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Pro FootbaLL Hear them PASS roar Week 12: Calvin Johnson NOV and the lions face the 25-28 unbeaten packers in a thanksgiving showdown

Thanksgiving FOOTBALL FEAST Dolphins/Cowboys, 49ers/Ravens join Packers /Lions as the 2011 Turkey Day matchups.

CHICAGO at OAKLAND The Bears begin life without and put a five-game win streak on the line.

NY giants at new orleans Big Blue faces a tall task against $9.95 in the Superdome. more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m THANKSGIVING day, 12:35 p.m. GREEN BAY PACKerS (-6) at Detroit is hoping to end two long streaks on Thanksgiving Day when it hosts Green Bay. The Packers have won 16 straight games and the Lions have suffered seven straight losses (Straight-Up and Against The Spread) on the November holiday. The good news for Detroit is that Green Bay allowed 455 yards of offense to Tampa Bay last week while the Lions hung 49 points on Carolina. Both of these teams have been great over the past two seasons (Green Bay is 20-10 ATS, Detroit is 18-6 ATS), and the Lions are a stellar 14-5 ATS against NFC teams

Lions QB , coming off a 335-yard, over this same span. 5-TD effort against Carolina, faces a Packers defense that ranks 31st in the NFL against the pass. play ON: DETROIT +6

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m THANKSGIVING day, 4:20 p.m. MIAMI DOLPHINS (+7) at The Dolphins seek their fourth win in a row when they spend Thanksgiving in Dallas, which comes into the game having won three straight. Miami has three consecutive double-digit wins, beating its opponents by a hefty 86-20 margin over that span. And in the past two years, the Dolphins have played better football on the road than at home—they’re 8-5 ATS (62%) outside of Miami in their past 13 away games. Dallas, meanwhile has a habit of playing to its opponent, as evidenced by the team’s 3-12-1 ATS record (20%) as a favorite in the past two years. The improved play of QB Matt Moore has been a key to Miami’s current three-game win streak: He has six play ON: MIAMI +7 and one during that span.

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m THANKSGIVING day, 8:25 p.m. (+3) at The Harbaugh brothers will spend Thanksgiving together as ’s Ravens host Jim Harbaugh’s 49ers. The Niners just keep paying out: They’re 9-0-1 ATS in 2011. The Ravens, meanwhile, have repeatedly shown up unprepared, letting games slip away to Seattle and Jacksonville, and nearly getting upended by Arizona in Week 8 and Cincinnati last week. LB Ray Lewis (toe) may miss a second straight game, which would be bad news against the 49ers’ power running game. And San Francisco’s elite defense should have little trouble shutting

Niners RB has been an absolute down erratic QB . beast on the road this year, averaging a hefty 6.3 yards per carry away from home. play ON: SAN FRANCISCO +3

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m SUnday, 1 p.m. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERs (+3) at TENNESSEE TITANs The Titans running game has been inconsistent throughout the season, but they’re going to need it with (elbow) questionable. The Bucs have allowed 151.2 YPG and 5.1 YPC over their past six games, and things have only gotten worse since DT Gerald McCoy’s season- ending injury. The Titans have struggled against power runners and have allowed 148.7 YPG and 4.8 YPC over their past six games, so they could have their hands full with RB LeGarrette Blount. Tampa got a strong game in Green Bay from , who could end up being the difference in this one. Buccaneeers QB Josh Freeman completed 28-of-38 passes for a career-high 342 yards, two touchdowns, play ON: TAMPA BAY +3 and two against the Packers in Week 11.

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m SUNday, 4:15 p.m. (+4.5) at OAKLAND RAIDers Chicago goes for its sixth consecutive win when it travels to Oakland, but it won’t be easy to keep the streak alive without its starting quarterback. Jay Cutler was playing the best football of his Bears career before a broken thumb suffered on Sunday knocked him out for at least six weeks. Backup , who has thrown just 14 career regular-season passes, gets the start. Although he has a great running back to rely on in Matt Forte, the Bears have rushed for only 202 yards on 3.0 YPC in the past two games, while Oakland has 353 yards on 4.3 YPC in this

The Raiders won’t have to rely on QB Carson Palmer same span, winning both contests on the road. if they can control the clock the way they did in last week’s win against the Vikings in Minnesota. play ON: OAKLAND -4.5

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m SUnday, 8:25 p.m. (-10.5) at Pittsburgh aims for its sixth victory in seven games when it pays a visit to slumping Kansas City. When the Chiefs don’t show up, they really don’t show up. Going back to last year, they’ve lost by three touchdowns or more in four of their past seven home games. They also got pummeled 34-3 on Monday Night in New Eng- land. Back-up QB Tyler Palko (three intercep- tions and a 49.9 QB rating in the loss to the Patriots) will start against an aggressive Steelers defense coming off their bye week. This is the kind of game that the Steel Curtain defense can outright dominate. Safety Troy Polamalu leads a Pittsburgh defense that has been tough in all areas, ranking third in pass play ON: PITTSBURGH -10.5 defense (183 YPG) and sixth against the run (97 YPG).

