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The Time-Varying Liquidity Risk of Value and Growth Stocks
EDHEC-Risk Institute 393-400 promenade des Anglais 06202 Nice Cedex 3 Tel.: +33 (0)4 93 18 32 53 E-mail: [email protected] Web: www.edhec-risk.com The Time-Varying Liquidity Risk of Value and Growth Stocks April 2010 Ferhat Akbas Mays Business School, Texas A&M University, College Station Ekkehart Boehmer Affiliate Professor, EDHEC Business School Egemen Genc Lundquist College of Business, University of Oregon, Eugene Ralitsa Petkova Mays Business School, Texas A&M University, College Station Abstract We study the liquidity exposures of value and growth stocks over business cycles. In the worst times, value stocks have higher liquidity betas than in the best times, while the opposite holds for growth stocks. Small value stocks have higher liquidity exposures than small growth stocks in the worst times. Small growth stocks have higher liquidity exposures than small value stocks in the best times. Our results are consistent with a flight-to-quality explanation for the countercyclical nature of the value premium. Exposure to time-varying liquidity risk captures 35% of the small- stock value premium and 100% of the large-stock value premium. We thank seminar participants at Texas A&M University and the University of Oregon for helpful comments and suggestions. EDHEC is one of the top five business schools in France. Its reputation is built on the high quality of its faculty and the privileged relationship with professionals that the school has cultivated since its establishment in 1906. EDHEC Business School has decided to draw on its extensive knowledge of the professional environment and has therefore focused its research on themes that satisfy the needs of professionals. -
Dividend Valuation Models Prepared by Pamela Peterson Drake, Ph.D., CFA
Dividend valuation models Prepared by Pamela Peterson Drake, Ph.D., CFA Contents 1. Overview ..................................................................................................................................... 1 2. The basic model .......................................................................................................................... 1 3. Non-constant growth in dividends ................................................................................................. 5 A. Two-stage dividend growth ...................................................................................................... 5 B. Three-stage dividend growth .................................................................................................... 5 C. The H-model ........................................................................................................................... 7 4. The uses of the dividend valuation models .................................................................................... 8 5. Stock valuation and market efficiency ......................................................................................... 10 6. Summary .................................................................................................................................. 10 7. Index ........................................................................................................................................ 11 8. Further readings ....................................................................................................................... -
QUESTIONS 3.1 Profitability Ratios Questions 1 and 2 Are Based on The
140 SU 3: Profitability Analysis and Analytical Issues QUESTIONS 3.1 Profitability Ratios Questions 1 and 2 are based on the following information. The financial statements for Dividendosaurus, Inc., for the current year are as follows: Balance Sheet Statement of Income and Retained Earnings Cash $100 Sales $ 3,000 Accounts receivable 200 Cost of goods sold (1,600) Inventory 50 Gross profit $ 1,400 Net fixed assets 600 Operations expenses (970) Total $950 Operating income $ 430 Interest expense (30) Accounts payable $140 Income before tax $ 400 Long-term debt 300 Income tax (200) Capital stock 260 Net income $ 200 Retained earnings 250 Plus Jan. 1 retained earnings 150 Total $950 Minus dividends (100) Dec. 31 retained earnings $ 250 1. Dividendosaurus has return on assets of Answer (A) is correct. (CIA, adapted) REQUIRED: The return on assets. DISCUSSION: The return on assets is the ratio of net A. 21.1% income to total assets. It equals 21.1% ($200 NI ÷ $950 total B. 39.2% assets). Answer (B) is incorrect. The ratio of net income to common C. 42.1% equity is 39.2%. Answer (C) is incorrect. The ratio of income D. 45.3% before tax to total assets is 42.1%. Answer (D) is incorrect. The ratio of income before interest and tax to total assets is 45.3%. 2. Dividendosaurus has a profit margin of Answer (A) is correct. (CIA, adapted) REQUIRED: The profit margin. DISCUSSION: The profit margin is the ratio of net income to A. 6.67% sales. It equals 6.67% ($200 NI ÷ $3,000 sales). -
Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons from Emerging Markets
Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons from Emerging Markets Geert Bekaert Columbia University, National Bureau of Economic Research Campbell R. Harvey Duke University, National Bureau of Economic Research Christian Lundblad University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill Given the cross-sectional and temporal variation in their liquidity, emerging equity markets provide an ideal setting to examine the impact of liquidity on expected returns. Our main liquidity measure is a transformation of the proportion of zero daily firm returns, averaged over the month. We find that it significantly predicts future returns, whereas alternative measures such as turnover do not. Consistent with liquidity being a priced factor, unexpected liquidity shocks are positively correlated with contemporaneous return shocks and negatively correlated with shocks to the dividend yield. We consider a simple asset-pricing model with liquidity and the market portfolio as risk factors and transaction costs that are proportional to liquidity. The model differentiates between integrated and segmented countries and time periods. Our results suggest that local market liquidity is an important driver of expected returns in emerging markets, and that the liberalization process has not fully eliminated its impact. (JEL G12, G15, F30) It is generally acknowledged that liquidity is important for asset pricing. Illiquid assets and assets with high transaction costs trade at low prices relative to their expected cash flows, that is, average liquidity is priced [e.g., Amihud and Mendelson (1986); Brennan and Subrahmanyam (1996); Datar et al. (1998); Chordia et al. (2001b)]. Liquidity also predicts future returns and liquidity shocks are positively correlated with return shocks [see Amihud (2002); Jones (2002)]. -
Westfield Capital Dividend Growth Fund
The Advisors’ Inner Circle Fund II Westfield Capital Dividend Growth Fund Summary Prospectus | March 1, 2020 Ticker: Institutional Class Shares (WDIVX) Beginning on March 1, 2021, as permitted by regulations adopted by the Securities and Exchange Commission, paper copies of the Fund’s shareholder reports will no longer be sent by mail, unless you specifically request paper copies of the reports from the Fund or from your financial intermediary, such as a broker-dealer or bank. Instead, the reports will be made available on a website, and you will be notified by mail each time a report is posted and provided with a website link to access the report. If you already elected to receive shareholder reports electronically, you will not be affected by this change and you need not take any action. You may elect to receive shareholder reports and other communications from the Fund electronically by contacting your financial intermediary. You may elect to receive all future reports in paper free of charge. If you invest through a financial intermediary, you can follow the instructions included with this disclosure, if applicable, or you can contact your financial intermediary to inform it that you wish to continue receiving paper copies of your shareholder reports. If you invest directly with the Fund, you can inform the Fund that you wish to continue receiving paper copies of your shareholder reports by calling 1-866-454-0738. Your election to receive reports in paper will apply to all funds held with your financial intermediary if you invest through a financial intermediary or all Westfield Capital Funds if you invest directly with the Fund. -
Dividends: What Are They, and Do They Matter?
MIDDLE SCHOOL | UNIT 6 Growing and Protecting Your Finances Title Dividends: What Are They, and Do They Matter? LEARNING OBJECTIVES Content Area Students will: Math • Review what stocks are and that investing in them Grades involves risk. 6–8 • Develop an understanding of dividends and yield. Overview • Understand how to determine How can you make money in the stock market? Students discover that buying and if a company pays a dividend selling stocks is not the only way to make money in the stock market. They learn or not. what dividends are and investigate which companies pay dividends. The activity • Calculate annual dividend begins with an overview of investing and the traditional “buy low and sell high” payments using ratios. method. Students then learn about dividends and how yield is a numeric indicator of a company’s dividends. As a class, students investigate whether each company in a provided set pays a dividend. Each student selects companies from the list to create his or her own hypothetical portfolio. Students use dice to determine their number of shares in each company and then calculate their dividend payments. The activity concludes with students considering whether they would invest in dividend-paying stocks and a reminder that all investments come with the potential for loss. Themes Personal Finance: Investing, dividends Math: Ratios, rates, percentages Common Core Math Standards MP1 Make sense of problems and persevere in solving them. MP2 Reason abstractly and quantitatively. Copyright © 2019 Discovery Education. All rights reserved. Discovery Education, Inc. 1 Middle School Unit 6 | Dividends: What Are They, and Do They Matter? 6.RP.A.3 Use ratio and rate reasoning to solve real-world and mathematical problems, e.g., by reasoning about tables of equivalent ratios, tape diagrams, double number line diagrams, or equations. -
The Power of Dividends Past, Present, and Future
