FINANCIAL ANALYSIS a Controller’S Guide Second Edition
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Graham & Doddsville
Graham & Doddsville An investment newsletter from the students of Columbia Business School Issue XXVI Winter 2016 Inside this issue: 25th Annual Craig Effron of Scoggin Capital Graham & Dodd Management Breakfast P. 3 Craig Effron P. 5 Craig Effron is the co-portfolio manager of Scoggin Capital Management, which he founded with partner Curtis Schenker in Jeff Gramm P. 19 1988. With approximately $1.75 billion in assets under management, Scoggin is a global, opportunistic, multi-strategy Shane Parrish P. 30 Craig Effron event-driven fund. Scoggin focuses on identifying fundamental Jon Salinas P. 39 long/short investments through three primary strategies including event driven equities with a catalyst, special situations, and distressed credit. Mr. Student Ideas P. 47 Effron began his career as a floor trader on the New York Mercantile Exchange and New York Commodity Exchange. Mr. Effron received a BS in Economics from the (Continued on page 5) Editors: Brendan Dawson Jeff Gramm ’03 Shane Parrish MBA 2016 of Bandera of Farnam Scott DeBenedett Partners MBA 2016 Street Anthony Philipp Jeff Gramm manages Shane Parrish is MBA 2016 Bandera Partners, a the curator behind Brandon Cheong value hedge fund based Shane Parrish the popular Jeff Gramm in New York City. He Farnam Street MBA 2017 teaches Applied Value Blog and founder Eric Laidlow, CFA Investing at Columbia Business School of the Re:Think Workshops on MBA 2017 and wrote the upcoming book “Dear Innovation and Decision Making. (Continued on page 19) (Continued on page 30) Benjamin Ostrow MBA 2017 Jon Salinas ’08 of Plymouth Lane Capital Management Visit us at: www.grahamanddodd.com Jonathan Salinas founded RolfPlymouth Heitmeyer Lane in April 2013 and acts www.csima.info as sole portfolio manager to the Fund. -
Aditya Birla Sun Life Special Opportunities Fund an Open Ended Equity Scheme Following Special Situations Theme
Aditya Birla Sun Life Special Opportunities Fund An open ended equity scheme following special situations theme NFO Opens: 5th Oct 2020 | NFO Closes: 19th Oct 2020 Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd. ‘ Every challenge, every adversity,‘ contains within it the seeds of ‘‘ opportunity and growth ~ Roy T. Bennett (Author of The Light in the Heart) Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd. Equity creates wealth over the long term… Equity has grown 10X in last 25 years! 13000 10500 8000 5500 3000 500 Nifty 50 TRI has been considered as proxy for equity. Source: Bloomberg Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd. However, journey of Wealth Creation is never smooth… US China COVID-19 Trade War 13000 BREXIT Announcement Global Financial Eurozone 10500 Crisis Debt Crisis BJP lost in Election 8000 Dotcom Bubble + 5500 SARS Asian Financial Kargil 9/11 D War Outbreak Crisis Demonetization 3000 Taper Tantrum Great Fall of China 500 Nifty 50 TRI has been considered as proxy for equity. Source: Bloomberg Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd. Different Countries, Industries or Businesses face challenges at different times… Silver lining of these challenges create Special Situations Opportunity for those who dare to see it. Source: Newspapers Reports Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd. Regulatory Changes Industry Specific Macro-Economic Events Changes Special Company Specific Situations Global Events can arise from… Events The above list is illustrative and not exhaustive; there are several other opportunities that may give rise to special situations Aditya Birla Sun Life AMC Ltd. Case Study: -
The Promise and Peril of Real Options
1 The Promise and Peril of Real Options Aswath Damodaran Stern School of Business 44 West Fourth Street New York, NY 10012 [email protected] 2 Abstract In recent years, practitioners and academics have made the argument that traditional discounted cash flow models do a poor job of capturing the value of the options embedded in many corporate actions. They have noted that these options need to be not only considered explicitly and valued, but also that the value of these options can be substantial. In fact, many investments and acquisitions that would not be justifiable otherwise will be value enhancing, if the options embedded in them are considered. In this paper, we examine the merits of this argument. While it is certainly true that there are options embedded in many actions, we consider the conditions that have to be met for these options to have value. We also develop a series of applied examples, where we attempt to value these options and consider the effect on investment, financing and valuation decisions. 3 In finance, the discounted cash flow model operates as the basic framework for most analysis. In investment analysis, for instance, the conventional view is that the net present value of a project is the measure of the value that it will add to the firm taking it. Thus, investing in a positive (negative) net present value project will increase (decrease) value. In capital structure decisions, a financing mix that minimizes the cost of capital, without impairing operating cash flows, increases firm value and is therefore viewed as the optimal mix. -
