in methodology and 4 Al Jazeera, ‘Russia, Turkey agree on borders of demilitarised zone in Idlib’, 22 September 2018 coverage, figures presented in this output may differ from official CCCM 1 Some figures reported may be repeated displacements. 5 Reuters, ‘Shelling kils eight in de-escalation zone around Syria’s Idlib’, 2 November 2018; Reuters, 2 CCCM/REACH, ISMI Monthly Displacement Summary, October 2018 ‘Shelling kills five in Idlib: Syrian Observatory’, 24 November 2018; The Guardian, ‘Syrian planes resume Cluster or UNHCR data. All data is for humanitarian use only. 3 IDP departure figures reflect aggregated departures of both IDP and resident/pre-conflict populations. airstrikes amid claims of gas attack in Aleppo’, 25 November 2018 Discrepancies between total reported arrivals and departures are possibly attributed to some departures 6 Daily Star, ‘25 fighters killed in clashes between pro-Turkey fighters in Afrin’, November 19 2018; The Coverage, November 2018 being repeated displacements, as well as some IDPs leaving to areas outside of ISMI coverage. Jerusalem Post, ‘‘25 killed’ as Turkey battle Syrian fighters accused of ‘plundering’’, November 19 2018 ! !!!!! !! !! !!! !!!!! ! ! !!!! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!! ! ! !!!!!!!!!!!! ! !! !!! !!!!! !! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !! ! !!!! ! ! !!!!!! !!!!!! !!!!! ! ! ! !!!!!!!!! !!!!!!!!!!! ! ! !!!! !!!!! !! !! !! ! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!! !!!! !!! !!!! ! ! ! !!!!!! !!!!!! !! !! ! Percentage of total IDP ! !!!!!!!! ! ! !!! ! ! !!!!! !!! ! !! ! IDP arrivals to sub-districts monitored by ISMI, November 2018 ! !!!!!!!!! ! !!! ! Administrative ! !!!!!! ! Al-Hasakeh ! !!!!! ! ! ! !!! !!! ! !!!!! ! ! !!!! !!!! arrivals by sub-district !! ! boundaries ! ! ! !!! ! ! !! ! ! !!!! !! ! !!! ! ! ! !! !!! ! ! Aleppo Ü (1/11/18 - 30/11/18) ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! ! !! ! !!! ! !! ! !!! ! ! !!! !! ! ! ! !! ! !! ! !! !! Ar-Raqqa ! ! ! ! !! !! !! !! !!! ! !! ! ! !!!!!! !!!! !!!!!!! ! ! !! !!!!!!!! ! ! !!!! !!! !! ! !!! ! 0.1% - 1.0% !! ! ! !! !! ! Governorate ! ! ! ! ! Idle! b! ! ! !!! !! Bulbul Jarablus !!!!!!! !! !!!! !! !!!! ! ! !! !! ! ! !! ! ! ! Raju (1,551) 1.1% - 5.0% ! !! ! (527) Ghandorah 428 Lattakia !! ! Sharan ! ! !! Deir-ez-Zor TTUURRKKEEYY(482) (801) IDPs 5.1% - 9.0% (500) Suran - Sub-district Hama Mabtali Azaz Aleppo Sheikh (261) 9.1% - 21.7% El-Hadid (509) (34) Aghtrin Tartous (455) (146) Menbij Most common sub-districts Major displacements Afrin Mare Jandairis (904) (17) Al Bab of departure ( >420 IDP ( >400 IDPs ) Homs Qourqeena (1,119) (1,318) arrivals from sub-district) 401 (423) IDPs Outward External Harim Salqin Dana Daret Azza Armanaz (103) displacement (17) (91) (309) Jebel (138) Saman Inward & outward Damascus Rural Damascus (286) Internal Janudiyeh 474 displacement (40) Maaret IDPs Quneitra Tamsrin Jisr-Ash-Shugur Teftnaz Dar'a IDLEB (781) Zarbah As-Sweida (485) Darkosh (57) (206) Badama Idleb (29) Sarmin (148) (251) ALEPPO (285) 1,039 Saraqab 617 ! IDPs Ariha Sub-districts monitored by ISMI Sub-districts not monitored Assessed communities Mhambal (2,047) (2,236) IDPs Abul Thohur (149) Ehsem Maarrat (114) (290) 4,332 AR-RAQQA Ziyara 1,084 An Numan IDPs IDPs (91) (5,439) LATTAKIA Kafr Nobol 457 CCCM CLUSTER Heish