2021 Insight The Power of Dividends Past, Present, and Future IN THE 1990 FILM “CRAZY PEOPLE,” AN ADVERTISING EXECUTIVE Inside: DECIDES TO CREATE A SERIES OF TRUTHFUL ADS. One of the funniest ads says, “Volvo—they’re boxy but they’re good.” The Long-Term View Dividend-paying stocks are like the Volvos of the investing world. They’re Decade By Decade: How not fancy at first glance, but they have a lot going for them when you Dividends Impacted Returns look deeper under the hood. In this insight, we’ll take a historical look at When “High” Beat “Highest” dividends and examine the future for dividend investors. Payout Ratio: A Critical Metric Do Dividend Policies Affect Stock The Long-Term View Dividends have played a significant role in the returns investors have FPO Performance? - update received during the past 50 years. Going back to 1970, 84% of the total Lowest Risk and Highest Returns 1 for Dividend Growers & Initiators return of the S&P 500 Index can be attributed to reinvested dividends and the power of compounding, as illustrated in FIGURE 1. The Future for Dividend Investors Fig 8 Fig 1 FIGURE 1 The Power of Dividends and Compounding $12,000 Growth of $10,000 (1960–2020) $11,346 $11,000 $4,000,000 $3,845,730 I S&P 500 Index Total Return (Reinvesting Dividends) $10,000 $3,500,000 $3,500,000 I S&P 500 Index Price Only (No Dividends) $9,000 I S&P 500 Total Return (Reinvesting Dividends) $3,000,000 $3,000,000 I S&P 500 Price Only (No Dividends) $8,000 $2,500,000 $2,500,000 $2,000,000 $7,000 $6,946 $2,000,000 $1,500,000 $6,000 $1,500,000 $1,000,000 $5,000 $627,161 $1,000,000 $500,000 $4,000 $3,764 $500,000 $0 $3,000 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2019 2020 $0 $2,000 $2,189 Data Sources: Morningstar and Hartford Funds, 2/21. -
“Dividend Yield Investment Strategies in the Taiwan Stock Market”
“Dividend yield investment strategies in the Taiwan stock market” Chun-Fan You AUTHORS Szu-Hsien Lin Hsiao-Fen Hsiao Chun-Fan You, Szu-Hsien Lin and Hsiao-Fen Hsiao (2010). Dividend yield ARTICLE INFO investment strategies in the Taiwan stock market. Investment Management and Financial Innovations, 7(2-1) RELEASED ON Friday, 11 June 2010 JOURNAL "Investment Management and Financial Innovations" FOUNDER LLC “Consulting Publishing Company “Business Perspectives” NUMBER OF REFERENCES NUMBER OF FIGURES NUMBER OF TABLES 0 0 0 © The author(s) 2021. This publication is an open access article. businessperspectives.org Investment Management and Financial Innovations, Volume 7, Issue 2, 2010 Chun-Fan You (Taiwan), Szu-Hsien Lin (Taiwan), Hsiao-Fen Hsiao (Taiwan) Dividend yield investment strategies in the Taiwan stock market Abstract This study examines the feasibility of investment strategies based on dividend yields in the current stock dividend market. The data gathered from Taiwan listed companies from 2003 to 2007 shows that the performance of pure cash dividend yield portfolio investment during the second year proved significantly superior to those of market indices and a series of dividend yield portfolio. This result has two implications. First, the dividend yield ranking conveys a future profitability signal in the Taiwan market. Second, the behavior of investors manifests a sense of underreaction whereby response to the real value of the listed companies is gradually produced a few months after dividends have been de- clared. Finally, the empirical results are robust to the factors, such as: the 2008 financial storm, other definitions of dividend yield, various numbers of constituent firms, changes in portfolio weights, and consideration of transaction costs, etc. -
What Stock Market Returns to Expect for the Future? by Peter A
what stock market returns to expect for the future? by peter a. diamond* Executive Summary an issue in brief Over the long term, stocks have earned a higher rate center for of return than Treasury bonds. Therefore, many recent proposals to reform Social Security include a stock retirement investment component. In evaluating these proposals, the Social Security Administration’s Office of the Actuary (OACT) has generally used a 7.0 percent real return for research stocks (based on a long-term historical average) throughout its 75-year projection period. For the return on Treasury at boston college bonds, it currently assumes some variation in the initial september 1999, number 2 decade followed by a constant real return of 3.0 percent. Therefore, its current assumption for the equity premium, defined as the difference between yields on equities inside and Treasuries, is 4.0 percent in the long run. Some critics executive summary .............................................. 1 contend that the projected return on stocks—and the result- ing equity premium—used by the OACT are too high. introduction............................................................ 4 It is important to recognize that there are two different equity premium and developments in the capital market equity-premium concepts. One is the realized equity ...................................... 7 premium, measured by the rates of return that actually equity premium and current market values ....................................10 occurred. The other is the required equity premium, which is the premium that investors expect to receive in order marginal product of capital and slow growth ..................................................15 to be willing to hold available amounts of stocks and bonds. These are closely related but different concepts and can other issues for consideration ............16 differ significantly in some circumstances. -