How Risky Is the Debt in Highly Leveraged Transactions?*
Journal of Financial Economics 27 (1990) 215-24.5. North-Holland How risky is the debt in highly leveraged transactions?* Steven N. Kaplan University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA Jeremy C. Stein Massachusetts Institute of Technology Cambridge, MA 02139, USA Received December 1989, final version received June 1990 This paper estimates the systematic risk of the debt in public leveraged recapitalizations. We calculate this risk as a function of the difference in systematic equity risk before and after the recapitalization. The increase in equity risk is surprisingly small after a recapitalization, ranging from 37% to 57%, depending on the estimation method. If total company risk is unchanged, the implied systematic risk of the post-recapitalization debt in twelve transactions averages 0.65. Alternatively, if the entire market-adjusted premium in the leveraged recapitalization represents a reduction in fixed costs, the implied systematic risk of this debt averages 0.40. 1. Introduction Highly leveraged transactions such as leveraged buyouts (LBOs) and lever- aged recapitalizations have grown explosively in number and size over the last several years. These transactions are largely financed with a combination of senior bank debt and subordinated lower-grade or ‘junk’ debt. Recently, the debt in these transactions has come under increasing scrutiny from investors, politicians, and academics. All three groups have asked in one way or another how risky leveraged buyout debt is in relation to the return it *Cedric Antosiewicz provided excellent research assistance. Paul Asquith, Douglas Diamond, Eugene Fama, Wayne Person, William Fruhan (the referee), Kenneth French, Robert Korajczyk, Richard Leftwich, Jeffrey Mackie-Mason, Merton Miller, Stewart Myers, Krishna Palepu, Richard Ruback (the editor), Andrei Shleifer, Robert Vishny, and seminar participants at the Securities and Exchange Commission, the University of Chicago, and MIT’s Sloan School made helpful comments on earlier drafts. -
UNITED STATES SECURITIES and EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-K X ANNUAL REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the fiscal year ended December 31, 2012 or TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the transition period from to Commission File Number: 001-33294 Fortress Investment Group LLC _____________________ (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Delaware 20-5837959 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) or organization) 1345 Avenue of the Americas, New York, NY 10105 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) Registrant’s telephone number, including area code: (212) 798-6100 Securities registered pursuant to Section 12 (b) of the Act: Title of each class: Name of exchange on which registered: Class A shares New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) Securities registered pursuant to Section 12 (g) of the Act: None Indicate by check mark if the registrant is a well-known seasoned issuer, as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act. X Yes No Indicate by check mark if the registrant is not required to file reports pursuant to Section 13 or Section 15(d) of the Act. Yes X No Indicate by check mark whether the registrant (1) has filed all reports required to be filed by Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 during the preceding 12 months (or for such shorter period that the registrant was required to file such reports), and (2) has been subject to such filing requirements for the past 90 days. -
Capstone: Valuation 28C00500
Capstone: Valuation 28C00500 21 March 2019 Strictly private and confidential Agenda 1 Introduction to Investment Banking and valuation 3 2 Valuation methods and an example of private company valuation 11 3 Special Situations 24 4 IPO valuation 31 5 Special situation – Demerger 37 6 Introduction to Nordea Investment Banking 39 1 | Capstone: Valuation 28C00500 Present today Nordea Markets Investment Banking is the leading Nordic merger & acquisitions advisor. Investment banking division advises on mergers, acquisitions, divestments, spin-offs and public offers Jaakko joined Nordea in 2009. He has extensive experience from various cross-border M&A transactions and several ECM transactions Prior to Nordea he worked for ABN AMRO / Alfred Berg for over 5 years Jaakko holds an MSc degree in Finance from Wholesale Banking Retail Banking Wealth Management Aalto University Advisory FICC Debt Capital Markets Financial Institutions Group Jaakko Eteläaho Nordea’s Corporate Corporate & and Investment Director Private Equity clients Banking International Division Shipping, Offshore & Oil Equities C&IB country units 2 | Capstone: Valuation 28C00500 Introduction to Investment Banking and valuation 3 | Capstone: Valuation 28C00500 What we actually do – a whole spectrum of IB products Acquisitions – Konecranes’ EUR 1.1bn acquisition of IPOs – Altia IPO Mergers – Ahlstrom-Munksjö EUR 1.2bn merger Terex MHPS Share issues – Ahlstrom-Munksjö EUR 150m Sale of a company – Fortum 700m acquisition of rights issue Ekokem Public take-out – Nokia’s EUR 347m acquisition -
