Rebalancing The Instruments Of National Power:

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Rebalancing The Instruments Of National Power:

Rebalancing the Instruments of National Power: Is a National Security Act of 2009 Necessary? Or 2008, Now?

By ROBERT DAVID STEELE (VIVAS)

America has hit bottom. The Comptroller as a reminder that America is a Republic and General declared the Nation insolvent in the our Cabinet and flag officers have an obligation summer of 2007, and—when Congress ignored to refuse illegal orders from the White House 3 him—resigned six months later to go public with his concerns regarding the deficit, the The U.S. Army’s Strategic Studies Institute (SSI) debt, and our future unfunded obligations. The held a conference 8-10 April 2008 on the topic reality is that our domestic education, energy, of “Rebalancing the Instruments of National health, infrastructure, water policies, among Power.”4 The gifted speakers resembled those many others, are both foolish and unfunded. It who spoke in 1998 to the same conference, is in this context that the militarization of with the title then of “Challenging the United foreign policy and the elective engagement in a States Symmetrically and Asymmetrically,” a three-trillion dollar war1 can be seen to have conference that questioned virtually every further bankrupted the Nation of blood, aspect of Joint Vision 2010. The conclusions of treasure, and spirit, while costing America its the two conferences are virtually identical. The once-proud place as the ultimate champion of context is not: from 1988, when the democracy, liberty, prosperity, stability, and Commandant of the Marine Corps, General Al peace. Gray, called for a focus5 on the Third World zones of instability, on non-traditional sources As this is submitted to Joint Forces Quarterly, in of instability including gangs of revolutionaries, May 2008, open source intelligence reports are terrorists, and criminals, and on a draconian being confirmed to the effect that the President increase in attention to open sources of and Vice President have told the Israelis information in 183 languages we do not speak, privately that they intend to attack Iran before to as recently as 2006, nobody wanted to listen. the end of their Administration. This article reports on a recent and important conference. That has changed, and a great deal of credit It does not seek to review the failure of must be attributed to The Honorable James Congress to live up to Article 1 of the Locher, Admiral Dennis Blair, USN (Ret), and Constitution, nor the unaccountability of the their network of sponsors, allies, and largely Vice President for refusing Iran’s offer to pro bono participants in the working groups negotiate across the board, an offer made in that comprise the Project on National Security 2003 via the Swiss and rejected by the Vice Reform within the Center for the Study of the President with what can only be described as Presidency. With modest funding channeled via nuclear negativity.2 the National Defense University, and with the inputs from U.S. Army institutions such as the However, it is in the above context that our U.S. Army Peacekeeping and Stability Oaths of Office, which are to uphold the Operations Institute and the U.S. Army Strategic Constitution, not the “chain of command,” Studies Institute, as well as many other acquire the utmost importance. This article is organizations and individuals, they are ready to presented not only as a summary of how best repeat the success of the Goldwater-Nichols to improve the inter-agency policy process, but Act, and help the next President and the next

1 Congress implement “phase two” of national  We constantly underestimate willingness of security reform with a mix of Presidential others to do great harm to bystanders Directives, a National Security Act of 2009, and  Technology will not replace boots on the recommended amendments to Senate and Hill ground protocols, including a Select Committee for  We suffer from fallacy of misplaced Inter-Agency Operations and Oversight in each concreteness (or more recently, from Chamber. Their initiative is severely lacking in ideological fantasies unchecked by reality) intelligence reform and has no multinational  We don’t do offensive asymmetry information sharing and sense-making initiative,  Our planning process cannot deal with but this deficiency is easily addressed. radical rapid shifts  Civil-military relationships are weak The 1990’s  States are unlikely to attack us directly  Army-Marine Corps competing with Navy- From “The Asymmetric Threat: Listening to the Air Force for budget share Debate,” Joint Force Quarterly (Autumn/ Winter  Need four forces after next: 1998-1999), a summary and analysis of the US o Big War (60%) Army’s 1998 strategy conference, a few key o Small War (20%) points merit repeating here—a full reading of o Peace War (10%) that document and others in the Notes can o Homeland Defense (10%) provide a robust intellectual foundation for  Soldiers cannot be policemen appreciating the vital importance of draconian  Active-reserve mix needs adjustment reform in how we govern our great Nation.  Here is what we knew in 1998: Private sector role needs examination  Intelligence remains an afterthought  Decisionmaking has forgotten to plan,  Issue is one of balance across the cannot adapt to change, and is unable to instruments of national power stimulate a serious dialogue  Mobility is more important than mass Remember, this was 1998, and like many other similar endeavors in decades past, this sound  Technology without intelligence is blind strategic thinking was simply ignored by  Weapons’ cost must be appropriate to the political leaders all too eager to claim a peace target profile and priority dividend while also ignoring Peak Oil, water  Time and space favor the asymmetric non- aquifers dropping at alarming rates, food traditional enemy security, the importance of national education  We spread ourselves too thin, this also and national infrastructure, and so on. In favors the asymmetric enemy consequence, America has hit bottom instead  America is its own worst enemy of having used the post-Cold War period wisely  Vulnerabilities are largely in the civil sector —and—most perversely—sound strategic  Enemies know how to wage war between thinking is now even more essential if we are to the seams of our legal systems contain an arrogant and reckless White House.6  Anonymous attacks will become common  Existing force structure is acutely vulnerable The good news is that America remains the to asymmetric attack most powerful and wealthiest Nation on the  Nation is vulnerable to campaigns that planet, with infinite potential to create new leverage the international and local media wealth and thus to promote stabilization and  Dependency on volunteer contractors in the reconstruction around the world. As one battle area is a major Achilles’ heel individual commented during the April event, you solve illegal immigration by assuring a good

