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Agno River Flood Control Project (Phase II) (Phase II-B)”

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Agno River Flood Control Project (Phase II) (Phase II-B)” Republic of the Philippines Ex-Post Evaluation of Japanese ODA Loan Project “Agno River Flood Control Project (Phase II) (Phase II-B)” External Evaluator: Masumi Shimamura Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting Co., Ltd. 0. Summary This project aims to reduce flood damage in the project area by constructing flood control facilities and conducting the Information Education and Communication program (IEC program) for the Local Government Units (LGUs) and residents. Mitigation of flood damage has been achieved by the project－construction of floodway and diversion structures, river improvement, and construction of bridges－and the results of local interview and beneficiary survey have shown local residents’ satisfaction to the benefit of the project. The project has also contributed to the improvement and enhancement of the people’s living environment, and the economic and social development. In light of this, the project is deemed as to have yielded positive effectiveness and impacts in various ways. In addition, the IEC program conducted in the project has drawn much attention as a good practice which had promoted awareness of the LGUs and local residents for disaster prevention and enhancement of disaster prevention measures. The project objective to contribute to the reduction of flood damage, enhancement of people’s living environment and sanitation situation, and development of local economy and society is consistent with Philippines’ development plan and development needs, both at the time of appraisal and the ex-post evaluation, as well as Japan’s ODA policy at the time of appraisal, therefore its relevance is high. Project efficiency is fair because while the project cost was lower than planned, the project period was longer than planned. As regards operation and maintenance, some uncertainty has been observed in terms of financial prospects of the LGUs, therefore sustainability of the project effect is fair. In light of the above, this project is evaluated to be satisfactory. 1. Project Description 1 Project Site Manila Project Location Agno River after improvement 1.1 Background The Philippines is exposed to severe geographical and climatic conditions. Approximately twenty typhoons out of around thirty, occurring on the Pacific Ocean every year, approach the country and around ten of them land. Frequent earthquakes and volcanic eruptions also occur in the country as well. In addition to this, the people in the country frequently suffers from fierce flood and mudslides during rainy seasons because of the country’s social and economic conditions that urban areas have developed in flat and low-lying, flood-prone areas. Such disasters have become serious impediments to socioeconomic development in the Philippines, and steady countermeasures are needed to control flood and mudslides. The Agno River flows through the broad Pangasinan Plain in central Luzon, and then empties into the Gulf of Lingayen. The Agno is the fifth largest river in terms of basin area in the Philippines, draining 5,952 km2 (approximately the same area as the drainage basin of the Abukuma River in Japan). In this plain, where about 1.33 million people live and their main occupation is farming, flood caused by typhoons and localized torrential downpours has been an annual occurrence. This situation has been worsened by accumulations of mud on the riverbed caused by an eruption on Mt. Pinatubo in the south, thus making the area even more susceptible to flooding. Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) had, prior to implementing this project, assisted the urgent emergency repair project for dredging and bank protection on the lower reaches of the Agno River, however, project in the middle section in the basin has been essential to implement drastic flood control measures. These backgrounds at that time have shown urgent necessity for flood damage mitigation in the project area by implementing this project in order to improve living 2 environment and sanitation situation 1 of residents and to achieve socioeconomic development of the Agno River drainage basin. 