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Project Bruin AQ-GHG Report.Docx THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Caleemod Model Output Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Emissions Analysis Report Project Bruin at The Sakioka Farms Business Park City of Oxnard, Ventura County, California Prepared for: Seefried Industrial Properties, Inc. 2201 East Camelback Road, Suite 225B Phoenix, AZ 85016 Contact: Jason Quintel, Senior Vice President – Western Region 602.337.8730 Prepared by: FirstCarbon Solutions 250 Commerce, Suite 250 Irvine, CA 92602 714.508.4110 Contact: Kerri Tuttle Senior Director, Sales/Operations and Environmental Services April 6, 2020 Updated June 10, 2020 NORTH AMERICA | EUROPE | AFRICA | AUSTRALIA | ASIA WWW.FIRSTCARBONSOLUTIONS.COM THIS PAGE INTENTIONALLY LEFT BLANK Seefried Industrial Properties, Inc.—Project Bruin at The Sakioka Farms Business Park Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Analysis Report Table of Contents Table of Contents Acronyms and Abbreviations ......................................................................................................... v Section 1: Executive Summary ....................................................................................................... 7 1.1 ‐ Purpose and Methods of Analysis ..................................................................................... 7 1.2 ‐ Project Summary ............................................................................................................... 7 1.3 ‐ Summary of Analysis Results ........................................................................................... 15 1.4 ‐ Mitigation Measures from the Sakioka Farms Business Park Specific Plan EIR Applied to the Project ................................................................................................ 16 1.5 ‐ Project Design Features for Project Bruin ....................................................................... 19 Section 2: Air Quality Setting ....................................................................................................... 21 2.1 ‐ Environmental Setting ..................................................................................................... 21 2.2 ‐ Regulatory Setting ........................................................................................................... 22 2.3 ‐ Existing Local Air Quality Conditions ............................................................................... 30 2.4 ‐ Air Quality Plans and Regulations ................................................................................... 33 Section 3: Climate Change Setting ................................................................................................ 41 3.1 ‐ Climate Change ................................................................................................................ 41 3.2 ‐ Greenhouse Gases ........................................................................................................... 43 3.3 ‐ Regulatory Environment .................................................................................................. 48 Section 4: Modeling Parameters and Assumptions ....................................................................... 69 4.1 ‐ Model Selection and Guidance ....................................................................................... 69 Section 5: Air Quality Impact Analysis .......................................................................................... 75 5.1 ‐ CEQA Guidelines .............................................................................................................. 75 5.2 ‐ Impact Analysis ................................................................................................................ 76 Section 6: Greenhouse Gas Impact Analysis ................................................................................. 93 6.1 ‐ CEQA Guidelines .............................................................................................................. 93 6.2 ‐ Impact Analysis ................................................................................................................ 94 Section 7: References ................................................................................................................. 107 Appendix A: CalEEMod Output List of Tables Table 1: Project General Development Parameters ............................................................................. 15 Table 2: Description of Air Pollutants ................................................................................................... 24 Table 3: Air Quality Monitoring Summary ............................................................................................ 30 Table 4: Air Quality Index and Health Effects from Ozone ................................................................... 32 Table 5: Ventura County Portion of the South Central Coast Air Basin Attainment Status .................. 33 Table 6: Description of Greenhouse Gases ........................................................................................... 44 Table 7: Conceptual Construction Schedule ......................................................................................... 70 FirstCarbon Solutions iii \\10.200.1.5\adec\Publications\Client (PN‐JN)\4115\41150021\AQ‐GHG Report\41150021 Project Bruin AQ‐GHG Report_CLEAN.docx Seefried Industrial Properties, Inc.—Project Bruin at The Sakioka Farms Business Park Table of Contents Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Analysis Report Table 8: Project Construction Equipment Assumptions ........................................................................ 70 Table 9: Construction Off‐site Trips ....................................................................................................... 71 Table 10: Average Daily Trips ................................................................................................................. 72 Table 11: Vehicle Type Classification ..................................................................................................... 73 Table 12: VCAPCD ROC and NOX Thresholds ......................................................................................... 76 Table 13: Construction Air Pollutant Emissions Including PDFs AIR‐1(1) and AIR‐1(3) ......................... 78 Table 14: Daily Unmitigated Operational Emissions ............................................................................. 79 Table 15: Screening Levels for Potential Odor Sources ......................................................................... 90 Table 16: Construction Greenhouse Gas Emissions .............................................................................. 94 Table 17: Operational Greenhouse Gas Emissions ................................................................................ 95 Table 18: Mitigated Operational Greenhouse Gas Emissions ............................................................... 96 Table 19: Scoping Plan Measures Consistency Analysis ........................................................................ 97 Table 20: Consistency with SB 32 2017 Scoping Plan Update ............................................................. 100 Table 21: Consistency with General Plan Policies ............................................................................... 101 Table 22: Project Evaluation in Regard to the Consequences of Climate Change ............................... 103 List of Exhibits Exhibit 1: Regional Location Map ............................................................................................................ 9 Exhibit 2: Local Vicinity Map, Aerial Base ............................................................................................. 11 Exhibit 3: Site Plan ................................................................................................................................. 13 List of Figures Figure 1: Temperature and Precipitation in the City of Oxnard ............................................................ 21 Figure 2: Observed and Projected Temperatures for Climate Change in the City of Oxnard Area ................................................................................................................................... 42 Figure 3: 2017 U.S. Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Gas ........................................................................ 47 Figure 4: 2017 California Greenhouse Gas Emissions by Sector ........................................................... 48 iv FirstCarbon Solutions \\10.200.1.5\adec\Publications\Client (PN‐JN)\4115\41150021\AQ‐GHG Report\41150021 Project Bruin AQ‐GHG Report_CLEAN.docx Seefried Industrial Properties, Inc.—Project Bruin at The Sakioka Farms Business Park Air Quality and Greenhouse Gas Analysis Report Acronyms and Abbreviations ACRONYMS AND ABBREVIATIONS °C degrees Celsius °F degrees Fahrenheit µg/m3 micrograms per cubic meter AB Assembly Bill Air Basin South Central Coast Air Basin AQMP Air Quality Management Plan ARB Air Resources Board ATE Associated Transportation Engineers BAU Business as Usual CAA Clean Air Act CalEEMod California Emissions Estimator Model CALGreen California Green Building Standards Code CAPCOA California Air Pollution Control Officers Association CCAA California Clean Air Act CEQA California Environmental Quality Act CO carbon monoxide CO2 carbon dioxide CRRC Cool Roof Rating Council CTP Comprehensive Transportation Plan DPM diesel particulate matter EAP Energy Action Plan EIR environmental impact report EMFAC EMission FACtors EPA United States Environmental Protection Agency GHG greenhouse
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