2 life for all, everywhere, not by building walls  National Security Act of 1947 cannot be between the good life here and the pathos that understood without looking back to 1930’s stems from political corruption and criminal  Pearl Harbor “never again” was catalyst looting of commonwealths everywhere else.  Military gained place at high table and ultimately displaced Diplomacy as top voice Here are the highlights from each segment of  National intelligence got new money the Army conference on “Rebalancing the  Inter-agency coordination understood to be Instruments of National Power.” desirable, but never really achieved  White House militarized via the National 7 Keynote Address Security Council, lost ability to manage economic or other forms of power  We are not well-organized for new era  Outside the secret intelligence community,  Challenges and dangers more complex there is virtually no understanding of the  Threats are more dispersed proven process of decision-support o New nations (and 60 failed states)  Technical intelligence has come to o Loose nukes (and bio-chem) dominate the budget and the process o Globalization undermines government  Need to achieve warning, partner with o Super-empowered individuals decision-makers, orchestrate all forms of o Local impacts global (e.g. Danish intelligence, and achieve selective denial cartoon that infuriated Muslims  US suffers from a strategic deficit. We need everywhere) grand strategists and standing plans for  There are three D’s [latter speakers added long-term inter-agency and multinational the fourth and fifth below]8 endeavors in our national interest o Diplomacy  We are not exercising U.S. influence in an o Defense intelligent cost-effective manner. o Development o Domestic Capacity (Private Sector) LUNCHEON DAY 110 o Decision-Support (Intelligence)  AfricaCom intended to be an inter-agency  There are many battlefields out there. One command able to orchestrate Operations where we are weakest is that of irregular Other Than War (OOTW) warfare, including both counter-insurgency  Difficult for an outside state to impose and stabilization & reconstruction peace—we influence other contributors,  Five world maps have strong coincidence: while supporting indigenous initiatives o Unstable and poorly governed regions  Secretary of Defense Robert Gates on o Regions suffering from endemic record: military alone cannot win the peace persistent disease, mortality, etcetera  Preventive action prior to crisis is necessary o Most violent flash-points and hotspots  Active, Stand-By, and Reserve Forces o Surging populations in mega-cities envisioned for Stabilization & o Distribution of natural resources Reconstruction missions—nine months out  Security must be re-defined of the year in the field in non-permissive o Shrunken world, problems travel environments o Heightened sensibilities o Poor governance compounds ethnic and PANEL I: The Historical Background9 other schisms and competitions o Super-empowered individuals can cause  Must understand the past to affect the catastrophic (mostly civilian) damage future of our inter-agency environment

3  We must intervene decisively but lack the  1965 we tried to do intensive study of inter-agency culture of collaborative publics [some may recall Project Camelot] planning and execution to be effective  DoD Directive 3000.05 mandated inclusion  Individuals, organizations in constant churn, of tribal and other neighborhood-level very little stability in our own government granularity. Human terrain program strives  Great lesson of life is that no one is in to do that within funding constraints [zilch] charge—we have to adapt to influencing  Military personnel want to know: others in that kind of environment o Who’s who (social structure)  Must do the D’s simultaneously—aid is no o What makes them tick (cultural beliefs, longer about helping in permissive values, customs, behavior) environments—complex and dangerous o What’s with all the tea drinking (cultural  AfricaCom can influence foundations, non- forms including myths, narratives, and governmental organizations, private sector symbols) parties—this is a whole new area for o Assessments of risk generally high developing concepts and doctrine.  Less than 1% of DoD budget spent on social  Need flexible, sustainable, responsive sciences [this is similar to the secret funding vehicles intelligence world’s refusal to spend more  Need oversight committee for the inter- than a fraction of 1% on open sources of agency process information in all languages]  We are way behind the power curve and  New money pays for tools, not data—this is not getting it done the sucking chest wound in Public Diplomacy and Strategic Communication PANEL II: Contemporary Strategic  There is no coordination of research across Environment11 agencies, Need a proponent within NSC, e.g. a Cultural Advisor to the President  Information domain is the key terrain of the  Reach-back capability, 24/7 is valued 21st Century  Official testimonials are saying that the  Our enemy is lies and half-truths, Human Terrain System (HTS) has reduced misinformation, disinformation, any threat kinetic operations by 60-70%--better to operational security and privacy, and our understanding, fewer bullets and dead own complacency and ignorance  Having difficulty migrating this  Enemy follows no conventional rules understanding to the top of the policy and  Virtual Caliphate of 6,500 active extremist political chain of command web sites we are not really understanding  Bureaucratic turf wars continue to set us  Every soldier is a communicator, must all be back—even in the field, inter-agency able to do timely public truth-telling elements are more about co-location than  Our biggest battle is for the hearts and actual integration into a single team minds of our own public and their  The innovators are too low in the chain perception of how and why we do battle  Need budget and incentives for rotationals,  We have a huge Cultural Knowledge Gap need flexible responsive contingency  We have a huge Historical Knowledge Gap funding, and need to manage instability  Tribes, groups, non-territorial publics are rather than seek to resolve outright the center of gravity  1942 we knew we needed to understand PANEL III: The Military Instruments12 social dynamics everywhere  Four factors will impact on military future: o International environment