1.2 Project Outline The objective of this project is to reduce flood damages in the Agno River drainage basin by constructing diversion and floodway structures, and repairing and constructing dikes and bridges in the middle section of the Agno River, which flows through both Provinces of Pangasinan and Tarlac, thereby improving the area’s living environment and sanitation situation, and contributing to its socioeconomic development. Phase II Phase II-B Loan Approved Amount / 6,734 million yen / 2,789 million yen / Disbursed Amount 6,315 million yen 2,776million yen Exchange of Notes Date / Loan September, 1998 / March, 2001 / Agreement Signing Date September, 1998 May2001 Terms and Conditions Interest Rate: 1.7%, Repayment Period: 30years (Grace Period: 10years) Conditions for Procurement: General Untied Consultant Interest Rate: 0.75% Repayment Period: 40years (Grace Period: 10years) Conditions for Procurement: Partially Untied (II) / Bilateral Tied (II-B) Borrower / Executing Agency The Government of the Republic of the Philippines / Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH) Final Disbursement Date March, 2010 September, 2009 Main Contractor (Over 1 billion C.M.Pancho Construction China State yen) Inc. (Philippines) / Toa Construction Corporation (Japan) / Engineering Corporation Daewoo Engineering & (China) ・ Ciriaco Construction Co.,Ltd. Corporation (Korea) (Philippines) (JV) Main Consultant (Over 100 Nippon Koei Co., Ltd. (Japan) ・Basic Technology million yen) and Management Corporation (Philippines)・ PKII Engineers (Philippines) (JV) 1 Mitigation of health damage due to overflow of sewage water, drifting and scattering of decomposed matters etc. 3 Feasibility Studies, etc. JICA Feasibility Study (1991) Related Projects ODA Loan (JICA) - Agno and Allied Rivers Urgent Rehabilitation Project (Loan Agreement signing on 1995) Technical Cooperation (JICA) - JICA Experts dispatched to DPWH (Section related with river management) - Strengthening the Flood Management Function of DPWH (Technical Cooperation Project) (July, 2005–June, 2010) - Strengthening of Flood Forecasting and Warning System for Dam Operation (Technical Cooperation Project) (October, 2009–November, 2012) Grant Aid (JICA) - Project for Improvement of Flood Forecasting and Warning System in the Pampanga and Agno River Basins (2007–2008) 2. Outline of the Evaluation Study 2.1 External Evaluator Masumi Shimamura, Mitsubishi UFJ Research and Consulting Co., Ltd. 2.2 Duration of Evaluation Study Duration of the Study: September, 2012–August, 2013 Duration of the Field Study: November 18–December 15, 2012, March 31–April 13, 2013 3. Results of the Evaluation (Overall Rating: B 2) 3.1 Relevance (Rating: ③ 3) 3.1.1 Relevance with the Development Plan of the Philippines At the time of appraisal, the government of the Philippines identified, in its Medium-Term Philippine Development Plans (1993–1998, 1999–2004) the importance of mitigation of flood damages, disaster prevention measures, and comprehensive watershed management through development of flood control facilities. The objective of the project 2 A: Highly satisfactory, B: Satisfactory, C: Partially satisfactory, D: Unsatisfactory 3 ③: High, ② Fair, ① Low 4 aiming to reduce flood damage in the Agno River drainage basin was consistent with the Philippines’ medium-term development plans. The project had been also recognized as one of the priorities in the Medium-Term Philippine Development Plan (1999–2004) of the Department of Public Works and Highways (DPWH). At the time of ex-post evaluation, the Philippine Development Plan (2011–2016) stipulates the importance of conservation of watersheds, and development of efficient and appropriate infrastructure in order to reduce flood damages. The Philippine Development Plan specifies following strategies to be pursued. - Prioritize the construction of flood management structures in highly vulnerable areas - Apply Climate Change Adaptation strategies in the planning and design of flood management structures - Develop mechanism to expedite immediate financing for the repair and rehabilitation of flood management structures - Increase LGU and community participation in disaster prevention measures and maintenance of flood management structures - Implement disaster risk reduction and management from both structural and non-structural infrastructures (flood forecasting, flood warning system, evacuation plan, etc.) In addition, the policy of the National Water Resources Board, an institution under the Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR), states the importance of water resource management, taking into account countermeasures of water related disasters. The project is consistent with the Philippines’ development policy, and continuous support for flood prevention measures is highly important. The project would be categorized as flood control sector or disaster risk reduction and management sector 4 at the time of ex-post evaluation, instead of environmental and natural resource sector being categorized at the time of appraisal, given the strategies stipulated in the Philippine Development Plan (2011–2016). 3.1.2 Relevance with the Development Needs of the Philippines Pangasinan Plain where the Agno River flows, is primarily an agricultural land 5, and 4 One of the important pillars the National Water Resources Board puts up is “mitigation of water related disasters and hazards”. The Philippine government recognizes the
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