Dividends: NIPA Vs. S&P
Corporate Finance Briefing: NIPA vs. S&P 500 Dividends Yardeni Research, Inc. October 1, 2021 Dr. Edward Yardeni 516-972-7683 [email protected] Joe Abbott 732-497-5306 [email protected] Mali Quintana 480-664-1333 [email protected] Please visit our sites at www.yardeni.com blog.yardeni.com thinking outside the box Dividends Figure 1. 1600 1600 DIVIDENDS IN CORPORATE PROFITS (billion dollars, 4-quarter sum) 1400 Q2 1400 1200 Dividends 1200 All Corporations (1384.2) Nonfinancial Corporations (815.2) 1000 S&P 500 (501.2) 1000 800 Q2 800 600 600 Q3 400 400 200 200 yardeni.com 0 0 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 Source: Federal Reserve Board, Financial Accounts of the United States, Standard & Poor’s and Bureau of Economic Analysis. Figure 2. 75 75 S&P 500 DIVIDEND YIELD 70 70 (trailing 4-quarter sum) Q3 65 65 60 60 Invested in 1970 (68.7) 55 Invested in 1980 (43.7) 55 Invested in 1990 (17.9) 50 50 Invested in 2000 (4.5) 45 Invested in 2010 (4.7) 45 40 40 35 35 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 yardeni.com 0 0 70 72 74 76 78 80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 Source: Standard & Poor’s Corporation. -
Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF
KBWD As of June 30, 2021 Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF Fund description Growth of $10,000 The Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Financial ETF: $21,020 ETF (Fund) is based on the KBW Nasdaq Financial KBW Nasdaq Financial Sector Dividend Yield Index: $21,350 Sector Dividend Yield Index (Index). The Fund S&P 500 Financials TR IX: $36,124 generally will invest at least 90% of its total assets $40K in the securities of publicly listed financial companies with competitive dividend yields, in the United States and that comprise the Index. Keefe Bruyette Woods, Inc. ("KBW Nasdaq" or the "Index $25K Provider") compiles, maintains and calculates the Index, which is a modified-dividend yield-weighted index of companies principally engaged in the business of providing financial services and products, as determined by the Index provider. $10K The Fund and the Index are rebalanced and reconstituted quarterly. ETF Information 06/11 12/12 05/14 10/15 03/17 08/18 01/20 06/21 Fund Name Invesco KBW High Dividend Yield Data beginning 10 years prior to the ending date of June 30, 2021. Fund performance shown at NAV. Financial ETF Fund Ticker KBWD Performance as at June 30, 2021 CUSIP 46138E610 Performance (%) Fund Intraday NAV KBWDIV YTD 1Y 3Y 5Y 10Y Inception 30 Day SEC Unsubsidized Yield 7.35% ETF - NAV 28.94 65.07 5.60 9.18 7.71 7.90 30 day SEC Yield 7.35% ETF - Market Price 28.85 65.51 5.57 9.20 7.71 7.92 Holdings 39 Underlying Index 29.14 65.03 5.57 9.08 7.88 8.09 Management Fee 0.35% Benchmark1 25.69 61.77 13.97 17.05 13.71 13.17 Total Expense Ratio 1.24% Calendar year performance (%) P/B Ratio 1.46 2020 2019 2018 2017 2016 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 P/E Ratio 10.37 ETF - NAV -15.21 20.56 -8.78 11.93 20.62 -10.20 8.23 18.20 16.77 -0.38 Return on Equity 22.35% Underlying Index -15.74 20.74 -9.23 12.06 21.10 -9.83 8.59 18.75 17.21 0.09 Listing Exchange Nasdaq Benchmark1 -1.69 32.13 -13.03 22.18 22.80 -1.53 15.20 35.63 28.82 -17.06 Weighted Market Cap ($MM) 4,992.61 Returns less than one year are cumulative. -
Strategies for Successful Portfolio Management
TG§ Evidence-Based Investing Strategies for Successful Portfolio Management Executive summary: The average mutual fund investor significantly underperforms the broad financial markets indexes. Most investors would improve their long-term results, while saving both time and money, by adopting a passive index strategy based on the S&P 500 Stock Index. Index strategies have certain intrinsic challenges, especially at the asset allocation level. Diversification is a cornerstone of prudent portfolio construction. For investors seeking the potential for added performance advantage, the Dynamic Contrarian Portfolio Strategy is designed to flow funds toward underpriced asset classes at times of significant price divergence. Page | 0 (This page intentionally left blank.) Page | 1 Why do individual investors underperform? The central, practical problem of portfolio management is the fact that the typical individual investor captures only a portion of the returns available in the financial markets. Academic research consistently documents the reality of investor underperformance, though methodologies and numbers differ. For example, DALBAR, a mutual fund research firm in Boston, has for decades compiled data on the performance of investors in mutual funds. Here are the depressing results: Mutual Fund Investors vs. Indexes Annualized Returns 1996-2016 9% 7.7% 8% 7% 6% 4.8% 5.0% 5% 4% 3% 2% 1% 0.5% 0% Equity Fund S&P 500 Fixed Income Barclays Agg Investors Fund Investors Bond Index Source: DALBAR Quantitative Analysis of Investor Behavior 2017 It is not the case that the average stock mutual fund underperformed the S&P 500 Stock index by 2.9% per year over the last twenty years, but that the average investor in those funds underperformed by that large margin.