4 o Economic realities  Secretary Gates on record regarding o Domestic political pressures unconventional warfare being relegated to o Strategic realizations going mainstream the margins  DoD is going to have to give up major  Army purged counter-insurgency systems in order to fund peace operations capabilities after Viet-Nam  Only other Nation-States can actually  Army must become highly adaptive and be threaten USA with destruction, but most continuously assessing challenges conflict will be on the low end  Stability operations are supposed to receive  We are being destroyed on the Information comparable priority with combat Operations (IO)13 end—it is easier to get operations approval to drop a bomb than to do a press  Command & Staff College does not offer release specialized blocks in counter-insurgency  Need the multinational corps for small wars  Entire US Army, not just Special Operations –we must anticipate need for proxies in Forces, must be able to train foreign armies areas where US presence will incite anger  Need an Advisor Corps with transition  Air power claims persistence and precision teams in permanent being, equivalent to  Navy will push back, but for first time, 18th Airborne [Civil Affairs Brigade?]15 asking public what they want from Navy  Consensus is key to organizational learning o Win wars and willingness to change—politics and o Prevent major conflict existing cultures are pushing back hard o Contain smaller conflicts  Services must discipline their appetites, o Provide sea control when things go bad, move big war stuff into reserve, do maritime security as a constant wholesale examination of naval aviation o Sustain and foster relationships with forward presence, humanitarian EVENING BANQUET16 assistance  Need a professional and brutally honest  Inter-agency integration is not a solution for roles and missions debate every challenge, but we have to get it right  We must plan for advisor wars, hybrid wars  Democratic process can be messy, not  Irregular warfare has many many categories essential to integrate prior planning, but  We should plan to help others “do” once in the field, inter-agency integration is counterinsurgency not do it ourselves essential to our success at a reasonable cost  Greatest success is those wars we can [as noted in Panel II, today inter-agency prevent from starting at all. Must do more operations are characterized by collocation, to intervene in time—great deal of not by integration of inputs or outcomes]. incoherence in this dialogue.  At the tactical level there is no time for  Role of Ambassador and country team not Constitutional, legal, policy, political review well-defined or understood14  Transnational threats require great  Resident military advisors and short-term flexibility as well as inter-agency operations training teams are hugely different offerings  Simplest things are now virtually  Need to get back in business of sending out impossible, such as building a road quickly many more advisors, while also attracting to help nurture the local economy many more multinational students to our  Cannot have reconstruction without schools—there is no better investment than security—need to plan for it to field a future president or military leader  Ultimate flexibility is in real money that can who’s been trained in one of our schools be spent locally [ideally not on imported

5 Private Military Contractors (PMC) but contingency responses overseas could be rather within the local economy.] used to refine our inter-agency endeavors  Somebody has to be in charge in the field  We could learn a great deal from other  UN is actually a good model with the countries, every bit of it unclassified Secretary General’s Special Representative  Agencies and Departments continue to play (SGSR) and the Force Commander games with one another, the President, and  Need to seek feedback at all times Congress: o Zero-Sum game fight over resources PANEL IV: Civilian Agency Capabilities17 o Mandate game over who’s in charge o Positive sum game blocked by lanes in  DoD recognizes it cannot do it all, and in the road and lack of “whole of 2006 called for revitalization of civilian government” funding and oversight agencies and of integrated statecraft. o Analysis game can earn respect and  Country Reconstruction and Stabilization collaboration without coercion Group (CRSG) oversees two elements: o Future is now game being demanded by o Integration Planning Cell over-stressed commanders who need o Advance Civilian Team daily help, not just long-term studies  Key problem is staffing of expertise across  Lessons learned by economic advisor at all fronts from justice and policing, public Pacific Command and then Central administration, business recovery, essential Command: services, diplomacy, diplomatic security o Win the analysis game  Commerce is trying to support this and has o Master the informal partnership game added the fourth D, Domestic Capacity— o Live every day as if the future is now private sector can be influenced into o Develop horizontal leadership network investing in and supporting some situations o Trust is the coin of the realm  “ Whole of government” means upfront involvement in planning, not just in final PANEL V: Civilian Non-Agency Capabilities18 stages before implementation  Commerce does not want to be a body shop  Recreating state institutions is not enough or have a tether back to Washington, but —must rebuild locally owned and operated rather to orchestrate technical assistance capabilities and create an enabling by others environment at the local level19  Value-added is reach-back to a broad range  Working group on working in non- of experts across all technical support areas permissive environments is a good news  Commerce examples include commercial story, US Institute for Peace (USIP) now has law development, international trade a direct liaison to US Army’s Peacekeeping administration, census operations, early and Stability Operations Institute warning networks on disease detection,  We live in a 24/7 media coverage telecommunications mentoring, patent environment. mentoring  Attacks on UN and NGO people and  In all areas, seek long-term relationships buildings have changed their attitudes rather than short-term in and out missions about collaboration for the better, but  Commerce has no funding for inter-agency within strict rules of engagement planning and implementation  After 9/11 all environments are non-  Same process [and program dollars] used permissive—NGOs recognize this, have for Continuity of Government (COG) and security officers and security training  Our goal is to leverage all actors