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m MONday, 8:35 p.m. (+7) at NEW ORLEANS SAINTs Two NFC heavyweights collide when the Saints look for their third win in a row while the Giants try to avoid a third consecutive loss. New York QB Eli Manning has thrown four interceptions over the past three weeks, and he’ll have his work cut out for him against a blitz-happy Saints defense with ball hawks in the secondary. QB Drew Brees and the Saints offense are as good as ever, leading the NFL with an average of 437 total yards per game. The Giants have been below- average in both facets of the defense, surrender- ing 123 rushing YPG (21st in NFL) and 239 passing

Saints QB Drew Brees has completed 76% of his YPG (18th in league). passes at the Superdome, throwing 13 touchdowns and only three interceptions in home games. play ON: NEW ORLEANS -7

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m ARIZONA (+3) BUFFALO (+9) CLEVELAND (+7.5) at at at ST. LOUIS CINCINNATI

These teams played an The Bills are reeling When these teams met ugly one in Week 9. Car- with injuries across in Week 1 in Cleveland, dinals QB John Skelton, their offense and sim- it took an Andy Dal- making his fi rst start of ply don’t match up well ton injury and a heady 2011, took two safeties with Gang Green, which quick snap by back-up and still won, engineer- has the secondary to QB Bruce Gradkowski ing a fourth-quarter TD shut down their spread to lift the Bengals to a drive to tie the game — passing attack. In three win. Since then, Cincin- Patrick Peterson’s 99- meetings over the past nati has found success yard punt return won it two seasons, the Jets under Dalton while the in overtime. The Rams have outscored Buffalo Browns continue to outgained the Cards 103-32, and Ryan Fitz- sputter behind QB Colt 383-262 in that game, patrick has completed McCoy and a complete and Josh Brown had just 46.6% of his passes lack of a running game his 42-yard for 319 yards in two with RB Peyton Hillis blocked as time expired games against the Jets (hamstring) out. Cin- in regulation. Skelton the last two seasons. cinnati is without top is coming off a game in The Jets have their CB Leon Hall, but the which he was benched own issues on offense, Browns don’t have the after completing 6-of- with QB Mark Sanchez passing game to ex- 19 passes for 99 yards struggling behind an ploit the weakness. The with no touchdowns underachieving o-line. Bengals have significant and three interceptions Expect this to be a rela- advantages on both in a loss to the 49ers. tively low-scoring affair. sides of the ball. With two TD passes against Pittsburgh two weeks ago, play ON: play ON: play ON: Bengals QB became only the third rookie ST. LOUIS -3 BUFFALO +9 CINCINNATI -7.5 ever to throw14 TD passes through his first 10 games.

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m HOUSTON (-3.5) CAROLINA (-3.5) MINNESOTA (+9.5) at at at JACKSONVILLE INDIANAPOLIS ATLANTA

The Matt Leinart Ex- This will be one of Indy’s Atlanta typically beats periment begins in best chances to get a teams it should beat, Houston with a win- win in 2011. The Colts and the Vikings qualify nable road game. Lein- will have a chance to as one of those teams. art won’t have the edge control the clock a Minnesota’s second- in the QB matchup little more against a ary will have trouble against many teams, weak Panthers running matching up with Atlan- but the Jaguars are defense, which would ta’s receivers, though one of them—rookie keep QB there’s hope that DE QB has from throwing another Jared Allen and the pass been overmatched game away. Carolina rush can dominate a all season. When the was overmatched in weak Falcons offensive teams met in Houston Detroit last week, and line. It will be a test for in Week 8, Gabbert Indy has effectively run a Falcons offense that went 10-for-30 for 97 the ball when they’ve wants to be more ag- yards, a TD and two gotten the chance, gressive through the interceptions. The Jags averaging 114.8 YPG and air. Minnesota will try D kept it close though, 4.9 YPC over their past to control the clock, containing the Hous- five games. The Pan- but it will likely have to ton running game (156 thers are 0-4 SU and do so with back-up RB yards but on 39 carries). 1-3 ATS on the road this —Adrian This one could be a year, and Cam Newton Peterson appears as if slugfest with each team will be challenged by a he’ll miss the game with After a seven-week layoff because of a going run-heavy. speedy Colts front seven. a high left ankle sprain. hamstring injury, Texans WR Andre Johnson has play ON: play ON: play ON: all but guaranteed he’ll play against the Jags. HOUSTON -3.5 INDIANAPOLIS +3.5 MINNESOTA +9.5

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m WASHINGTON (+3.5) DENVER (+6) NEW ENGLAND (-3) at at at SEATTLE SAN DIEGO PHILADELPHIA