Bain Capital Distressed and Special Situations 2019 (A), LP
COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLOYEES’ RETIREMENT SYSTEM Public Investment Memorandum Bain Capital Distressed and Special Situations 2019 (A), L.P. High Yield/Private Credit Commitment James F. Del Gaudio Senior Portfolio Manager April 22, 2019 COMMONWEALTH OF PENNSYLVANIA PUBLIC SCHOOL EMPLOYEES’ RETIREMENT SYSTEM Recommendation: PSERS Investment Professionals, together with Hamilton Lane Advisors, L.L.C. (“Hamilton Lane”), recommend the Board commit up to $200 million to Bain Capital Distressed and Special Situations 2019 (A), L.P. (the “Fund”, or “DSS 19”). Bain Capital Credit, LP (“Bain” or the “Firm”) is seeking to raise their third dedicated distressed and special situations fund, DSS 19, which will focus on global special situations opportunities and distressed securities, targeting $3 billion in commitments. Firm Overview: Bain Capital Credit, LP, an affiliate of Bain Capital, LP, is a leading global credit specialist. The Firm was formed as Sankaty Advisors in 1998 by Jonathan Lavine, Managing Partner and CIO, based on the idea that one could successfully apply the same level of rigorous analysis developed in Bain Capital’s Private Equity business to credit investing. With approximately $39 billion in assets under management as of January 1, 2019, Bain Capital Credit invests across the full spectrum of credit strategies, including leveraged loans, high-yield bonds, distressed debt, direct lending, structured products, non-performing loans (“NPLs”), and equities. Bain Capital Credit currently has 297 employees in -
Net Present Value (NPV): the Basics & the Pitfalls
Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com Net Present Value (NPV): The Basics & The Pitfalls Cobec Consulting Kevin Schutt, Manager Nathan Honsowetz, Consultant ICEAA Conference, June 2013 Agenda Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com 2 Time Value of Money Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com Discount Factor “A nearby penny is worth a distant dollar” ‐ Anonymous 3 Time Value of Money Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com Year 1 2 3 4 FV1 FV2 FV3 FV4 PV1 PV2 PV3 PV4 4 Inputs to NPV Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com 5 NPV Example Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com 6 Investment Alternatives Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com If NPV > 0 No correlation IRR > Cost of Capital Benefit/Cost > 1 7 Economic Analysis Regulations Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com 8 NPV in the Private Sector Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com 9 Net Present Value: The Pitfalls Presented at the 2013 ICEAA Professional Development & Training Workshop - www.iceaaonline.com Pitfall! Activision, 1982 10 NPV Pitfall #1: Formula error Presented at the 2013 ICEAA -
United States District Court District of New Jersey
Case 2:02-cv-03099-WHW-MF Document 246 Filed 08/03/07 Page 1 of 21 PageID: <pageID> NOT FOR PUBLICATION UNITED STATES DISTRICT COURT DISTRICT OF NEW JERSEY : : SPECIAL SITUATIONS FUND, III, L.P., et : al., : OPINION Plaintiffs, : Civ. No. 02-3099 (WHW) v. : : MARK COCCHIOLA, et al., : Defendants. : Walls, Senior District Judge The plaintiffs, Special Situations Fund, III, L.P. and Special Situations Cayman Fund, L.P., move for partial summary judgment under Fed. R. Civ. P. 56. Pursuant to Fed. R. Civ. P. 78, the motion is decided without oral arguments. The motion is granted in part and denied in part. FACTS AND PROCEDURAL HISTORY This motion concerns the non-class action portion of a consolidated securities litigation, In re: Suprema Specialties Inc. Securities Litigation, which consists of Special Situations Fund, III, L.P. v. Cocchiola, No. 02-3099 (WHW), the non-class action, and Smith v. Suprema Specialties, Inc., No. 02-0168 (WHW), a class action brought by separate plaintiffs. The facts and procedural history of the consolidated action have been largely set forth in the Court’s opinions of June 25, 2003 and August 26, 2004, and in the Court of Appeals’ mandate of -1- Case 2:02-cv-03099-WHW-MF Document 246 Filed 08/03/07 Page 2 of 21 PageID: <pageID> NOT FOR PUBLICATION February 23, 2006, and so only a brief version of relevant facts is recounted here. In re: Special Situations Inc. Sec. Litig., Nos. 02-3099, 02-0168 (D.N.J. June 25, 2003); In re: Special Situations Inc. -
Financial Market Analysis (Fmax) Module 2