IDPs Sanjar (1,815) (228) Madiq 450 Khan Tamanaah Castle IDPs (148) Shaykun Feedback: CCCM Cluster Northern Syria (211) Email: [email protected] Kafr Zeita Km HAMA 0 25 50 100 Info: www.globalcccmcluster.org, www.humanitarianresponse.info 1 IDP Situation Monitoring Initiative (ISMI) CCCM CLUSTER Monthly Overview of IDP Movements in north-west Syria, November 2018 IDLEB & SURROUNDING AREAS7 9 IDP arrivals to assessed communities in Idleb and surrounding areas Total IDP arrivals ( 1/11/18 - 30/11/18 ) IDP Departures Key Figures (! (! 11 - 100 (! 201 - 600 In parallel, the total number of IDP departures (! 101 - 200 (! 601 - 1397 Communities assessed: 222 ² (! ! (35,783) reported from assessed communities in (! (! ( (! (! (! (! Major IDP arrivals (>420 IDPs) the region between 1 and 30 November increased (!(!(! (! 12 Total IDP arrivals: 16,417 (49%) (!(! (! by 51% compared to October. More than a third ! ( (! (! * Major departure communities (38%) of these were primary displacements, Sub-districts with most arrivals (# IDPs): (! 100+41+38+33+14 (! IDLEB (! in contrast to just 2% of the previous month’s total (! (! Ma’arrat An Nu’man 5,439 (! (! reported departures. All primary displacements (! Saraqab 2,236 (! ! ALEPPO reported in November were from just 15 assessed ( (! ! (! Ariha 2,047 ! ( ( (! (! (! communities, in Al Ma’ra and Idleb districts. Kafr Nobol 1,815 (! (! (! (! (! (! (! (! (! (! (! ! Top intended destination sub-districts (# IDPs): Maaret Tamsrin 781 ( (! 100+43+43+37+36 ! (! (! (! (! ( (! (! (! (! (! (! (! (! (! ! (! (! (! (! Ma’arrat An Nu’man 5,499 (! ( ! (! (! (! (! ( (! (! (! (! Total IDP departures: 35,783 ( 51%) (! Afrin 2,379 (! Banin Ghadqa (! (! (! (! (!" (! (! (! Badama 2,373 Sub-districts with most departures (# IDPs): (! (! (!" 100+32+24+19+12 ! LATTAKIA Telamnas ((! Abu Makki Dana 2,018 (! (!" Ma’arrat An Nu’man 14,593 ! " (! ( (! !" " Madiq Castle 2,002 (! (! (! (! ( (!Sarman* Dana 4,619 (! !(! ((! (! 5 Heish 3,467 (! (! (! Jarjnaz* Following aerial bombardments on Jarjnaz, a Badama 2,797 (! (! total of 3,568 IDPs and 8,539 residents reportedly Tamanaah 1,784 (! (! left the community, accounting for 27% of all departures tracked in north-west Syria over the reporting period. Substantial departures were also Kms Kafr Zeita* HAMA Overview 0 25 50 reported from elsewhere in Ma’arrat An Nu’man Following a sharp decrease in the total number 11 sub-district, namely Sarman (1,140) and Maasaran Most common push factors of IDP arrivals: (855) communities. Furthermore, Tah community of displacements reported in the region from IDP Arrivals 1st 2nd 3rd September to October, several areas of opposition- More than two thirds (70%) of the 16,417 IDP in Heish sub-district witnessed significant IDP Escalation of ground-based conflict 43 4 4 departures (2,583), following similar intensifications held Idleb, western Aleppo and northern arrivals in the region reported in November were Loss of income 18 16 15 to assessed locations in Ma’arrat An Nu’man of violence. Hama governorates witnessed renewed large Anticipation of future conflict escalation 6 31 4 displacements throughout November. Notably, (5,439), Saraqab (2,236), Ariha (2,047) and Kafr Additionally, large-scale secondary displacements substantial IDP departure waves
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