The Seahawks are get- When these teams met The Patriots roll into ting it done at home in Week 5, the Bron- Philadelphia with two once again this season, cos trailed by 16 in the consecutive lopsided going 2-2 SU and 3-1 fourth quarter, but Tim victories, but the des- ATS at CenturyLink Tebow (on in relief of perate Eagles are com- Field. Washington’s ) had them ing off their biggest offense has been incon- within 29 yards of an of- win of the year. Vince sistent, but Seattle’s sec- fensive score in a 29-24 Young threw for 258 ondary is susceptible to loss. The Chargers have yards and 2 TD, leading the big play— Redskins had issues with assign- the Eagles to a huge win QB , for ments and discipline on over the Giants in New all his many flaws, is both sides of the ball, York—Young could get willing to take chances so defending Denver’s the call again on Sun- deep. Washington’s de- zone-read option of- day as ’s fense has been respect- fense should prove cracked ribs continue able and should be able challenging. More im- to heal. Patriots QB to hold its own against portantly for Denver, has been the Tarvaris Jackson- their vastly improved turnover-prone, toss- led Seahawks. The Se- D has held three of its ing 10 interceptions and ahawks have commit- past five opponents losing a fumble in four ted 10-plus penalties in to 15 points or less. consecutive games. four of their past five The Chargers offense The Eagles have the de- games and lead the has struggled with an fensive talent to force NFC with 96. injury-plagued o-line. Brady into mistakes. Eagles RB LeSean McCoy is the first Philadelphia play ON: play ON: play ON: running back ever to surpass 1,000 rushing WASHINGTON +3.5 DENVER +6 PHILADELPHIA +3 yards in the first 10 games of a season.

more at foxsheets.com G e t t h e N ew and improved foxsheets a t f o x s h e e t s . c o m GAME LINE PREDICTION pICK VS. SPREAD GAME LINE PREDICTION pICK VS. SPREAD

GREEN BAY LINE: GB by 6 GREEN BAY 28 DETROIT TAMPA BAY LINE: TEN by 3 TAMPA BAY 20 TAMPA BAY at DETROIT TOTAL: 55.5 DETROIT 27 UNDER 55.5 at TENNESSEE TOTAL: 43 TENNESSEE 21 UNDER 43

MIAMI LINE: DAL by 7 MIAMI 17 MIAMI MINNESOTA LINE: ATL by 9.5 MINNESOTA 17 MINNESOTA at DALLAS TOTAL: 44 DALLAS 23 UNDER 44 at ATLANTA TOTAL: 44 ATLANTA 24 UNDER 44

SAN FRANCISCO LINE: BAL by 3 SAN FRANCISCO 19 SAN FRANCISCO CHICAGO LINE: OAK by 4.5 CHICAGO 19 OAKLAND at BALTIMORE TOTAL: 38.5 BALTIMORE 21 OVER 38.5 at OAKLAND TOTAL: 41.5 OAKLAND 24 OVER 41.5

ARIZONA LINE: STL by 3 ARIZONA 16 ST. LOUIS WASHINGTON LINE: SEA by 3.5 WASHIN GTON 18 WASHINGTON at ST. LOUIS TOTAL: 40.5 ST. LOUIS 20 UNDER 40.5 at SEATTLE TOTAL: 37 SEATTLE 21 OVER 37

BUFFALO LINE: NYJ by 9 BUFFALO 17 BUFFALO NEW ENGLAND LINE: NE by 3 NEW ENGLAND 24 PHILADELPHIA at NEW YORK JETS TOTAL: 42 NEW YORK JETS 21 UNDER 42 at PHILADELPHIA TOTAL: 50.5 PHILADELPHIA 23 UNDER 50.5

CLEVELAND LINE: CIN by 7.5 CLEVELAND 13 CINCINNATI DENVER LINE: SD by 6 DENVER 23 DENVER at CINCINNATI TOTAL: 37.5 CINCINNATI 23 UNDER 37.5 at SAN DIEGO TOTAL: 42 SAN DIEGO 24 OVER 42

HOUSTON LINE: HOU by 3.5 HOUSTON 23 HOUSTON PITTSBURGH LINE: PIT by 10.5 PITTSBURGH 27 PITTSBURGH at JACKSONVILLE TOTAL: 37.5 JACKSONVILLE 13 UNDER 37.5 at KANSAS CITY TOTAL: 40 KANSAS CITY 14 OVER 40

CAROLINA LINE: CAR by 3.5 CAROLINA 27 INDIANAPOLIS NEW YORK GIANTS LINE: NO by 7 NEW YORK GIANTS 23 NEW ORLEANS at INDIANAPOLIS TOTAL: 45 INDIANAPOLIS 24 OVER 45 at NEW ORLEANS TOTAL: 50.5 NEW ORLEANS 31 OVER 50.5

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