6  United Nations (UN) has amazing  Complexity has sky-rocketed. Newt capabilities that we need to understand and Gingrich says we have met the enemy and it integrate into our plans is our bureaucracy  38,000 NGOs should be of immediate  We can learn a great deal from the business interest to us; some of them such as community about just enough, just in time Children Care and Mercy Corps have horizontal collaboration and partnerships substantial budgets and capabilities.  Project for National Security Reform (PNSR)  NGOs are very concerned about the is doing the homework to support three militarization of foreign assistance. sets of reform documents for the next  Check out the Guidelines for Relations President to consider immediately after between US Armed Forces and Non- Election Day: Governmental Organizations in Hostile or o Presidential Directives Potentially Hostile Environments—covers o National Security Act of 2009 many vital issues from clothing to protocol o Amendments to Senate and House rules,  Contractors are available for hire in logistics with a special focus on need for each to as well as security, in virtually any skill area, have a Select Committee on Inter- government needs to evaluate the pros and Agency Affairs comprised of chair and cons of PMC in hostile environments ranking minority member from each of the seven major national security LUNCHEON DAY 220 committees that will remain in effect  Our system is competitive rather than  Excessive dependence on military cooperative. There is no national security instrument has negative consequences mission that can be accomplished by a  Must transform entire structure of national single department. security including domestic security  We see the reforms as needing to begin  Our institutions are out-moded and not immediately and be refined and sustained capable of supporting modern needs—this over the next ten years. must be a “first 100 days” priority for the  Over 300 individuals are working on the next President reforms, across various working groups,  Set-backs from 9/11, Hurricane Katrina, almost all of them pro bono Afghanistan and Iraq are all representative  Key Cabinet officials, key Senators and of a systemic failure, not a lack of talent, Representatives, are supportive money, or willpower.  Interim report will be published on 1 July  The system is dysfunctional in Congress, in 2008, final report on 1 September 2008, the our civilian agencies, and in obstacles to first emphasizing problem definition, the integration of capabilities and knowledge second offering a range of alternative  We have horizontal challenges and a solutions vertical form of government [in the  All three Presidential campaigns are Collective Intelligence citizen wisdom following this effort—we are hoping to environment, they speak of the need to end make this a campaign issue pyramidal organizations that rely on top  We cannot preserve our national security down command and control, and the need without having 21 st Century capabilities to adopt circle organizations that allow for  The time for action is now [meaning 2009— very rapid adaptation and resilience at all with attack orders against Iran now known levels] to be extant, now must mean 2008].

7 PANEL VI: Rebalancing Strategy & Execution21 who wins and who loses at the global, regional, national, state, and local levels.  Our national system for planning, programming, budgeting, and allocating  Complex societies are collapsing as top- simply does not work. In the absence of a down chain of command elites prove strategy all can understand, stabilization & unable to sense, decide, and adapt to rapid reconstruction is not going to get the non-sequential changes. Disasters routinely authority, budget, staff, or attention. become catastrophes for lack of planning,  Most endeavors will not include the rapid response, or localized resilience. This military, but those that should be executing has spawned 27 secessionist movements in civil missions do not have the resources, the USA, many others elsewhere, and also training, and so on to get to the field given rise to new and more forceful  We cannot answer the question: what is demands for localized “home rule” at the being spent by each element of the US county level all across America and for Government in any given country? indigenous groups around the world.  It takes too long to obtain budgets and field Artificial political boundaries and capabilities—we need to be able to act authorities from the Treaty of Westphalia much more quickly are breaking down.23  Each country is different—one size team  The capitalism of Adam Smith and his does not suit all countries or conditions “invisible hand” succeeded brilliantly at  Today we are right where the US was on 6 creating the Industrial Age,” but its flaws December 1941, the day before Pearl are now known: success came at the cost Harbor. Even with 9/11, which should have of the Earth, and information asymmetries been a wake-up call, we’ve hit the snooze have created a permanent schism between button and are waiting for the next big hit a global underclass and a very small elite  We have to understand the linkages controlling virtually all of the wealth. between all the sectors. We have no Predatory immoral capitalism has joined integrators in government or in the private virtual colonialism (the US supplanting the sector, no one whose job it is to connect UK as the “evil empire” in the eyes of the dots, craft a message and a strategy, billions) and unilateral militarism. and implement with a carrot-stick campaign plan  The really important good news is that  Where in the USG do we go for indications moral natural capitalism—a capitalism that and warning? We have to focus on recognizes the “true costs” of every product prevention, we have to achieve a whole of and service—a capitalism that is committed government harmonization, and we have to to sustainable design and profit, “cradle to create equally solid relationships with a vast cradle”24 products, and addressing the range of NGOs, private sector elements, needs represented by the five billion poor even key individuals around the world. whose total disposable income is four times that of the top billion—all bode well for our My Own Observations socio-economic future.  As a very active reader who focuses almost At the same time, the wealth of networks, entirely on non-fiction,22 I have identified the the ability of smart mobs, an Army of following emerging themes that will dominate Davids, wikinomics, open money, all of this the first half of the 21st Century and determine offers a prospect for creating infinite