Financial Market Analysis (FMAx) Module 2 Bond Pricing This training material is the property of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and is intended for use in IMF Institute for Capacity Development (ICD) courses. Any reuse requires the permission of the ICD. The Relevance to You You might be… § An investor. § With an institution that is an investor. You may be managing a portfolio of foreign assets in a sovereign wealth fund or in a central bank. § With an institution that is in charge of issuing sovereign bonds. § With an institution that is a financial regulator. Defining a Bond – 1 A bond is a type of fixed income security. Its promise is to deliver known future cash flows. § Investor (bondholder) lends money (principal amount) to issuer for a defined period of time, at a variable or fixed interest rate § In return, bondholder is promised § Periodic coupon payments (most of the times paid semiannually); and/or § The bond’s principal (maturity value/par value/face value) at maturity. Defining a Bond – 2 Some bond have embedded options. § Callable Bond: The issuer can repurchase bond at a specific price before maturity. § Putable Bond: Bondholder can sell the issue back to the issuer at par value on designated dates (bond with a put option). Bondholder can change the maturity of the bond. Central Concept: Present Value The Present Value is… § The value calculated today of a series of expected cash flows discounted at a given interest rate. § Always less than or equal to the future value, because money has interest- earning potential: time value of money. -
Study Guide Corporate Finance
Study Guide Corporate Finance By A. J. Cataldo II, Ph.D., CPA, CMA About the Author A. J. Cataldo is currently a professor of accounting at West Chester University, in West Chester, Pennsylvania. He holds a bachelor degree in accounting/finance and a master of accounting degree from the University of Arizona. He earned a doctorate from the Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University. He is a certified public accountant and a certified management accountant. He has worked in public accounting and as a government auditor and controller, and he has provided expert testimony in business litigation engage- ments. His publications include three Elsevier Science monographs, and his articles have appeared in Journal of Accountancy, National Tax Journal, Research in Accounting Regulation, Journal of Forensic Accounting, Accounting Historians Journal, and several others. He has also published in and served on editorial review boards for Institute of Management Accounting association journals, including Management Accounting, Strategic Finance, and Management Accounting Quarterly, since January 1990. All terms mentioned in this text that are known to be trademarks or service marks have been appropriately capitalized. Use of a term in this text should not be regarded as affecting the validity of any trademark or service mark. Copyright © 2015 by Penn Foster, Inc. All rights reserved. No part of the material protected by this copyright may be reproduced or utilized in any form or by any means, electronic or mechanical, including photocopying, recording, or by any information storage and retrieval system, without permission in writing from the copyright owner. Requests for permission to make copies of any part of the work should be mailed to Copyright Permissions, Penn Foster, 925 Oak Street, Scranton, Pennsylvania 18515. -
Net Present Value (NPV) Analysis
PROGRAMME LIFECYCLE STRATEGIC PHASE DELIVERY PHASE INITIATION DEFINITION ESTABLISHMENT MANAGEMENT DELIVERY STAGE CLOSE STAGE STAGE STAGE STAGE PROGRAMME PROGRAMME PROGRAMME PROGRAMME FEASIBILITY DESIGN IMPLEMENTATION CLOSEOUT STAGE OBJECTIVES SCOPING PRIORITISATION OPTIMISATION NPV 1 NPV 2 Programme Prioritisation Net Present Value (NPV) analysis Helping our clients prioritise programmes and projects. By the Introduction of a Financial prioritisation model using NPV analysis What is NPV analysis? Where Does NPV analysis Fit into the Overall Programme Cycle? Net Present Value (NPV) is an effective front end management tool for a programme of works. It’s primary role The 1st NPV process is positioned at the front end of a capital is to confirm the Financial viability of an investment over a programme (NPV1 below). It allows for all projects within a long time period, by looking at net Discounted cash inflows programme to be ranked on their Net Present Values. Many and Discounted cash outflows that a project will generate organisations choose to use Financial ratio’s to help prioritise over its lifecycle and converting these into a single Net initiatives and investments. Present Value. (pvi present value index) for comparison. The 2nd NPV process takes place at the Feasibility stage of A positive NPV (profit) indicates that the Income generated a project where a decision has to be made over two or more by the investment exceeds the costs of the project. potential solutions to a requirement (NPV 2 below). For each option the NPV should be calculated and then used in the A negative NPV (loss) indicates that the whole life costs of evaluation of the solution decision.