8 revolutionary wealth, for creating a wage total peace in real-time, not as some prosperous world at peace. utopian fairy tale.  A spiritual awakening is taking place, one  Information technology has matured to that pushes back against the equally where it can provide reliable modeling of destructive fundamentalism of the left complex social and organic systems, while (virulent Wahabbism sponsored by Saudi also enabling an EarthGame™28 in which Arabia) and of the right (American fascism every person can play themselves, with full and intolerant exclusive quasi-cults). Faith- access to both content and budget based dialog and respect for faith as a basis planning. By integrating both Real-Time for inter-communal trust is emergent. At a Science and mass social entries keyed to secular level, a World Brain is forming, and geospatial locations and time, with real beginning to operate across boundaries. budgets at every level from local to global, we are now ready to create what  There is a growing realization within the US Buckminster Fuller told us was the linch-pin population that national morality and 25 for the future: an Operating Manual for national behavior matter —that no Spaceship Earth. This is vital because amount of Public Diplomacy or Strategic nothing else the US or Europe do will Communication can surmount the reality matter—we must show Brazil, China, India, that the USA is best pals with 42 of the 44 Indonesia, Iran, Russia, Venezuela, and Wild dictators on the planet, and one of the Cards like the Congo how to achieve infinite latter two controls enough sugar cane sap wealth without consuming the Earth. to power 35 million cars a year, and enough health care assets to substantially reduce  Finally, I find on the basis of my broad our future Medicare burden. reading that we are now ready to create a Global Range of Gifts Table at the zip code  People power, from online deliberation to and single item level such that $2 trillion in localized Wisdom Councils to Blessed aggregate spending can finally be managed Unrest is sharply emergent. This is leading as a self-governing, constantly updated “opt to more frequent demands for “Enough, in” means of connecting individual donors Already,” along with demands for an end to (80% of the giving) and organizations with corruption via transparency, and a specific needs at the “base of the restoration of community, family, nation, pyramid.”29 peace, and the “triple-bottom-line.”26 Conclusion  IO and Public Intelligence—information and intelligence based on all information in all Well-intentioned individuals have known of the languages all the time—is creating Limits to Growth and Peak Oil as well as Peak collective, peace, commercial, gift, cultural, Water since at least the 1970’s. What has and Earth decision support that is changed is that now the public realizes that all compelling to the public and cannot be of our institutions, all of our checks and ignored by political leaders, precisely balances, are broken;30 and—on a very positive 27 because it is not secret. This becomes note—that We the People must get back into very important because changes to the the business of self-governance. Earth that used to take 10,000 years now take three. At the same time, our bio- In my view, regardless of who is elected chemical and nuclear industrial practices President, a National Security Act of 2009 are so retarded as to threaten multiple affords our Nation an opportunity to become a Chernobyl’s of our own making. We must

9 “smart nation” and restore both America the o Transnational Crime Beautiful, and the new America as a sustainable My Own Recommendations model for Brazil, China, India, Indonesia, Iran, Russia, and Wild Cards such as the Congo. It First, my summary. We are still lacking in must however, implement a National substantive appreciation, at the policy level and Information Strategy, and not just move the within Congress, for how little we know, how deck chairs in Congress and the Executive.31 badly we are organized, and how dangerous our circumstances are now and into the future. In the ideal, this Act can and should be made an When I devised the term “information issue in 2008, and passed by Congress prior to peacekeeping,” I wrote about the growing gap the planned attacks on Iran in late 2008. between policymakers with power and experts with knowledge. That gap has become so great Critical Points for Command & Staff as to warrant a complete remake of how we decide anything.33 Here are my take-away points from the Army Strategy Conference of 2008: I have since 1994 been an advocate of a National Information Strategy, and the creation  “Whole of Government” is the new meme of a “Smart Nation” that lives by Thomas o Strategic understanding Jefferson’s own adage, to wit, “A Nation’s best o Global to local planning defense is an educated citizenry.” o Local to global execution  “Reachback” is the new method In recent years, however, I have seen a  Must do all five D’s simultaneously: convergence of multiple factors that now give o Diplomacy me the confidence to state with absolute o Defense certainty that we must, as soon as possible, o Development execute the following initiatives with or without o Domestic Capacity legislation: o Decision-Support  Four sucking chest wounds in Intelligence 1. Convert the National Security Council into a o Historical ignorance National Policy Council with three deputies: o Cultural ignorance o National Security, with assistant deputies o Inability to do neighborhood granularity for high intensity, low intensity, as well as social network analysis environmental, and electronic warfare; National Competitiveness, with assistant o Refusal to acquire, process, and make o sense of open sources in 183 languages deputies for education, sustainable growth, natural resources, and infrastructure; and  Must redefine security to encompass all ten 32 o National Treasury, with assistant deputies high-level threats to Humanity: for entitlements, global assistance, internal o Poverty revenue, and electronic systems.34 o Infectious Disease o Environmental Degradation 2. Create, as General Tony Zinni, USMC (Ret) o Inter-State Conflict has suggested, a National Monitoring and o Civil War Planning Center (NMPC) as well as a Joint Inter- o Genocide Agency Coordination Center at each Combatant Other Atrocities o Command where inter-agency planning and o Proliferation campaign oversight can take place.35 I would o Terrorism add to that the need I articulated in 2000, for a

10 Director General for Global Strategy with two parties carrying out stabilization & deputies: one for devising global strategy and reconstruction, humanitarian assistance, managing leadership retreats, a global reserve, and disaster relief operations world-wide and special projects; and a second for inter- o Elevation of the US Army Civil Affairs agency response management, managing a Brigade to a three-star Peace Force in which response center, outreach to non-state actors, a the US provides the command & staff civilian reserve, and public liaison in all its structure, communications, for regional forms. multinational Peace Divisions, while Africa Command becomes the Peace Command. 3. Ask Congress to create a Select Joint o Creation of a Multinational Foreign Area Committee for National Strategy, to consist of Officers (FAO) Program centered in Tampa, the Chair and Ranking Minority Member of each Florida, open to civil affairs, commercial of the Committees without exception. attaches, diplomats, intelligence managers, and logisticians, such that regional cadres 4. Direct the Director of the Office of from many nations train together as FAOs. Management and Budget (OMB) to reinstitute o Creation of the Defense Open Source the management function and be responsible Agency (DOSA) called for by the 9-11 for identifying all trade-offs needed to achieve a Commission on page 413, but outside the balanced budget that eliminates the national secret world to avoid alienation of the non- debt within four years. This should be a non- secret sources, absorbing the Defense negotiable public demand for anyone seeking Technical Information Center, and the re-election in 2012. varied DoD “Centers of Excellence,” so that the US Government, on behalf of the US 5. Create an Undersecretary of State for public, might finally have a means for non- Democracy, with two Assistant Secretaries: one controversial universal access to all for the dictators that accept a golden parachute information in all languages all the time.36 exit strategy, and one for those that do not. DOSA, in turn, would nurture the following: o Defense Strategy & Acquisition Center 6. Create an Undersecretary of Defense for as the DoD interface to the NMPC, Irregular Warfare, who shall provide non- o Call centers in Brazil, China, India, and reimbursable funding for the following: Russia that provide free education “one cell call at a time” while monetizing the o Office of Information Sharing Treaties and transactions and capturing early Agreements co-located with the US Mission warning on all matters; to the United Nations, led by a US o Community intelligence centers in each Ambassador of the 50 states, manned by National o Assistant Secretary General for Decision Guard analysts with law enforcement Support of the United Nations, with the commissions as well as clearances same US Ambassador as Principal Deputy o 114 and 119 numbers world-wide to o Multinational Decision Support Center in capture the 50% of the dots that are Tampa, Florida, occupying the new fully- bottom-up in nature and need to be furnished building being vacated by the locally plotted and globally “seen” Coalition Coordination Center, replacing the o Global Virtual Translation Network multinational logisticians with a mix of providing 183 language capability to multinational intelligence analysts and anyone anywhere. multinational civil affairs specialists who will provide unclassified decision support to all

11 7. Introduce and pass the National Security intelligence, and the #1 Amazon reviewer for non- Reform Act of 2008, not 2009. Time is the one fiction (#32 over-all) strategic variable that cannot be purchased nor Endnotes replaced.37 As part of that, legislatively- mandate a 450-ship small-boat littoral Navy with a Peace from the Sea fleet, and a two long- haul airlift Air Force, one organic and one on call from Federal Express and the United Parcel Service. Include the Smart Nation Act within this larger Act.38

Epilogue

We can do better. The common ingredient in rebalancing the instruments of national power is information as an input, a strategic “whole of government” process, and intelligence—public intelligence—multinational public intelligence that can be shared with anyone anywhere—as an output. It is that simple. Now let’s do it.

A popular government without popular information, or the means of acquiring it, is but a prologue to a farce or a tragedy, or perhaps both. Knowledge will forever govern ignorance, and a people who mean to be their own governors must arm themselves with the power which knowledge gives.

James Madison

About the Author

The author is CEO of Earth Intelligence Network, a 501c3 Public Charity, and of OSS.Net, Inc., a commercial intelligence company. He has been a Marine Corps infantry and intelligence officer; a clandestine case officer with three back-to-back tours overseas; a technical intelligence program analyst and a desk officer including responsibility for global offensive counterintelligence against a denied area target; and the senior civilian responsible for standing up the Marine Corps Intelligence Center from 1988-1992. He is a distinguished graduate of the Naval War College, and holds two graduate degrees, one in public administration and one in international relations. He is the author, editor, and publisher of books on

12 1 Throughout this book references will be made that are actually titles of books. Rather than create numerous footnotes, the reader is encouraged to visit Amazon and search for books using whatever phrase catches their interest. 2 A complete listing of online information and analysis on this can be found by searching for [Iran Cheney 2003 Swiss]; current information on plans to attack Iran can be found by searching for [Iran Cheney attack 2008]. 3 A Republic is distinguished from a democracy in its placement of the Constitution and the body politic that includes all citizens regardless of social standing, above the branches of government. The right to bear arms is a manifestation of citizen standing. 4 The conference web page, offering complete biographies and copies of presentations, is easily found with . The event was organized by Professor Robert (Robin) Dorff, Research Professor. The author’s 29 pages of notes and an author’s draft of this article can be easily viewed at www.oss.net/Peace. 5 General Al Gray, USMC, Commandant of the Marine Corps, “Intelligence Challenges in the 1990’s,” American Intelligence Journal (Winter 1988-1989) easily found online. 6 I take no pleasure in emphasizing the naked amorality of the Vice President and the well-intentioned but utterly ignorant disposition of the President. The non-fiction literature documents 25 impeachable offenses by the former, and 935 unique lies by the Administration’s senior officials, with respect to the need to attack Iraq. Similar lies are now in the making with respect to attacking Iran. 7 “Present at the Re-Creation: New Tools for a New Era,” by Ambassador John Herbst, Coordinator for the Office of Reconstruction and Stabilization, U.S. Department of State. 8 Brackets [ ] denote author’s insertion. 9 Chair: Dr. Conrad Crane. Panelists: Dr. Douglas Stuart, Dr. Jennifer Sims, LTC Nathan Fryer. 10 Dr. John Hillen, President, Global Strategies Group (USA), former Assistant Secretary of State for Political Military Affairs, U.S. Department of State and also former U.S. Army officer. 11 Chair: Professor John Troxell. Panel: MG Anthony Cucolo, Dr. Montgomery McFate, Dr. Nora Bensahel. 12 Chair: Dr. Alan Stolberg. Panel: Dr. Joseph Collins, Maj Gen Charles Dunlap Jr. USAF, Capt Thomas Culora, Col Robert Killebrew, LTC John Nagl. 13 Secret intelligence is 10% of all-source intelligence, and intelligence is 10% of all information operations. As taught to the author by colleagues who created “the pit” at the US Special Operations Command (USSOCOM). General Zinni is on record as stating that only 4% of his Command knowledge game from secret sources and methods—everything else was from open sources. The question needs to be asked, in the context of this article: why are we spending $60 billion a year on the 4% we can steal, and next to nothing on the 96% that is legally and ethically available in 183 languages we do not speak? For the Zinni quote, see “Open Source Intelligence,” Chapter 6 in Strategic Intelligence Volume 2: The Intelligence Cycle (Praeger, 2007), pp.95-122. Online at www.oss.net/OSINT-S. 14 The author’s second graduate thesis, on strategic and tactical information management for national security (1987) found the following characteristic of the three Embassies where he served:  Ambassador a messenger not a thinker  Diplomats in the minority within their own Embassy, with a chaotic multiplicity of agencies in place but not integrated  Only the spies had money with which to buy information, but they required the source to commit treason before listening/paying  80% of the information that is collected goes back in hard-copy to a single point where it is lost forever to anyone else in USG  USG is making decisions on 2% of the relevant information available from all sources 15 It is my personal view that the US Army should close down PSYOP and convert all billets, facilities, dollars, and capabilities to Civil Affairs. It is also my view that the Strategic Command should organized to command and staff Big War, and give up the business of IO, at which it is totally incompetent. 16 Admiral Dennis Blair, USN (Ret.) 17 Chair: Professor Frank Jones. Panel: Mr. John Winant, Ms. Merriam Mashatt, Ms. Donna Hopkins, Dr. Leif Rosenberger. 18 Chair: Ambassador Cynthia Grissom Efird. Panel: Mr. Richard McCall, Ms. Beth Cole, Mr. Doug Brooks. 19 Bottom-up neighborhood level clean water, power, medical, and civil order is right smack where the new Multinational Peace Army, cadred by the new US Army Civil Affairs Brigade, can begin its development of new concepts and doctrine for what General Al Gray called “peaceful preventive measures” in his seminal “Intelligence Challenges in the 1990’s,” supra note 5.. 20 Honorable James R. Locher III, Executive Director, Project on National Security Reform, former Assistant Secretary of Defense for Special Operations and Low-Intensity Conflict. 21 Chair: COL John Agoglia. Panel: Mr. James “Spike” Stephenson, Ms. Kathleen Hicks, Ms. Michelle S. Parker. 22 The author is the #1 Amazon reviewer for non-fiction, and—unusually as reviewers of fiction usually dominate the top 200 spots, also #32 over-all, as America turns to non-fiction for answers. Over 1200 reviews and over 70 lists relevant to this article’s topic can be found at the author’s profile on Amazon. 23 I have reviewed many books along these lines, but one stands out as so original and insightful in nature that I must mention it here: Philip Allott, The Health of Nations: Society and Law beyond the State (Cambridge, 2002). His basic premise is that the artificial political boundaries imposed by force of arms overcame centuries of cultural boundaries and conventions that now return to call into question all that we have “achieved” in global domination. See also two other books: Derek Leebaert, The Fifty-Year Wound: How America's Cold War Victory Has Shaped Our World (Back Bay, 2003), and Jonathan Schell, The Unconquerable World: Power, Nonviolence, and the Will of the People (Holt, 2004). My reviews at Amazon succinctly summarize each book. 24 “Cradle to Cradle” is the business term of art for what the Boy Scouts call “zero footprint” and the ecologists mean when they ask that everything be fully bio-degradable with no permanent waste. 25 This point is emphasized by Will and Ariel Durant in their Lessons of History (Simon & Schuster, 1968), itself a capstone synthesis of their Story of Civilization (Simon & Schuster, 1968), the latter in ten hard-copy volumes. Morality has a strategic value of incalculable and irreplaceable value. 26 I hesitate to begin naming books by title, there are so many that could be included, but here two merit mention: Jonathan Schell’s The Unconquerable World: Power, Nonviolence, and the Will of the People (Holt, 2004) and Howard Zinn’s A Power Governments Cannot Suppress (City Lights, 2006). In combination with the Chinese ability to bring down Dick Cheney’s aircraft over Singapore, and being able to pop a submarine up behind a carrier without being detected by an entire carrier battle group, we must recognize that the era of waging war for the sake of peace is over, and we must now begin waging peace as the only means of avoiding war. My memorandum on this matter is easily found by seeking . 27 The three seminal works in this area are THE NEW CRAFT OF INTELLIGENCE: Personal, Public, & Political; INFORMATION OPERATIONS: All Information, All Languages, All the Time; and COLLECTIVE INTELLIGENCE: Creating a Prosperous World at Peace. All are available free online at www.oss.net, and also offered in hard-copy at Amazon. 28 Medard Gabel, who assisted Buckminster Fuller in the creation of the analog World Game, is now ready to create the EarthGame™, trademarked in his name. Visit him at www.BigPictureSmallWorld.com. 29 Medard Gabel, E. O. Wilson, and Lester Brown have all established that the cost of saving the Earth and eradicating the ten high-level threats to humanity is no more than $250 billion a year. The charitable foundations of all nations spend at least $500 billion a year, and varied governments, corporations, and international organizations spend a like amount. What has been missing—which the US Army and the varied “white hat” elements of the Department of Defense can provide—is a Multinational Decision Support Center (MDSC) replacing the Coalition Coordination Center (CCC) in Tampa, Florida, so as to both provide unclassified decision support to all parties engaged in stabilization and reconstruction, humanitarian assistance, and disaster relief operations; and serve as the creator and maintainer—with Civil Affairs proponency—of a Global Range of Gifts Table that can be validated by the United Nations and presented to all charitable foundations and interested parties for voluntary participation. 30 Not meaning to pick a fight, the literature is indisputable on this point with respect to political parties, Congress, the federal government, the media, and other purportedly social safety nets. 31 I first articulated the need for a National Information Strategy in my article, “Creating a Smart Nation,” Government Information Quarterly Volume 13, Number 2, pp 151-173 (Summer 1996). It also appears in The Smart Nation Act: Public Intelligence in the Public Interest (OSS, 2006). Such a strategy must provide for Connectivity, Content, Coordination, and C4 Security. 32 The release of the report of the High Level Panel on Threats, Challenges, and Change, A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility (United Nations, 2004) was a major strategic intellectual event. The ten priorities threats, none but one conventional in nature, provide the necessary first step in completely redefining national security. LtGen Dr. Brent Scowcroft, USAF (Ret.) was the US member of the United Nations panel. The report, and the detailed list of threats, were not mentioned during the conference but references were made to the need to address non-military threats, not just military threats. 33Cf. VIRTUAL INTELLIGENCE: Conflict Avoidance and Resolution Through Information Peacekeeping (US Institute of Peace, 1997) and” INFORMATION PEACKEEPING: The Purest Form of War,” in Doug Dearth and Al Campen, CYBERWAR 2.0: Myths, Mysteries, and Realities (AFCEA International Press, 1998). Both are easily found online. 34 This and my second suggestion were articulated in Chapter 13, “Presidential Leadership,” of INTELLIGENCE: Spies and Secrecy in an Open World (AFCEA, 2000), and in more focused form in Chapter 12, “Presidential Leadership and National Security Policymaking,” in Douglas T. Stuart, Organizing for National Security Making (Strategic Studies Institute, 2000), pp. 245-282. 35 General Tony Zinni, USMC (Ret.), The Battle for Peace: A Frontline Vision of America's Power and Purpose (Palgrave McMillan, 2007). 36 As promised to the Director of National Intelligence (DNI) in my one-page memorandum of 22 July 2007, all such information would be immediately ported to the “high side” via electronic loading docks pioneered by the U.S. Special Operations Command J-2 Dissemination Branch. The key is that by giving the spies a copy, we keep the original under diplomatic auspices (and within DoD, under Civil Affairs proponency) so that the MDSC can make sense of the information, and both the raw information and the sense-making can be shared with any organization or any individual anywhere. 37 This is the most important point in Colin Gray’s MODERN STRATEGY (Oxford, 1999) 38 The 450-ship Navy can be found in “Muddy Waters, Rusting Buckets, a Skeptical Assessment of U.S. Naval Effectiveness in the 21st Century,” easily found online.

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